Comparison of Outcomes and Characteristics of Emergency Medical Services (EMS)-Witnessed, Bystander-Witnessed, and Unwitnessed Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrests in Singapore.

Objectives: The objective was to compare the survival outcomes of emergency medical services (EMS)-witnessed to bystander-witnessed, and unwitnessed out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) in Singapore. Secondary aims are to describe the 5-year trend in survival rates of EMS-witnessed arrests. Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of the Singapore's OHCA registry data from 2011 to 2015. Excluded from the analysis were patients younger than 18 years old, arrests of traumatic etiology, resuscitation not attempted, and cases not conveyed by EMS. The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge or 30 days post-arrest. Secondary outcomes were return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and survival to hospital admission. Results: 8,394 cases were analyzed, with 650 (7.7%) EMS-witnessed arrests, 4480 (53.4%) bystander-witnessed arrests, and 3264 (38.9%) unwitnessed arrests. Among EMS-witnessed arrests, the majority were presumed to be of cardiac etiology (62.8%) and the most common presenting rhythm was pulseless electrical activity (PEA; 57.2%). Survival to discharge or 30th day post-arrest was higher in EMS-witnessed arrests compared to bystander-witnessed and unwitnessed arrests (11.2% vs. 5.3% and 1.3%, p < 0.001). Survival to discharge for EMS-witnessed cases increased from 2011 (13.2%) to 2015 (18.9%). Conclusions: EMS-witnessed OHCAs were more likely to have favorable outcomes compared to bystander-witnessed and unwitnessed OHCAs. High PEA rates in EMS-witnessed arrests were associated with older patients with underlying preexisting medical conditions. Increasing public awareness on recognition of prodromal symptoms and early activation of EMS could improve post-arrest survival and neurological outcomes of OHCA.

Termination of Resuscitation Rules to Predict Neurological Outcomes in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest for an Intermediate Life Support Prehospital System.

AIM: Futile resuscitation can lead to unnecessary transports for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). The Basic Life Support (BLS) and Advanced Life Support (ALS) termination of resuscitation (TOR) guidelines have been validated with good results in North America. This study aims to evaluate the performance of these two rules in predicting neurological outcomes of OHCA patients in Singapore, which has an intermediate life support Emergency Medical Services (EMS) system. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was carried out on Singapore OHCA data collected from April 2010 to May 2012 for the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS). The outcomes of each rule were compared to the actual neurological outcomes of the patients. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and predicted transport rates of each test were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 2,193 patients had cardiac arrest of presumed cardiac etiology. TOR was recommended for 1,411 patients with the BLS-TOR rule, with a specificity of 100% (91.9, 100.0) for predicting poor neurological outcomes, PPV 100% (99.7, 100.0), sensitivity 65.7% (63.6, 67.7), NPV 5.6% (4.1, 7.5), and transportation rate 35.6%. Using the ALS-TOR rule, TOR was recommended for 587 patients, specificity 100% (91.9, 100.0) for predicting poor neurological outcomes, PPV 100% (99.4, 100.0), sensitivity 27.3% (25.4, 29.3), NPV 2.7% (2.0, 3.7), and transportation rate 73.2%. BLS-TOR predicted survival (any neurological outcome) with specificity 93.4% (95% CI 85.3, 97.8) versus ALS-TOR 98.7% (95% CI 92.9, 99.8). CONCLUSION: Both the BLS and ALS-TOR rules had high specificities and PPV values in predicting neurological outcomes, the BLS-TOR rule had a lower predicted transport rate while the ALS-TOR rule was more accurate in predicting futility of resuscitation. Further research into unique local cultural issues would be useful to evaluate the feasibility of any system-wide implementation of TOR.

Machine learning prediction of refractory ventricular fibrillation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest using features available to EMS.

