Phyto-oestrogen intake in Scottish men: use of serum to validate a self-administered food-frequency questionnaire in older men.

OBJECTIVE: To study dietary intake and serum concentrations of isoflavones in order to provide relative validation of isoflavone intake estimates from the Scottish Collaborative Group - Food-Frequency Questionnaire (SCG-FFQ). DESIGN: Validation study. SETTING: Southern Scotland. METHOD: Dietary intake of isoflavones was estimated using the semiquantitative SCG-FFQ and rank correlation and Kappa statistics were used for the relative validation of intakes against serum isoflavone concentrations in 203 male participants who were population controls in a case-control study of diet and prostate cancer. RESULTS: The median intake of isoflavones (daidzein and genistein) was 1.0mg/day (l-QR 0.6-1.8). The median serum concentration of genistein was 33.79 nmol/l (I-QR 14.12-64.93), nearly twice that of daidzein (18.00 nmol/l, I-QR 8.26-29.45). Equol was detected in 49% of subjects; in these subjects the median was 0.67 nmol/l (I-QR 0.34-1.51). Isoflavone intake was significantly correlated with serum concentrations of daidzein (p = 0.24, P = 0.001), genistein (p = 0.26, P < 0.001) and total isoflavonoids (sum of daidzein, genistein and equol) ( p = 0.27, P < 0.001). Whereas values for weighted Kappa ranged from 0.16 (P = 0.002) for daidzein and equol combined to 0.22 (P < 0.001) for genistein. CONCLUSIONS: These results demonstrate the suitability of the SCG-FFQ to rank usual isoflavone intakes in older Scottish men, a population observed to have low consumption of soy foods.

A lack of a functional NAD(P)H:quinone oxidoreductase allele is selectively associated with pediatric leukemias that have MLL fusions. United Kingdom Childhood Cancer Study Investigators.

Rearrangements and fusion of the MLL gene with various alternative partner genes occur in approximately 80% of infant leukemias and are acquired during fetal hemopoiesis in utero. Similar MLL gene recombinants also occur in topoisomerase II-inhibiting drug-induced leukemias. These data have led to the suggestion that some infant leukemia may arise via transplacental fetal exposures during pregnancy to substances that form cleavable complexes with topoisomerase II and induce illegitimate recombination of the MLL gene. A structural feature shared by many topoisomerase II-inhibiting drugs and other chemicals is the quinone moiety. We assayed, by PCR-RFLP, for a polymorphism in an enzyme that detoxifies quinones, NAD(P)H:quinone oxidoreductase (NQO1), in a series (n = 36) of infant leukemias with MLL rearrangements versus unselected cord blood controls (n = 100). MLL-rearranged leukemias were more likely to have genotypes with low NQO1 function (heterozygous CT or homozygous TT at nucleotide 609) than controls (odds ratio, 2.5; P = 0.015). In contrast, no significant allele bias was seen in other groups of pediatric leukemias with TEL-AML1 fusions (n = 50) or hyperdiploidy (n = 29). In the subset of infant leukemias that had MLL-AF4 fusion genes (n = 21), the bias increase in low or null function NQO1 genotypes was more pronounced (odds ratio, 8.12; P = 0.00013). These data support the idea of a novel causal mechanism in infant leukemia involving genotoxic exposure in utero and modulation of impact on a selective target gene by an inherited allele encoding a rate-limiting step in a carcinogen detoxification pathway.

Transplacental chemical exposure and risk of infant leukemia with MLL gene fusion.

Infant acute leukemia (IAL) frequently involves breakage and recombination of the MLL gene with one of several potential partner genes. These gene fusions arise in utero and are similar to those found in leukemias secondary to chemotherapy with inhibitors of topoisomerase II (topo-II). This has led to the hypothesis that in utero exposures to chemicals may cause IAL via an effect on topo-II. We report a pilot case-control study of IAL across different countries and ethnic groups. Cases (n = 136) were population-based in most centers. Controls (n = 266) were selected from inpatients and outpatients at hospitals serving the same populations. MLL rearrangement status was derived by Southern blot analysis, and maternal exposure data were obtained by interviews using a structured questionnaire. Apart from the use of cigarettes and alcohol, very few mothers reported exposure to known topo-II inhibitors. Significant case-control differences were apparent for ingestion of several groups of drugs, including herbal medicines and drugs classified as "DNA-damaging," and for exposure to pesticides with the last two being largely attributable, respectively, to one nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug, dipyrone, and mosquitocidals (including Baygon). Elevated odds ratios were observed for MLL+ve (but not MLL-ve) leukemias (2.31 for DNA-damaging drugs, P = 0.03; 5.84 for dipyrone, P = 0.001; and 9.68 for mosquitocidals, P = 0.003). Although it is unclear at present whether these particular exposures operate via an effect on topo-II, the data suggest that specific chemical exposures of the fetus during pregnancy may cause MLL gene fusions. Given the widespread use of dipyrone, Baygon, and other carbamate-based insecticides in certain settings, confirmation of these apparent associations is urgently required.

