Application of improved GalNAc conjugation in development of cost-effective siRNA therapies targeting cardiovascular diseases.

N-Acetylgalactosamine (GalNAc)-conjugated small interfering RNA (siRNA) therapies have received approval for treating both orphan and prevalent diseases. To improve in vivo efficacy and streamline the chemical synthesis process for efficient and cost-effective manufacturing, we conducted this study to identify better designs of GalNAc-siRNA conjugates for therapeutic development. Here, we present data on redesigned GalNAc-based ligands conjugated with siRNAs against angiopoietin-like 3 (ANGPTL3) and lipoprotein (a) (Lp(a)), two target molecules with the potential to address large unmet medical needs in atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases. By attaching a novel pyran-derived scaffold to serial monovalent GalNAc units before solid-phase oligonucleotide synthesis, we achieved increased GalNAc-siRNA production efficiency with fewer synthesis steps compared to the standard triantennary GalNAc construct L96. The improved GalNAc-siRNA conjugates demonstrated equivalent or superior in vivo efficacy compared to triantennary GalNAc-conjugated siRNAs.

Polygenic risk score adds to a clinical risk score in the prediction of cardiovascular disease in a clinical setting.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A cardiovascular disease polygenic risk score (CVD-PRS) can stratify individuals into different categories of cardiovascular risk, but whether the addition of a CVD-PRS to clinical risk scores improves the identification of individuals at increased risk in a real-world clinical setting is unknown. METHODS: The Genetics and the Vascular Health Check Study (GENVASC) was embedded within the UK National Health Service Health Check (NHSHC) programme which invites individuals between 40-74 years of age without known CVD to attend an assessment in a UK general practice where CVD risk factors are measured and a CVD risk score (QRISK2) is calculated. Between 2012-2020, 44,141 individuals (55.7% females, 15.8% non-white) who attended an NHSHC in 147 participating practices across two counties in England were recruited and followed. When 195 individuals (cases) had suffered a major CVD event (CVD death, myocardial infarction or acute coronary syndrome, coronary revascularisation, stroke), 396 propensity-matched controls with a similar risk profile were identified, and a nested case-control genetic study undertaken to see if the addition of a CVD-PRS to QRISK2 in the form of an integrated risk tool (IRT) combined with QRISK2 would have identified more individuals at the time of their NHSHC as at high risk (QRISK2 10-year CVD risk of ≥10%), compared with QRISK2 alone. RESULTS: The distribution of the standardised CVD-PRS was significantly different in cases compared with controls (cases mean score .32; controls, -.18, P = 8.28×10-9). QRISK2 identified 61.5% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 54.3%-68.4%) of individuals who subsequently developed a major CVD event as being at high risk at their NHSHC, while the combination of QRISK2 and IRT identified 68.7% (95% CI: 61.7%-75.2%), a relative increase of 11.7% (P = 1×10-4). The odds ratio (OR) of being up-classified was 2.41 (95% CI: 1.03-5.64, P = .031) for cases compared with controls. In individuals aged 40-54 years, QRISK2 identified 26.0% (95% CI: 16.5%-37.6%) of those who developed a major CVD event, while the combination of QRISK2 and IRT identified 38.4% (95% CI: 27.2%-50.5%), indicating a stronger relative increase of 47.7% in the younger age group (P = .001). The combination of QRISK2 and IRT increased the proportion of additional cases identified similarly in women as in men, and in non-white ethnicities compared with white ethnicity. The findings were similar when the CVD-PRS was added to the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease pooled cohort equations (ASCVD-PCE) or SCORE2 clinical scores. CONCLUSIONS: In a clinical setting, the addition of genetic information to clinical risk assessment significantly improved the identification of individuals who went on to have a major CVD event as being at high risk, especially among younger individuals. The findings provide important real-world evidence of the potential value of implementing a CVD-PRS into health systems.

Association of triglyceride-glucose index and its related parameters with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: evidence from a 15-year follow-up of Kailuan cohort.

