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2.
Nature ; 596(7871): 276-280, 2021 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34237773

RESUMO

The SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617 lineage was identified in October 2020 in India1-5. Since then, it has become dominant in some regions of India and in the UK, and has spread to many other countries6. The lineage includes three main subtypes (B1.617.1, B.1.617.2 and B.1.617.3), which contain diverse mutations in the N-terminal domain (NTD) and the receptor-binding domain (RBD) of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein that may increase the immune evasion potential of these variants. B.1.617.2-also termed the Delta variant-is believed to spread faster than other variants. Here we isolated an infectious strain of the Delta variant from an individual with COVID-19 who had returned to France from India. We examined the sensitivity of this strain to monoclonal antibodies and to antibodies present in sera from individuals who had recovered from COVID-19 (hereafter referred to as convalescent individuals) or who had received a COVID-19 vaccine, and then compared this strain with other strains of SARS-CoV-2. The Delta variant was resistant to neutralization by some anti-NTD and anti-RBD monoclonal antibodies, including bamlanivimab, and these antibodies showed impaired binding to the spike protein. Sera collected from convalescent individuals up to 12 months after the onset of symptoms were fourfold less potent against the Delta variant relative to the Alpha variant (B.1.1.7). Sera from individuals who had received one dose of the Pfizer or the AstraZeneca vaccine had a barely discernible inhibitory effect on the Delta variant. Administration of two doses of the vaccine generated a neutralizing response in 95% of individuals, with titres three- to fivefold lower against the Delta variant than against the Alpha variant. Thus, the spread of the Delta variant is associated with an escape from antibodies that target non-RBD and RBD epitopes of the spike protein.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Neutralizantes/imunologia , Anticorpos Antivirais/imunologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/virologia , Convalescença , Evasão da Resposta Imune/imunologia , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus/imunologia , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/imunologia , Anticorpos Neutralizantes/sangue , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Epitopos/química , Epitopos/genética , Epitopos/imunologia , França , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Testes de Neutralização , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus/química , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus/genética
3.
N Engl J Med ; 388(16): 1491-1500, 2023 Apr 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37075141

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In 2017, more than half the cases of typhoid fever worldwide were projected to have occurred in India. In the absence of contemporary population-based data, it is unclear whether declining trends of hospitalization for typhoid in India reflect increased antibiotic treatment or a true reduction in infection. METHODS: From 2017 through 2020, we conducted weekly surveillance for acute febrile illness and measured the incidence of typhoid fever (as confirmed on blood culture) in a prospective cohort of children between the ages of 6 months and 14 years at three urban sites and one rural site in India. At an additional urban site and five rural sites, we combined blood-culture testing of hospitalized patients who had a fever with survey data regarding health care use to estimate incidence in the community. RESULTS: A total of 24,062 children who were enrolled in four cohorts contributed 46,959 child-years of observation. Among these children, 299 culture-confirmed typhoid cases were recorded, with an incidence per 100,000 child-years of 576 to 1173 cases in urban sites and 35 in rural Pune. The estimated incidence of typhoid fever from hospital surveillance ranged from 12 to 1622 cases per 100,000 child-years among children between the ages of 6 months and 14 years and from 108 to 970 cases per 100,000 person-years among those who were 15 years of age or older. Salmonella enterica serovar Paratyphi was isolated from 33 children, for an overall incidence of 68 cases per 100,000 child-years after adjustment for age. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of typhoid fever in urban India remains high, with generally lower estimates of incidence in most rural areas. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; NSSEFI Clinical Trials Registry of India number, CTRI/2017/09/009719; ISRCTN registry number, ISRCTN72938224.).


Assuntos
Febre Paratifoide , Febre Tifoide , Humanos , Lactente , Incidência , Índia/epidemiologia , Febre Paratifoide/diagnóstico , Febre Paratifoide/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População , Estudos Prospectivos , Febre Tifoide/diagnóstico , Febre Tifoide/epidemiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Hemocultura , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Adolescente , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
PLoS Pathog ; 19(4): e1010862, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37011104

