Trends in non-daily cigarette smoking in England, 2006-2024.

BACKGROUND: Cigarette smoking is incredibly harmful, even for people who do not smoke every day. This study aimed to estimate trends in non-daily smoking in England between 2006 and 2024, how these differed across population subgroups, and to explore changes in the profile of non-daily smokers in terms of their sociodemographic and smoking characteristics and vaping and alcohol consumption. METHODS: Data were collected monthly between November 2006 and April 2024 as part of a nationally representative, repeat cross-sectional survey of adults (≥ 18 years; n = 353,711). We used logistic regression to estimate associations between survey wave and non-daily smoking and used descriptive statistics to characterise the profile of non-daily smokers across 3-year periods. RESULTS: The proportion who smoked non-daily was relatively stable between November 2006 and November 2013, at an average of 10.5% [10.1-10.9%] of cigarette smokers, then increased to 27.2% [26.0-28.4%] of cigarette smokers (4.0% [3.7-4.2%] of adults) by April 2024. This increase was particularly pronounced among younger adults (e.g. reaching 52.8%, 20.4%, and 14.4% of 18-, 45-, and 65-year-old cigarette smokers by April 2024) and those who vape (reaching 34.2% among vapers vs. 23.1% among non-vapers). Over time, there were reductions in non-daily smokers' mean weekly cigarette consumption (from 34.3 in 2006-2009 to 21.1 in 2021-2024), urges to smoke (e.g. the proportion reporting no urges increased from 29.2 to 38.0%), and motivation to stop smoking (e.g. the proportion highly motivated to quit within the next 3 months decreased from 30.8 to 21.0%). CONCLUSIONS: An increasing proportion of adults in England who smoke cigarettes do not smoke every day, particularly younger adults. Although non-daily smokers report smoking fewer cigarettes and weaker urges to smoke than they used to, which may make it easier for them to stop smoking, they appear to be decreasingly motivated to quit.

Characterising smoking and nicotine use behaviours among women of reproductive age: a 10-year population study in England.

BACKGROUND: Tobacco smoking affects women's fertility and is associated with substantial risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes. This study explored trends by socioeconomic position in patterns of smoking, use of non-combustible nicotine products, and quitting activity among women of reproductive age in England. METHODS: Data come from a nationally representative monthly cross-sectional survey. Between October 2013 and October 2023, 197,266 adults (≥ 18 years) were surveyed, of whom 44,052 were women of reproductive age (18-45 years). Main outcome measures were current smoking, vaping, and use of nicotine replacement therapy (NRT), heated tobacco products (HTPs), and nicotine pouches; mainly/exclusively smoking hand-rolled cigarettes and level of dependence among current smokers; past-year quit attempts among past-year smokers; and success of quit attempts among those who tried to quit. We modelled time trends in these outcomes, overall and by occupational social grade (ABC1 = more advantaged/C2DE = less advantaged). RESULTS: Smoking prevalence among women of reproductive age fell from 28.7% [95%CI = 26.3-31.2%] to 22.4% [19.6-25.5%] in social grades C2DE but there was an uncertain increase from 11.7% [10.2-13.5%] to 14.9% [13.4-16.6%] in ABC1. By contrast, among all adults and among men of the same age, smoking prevalence remained relatively stable in ABC1. Vaping prevalence among women of reproductive age more than tripled, from 5.1% [4.3-6.0%] to 19.7% [18.0-21.5%], with the absolute increase more pronounced among those in social grades C2DE (reaching 26.7%; 23.3-30.3%); these changes were larger than those observed among all adults but similar to those among men of the same age. The proportion of smokers mainly/exclusively smoking hand-rolled cigarettes increased from 40.5% [36.3-44.9%] to 61.4% [56.5-66.1%] among women of reproductive age; smaller increases were observed among all adults and among men of the same age. Patterns on other outcomes were largely similar between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among women of reproductive age, there appears to have been a rise in smoking prevalence in the more advantaged social grades over the past decade. Across social grades, there have been substantial increases in the proportion of women of reproductive age who vape and shifts from use of manufactured to hand-rolled cigarettes among those who smoke. These changes have been more pronounced than those observed in the general adult population over the same period.

Vomiting despite adherence to guidelines: Suboptimal control of vomiting in pediatric cancer patients.

