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1.
Sex Transm Dis ; 49(10): 682-686, 2022 10 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35858477

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Currently, in Latin America, including Peru, the treatment of gonorrhea is still empiric and information regarding antimicrobial resistance is scarce in some countries because of the limited resources, which can contribute to the rising rates of reported multidrug-resistant gonococcal strains. In that context, it is mandatory to continuously monitor and report antimicrobial resistance in N. gonorrhoeae to update treatment recommendations. METHODS: This descriptive study analyzed genital and anal samples from symptomatic patients who attended 15 sexually transmitted infections health facilities from 8 different regions in Peru during the years 2018 to 2019 within the framework of Sentinel Surveillance. After establishing the presumptive diagnosis, the isolates were sent to the Laboratory of Sexually Transmitted Bacteria of the National Institute of Health of Peru in Lima where the species were confirmed (N = 165) and susceptibility profiles were determined. RESULTS: Among the 165 isolates, 95.2% corresponded to male patients, between 18 and 22 years of age (40.6%), half reported having a sexual partner and being heterosexual. Clinically, 89.7% manifested the presence of urethral exudate. Microbiology showed 95.2% of the isolates resistant to ciprofloxacin and 9.1% non-susceptible to azithromycin. Reduced susceptibility to ceftriaxone and cefixime was observed in 1.2% and 3.6% of the isolates respectively. All strains tested were susceptible to spectinomycin. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that in Peru, fluoroquinolones should not be recommended or used in N. gonorrhoeae infections due to the high percentage of resistant strains. In addition, nationwide access to gonococcal resistance testing, molecular diagnostics and antimicrobial stewardship should be implemented to control the spread of gonococcal antimicrobial resistance.


Assuntos
Gonorreia , Neisseria gonorrhoeae , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Azitromicina/farmacologia , Azitromicina/uso terapêutico , Cefixima , Ceftriaxona , Ciprofloxacina , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana , Fluoroquinolonas , Gonorreia/tratamento farmacológico , Gonorreia/epidemiologia , Gonorreia/microbiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Peru/epidemiologia , Espectinomicina
2.
Clin Infect Dis ; 62(4): 418-430, 2016 Feb 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26508515

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Resistance to second-line drugs develops during treatment of multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis, but the impact on treatment outcome has not been determined. METHODS: Patients with MDR tuberculosis starting second-line drug treatment were enrolled in a prospective cohort study. Sputum cultures were analyzed at a central reference laboratory. We compared subjects with successful and poor treatment outcomes in terms of (1) initial and acquired resistance to fluoroquinolones and second-line injectable drugs (SLIs) and (2) treatment regimens. RESULTS: Of 1244 patients with MDR tuberculosis, 973 (78.2%) had known outcomes and 232 (18.6%) were lost to follow-up. Among those with known outcomes, treatment succeeded in 85.8% with plain MDR tuberculosis, 69.7% with initial resistance to either a fluoroquinolone or an SLI, 37.5% with acquired resistance to a fluoroquinolone or SLI, 29.3% with initial and 13.0% with acquired extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (P < .001 for trend). In contrast, among those with known outcomes, treatment success increased stepwise from 41.6% to 92.3% as the number of drugs proven effective increased from ≤1 to ≥5 (P < .001 for trend), while acquired drug resistance decreased from 12% to 16% range, depending on the drug, down to 0%-2% (P < .001 for trend). In multivariable analysis, the adjusted odds of treatment success decreased 0.62-fold (95% confidence interval, .56-.69) for each increment in drug resistance and increased 2.1-fold (1.40-3.18) for each additional effective drug, controlling for differences between programs and patients. Specific treatment, patient, and program variables were also associated with treatment outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing drug resistance was associated in a logical stepwise manner with poor treatment outcomes. Acquired resistance was worse than initial resistance to the same drugs. Increasing numbers of effective drugs, specific drugs, and specific program characteristics were associated with better outcomes and less acquired resistance.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/efeitos dos fármacos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolamento & purificação , Estudos Prospectivos , Escarro/microbiologia , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto Jovem
3.
BMC Infect Dis ; 16: 45, 2016 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26831140

