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1.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(7): 1490-1492, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38916865

RESUMO

We conducted a cross-sectional serosurvey for chikungunya virus (CHIKV) exposure in fruit bats in Senegal during 2020-2023. We found that 13.3% (89/671) of bats had CHIKV IgG; highest prevalence was in Eidolon helvum (18.3%, 15/82) and Epomophorus gambianus (13.7%, 63/461) bats. Our results suggest these bats are naturally exposed to CHIKV.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antivirais , Febre de Chikungunya , Vírus Chikungunya , Quirópteros , Animais , Quirópteros/virologia , Senegal/epidemiologia , Vírus Chikungunya/imunologia , Febre de Chikungunya/epidemiologia , Febre de Chikungunya/virologia , Febre de Chikungunya/sangue , Febre de Chikungunya/história , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Estudos Transversais
3.
J Gen Virol ; 104(8)2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37622664

RESUMO

In April 2023, following the annual International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses (ICTV) ratification vote on newly proposed taxa, the phylum Negarnaviricota was amended and emended. The phylum was expanded by one new family, 14 new genera, and 140 new species. Two genera and 538 species were renamed. One species was moved, and four were abolished. This article presents the updated taxonomy of Negarnaviricota as now accepted by the ICTV.


Assuntos
Vírus de RNA de Sentido Negativo , Vírus de RNA , Vírus de RNA/genética , RNA Polimerase Dependente de RNA/genética
4.
J Gen Virol ; 103(9)2022 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36170152

RESUMO

The family Hepeviridae includes enterically transmitted small quasi-enveloped or non-enveloped positive-sense single-stranded RNA viruses infecting mammals and birds (subfamily Orthohepevirinae) or fish (Parahepevirinae). Hepatitis E virus (genus Paslahepevirus) is responsible for self-limiting acute hepatitis in humans; the infection may become chronic in immunocompromised individuals and extrahepatic manifestations have been described. Avian hepatitis E virus (genus Avihepevirus) causes hepatitis-splenomegaly syndrome in chickens. This is a summary of the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses (ICTV) Report on the family Hepeviridae, which is available at www.ictv.global/report/hepeviridae.


Assuntos
Hepevirus , Vírus de RNA , Animais , Galinhas , Peixes , Genoma Viral , Hepevirus/genética , Humanos , Mamíferos , Vírus de RNA/genética , Vírion , Replicação Viral
5.
Arch Virol ; 167(12): 2857-2906, 2022 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36437428

RESUMO

In March 2022, following the annual International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses (ICTV) ratification vote on newly proposed taxa, the phylum Negarnaviricota was amended and emended. The phylum was expanded by two new families (bunyaviral Discoviridae and Tulasviridae), 41 new genera, and 98 new species. Three hundred forty-nine species were renamed and/or moved. The accidentally misspelled names of seven species were corrected. This article presents the updated taxonomy of Negarnaviricota as now accepted by the ICTV.


Assuntos
Mononegavirais , Vírus , Humanos , Mononegavirais/genética , Filogenia
6.
Brain Behav Immun ; 97: 260-274, 2021 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34390806

RESUMO

Zika virus (ZIKV) has the ability to cross placental and brain barriers, causing congenital malformations in neonates and neurological disorders in adults. However, the pathogenic mechanisms of ZIKV-induced neurological complications in adults and congenital malformations are still not fully understood. Gas6 is a soluble TAM receptor ligand able to promote flavivirus internalization and downregulation of immune responses. Here we demonstrate that there is a correlation between ZIKV neurological complications with higher Gas6 levels and the downregulation of genes associated with anti-viral response, as type I IFN due to Socs1 upregulation. Also, Gas6 gamma-carboxylation is essential for ZIKV invasion and replication in monocytes, the main source of this protein, which was inhibited by warfarin. Conversely, Gas6 facilitates ZIKV replication in adult immunocompetent mice and enabled susceptibility to transplacental infection. Our data indicate that ZIKV promotes the upregulation of its ligand Gas6, which contributes to viral infectivity and drives the development of severe adverse outcomes during ZIKV infection.