BACKGROUND: Triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and its related parameters have been introduced as cost-effective surrogate indicators of insulin resistance, while prospective evidence of their effects on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remained scattered and inconsistent. We aimed to evaluate the association of TyG and its related parameters with new-onset ASCVD, and the predictive capacity were further compared. METHOD: A total of 95,342 ASCVD-free participants were enrolled from the Kailuan study. TyG and its related parameters were defined by fasting blood glucose, triglyceride, body mass index (BMI), waist circumstance (WC) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR). The primary outcome was incident ASCVD, comprising myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke (IS). Cox proportional hazard models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were adopted to investigate the association between each index and ASCVD. The C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used for comparison of their predictive value for ASCVD. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 15.0 years, 8,031 new cases of ASCVD were identified. The incidence rate of ASCVD increased along with elevated levels of each index, and the relationships were found to be nonlinear in the RCS analyses. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for ASCVD was 1.39 (1.35, 1.43), 1.46 (1.41, 1.50), 1.50 (1.46, 1.55), and 1.52 (1.48, 1.57) per 1 IQR increase of baseline TyG, TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR, respectively, and the association were more pronounced for females and younger individuals aged < 60 years (Pfor interaction<0.05). Using the updated mean or time-varying measurements instead of baseline indicators did not significantly alter the primary findings. Additionally, TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR showed better performance in predicting risk of ASCVD than TyG, with the IDI (95% CI) of 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and the category-free NRI (95% CI) of 0.120 (0.025, 0.138) and 0.143 (0.032, 0.166), respectively. Similar findings were observed for MI and IS. CONCLUSIONS: Both the TyG index and its related parameters were significantly and positively associated with ASCVD. TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR had better performance in predicting incident ASCVD than TyG, which might be more suitable indices for risk stratification and enhance the primary prevention of ASCVD.

Familial hypercholesterolemia is related to cardiovascular disease, heart failure and atrial fibrillation. Results from a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, the prevalence of FH among a general population remains unknown, and it is unclear if FH is associated with other cardiovascular complications, including heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: Analyses were conducted on individuals without a prior history of cardiovascular disease using a nationwide health claims database collected in the JMDC Claims Database between 2005 and 2022 (n = 4,126,642; median age, 44 years; 57.5% men). We defined FH as either LDL cholesterol ≥250 mg/dL or LDL cholesterol ≥175 mg/dL under the lipid-lowering medications under the assumption that lipid-lowering medications reduced LDL cholesterol by 30%. We assessed the associations between FH and composite outcomes, including, ASCVD (myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, and stroke), HF, and AF using Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: We identified 11,983 (.29%) FH patients. In total, 181,150 events were recorded during the mean follow-up period of 3.5 years. The status FH was significantly associated with composite outcomes after adjustments (hazard ratio [HR]; 1.38, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.30-1.47, p < .001). Interestingly, the status FH was significantly associated with HF (HR: 1.48, 95% CI: 1.36-1.61, p < .001) and AF (HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.08-1.64, p < .001) in addition to angina pectoris (HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.33-1.58, p < .001) and stroke (HR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.04-1.36, p < .001). CONCLUSION: We found that the prevalence of FH was .29% in a general population. FH was significantly associated with a higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease, HF and AF. LAY SUMMARY: We sought to identify the prevalence of FH among a general population, and to clarify whether FH increases the risk of not only ASCVD but also HF and AF.

Emerging clinical role of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibition-Part two: Current and emerging concepts in the clinical use of PCSK9 inhibition.

BACKGROUND: Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors have emerged as a novel class of drugs with cardioprotective effects through their lipid-lowering effects. OBJECTIVE: This review aims to discuss existing and novel strategies of PCSK9 inhibition, providing an overview of established randomized controlled trials and ongoing outcome trials that assess the efficacy and long-term safety of PCSK9 inhibitors. It also explores the evolving role of PCSK9 beyond lipid metabolism and outlines the pleiotropic actions of PCSK9 inhibition in various disorders and future directions including novel strategies to target PCSK9. CONCLUSION: PCSK9 inhibition shows promise not only in lipid metabolism but also in other disease processes, including atherosclerotic plaque remodeling, acute coronary syndrome, stroke, inflammation, and immune response.

Review of Evolocumab for the Reduction of LDL Cholesterol and Secondary Prevention of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease.

Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a major causal factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), the leading cause of mortality worldwide. Statins are the recommended first-line lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) for patients with primary hypercholesterolemia and established ASCVD, with LLT intensification recommended in the substantial proportion of patients who do not achieve levels below guideline-recommended LDL-C thresholds with statin treatment alone. The proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitor monoclonal antibody evolocumab has demonstrated significant LDL-C reductions of > 60% in the clinical trial and open-label extension settings, with LDL-C reductions observed early post-evolocumab initiation and maintained long term, during up to 8.4 years of follow-up. Evolocumab therapy, when added to a statin, also conferred a significant reduction in major cardiovascular (CV) events, including a 20% reduction in the composite of CV death, myocardial infarction (MI), or stroke. The absolute benefits were enhanced among various patient types at high and very high risk for secondary ASCVD (e.g., with recent MI, multiple events or peripheral artery disease). Importantly, evolocumab treatment resulted in incremental CV risk reductions during the extended follow-up, including a 23% reduction in CV mortality and no apparent LDL-C level below which there is no further CV risk reduction. Hence, the evolocumab clinical data support the need for early and significant LDL-C lowering, especially in vulnerable ASCVD patients, in order to derive the greatest benefit in the long term. Importantly, evolocumab had no impact on any treatment emergent adverse events apart from a small increase in local injection site reactions. A growing body of real-world evidence (RWE) for evolocumab in heterogeneous populations is consistent with the trial data, including robust LDL-C reductions below guideline-recommended thresholds, a favourable safety profile even at the lowest levels of LDL-C achieved, and a high treatment persistence rate of > 90%. Altogether, this review highlights findings from 50 clinical trials and RWE studies in > 51,000 patients treated with evolocumab, to demonstrate the potential of evolocumab to address the healthcare gap in LDL-C reduction and secondary prevention of ASCVD in a variety of high- and very high-risk patients.

When Does Primary Prevention Encroach on Secondary Prevention?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The risk of incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in primary prevention is typically lower than in secondary prevention. However, there is a spectrum of risk among individuals undergoing primary prevention with the risk in some individuals approaching those of secondary prevention. We review the clinical conditions wherein the risk in primary prevention is similar to that observed in secondary prevention. RECENT FINDINGS: Among individuals without established ASCVD, coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores ≥ 300 AU are associated with ASCVD event rates similar to secondary prevention populations. CAC score ≥ 1,000 AU are associated with an ASCVD risk seen in very high-risk secondary prevention populations. Interpretation of these observations must however consider differences in the risk reduction strategies. Current guidelines dichotomize ASCVD prevention into primary and secondary prevention, but certain primary prevention patients have an ASCVD risk equivalent to that of secondary prevention populations. Identifying higher risk primary prevention populations will allow for better risk mitigation strategies.

Obicetrapib: Reversing the Tide of CETP Inhibitor Disappointments.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To discuss the history of cardiovascular outcomes trials of cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitors and to describe obicetrapib, a next-generation, oral, once-daily, low-dose CETP inhibitor in late-stage development for dyslipidemia and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). RECENT FINDINGS: Phase 1 and 2 trials have evaluated the safety and lipid/lipoprotein effects of obicetrapib as monotherapy, in conjunction with statins, on top of high-intensity statins (HIS), and with ezetimibe on top of HIS. In ROSE2, 10 mg obicetrapib monotherapy and combined with 10 mg ezetimibe, each on top of HIS, significantly reduced low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), apolipoprotein B, total LDL particles, small LDL particles, small, dense LDL-C, and lipoprotein (a), and increased HDL-C. Phase 3 pivotal registration trials including a cardiovascular outcomes trial are underway. Obicetrapib has an excellent safety and tolerability profile and robustly lowers atherogenic lipoproteins and raises HDL-C. As such, obicetrapib may be a promising agent for the treatment of ASCVD.

Mechanisms of ferroptosis and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist in post-percutaneous coronary intervention restenosis.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) claims millions of lives every year, with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) being the main cause. ASCVD treatment includes drug therapy, lifestyle intervention, and Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI) all of which significantly enhance cardiovascular function and reduce mortality. However, hyperplasia can lead to vascular obstruction, worsen angina symptoms, or even cause heart disease, affecting patients' long-term prognosis. Therefore, finding effective ways to combat hyperplasia is crucial for cardiovascular therapy. In recent years, ferroptosis has gained attention as a new form of cell death closely associated with several diseases, including cardiovascular diseases. It involves complex metabolic processes critical for cellular homeostasis and normal function. Abnormal proliferation and phenotypic transformation of vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMC) are crucial mechanisms underlying cardiovascular disease development. Inhibiting ferroptosis in VSMC has the potential to significantly reduce neointima proliferation. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) constitutes a widely employed class of hypoglycemic agents with direct implications for the cardiovascular system, mitigating adverse cardiovascular events. Research indicates that the stimulation of GLP-1 holds promise as a therapeutic strategy in mitigating cardiovascular events such as restenosis. Hence, investigating the potential of GLP-1RA as a treatment option for cardiovascular ailments carries immense clinical significance.