RESUMO

More than a hundred thousand dengue cases are diagnosed in India annually, and about half of the country's population carries dengue virus-specific antibodies. Dengue propagates and adapts to the selection pressures imposed by a multitude of factors that can lead to the emergence of new variants. Yet, there has been no systematic analysis of the evolution of the dengue virus in the country. Here, we present a comprehensive analysis of all DENV gene sequences collected between 1956 and 2018 from India. We examine the spatio-temporal dynamics of India-specific genotypes, their evolutionary relationship with global and local dengue virus strains, interserotype dynamics and their divergence from the vaccine strains. Our analysis highlights the co-circulation of all DENV serotypes in India with cyclical outbreaks every 3-4 years. Since 2000, genotype III of DENV-1, cosmopolitan genotype of DENV-2, genotype III of DENV-3 and genotype I of DENV-4 have been dominating across the country. Substitution rates are comparable across the serotypes, suggesting a lack of serotype-specific evolutionary divergence. Yet, the envelope (E) protein displays strong signatures of evolution under immune selection. Apart from drifting away from its ancestors and other contemporary serotypes in general, we find evidence for recurring interserotype drift towards each other, suggesting selection via cross-reactive antibody-dependent enhancement. We identify the emergence of the highly divergent DENV-4-Id lineage in South India, which has acquired half of all E gene mutations in the antigenic sites. Moreover, the DENV-4-Id is drifting towards DENV-1 and DENV-3 clades, suggesting the role of cross-reactive antibodies in its evolution. Due to the regional restriction of the Indian genotypes and immunity-driven virus evolution in the country, ~50% of all E gene differences with the current vaccines are focused on the antigenic sites. Our study shows how the dengue virus evolution in India is being shaped in complex ways.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Humanos , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/genética , Filogenia , Proteínas do Envelope Viral/genética , Sorogrupo , Genótipo , Índia/epidemiologia
5.
Hum Genomics ; 18(1): 52, 2024 May 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38790075

RESUMO

The recent article by Harit et al. in Human Genomics reported a novel association of the C allele of rs479200 in the human EGLN1 gene with severe COVID-19 in Indian patients. The gene in context is an oxygen-sensor gene whose T allele has been reported to contribute to the inability to cope with hypoxia due to increased expression of the EGLN1 gene and therefore persons with TT genotype of EGLN1 rs479200 are more susceptible to severe manifestations of hypoxia. In contrast to this dogma, Harit et al. showed that the C allele is associated with the worsening of COVID-19 hypoxia without suggesting or even discussing the scientific plausibility of the association. The article also suffers from certain epidemiological, statistical, and mathematical issues that need to be critically elaborated and discussed. In this context, the findings of Harit et al. may be re-evaluated.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Prolina Dioxigenases do Fator Induzível por Hipóxia , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Alelos , COVID-19/genética , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , Genótipo , Hipóxia/genética , Prolina Dioxigenases do Fator Induzível por Hipóxia/genética , Índia/epidemiologia , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único/genética , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
6.
J Infect Dis ; 229(4): 979-987, 2024 Apr 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37775091

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Environmental surveillance (ES) for Salmonella Typhi potentially offers a low-cost tool to identify communities with a high burden of typhoid fever. METHODS: We developed standardized protocols for typhoid ES, including sampling site selection, validation, characterization; grab or trap sample collection, concentration; and quantitative PCR targeting Salmonella genes (ttr, staG, and tviB) and a marker of human fecal contamination (HF183). ES was implemented over 12 months in a historically high typhoid fever incidence setting (Vellore, India) and a lower incidence setting (Blantyre, Malawi) during 2021-2022. RESULTS: S. Typhi prevalence in ES samples was higher in Vellore compared with Blantyre; 39/520 (7.5%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.4%-12.4%) vs 11/533 (2.1%; 95% CI, 1.1%-4.0%) in grab and 79/517 (15.3%; 95% CI, 9.8%-23.0%) vs 23/594 (3.9%; 95% CI, 1.9%-7.9%) in trap samples. Detection was clustered by ES site and correlated with site catchment population in Vellore but not Blantyre. Incidence of culture-confirmed typhoid in local hospitals was low during the study and zero some months in Vellore despite S. Typhi detection in ES. CONCLUSIONS: ES describes the prevalence and distribution of S. Typhi even in the absence of typhoid cases and could inform vaccine introduction. Expanded implementation and comparison with clinical and serological surveillance will further establish its public health utility.


Assuntos
Febre Tifoide , Vacinas Tíficas-Paratíficas , Humanos , Febre Tifoide/epidemiologia , Febre Tifoide/prevenção & controle , Salmonella typhi/genética , Malaui/epidemiologia , Incidência , Índia/epidemiologia
7.
J Infect Dis ; 229(6): 1909-1912, 2024 Jun 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38713583

RESUMO

In an area endemic with Indian visceral leishmaniasis (VL), we performed direct xenodiagnosis to evaluate the transmission of Leishmania donovani from patients with VL-human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) coinfection to the vector sandflies, Phlebotomus argentipes. Fourteen patients with confirmed VL-HIV coinfection, with a median parasitemia of 42 205 parasite genome/mL of blood, were exposed to 732 laboratory-reared pathogen-free female P argentipes sandflies on their lower arms and legs. Microscopy revealed that 16.66% (122/732) of blood-fed flies were xenodiagnosis positive. Notably, 93% (13/14) of the VL-HIV group infected the flies, as confirmed by quantitative polymerase chain reaction and/or microscopy, and were 3 times more infectious than those who had VL without HIV.


