Higher intraindividual variability of body mass index is associated with elevated risk of COVID-19 related hospitalization and post-COVID conditions.

BACKGROUND: Cardiometabolic diseases are risk factors for COVID-19 severity. The extent that cardiometabolic health represents a modifiable factor to mitigate the short- and long-term consequences from SARS-CoV-2 remains unclear. Our objective was to evaluate the associations between intraindividual variability of cardiometabolic health indicators and COVID-19 related hospitalizations and post-COVID conditions (PCC) among a relatively healthy population. METHODS: This retrospective, multi-site cohort study was a post-hoc analysis among individuals with cardiometabolic health data collected during routine blood donation visits in 24 US states (2009-2018) and who responded to COVID-19 questionnaires (2021-2023). Intraindividual variability of blood pressure (systolic, diastolic), total circulating cholesterol, and body mass index (BMI) were defined as the coefficient of variation (CV) across all available donation timepoints (ranging from 3 to 74); participants were categorized into CV quartiles. Associations were evaluated by multivariable binomial regressions. RESULTS: Overall, 3344 participants provided 42,090 donations (median 9 [IQR 5, 17]). The median age was 48 years (38, 56) at the first study donation. 1.2% (N = 40) were hospitalized due to COVID-19 and 15.5% (N = 519) had PCC. Higher BMI variability was associated with greater risk of COVID-19 hospitalization (4th quartile aRR 4.15 [95% CI 1.31, 13.11], p = 0.02; 3rd quartile aRR 3.41 [95% CI 1.09, 10.69], p = 0.04). Participants with higher variability of BMI had greater risk of PCC (4th quartile aRR 1.29 [95% CI 1.02, 1.64]; p = 0.04). Intraindividual variability of blood pressure (systolic, diastolic) and total circulating cholesterol were not associated with COVID-19 hospitalization or PCC risk (all p > 0.05). From causal mediation analysis, the association between the highest quartiles of BMI variability and PCC was not mediated by hospitalization (p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Higher intraindividual variability of BMI was associated with COVID-19 hospitalization and PCC risk. Our findings underscore the need for further elucidating mechanisms that explain these associations and importance for consistent maintenance of body weight.

Heterogeneities of the impact of public health policies on HIV/AIDS indicators in Brazil according to sociodemographic factors: A real-life study.

INTRODUCTION: The impact of specific policies on HIV care has been scarcely investigated. In this study we aimed to analyze the impact of the Treatment For All policy (TFA-2013) and the adoption of integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTIs-2017) as first-line therapy on clinical indicators of people living with HIV (PLHIV) in Brazil. METHODS: We assessed the public database of Brazil's Ministry of Health and extracted data from 2009 to 2019. We investigated the impact of TFA and INSTIs with a time-series analysis of four health indicators in PLHIV: antiretroviral treatment (ART) initiation with a CD4+ count >500/mm3 ; ART initiation <1 month after the first CD4+ measurement; viral load suppression (VLS); and treatment adherence. We explored trends over time by gender, age, macroregion of residency and municipal-level social vulnerability index. RESULTS: We included 753 316 PLHIV in 2019. Most were males (64.81%) in the 30-49 years age category (50.86%). We observed an overall improvement in all HIV clinical indicators, with notable impact of TFA on timely ART initiation and VLS, and mild impact of INSTIs on treatment adherence. Such improvements were heterogeneous, with remarkable gaps in gender, age and socioeconomic groups that have persisted over time. Indicators point to inferior outcomes among children, older adults, women and people living in socially vulnerable locations. CONCLUSIONS: Recent Brazilian public policies have had positive impacts on key HIV clinical indicators. However, our results highlight the need for specific policies to improve HIV care for children, older adults, women and socially vulnerable groups.

HIV drug resistance, viral suppression, and survival in children living with HIV in Brazil.