Tirzepatide reduces the predicted risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and improves cardiometabolic risk factors in adults with obesity or overweight: SURMOUNT-1 post hoc analysis.

AIM: To assess the effect of tirzepatide on long-term risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) among people with obesity or overweight without diabetes from SURMOUNT-1. MATERIALS AND METHODS: SURMOUNT-1, a phase 3 trial, evaluated the efficacy and safety of tirzepatide in adults with body mass index ≥30 or ≥27 kg/m2 and at least one weight-related complication, excluding diabetes. Participants were randomly assigned to tirzepatide (5/10/15 mg) or placebo. Changes from baseline in cardiometabolic variables were assessed. The predicted 10-year ASCVD risk scores were calculated (American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association risk engine) at baseline, week 24, and week 72 in SURMOUNT-1 participants without a history of ASCVD. Percent change in risk scores from baseline to weeks 24 and 72 was compared between tirzepatide and placebo using mixed model for repeated measures analysis. Analyses were also conducted in participants with intermediate to high risk at baseline. RESULTS: Tirzepatide-treated groups demonstrated reductions in cardiometabolic variables over 72 weeks. In participants without a history of ASCVD (N = 2461), the baseline median risk score was low and did not differ across groups (1.5%-1.6%). Relative change in risk from baseline to week 72 was greater for tirzepatide (-23.5% to -16.4%) than placebo (12.7%; P < 0.001). Relative change among participants with intermediate-to-high baseline risk was significantly greater for tirzepatide (P < 0.05). Intermediate-to-high-risk participants demonstrated similar relative change but greater absolute risk reduction compared to the overall population. CONCLUSION: Tirzepatide treatment significantly reduced the 10-year predicted risk of ASCVD versus placebo in patients with obesity or overweight without diabetes.

Comparative Efficacy of Colchicine and Intensive Low-density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Lowering in Patients with Atherosclerotic Diseases receiving Statins: A Network Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

AIMS: Adding intensive low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C)-lowering agents or colchicine to statin has been shown to result in additional cardiovascular benefits for patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD). We aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of these supplementary agents in patients with ASCVD receiving statin. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and frequentist network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. The primary efficacy endpoint was the main adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), and the secondary efficacy endpoints were myocardial infarct, stroke, coronary revascularization, cardiovascular death, and all-cause mortality, respectively. The safety endpoints were treatment discontinuation and non-cardiovascular death. We obtained estimates for efficacy outcomes and safety endpoints and presented these estimates as risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence intervals. We ranked the comparative efficacy and safety of all drugs with P-scores. RESULTS: Seventeen trials totaling 85,823 participants treated with colchicine (5926 participants), intensive LDL-C lowering (37,854 participants) via proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitor, Niemann-Pick C1-like 1 protein (NPC1L1) inhibitor or ATP citrate lyase (ACL) inhibitor, or statin alone (42,043 participants) were included. Colchicine was associated with a greater reduction in the risk of MACE (RR 0.72, 0.69-0.91), stroke (RR 0.55, 0.33-0.92), and coronary revascularization (RR 0.73, 0.60-0.90) compared with NPC1L1 inhibitor, and it provided a larger reduction in the risk of MACE (RR 0.79, 0.69-0.91) compared to PCSK9 inhibitor. However, colchicine was associated with increased risk of non-cardiovascular death compared with NPC1L1 inhibitor (RR 1.48, 1.04-2.10) and PCSK9 inhibitor (RR 1.57, 1.08-2.27). Although no regimen prolonged survival, colchicine had worse performance on non-cardiovascular death and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with ASCVD receiving statin, colchicine seems to be more effective than intensive LDL-C-lowering therapy with PCSK9 inhibitor or NPC1L1 inhibitor for cardiovascular prevention. However, using colchicine as an alternative to intensive LDL-C-lowering therapy may need to be weighed against the cardiovascular benefits and the potential harms of higher non-cardiovascular death. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO Identifier: CRD42023441385.