Assuntos
Coinfecção , Infecções por HIV , Leishmania donovani , Leishmaniose Visceral , Leishmaniose Visceral/epidemiologia , Leishmaniose Visceral/complicações , Animais , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Feminino , Adulto , Coinfecção/virologia , Coinfecção/epidemiologia , Coinfecção/parasitologia , Leishmania donovani/isolamento & purificação , Masculino , Phlebotomus/parasitologia , Phlebotomus/virologia , Doenças Endêmicas , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem , Xenodiagnóstico , Insetos Vetores/parasitologia , Insetos Vetores/virologia , Adolescente
8.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(1): 133-143, 2024 01 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37724763

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Several clinical trials of tuberculosis preventive treatment (TPT) for household contacts of patients with multidrug- or rifampin-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB) are nearing completion. The potential benefits of delivering TPT to MDR/RR-TB contacts extend beyond the outcomes that clinical trials can measure. METHODS: We developed an agent-based, household-structured TB and MDR/RR-TB transmission model, calibrated to an illustrative setting in India. We simulated contact investigation in households of patients with MDR/RR-TB, comparing an MDR/RR-TPT regimen (assuming 6-month duration, 70% efficacy) and associated active case finding against alternatives of contact investigation without TPT or no household intervention. We simulated the TB and MDR/RR-TB incidence averted relative to placebo over 2 years, as measurable by a typical trial, as well as the incidence averted over a longer time horizon, in the broader population, and relative to no contact investigation. RESULTS: Observing TPT and placebo recipients for 2 years as in a typical trial, MDR/RR-TPT was measured to prevent 72% (interquartile range, 45%-100%) of incident MDR/RR-TB among recipients; the median number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent 1 MDR/RR-TB case was 73, compared to placebo. This NNT decreased to 54 with 13-18 years of observation, to 27 when downstream transmission effects were also considered, and to 12 when the effects of active TB screening were included by comparing to a no-household-contact-intervention scenario. CONCLUSIONS: If forthcoming trial results demonstrate efficacy, the long-term population impact of TPT for MDR/RR-TB-including the large effect of increased active TB detection among MDR/RR-TB contacts-could be much greater than suggested by trial outcomes alone.


Assuntos
Rifampina , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Humanos , Rifampina/uso terapêutico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/prevenção & controle , Busca de Comunicante , Características da Família , Índia/epidemiologia , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico
9.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(Supplement_2): S131-S137, 2024 Apr 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38662696

RESUMO

Mass drug administration (MDA) of antifilarial drugs is the main strategy for the elimination of lymphatic filariasis (LF). Recent clinical trials indicated that the triple-drug therapy with ivermectin, diethylcarbamazine, and albendazole (IDA) is much more effective against LF than the widely used two-drug combinations (albendazole plus either ivermectin or diethylcarbamazine). For IDA-based MDA, the stop-MDA decision is made based on microfilariae (mf) prevalence in adults. In this study, we assess how the probability of eventually reaching elimination of transmission depends on the critical threshold used in transmission assessment surveys (TAS-es) to define whether transmission was successfully suppressed and triple-drug MDA can be stopped. This analysis focuses on treatment-naive Indian settings. We do this for a range of epidemiological and programmatic contexts, using the established LYMFASIM model for transmission and control of LF. Based on our simulations, a single TAS, one year after the last MDA round, provides limited predictive value of having achieved suppressed transmission, while a higher MDA coverage increases elimination probability, thus leading to a higher predictive value. Every additional TAS, conditional on previous TAS-es being passed with the same threshold, further improves the predictive value for low values of stop-MDA thresholds. An mf prevalence threshold of 0.5% corresponding to TAS-3 results in ≥95% predictive value even when the MDA coverage is relatively low.


