Serum Proteomics Identifies Biomarkers Associated With the Pathogenesis of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

The heterogeneity of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) limits its diagnosis and treatment. The association between the pathophysiological features and the serum protein signatures of IPF currently remains unclear. The present study analyzed the specific proteins and patterns associated with the clinical parameters of IPF based on a serum proteomic dataset by data-independent acquisition using MS. Differentiated proteins in sera distinguished patients with IPF into three subgroups in signal pathways and overall survival. Aging-associated signatures by weighted gene correlation network analysis coincidently provided clear and direct evidence that aging is a critical risk factor for IPF rather than a single biomarker. Expression of LDHA and CCT6A, which was associated with glucose metabolic reprogramming, was correlated with high serum lactic acid content in patients with IPF. Cross-model analysis and machine learning showed that a combinatorial biomarker accurately distinguished patients with IPF from healthy individuals with an area under the curve of 0.848 (95% CI = 0.684-0.941) and validated from another cohort and ELISA assay. This serum proteomic profile provides rigorous evidence that enables an understanding of the heterogeneity of IPF and protein alterations that could help in its diagnosis and treatment decisions.

Pulmonary Fibrosis Stakeholder Summit: A Joint NHLBI, Three Lakes Foundation, and Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Workshop Report.

Despite progress in elucidation of disease mechanisms, identification of risk factors, biomarker discovery, and the approval of two medications to slow lung function decline in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and one medication to slow lung function decline in progressive pulmonary fibrosis, pulmonary fibrosis remains a disease with a high morbidity and mortality. In recognition of the need to catalyze ongoing advances and collaboration in the field of pulmonary fibrosis, the NHLBI, the Three Lakes Foundation, and the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation hosted the Pulmonary Fibrosis Stakeholder Summit on November 8-9, 2022. This workshop was held virtually and was organized into three topic areas: 1) novel models and research tools to better study pulmonary fibrosis and uncover new therapies, 2) early disease risk factors and methods to improve diagnosis, and 3) innovative approaches toward clinical trial design for pulmonary fibrosis. In this workshop report, we summarize the content of the presentations and discussions, enumerating research opportunities for advancing our understanding of the pathogenesis, treatment, and outcomes of pulmonary fibrosis.

Machine Learning of Plasma Proteomics Classifies Diagnosis of Interstitial Lung Disease.

Rationale: Distinguishing connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD) from idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) can be clinically challenging. Objectives: To identify proteins that separate and classify patients with CTD-ILD and those with IPF. Methods: Four registries with 1,247 patients with IPF and 352 patients with CTD-ILD were included in analyses. Plasma samples were subjected to high-throughput proteomics assays. Protein features were prioritized using recursive feature elimination to construct a proteomic classifier. Multiple machine learning models, including support vector machine, LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression, random forest, and imbalanced Random Forest, were trained and tested in independent cohorts. The validated models were used to classify each case iteratively in external datasets. Measurements and Main Results: A classifier with 37 proteins (proteomic classifier 37 [PC37]) was enriched in the biological process of bronchiole development and smooth muscle proliferation and immune responses. Four machine learning models used PC37 with sex and age score to generate continuous classification values. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses of these scores demonstrated consistent areas under the curve of 0.85-0.90 in the test cohort and 0.94-0.96 in the single-sample dataset. Binary classification demonstrated 78.6-80.4% sensitivity and 76-84.4% specificity in the test cohort and 93.5-96.1% sensitivity and 69.5-77.6% specificity in the single-sample classification dataset. Composite analysis of all machine learning models confirmed 78.2% (194 of 248) accuracy in the test cohort and 82.9% (208 of 251) in the single-sample classification dataset. Conclusions: Multiple machine learning models trained with large cohort proteomic datasets consistently distinguished CTD-ILD from IPF. Many of the identified proteins are involved in immune pathways. We further developed a novel approach for single-sample classification, which could facilitate honing the differential diagnosis of ILD in challenging cases and improve clinical decision making.