OBJECTIVE: Vomiting is a common and distressing acute side effect of chemotherapy, negatively impacting quality of life, nutritional status, and the ability of patients to tolerate further treatment. Standardized guidelines have been developed to improve control of nausea and vomiting. We aimed to determine the benefit of adherence to clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) on complete control of acute chemotherapy-induced vomiting in newly diagnosed pediatric patients with cancer. METHODS: An electronic dashboard of pediatric patients newly diagnosed with cancer at Phoenix Children's Hospital between August 2019 and January 2021 and receiving their first cycle of chemotherapy was utilized to monitor chemotherapy regimen, antiemetic medications, and vomiting episodes. Blocks were classified as guideline-inconsistent, guideline-consistent, or guideline-consistent PLUS if additional prophylactic antiemetic medications were utilized. We identified patients with complete control of vomiting, defined as no vomiting and no additional antiemetics needed. RESULTS: Among 136 patients, 29% received guideline-inconsistent care, 37% received guideline-consistent care, and 34% received guideline-consistent PLUS care. Overall, 48% of patients achieved complete control of vomiting. Older patients (p < 0.0001) and those receiving higher emetogenicity chemotherapy (p = 0.0003) were more likely to receive guideline-consistent or guideline-consistent PLUS therapy. With guideline-consistent and -consistent PLUS grouped together, the diagnosis was also associated with improved adherence to CPGs (p = 0.022). Multivariate analysis showed that patients more likely to receive guideline-consistent prophylaxis were of older age (OR 1.11, p = 0.016) and solid tumor patients (OR 5.59, p = 0.028). CONCLUSIONS: Despite high rates of CPG adherence, complete control of vomiting remains suboptimal, which highlights the need for novel and/or risk-adapted therapies.

Pyridostigmine for the Management of Neurogenic Orthostatic Hypotension: A Systemic Review.

BACKGROUND: Pyridostigmine is hypothesized to improve neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) symptoms without causing or exacerbating supine hypertension. The objective of this review was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of pyridostigmine for management of nOH. METHODS: A literature search of PubMed, Embase, and CENTRAL was performed in December 2023 for prospective trials with a placebo or active comparator. RESULTS: Four randomized and two non-randomized studies were reviewed. Three studies utilizing a single dose, crossover design found significant differences of orthostatics using adjunctive pyridostigmine. Two studies assessing longer-term endpoints demonstrated conflicting efficacy of pyridostigmine with one trial finding significant improvement in orthostatics and symptoms after three months of therapy. Use of pyridostigmine did not lead to supine hypertension with most adverse effects being cholinergic. CONCLUSION: Pyridostigmine may be considered as an adjunctive medication in individuals with nOH refractory to standard treatment options as it carries a favorable safety profile with low risk for supine hypertension.

Evaluation of a regional tobacco control programme (Greater Manchester's Making Smoking History) on quitting and smoking in England 2014 to 2022: a time-series analysis.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to assess the impact of Greater Manchester's Making Smoking History programme - a region-wide smoking cessation programme launched in January 2018 - on key smoking and quitting outcomes. METHODS: Data were from a nationally-representative monthly survey, 2014-2022 (n=171,281). We used interrupted time-series analyses (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average [ARIMA] and generalised additive models [GAM]) to examine regional differences between Greater Manchester and the rest of England, before and during the programme's first five years. Outcomes were rates of quit attempts and overall quits among smokers, quit success rates among smokers who tried to quit (pre-registered outcomes), and current smoking prevalence among adults (unregistered outcome). RESULTS: Results showed mixed effects of the programme on quitting. Primary ARIMA models showed comparative reductions in quit success rates (change in quarterly difference between regions = -11.03%; 95%CI -18.96;-3.11) and overall quit rates in Greater Manchester compared with the rest of England (-2.56%; 95%CI -4.95;-0.18), and no significant change in the difference in the quit attempt rate (+2.95%; 95%CI -11.64;17.54). These results were not consistently observed across sensitivity analyses or GAM analyses. Exploratory ARIMA models consistently showed smoking prevalence in Greater Manchester declined more quickly than in the rest of England following initiation of the programme (-2.14%; 95%CI -4.02;-0.27). CONCLUSIONS: The first five years of Greater Manchester's Making Smoking History programme did not appear to be associated with substantial increases in quitting activity. However, exploratory analyses showed a significant reduction in the regional smoking rate, over and above changes in the rest of England over the same period. IMPLICATIONS: Taken together, these results show a relative decline in smoking prevalence in Greater Manchester but equivocal data on quitting, introducing some uncertainty. It is possible the programme has reduced smoking prevalence in the absence of any substantial change in quitting activity by changing norms around smoking and reducing uptake, or by reducing the rate of late relapse. It is also possible that an undetected effect on quitting outcomes has still contributed to the programme's impact on reducing prevalence to some degree. It will be important to evaluate the overall impact of the programme over a longer timeframe.