Assuntos
Doenças do Sistema Nervoso , Infecção por Zika virus , Zika virus , Animais , Feminino , Humanos , Camundongos , Placenta , Gravidez , Replicação Viral , Infecção por Zika virus/complicações
7.
Nat Rev Microbiol ; 22(8): 476-491, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38486116

RESUMO

Vector-borne diseases are transmitted by haematophagous arthropods (for example, mosquitoes, ticks and sandflies) to humans and wild and domestic animals, with the largest burden on global public health disproportionately affecting people in tropical and subtropical areas. Because vectors are ectothermic, climate and weather alterations (for example, temperature, rainfall and humidity) can affect their reproduction, survival, geographic distribution and, consequently, ability to transmit pathogens. However, the effects of climate change on vector-borne diseases can be multifaceted and complex, sometimes with ambiguous consequences. In this Review, we discuss the potential effects of climate change, weather and other anthropogenic factors, including land use, human mobility and behaviour, as possible contributors to the redistribution of vectors and spread of vector-borne diseases worldwide.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Doenças Transmitidas por Vetores , Animais , Humanos , Doenças Transmitidas por Vetores/transmissão , Atividades Humanas , Vetores de Doenças , Vetores Artrópodes/microbiologia , Carrapatos/microbiologia , Carrapatos/fisiologia , Tempo (Meteorologia)
8.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 30: 100673, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38283942

RESUMO

In the Americas, one decade following its emergence in 2013, chikungunya virus (CHIKV) continues to spread and cause epidemics across the region. To date, 3.7 million suspected and laboratory-confirmed chikungunya cases have been reported in 50 countries or territories in the Americas. Here, we outline the current status and epidemiological aspects of chikungunya in the Americas and discuss prospects for future research and public health strategies to combat CHIKV in the region.

9.
medRxiv ; 2024 Apr 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38699354

RESUMO

During the ongoing western equine encephalitis virus (WEEV) outbreak in South America, we described three fatal cases in horses from Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. We sequenced WEEV strains and identified a novel lineage causing these cases. Continued surveillance and horse immunization are needed to mitigate the WEEV burden.

10.
medRxiv ; 2024 Feb 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38352566

RESUMO

Madariaga virus (MADV) and Venezuelan equine encephalitis virus (VEEV) are emerging arboviruses affecting rural and remote areas of Latin America. However, there are limited clinical and epidemiological reports available, and outbreaks are occurring at an increasing frequency. We addressed this gap by analyzing all the available clinical and epidemiological data of MADV and VEEV infections recorded since 1961 in Panama. A total of 168 of human alphavirus encephalitis cases were detected in Panama from 1961 to 2023. Here we describe the clinical signs and symptoms and epidemiological characteristics of these cases, and also explored signs and symptoms as potential predictors of encephalitic alphavirus infection when compared to those of other arbovirus infections occurring in the region. Our results highlight the challenges clinical diagnosis of alphavirus disease in endemic regions with overlapping circulation of multiple arboviruses.

11.
medRxiv ; 2024 Jul 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39132482