Exosomal circRNAs in the plasma serve as novel biomarkers for IPF diagnosis and progression prediction.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) is a type of chronic interstitial pneumonia, often fatal, with elusive causes and a bleak prognosis. Its treatment options are limited and largely ineffective. Early detection and precise diagnosis are pivotal in managing the disease effectively and enhancing patient survival rates. Recently, the quest for trustworthy biomarkers for IPF has gained momentum. Notably, emerging studies indicate that circular RNAs (circRNAs) found in exosomes may hold significant potential as valuable diagnostic markers. METHODS: In this study, we initially explored the expression profile of circRNAs in exosomes sourced from the blood of IPF patients and healthy volunteers, employing a human circRNA microarray. We then utilized RT-qPCR to corroborate the dysregulated circRNAs identified by the microarray during the training phase. Next, the circRNAs that displayed a significant increase during the training phase were selected for further validation in a larger cohort encompassing 113 IPF patients and 76 healthy volunteers. Ultimately, the expression level and function of hsa_circ_0044226 were substantiated through a series of in vivo and in vitro experiments. RESULTS: Utilizing a human circRNA microarray, we identified 11 dysregulated circRNAs in the exosomes derived from the blood of IPF patients and control volunteers. Subsequent RT-qPCR analysis revealed significant increases in three circRNAs (hsa_circ_0044226, hsa_circ_0004099, hsa_circ_0008898) within the IPF patients. Notably, hsa_circ_0044226 was markedly elevated in patients experiencing acute exacerbation of IPF (AE-IPF) compared to those with stable IPF (S-IPF). Additionally, an upregulation of hsa_circ_0044226 was observed in the blood exosomes derived from a bleomycin-induced IPF mouse model. CONCLUSION: The expression levels of hsa_circ_0044226, hsa_circ_0004099, and hsa_circ_0008898 in plasma exosomes introduce a new paradigm of biomarkers for the diagnosis and progression of IPF.

Presence of focal usual interstitial pneumonia is a key prognostic factor in progressive pulmonary fibrosis.

AIMS: Progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) is a newly recognised clinical phenotype of interstitial lung diseases in the 2022 interstitial pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) guidelines. This category is based entirely on clinical and radiological factors, and the background histopathology is unknown. Our objective was to investigate the histopathological characteristics of PPF and to examine the correlation between usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) and prognosis in this new disease type. We hypothesised that the presence of UIP-like fibrosis predicts patients' survival in PPF cases. METHODS AND RESULTS: We selected 201 cases fulfilling the clinical criteria of PPF from case archives. Cases diagnosed as IPF by a multidisciplinary team were excluded. Whole slide images were evaluated by three pathologists who were blinded to clinical and radiological data. We measured areas of UIP-like fibrosis and calculated what percentage of the total lesion area they occupied. The presence of focal UIP-like fibrosis amounting to 10% or more of the lesion area was seen in 148 (73.6%), 168 (83.6%) and 165 (82.1%) cases for each pathologist, respectively. Agreement of the recognition of UIP-like fibrosis in PPF cases was above κ = 0.6 between all pairs. Survival analysis showed that the presence of focal UIP-like fibrosis correlated with worsened survival under all parameters tested (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of UIP-like fibrosis is a core pathological feature of clinical PPF, and its presence within diseased areas is associated with poorer prognosis. This study highlights the importance of considering the presence of focal UIP-like fibrosis in the evaluation and management of PPF.