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-associated tuberculosis deaths have decreased worldwide over the past decade. We sought to evaluate the effect of HIV status on tuberculosis mortality among patients undergoing treatment for tuberculosis in Lima, Peru, a low HIV prevalence setting. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of patients treated for tuberculosis between 2005 and 2008 in two adjacent health regions in Lima, Peru (Lima Ciudad and Lima Este). We constructed a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model to evaluate the effect of HIV status on mortality during tuberculosis treatment. RESULTS: Of 1701 participants treated for tuberculosis, 136 (8.0%) died during tuberculosis treatment. HIV-positive patients constituted 11.0% of the cohort and contributed to 34.6% of all deaths. HIV-positive patients were significantly more likely to die (25.1 vs. 5.9%, P < 0.001) and less likely to be cured (28.3 vs. 39.4%, P = 0.003). On multivariate analysis, positive HIV status (hazard ratio [HR] = 6.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.96-9.27), unemployment (HR = 2.24; 95% CI, 1.55-3.25), and sputum acid-fast bacilli smear positivity (HR = 1.91; 95% CI, 1.10-3.31) were significantly associated with a higher hazard of death. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that positive HIV status was a strong predictor of mortality among patients treated for tuberculosis in the early years after Peru started providing free antiretroviral therapy. As HIV diagnosis and antiretroviral therapy provision are more widely implemented for tuberculosis patients in Peru, future operational research should document the changing profile of HIV-associated tuberculosis mortality.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV/complicações , Tuberculose/mortalidade , Adulto , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Peru/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/etiologia , Adulto Jovem
4.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 21(6): 977-83, 2015 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25988299

RESUMO

Data from a large multicenter observational study of patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR TB) were analyzed to simulate the possible use of 2 new approaches to treatment of MDR TB: a short (9-month) regimen and a bedaquiline-containing regimen. Of 1,254 patients, 952 (75.9%) had no resistance to fluoroquinolones and second-line injectable drugs and thus would qualify as candidates for the 9-month regimen; 302 (24.1%) patients with resistance to a fluoroquinolone or second-line injectable drug would qualify as candidates for a bedaquiline-containing regimen in accordance with published guidelines. Among candidates for the 9-month regimen, standardized drug-susceptibility tests demonstrated susceptibility to a median of 5 (interquartile range 5-6) drugs. Among candidates for bedaquiline, drug-susceptibility tests demonstrated susceptibility to a median of 3 (interquartile range 2-4) drugs; 26% retained susceptibility to <2 drugs. These data may assist national TB programs in planning to implement new drugs and drug regimens.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/farmacologia , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Tuberculose Extensivamente Resistente a Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Extensivamente Resistente a Medicamentos/microbiologia , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/efeitos dos fármacos , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Tuberculose Extensivamente Resistente a Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana
5.
PLoS Med ; 12(12): e1001932, 2015 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26714320

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: For treating multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR TB), the World Health Organization (WHO) recommends a regimen of at least four second-line drugs that are likely to be effective as well as pyrazinamide. WHO guidelines indicate only marginal benefit for regimens based directly on drug susceptibility testing (DST) results. Recent evidence from isolated cohorts suggests that regimens containing more drugs may be beneficial, and that DST results are predictive of regimen effectiveness. The objective of our study was to gain insight into how regimen design affects treatment response by analyzing the association between time to sputum culture conversion and both the number of potentially effective drugs included in a regimen and the DST results of the drugs in the regimen. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We analyzed data from the Preserving Effective Tuberculosis Treatment Study (PETTS), a prospective observational study of 1,659 adults treated for MDR TB during 2005-2010 in nine countries: Estonia, Latvia, Peru, Philippines, Russian Federation, South Africa, South Korea, Thailand, and Taiwan. For all patients, monthly sputum samples were collected, and DST was performed on baseline isolates at the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. We included 1,137 patients in our analysis based on their having known baseline DST results for at least fluoroquinolones and second-line injectable drugs, and not having extensively drug-resistant TB. These patients were followed for a median of 20 mo (interquartile range 16-23 mo) after MDR TB treatment initiation. The primary outcome of interest was initial sputum culture conversion. We used Cox proportional hazards regression, stratifying by country to control for setting-associated confounders, and adjusting for the number of drugs to which patients' baseline isolates were resistant, baseline resistance pattern, previous treatment history, sputum smear result, and extent of disease on chest radiograph. In multivariable analysis, receiving an average of at least six potentially effective drugs (defined as drugs without a DST result indicating resistance) per day was associated with a 36% greater likelihood of sputum culture conversion than receiving an average of at least five but fewer than six potentially effective drugs per day (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.36, 95% CI 1.09-1.69). Inclusion of pyrazinamide (aHR 2.00, 95% CI 1.65-2.41) or more drugs to which baseline DST indicated susceptibility (aHR 1.65, 95% CI 1.48-1.84, per drug) in regimens was associated with greater increases in the likelihood of sputum culture conversion than including more drugs to which baseline DST indicated resistance (aHR 1.33, 95% CI 1.18-1.51, per drug). Including in the regimen more drugs for which DST was not performed was beneficial only if a minimum of three effective drugs was present in the regimen (aHR 1.39, 95% CI 1.09-1.76, per drug when three effective drugs present in regimen). The main limitation of this analysis is that it is based on observational data, not a randomized trial, and drug regimens varied across sites. However, PETTS was a uniquely large and rigorous observational study in terms of both the number of patients enrolled and the standardization of laboratory testing. Other limitations include the assumption of equivalent efficacy across drugs in a category, incomplete data on adherence, and the fact that the analysis considers only initial sputum culture conversion, not reversion or long-term relapse. CONCLUSIONS: MDR TB regimens including more potentially effective drugs than the minimum of five currently recommended by WHO may encourage improved response to treatment in patients with MDR TB. Rapid access to high-quality DST results could facilitate the design of more effective individualized regimens. Randomized controlled trials are necessary to confirm whether individualized regimens with more than five drugs can indeed achieve better cure rates than current recommended regimens.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/farmacologia , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Mycobacterium/efeitos dos fármacos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Protocolos Clínicos , Estudos de Coortes , Quimioterapia Combinada/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Global , Humanos , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Escarro/microbiologia , Adulto Jovem
6.
Clin Infect Dis ; 59(8): 1049-63, 2014 Oct 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25057101