An infectious etiology for common acute lymphoblastic leukemia in childhood?

Childhood leukemia is a biologically and clinically diverse disease and is likely to arise via a number of etiological pathways. The common, B-cell precursor, form of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (cALL) accounts for the peak of childhood leukemia at 2-5 years of age. Recent epidemiological data, reviewed here, indicate that risk of cALL is increased by higher socio-economic status, isolation, and other community characteristics suggestive of abnormal patterns of infection during infancy. These data are compatible with the emerging concept that cALL may be a rare response to common infection(s).

Ionising radiation and leukaemia potential risks: review based on the workshop held during the 10th Symposium on Molecular Biology of Hematopoiesis and Treatment of Leukemia and Lymphomas at Hamburg, Germany on 5 July 1997.

Unexplained clusters of childhood leukaemia have generated concern that they may be causally related to environmental exposure to ionising radiation. The workshop provides in-depth examination of the aetiology of childhood leukaemia, patterns of clustering exhibited by cases and the influence of exposure to ionising radiation. Special attention has been focussed on the EUROCLUS study of clustering of childhood leukaemia and monitoring of populations exposed to contamination following the Chernobyl accident. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that environmental ionising radiation exposure is a causative agent for small clusters such as that reported in the vicinity of the Krümmel nuclear facility

Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia incidence in the UK by immunophenotype.

The incidence of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) is described for both children and adults for the three major immunophenotypes: null, CD10-positive (CD+) which includes both common and pre-B types, and T-cell (including pre-T variants). The data are derived from a population-based specialist registry of leukaemias and lymphomas covering approximately one-half of England and Wales. Null ALL predominates in those under 1 year old and CD10+ ALL in the 1-7 year olds. There is a male excess at all ages for T-cell disease, which is particularly prominent in adolescents and young adults. The effect of socioeconomic levels is seen most clearly for CD10+ ALL in the childhood peak, where B-cell precursor disease occurs more frequently in areas of higher socioeconomic status.

Leukaemia Research Fund Data Collection Survey: descriptive epidemiology of chronic myeloid leukaemia.

This paper describes the recent epidemiology of chronic myeloid leukaemia occurring in selected parts of England and Wales. The overall rates for the pooled sexes is 1.0/10(5) per year and the geographical distributions described in this paper show remarkable homogeneity at county, district and electoral ward level. The implication of these observations is discussed.

The leukaemia research fund data collection survey: the incidence and geographical distribution of acute myeloid leukemia.

This paper reports on the 2,362 cases of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) accumulated by the Leukaemia Research Fund Data Collection Survey between January 1, 1984, and June 30, 1988 providing the recent geographical distribution and descriptive epidemiology of the AML group of conditions. Statistical approaches to this data set are described. The study shows sex differences in distribution for those aged under 55 years compared to older age groups, with variable male: female incidence in different age bands and a male excess in those over 55 years. A nonsignificant excess of females was noted in those under 5 years. The rates presented for 1984-1986 are higher than those previously described for England and Wales. Statistically significant variation in incidence was seen both between counties and districts. At electoral ward level regression analyses were suggestive of links between AML and higher social class and living close to estuaries.

The Leukaemia Research Fund Data Collection Study: descriptive epidemiology of acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

This paper reports on cases of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) recorded by a specialist registry of hematopoietic malignancies. The cases have been diagnosed since January 1, 1984, and originate from certain parts of the United Kingdom. The information is analyzed by age, sex, and area of residence at diagnosis. The age distribution shows a childhood peak but fails to show an adult peak previously reported in literature from abroad. At a broad geographic level the county of Cumbria is shown to display the highest rates of ALL in all ages both in the 3 years of formal analyses (1984-1986) and in the 2 recent years. The administrative districts of Copeland, Sedgemoor, and North Devon also show excesses in all ages with Copeland having the highest SRR and level of statistical significance. This is a new observation for Copeland, the district containing the Sellafield nuclear reprocessing facility in that the high rates are for all ages of ALL. These new data were not considered in earlier official reports about that area. A regression analysis at electoral ward level shows no statistically significant association but excesses of cases, which are mirrored in a larger "all leukemias" data set, occur in wards near estuaries (a new observation) and in the upper socioeconomic groups.