INTRODUCTION: Mutations associated with HIV drug resistance (DR) affect clinical outcomes. Understanding the prevalence of HIV DR and its association with viral suppression and survival in the paediatric population is key to inform patient care and health policies. METHODS: We used Brazilian monitoring systems to identify genotyping tests performed in children living with HIV aged ≤18 months between 2009 and 2020. We categorized HIV DR using three criteria: any HIV DR (R1), DR to nevirapine or efavirenz (R2), and DR to at least one antiretroviral recommended for children with HIV in Brazilian guidelines (R3). We investigated factors associated with HIV DR, viral suppression, and survival up to 3 years old using multivariable models. Lastly, we describe the annual prevalence of each type of HIV DR in Brazilian children with HIV between 2009 and 2020. RESULTS: We included 1152 children with HIV with a median age of 5 months at genotype testing; 57% were females. R1 was observed in 30%, R2 in 17%, and R3 in 21%. Children with HIV whose birth parents were exposed to nevirapine or efavirenz before delivery had higher odds of R2 (odds ratio 3.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-10.8). Children with HIV with R1 or R3 had higher rates of death than those with HIV with no HIV DR in the adjusted models (adjusted hazard ratios 4.7 [95% CI 1.6-13.9] and 4.1 [95% CI 1.4-12.4], respectively). The prevalence of resistance to nevirapine and efavirenz peaked in 2015. Over time, the prevalence of genotyping tests with no detected resistance varied between 57% and 87%. CONCLUSION: HIV DR is highly prevalent in children with HIV and is associated with lower survival.

SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels and long COVID occurrence in blood donors.

BACKGROUND: Long COVID is a common condition lacking consensus definition; determinants remain incompletely understood. Characterizing immune profiles associated with long COVID could support the development of preventive and therapeutic strategies. METHODS: We used a survey to investigate blood donors' infection/vaccination history and acute/persistent symptoms following COVID-19. The prevalence of long COVID was evaluated using self-report and an adapted definition from the RECOVER study. We evaluated factors associated with long COVID, focusing on anti-spike and anti-nucleocapsid SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Lastly, we investigated long COVID clinical subphenotypes using hierarchical clustering. RESULTS: Of 33,610 participants, 16,003 (48%) reported having had COVID-19; 1853 (12%) had self-reported long COVID, 685 (4%) met an adapted RECOVER definition, and 2050 (13%) met at least one definition. Higher anti-nucleocapsid levels measured 12-24 weeks post-infection were associated with higher risk of self-reported and RECOVER long COVID. Higher anti-spike IgG levels measured 12-24 weeks post-infection were associated with lower risk of self-reported long COVID. Higher total anti-spike measured 24-48 weeks post-infection was associated with lower risk of RECOVER long COVID. Cluster analysis identified four clinical subphenotypes; patterns included neurological and psychiatric for cluster 1; neurological and respiratory for cluster 2; multi-systemic for cluster 3; and neurological for cluster 4. DISCUSSION: Long COVID prevalence in blood donors varies depending on the adopted definition. Anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies were time-dependently associated with long COVID; higher anti-nucleocapsid levels were associated with higher risk; and higher anti-spike levels were associated with lower risk of long COVID. Different underlying pathophysiologic mechanisms may be associated with distinct clinical subphenotypes.

Viral Kinetics in Sylvatic Yellow Fever Cases.

BACKGROUND: Yellow fever is a mosquito-borne zoonotic disease caused by yellow fever virus (YFV). Between 2017 and 2019, more than 504 human cases and 176 deaths were confirmed in the outskirts of São Paulo city. Throughout this outbreak, studies suggested a potential association between YFV viremia and mortality. METHODS: Viral ribonucleic acid was measured using reverse-transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction in plasma samples collected at up to 5 time points, between 3 and 120 days after symptoms onset. RESULTS: Eighty-four patients with confirmed YFV infection were included. Most were males, median age was 42, and 30 (36%) died. Deceased patients were older than survivors (P = .003) and had a higher viremia across all time points (P = .0006). Mean values of viremia had a positive, statistically significant correlation with peak values of neutrophils, indirect bilirubin, aspartate transaminase, international normalized ratio, and creatinine. Finally, a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for age and laboratory variables showed that viremia is independently associated with death, with a mean 1.84-fold increase (84%) in the hazard of death (P < .001) for each unit increase in mean log10 viremia. CONCLUSIONS: Our results raise the importance of monitoring YFV viremia and suggest a potential benefit of antiviral drugs or neutralizing monoclonal antibodies early in the course of this infection to improve disease outcomes.

