The 2018 Nicholas Andry Award: The Evidence Base for the Treatment of Developmental Dysplasia of the Hip: The Iowa Contribution.

This review summarizes evidence developed at the University of Iowa concerning the management and outcomes of developmental dysplasia of the hip beginning with the observations and analyses of Dr Arthur Steindler in the early 1900s. The strong evidence-based practice tradition established by Steindler 100 years ago continues as we critically evaluate our procedures and patient outcomes, only altering approaches when warranted by strong personal and research evidence. Our practice continues to be conservative in that we strive to produce the best environment possible for the hip to develop on its own and operate only when less invasive methods have failed.

Outcomes of Primary Posterior Spinal Fusion for Scoliosis in Spinal Muscular Atrophy: Clinical, Radiographic, and Pulmonary Outcomes and Complications.

BACKGROUND: Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) is a progressive neuromuscular disease commonly including progressive scoliosis resulting in severe deformity and negatively affecting pulmonary function. Surgical correction and stabilization of this progressive deformity is generally recommended; however, the timing and method of surgical fixation remains controversial. METHODS: Retrospective review of clinical, radiographic, and pulmonary function data from 16 children with SMA and surgically treated scoliosis between 1985 and 2013. Radiographic data included direct measures of major curve, coronal balance, pelvic obliquity, T1-T12 height, T1-S1 height, and T1-rod length. Estimations of rib collapse, thoracic cavity shape, and space-available-for-lung (T6:T12, width ratio; T6:T10, rib-vertebral-angle difference ratios; and lung height) were determined. Eleven patients were able to complete pulmonary function testing. Results were compared with published outcomes for growing rod constructs. RESULTS: Posterior spinal fusion was performed at an average age of 9.8±3.6 years. The mean age at most recent follow-up was 19.4 years (range, 10 to 37 y), with a mean follow-up of 10.1 years (range, 3.1 to 26 y). Radiographic measurements improved from preoperative to latest follow-up as follows: major curve, 78±20 degrees to 27±24 degrees; coronal balance, 4.1±4.0 cm to 1.9±2.2 cm; pelvic obliquity (median), 23 to 5 degrees; T1-T12 height, 19±3 cm to 22±3 cm; T1-S1 height, 31±7 cm to 36±6 cm; T1-rod length, 0.8±1.1 cm (postop) to 2.8±1.6 cm (final); and space-available-for-lung ratio, 0.88±0.26 to 0.95±0.25. Rib collapse continued throughout the follow-up period in all but 1 patient. Pulmonary function testing demonstrated a decrease in rate of decline in forced vital capacity and forced expiratory volume when comparing preoperative with postoperative rates. Mean length of stay was 7.8±4.4 days. Complications included reintubation for low tidal volumes (n=1), pneumonia (n=1), superficial wound breakdown (n=1), and superficial infection (n=1). CONCLUSIONS: Definitive posterior spinal fusion for treatment of scoliosis associated with SMA is effective at controlling curve progression and pelvic obliquity without negatively impacting the space-available-for-lung ratio, trunk height, or pulmonary function at 10 years follow-up. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level IV.

Body Image and Quality of Life and Brace Wear Adherence in Females With Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical evidence regarding the ability of braces to decrease the risk of curve progression to surgical threshold in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) continues to strengthen. Unfortunately, there is still a great deal of uncertainty regarding the impact of brace wear on psychosocial well-being or the impact of psychological well-being on brace wear adherence. The purpose of this study is to evaluate psychosocial well-being, in particular body image and quality of life (QOL), and brace wear adherence in female AIS patients undergoing brace treatment. METHODS: The Bracing in Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis Trial (BrAIST) was a multicenter, controlled trial using randomized and preference assignments into an observation or brace treatment group. BrAIST patients were skeletally immature adolescents diagnosed with AIS having moderate curve sizes (20 to 40 degrees). Patients in the bracing group were instructed to wear a thoracolumbosacral orthosis, at least 18 h/d. Scores on the Spinal Appearance Questionnaire and the PedsQL4.0 Generic Scales from 167 female BrAIST patients who were randomized to brace treatment (n=58) and patients who chose brace treatment (n=109) were analyzed. RESULTS: At baseline and at 12 months, no differences were found between the least-adherent brace wear group (<6 h/d) and most-adherent brace wear group (≥12 h/d) patients in terms of major curve, body image, and QOL. In the most-adherent group, poorer body image scores were significantly correlated with poorer QOL scores at baseline, at 6 months, and at 12 months but not at 18 months. In general, body image scores and QOL scores were not significantly correlated in the least-adherent group. When comparing patients that had a ≥6 degree increase of their major curve between baseline and 12 months to patients that did not, there were no significant differences in body image or QOL scores. CONCLUSIONS: For females adolescents with AIS, body image and QOL do not have a significant impact on brace wear adherence and are subsequently not significantly impacted by brace wear. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level II-therapeutic (prospective comparative study).