Assuntos
Albendazol , Dietilcarbamazina , Quimioterapia Combinada , Filariose Linfática , Filaricidas , Ivermectina , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos , Microfilárias , Filariose Linfática/tratamento farmacológico , Filariose Linfática/epidemiologia , Filariose Linfática/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Albendazol/uso terapêutico , Albendazol/administração & dosagem , Filaricidas/uso terapêutico , Dietilcarbamazina/uso terapêutico , Dietilcarbamazina/administração & dosagem , Ivermectina/uso terapêutico , Ivermectina/administração & dosagem , Animais , Índia/epidemiologia , Microfilárias/efeitos dos fármacos , Adulto , Prevalência
10.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(Supplement_2): S160-S168, 2024 Apr 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38662697

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Global Programme to Eliminate Lymphatic Filariasis (GPELF) aims to reduce and maintain infection levels through mass drug administration (MDA), but there is evidence of ongoing transmission after MDA in areas where Culex mosquitoes are the main transmission vector, suggesting that a more stringent criterion is required for MDA decision making in these settings. METHODS: We use a transmission model to investigate how a lower prevalence threshold (<1% antigenemia [Ag] prevalence compared with <2% Ag prevalence) for MDA decision making would affect the probability of local elimination, health outcomes, the number of MDA rounds, including restarts, and program costs associated with MDA and surveys across different scenarios. To determine the cost-effectiveness of switching to a lower threshold, we simulated 65% and 80% MDA coverage of the total population for different willingness to pay per disability-adjusted life-year averted for India ($446.07), Tanzania ($389.83), and Haiti ($219.84). RESULTS: Our results suggest that with a lower Ag threshold, there is a small proportion of simulations where extra rounds are required to reach the target, but this also reduces the need to restart MDA later in the program. For 80% coverage, the lower threshold is cost-effective across all baseline prevalences for India, Tanzania, and Haiti. For 65% MDA coverage, the lower threshold is not cost-effective due to additional MDA rounds, although it increases the probability of local elimination. Valuing the benefits of elimination to align with the GPELF goals, we find that a willingness to pay per capita government expenditure of approximately $1000-$4000 for 1% increase in the probability of local elimination would be required to make a lower threshold cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS: Lower Ag thresholds for stopping MDAs generally mean a higher probability of local elimination, reducing long-term costs and health impacts. However, they may also lead to an increased number of MDA rounds required to reach the lower threshold and, therefore, increased short-term costs. Collectively, our analyses highlight that lower target Ag thresholds have the potential to assist programs in achieving lymphatic filariasis goals.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício , Filariose Linfática , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos , Filariose Linfática/prevenção & controle , Filariose Linfática/epidemiologia , Filariose Linfática/economia , Humanos , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos/economia , Haiti/epidemiologia , Tanzânia/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Índia/epidemiologia , Animais , Erradicação de Doenças/economia , Erradicação de Doenças/métodos , Filaricidas/uso terapêutico , Filaricidas/administração & dosagem , Filaricidas/economia , Antígenos de Helmintos/sangue , Culex
11.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(Supplement_2): S175-S182, 2024 Apr 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38662705

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Neglected tropical diseases are responsible for considerable morbidity and mortality in low-income populations. International efforts have reduced their global burden, but transmission is persistent and case-finding-based interventions rarely target asymptomatic individuals. METHODS: We develop a generic mathematical modeling framework for analyzing the dynamics of visceral leishmaniasis in the Indian sub-continent (VL), gambiense sleeping sickness (gHAT), and Chagas disease and use it to assess the possible contribution of asymptomatics who later develop disease (pre-symptomatics) and those who do not (non-symptomatics) to the maintenance of infection. Plausible interventions, including active screening, vector control, and reduced time to detection, are simulated for the three diseases. RESULTS: We found that the high asymptomatic contribution to transmission for Chagas and gHAT and the apparently high basic reproductive number of VL may undermine long-term control. However, the ability to treat some asymptomatics for Chagas and gHAT should make them more controllable, albeit over relatively long time periods due to the slow dynamics of these diseases. For VL, the toxicity of available therapeutics means the asymptomatic population cannot currently be treated, but combining treatment of symptomatics and vector control could yield a quick reduction in transmission. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the uncertainty in natural history, it appears there is already a relatively good toolbox of interventions to eliminate gHAT, and it is likely that Chagas will need improvements to diagnostics and their use to better target pre-symptomatics. The situation for VL is less clear, and model predictions could be improved by additional empirical data. However, interventions may have to improve to successfully eliminate this disease.


Assuntos
Infecções Assintomáticas , Doença de Chagas , Leishmaniose Visceral , Modelos Teóricos , Doenças Negligenciadas , Humanos , Doenças Negligenciadas/prevenção & controle , Doenças Negligenciadas/epidemiologia , Doença de Chagas/transmissão , Doença de Chagas/prevenção & controle , Doença de Chagas/epidemiologia , Doença de Chagas/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções Assintomáticas/epidemiologia , Leishmaniose Visceral/prevenção & controle , Leishmaniose Visceral/epidemiologia , Leishmaniose Visceral/transmissão , Leishmaniose Visceral/tratamento farmacológico , Tripanossomíase Africana/prevenção & controle , Tripanossomíase Africana/epidemiologia , Tripanossomíase Africana/transmissão , Tripanossomíase Africana/tratamento farmacológico , Índia/epidemiologia , Animais
12.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(6): 1236-1239, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38782022

RESUMO

A fecal survey in Tamil Nadu, India, revealed 2 persons passed schistosome eggs, later identified as Schistosoma incognitum, a parasite of pigs, dogs, and rats. We investigated those cases and reviewed autochthonous schistosomiasis cases from India and Nepal. Whether the 2 new cases represent true infection or spurious passage is undetermined.