Disparities in HIV continuum of care in the paediatric population: A real-life study in Brazil.

INTRODUCTION: Paediatric HIV follow-up is challenging, and treatment indicators are markedly far from Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) goals. In this study, we describe the 2019 Brazilian HIV cascade according to age categories and sociodemographic variables and address temporal trends between 2009 and 2019. METHODS: We obtained data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health monitoring database. Cascade outcomes included retention in care, antiretroviral use, and viral suppression. We assessed the effect of age on timely initiation of antiretroviral treatment (ART; initiation with CD4+ T-cell count ≥350 cells/mm3 or a first ART dispensation ≤30 days after the first CD4+ T-cell measurement) and detectable HIV viral load (>50 copies/mL) in univariable and multivariable analysis adjusted for sex, race, and social vulnerability index (SVI). Temporal trends in timely ART initiation and viral suppression were evaluated graphically. RESULTS: Among 771 774 people living with HIV, those in the youngest age categories had poorer indicators in the care cascade. Those in younger age groups, those with higher SVI, and those declaring Black and native Brazilian race/ethnicity had higher odds of having detectable viral load and delayed ART initiation. Although children living with HIV tend to start ART with higher CD4+ T-cell counts, time-series analysis suggests that improvements in treatment indicators seen in the adult population are not observed in the paediatric population. CONCLUSION: Our results highlight the challenges faced by children and adolescents living with HIV in achieving UNAIDS goals. Lower access to ART among children is a central barrier to improved paediatric care.

The pervasive association between political ideology and COVID-19 vaccine uptake in Brazil: an ecologic study.

BACKGROUND: Despite the unequivocal benefits of vaccination, vaccine coverage has been falling in several countries in the past few years. Studies suggest that vaccine hesitancy is an increasingly significant phenomenon affecting adherence to vaccines. More recently, during the COVID-19 pandemic, political views have emerged as an additional influencing factor for vaccine hesitancy. METHODS: In this ecologic study, we used information from publicly available databases to investigate the association between political ideology, depicted by the percentage of votes for the right-wing candidate Jair Bolsonaro in the presidential elections of 2018 and 2022, and COVID-19 vaccination in Brazilian municipalities. The primary endpoint was the COVID-19 vaccination index, calculated as the number of COVID-19 vaccine doses administered up to September 2022 divided by the number of inhabitants in each municipality. The analysis was conducted using Pearson correlation coefficients and linear regression models adjusted for HDI, the percentage of male voters, the percentage of voters who were older than 50 years old, and the percentage of voters with a middle school education or less. In addition, we explored whether the effect of the percentage of Bolsonaro voters on the COVID-19 vaccination index was modified in different quartiles of HDI using an interaction term. RESULTS: Five thousand five hundred sixty-three Brazilian municipalities were included in the analysis. For both the 2018 and 2022 elections, the percentage of votes for Jair Bolsonaro was significantly and inversely associated with COVID-19 vaccine uptake after adjustment for the sociodemographic characteristics of the voters (change in mean vaccination index in 2018 for each 1% increase in Bolsonaro voters -0.11, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.13 to -0.08, p < 0.001; change in mean vaccination index in 2022 for each 1% increase in Bolsonaro voters -0.09, 95% CI -0.11 to -0.07, p < 0.001). We also found a statistically significant interaction between the primary predictor of interest and HDI scores, with a more significantly detrimental effect of the right-wing political stance in municipalities in the lower HDI quartiles (interaction p < 0.001 for the first HDI quartile; p = 0.001 for the second HDI quartile). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that political ideologies have influenced COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in Brazilian municipalities, affecting communities inequitably. The politicization of vaccines is a new challenge for vaccine programs. Strategies to face these challenges should include joint efforts from governments and civil society for a common public health goal.

Say it right: measuring the impact of different communication strategies on the decision to get vaccinated.