Identifying potential drug targets for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a mendelian randomization study based on the druggable genes.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic fibrotic interstitial lung disease characterized by progressive dyspnea and decreased lung function, yet its exact etiology remains unclear. It is of great significance to discover new drug targets for IPF. METHODS: We obtained the cis-expression quantitative trait locus (cis-eQTL) of druggable genes from eQTLGen Consortium as exposure and the genome wide association study (GWAS) of IPF from the International IPF Genetics Consortium as outcomes to simulate the effects of drugs on IPF by employing mendelian randomization analysis. Then colocalization analysis was performed to calculate the probability of both cis-eQTL of druggable genes and IPF sharing a causal variant. For further validation, we conducted protein quantitative trait locus (pQTL) analysis to reaffirm our findings. RESULTS: The expression of 45 druggable genes was significantly associated with IPF susceptibility at FDR < 0.05. The expression of 23 and 15 druggable genes was significantly associated with decreased forced vital capacity (FVC) and diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide (DLco) in IPF patients, respectively. IPF susceptibility and two significant genes (IL-7 and ABCB2) were likely to share a causal variant. The results of the pQTL analysis demonstrated that high levels of IL-7 in plasma are associated with a reduced risk of IPF (OR = 0.67, 95%CI: 0.47-0.97). CONCLUSION: IL-7 stands out as the most promising potential drug target to mitigate the risk of IPF. Our study not only sheds light on potential drug targets but also provides a direction for future drug development in IPF.

Mitochondrial DNA in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid is associated with the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a single cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Extracellular mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) is released from damaged cells and increases in the serum and bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients. While increased levels of serum mtDNA have been reported to be linked to disease progression and the future development of acute exacerbation (AE) of IPF (AE-IPF), the clinical significance of mtDNA in BALF (BALF-mtDNA) remains unclear. We investigated the relationships between BALF-mtDNA levels and other clinical variables and prognosis in IPF. METHODS: Extracellular mtDNA levels in BALF samples collected from IPF patients were determined using droplet-digital PCR. Levels of extracellular nucleolar DNA in BALF (BALF-nucDNA) were also determined as a marker for simple cell collapse. Patient characteristics and survival information were retrospectively reviewed. RESULTS: mtDNA levels in serum and BALF did not correlate with each other. In 27 patients with paired BALF samples obtained in a stable state and at the time of AE diagnosis, BALF-mtDNA levels were significantly increased at the time of AE. Elevated BALF-mtDNA levels were associated with inflammation or disordered pulmonary function in a stable state (n = 90), while being associated with age and BALF-neutrophils at the time of AE (n = 38). BALF-mtDNA ≥ 4234.3 copies/µL in a stable state (median survival time (MST): 42.4 vs. 79.6 months, p < 0.001) and ≥ 11,194.3 copies/µL at the time of AE (MST: 2.6 vs. 20.0 months, p = 0.03) were associated with shorter survival after BALF collection, even after adjusting for other known prognostic factors. On the other hand, BALF-nucDNA showed different trends in correlation with other clinical variables and did not show any significant association with survival time. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated BALF-mtDNA was associated with a poor prognosis in both IPF and AE-IPF. Of note, at the time of AE, it sharply distinguished survivors from non-survivors. Given the trends shown by analyses for BALF-nucDNA, the elevation of BALF-mtDNA might not simply reflect the impact of cell collapse. Further studies are required to explore the underlying mechanisms and clinical applications of BALF-mtDNA in IPF.