Assuntos
Fezes , Schistosoma , Esquistossomose , Animais , Índia/epidemiologia , Humanos , Schistosoma/isolamento & purificação , Esquistossomose/epidemiologia , Esquistossomose/parasitologia , Fezes/parasitologia , Masculino , Feminino , Cães , Adulto , Suínos , Ratos/parasitologia , Nepal/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ásia Meridional
13.
Int J Cancer ; 154(8): 1335-1339, 2024 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37962056

RESUMO

The incidence of cancer in general, including breast and prostate cancer specifically, is increasing in India. Breast and prostate cancers have genomic classifiers developed to guide therapy decisions. However, these genomic classifiers are often inaccessible in India due to high cost. These classifiers may also be less suitable to the Indian population, as data primarily from patients in wealthy Western countries were used in developing these genomic classifiers. In addition to the limitations in using these existing genomic classifiers, developing and validating new genomic classifiers for breast and prostate cancer in India is challenging due to the heterogeneity in the Indian population. However, there are steps that can be taken to address the various barriers that currently exist for accurate, accessible genomic classifiers for cancer in India.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Neoplasias da Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Neoplasias da Mama/genética , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/genética , Neoplasias da Próstata/epidemiologia , Genômica , Índia/epidemiologia , Incidência
14.
Int J Cancer ; 155(5): 894-904, 2024 Sep 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38642029

RESUMO

In low- and middle-income countries most of the cancer patients attend the hospital at a late stage and treatment completion of these cases is challenging. The early detection program (EDP), in rural areas of Punjab state, India was initiated to identify breast, cervical, and oral cancer at an early stage by raising awareness and providing easy access to diagnosis and treatment. A total of 361 health education programs and 99 early detection clinics were organized. The symptomatic and self-interested (non-symptomatic individuals who opted for screening) cases visited the detection clinic. They were screened for breast, cervical, and/or oral cancer. Further diagnosis and treatment of screen-positive cases were carried out at Homi Bhabha Cancer Hospital (HBCH), Sangrur. Community leaders and healthcare workers were involved in all the activities. The EDP, Sangrur removed barriers between cancer diagnosis and treatment with the help of project staff. From 2019 to 2023, a total of 221,317 populations were covered. Symptomatic and self-interested individuals attended the breast (1627), cervical (1601), and oral (1111) examinations. 46 breast (in situ-4.3%; localized-52.2%), 9 cervical (localized-77.8%), and 12 oral (localized-66.7%) cancer cases were detected, and treatment completion was 82.6%, 77.8%, and 50.0%, respectively. We compared cancer staging and treatment completion of cases detected through EDP with the cases attended HBCH from Sangrur district in 2018; the difference between two groups is statistically significant. Due to the early detection approach, there is disease down-staging and improvement in treatment completion. This approach is feasible and can be implemented to control these cancers in low- and middle-income countries.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Neoplasias Bucais , População Rural , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Humanos , Feminino , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Índia/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Bucais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Bucais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Bucais/terapia , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/terapia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/diagnóstico , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Masculino , Idoso , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Institutos de Câncer
15.
PLoS Med ; 21(5): e1004409, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38805509