Associations of Prevalence of E-cigarette Use With Quit Attempts, Quit Success, Use of Smoking Cessation Medication, and the Overall Quit Rate Among Smokers in England: A Time-Series Analysis of Population Trends 2007-2022.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to (1) provide up-to-date estimates of how changes in the prevalence of e-cigarette use have been associated with changes in smoking cessation activities and use of licensed treatments among smokers in England and (2) explore any changes in these associations over time. METHODS: Data were aggregated quarterly on 67 548 past-year smokers between Q1-2007 and Q4-2022. Explanatory variables were the prevalence of (1) current e-cigarette use among smokers and (2) e-cigarette use during a quit attempt. Outcomes were rates of quit attempts and overall quits among past-year smokers, and the quit success rate and use of licensed treatments among those who made a quit attempt. RESULTS: The success rate of quit attempts increased by 0.040% (95% CI 0.019; 0.062) for every 1% increase in the prevalence of e-cigarette use during a quit attempt. No clear evidence was found for an association between current e-cigarette use and the quit attempt rate (Badj = 0.008 [95% CI -0.045; 0.061]) or overall quit rate (Badj = 0.063 [-0.031; 0.158]); or between use of e-cigarettes during a quit attempt and the overall quit rate (Badj = 0.030 [-0.054; 0.114]), use of prescription medication (varenicline/bupropion/nicotine replacement therapy [NRT]: Badj = -0.036 [-0.175; 0.102]), or use of over-the-counter NRT (Badj = -0.052 [-0.120; 0.015]). There was no clear evidence this pattern of associations has changed substantially over time. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in the prevalence of e-cigarette use in England through 2022 have been positively associated with the success rate of quit attempts but not clearly associated with the quit attempt rate, overall quit rate, or use of licensed smoking cessation treatments. IMPLICATIONS: If the association between the increase in e-cigarette use and the quit success rate is causal, then the use of e-cigarettes in quit attempts has helped in the region of 30 000 to 50 000 additional smokers in England to successfully quit each year since they became popular in 2013, over and above the number who were quitting before the advent of e-cigarettes.

Trends in Exclusive Non-Cigarette Tobacco Smoking in England: A Population Survey 2013-2023.

INTRODUCTION: The UK Government intends to implement a "smokefree generation" policy prohibiting the sale of all tobacco products to people born after 2008. National surveys provide comprehensive data on cigarette smoking, but little is known about patterns of non-cigarette tobacco smoking across key population groups. AIMS AND METHODS: Using data from a nationally representative cross-sectional survey of adults in England, collected monthly between September 2013 and September 2023 (n = 196 721), we estimated time trends in exclusive non-cigarette tobacco (eg, cigar/pipe/shisha) smoking prevalence, overall and by age, gender, occupational social grade, region, ethnicity, and vaping status. Interviews were conducted face-to-face until March 2020 and via telephone thereafter. RESULTS: From September 2013 to September 2023, there was a non-linear increase in exclusive non-cigarette tobacco smoking prevalence (from 0.36% to 1.68%; prevalence ratio = 4.72 [95% CI = 3.43-6.48]). Prevalence was relatively stable up to February 2020 (at an average of 0.46%), then increased sharply at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic (at the same time as survey methods changed), to 0.90% (0.82%-0.99%) in March 2020. This was followed by a steadier rise, peaking at 1.97% in May 2022, before falling slightly to 1.68% by September 2023. In 2022/2023, 1 in 10 smokers (10.8% [9.64%-12.0%]) exclusively used non-cigarette tobacco. The rise in prevalence was observed across all subgroups but was most pronounced among younger adults (eg, reaching 3.21% of 18-year-olds vs. 1.09% of 65-year-olds). Prevalence was consistently higher among men and current vapers. CONCLUSIONS: Although exclusive use of non-cigarette combustible tobacco remains rare among adults in England, it has increased in recent years, particularly among younger ages. As of September 2023, there were approximately 772 800 adult exclusive non-cigarette tobacco smokers in England; around five times more than a decade earlier. IMPLICATIONS: The proportion of adults in England who do not use cigarettes at all but smoke other combustible tobacco products has increased substantially in recent years, with a particularly pronounced rise among young people. The inclusion of non-cigarette combustible tobacco products under the proposed "smokefree generation" policy is therefore likely to be important for achieving the greatest reduction in youth uptake of tobacco smoking, as it would ensure young people who are unable to legally buy cigarettes do not buy other combustible tobacco products that are similarly harmful to health.

Roll-your-own tobacco use among people smoking menthol cigarettes in Great Britain, 2020-2023: a population-based survey.