Association between the dietary inflammatory index and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide. Inflammation is pivotal in atherosclerosis development. The dietary inflammatory index (DII) is a tool to quantify the overall inflammatory potential of diet. The association between DII and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in ASCVD patients remains undetermined. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants included individuals with ASCVD from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 1999 to 2018. A total of 5006 participants were included, during a median of 6.6 years of follow-up, of which 2220 (44.4 %) were dead. The Cox proportional hazard model evaluated the association between DII and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Participants in the higher DII quartile exhibited a higher mortality of ASCVD. Compared with the patients in quartile 1, those in quartile 4 had a 34 % increased risk for all-cause mortality (HR = 1.34, 95 % CI = 1.21-1.61, p = 0.001). Cardiovascular mortality showed a similar trend, however the correlation is not significant. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) showed that the relationship between DII and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality was linear. Subgroup analysis revealed a persistently positive association between DII and all-causemortality across population subgroups. However, an interaction was detected between DII and alcohol history in relation to cardiovascular mortality. CONCLUSION: DII was positively correlated with the all-cause mortality of ASCVD patients. The intake of a pro-inflammatory diet may increase mortality in ASCVD patients.

Real-world effectiveness and safety of evolocumab in very high-risk atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease patients with acute ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: We investigated evolocumab's real-world effectiveness and safety on a background of statin therapy in the acute phase of ischemic stroke (IS) patients with a very high-risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). METHODS: A real-world, single-center, retrospective study was conducted in the neurology department at Tianjin Huanhu Hospital in China. Patients were divided into two groups: evolocumab treatment (140 mg every two weeks) or the standard of care (SOC) group. The primary efficacy outcome of the study was the achievement of a targeted lipid control rate and the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) by the end of the follow-up. MACE was defined as a composite of various cardiovascular events, cerebrovascular events such as stroke or TIA, and event-related deaths. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was utilized to account for confounding factors between groups. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and COX regression modeling. RESULTS: 1080 AIS patients with very high-risk ASCVD were recruited. After PSM, there were 528 individuals, with 206 in the evolocumab group and 322 in the SOC group. At 12 months of follow-up, the proportion of LDL-C < 1.4mmol/L and ≥ 50% reduction was 44.91% in the evolocumab group, compared with only 3.12% of SOC-treated patients (p < 0.01). The median follow-up time for clinical events was 15 months. The evolocumab group was associated with a lower risk of cerebrovascular events compared to the SOC group (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.23-0.89; p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: This real-world study suggested that evolocumab on a background of statin reduced the LDL-C levels significantly and lowered the incidence of recurrent cerebrovascular events in the very high-risk ASCVD patients with AIS in China.

Acute and chronic complication profiles among patients with chronic kidney disease in Alberta, Canada: a retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) poses a substantial burden to individuals, caregivers, and healthcare systems. CKD is associated with higher risk for adverse events, including renal failure, cardiovascular disease, and death. This study aims to describe comorbidities and complications in patients with CKD. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study linking administrative health databases in Alberta, Canada. Adults with CKD were identified (April 1, 2010 and March 31, 2019) and indexed on the first diagnostic code or laboratory test date meeting the CKD algorithm criteria. Cardiovascular, renal, diabetic, and other comorbidities were described in the two years before index; complications were described for events after index date. Complications were stratified by CKD stage, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) status at index. RESULTS: The cohort included 588,170 patients. Common chronic comorbidities were hypertension (36.9%) and T2DM (24.1%), while 11.4% and 2.6% had ASCVD and chronic heart failure, respectively. Common acute complications were infection (58.2%) and cardiovascular hospitalization (24.4%), with rates (95% confidence interval [CI]) of 29.4 (29.3-29.5) and 8.37 (8.32-8.42) per 100 person-years, respectively. Common chronic complications were dyslipidemia (17.3%), anemia (14.7%), and hypertension (11.1%), with rates (95% CI) of 11.9 (11.7-12.1), 4.76 (4.69-4.83), and 13.0 (12.8-13.3) per 100 person-years, respectively. Patients with more advanced CKD, ASCVD, and T2DM at index exhibited higher complication rates. CONCLUSIONS: Over two-thirds of patients with CKD experienced complications, with higher rates observed in those with cardio-renal-metabolic comorbidities. Strategies to mitigate risk factors and complications can reduce patient burden.