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Increasing access to drugs for the treatment of multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis is crucial but could lead to increasing resistance to these same drugs. In 2000, the international Green Light Committee (GLC) initiative began to increase access while attempting to prevent acquired resistance. METHODS: To assess the GLC's impact, we followed adults with pulmonary MDR tuberculosis from the start to the end of treatment with monthly sputum cultures, drug susceptibility testing, and genotyping. We compared the frequency and predictors of acquired resistance to second-line drugs (SLDs) in 9 countries that volunteered to participate, 5 countries that met GLC criteria, and 4 countries that did not apply to the GLC. RESULTS: In total, 832 subjects were enrolled. Of those without baseline resistance to specific SLDs, 68 (8.9%) acquired extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis, 79 (11.2%) acquired fluoroquinolone (FQ) resistance, and 56 (7.8%) acquired resistance to second-line injectable drugs (SLIs). The relative risk (95% confidence interval [CI]) of acquired resistance was lower at GLC-approved sites: 0.27 (.16-.47) for XDR tuberculosis, 0.28 (.17-.45) for FQ, and 0.15 (.06-.39) to 0.60 (.34-1.05) for 3 different SLIs. The risk increased as the number of potentially effective drugs decreased. Controlling for baseline drug resistance and differences between sites, the odds ratios (95% CIs) were 0.21 (.07-.62) for acquired XDR tuberculosis and 0.23 (.09-.59) for acquired FQ resistance. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment of MDR tuberculosis involves substantial risk of acquired resistance to SLDs, increasing as baseline drug resistance increases. The risk was significantly lower in programs documented by the GLC to meet specific standards.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/efeitos dos fármacos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/microbiologia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Pulmonar/microbiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Técnicas de Genotipagem , Humanos , Masculino , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolamento & purificação , Estudos Prospectivos , Seleção Genética , Escarro/microbiologia , Adulto Jovem
7.
Lancet ; 380(9851): 1406-17, 2012 Oct 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22938757