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: India accounts for about one-quarter of people contracting tuberculosis (TB) disease annually and nearly one-third of TB deaths globally. Many Indians do not navigate all care cascade stages to receive TB treatment and achieve recurrence-free survival. Guided by a population/exposure/comparison/outcomes (PECO) framework, we report findings of a systematic review to identify factors contributing to unfavorable outcomes across each care cascade gap for TB disease in India. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We defined care cascade gaps as comprising people with confirmed or presumptive TB who did not: start the TB diagnostic workup (Gap 1), complete the workup (Gap 2), start treatment (Gap 3), achieve treatment success (Gap 4), or achieve TB recurrence-free survival (Gap 5). Three systematic searches of PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science from January 1, 2000 to August 14, 2023 were conducted. We identified articles evaluating factors associated with unfavorable outcomes for each gap (reported as adjusted odds, relative risk, or hazard ratios) and, among people experiencing unfavorable outcomes, reasons for these outcomes (reported as proportions), with specific quality or risk of bias criteria for each gap. Findings were organized into person-, family-, and society-, or health system-related factors, using a social-ecological framework. Factors associated with unfavorable outcomes across multiple cascade stages included: male sex, older age, poverty-related factors, lower symptom severity or duration, undernutrition, alcohol use, smoking, and distrust of (or dissatisfaction with) health services. People previously treated for TB were more likely to seek care and engage in the diagnostic workup (Gaps 1 and 2) but more likely to suffer pretreatment loss to follow-up (Gap 3) and unfavorable treatment outcomes (Gap 4), especially those who were lost to follow-up during their prior treatment. For individual care cascade gaps, multiple studies highlighted lack of TB knowledge and structural barriers (e.g., transportation challenges) as contributing to lack of care-seeking for TB symptoms (Gap 1, 14 studies); lack of access to diagnostics (e.g., X-ray), non-identification of eligible people for testing, and failure of providers to communicate concern for TB as contributing to non-completion of the diagnostic workup (Gap 2, 17 studies); stigma, poor recording of patient contact information by providers, and early death from diagnostic delays as contributing to pretreatment loss to follow-up (Gap 3, 15 studies); and lack of TB knowledge, stigma, depression, and medication adverse effects as contributing to unfavorable treatment outcomes (Gap 4, 86 studies). Medication nonadherence contributed to unfavorable treatment outcomes (Gap 4) and TB recurrence (Gap 5, 14 studies). Limitations include lack of meta-analyses due to the heterogeneity of findings and limited generalizability to some Indian regions, given the country's diverse population. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review illuminates common patterns of risk that shape outcomes for Indians with TB, while highlighting knowledge gaps-particularly regarding TB care for children or in the private sector-to guide future research. Findings may inform targeting of support services to people with TB who have higher risk of poor outcomes and inform multicomponent interventions to close gaps in the care cascade.


Assuntos
Tuberculose , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/terapia , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Resultado do Tratamento , Masculino
16.
PLoS Med ; 21(6): e1004335, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38829880

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Diabetes control is poor globally and leads to burdensome microvascular and macrovascular complications. We aimed to assess post hoc between-group differences in sustained risk factor control and macrovascular and microvascular endpoints at 6.5 years in the Center for cArdiovascular Risk Reduction in South Asia (CARRS) randomized trial. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This parallel group individual randomized clinical trial was performed at 10 outpatient diabetes clinics in India and Pakistan from January 2011 through September 2019. A total of 1,146 patients with poorly controlled type 2 diabetes (HbA1c ≥8% and systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg and/or LDL-cholesterol ≥130 mg/dL) were randomized to a multicomponent quality improvement (QI) strategy (trained nonphysician care coordinator to facilitate care for patients and clinical decision support system for physicians) or usual care. At 2.5 years, compared to usual care, those receiving the QI strategy were significantly more likely to achieve multiple risk factor control. Six clinics continued, while 4 clinics discontinued implementing the QI strategy for an additional 4-year follow-up (overall median 6.5 years follow-up). In this post hoc analysis, using intention-to-treat, we examined between-group differences in multiple risk factor control (HbA1c <7% plus BP <130/80 mm Hg and/or LDL-cholesterol <100 mg/dL) and first macrovascular endpoints (nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, death, revascularization [angioplasty or coronary artery bypass graft]), which were co-primary outcomes. We also examined secondary outcomes, namely, single risk factor control, first microvascular endpoints (retinopathy, nephropathy, neuropathy), and composite first macrovascular plus microvascular events (which also included amputation and all-cause mortality) by treatment group and whether QI strategy implementation was continued over 6.5 years. At 6.5 years, assessment data were available for 854 participants (74.5%; n = 417 [intervention]; n = 437 [usual care]). In terms of sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, participants in the intervention and usual care groups were similar and participants at sites that continued were no different to participants at sites that discontinued intervention implementation. Patients in the intervention arm were more likely to exhibit sustained multiple risk factor control than usual care (relative risk: 1.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.45, 2.16), p < 0.001. Cumulatively, there were 233 (40.5%) first microvascular and macrovascular events in intervention and 274 (48.0%) in usual care patients (absolute risk reduction: 7.5% [95% CI: -13.2, -1.7], p = 0.01; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.72 [95% CI: 0.61, 0.86]), p < 0.001. Patients in the intervention arm experienced lower incidence of first microvascular endpoints (HR = 0.68 [95% CI: 0.56, 0.83), p < 0.001, but there was no evidence of between-group differences in first macrovascular events. Beneficial effects on microvascular and composite vascular outcomes were observed in sites that continued, but not sites that discontinued the intervention. CONCLUSIONS: In urban South Asian clinics, a multicomponent QI strategy led to sustained multiple risk factor control and between-group differences in microvascular, but not macrovascular, endpoints. Between-group reductions in vascular outcomes at 6.5 years were observed only at sites that continued the QI intervention, suggesting that practice change needs to be maintained for better population health of people with diabetes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01212328.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Melhoria de Qualidade , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Índia/epidemiologia , Seguimentos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/terapia , Idoso , Fatores de Risco , Paquistão/epidemiologia , Angiopatias Diabéticas/terapia , Angiopatias Diabéticas/prevenção & controle , Adulto , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/metabolismo , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Ásia Meridional
17.
PLoS Med ; 21(5): e1004402, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38728369