Growth differentiation factor 15 and cardiovascular risk: individual patient meta-analysis.

AIMS: Levels of growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), a cytokine secreted in response to cellular stress and inflammation, have been associated with multiple types of cardiovascular (CV) events. However, its comparative prognostic performance across different presentations of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: An individual patient meta-analysis was performed using data pooled from eight trials including 53 486 patients. Baseline GDF-15 concentration was analyzed as a continuous variable and using established cutpoints (<1200 ng/L, 1200-1800 ng/L, > 1800 ng/L) to evaluate its prognostic performance for CV death/hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and their components using Cox models adjusted for clinical variables and established CV biomarkers. Analyses were further stratified on ASCVD status: acute coronary syndrome (ACS), stabilized after recent ACS, and stable ASCVD. Overall, higher GDF-15 concentration was significantly and independently associated with an increased rate of CV death/HHF and MACE (P < 0.001 for each). However, while GDF-15 showed a robust and consistent independent association with CV death and HHF across all presentations of ASCVD, its prognostic association with future myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke only remained significant in patients stabilized after recent ACS or with stable ASCVD [hazard ratio (HR): 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17-1.31 and HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.05-1.28 for MI and stroke, respectively] and not in ACS (HR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.90-1.06 and HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.39-1.92, respectively). CONCLUSION: Growth differentiation factor 15 consistently adds prognostic information for CV death and HHF across the spectrum of ASCVD. GDF-15 also adds prognostic information for MI and stroke beyond clinical risk factors and cardiac biomarkers but not in the setting of ACS.

Proteomics and lipidomics in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk prediction.

Given the limited accuracy of clinically used risk scores such as the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation 2 system and the Second Manifestations of ARTerial disease 2 risk scores, novel risk algorithms determining an individual's susceptibility of future incident or recurrent atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk are urgently needed. Due to major improvements in assay techniques, multimarker proteomic and lipidomic panels hold the promise to be reliably assessed in a high-throughput routine. Novel machine learning-based approaches have facilitated the use of this high-dimensional data resulting from these analyses for ASCVD risk prediction. More than a dozen of large-scale retrospective studies using different sets of biomarkers and different statistical methods have consistently demonstrated the additive prognostic value of these panels over traditionally used clinical risk scores. Prospective studies are needed to determine the clinical utility of a biomarker panel in clinical ASCVD risk stratification. When combined with the genetic predisposition captured with polygenic risk scores and the actual ASCVD phenotype observed with coronary artery imaging, proteomics and lipidomics can advance understanding of the complex multifactorial causes underlying an individual's ASCVD risk.

DXA Android-to-Gynoid Ratio and Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Age and BMI Propensity-Matched Early Postmenopausal Women.

Background and Objectives: The literature suggests that physiological menopause (MP) seems linked with increased adiposity with a preference for intra-abdominal fat accumulation, greater than what can be attributed only by aging, which could magnify this period's increased cardiovascular risk. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed two age and body mass index (BMI) propensity-matched subgroups each formed of 90 clinically healthy, 40-60-year-old postmenopausal women, within the first 5 and 5-10 years of MP. The 10-year ASCVD risk was assessed using medical history, anthropometric data, and lipid profile blood tests. The android-to-gynoid (A/G) ratio was computed using Lunar osteodensitometry lumbar spine and hip scans. Results: The A/G ratio was significantly higher for the subgroup evaluated in years 5-10 of MP than in the first 5 years of MP, even after controlling for BMI (1.05 vs. 0.99, p = 0.005). While displaying a significant negative correlation with HDL cholesterol (r = 0.406), the A/G ratio also had positive correlations with systolic blood pressure (BP) values (r = 0.273), triglycerides (r = 0.367), and 10-year ASCVD risk (r = 0.277). After adjusting for smoking, hypertension treatment, and type 2 diabetes, the 10-year ASCVD risk became significantly different for women in the first 5 years (3.28%) compared to those in years 5-10 of MP (3.74%), p = 0.047. Conclusions: In women with similar age and BMI, the A/G ratio appears to vary based on the number of years since menopause onset and correlates with either independent cardiovascular risk parameters like BP, triglycerides, and HDL cholesterol or with composite scores, such as 10-year ASCVD risk.

Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease or Heart Failure: First Cardiovascular Event in Adults With Prediabetes and Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with prediabetes and diabetes are at increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and heart failure (HF). Whether ASCVD or HF is more likely to occur first in these populations within different race-sex groups is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To determine the competing risk for the first cardiovascular event by subtype in Black and white men and women with prediabetes and diabetes. METHODS: Individual-level data from adults without ASCVD or HF were pooled from 6 population-based cohorts. We estimated the competing cumulative incidences of ASCVD, HF and noncardiovascular death as the first event in middle-aged (40-59 years) and older (60-79 years) adults, stratified by race and sex, with normal fasting plasma glucose (FPG < 100 mg/dL), prediabetes (FPG 100-125 mg/dL) and diabetes (FPG ≥ 126 mg/dL or on antihyperglycemic agents) at baseline. Within each race-sex group, we estimated risk the adjusted hazard ratio of ASCVD, HF and noncardiovascular death in adults with prediabetes and diabetes relative to adults with normoglycemia after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: In 40,117 participants with 638,910 person-years of follow-up, 5781 cases of incident ASCVD and 3179 cases of incident HF occurred. In middle-aged adults with diabetes, competing cumulative incidence of ASCVD as a first event was higher than HF in white men (35.4% vs 11.6%), Black men (31.6% vs 15.1%) and white women (24.3% vs 17.2%) but not in Black women (26.4% vs 28.4%). Within each group, the adjusted hazard ratio of ASCVD and HF was significantly higher in adults with diabetes than in adults with normal FPG levels. Findings were largely similar in middle-aged adults with prediabetes and older adults with prediabetes or diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Black women with diabetes are more likely to develop HF as their first CVD event, whereas individuals with diabetes from other race-sex groups are more likely to present first with ASCVD. These results can inform the tailoring of primary prevention therapies for either HF- or ASCVD-specific pathways based on individual-level risk.

The Pandemic of Coronary Heart Disease in South Asia: What Clinicians Need to Know.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: South Asia has around 1/6th of the current global population. Epidemiological studies suggest that South Asians living in South Asia and diaspora are at an increased risk of premature atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVDs). This is due to an interplay of genetic, acquired, and environmental risk factors. Due to its increasing share of the global population, clinicians need to know the reasons for this early predisposition, and strategies for early identification and mitigation. RECENT FINDINGS: South Asians have earlier onset of cardiometabolic risk factors such as insulin resistance, hypertension, and central adiposity. This increased risk is seen in both native South Asians and the diaspora. South Asians have earlier onset of ASCVD due to an earlier onset of cardiometabolic risk factors. Health promotion and early identification of these risk factors are essential to mitigate this ongoing crisis.

Percentiles of predicted 10-year cardiovascular disease risk by sex and age in Brazil and their association with estimated risk of long-term atherosclerotic events.

OBJECTIVE: Expressing the cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in relation to peers may complement the estimation of absolute CVD risk. We aimed to determine 10-year CVD risk percentiles by sex and age in the Brazilian population and evaluate their association with estimated long-term atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) risk. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from the ELSA-Brasil study was conducted in individuals aged 40-74 years without prior ASCVD. Ten-year CVD risk and long-term ASCVD risk were estimated by the WHO risk score and the Multinational Cardiovascular Risk Consortium tool, respectively. Ten-year risk percentiles were determined by ranking the calculated risks within each sex and age group. RESULTS: Ten-year CVD risk versus percentile plots were constructed for each sex and age group using data from 13,364 participants (55% females; median age, 52 [IQR, 46-59] years). Long-term ASCVD risk was calculated in 12,973 (97.1%) participants. Compared to individuals at the <25th risk percentile, those at the ≥75th percentile had a greater risk of being in the highest quartile of long-term risk (ORs [95% CIs] 6.57 [5.18-8.30] in females and 11.59 [8.42-15.96] in males) in regression models adjusted for age, race, education, and 10-year CVD risk. In both sexes, the association between risk percentile and long-term risk weakened after age 50. A tool for calculating 10-year CVD risk and the corresponding percentile is available at https://bit.ly/3CzPUi6. CONCLUSIONS: We established percentiles of predicted 10-year CVD risk by sex and age in the Brazilian population, which independently reflect the estimated long-term ASCVD risk in younger individuals.