RESUMO

Background: Oropouche virus (OROV; species Orthobunyavirus oropoucheense) is an arthropod-borne virus that has caused outbreaks of Oropouche fever in Central and South America since the 1950s. This study investigates virological factors contributing to the reemergence of Oropouche fever in Brazil between 2023 and 2024. Methods: In this study, we combined OROV genomic, molecular, and serological data from Brazil from 1 January 2015 to 29 June 2024, along with in vitro and in vivo characterization. Molecular screening data included 93 patients with febrile illness between January 2023 and February 2024 from the Amazonas State. Genomic data comprised two genomic OROV sequences from patients. Serological data were obtained from neutralizing antibody tests comparing the prototype OROV strain BeAn 19991 and the 2024 epidemic strain. Epidemiological data included aggregated cases reported to the Brazilian Ministry of Health from 1 January 2014 to 29 June 2024. Findings: In 2024, autochthonous OROV infections were detected in previously non-endemic areas across all five Brazilian regions. Cases were reported in 19 of 27 federal units, with 83.2% (6,895 of 8,284) of infections in Northern Brazil and a nearly 200-fold increase in incidence compared to reported cases over the last decade. We detected OROV RNA in 10.8% (10 of 93) of patients with febrile illness between December 2023 and May 2024 in Amazonas. We demonstrate that the 2023-2024 epidemic was caused by a novel OROV reassortant that replicated approximately 100-fold higher titers in mammalian cells compared to the prototype strain. The 2023-2024 OROV reassortant displayed plaques earlier than the prototype, produced 1.7 times more plaques, and plaque sizes were 2.5 larger compared to the prototype. Furthermore, serum collected in 2016 from previously OROV-infected individuals showed at least a 32-fold reduction in neutralizing capacity against the reassortment strain compared to the prototype. Interpretation: These findings provide a comprehensive assessment of Oropouche fever in Brazil and contribute to a better understanding of the 2023-2024 OROV reemergence. The recent increased incidence may be related to a higher replication efficiency of a new reassortant virus that also evades previous immunity.

12.
Cell Host Microbe ; 32(4): 606-622.e8, 2024 Apr 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38479396

RESUMO

Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) is a mosquito-borne alphavirus that causes acute, subacute, and chronic human arthritogenic diseases and, in rare instances, can lead to neurological complications and death. Here, we combined epidemiological, virological, histopathological, cytokine, molecular dynamics, metabolomic, proteomic, and genomic analyses to investigate viral and host factors that contribute to chikungunya-associated (CHIK) death. Our results indicate that CHIK deaths are associated with multi-organ infection, central nervous system damage, and elevated serum levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines and chemokines compared with survivors. The histopathologic, metabolite, and proteomic signatures of CHIK deaths reveal hemodynamic disorders and dysregulated immune responses. The CHIKV East-Central-South-African lineage infecting our study population causes both fatal and survival cases. Additionally, CHIKV infection impairs the integrity of the blood-brain barrier, as evidenced by an increase in permeability and altered tight junction protein expression. Overall, our findings improve the understanding of CHIK pathophysiology and the causes of fatal infections.


Assuntos
Febre de Chikungunya , Vírus Chikungunya , Animais , Humanos , Febre de Chikungunya/complicações , Proteômica , Vírus Chikungunya/genética , Citocinas/metabolismo
13.
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg ; 117(4): 297-300, 2023 04 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36477881

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although hantaviruses have long been associated with rodents, they are also described in other mammalian hosts, such as shrews, moles and bats. Hantaviruses associated with bats have been described in Asian, European and Brazilian species of bats. As these mammals represent the second major mammalian order, and they are the major mammals that inhabit urban areas, it is extremely important to maintain a viral surveillance in these animals. Our aim was to conduct serosurveillance in bats in an urban area in the city of Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo State, Brazil, to contribute to the information about hantaviruses circulation in bats. METHODS: We analyzed samples from 778 neotropical bat specimens classified into 21 bat species and four different families collected in the urban area of Ribeirão Preto city, from 2014 to 2019 by an ELISA for the detection of IgG antibodies against orthohantavirus. RESULTS: We detected IgG-specific antibodies against the nucleoprotein of orthohantavirus in 0.9% (7/778) bats tested, including four Molossus molossus (Pallas' Free-tailed Bat), two Glossophaga soricina (Pallas's Long-tongued Bat) and one Eumops glaucinus (Wagner's mastiff bat). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, our results show the first serological evidence of hantavirus infection in three common bat species in urban areas.