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Micronutrient deficiencies are widespread in India. Soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infections are acquired by interaction with soil and water contaminated by human feces and lead to blood loss and poor micronutrient absorption. The current recommendation for control of STH-related morbidity is targeted deworming, yet little is known about the effectiveness of deworming on micronutrient status in varying sanitation contexts. Ranging between 1% and 40% prevalence across Indian states, open defecation (OD) remains high despite India's investments at elimination by promoting community-wide sanitation. This variation provides an opportunity to study the relationship between deworming, micronutrient status, and OD at-scale. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Cross-sectional datasets that were representative for India were obtained the Comprehensive National Nutrition Survey in 2016 to 2018 (n = 105,060 individuals aged 1 to 19 years). Consumption of deworming medication was described by age and community OD level. Logistic regression models were used to examine the relationship between deworming, cluster OD, and their interactions, with anemia and micronutrient deficiencies (iron, zinc, vitamin A, folate, and vitamin B12), controlling for age, sex, wealth, diet, and seasonality. These regression models further allowed us to identify a minimum OD rate after which deworming becomes ineffective. In sensitivity analyses, the association between deworming and deficiencies were tested in subsamples of communities classified into 3 OD levels based on statistical tertiles: OD free (0% of households in the community practicing OD), moderate OD (>0% and <30%), or high OD (at least 30%). Average deworming coverage and OD prevalence in the sample were 43.4% [IQR 26.0, 59.0] and 19.1% [IQR 0, 28.5], respectively. Controlling for other determinants of nutritional status, adolescents living in communities with higher OD levels had lower coverage of deworming and higher prevalence of anemia, zinc, vitamin A, and B12 deficiencies. Compared to those who were not dewormed, dewormed children and adolescents had lower odds of anemia (adjusted odds ratio 0.72, (95% CI [0.67, 0.78], p < 0.001) and deficiencies of iron 0.78, (95% CI [0.74, 0.82], p < 0.001) and folate 0.69, (95% CI [0.64,0.74], p<0.001)) in OD free communities. These protective effects remained significant for anemia but diminished for other micronutrient deficiencies in communities with moderate or high OD. Analysis of community OD indicated a threshold range of 30% to 60%, above which targeted deworming was no longer significantly associated with lower anemia, iron, and folate deficiency. The primary limitations of the study included potential for omitted variables bias and inability to capture longitudinal effects. CONCLUSIONS: Moderate to high rates of OD significantly modify the association between deworming and micronutrient status in India. Public health policy could involve sequencing interventions, with focus on improving deworming coverage in communities that have achieved minimum thresholds of OD and re- triggering sanitation interventions in high OD communities prior to deworming days, ensuring high coverage for both. The efficacy of micronutrient supplementation as a complementary strategy to improve nutritional outcomes alongside deworming and OD elimination in this age group needs further study.


Assuntos
Helmintíase , Micronutrientes , Estado Nutricional , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Feminino , Micronutrientes/deficiência , Masculino , Adolescente , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Prevalência , Estudos Transversais , Adulto Jovem , Lactente , Helmintíase/epidemiologia , Helmintíase/tratamento farmacológico , Defecação/efeitos dos fármacos , Anti-Helmínticos/uso terapêutico , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Saneamento , Anemia/epidemiologia , Solo/parasitologia , Solo/química
18.
Am J Epidemiol ; 193(4): 636-645, 2024 Apr 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37968380

RESUMO

Extreme climate events are related to women's exposure to different forms of violence. We examined the relationship between droughts and physical, sexual, and emotional intimate partner violence (IPV) in India by using 2 different definitions of drought: precipitation-based drought and socioeconomic drought. We analyzed data from 2 rounds of a nationally representative survey, the National Family Health Survey, where married women were asked about their experiences of IPV in the previous year (2015-2016 and 2019-2021; n = 122,696). Precipitation-based drought was estimated using remote sensing data and geographic information system (GIS) mapping, while socioeconomic drought status was collected from government records. Logistic regression models showed precipitation-based drought to increase the risk of experiencing physical IPV and emotional IPV. Similar findings were observed for socioeconomic drought; women residing in areas classified as drought-impacted by the government were more likely to report physical IPV, sexual IPV, and emotional IPV. These findings support the growing body of evidence regarding the relationship between climate change and women's vulnerability, and highlight the need for gender responsive strategies for disaster management and preparedness.