INTRODUCTION: The sale of factory-made cigarettes with menthol as characterising flavour has been prohibited in Great Britain since May-2020. However, menthol accessories like flavoured filters for roll-your-own (RYO) tobacco can be sold legally, possibly undermining the policy. This study aimed to explore the association of RYO and menthol cigarette smoking. METHODS: Data were collected between October-2020 and October-2023 from a monthly population-based cross-sectional survey, with 82,120 adults (18+) living in Great Britain providing complete data. Logistic regression models assessed the association between predominant RYO tobacco use and menthol cigarette smoking, and whether it differed by sociodemographic characteristics, unadjusted and adjusted for age, gender, ethnicity, nation, and socioeconomic position. Time-trends in RYO tobacco use among people smoking menthol cigarettes were modelled over the study period. RESULTS: There has been no clear decrease in menthol cigarette smoking prevalence among people who smoke (~14%) following the ban. Predominant RYO use increased among people smoking menthol cigarettes from 49.6% (95%CI: 42.2-57.0) in October-2020 to 61.9% (95%CI: 57.5-66.0) in June-2022, after which it remained stable. Predominant RYO use was more common among people smoking menthol than non-flavoured cigarettes overall (adjusted odds ratio (ORadj)=1.30, 95%CI: 1.14-1.49) and across demographic subgroups. This association was most pronounced in middle-aged compared with older people (35 vs. 65 years ORadj=1.18, 95%CI: 1.01-1.35), and in ethnic minorities compared with White people (ORadj=1.56, 95%CI: 1.03-2.36). CONCLUSIONS: There was a substantial increase in RYO use among people smoking menthol cigarettes in the first two years after the ban, from approximately 50% to 60%. IMPLICATIONS: The availability of menthol accessories may have undermined the ban on factory-made mentholated cigarettes in Great Britain. Roughly one in seven people who smoke cigarettes still report smoking menthol cigarettes and among these, about two thirds predominantly use roll-your-own tobacco. Since there has been no noteworthy change in the prevalence of menthol cigarette smoking since October-2020, new measures will likely be necessary to achieve a further reduction. For example, menthol accessories could be banned or their advertising and availability heavily restricted.

Are People More Likely to Vape or Smoke Indoors? A Population Survey of Adults in England.

BACKGROUND: Increasingly, people smoke cigarettes outdoors and avoid exposing bystanders to harm. People may not have the same motivation to vape outdoors since e-cigarettes, unlike cigarettes, do not create side stream emissions and exhaled aerosol contains fewer toxicants than secondhand smoke. This study aims to estimate the prevalence and correlates of vaping and smoking indoors among adults in England. AIMS AND METHODS: Data came from the Health Survey for England 2019, a cross-sectional household survey. Adults who vape or smoke (N = 1530) were asked whether they had vaped or smoked indoors inside the home, car, or other places within the past 7 days. Logistic regression was used to estimate prevalence and key correlates of indoor use, including age, sex, presence of adults/children in home, housing tenure, and nicotine dependence. RESULTS: People who exclusively vaped were much more likely to use their product indoors than those who exclusively smoked (87.0% vs. 52.0%; odds ratio [OR] = 6.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.09 to 9.28). Similarly, people who dual used had higher odds of vaping than smoking indoors (62.1% vs. 44.3%; OR = 3.76, 95% CI = 2.06 to 6.84). The preference for vaping over smoking indoors was found across different locations, including at home and in cars. Those who were older, highly dependent on nicotine, and lived alone were most prone to use any product indoors. While housing tenure was not strongly associated with vaping indoors, those living in social housing were much more likely to smoke indoors than homeowners. CONCLUSIONS: Adults in England are much more likely to vape than smoke indoors. Age, nicotine dependence, and living alone are strongly associated with both behaviors. IMPLICATIONS: Our results show that people have a strong preference for vaping over smoking indoors, including in the home. Given the high prevalence of vaping indoors, policy makers, landlords, and businesses must weigh up the ethics, benefits, and harms of extending smoke-free laws to include e-cigarettes.

Examining differences in real-world effectiveness of e-cigarettes for smoking cessation by source of purchase in England: an observational study of different contexts before and after the COVID-19 pandemic.