The impact of antifibrotic use on long-term clinical outcomes in the pulmonary fibrosis foundation registry.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a devastating interstitial lung disease (ILD) with a high mortality rate. The antifibrotic medications pirfenidone and nintedanib have been in use since 2014 for this disorder and are associated with improved rate of lung function decline. Less is known about their long-term outcomes outside of the clinical trial context. METHODS: The Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry was used for this study. Patients with an IPF diagnosis made within a year of enrollment were included. The treated group was defined as patients receiving either pirfenidone or nintedanib for at least 180 days. The untreated group did not have any record of antifibrotic use. Demographic data, comorbidities, serial lung function, hospitalization, and vital status data were collected from the registry database. The primary outcomes were transplant-free survival, time to first respiratory hospitalization, and time to 10% absolute FVC decline. Time-to-event analyses were performed utilizing Cox proportional hazards models and the log-rank test. Model covariates included age, gender, smoking history, baseline lung function, comorbidities, and oxygen use. RESULTS: The registry contained 1212 patients with IPF; ultimately 288 patients met inclusion criteria for the treated group, and 101 patients were designated as untreated. Patients treated with antifibrotics were significantly younger (69.8 vs. 72.6 years, p = 0.008) and less likely to have smoked (61.1% ever smokers vs. 72.3% never smokers, p = 0.04). No significant differences were seen in race, gender, comorbidities, or baseline pulmonary function between groups. The primary outcome of transplant-free survival was not significantly different between the two groups (adjusted HR 0.799, 95% CI 0.534-1.197, p = 0.28). Time to respiratory hospitalization was significantly shorter in the treated group (adjusted HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.05-4.30, p = 0.04). No significant difference in time to pulmonary function decline was seen between groups. CONCLUSIONS: This multicenter study demonstrated 63% of newly diagnosed IPF patients had continuous antifibrotic usage. Antifibrotics were not associated with improved transplant-free survival or pulmonary function change but was associated with an increased hazard of respiratory hospitalization. Future studies should further investigate the role of antifibrotic therapy in clinically important outcomes in real-world patients with IPF and other progressive ILDs.

Potential role of SIRT-1 and SIRT-3 as biomarkers for the diagnosis and prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a debilitating and progressive lung disease of unknown aetiology, characterized by the relentless deposition of fibrotic tissue. Biomarkers may play a pivotal role as indicators of disease presence, progression, and treatment response. Sirtuins, a family of enzymes with ADP ribosyltransferase or deacetylase activity, have been implicated in several diseases, including pulmonary fibrosis. METHODS: A cross-sectional, prospective, observational single-center study was conducted to investigate the potential role of serum SIRTs levels as biomarkers in patients with IPF. Demographic, clinical, and functional data and serological samples were collected from 34 patients with IPF followed at the Interstital Lung and Rare Diseases Outpatient Clinic of the Vanvitelli Pneumology Clinic, Monaldi Hospital, Naples, Italy and from 19 age-matched controls. RESULTS: Serum SIRT-1 levels were significantly reduced in IPF patients compared to controls (median IPF 667 [435-858] pg/mL versus controls 925 [794-1173] pg/mL; p < 0.001 ). In contrast, serum SIRT-3 levels were significantly increased in IPF patients compared to controls (median IPF 338 [230-500] pg/mL versus controls 154 [99.8-246] pg/mL; p < 0.001). There were no statistically significant differences in serum SIRT-6 and SIRT-7 levels between IPF and controls. In addition, we found a significant positive correlation between SIRT-1 and lung function parameters such as FEV1% (ϱ=0.417;p = 0.016), FVC% (ϱ=0.449;p = 0.009) and DLCO% (ϱ=0.393;p = 0.024), while a significant negative correlation was demonstrated between SIR-1 and GAP score, demonstrating a significant reduction in SIRT-1 in advanced Gender-Age-Physiology (GAP) stages 2-3 compared to GAP stage 1 (p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: This prospective, cross-sectional study showed that SIRT-1 was associated with lung function and IPF severity and that both SIRT-1 and SIRT-3 could be considered as potential biomarkers of IPF, whereas SIRT-6 and SIRT-7 were not associated with IPF.

Psoriasis may increase the risk of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Although some studies have indicated that Psoriasis could contribute to the risk of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), no study has reported a clear causal association between them. Our aim was to explore the potential relationship between Psoriasis and IPF using Mendelian randomization (MR) design. METHODS: To explore a causal association between Psoriasis and IPF, we used genetic instruments from the largest available genome-wide association study (GWAS) of European ancestry, including psoriasis (5314 cases, 457,619 controls) and IPF (1028 cases, 196,986 controls). Our main analyses were conducted by inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method with random-effects model, with the other complementary four analyses: weighted median method, weighted mode, multivariable MR and MR-Egger approach. RESULTS: The results of IVW methods demonstrated that genetically predicted psoriasis was significantly associated with higher odds of IPF, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.09 (95%CI, 1.01-1.18; P = 0.02). Weighted median method, weighted mode and multivariable MR also demonstrated directionally similar results (P < 0.05), while the MR-Egger regression did not reveal the impact of psoriasis on IPF (OR = 1.09, 95%CI, 0.98-1.21; P = 0.11). In addition, both funnel plots and MR-Egger intercepts indicated no directional pleiotropic effects between psoriasis and IPF. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provided potential evidence between genetically predicted psoriasis and IPF, which suggests that understanding the mutual risk factors between psoriasis and IPF can facilitate the clinical management of both diseases.