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis is increasing due to the expanded use of second-line drugs in people with multidrug-resistant (MDR) disease. We prospectively assessed resistance to second-line antituberculosis drugs in eight countries. METHODS: From Jan 1, 2005, to Dec 31, 2008, we enrolled consecutive adults with locally confirmed pulmonary MDR tuberculosis at the start of second-line treatment in Estonia, Latvia, Peru, Philippines, Russia, South Africa, South Korea, and Thailand. Drug-susceptibility testing for study purposes was done centrally at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for 11 first-line and second-line drugs. We compared the results with clinical and epidemiological data to identify risk factors for resistance to second-line drugs and XDR tuberculosis. FINDINGS: Among 1278 patients, 43·7% showed resistance to at least one second-line drug, 20·0% to at least one second-line injectable drug, and 12·9% to at least one fluoroquinolone. 6·7% of patients had XDR tuberculosis (range across study sites 0·8-15·2%). Previous treatment with second-line drugs was consistently the strongest risk factor for resistance to these drugs, which increased the risk of XDR tuberculosis by more than four times. Fluoroquinolone resistance and XDR tuberculosis were more frequent in women than in men. Unemployment, alcohol abuse, and smoking were associated with resistance to second-line injectable drugs across countries. Other risk factors differed between drugs and countries. INTERPRETATION: Previous treatment with second-line drugs is a strong, consistent risk factor for resistance to these drugs, including XDR tuberculosis. Representative drug-susceptibility results could guide in-country policies for laboratory capacity and diagnostic strategies. FUNDING: US Agency for International Development, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Institutes of Health/National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and Korean Ministry of Health and Welfare.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Tuberculose Extensivamente Resistente a Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Extensivamente Resistente a Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
8.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 17(3): 432-40, 2011 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21392434

RESUMO

The Peruvian National Tuberculosis Control Program issued guidelines in 2006 specifying criteria for culture and drug-susceptibility testing (DST), including district-level rapid DST. All patients referred for culture and DST in 2 districts of Lima, Peru, during January 2005-November 2008 were monitored prospectively. Of 1,846 patients, 1,241 (67.2%) had complete DST results for isoniazid and rifampin; 419 (33.8%) patients had multidrug-resistant (MDR) TB at the time of referral. Among patients with new smear-positive TB, household contact and suspected category I failure were associated with MDR TB, compared with concurrent regional surveillance data. Among previously treated patients with smear-positive TB, adult household contact, suspected category II failure, early relapse after category I, and multiple previous TB treatments were associated with MDR TB, compared with concurrent regional surveillance data. The proportion of MDR TB detected by using guidelines was higher than that detected by a concurrent national drug-resistance survey, indicating that the strategy effectively identified patients for DST.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/farmacologia , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/efeitos dos fármacos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/diagnóstico , Humanos , Isoniazida/farmacologia , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolamento & purificação , Peru/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População/métodos , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Prevalência , Rifampina/farmacologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/microbiologia
9.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 14(5): 701-8, 2008 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18439349

RESUMO

Over the past 10 years, the Peruvian National Tuberculosis (TB) Program, the National Reference Laboratory (NRL), Socios en Salud, and US partners have worked to strengthen the national TB laboratory network to support treatment of multidrug-resistant TB. We review key lessons of this experience. The preparation phase involved establishing criteria for drug susceptibility testing (DST), selecting appropriate DST methods, projecting the quantity of DST and culture to ensure adequate supplies, creating biosafe laboratory facilities for DST, training laboratory personnel on methods, and validating DST methods at the NRL. Implementation involved training providers on DST indications, validating conventional and rapid first-line DST methods at district laboratories, and eliminating additional delays in specimen transport and result reporting. Monitoring included ongoing quality control and quality assurance procedures. Hurdles included logistics, coordinating with policy, competing interests, changing personnel, communications, and evaluation. Operational research guided laboratory scale-up and identified barriers to effective capacity building.


Assuntos
Laboratórios , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/diagnóstico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Antituberculosos/farmacologia , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Meios de Cultura , Humanos , Laboratórios/organização & administração , Laboratórios/normas , Laboratórios/provisão & distribuição , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana/métodos , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana/estatística & dados numéricos , Técnicas Microbiológicas/métodos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/efeitos dos fármacos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolamento & purificação , Peru , Desenvolvimento de Programas , Garantia da Qualidade dos Cuidados de Saúde , Tuberculose Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Tuberculose Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Pulmonar/microbiologia
10.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 7: 33, 2007 Oct 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17963522