Epstein-Barr virus and Hodgkin's disease: further evidence for the three disease hypothesis.

The epidemiology of Hodgkin's disease suggests that it is a heterogeneous condition comprising more than one disease entity. The Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is present in the Reed-Sternberg cells of a proportion of cases and is likely to play a role in the pathogenesis of these cases. In this study we show that EBV association rates vary with age at diagnosis. We suggest that Hodgkin's disease can be divided into three disease entities on the basis of EBV association and age, thereby providing biological support for the multiple aetiology hypothesis proposed by MacMahon (Cancer Res 1966; 26: 1189-1290).

The Edinburgh Randomized Trial of Breast Cancer Screening.

This article presents additional follow-up analysis of women aged 45-49 from the Edinburgh Randomized Trial of Breast Cancer Screening. The screening protocol included four mammographic examinations at two-year intervals and seven annual clinical examinations. Altogether, 21,774 women aged 45-49 were recruited from 1978 to 1985 using cluster randomization. After 10-14 years of follow-up, breast cancer mortality has been reduced by 12% to 18% (rate ratios, with and without adjustment for socio-economic status, are 0.88 and 0.82 respectively, with 95% confidence intervals [CIs] of 0.55-1.41 and 0.51-1.32). These benefits are smaller than that reported previously with shorter follow-up. This article also presents data from an observational study that compared survival beyond baseline (50-52 years) of women first offered screening before and after age 50. Based on six-year data, the results suggest that earlier screening confers follow-up benefit (hazard ratio for later screening = 1.60; 95% CI: 0.96-2.67), but these findings are not statistically significant. The trial is too small to yield statistically significant results by itself, but can make useful contributions to overview and meta-analyses.

Study design of randomized controlled clinical trials of breast cancer screening.

Evaluation of population screening must be based on a randomized clinical trial (RCT) with the study population randomized into two arms: an intervention group invited to screening and a control group not invited to screening. Reduced mortality in the intervention group is evidence of a benefit from screening. Individual randomization is the ideal, but cluster randomization is often used for logistical and ethical reasons. The use of volunteer subjects is methodologically acceptable, but results cannot be generalized. Seven RCTs of breast cancer screening by mammography have been carried out in the United States, Canada, Sweden, and Scotland. All the studies, except the Canadian, were designed to assess the effect of screening across a wide range of ages at entry. The question of the efficacy of breast cancer screening at younger ages (< 50 years) arose early, after the first results were reported. To address this question, basic elements of the screening protocol must be considered when interpreting the results; these are screening modality (e.g., mammography with or without physical examinations), interscreening interval, and number of screening rounds. This article examines the possible influence of these factors and reviews the design choices and the characteristics of the seven RCTs.

Epstein-Barr Virus and HLA-DPB1-*0301 in young adult Hodgkin's disease: evidence for inherited susceptibility to Epstein-Barr Virus in cases that are EBV(+ve).

Cases of Hodgkin's disease (HD) may be distinguished by whether they do [EBV-positive ((+ve)) cases] or do not [EBV-negative ((-ve)) cases] have evidence of EBV DNA in the Reed-Sternberg cells. Only one study has attempted to distinguish epidemiological risk factors for EBV(+ve) and EBV(-ve) HD, and none have compared inherited susceptibility. The present study involves a population-based case series of HD, diagnosed in patients between 16-24 years of age in the United Kingdom (n = 118), of whom 87% were classified by EBV status (EBV(+ve), 19, EBV(-ve), 84). History of infectious illness, EBV antibody titers, and HLA-DPB1 type have been compared in EBV(+ve) and EBV(-ve) cases. Reported infectious mononucleosis was more frequent in EBV(+ve) cases (odds ratio (OR), 5.10; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.12-24.4). EBV antibody titers to viral capsid antigen were significantly higher in EBV(+ve) cases (P for trend = 0.02). Higher proportions of EBV(+ve) (43%) than EBV(-ve) (31%) cases typed positive for HLA-DPB1*0301, but this was not statistically significant; the association of infectious mononucleosis with EBV(+ve) cases was stronger in this HLA subgroup (OR, 17.1; 95%CI, 1.06-1177) than in other cases (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.02-15.4). Although these results are based on small numbers of HD cases, they provide suggestive evidence that the etiology of EBV(+ve) HD may involve inherited susceptibility to EBV.

Viruses, clusters and clustering of childhood leukaemia: a new perspective?