Blood lipid profiles as a prognostic biomarker in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Dysregulation of lipid metabolism is implicated in the pathogenesis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, the association between the blood lipid profiles and the prognosis of IPF is not well defined. We aimed to identify the impacts of lipid profiles on prognosis in patients with IPF. METHODS: Clinical data of 371 patients with IPF (145 and 226 in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively), including serum lipid profiles (total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, apolipoprotein A-I [Apo A-I], and apolipoprotein B), were retrospectively collected. The association with mortality was analyzed using the Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, the mean age was 67.5 years, 86.2% were men, and 30.3% died during the follow-up (median: 18.0 months). Non-survivors showed lower lung function and greater gender-age-physiology scores than survivors. Among the serum lipid profiles, the levels of triglyceride and Apo A-I were significantly lower in non-survivors than in survivors. In the multivariate Cox analysis, low Apo A-I levels (< 140 mg/dL) were independently associated with the risk of mortality (hazard ratio 3.910, 95% confidence interval 1.170-13.069; P = 0.027), when adjusted for smoking history, body mass index, GAP score, and antifibrotic agent use. In both derivation and validation cohorts, patients with low Apo A-I levels (< 140 mg/dL) had worse survival (median survival: [derivation] 34.0 months vs. not reached, P = 0.003; [validation] 40.0 vs. 53.0 months, P = 0.027) than those with high Apo A-I levels in the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that low serum Apo A-1 levels are an independent predictor of mortality in patients with IPF, suggesting the utility of serum Apo A-I as a prognostic biomarker in IPF.

Identifying a survival-associated cell type based on multi-level transcriptome analysis in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive disease with a five-year survival rate of less than 40%. There is significant variability in survival time among IPF patients, but the underlying mechanisms for this are not clear yet. METHODS AND RESULTS: We collected single-cell RNA sequence data of 13,223 epithelial cells taken from 32 IPF patients and bulk RNA sequence data from 456 IPF patients in GEO. Based on unsupervised clustering analysis at the single-cell level and deconvolution algorithm at bulk RNA sequence data, we discovered a special alveolar type 2 cell subtype characterized by high expression of CCL20 (referred to as ATII-CCL20), and found that IPF patients with a higher proportion of ATII-CCL20 had worse prognoses. Furthermore, we uncovered the upregulation of immune cell infiltration and metabolic functions in IPF patients with a higher proportion of ATII-CCL20. Finally, the comprehensive decision tree and nomogram were constructed to optimize the risk stratification of IPF patients and provide a reference for accurate prognosis evaluation. CONCLUSIONS: Our study by integrating single-cell and bulk RNA sequence data from IPF patients identified a special subtype of ATII cells, ATII-CCL20, which was found to be a risk cell subtype associated with poor prognosis in IPF patients. More importantly, the ATII-CCL20 cell subtype was linked with metabolic functions and immune infiltration.

