Analyzing the number of "rejection episodes" in renal transplant studies.

Transplantation has become the treatment of choice for many chronic and debilitating diseases. Generally, the primary endpoints in evaluating therapy are graft and patient survival time. However, an important secondary outcome is the number of "rejection episodes" experienced by study patients. This response has a distinctive statistical character. That is, it is a categorical variable since it assumes only a small number of integer values, but it is measured on a ratio-level scale since the ratio of any two values is scientifically meaningful. Historical methods for analyzing this endpoint, for example, t tests, logistic regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis, have failed to take these characteristics into account. In this study, we investigated statistical procedures for analyzing the number of rejection episodes arising during the first three months posttransplant. Data compiled by the Multiple Organ Retrieval and Exchange (MORE) of the Province of Ontario were used for this purpose. It was found that assumptions underlying normal distributional techniques were not satisfied by these data. An alternative model based on Poisson regression models was considered and was shown to provide an adequate fit.

The role of cold ischemia in a provincial organ-sharing program in the cyclosporine era.

Prolonged cold ischemia has been associated with impaired early cadaver renal allograft function. The role of CsA in potentiating these effects is not well understood, but CsA has been implicated in promoting delayed graft function and potentiating renal ischemic injury. In order to establish whether CsA is safely tolerated by kidneys subjected to protracted cold ischemia, we examined patient and graft outcome in a series of 1081 patients receiving cadaver-kidney transplants over an 8-year period (1981-1988). All patients received a standard immunosuppressive regimen that included CsA. Overall actuarial 1-year patient and graft survival rates were 96% and 80%, respectively. Renal preservation was achieved either by pulsatile perfusion (n = 261, 24%) or simple cold storage (n = 820, 76%). Results were analyzed according to total cold ischemic time as follows: 0-23 hr (n = 512; range, 0-23.9 hr); 24-35 hr (n = 380; range, 24.0-35.9 hr); 36-47 hr (n = 161; range, 36.0-47.7 hr); greater than or equal to 48 hr (n = 28; range, 48.0-70.6 hr). These groups did not differ significantly in recipient age, sex, incidence of diabetes, number of pretransplant blood transfusions, level of presensitization, or HLA match. There were no differences in overall actuarial 1-year patient or graft survival rates, incidence of rejection, or renal function at 1 year. There was a higher incidence of impaired early graft function for kidneys preserved greater than or equal to 48 hr, but eventual graft outcome, including serum creatinine at 1 year, was unchanged. Delayed introduction of CsA resulted in improved 1-year graft survival (84.4% vs. 74.7%, P less than 0.05) compared to CsA treatment begun at the time of transplantation ("initial CsA"). This improvement was present regardless of total cold ischemia time. The incidence of permanent graft nonfunction, which has been previously reported to increase with CsA therapy, was influenced by the timing of CsA therapy (initial: 12%; delayed: 3%, P less than 0.05) but was not affected by duration of cold ischemia. Thus, safe preservation of cadaver kidneys for up to 70 h can be achieved by standard techniques even when CsA is incorporated into the immunosuppressive regimen. The most important determinants of graft survival in these patients are the timing of CsA therapy and the presence of early graft function, not the duration of renal preservation.

Procoagulant activity in renal transplant recipients.

Procoagulant activity (PCA) of leukocytes of renal transplant recipients was studied. This material, which activates coagulation, has previously been shown to be released from macrophages after they interact with mitogen-stimulated or antigen-stimulated T lymphocytes. Under endotoxin-free conditions, PCA of peripheral blood leukocytes, incubated for 90 min in tissue culture, was elevated in postoperative transplant recipients and in many transplant patients tested around the time of a rejection episode. The response to lipopolysaccharide added during culture was also increased in these populations. The PCA response was factor-VII-dependent when tested with washed peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC), but was factor-VII-independent when tested with unwashed PBMC in their original culture medium. The results indicate a possible link between immunologic events and coagulation in transplant recipients.

Early function as the principal correlate of graft survival. A multivariate analysis of 200 cadaveric renal transplants treated with a protocol incorporating antilymphocyte globulin and cyclosporine.

We examined the factors determining graft survival in 200 consecutive cadaveric renal transplants managed on a quadruple-therapy protocol: Minnesota antilymphoblast globulin, cyclosporine, azathioprine, and low-dose prednisone. Perioperative central venous pressure monitoring and volume expansion were emphasized. To avoid CsA nephrotoxicity in the early posttransplant period, patients were treated with ALG until renal function was established (a mean of 7 days). Therapeutic CsA levels were achieved before ALG was discontinued. Azathioprine was used to supplement CsA in patients with nephrotoxicity or rejection. Twelve-month graft survival was 85% (first transplants 86%, retransplants 79%), with patient survival of 95%. ALG was not associated with excessive clinical cytomegalovirus infections, which occurred in 5% of patients, or with malignancy. When 3 technical failures were excluded, an analysis of numerous factors in the pretransplant and peritransplant period revealed that the strongest correlate of one-year graft survival was early renal function. Grafts with delayed function (DF) had 75% survival, compared with 91% for grafts with good early function (EF). A multivariate analysis confirmed this association: the relative risk of graft loss was increased 2.86 times for DF compared with EF. The mechanism of the deleterious effect of DF was apparently multifactorial: the DF group, by definition, contained all the kidneys that never functioned, but some risk also persisted in kidneys that achieved function. One reason for this may be that DF kidneys that achieved function had higher mean serum creatinine values at 1 month: elevated serum creatinine values at 1 month were strongly associated with increased risk of graft loss regardless of initial function. There was also a higher number of rejection episodes diagnosed in the DF group. These observations suggest that early renal function is a major determinant of graft outcome and should be a target for efforts to further improve renal graft survival.

Combined active-passive immunization against tetanus in man.

A schedule for the prevention of tetanus in the injured, which has been in operation in the emergency department of a large hospital for over two years, is proposed. For the majority of nonimmunized persons, it is recommended that a dose of toxoid and 50 units tetanus immune globulin (human) (TIGH) be given, in separate sites, to be followed later by additional doses of toxoid for the completion of active immunization. Combined active-passive immunization with tetanus toxoid and 50 units TIGH gives a low level of passive immunity and stimulates early onset of active immunization. In combined active-passive immunization, adsorbed tetanus toxoid produced a significantly higher response than the fluid toxoid. The injection of 400 units TIGH somewhat suppressed the induction of immunity following the first dose of AlPO(4)-tetanus toxoid.