Assuntos
Quirópteros , Infecções por Hantavirus , Orthohantavírus , Animais , Brasil/epidemiologia , Mamíferos , Infecções por Hantavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Hantavirus/veterinária , Filogenia
14.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 4260, 2023 07 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37460536

RESUMO

The SARS-CoV-2 Omicron subvariant BA.5 rapidly spread worldwide and replaced BA.1/BA.2 in many countries, becoming globally dominant. BA.5 has unique amino acid substitutions in the spike protein that both mediate immune escape from neutralizing antibodies produced by immunizations and increase ACE2 receptor binding affinity. In a comprehensive, long-term (up to 9 months post primary vaccination), experimental vaccination study using male Syrian hamsters, we evaluate neutralizing antibody responses and efficacy against BA.5 challenge after primary vaccination with Ad26.COV2.S (Janssen) or BNT162b2 (Pfizer/BioNTech) followed by a homologous or heterologous booster with mRNA-1273 (Moderna) or NVX-CoV2373 (Novavax). Notably, one high or low dose of Ad26.COV2.S provides more durable immunity than two primary doses of BNT162b2, and the NVX-CoV2373 booster provides the strongest augmentation of immunity, reduction in BA.5 viral replication, and disease. Our data demonstrate the immunogenicity and efficacy of different prime/boost vaccine regimens against BA.5 infection in an immune-competent model and provide new insights regarding COVID-19 vaccine strategies.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacinas , Animais , Cricetinae , Masculino , Humanos , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Ad26COVS1 , Vacina BNT162 , Mesocricetus , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Anticorpos Neutralizantes , Anticorpos Antivirais
15.
bioRxiv ; 2023 Aug 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37693579

RESUMO

While rodents are primary reservoirs of Venezuelan equine encephalitis virus (VEEV), their role in Madariaga virus (MADV) transmission remains uncertain, particularly given their overlapping geographic distribution. This study explores the interplay of alphavirus prevalence, rodent diversity, and land use within Darien and Western Panama provinces. A total of three locations were selected for rodent sampling in Darien province: Los Pavitos, El Real de Santa Maria and Santa Librada. Two sites were selected in Western Panama province: El Cacao and Cirí Grande. We used plaque reduction neutralization tests to assess MADV and VEEV seroprevalences in 599 rodents of 16 species across five study sites. MADV seroprevalence was observed at higher rates in Los Pavitos (Darien province), 9.0%, 95% CI: 3.6-17.6, while VEEV seroprevalence was elevated in El Cacao (Western Panama province), 27.3%, 95% CI: 16.1-40.9, and El Real de Santa María (Darien province), 20.4%, 95% CI: 12.6-29.7. Species like Oryzomys coesi, 23.1%, 95% CI: 5.0-53.8, and Transandinomys bolivaris, 20.0%, 95% CI: 0.5-71.6 displayed higher MADV seroprevalences than other species, whereas Transandinomys bolivaris, 80.0%, 95% CI: 28.3-99.4, and Proechimys semispinosus, 27.3%, 95% CI: 17.0-39.6, exhibited higher VEEV seroprevalences. Our findings provide support to the notion that rodents are vertebrate reservoirs of MADV and reveal spatial variations in alphavirus seropositivity among rodent species, with different provinces exhibiting distinct rates for MADV and VEEV. Moreover, specific rodent species are linked to unique seroprevalence patterns for these viruses, suggesting that rodent diversity and environmental conditions might play a significant role in shaping alphavirus distribution.