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multi-drug resistant tuberculosis patients in resource-poor settings experience large delays in starting appropriate treatment and may not be monitored appropriately due to an overburdened laboratory system, delays in communication of results, and missing or error-prone laboratory data. The objective of this paper is to describe an electronic laboratory information system implemented to alleviate these problems and its expanding use by the Peruvian public sector, as well as examine the broader issues of implementing such systems in resource-poor settings. METHODS: A web-based laboratory information system "e-Chasqui" has been designed and implemented in Peru to improve the timeliness and quality of laboratory data. It was deployed in the national TB laboratory, two regional laboratories and twelve pilot health centres. Using needs assessment and workflow analysis tools, e-Chasqui was designed to provide for improved patient care, increased quality control, and more efficient laboratory monitoring and reporting. RESULTS: Since its full implementation in March 2006, 29,944 smear microscopy, 31,797 culture and 7,675 drug susceptibility test results have been entered. Over 99% of these results have been viewed online by the health centres. High user satisfaction and heavy use have led to the expansion of e-Chasqui to additional institutions. In total, e-Chasqui will serve a network of institutions providing medical care for over 3.1 million people. The cost to maintain this system is approximately US$0.53 per sample or 1% of the National Peruvian TB program's 2006 budget. CONCLUSION: Electronic laboratory information systems have a large potential to improve patient care and public health monitoring in resource-poor settings. Some of the challenges faced in these settings, such as lack of trained personnel, limited transportation, and large coverage areas, are obstacles that a well-designed system can overcome. e-Chasqui has the potential to provide a national TB laboratory network in Peru. Furthermore, the core functionality of e-Chasqui as been implemented in the open source medical record system OpenMRS http://www.openmrs.org for other countries to use.


Assuntos
Sistemas de Informação em Laboratório Clínico/organização & administração , Laboratórios/organização & administração , Desenvolvimento de Programas , Administração em Saúde Pública/normas , Garantia da Qualidade dos Cuidados de Saúde/métodos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/diagnóstico , Sistemas de Informação em Laboratório Clínico/estatística & dados numéricos , Implementação de Plano de Saúde , Humanos , Laboratórios/normas , Área Carente de Assistência Médica , Avaliação das Necessidades , Peru , Fatores de Tempo , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico
11.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 17(7): 707-715, 2017 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28499828

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multidrug-resistant (MDR) and extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis are emerging worldwide. The Green Light Committee initiative supported programmatic management of drug-resistant tuberculosis in 90 countries. We used estimates from the Preserving Effective TB Treatment Study to predict MDR and XDR tuberculosis trends in four countries with a high burden of MDR tuberculosis: India, the Philippines, Russia, and South Africa. METHODS: We calibrated a compartmental model to data from drug resistance surveys and WHO tuberculosis reports to forecast estimates of incident MDR and XDR tuberculosis and the percentage of incident MDR and XDR tuberculosis caused by acquired drug resistance, assuming no fitness cost of resistance from 2000 to 2040 in India, the Philippines, Russia, and South Africa. FINDINGS: The model forecasted the percentage of MDR tuberculosis among incident cases of tuberculosis to increase, reaching 12·4% (95% prediction interval 9·4-16·2) in India, 8·9% (4·5-11·7) in the Philippines, 32·5% (27·0-35·8) in Russia, and 5·7% (3·0-7·6) in South Africa in 2040. It also predicted the percentage of XDR tuberculosis among incident MDR tuberculosis to increase, reaching 8·9% (95% prediction interval 5·1-12·9) in India, 9·0% (4·0-14·7) in the Philippines, 9·0% (4·8-14·2) in Russia, and 8·5% (2·5-14·7) in South Africa in 2040. Acquired drug resistance would cause less than 30% of incident MDR tuberculosis during 2000-40. Acquired drug resistance caused 80% of incident XDR tuberculosis in 2000, but this estimate would decrease to less than 50% by 2040. INTERPRETATION: MDR and XDR tuberculosis were forecast to increase in all four countries despite improvements in acquired drug resistance shown by the Green Light Committee-supported programmatic management of drug-resistant tuberculosis. Additional control efforts beyond improving acquired drug resistance rates are needed to stop the spread of MDR and XDR tuberculosis in countries with a high burden of MDR tuberculosis. FUNDING: US Agency for International Development and US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Division of Tuberculosis Elimination.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Tuberculose Extensivamente Resistente a Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Modelos Teóricos , Ásia , Humanos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/efeitos dos fármacos , Fatores de Risco , Federação Russa , África do Sul
12.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 9(7): e0003957, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26222979

