Smoking cessation and risk of recurrent cardiovascular events and mortality after a first manifestation of arterial disease.

AIMS: To quantify the relation between smoking cessation after a first cardiovascular (CV) event and risk of recurrent CV events and mortality. METHODS: Data were available from 4,673 patients aged 61 ± 8.7 years, with a recent (≤1 year) first manifestation of arterial disease participating in the SMART-cohort. Cox models were used to quantify the relation between smoking status and risk of recurrent major atherosclerotic cardiovascular events (MACE including stroke, MI and vascular mortality) and mortality. In addition, survival according to smoking status was plotted, taking competing risk of non-vascular mortality into account. RESULTS: A third of the smokers stopped after their first CV event. During a median of 7.4 (3.7-10.8) years of follow-up, 794 patients died and 692 MACE occurred. Compared to patients who continued to smoke, patients who quit had a lower risk of recurrent MACE (adjusted HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.49-0.88) and all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.48-0.82). Patients who reported smoking cessation on average lived 5 life years longer and recurrent MACE occurred 10 years later. In patients with a first CV event >70 years, cessation of smoking had improved survival which on average was comparable to former or never smokers. CONCLUSIONS: Irrespective of age at first CV event, cessation of smoking after a first CV event is related to a substantial lower risk of recurrent vascular events and all-cause mortality. Since smoking cessation is more effective in reducing CV risk than any pharmaceutical treatment of major risk factors, it should be a key objective for patients with vascular disease.

Identification of vascular patients at very high risk for recurrent cardiovascular events: validation of the current ACC/AHA very high risk criteria.

AIMS: To validate and assess performance of the current ACC/AHA very high risk criteria in patients with clinically manifest arterial disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were used from the SMART study (n = 7216) and REACH Registry (n = 48 322), two prospective cohorts of patients with manifest atherosclerotic arterial disease. Prevalence and incidence rates of recurrent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were calculated, according to the ACC/AHA VHR criteria (cardiovascular disease combined with diabetes, smoking, dyslipidaemia, and/or recent recurrent coronary events). Performance of the ACC/AHA criteria was compared with single very high risk factors in terms of C-statistics and Net Reclassification Index. All patients were at VHR according to the ESC guidelines (incidence of recurrent MACE in SMART was 2.4/100PY, with 95% CI 2.3-2.5/100PY and in REACH 5.1/100PY with 95% CI 5.0-5.3/100PY). In SMART 57% of the patients were at VHR according to the ACC/AHA criteria (incidence of recurrent MACE 2.7/100PY, 95% CI 2.5-2.9/100PY) and in REACH this was 64% (5.9/100PY, 95% CI 5.7-6.1/100PY). The C-statistic for the ACC/AHA VHR criteria was 0.53 in REACH and 0.54 in SMART. Very high risk factors with comparable or slightly better performance were eGFR < 45, polyvascular disease and age >70 years. Around two third of the patients meeting the ACC/AHA VHR criteria had a predicted 10-year risk of recurrent MACE <30%. CONCLUSION: The ACC/AHA VHR criteria have limited discriminative power. Identifying patients with clinically manifest arterial disease at VHR for recurrent vascular events using eGFR <45, polyvascular disease, or age >70 years performs as well as the ACC/AHA VHR criteria.

Risk Factors for Recurrent Cardiovascular Events Before Age 65 Years or Within 2.5 Years of a Recent First Cardiovascular Event.

The aim of this study was to quantify the relation between classical risk factors (smoking, diabetes, BMI, waist circumference, blood pressure, and lipids), risk factor targets, and risk of recurrent major atherosclerotic cardiovascular events (MACE). This was first done for recurrent MACE ≤65 years in patients aged <60 years and second for recurrent MACE ≤2.5 years after a first cardiovascular event. Data were used from the Second Manifestations of Arterial Disease study (n = 5,115), a prospective cohort of patients with a recent (≤1 year) first cardiovascular event. During follow-up, 746 recurrent MACE occurred. Smoking (hazard ratio [HR] 1.43, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.84), diabetes (HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.84), diastolic blood pressure (>90 vs 70 to 90 mm Hg, HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.15 to 2.07), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (≤1.0 vs >1.0 mmol/L, HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.76) were related to increased risk of recurrent MACE ≤65 years in patients aged <60 years. Smoking (HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.23 to 2.22), physical inactivity (highest vs lowest tertile, HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.09), body mass index (per kg/m2, HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.08), diastolic blood pressure (>90 vs 70 to 90 mm Hg, HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.17 to 2.21), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (per mmol/L, HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.37), and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (per mmol/L, HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.28) were related to recurrent MACE ≤2.5 years of follow-up. In conclusion, in patients with a recent cardiovascular event, smoking, blood pressure, and lipids are related to increased risk of recurrent cardiovascular events at young age or within a short time span, and intensive treatment of modifiable risk factors may contribute to prevent recurrent MACE in these patients.

Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol, Non-High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol, Triglycerides, and Apolipoprotein B and Cardiovascular Risk in Patients With Manifest Arterial Disease.

Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) only partly represents the atherogenic lipid burden, and a growing body of evidence suggests that non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), triglycerides, and apolipoprotein B (apoB) are more accurate in estimating lipid-related cardiovascular disease risk. Our objective was to compare the relation among LDL-C, non-HDL-C, triglycerides, and apoB and the occurrence of future vascular events and mortality in patients with manifest arterial disease. This is a prospective cohort study of 7,216 patients with clinically manifest arterial disease in the Secondary Manifestations of Arterial Disease Study. Cox proportional hazard models were used to quantify the risk of major cardiovascular events (MACE; i.e., stroke, myocardial infarction, and vascular mortality) and all-cause mortality. Interaction was tested for type of vascular disease at inclusion. MACE occurred in 1,185 subjects during a median follow-up of 6.5 years (interquartile range 3.4 to 9.9 years). Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of MACE per 1 SD higher were for LDL-C (HR 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09 to 1.22), for non-HDL-C (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.23), for log(triglycerides) (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.19), and for apoB HR (1.12, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.28). The relation among LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and cardiovascular events was comparable in patients with cerebrovascular disease, coronary artery disease, or polyvascular disease and absent in those with aneurysm of abdominal aorta or peripheral artery disease. In conclusion, in patients with a history of cerebrovascular, coronary artery, or polyvascular disease, but not aneurysm of abdominal aorta or peripheral artery disease, higher levels of LDL-C and non-HDL-C are related to increased risk of future MACE and of comparable magnitude.