Clusters of childhood leukaemia have, during a lengthy and controversial history, focussed attention on two alternative putative aetiological agents: infections and localised environmental pollution. In the United Kingdom emphasis is currently placed on the latter because of reports of localised clusters in the vicinity of two nuclear reprocessing plants. Now the most recent studies of spatial clustering in the United Kingdom also support the hypothesis that a substantial population of cases of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) arise as a rare host response to certain patterns of exposure to common infectious agents--the aberrant response model. Relevant aspects of the epidemiology of ALL are reviewed from this perspective and the hypothesis shown to be capable of unifying reported associations with different types of risk factor. It is probable that specific agent(s) are involved though none have been identified and these may share many epidemiological characteristics of herpes viruses. The possible relevance of these results to associations with prenatal parental occupational exposures to dusts and ionising radiation is explored.

Community lifestyle characteristics and lymphoid malignancies in young people in the UK.

Data from a specialist registry of haematopoietic malignancies in England and Wales (1984-1988) have been analysed to investigate variations of incidence by age and diagnostic subtype of lymphoid malignancies in young people (aged 0-24 years). Attention has been focussed on the role of community lifestyle indicators for small areas, derived from routine sources, in an ecological analysis. The predominant conditions were acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL)--42.4%, and Hodgkin's disease (HD)--37.5%. Lowest overall incidence at approximately 8 years of age corresponded to the termination of the childhood peak for ALL. Opposite trends of incidence rates with distance from urban centres (urban distance) were observed for the two age groups: odds ratios (OR) for areas greater than 20 km from towns and cities were 1.46 (95% confidence interval 1.01-2.12) for ages 0-7 and 0.75 (95% confidence interval 0.56-0.99) for ages 8-24. For the younger group this was entirely attributable to ALL. HD, which was dominant in the older group, had highest incidence in connurbations but the gradient of risk for older onset ALL followed the overall pattern for this age group. A positive relationship with socioeconomic status was evident for both age groups but this was considerably stronger for the older cases (OR = 1.16, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.33) than for the younger for whom it was not independent of urban distance. These results display an association between expression of lymphoid malignancies in young people and urban distance which is not attributable to socioeconomic status; for urban distances the distribution is shifted towards ALL and towards younger age at onset.

Little or no space-time clustering found amongst cases of childhood lymphoma in North West England.

We have examined space-time clustering amongst cases of lymphoma in children, aged 0-14 years, using population-based data from the North West of England for the period 1954-2001. There was little or no evidence for space-time clustering amongst all the lymphomas or amongst those sub-groups identified in advance.

European School of Oncology Advisory report to the European Commission for the "Europe Against Cancer Programme" European Code Against Cancer.

A European School of Oncology Advisory Group has reviewed the European Code Against Cancer after its initial use over a 6-year period. With minor modifications, the original ten recommendations were found to be adequate, although it was agreed that an Annex was necessary to explain the scientific evidence supporting each point, and is presented herewith. Tobacco smoking clearly remains the most important cause of cancer, and now it can be quantified better than ever before. It is also clear that it is never too late to stop smoking: stopping even in middle age, prior to the onset of serious illness has a beneficial effect on life expectancy. Alcohol drinking is an important cause of cancer, and yet modest consumption levels protect against cardiovascular disease mortality. The optimal strategy seems to be a consumption not exceeding 2-3 drinks per day, although this limit may be lower for women. Increased consumption of fruits and vegetables, reduction in consumption of fatty foods, reduction of obesity and increased physical activity can all be recommended to reduce cancer risk. Exposure to excessive sunlight remains a problem which should be limited. Control of occupational cancer is a three-way partnership: legislation identifies and limits exposure to known carcinogens, employers enact the legislation and workers should respect the measures introduced. There are a number of signs and symptoms which may lead to cancer being diagnosed earlier, and patients with these should be referred to a doctor. For women, participation in organised programmes of cervical cancer and breast cancer (after 50 years of age) should lead to a reduction in mortality from these forms of cancer. The key element is organised programmes, where quality control and quality assurance are in force. These revised recommendations are the result of an agreement following advice, review and dialogue with cancer experts throughout Europe. They were approved by the European Community Cancer Experts at their meeting in Bonn on 28-29 November 1994. Their implementation by the European population should greatly reduce cancer incidence and mortality.

Case clustering, Epstein-Barr virus Reed-Sternberg cell status and herpes virus serology in Hodgkin's disease: results of a case-control study.