16.
Lancet Microbe ; 4(5): e319-e329, 2023 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37031687

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) is an Aedes mosquito-borne virus that has caused large epidemics linked to acute, chronic, and severe clinical outcomes. Currently, Brazil has the highest number of chikungunya cases in the Americas. We aimed to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics and recurrence pattern of chikungunya in Brazil since its introduction in 2013. METHODS: In this epidemiological study, we used CHIKV genomic sequencing data, CHIKV vector information, and aggregate clinical data on chikungunya cases from Brazil. The genomic data comprised 241 Brazilian CHIKV genome sequences from GenBank (n=180) and the 2022 CHIKV outbreak in Ceará state (n=61). The vector data (Breteau index and House index) were obtained from the Brazilian Ministry of Health for all 184 municipalities in Ceará state and 116 municipalities in Tocantins state in 2022. Epidemiological data on laboratory-confirmed cases of chikungunya between 2013 and 2022 were obtained from the Brazilian Ministry of Health and Laboratory of Public Health of Ceará. We assessed the spatiotemporal dynamics of chikungunya in Brazil via time series, mapping, age-sex distribution, cumulative case-fatality, linear correlation, logistic regression, and phylogenetic analyses. FINDINGS: Between March 3, 2013, and June 4, 2022, 253 545 laboratory-confirmed chikungunya cases were reported in 3316 (59·5%) of 5570 municipalities, mainly distributed in seven epidemic waves from 2016 to 2022. To date, Ceará in the northeast has been the most affected state, with 77 418 cases during the two largest epidemic waves in 2016 and 2017 and the third wave in 2022. From 2016 to 2022 in Ceará, the odds of being CHIKV-positive were higher in females than in males (odds ratio 0·87, 95% CI 0·85-0·89, p<0·0001), and the cumulative case-fatality ratio was 1·3 deaths per 1000 cases. Chikungunya recurrences in the states of Ceará, Tocantins (recurrence in 2022), and Pernambuco (recurrence in 2021) were limited to municipalities with few or no previously reported cases in the previous epidemic waves. The recurrence of chikungunya in Ceará in 2022 was associated with a new East-Central-South-African lineage. Population density metrics of the main CHIKV vector in Brazil, Aedes aegypti, were not correlated spatially with locations of chikungunya recurrence in Ceará and Tocantins. INTERPRETATION: Spatial heterogeneity of CHIKV spread and population immunity might explain the recurrence pattern of chikungunya in Brazil. These results can be used to inform public health interventions to prevent future chikungunya epidemic waves in urban settings. FUNDING: Global Virus Network, Burroughs Wellcome Fund, Wellcome Trust, US National Institutes of Health, São Paulo Research Foundation, Brazil Ministry of Education, UK Medical Research Council, Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development, and UK Royal Society. TRANSLATION: For the Portuguese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.


Assuntos
Aedes , Febre de Chikungunya , Vírus Chikungunya , Masculino , Animais , Feminino , Humanos , Vírus Chikungunya/genética , Febre de Chikungunya/epidemiologia , Brasil/epidemiologia , Filogenia , Mosquitos Vetores , Estudos Epidemiológicos
17.
Virus Evol ; 8(2): veac085, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36533146

RESUMO

Flavivirids (family Flaviviridae) are a group of positive-strand ribonucleic acid (RNA) viruses that pose serious risks to human and animal health on a global scale. Here, we use flavivirid-derived deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) sequences, identified in animal genomes, to reconstruct the long-term evolutionary history of family Flaviviridae. We demonstrate that flavivirids are >100 million years old and show that this timing can be combined with dates inferred from co-phyletic analysis to produce a cohesive overview of their evolution, distribution, and diversity wherein the main flavivirid subgroups originate in early animals and broadly co-diverge with major animal phyla. In addition, we reveal evidence that the 'classical flaviviruses' of vertebrates, most of which are transmitted via blood-feeding arthropod vectors, originally evolved in haematophagous arachnids and later acquired the capacity to be transmitted by insects. Our findings imply that the biological properties of flavivirids have been acquired gradually over the course of animal evolution. Thus, broad-scale comparative analysis will likely reveal fundamental insights into their biology. We therefore published our results via an open, extensible, database (Flavivirid-GLUE), which we constructed to facilitate the wider utilisation of genomic data and evolution-related domain knowledge in flavivirid research.