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dengue is one of the most aggressively expanding mosquito-transmitted viruses. The human burden approaches 400 million infections annually. Complex transmission dynamics pose challenges for predicting location, timing, and magnitude of risk; thus, models are needed to guide prevention strategies and policy development locally and globally. Weather regulates transmission-potential via its effects on vector dynamics. An important gap in understanding risk and roadblock in model development is an empirical perspective clarifying how weather impacts transmission in diverse ecological settings. We sought to determine if location, timing, and potential-intensity of transmission are systematically defined by weather. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We developed a high-resolution empirical profile of the local weather-disease connection across Peru, a country with considerable ecological diversity. Applying 2-dimensional weather-space that pairs temperature versus humidity, we mapped local transmission-potential in weather-space by week during 1994-2012. A binary classification-tree was developed to test whether weather data could classify 1828 Peruvian districts as positive/negative for transmission and into ranks of transmission-potential with respect to observed disease. We show that transmission-potential is regulated by temperature-humidity coupling, enabling epidemics in a limited area of weather-space. Duration within a specific temperature range defines transmission-potential that is amplified exponentially in higher humidity. Dengue-positive districts were identified by mean temperature >22°C for 7+ weeks and minimum temperature >14°C for 33+ weeks annually with 95% sensitivity and specificity. In elevated-risk locations, seasonal peak-incidence occurred when mean temperature was 26-29°C, coincident with humidity at its local maximum; highest incidence when humidity >80%. We profile transmission-potential in weather-space for temperature-humidity ranging 0-38°C and 5-100% at 1°C x 2% resolution. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Local duration in limited areas of temperature-humidity weather-space identifies potential locations, timing, and magnitude of transmission. The weather-space profile of transmission-potential provides needed data that define a systematic and highly-sensitive weather-disease connection, demonstrating separate but coupled roles of temperature and humidity. New insights regarding natural regulation of human-mosquito transmission across diverse ecological settings advance our understanding of risk locally and globally for dengue and other mosquito-borne diseases and support advances in public health policy/operations, providing an evidence-base for modeling, predicting risk, and surveillance-prevention planning.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue/fisiologia , Dengue/transmissão , Dengue/virologia , Tempo (Meteorologia) , Animais , Dengue/epidemiologia , Epidemias/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Peru/epidemiologia , Fatores de Tempo
13.
Lancet Respir Med ; 3(3): 201-9, 2015 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25726085

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Sputum culture conversion is often used as an early microbiological endpoint in phase 2 clinical trials of tuberculosis treatment on the basis of its assumed predictive value for end-of-treatment outcome, particularly in patients with drug-susceptible tuberculosis. We aimed to assess the validity of sputum culture conversion on solid media at varying timepoints, and the time to conversion, as prognostic markers for end-of-treatment outcome in patients with multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis. METHODS: We analysed data from two large cohort studies of patients with MDR tuberculosis. We defined sputum culture conversion as two or more consecutive negative cultures from sputum samples obtained at least 30 days apart. To estimate the association of 2 month and 6 month conversion with successful treatment outcome, we calculated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs with random-effects multivariable logistic regression. We calculated predictive values with bivariate random-effects generalised linear mixed modelling. FINDINGS: We assessed data for 1712 patients who had treatment success, treatment failure, or who died. Among patients with treatment success, median time to sputum culture conversion was significantly shorter than in those who had poor outcomes (2 months [IQR 1-3] vs 7 months [3 to ≥24]; log-rank p<0·0001). Furthermore, conversion status at 6 months (adjusted OR 14·07 [95% CI 10·05-19·71]) was significantly associated with treatment success compared with failure or death. Sputum culture conversion status at 2 months was significantly associated with treatment success only in patients who were HIV negative (adjusted OR 4·12 [95% CI 2·25-7·54]) or who had unknown HIV infection (3·59 [1·96-6·58]), but not in those who were HIV positive (0·38 [0·12-1·18]). Thus, the overall association of sputum culture conversion with a successful outcome was substantially greater at 6 months than at 2 months. 2 month conversion had low sensitivity (27·3% [95% confidence limit 16·6-41·4]) and high specificity (89·8% [82·3-94·4]) for prediction of treatment success. Conversely, 6 month sputum culture conversion status had high sensitivity (91·8% [85·9-95·4]), but moderate specificity (57·8% [42·5-71·6]). The maximum combined sensitivity and specificity for sputum culture conversion was reached between month 6 and month 10 of treatment. INTERPRETATION: Time to sputum culture conversion, conversion status at 6 months, and conversion status at 2 months in patients without known HIV infection can be considered as proxy markers of end-of-treatment outcome in patients with MDR tuberculosis, although the overall association with treatment success is substantially stronger for 6 month than for 2 month conversion status. Investigators should consider these results regarding the validity of sputum culture conversion at various timepoints as an early predictor of treatment efficacy when designing phase 2 studies before investing substantial resources in large, long-term, phase 3 trials of new treatments for MDR tuberculosis. FUNDING: US Agency for International Development, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Division of Intramural Research of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.