Background: Shock-refractory ventricular fibrillation (VF) or ventricular tachycardia (VT) is a treatment challenge in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). This study aimed to develop and validate machine learning models that could be implemented by emergency medical services (EMS) to predict refractory VF/VT in OHCA patients. Methods: This was a retrospective study examining adult non-traumatic OHCA patients brought into the emergency department by Singapore EMS from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS) registry. Data from April 2010 to March 2020 were extracted for this study. Refractory VF/VT was defined as VF/VT persisting or recurring after at least one shock. Features were selected based on expert clinical opinion and availability to dispatch prior to arrival at scene. Multivariable logistic regression (MVR), LASSO and random forest (RF) models were investigated. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) area under curve (AUC) analysis and calibration plots. Results: 20,713 patients were included in this study, of which 860 (4.1%) fulfilled the criteria for refractory VF/VT. All models performed comparably and were moderately well-calibrated. ROC-AUC were 0.732 (95% CI, 0.695 - 0.769) for MVR, 0.738 (95% CI, 0.701 - 0.774) for LASSO, and 0.731 (95% CI, 0.690 - 0.773) for RF. The shared important predictors across all models included male gender and public location. Conclusion: The machine learning models developed have potential clinical utility to improve outcomes in cases of refractory VF/VT OHCA. Prediction of refractory VF/VT prior to arrival at patient's side may allow for increased options for intervention both by EMS and tertiary care centres.

Validation of the CaRdiac Arrest Survival Score (CRASS) for predicting good neurological outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in an Asian emergency medical service system.

BACKGROUND: Survival with favorable neurological outcomes is an important indicator of successful resuscitation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). We sought to validate the CaRdiac Arrest Survival Score (CRASS), derived using data from the German Resuscitation Registry, in predicting the likelihood of good neurological outcomes after OHCA in Singapore. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective population-based validation study among EMS-attended OHCA patients (≥18 years) in Singapore, using data from the prospective Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study registry. Good neurological outcome was defined as a cerebral performance category of 1 or 2. To evaluate the CRASS score in light of the difference in patient characteristics, we used the default constant coefficient (0.8) and the adjusted coefficient (0.2) to calculate the probability of good neurological outcomes. RESULTS: Out of 11,404 analyzed patients recruited between April 2010 and December 2018, 260 had good and 11,144 had poor neurological function. The CRASS score demonstrated good discrimination, with an area under the curve of 0.963 (95% confidence interval: 0.952-0.974). Using the default constant coefficient of 0.8, the CRASS score consistently overestimated the predicted probability of a good outcome. Following adjustment of the coefficient to 0.2, the CRASS score showed improved calibration. CONCLUSION: CRASS demonstrated good discrimination and moderate calibration in predicting favorable neurological outcomes in the validation Singapore cohort. Our study established a good foundation for future large-scale, cross-country validations of the CRASS score in diverse sociocultural, geographical, and clinical settings.

Comparison of inhalational methoxyflurane (Penthrox®) and intramuscular tramadol for prehospital analgesia.

INTRODUCTION: Treatment of pain is an important component of prehospital care. Inhalational analgesia agents have attractive strengths, but there is a paucity of studies comparing these with more conventional agents. We aimed to compare inhalational methoxyflurane and intramuscular (IM) tramadol as first-contact analgesia in the Singapore national ambulance service. METHODS: Ambulances were randomised to carry either methoxyflurane or IM tramadol for the first six months and crossed over to the other arm after six months. Patients aged ≥ 16 years, with acute pain arising from musculoskeletal trauma with Numerical Rating Scale (NRS) score ≥ 3 were enrolled. Variables included NRS reduction, time variables, adverse effects, Ramsay Sedation Scores, and patient and paramedic satisfaction scores on a Likert scale. RESULTS: A total of 369 patients were enrolled into this study, but 26 patients were excluded due to missing data. The methoxyflurane arm had a shorter median time taken from arrival at the scene to drug administration (9.0 [interquartile range 6.0-14.0] minutes vs. 11.0 [interquartile range 8.0-15.0] minutes). For patients who achieved reduction in NRS ≥ 3 within 20 minutes, those in the methoxyflurane arm took a shorter time. However, the methoxyflurane (46.7%) arm experienced lower proportion of patients not achieving NRS reduction ≥ 3 when compared to the tramadol (71.6%) arm after over 20 minutes. The methoxyflurane arm had significantly higher paramedic and patient satisfaction scores. CONCLUSION: For the doses of medication used in this implementation study, methoxyflurane was superior in efficacy, speed of onset and administration, but had more minor adverse effects when compared to IM tramadol.

The Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS) clinical research network: what, where, why and how.

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a global health concern with an incidence rate of 50-60 per 100,000 person-years. To improve OHCA survival rates, several cardiac arrest registries have been set up in North America and Europe, such as the Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium, Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival, Ontario Prehospital Advanced Life Support and European Registry of Cardiac Arrest. In Asia, however, there was previously no concerted effort in prehospital emergency care research owing to differences in prehospital emergency medical services systems, data collection methods and outcome reporting between countries. Recognising the need for a collaborative prehospital emergency care research group in Asia, researchers from seven countries in the Asia-Pacific region (including Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, United Arab Emirates-Dubai, Singapore and Malaysia) established the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS) clinical research network in 2010. This paper gives the overview, methodology and research accomplishments of the PAROS network.

Characteristics and outcomes of young adults who suffered an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA).

BACKGROUND: There is paucity of data examining the incidence and outcomes of young OHCA adults. The aim of this study is to determine the outcomes and characteristics of young adults who suffered an OHCA and identify factors that are associated with favourable neurologic outcomes. METHODS: All EMS-attended OHCA adults between the ages of 16 and 35 years in the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS) registry were analysed. The primary outcome was favourable neurologic outcome (Cerebral Performance Category 1 or 2) at hospital discharge or at 30th day post OHCA if not discharged. Regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with favourable neurologic outcomes. RESULTS: 66,780 OHCAs were collected between January 2009 and December 2013; 3244 young OHCAs had resuscitation attempted by emergency medical services (EMS). 56.8% of patients had unwitnessed arrest; 47.9% were of traumatic etiology. 17.2% of patients (95% CI: 15.9-18.5%) had return of spontaneous circulation; 7.8% (95% CI: 6.9-8.8%) survived to one month; 4.6% (95% CI: 4.0-5.4%) survived with favourable neurologic outcomes. Factors associated with favourable neurologic outcomes include witnessed arrest (adjusted RR=2.42, p-value<0.0001), bystander CPR (adjusted RR=1.57, p-value=0.004), first arrest shockable rhythm (adjusted RR=27.24, p-value<0.0001), and cardiac etiology (adjusted RR=3.99, p-value<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: OHCA among young adults are not uncommon. Traumatic OHCA, occurring most frequently in young adults had dismal prognosis. First arrest rhythms of VF/VT/unknown shockable rhythm, cardiac etiology, bystander-witnessed arrest, and bystander CPR were associated with favourable neurological outcomes. The results of the study would be useful for planning preventive and interventional strategies, improving EMS, and guiding future research.

Does pre-hospital endotracheal intubation improve survival in adults with non-traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest? A systematic review.

INTRODUCTION: Endotracheal intubation (ETI) is currently considered superior to supraglottic airway devices (SGA) for survival and other outcomes among adults with non-traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). We aimed to determine if the research supports this conclusion by conducting a systematic review. METHODS: We searched the MEDLINE, Scopus and CINAHL databases for studies published between January 1, 1980, and 30 April 30, 2013, which compared pre-hospital use of ETI with SGA for outcomes of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC); survival to hospital admission; survival to hospital discharge; and favorable neurological or functional status. We selected studies using pre-specified criteria. Included studies were independently screened for quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. We did not pool results because of study variability. Study outcomes were extracted and results presented as summed odds ratios with 95% CI. RESULTS: We identified five eligible studies: one quasi-randomized controlled trial and four cohort studies, involving 303,348 patients in total. Only three of the five studies reported a higher proportion of ROSC with ETI versus SGA with no difference reported in the remaining two. None found significant differences between ETI and SGA for survival to hospital admission or discharge. One study reported better functional status at discharge for ETI versus SGA. Two studies reported no significant difference for favorable neurological status between ETI and SGA. CONCLUSION: Current evidence does not conclusively support the superiority of ETI over SGA for multiple outcomes among adults with OHCA.