Smoking status and clinical outcome in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: Smoking status has been linked to the development of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, the effect of smoking on the prognosis of patients with IPF is unclear. We aimed to investigate the association between smoking status and all-cause mortality or hospitalisation by using national health claims data. METHODS: IPF cases were defined as people who visited medical institutions between January 2002 and December 2018 with IPF and rare incurable disease exempted calculation codes from the National Health Insurance Database. Total 10,182 patients with available data on smoking status were included in this study. Ever-smoking status was assigned to individuals with a history of smoking ≥ 6 pack-years. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the association between smoking status and prognosis. RESULTS: In the entire cohort, the mean age was 69.4 years, 73.9% were males, and 45.2% were ever smokers (current smokers: 14.2%; former smokers: 31.0%). Current smokers (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.709; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.643-0.782) and former smokers (HR: 0.926; 95% CI: 0.862-0.996) were independently associated with all-cause mortality compared with non-smokers. Current smokers (HR: 0.884; 95% CI: 0.827-0.945) and former smokers (HR: 0.909; 95% CI: 0.862-0.959) were also associated with a reduced risk of all-cause hospitalisation compared with non-smokers. A non-linear association between smoking amount and prognosis was found in a spline HR curve and showed increasing risk below 6 pack-years. CONCLUSION: Ever-smoking status may be associated with favourable clinical outcomes in patients with IPF.

IPF-related new macrophage subpopulations and diagnostic biomarker identification - combine machine learning with single-cell analysis.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic disease of unknown etiology that lacks a specific treatment. In IPF, macrophages play a key regulatory role as a major component of the lung immune system, especially during inflammation and fibrosis. However, our understanding of the cellular heterogeneity and molecular characterization of macrophages in IPF, as well as their relevance in the clinical setting, is relatively limited. In this study, we analyzed in-depth single-cell transcriptome sequencing (scRNA-seq) data from lung tissues of IPF patients, identified macrophage subpopulations in IPF, and probed their molecular characteristics and biological functions. hdWGCNA identified co-expressed gene modules of a subpopulation of IPF-associated macrophages (IPF-MΦ), and probed the IPF-MΦ by a machine-learning approach. hdWGCNA identified a subpopulation of IPF-associated macrophage subpopulations and probed the IPF-MΦ signature gene (IRMG) for its prognostic value, and a prediction model was developed on this basis. In addition, IPF-MΦ was obtained after recluster analysis of macrophages in IPF lung tissues. Coexpressed gene modules of IPF-MΦ were identified by hdWGCNA. Then, a machine learning approach was utilized to reveal the characteristic genes of IPF-MΦ, and a prediction model was built on this basis. In addition, we discovered a type of macrophage unique to IPF lung tissue named ATP5-MΦ. Its characteristic gene encodes a subunit of the mitochondrial ATP synthase complex, which is closely related to oxidative phosphorylation and proton transmembrane transport, suggesting that ATP5-MΦ may have higher ATP synthesis capacity in IPF lung tissue. This study provides new insights into the pathogenesis of IPF and provides a basis for evaluating disease prognosis and predictive medicine in IPF patients.

Delineating excess comorbidities in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: Our study examined whether prevalent and incident comorbidities are increased in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients when compared to matched chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients and control subjects without IPF or COPD. METHODS: IPF and age, gender and smoking matched COPD patients, diagnosed between 01/01/1997 and 01/01/2019 were identified from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD database multiple registrations cohort at the first date an ICD-10 or read code mentioned IPF/COPD. A control cohort comprised age, gender and pack-year smoking matched subjects without IPF or COPD. Prevalent (prior to IPF/COPD diagnosis) and incident (after IPF/COPD diagnosis) comorbidities were examined. Group differences were estimated using a t-test. Mortality relationships were examined using multivariable Cox proportional hazards adjusted for patient age, gender and smoking status. RESULTS: Across 3055 IPF patients, 38% had 3 or more prevalent comorbidities versus 32% of COPD patients and 21% of matched control subjects. Survival time reduced as the number of comorbidities in an individual increased (p < 0.0001). In IPF, prevalent heart failure (Hazard ratio [HR] = 1.62, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.43-1.84, p < 0.001), chronic kidney disease (HR = 1.27, 95%CI: 1.10-1.47, p = 0.001), cerebrovascular disease (HR = 1.18, 95%CI: 1.02-1.35, p = 0.02), abdominal and peripheral vascular disease (HR = 1.29, 95%CI: 1.09-1.50, p = 0.003) independently associated with reduced survival. Key comorbidities showed increased incidence in IPF (versus COPD) 7-10 years prior to IPF diagnosis. INTERPRETATION: The mortality impact of excessive prevalent comorbidities in IPF versus COPD and smoking matched controls suggests that multiorgan mechanisms of injury need elucidation in patients that develop IPF.