INTRODUCTION: The effectiveness of e-cigarettes for smoking cessation may differ by source of purchase. The changing influence of self-selection on purchase location caused by COVID-19 pandemic-related vape shop closures means we can examine the association between smoking abstinence e-cigarette use by purchase source and test for moderation of this association by the timing of the pandemic. METHODS: Repeat-cross-sectional nationally representative surveys, conducted between January-2017 and August-2023. Participants (N=1,284; ≥18y, 46.9% women) who made a past-year quit attempt, used an e-cigarette in their most recent attempt, currently vaping and provided data on the purchase source were included. The association between e-cigarette purchase source and continuous abstinence following the most recent quit attempt was assessed with adjusted regression, including an interaction between the timing of pandemic restrictions (March-2020 through January-2022). RESULTS: Overall, 48.1% usually purchasing their e-cigarettes from vape shops, declining from 53.6% pre-pandemic to 40.6% during the pandemic. There was inconclusive evidence that those purchasing from vape shops had greater odds of quitting smoking (ORadj=1.25, 95%CI 0.92-1.76). The association between purchase source and successful quitting did not depend upon whether purchasing occurred before or during the pandemic (F=0.08, pinteraction=0.774; pre-pandemic: ORadj=1.23, 0.79-1.91; and pandemic: ORadj=1.29, 0.81-2.06). CONCLUSIONS: More data are needed to conclusively determine whether purchasing from a specialist vape shop increases smoking cessation. Given the changing influence of self-selection on purchase location caused by the pandemic, the similar associations between purchase source and quit success across both periods suggests it is unlikely an artefact of unmeasured confounding. IMPLICATIONS: It is important to know if where e-cigarettes are purchased can increase their effectiveness for smoking cessation. While we found a positive association between purchasing from a specialist vape shop and abstinence rates, the results were inconclusive. Further studies are required to establish whether purchasing from specialist vape shops improves smoking cessation outcomes compared with other purchase sources.

Attitudes and Exposure to Illicit Tobacco in England, 2022.

INTRODUCTION: The United Kingdom has achieved reductions in illicit tobacco (IT) market size and share. However, there remains a 17.7% tobacco duty gap, contributing to health inequalities. In January 2024, the UK government announced a new strategy to control IT, along with provision of new funding. METHODS: A representative cross-sectional survey of adults in England ran in April 2022 to evaluate attitudes and exposure to IT. Tobacco smokers were asked questions about encounters with IT, while all participants answered questions on knowledge and perspectives on IT. RESULTS: Of 262 tobacco smokers, 18.3% (95% CI 13.8% to 23.6%) had come across IT in the past year. Men had four times the odds of encountering IT recently than women. Among 1767 adults responding to questions on IT, two-thirds agreed IT harmed children, and more than half agreed IT was linked to organized crime. Younger adults, smokers, and those in lower socioeconomic groups were less likely to agree IT was harmful. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to IT, especially among younger males, remains a concern. While most of the public acknowledge its harm, this is not universal, and some population groups are less likely to do so. IMPLICATIONS: The study highlights persistent exposure to IT in England, especially among younger males, and varying perceptions of IT harm across socioeconomic groups. Tackling IT requires collaboration between health and enforcement agencies, independent of the tobacco industry's influence. Strategies should include components that shift demand for IT and denormalize its presence in communities, particularly in lower socioeconomic areas with higher smoking prevalence.

Trends in Daily Cigarette Consumption Among Smokers: A Population Study in England, 2008-2023.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to estimate time trends in cigarette consumption among smokers in England between 2008 and 2023 and to explore differences by key potential moderators. AIMS AND METHODS: We used data from 57 778 adult cigarette smokers participating in a nationally representative monthly cross-sectional survey between January 2008 and September 2023. We estimated monthly time trends in mean daily consumption of (1) any, (2) manufactured, and (3) hand-rolled cigarettes among all smokers and by main type of cigarettes smoked, smoking frequency, age, gender, occupational social grade, region, nicotine replacement therapy use, and vaping status. RESULTS: Overall cigarette consumption fell from 13.6 [95% CI = 13.3 to 13.9] to 10.6 [10.5 to 10.8] per day between January 2008 and October 2019 (a 22% decrease), then remained stable up to September 2023. Over this period, the proportion mainly or exclusively smoking hand-rolled cigarettes increased (from 30.6% [29.1%-32.1%] in 2008 to 52.1% [49.7%-54.5%] in 2023). As a result, manufactured cigarette consumption fell by 47%, from 9.5 [9.2-9.8] per day in January 2008 to 5.0 [4.7-5.3] in September 2023, while hand-rolled cigarette consumption increased by 35%, from 4.2 [3.9-4.4] to 5.6 [5.3-5.9], respectively. The decline in overall cigarette consumption was observed across all subgroups, but was greater among non-daily smokers, younger smokers, and those who vaped. CONCLUSIONS: Over the last 15 years, the average number of cigarettes consumed each day by smokers in England has fallen by almost a quarter, but has plateaued since October 2019. There has been a sharp decline in the number of manufactured cigarettes consumed and an increase in the number of hand-rolled cigarettes consumed, as smokers have increasingly shifted towards using hand-rolled tobacco. IMPLICATIONS: While average cigarette consumption in England has fallen over the past 15 years, this declining trend has stalled (and reversed in some population groups) since 2019. The availability of cheap, hand-rolled tobacco appears to be undermining policies that aim to reduce smoking by raising the price of tobacco (eg, through taxation) and could be targeted to reignite the decline in cigarette consumption.