Assuntos
Escarro/microbiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolamento & purificação , Estudos Prospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto Jovem
14.
PLoS One ; 9(4): e90110, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24721980

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Lost, delayed or incorrect laboratory results are associated with delays in initiating treatment. Delays in treatment for Multi-Drug Resistant Tuberculosis (MDR-TB) can worsen patient outcomes and increase transmission. The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of a laboratory information system in reducing delays and the time for MDR-TB patients to culture convert (stop transmitting). SETTING: 78 primary Health Centers (HCs) in Lima, Peru. Participants lived within the catchment area of participating HCs and had at least one MDR-TB risk factor. The study design was a cluster randomized controlled trial with baseline data. The intervention was the e-Chasqui web-based laboratory information system. Main outcome measures were: times to communicate a result; to start or change a patient's treatment; and for that patient to culture convert. RESULTS: 1671 patients were enrolled. Intervention HCs took significantly less time to receive drug susceptibility test (DST) (median 11 vs. 17 days, Hazard Ratio 0.67 [0.62-0.72]) and culture (5 vs. 8 days, 0.68 [0.65-0.72]) results. The time to treatment was not significantly different, but patients in intervention HCs took 16 days (20%) less time to culture convert (p = 0.047). CONCLUSIONS: The eChasqui system reduced the time to communicate results between laboratories and HCs and time to culture conversion. It is now used in over 259 HCs covering 4.1 million people. This is the first randomized controlled trial of a laboratory information system in a developing country for any disease and the only study worldwide to show clinical impact of such a system. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01201941.


Assuntos
Sistemas de Informação em Laboratório Clínico/organização & administração , Comunicação , Erros Médicos/prevenção & controle , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/terapia , Adolescente , Adulto , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Bases de Dados Factuais , Países em Desenvolvimento , Feminino , Humanos , Laboratórios/organização & administração , Masculino , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana/normas , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Peru , Pobreza , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Melhoria de Qualidade , Projetos de Pesquisa , Resultado do Tratamento , Tuberculose/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Adulto Jovem
16.
Rev Peru Med Exp Salud Publica ; 29(4): 431-6, 2012.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23338626

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To identify main characteristics of clinical trials (CT) authorized by the National Institute of Health (INS) of Peru from 1995 to August 2012. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Cross-sectional study, which reviewed all records of CT submitted for review and possible approval by INS, whose data are part of the Peruvian Registry of Clinical Trials. We performed a descriptive analysis of the states of the CT approval and other characteristics. RESULTS: 1475 clinical trials were assessed, of which 1255 (85.1%) were authorized. From 1 clinical trial officially registered in 1995, its quantity increased to 176 trials submitted in 2008, and then, declined to 128 in 2011. Among the approved CT, 64.1% was in Phase III. Oncology (22.4%), infectious diseases (15.5%) and endocrinology (12.7%) were the most studied specialties and a only 1.2% were for neglected tropical diseases. The oral hypoglycemic drugs, systemic antiviral and antineoplastic agents were the most studied investigational products. The transnational pharmaceutical industry was the main sponsor (87.1%) and executors (62.3%) of clinical trials were mostly in Lima. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical trials in Peru mainly focus on noncommunicable diseases and phase III studies. The pharmaceutical industry is the main sponsor. A very small number of authorized clinical trials in Peru were for neglected tropical diseases that shows little attention to the health problems in vulnerable populations.


Assuntos
Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Peru , Fatores de Tempo
17.
Tuberculosis (Edinb) ; 92(3): 273-9, 2012 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22401962

RESUMO

In most countries with large drug resistant tuberculosis epidemics, only those cases that are at highest risk of having MDRTB receive a drug sensitivity test (DST) at the time of diagnosis. Because of this prioritized testing, identification of MDRTB transmission hotspots in communities where TB cases do not receive DST is challenging, as any observed aggregation of MDRTB may reflect systematic differences in how testing is distributed in communities. We introduce a new disease mapping method, which estimates this missing information through probability-weighted locations, to identify geographic areas of increased risk of MDRTB transmission. We apply this method to routinely collected data from two districts in Lima, Peru over three consecutive years. This method identifies an area in the eastern part of Lima where previously untreated cases have increased risk of MDRTB. This may indicate an area of increased transmission of drug resistant disease, a finding that may otherwise have been missed by routine analysis of programmatic data. The risk of MDR among retreatment cases is also highest in these probable transmission hotspots, though a high level of MDR among retreatment cases is present throughout the study area. Identifying potential multidrug resistant tuberculosis (MDRTB) transmission hotspots may allow for targeted investigation and deployment of resources.