Antifibrotics and mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: external validity and avoidance of immortal time bias.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Pooled analyses of previous randomized controlled trials reported that antifibrotics improved survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but the results were only based on short-term outcome data from selected patients who met strict criteria. Observational studies/meta-analyses also suggested that antifibrotics improve survival, but these studies failed to control for immortal time bias that considerably exaggerates drug effects. Therefore, whether antifibrotics truly improve long-term survival in patients with IPF in the real world remains undetermined and requires external validity. METHODS: We used data from the Japanese National Claims Database to estimate the intention-to-treat effect of antifibrotics on mortality. To address immortal time bias, we employed models treating antifibrotic initiation as a time-dependent covariate and target trial emulation (TTE), both incorporating new-user designs for antifibrotics and treating lung transplantation as a competing event. RESULTS: Of 30,154 patients with IPF, 14,525 received antifibrotics. Multivariate Fine-Gray models with antifibrotic initiation as a time-dependent covariate revealed that compared with no treatment, nintedanib (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81-0.89) and pirfenidone (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.86-0.93) were associated with reduced mortality. The TTE model also replicated the associations of nintedanib (aHR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.65-0.74) and pirfenidone (aHR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.78-0.85) with reduced mortality. Subgroup analyses confirmed this association regardless of age, sex, and comorbidities, excluding certain subpopulations. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this large-scale real-world analysis support the generalizability of the association between antifibrotics and improved survival in various IPF populations.

Lipocalin-2 as a prognostic marker in patients with acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Lipocalin-2 (LCN2) is a secretory glycoprotein upregulated by oxidative stress; moreover, patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have shown increased LCN2 levels in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF). This study aimed to determine whether circulatory LCN2 could be a systemic biomarker in patients with IPF and to investigate the role of LCN2 in a bleomycin-induced lung injury mouse model. METHODS: We measured serum LCN2 levels in 99 patients with stable IPF, 27 patients with acute exacerbation (AE) of IPF, 51 patients with chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis, and 67 healthy controls. Further, LCN2 expression in lung tissue was evaluated in a bleomycin-induced lung injury mouse model, and the role of LCN2 was investigated using LCN2-knockout (LCN2 -/-) mice. RESULTS: Serum levels of LCN2 were significantly higher in patients with AE-IPF than in the other groups. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model showed that elevated serum LCN2 level was an independent predictor of poor survival in patients with AE-IPF. In the bleomycin-induced lung injury mouse model, a higher dose of bleomycin resulted in higher LCN2 levels and shorter survival. Bleomycin-treated LCN2 -/- mice exhibited increased BALF cell and protein levels as well as hydroxyproline content. Moreover, compared with wild-type mice, LCN2-/- mice showed higher levels of circulatory 8-isoprostane as well as lower Nrf-2, GCLC, and NQO1 expression levels in lung tissue following bleomycin administration. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate that serum LCN2 might be a potential prognostic marker of AE-IPF. Moreover, LCN2 expression levels may reflect the severity of lung injury, and LCN2 may be a protective factor against bleomycin-induced acute lung injury and oxidative stress.

Treating sleep-disordered breathing of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients with CPAP and nocturnal oxygen treatment. A pilot study : Sleep-disordered breathing treatment in IPF.