Assuntos
Secas , Violência por Parceiro Íntimo , Humanos , Feminino , Fatores de Risco , Violência , Índia/epidemiologia , Parceiros Sexuais/psicologia , Prevalência
19.
Cancer ; 130(14): 2528-2537, 2024 Jul 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38373062

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: This study aims to quantitatively assess eligible patients and project the demand for particle therapy facilities in India from 2020 to 2040. In addition, an economic analysis evaluates the financial feasibility of implementing this technology. The study also examines the prospective benefits and challenges of adopting this technology in India. METHODOLOGY: Cancer incidence and projected trends were analyzed for pediatric patients using the Global Childhood Cancer microsimulation model and adult patients using the Globocan data. Economic cost evaluation is performed for large-scale combined particle (carbon and proton-three room fixed-beam), large-scale proton (one gantry and two fixed-beam), and small-scale proton (one gantry) facility. RESULTS: By 2040, the estimated number of eligible patients for particle therapy is projected to reach 161,000, including approximately 14,000 pediatric cases. The demand for particle therapy facilities is projected to rise from 81 to 97 in 2020 to 121 to 146 by 2040. The capital expenditure is estimated to be only 3.7 times that of a standard photon linear accelerator over a 30-year period. Notably, the treatment cost can be reduced to USD 400 to 800 per fraction, substantially lower than that in high-income countries (USD 1000 to 3000 per fraction). CONCLUSION: This study indicates that, in the Indian scenario, all particle therapy models are cost-beneficial and feasible, with large-scale proton therapy being the most suitable. Despite challenges such as limited resources, space, a skilled workforce, referral systems, and patient affordability, it offers substantial benefits. These include the potential to treat many patients and convenient construction and operational costs. An iterative phased implementation strategy can effectively overcome these challenges, paving the way for the successful adoption of particle therapy in India. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: In India, the number of eligible patients benefiting from high-precision particle therapy technology is projected to rise till 2040. Despite high upfront costs, our study finds the long-term feasibility of all particle therapy models, potentially offering a substantial reduction in treatment cost compared to high-income countries. Despite challenges, India can succeed with an iterative phased approach.


Assuntos
Neoplasias , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/terapia , Neoplasias/economia , Neoplasias/radioterapia , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Criança , Terapia com Prótons/economia , Adulto , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/economia , Análise Custo-Benefício
20.
Cancer ; 130(10): 1816-1825, 2024 May 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38183671

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Population-based cancer survival is a key indicator for assessing the effectiveness of cancer control by a health care system in a specific geographic area. Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women in India, accounting for over one quarter of all female cancers. The objective of this study was to estimate the 5-year survival of female patients who were diagnosed with breast cancer between 2012 and 2015 from the existing Population-Based Cancer Registries (PBCRs) in India. METHODS: In total, 17,331 patients who had breast cancer diagnosed between 2012 and 2015 from 11 PBCRs were followed until June 30, 2021. Active methods were used to track the vital status of registered breast cancer cases. The study conducted survival analysis by calculating the difference between the date of first diagnosis and the date of death or censoring to estimate observed survival and relative survival using the actuarial survival approach and the Ederer-II approach, respectively. RESULTS: The 5-year age-standardized relative survival (95% confidence interval [CI]) of patients with breast cancer was 66.4% (95% CI, 65.5%-67.3%). Mizoram (74.9%; 95% CI, 68.1%-80.8%), Ahmedabad urban (72.7%; 95% CI, 70.3%-74.9%), Kollam (71.5%; 95% CI, 69.2%-73.6%), and Thiruvananthapuram (69.1%; 95% CI, 67.0%-71.2%) had higher survival rates than the national average. Conversely, Pasighat had the lowest survival rate (41.9%; 95% CI, 14.7%-68.6%). The 5-year observed survival rates for localized, regional, and distant metastasis in the pooled PBCRs were 81.0%, 65.5%, and 18.3%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The overall disparity in survival rates was observed across 11 PBCRs, with lower survival rates reported in Manipur, Tripura, and Pasighat. Therefore, it is imperative to implement comprehensive cancer control strategies widely throughout the country.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Feminino , Índia/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/patologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Análise de Sobrevida , Taxa de Sobrevida , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais
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