Associations of close social connections with smoking and vaping: a population study in England.

INTRODUCTION: Studies consistently demonstrate smoking is a socially contagious behaviour, but less is known about the influence of social connections on vaping. This study examined associations between having close social connections who smoke or vape and relevant smoking and vaping outcomes. METHODS: This was a representative cross-sectional survey of adults (≥16y) in England. Participants (n=1,618) were asked how many people they discuss important matters with (i.e., close social connections) and how many of them smoke/vape. We tested associations between (i) smoking and (ii) vaping among close social connections and participants' own smoking and vaping status; harm perceptions of e-cigarettes (among current smokers); attempts and success in quitting smoking (among past-year smokers); and use of e-cigarettes as a smoking cessation aid (among past-year smokers who tried to quit). RESULTS: Adults with ≥1 close social connection who smoke were more likely than those with none to smoke themselves (32.8% vs. 9.4%; ORadj=7.23[95%CI 4.74-11.0]) and had an uncertain lower likelihood to quit (12.2% vs. 19.8%; ORadj=0.46[0.17-1.23]). Those with ≥1 close social connection who vape were more likely than those with none to vape themselves (29.6% vs. 6.3%; ORadj=5.16[3.15-8.43]) and to use e-cigarettes in their most recent attempt to quit (57.0% vs. 27.9%; ORadj=18.0[1.80-181]), and had an uncertain higher likelihood to perceive e-cigarettes as less harmful than cigarettes (30.8% vs. 12.2%; ORadj=2.37[0.82-6.90]). CONCLUSIONS: In England, we replicated well-established associations with smoking and found similar evidence for vaping. People were much more likely to vape and to use e-cigarettes to quit smoking if they had close social connections who vaped. IMPLICATIONS: The cross-sectional design means it is not clear whether smoking/vaping among close social connections influences people to smoke/vape themselves, or whether people who smoke/vape select to form close social connections with others who similarly smoke/vape. Further research is required to establish causality. If the associations we observed are causal, interventions that encourage smokers to switch to vaping may have positive spillover effects on social connections' perceptions of e-cigarettes and use of these products to support smoking cessation.

Estimating Young Adult Uptake of Smoking by Area Across the United Kingdom.

INTRODUCTION: There is majority support in parliament and across the United Kingdom to implement a "smoke-free generation" policy which would mean people born on or after January 1, 2009, could never legally be sold tobacco. To explore the potential impact this policy could have, we estimated the number of young adults (18-25 years) currently taking up smoking each year by area across the United Kingdom. METHODS: Using data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), Annual Population Survey (APS), and Smoking Toolkit Study (STS), we estimated the total number of 18- to 25-year-olds taking up smoking each year, based on national estimates of population size (ONS) and the proportion who reported ever having regularly smoked (STS). We used local data on adult smoking rates (APS) to apportion the national estimated number of young adults taking up smoking to specific areas. RESULTS: Around 127 500 18- to 25-year-olds in the United Kingdom start smoking regularly each year (~350 each day); 105 700 each year in England, 11 500 in Scotland, 6500 in Wales, and 3800 in Northern Ireland. Uptake estimates varied across localities: for example, North East Lincolnshire had the highest proportion of young adults taking up smoking each year (3.9%) and Wokingham had the lowest (0.9%). CONCLUSIONS: Despite reductions in smoking prevalence over recent decades, hundreds of young adults in the United Kingdom start smoking every day. IMPLICATIONS: Data on rates of uptake among individual local authorities can be used to focus attention locally prior to the introduction of new age of sale laws.

Impact of Standardised Packaging of Tobacco Products Regulations on cigarette consumption and youth smoking in England: interrupted time-series analysis.