INTRODUCTION: Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is a major comorbidity in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and is associated with a poor outcome. There is a lack of knowledge regarding the impact of SDB treatment on IPF. We assessed at one year: (1) the effect of CPAP and/or nocturnal oxygen therapy on IPF regarding lung function, blood mediators, and quality of life; (2) adherence to SDB treatment and SDB changes. METHODOLOGY: This is a prospective study of consecutive newly diagnosed IPF patients initiating anti-fibrotic treatment. Lung function, polysomnography, blood tests and quality of life questionnaires were performed at inclusion and after one year. Patients were classified as obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA), central sleep apnoea (CSA), and sleep-sustained hypoxemia (SSH). SDB therapy (CPAP and/or nocturnal oxygen therapy) was initiated if needed. RESULTS: Fifty patients were enrolled (36% had OSA, 22% CSA, and 12% SSH). CPAP was started in 54% of patients and nocturnal oxygen therapy in 16%. At one-year, polysomnography found improved parameters, though 17% of patients had to add nocturnal oxygen therapy or CPAP, while 33% presented SDB onset at this second polysomnography. CPAP compliance at one year was 6.74 h/night (SD 0.74). After one year, matrix metalloproteinase-1 decreased in OSA and CSA (p = 0.029; p = 0.027), C-reactive protein in OSA (p = 0.045), and surfactant protein D in CSA group (p = 0.074). There was no significant change in lung function. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment of SBD with CPAP and NOT can be well tolerated with a high compliance. IPF patients may exhibit SDB progression and require periodic re-assessment. Further studies to evaluate the impact of SDB treatment on lung function and serological mediators are needed.

Progress in the radiologic diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To discuss the most recent applications of radiological imaging, from conventional to quantitative, in the setting of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) diagnosis. RECENT FINDINGS: In this article, current concepts on radiological diagnosis of IPF, from high-resolution computed tomography (CT) to other imaging modalities, are reviewed. In a separate section, advances in quantitative CT and development of novel imaging biomarkers, as well as current limitations and future research trends, are described. SUMMARY: Radiological imaging in IPF, particularly quantitative CT, is an evolving field which holds promise in the future to allow for an increasingly accurate disease assessment and prognostication of IPF patients. However, further standardization and validation studies of alternative imaging applications and quantitative biomarkers are needed.

Identification of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and Prediction of Disease Severity via Machine Learning Analysis of Comprehensive Metabolic Panel and Complete Blood Count Data.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) typically relies on high-resolution computed tomography imaging (HRCT) or histopathology, while monitoring disease severity is done via frequent pulmonary function testing (PFT). More reliable and convenient methods of diagnosing fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) type and monitoring severity would allow for early identification and enhance current therapeutic interventions. This study tested the hypothesis that a machine learning (ML) ensemble analysis of comprehensive metabolic panel (CMP) and complete blood count (CBC) data can accurately distinguish IPF from connective tissue disease ILD (CTD-ILD) and predict disease severity as seen with PFT. METHODS: Outpatient data with diagnosis of IPF or CTD-ILD (n = 103 visits by 53 patients) were analyzed via ML methodology to evaluate (1) IPF vs CTD-ILD diagnosis; (2) %predicted Diffusing Capacity of Lung for Carbon Monoxide (DLCO) moderate or mild vs severe; (3) %predicted Forced Vital Capacity (FVC) moderate or mild vs severe; and (4) %predicted FVC mild vs moderate or severe. RESULTS: ML methodology identified IPF from CTD-ILD with AUCTEST = 0.893, while PFT was classified as DLCO moderate or mild vs severe with AUCTEST = 0.749, FVC moderate or mild vs severe with AUCTEST = 0.741, and FVC mild vs moderate or severe with AUCTEST = 0.739. Key features included albumin, alanine transaminase, %lymphocytes, hemoglobin, %eosinophils, white blood cell count, %monocytes, and %neutrophils. CONCLUSION: Analysis of CMP and CBC data via proposed ML methodology offers the potential to distinguish IPF from CTD-ILD and predict severity on associated PFT with accuracy that meets or exceeds current clinical practice.