Assuntos
Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Algoritmos , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Surtos de Doenças , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Sistemas de Informação Geográfica , Humanos , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana/métodos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/efeitos dos fármacos , Peru/epidemiologia , Retratamento , Estudos Retrospectivos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/microbiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/transmissão
18.
Rev Peru Med Exp Salud Publica ; 28(2): 372-81, 2011 Jun.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21845320

RESUMO

The National Health Authority of Peru, as part of the implementation of national priorities for health research in 2010 developed the process of building the national research agenda on health manpower (HM). In a scenario of technical challenges, national and international policy and under a nation-wide participatory approach with key stakeholders in the health system, training and aid HM linked to the subject, establishing a socially agreed agenda. Process consists of 3 phases: 1. National review of evidence and relevant information on RHUS, 2. Consultation with opinion leaders and subject experts, and 3. A collaborative space (national workshop) of deliberation, consensus and legitimacy of the agenda. Finally, we present the agenda consists of 30 research topics on health manpower, to be developed in the period 2011- 2014, and raises the challenges and prospects for implementation.


Assuntos
Mão de Obra em Saúde , Pesquisa/organização & administração , Consenso , Humanos , Peru , Fatores de Tempo
19.
Rev Peru Med Exp Salud Publica ; 28(3): 470-6, 2011.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22086627

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the evolution of published scientific articles on HIV/AIDS in Peru. METHODS: A bibliometric analysis of papers on HIV/AIDS published in journals indexed in MEDLINE, SciELO and LILACS until October 2010. We selected research papers fully developed in Peru, and multicenter studies with participating Peruvian sites. RESULTS: We identified 257 publications on HIV/AIDS, showing an increase since 2003. The average publication delay was 2.8±1.8 years. Only 94 (36.6 %) articles were published in Spanish. The most studied areas were epidemiology (36.6 %) and clinical topics (35.8 %). The cross-sectional design was the most frequent (56.8 %) followed by case series. According to the WHO classification, studies to learn more about the disease and risk factors predominated (85.6 %) and according to the intervention areas, 46.7 % focused on diagnosis and treatment. Most studies were conducted in Lima (65.9 %). 48.2 % of studies focused on people living with HIV/AIDS. Finally, Revista Peruana de Medicina Experimental y Salud Pública was the journal that published most articles on HIV/AIDS (9.7 %). CONCLUSIONS: We found a growth in scientific production on HIV/AIDS in Peru; however, we believe that the research undertaken was not based on an agreed national agenda or national research priorities, which might have limitted its dissemination and application.


Assuntos
Bibliometria , Infecções por HIV , Editoração/estatística & dados numéricos , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida , Pesquisa Biomédica , Peru , Fatores de Tempo
20.
Rev Peru Med Exp Salud Publica ; 27(3): 361-6, 2010 Sep.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21152728

RESUMO

The results of the research projects that have been approved and funded by the Instituto Nacional de Salud (Peru) during the period 2004-2008 were analyzed. Out of 182 approved and funded research projects, 150 (82%) were actually performed, 86% (129/150) ended in the final report and only 14% (18/129) were published in indexed journals, the mean time for publication of an article was of 2,7 years. Out of the presented research projects, 68 (45%) were through a competitive fund, 60 (40%) were institutional, 14 (9%) coming from regional (provincial) health directions and 8 (5%) collaborative. The executed budget was of $ 5,032,906.62. The mean amount assigned to each research project was $ 33,552.71 and the cost of each publication was $ 279,605.92; the distribution of the budget according to each study subject was 61% for communicable diseases, 12% for non-communicable diseases and 27% for technological development. The research promotion, development and financing in the Instituto Nacional de Salud during this period have had a decreasing trend, influenced by institutional policy. In order to overcome this situation, not only at an institutional but also at a national level, it is necessary that the State defines its national research policy, respecting the national and regional priorities in health research.


Assuntos
Pesquisa Biomédica/economia , Apoio à Pesquisa como Assunto/economia , Apoio à Pesquisa como Assunto/organização & administração , Governo , Peru , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Tempo
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