BACKGROUND: In the UK in May 2016, standardised packaging of tobacco products was implemented, including minimum pack sizes of 20 sticks or 30 g loose tobacco. The change was intended to reduce uptake by increasing upfront costs to young people, but there was concern it may unintentionally increase consumption among people smoking. This study aimed to assess whether the introduction of the policy was associated with changes in (1) mean daily factory-made (FM)/roll-your-own (RYO) cigarettes consumption among people smoking predominantly (a) FM and (b) RYO cigarettes; and (2) current smoking prevalence among 16-24-year-olds. METHODS: Data (N=257 929) were from a representative monthly cross-sectional survey of adults (≥16 years) in England, collected between November 2007 and January 2020. Outcome measures were mean daily (FM/RYO) cigarette consumption among those smoking FM/RYO cigarettes, and prevalence of current smoking among 16-24-year-olds. Time-series analyses were conducted using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with Exogenous variables (ARIMAX) regression models including a gradual level change starting in June 2017 and ending in May 2018 for cigarette consumption and a step change in June 2016 for prevalence of current smoking. RESULTS: The ARIMAX model was not able to detect a change in mean daily cigarette consumption-for FM (Badj=-0.543, 95% CI -1.381 to 0.296) or RYO (Badj=0.002, 95% CI -0.518 to 0.522) following the implementation of standardised packaging. The unadjusted analysis suggested the implementation of standardised packaging was associated with a small (3%) decrease in smoking prevalence among 16-24-year-olds (Bunadj=-0.031, 95% CI -0.062 to 0.000), but this association was attenuated after adjustment for covariates (Badj=-0.010, 95% CI -0.039 to 0.019). CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of standardised packaging of tobacco products was not associated with a meaningful change in the mean number of FM or RYO cigarettes consumed by people smoking in England, suggesting the larger pack size has not had an unintended consequence of substantially increasing cigarette consumption. However, there was also little evidence that the policy substantially reduced smoking among 16-24-year-olds.

Smoking prevalence and purchasing of menthol cigarettes since the menthol flavour ban in Great Britain: a population-based survey between 2020 and 2023.

BACKGROUND: Menthol cigarettes have been banned in Great Britain (GB) since May 2020. Still, menthol accessories and unlabelled cigarettes perceived as mentholated are available, and people can buy menthol cigarettes overseas or illicitly. This study assessed: trends in smoking menthol cigarettes among all adults and 18-24-year-olds in GB between October 2020 and March 2023; trends in and differences between England, Scotland and Wales during the same period and purchase sources among people smoking menthol versus non-flavoured cigarettes. METHODS: Population-weighted data were from a monthly cross-sectional survey of adults in GB. Among people smoking cigarettes, we calculated the proportion smoking menthol cigarettes across all adults and 18-24-year-olds, and prevalence ratios (PR) between the first and last quarter. We also calculated the proportions of people smoking menthol/non-flavoured cigarettes by purchase source (including illicit sources). RESULTS: In the first quarter, 16.2% of adults smoking cigarettes reported menthol cigarette smoking with little to no decline throughout the study (PR 0.85, 95% CI 0.71 to 1.01), while it declined among 18-24-year-olds (PR 0.75, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.89). The prevalence of menthol cigarette smoking fell by two-thirds in Wales (PR 0.36, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.62) but remained relatively stable in England (PR 0.88, 95% CI 0.72 to 1.06) and Scotland (PR 0.94, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.53). The main purchasing sources were licit (93.9%), 14.8% reported illicit sources and 11.5% cross-border purchases, without notable differences from people smoking non-flavoured cigarettes. CONCLUSIONS: Roughly one million adults in GB still smoke menthol cigarettes and, with the exception of Wales and young people, there were no noteworthy changes in the post-ban period. There was no indication that the overall persistence of menthol smoking was driven by illicit purchases.

Association between the implementation of standardised tobacco packaging legislation and illicit tobacco and cross-border purchasing in England: a time-series analysis between 2012 and 2020.

BACKGROUND: In May 2016, the UK announced standardising packaging legislation for tobacco products. There was a 12-month transition period with both branded and standardised packs on the market until May 2017. The aim of this study was to investigate whether the implementation of standardised packaging in England was associated with changes in illicit tobacco and cross-border purchasing. METHODS: We used Smoking Toolkit Study data covering the time period from 2012 to 2020. We ran time-series analysis using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with Exogenous Variable models to investigate the monthly changes in illicit tobacco and cross-border purchasing in England. The model was adjusted for other tobacco control policies implemented during the relevant time period and tobacco pricing. We used May 2017 as an implementation point and run sensitivity analysis using July 2016 and February 2017 as alternative implementation points given phased introduction of the policy. RESULTS: The average prevalence of illicit tobacco and cross-border purchasing in the past 6 months was 14.4%. The implementation of standardised tobacco packaging legislation was associated with a monthly decline in illicit tobacco and cross-border purchases after May 2017 by 0.16% per month (beta=-0.158, 95% CI -0.270 to -0.046). The results were robust to considering different implementation points for the policy (July 2016: beta=-0.109, 95% CI -0.213 to -0.005; February 2017: beta=-0.141, 95% CI -0.245 to -0.036). CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to the tobacco industry's argument that the legislation would lead to an increase in the illicit tobacco and cross-border market, this study demonstrates that the implementation of the policy is associated with a decline in illicit tobacco and cross-border purchases in England.