18.
Microbiol Spectr ; 10(3): e0059222, 2022 06 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35532242

RESUMO

Flaviviruses are important human pathogens worldwide. Diagnostic testing for these viruses is difficult because many of the pathogens require specialized biocontainment. To address this issue, we generated 39 virus-like particle (VLP)- and nonstructural protein 1 (NS1)-secreting stable cell lines in HEK-293 cells of 13 different flaviviruses, including dengue, yellow fever, Japanese encephalitis, West Nile, St. Louis encephalitis, Zika, Rocio, Ilheus, Usutu, and Powassan viruses. Antigen secretion was stable for at least 10 cell passages, as measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays and immunofluorescence assays. Thirty-five cell lines (90%) had stable antigen expression over 10 passages, with three of these cell lines (7%) increasing in antigen expression and one cell line (3%) decreasing in antigen expression. Antigen secretion in the HEK-293 cell lines was higher than in previously developed COS-1 cell line counterparts. These antigens can replace current antigens derived from live or inactivated virus for safer use in diagnostic testing. IMPORTANCE Serological diagnostic testing for flaviviral infections is hindered by the need for specialized biocontainment for preparation of reagents and assay implementation. The use of previously developed COS-1 cell lines secreting noninfectious recombinant viral antigen is limited due to diminished antigen secretion over time. Here, we describe the generation of 39 flaviviral virus-like particle (VLP)- and nonstructural protein 1 (NS1)-secreting stable cell lines in HEK-293 cells representing 13 medically important flaviviruses. Antigen production was more stable and statistically higher in these newly developed cell lines than in their COS-1 cell line counterparts. The use of these cell lines for production of flaviviral antigens will expand serological diagnostic testing of flaviviruses worldwide.


Assuntos
Infecções por Flavivirus , Flavivirus , Infecção por Zika virus , Zika virus , Anticorpos Antivirais , Antígenos Virais , Infecções por Flavivirus/diagnóstico , Células HEK293 , Humanos , Zika virus/genética
19.
Viruses ; 14(5)2022 05 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35632784

RESUMO

Currently, there are no evidence-based treatment options for long COVID-19, and it is known that SARS-CoV-2 can persist in part of the infected patients, especially those with immunosuppression. Since there is a robust secretion of SARS-CoV-2-specific highly-neutralizing IgA antibodies in breast milk, and because this immunoglobulin plays an essential role against respiratory virus infection in mucosa cells, being, in addition, more potent in neutralizing SARS-CoV-2 than IgG, here we report the clinical course of an NFκB-deficient patient chronically infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Gamma variant, who, after a non-full effective treatment with plasma infusion, received breast milk from a vaccinated mother by oral route as treatment for COVID-19. After such treatment, the symptoms improved, and the patient was systematically tested negative for SARS-CoV-2. Thus, we hypothesize that IgA and IgG secreted antibodies present in breast milk could be useful to treat persistent SARS-CoV-2 infection in immunodeficient patients.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticorpos Antivirais , COVID-19/complicações , Ingestão de Alimentos , Feminino , Humanos , Imunoglobulina A , Imunoglobulina G , Leite Humano , NF-kappa B , RNA Viral , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda
20.
Nat Med ; 28(7): 1476-1485, 2022 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35538260

RESUMO

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Gamma variant of concern has spread rapidly across Brazil since late 2020, causing substantial infection and death waves. Here we used individual-level patient records after hospitalization with suspected or confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) between 20 January 2020 and 26 July 2021 to document temporary, sweeping shocks in hospital fatality rates that followed the spread of Gamma across 14 state capitals, during which typically more than half of hospitalized patients aged 70 years and older died. We show that such extensive shocks in COVID-19 in-hospital fatality rates also existed before the detection of Gamma. Using a Bayesian fatality rate model, we found that the geographic and temporal fluctuations in Brazil's COVID-19 in-hospital fatality rates were primarily associated with geographic inequities and shortages in healthcare capacity. We estimate that approximately half of the COVID-19 deaths in hospitals in the 14 cities could have been avoided without pre-pandemic geographic inequities and without pandemic healthcare pressure. Our results suggest that investments in healthcare resources, healthcare optimization and pandemic preparedness are critical to minimize population-wide mortality and morbidity caused by highly transmissible and deadly pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2, especially in low- and middle-income countries.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Teorema de Bayes , Brasil/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Hospitais , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2
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