The Leukaemia Research Fund Data Collection Study (DCS) is a specialist registry of leukaemias and lymphomas. The present study involves 494 cases of Hodgkin's disease (HD) registered with the DCS between 1985 and 1989. This entire data set has been tested for localised spatial clustering using an established nearest neighbour method with 18% of all cases in young people classified as clustered (P < 0.05). No clustering was found in older cases. Subsamples were selected from the registered cases for a pilot study in which case clustering, herpes virus antibody titres and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) presence within the Reed-Sternberg (RS) cells (EBV-RS status) were investigated together. Firstly, a case-control study of HD in young people or nodular sclerosing (NS) subtype (39 HD cases and 26 healthy controls) found significant elevation of antibody titres to EBV-viral capsid antigen (VCA), EBV-early antigen (EA) and human herpes virus 6 (HHV-6) in HD cases compared with controls. EBV viral genome was present in 5 cases and 4 of these were in clusters of HD in young people. Elevation of antibody titres to the EBV antigens was not associated with case clustering or EBV-RS status. Antibody titres to HHV-6 differed significantly between EBV-RS+ and EBV-RS- cases (P = 0.04). Geometric mean titres for HHV-6 for EBV-RS+ and EBV-RS- cases were 11.5 and 73.7, respectively, with the former lower than the control value of 20.5. Secondly, a cluster study included all other cases (n = 14) in clusters containing known EBV-RS+ cases. 3 further cases were EBV-RS+ positive but no cluster consisted entirely of positive cases. Overall, 5/16 clustered, 2/12 peripheral and 1/25 random cases in these studies were EBV-RS+ (P = 0.017). The interpretation of these results in terms of shared aetiological exposures of cases within clusters and the roles of EBV and HHV-6 is discussed, and hypotheses for testing in future studies proposed.

Population density and childhood leukaemia: results of the EUROCLUS Study.

The EUROCLUS study assembled incidence data for 13,551 cases of childhood leukaemia (CL) diagnosed between 1980 and 1989 in 17 countries (or regions of countries). These were referenced by location at diagnosis to small census areas of which there were 25,723 in the study area. Population counts, surface area and, hence, population density were available for all these small areas. Previous analyses have shown limited extra-Poisson variation (EPV) of case counts within small areas; this is most pronounced in areas of intermediate population density (150-499 persons/km2). In this study, the data set was examined in more detail for evidence that variations in incidence and EPV of CL are associated with population density. Incidence showed a curvilinear association with population density and was highest in areas which were somewhat more densely populated (500-750 persons/km2), where the incidence rate ratio relative to areas having > or = 1000 persons/km2 was 1.16 (95% confidence interval 1.07-1.26) and the P value for quadratic trend across eight strata of population density was 0.02. Incidence in these areas is uniformly elevated and showed no evidence of heterogeneity (i.e. EPV). Statistically significant evidence of EPV was evident amongst some of the areas previously classified as intermediate density areas (specifically, those with a density of 250-499 persons/km2, P < 0.001 for CL). These results were interpreted in terms of the current aetiological hypotheses for CL which propose that exposure to localised epidemics of one or more common infectious agent may contribute to the development of leukaemia. They suggest that such epidemics arise regularly in moderately densely populated areas and also sporadically in areas which are somewhat less densely populated. Although other interpretations are possible, these results may assist in the identification of characteristics which infectious agents must possess if direct or indirect causes of CL.

A comparison of three methods of analysis for age-period-cohort models with application to incidence data on non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

BACKGROUND: Various methods of analysis have been used to study age-period-cohort models. The main aim of this paper is to illustrate and compare three such methods. Those of Clayton and Schifflers, Robertson and Boyle, and De Carli and La Vecchia. The main differences between these methods lie in their approach to distinguish between linear-period and linear-cohort effects. Clayton and Schifflers do not attempt to solve this identification problem, whereas Robertson and Boyle, and De Carli and La Vecchia attempt to tackle this question. METHODS: In order to study the assumptions and problems of these methods, we analysed data from 2678 subjects aged 30-84 in Yorkshire, UK, who were diagnosed with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) during the period 1978-1991. Loglinear Poisson models were used to examine the effects of age, period and cohort. RESULTS: All three methods of analysis agree that, after stratification for sex and county, the age-standardized rate has been increasing at about 5% per year. The Robertson-Boyle method differed from the Clayton-Schifflers method in showing a significant non-linear cohort effect, and a significant county-cohort interaction. The method of De Carli-La Vecchia agreed more closely with Clayton-Schifflers than with Robertson-Boyle. CONCLUSIONS: The linear increase in incidence would lead to a doubling of the number of cases within 15 years. There is controversy over whether the identification problem can be solved and should be solved. Many authors would not rely on the results of the methods of Robertson and Boyle, or De Carli and La Vacchia.