'Stopping the start': support for proposed tobacco control policies - a population-based survey in Great Britain 2021-2023.

OBJECTIVES: This study assessed public support for four proposed tobacco control policies in Great Britain: (1) Raising the sales age of tobacco by 1 year every year (Smokefree Generation); (2) Raising the sales age of tobacco from 18 years to 21 years; (3) Providing prescription e-cigarettes as smoking cessation aids to adults who smoke; (4) Restricting e-cigarette advertising to prevent youth uptake. DESIGN: Repeat cross-sectional population-based survey weighted to match the population of Great Britain. SETTING: The survey was conducted in England, Scotland and Wales in September 2021, October 2022 and October 2023. PARTICIPANTS: 6541 adults living in Great Britain. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Support for each policy and year and prevalence ratios (PRs) comparing support between years and subgroups. RESULTS: The most popular policy each year was restricting e-cigarette advertising (74%/79%/85%), followed by raising the sales age to 21 years (50%/58%/64%), providing prescription e-cigarettes (45%/44%/47%) and Smokefree Generation (34%/44%/49%). The largest increases were for policies about the age of sale (Smokefree Generation: 2021/2022 PR=1.28, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.40, 2022/2023 PR=1.12, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.20; raising the age to 21 years: 2021/2022 PR=1.16, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.23, 2022/2023 PR=1.11, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.17). Only 30% opposed Smokefree Generation in 2023 down from 41% in 2021. CONCLUSIONS: Support for each policy increased each year, except for providing prescription e-cigarettes. Restricting e-cigarette advertising was the most popular policy, while support for age of sale policies, in particular for a Smokefree Generation, grew most. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study protocol was published on the Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/46z2c/) prior to starting the analysis.

Potential smoke-free dividend across local areas in England: a cross-sectional analysis.

BACKGROUND: The value that might be added to local economies each year through the money that people who smoke tobacco would save if everyone quit smoking is called the 'smoke-free dividend'. This study aimed to estimate the value of the smoke-free dividend across local areas in England, and how it relates to the average income in those areas. METHODS: The study was a cross-sectional descriptive analysis of tobacco expenditure from the Smoking Toolkit Study (STS) matched to income and smoking prevalence data for English local authorities. The STS sample was from 2014 to 2020 and comprised 18 721 adults who smoke cigarettes. Self-reported expenditure estimates from the STS were adjusted for under-reporting. This adjustment aimed to align the total expenditure estimate with figures derived from government tax receipts and national estimates of illicit tobacco use. The smoke-free dividend is calculated as 93% of spending on legal tobacco, which is the percentage estimated to leave the local economy, plus 100% of spending on illicit tobacco. RESULTS: The total dividend in England is estimated to be £10.9 billion each year, which equates to £1776 per person who smokes or £246 per adult regardless of smoking status. The estimated dividend is greater in areas with lower average income, with a correlation coefficient of -0.521 (95% CI -0.629, -0.392) between the average income of local areas and the dividend per adult. CONCLUSIONS: This study has estimated that local economies could gain a substantial dividend if everybody stopped smoking, which is larger in lower income areas, meaning that geographical economic inequalities could be reduced.

Use of Methenamine for Urinary Tract Infection Prophylaxis: Systematic Review of Recent Evidence.

INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS: Antibiotic resistance is an unavoidable consequence of antibiotic use and growing rates of resistance are an urgent issue. Methenamine is a non-antibiotic alternative used for urinary tract infection (UTI) prophylaxis. The objective of this review is to evaluate recently published literature regarding the efficacy and safety of methenamine for UTI prophylaxis. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and CENTRAL databases were queried in March 2023 using the following search terms: urinary tract infection, cystitis, bacteriuria, or dysuria, and methenamine. Studies prior to 2012 were excluded from this review to focus on appraisal of the most recent evidence. Prospective and controlled retrospective trials were included for review. RESULTS: A total of seven studies (three prospective and four retrospective) met the inclusion criteria for review. Two of the 3 prospective studies demonstrated no or non-inferior differences in clinical efficacy to prevent recurrent UTIs between methenamine and antibiotic prophylaxis and the third showed decreased rates of UTI with methenamine use in patients with short-term indwelling catheters compared with cranberry alone. The retrospective studies consistently supported the efficacy and safety of methenamine for UTI prophylaxis in a variety of populations and clinical settings. Adverse effects reported with methenamine were similar to comparators and included nausea, abdominal pain, and headache. CONCLUSIONS: The use of methenamine for UTI prophylaxis was shown to be effective in a variety of settings without an increased risk of adverse effects compared with prophylactic antibiotics. Larger blinded clinical trials are needed to further define the role of methenamine in UTI prophylaxis.