BACKGROUND: Vaccine hesitancy is a concerning menace to the control of vaccine-preventable diseases. Effective health communication could promote an overall understanding of the importance, risks, and benefits of vaccination and reduce vaccine hesitancy. METHODS: In this survey, four fictitious newspaper articles addressing an emerging bogus disease and its vaccine were randomly assigned to participants. The first version focused on information about the disease; the second was akin to the first, including a case description and image. The third version focused on vaccine safety/efficacy; the fourth version was like the third, including a case description and image. After reading a single version of the article, participants responded if they would take the vaccine and if they would vaccinate their children. We used chi-squared tests for comparisons and investigated interactions with vaccine-hesitant attitudes. RESULTS: We included 5233 participants between August/2021 and January/2022; 790 were caregivers of a child ≤ 5 years old, and 15% had prior vaccine hesitancy. Although most declared intention to take the vaccine, the percentage was highest among those exposed to the newspaper article focusing on the vaccine safety/efficacy with the case description and picture (91%; 95% confidence interval 89-92%), and lowest among participants exposed to the article focusing on the disease with no case description (84%; 95% confidence interval 82-86%). Similar trends were observed in the intention of offspring vaccination. We found evidence of effect modification by vaccine-hesitant attitudes, with a higher impact of communication focusing on vaccine safety/efficacy compared to that focusing on disease characteristics among hesitant participants. CONCLUSION: Communication strategies focusing on different aspects of the disease-vaccine duet may impact vaccine hesitancy, and storytelling/emotive imagery descriptions may improve risk perception and vaccine uptake. Moreover, the effect of message framing strategies may differ according to previous vaccine hesitant attitudes.

Impact of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on HIV testing and care provision across four continents.

OBJECTIVES: The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has been associated with severe disruptions in health care services, and nonpharmacological measures such as social distancing also have an impact on access to screening tests and on the long-term care of patients with chronic conditions globally. We aimed to describe the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV testing and treatment and to describe strategies employed to mitigate the impact of COVID-19 on HIV care. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we used secondary data from the AIDS Healthcare Foundation (AHF) Global Quality Program from 44 countries in four continents (Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, Europe and Africa), and compared information on HIV testing, percentage of positive results, number of in-person appointments, and number of new enrolments in HIV care from 1 January 2020 to 31 August 2020 with the equivalent period in 2019. RESULTS: Despite marked inter-country heterogeneities, we found that COVID-19 was associated with a significant reduction in HIV testing, an increase in the percentage of positive tests, a reduction in the number of in-person consultations and a reduction in the number of new enrolments in care, despite the implementation of several mitigation strategies. The impact of COVID-19 differed across continents and key populations. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that, in the years to come, health care services must be prepared to respond to the impact of COVID-19 on HIV testing and care. Providers and facilities should build on the lessons learned so far to further improve mitigation strategies and establish care priorities for both the pandemic and the post-pandemic periods.

Clinical outcomes of HIV-syphilis coinfection among patients with no neurological symptoms: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to describe and compare the occurrence of neurological outcomes and neurosyphilis in people living with HIV with incident syphilis and no neurological symptoms who underwent early screening for asymptomatic neurosyphilis (ANS) or regular clinical management without a lumbar puncture. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study in a single referral centre of Sao Paulo, Brazil. Patients with incident syphilis diagnosed between January 2000 and August 2016 and meeting the adapted criteria for ANS investigation suggested by Marra et al. (CD4+ T-cell counts ≤350 cells/mm³ and/or venereal disease research laboratory test results ≥1:16) were identified. Those with no neurological symptoms and immediately referred for lumbar puncture were categorized as group 1, and those not referred for cerebrospinal fluid collection were categorized as group 2. We compared the occurrence of neurological symptoms and neurosyphilis diagnoses between the groups using incidence rates and Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: We included 425 participants with a median follow-up of 6 years. The incidence rate of neurological symptoms was 36.5/1000 person-years in group 1 and 40.6/1000 person-years in group 2 (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.57-1.39; p = 0.62). The incidence rate of neurosyphilis was 15.0 cases/1000 person-years in group 1 and 6.7 cases/1000 person-years in group 2 (IRR 2.26; 95% CI 0.93-5.68; p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: We found no statistically significant differences between groups in the incidence rates of neurological symptoms and neurosyphilis. Our findings support the current guidelines, which suggest a less invasive approach regarding ANS investigation among people living with HIV with incident syphilis.