Effects of bracing in adolescents with idiopathic scoliosis.

BACKGROUND: The role of bracing in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis who are at risk for curve progression and eventual surgery is controversial. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter study that included patients with typical indications for bracing due to their age, skeletal immaturity, and degree of scoliosis. Both a randomized cohort and a preference cohort were enrolled. Of 242 patients included in the analysis, 116 were randomly assigned to bracing or observation, and 126 chose between bracing and observation. Patients in the bracing group were instructed to wear the brace at least 18 hours per day. The primary outcomes were curve progression to 50 degrees or more (treatment failure) and skeletal maturity without this degree of curve progression (treatment success). RESULTS: The trial was stopped early owing to the efficacy of bracing. In an analysis that included both the randomized and preference cohorts, the rate of treatment success was 72% after bracing, as compared with 48% after observation (propensity-score-adjusted odds ratio for treatment success, 1.93; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08 to 3.46). In the intention-to-treat analysis, the rate of treatment success was 75% among patients randomly assigned to bracing, as compared with 42% among those randomly assigned to observation (odds ratio, 4.11; 95% CI, 1.85 to 9.16). There was a significant positive association between hours of brace wear and rate of treatment success (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Bracing significantly decreased the progression of high-risk curves to the threshold for surgery in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. The benefit increased with longer hours of brace wear. (Funded by the National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases and others; BRAIST ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00448448.).

BrAIST-Calc: Prediction of Individualized Benefit From Bracing for Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis.

STUDY DESIGN: Prospective multicenter study data were used for model derivation and externally validated using retrospective cohort data. OBJECTIVE: Derive and validate a prognostic model of benefit from bracing for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: The Bracing in Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis Trial (BrAIST) demonstrated the superiority of bracing over observation to prevent curve progression to the surgical threshold; 42% of untreated subjects had a good outcome, and 28% progressed to the surgical threshold despite bracing, likely due to poor adherence. To avoid over-treatment and to promote patient goal setting and adherence, bracing decisions (who and how much) should be based on physician and patient discussions informed by individual-level data from high-quality predictive models. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Logistic regression was used to predict curve progression to <45° at skeletal maturity (good prognosis) in 269 BrAIST subjects who were observed or braced. Predictors included age, sex, body mass index, Risser stage, Cobb angle, curve pattern, and treatment characteristics (hours of brace wear and in-brace correction). Internal and external validity were evaluated using jackknifed samples of the BrAIST data set and an independent cohort (n=299) through estimates of discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: The final model included age, sex, body mass index, Risser stage, Cobb angle, and hours of brace wear per day. The model demonstrated strong discrimination ( c -statistics 0.83-0.87) and calibration in all data sets. Classifying patients as low risk (high probability of a good prognosis) at the probability cut point of 70% resulted in a specificity of 92% and a positive predictive value of 89%. CONCLUSION: This externally validated model can be used by clinicians and families to make informed, individualized decisions about when and how much to brace to avoid progression to surgery. If widely adopted, this model could decrease overbracing of AIS, improve adherence, and, most importantly, decrease the likelihood of spinal fusion in this population.

Treatment results of late-relapsing idiopathic clubfoot previously treated with the Ponseti method.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic clubfoot has a stubborn tendency for relapse, with most relapses happening within the first few years. However, a few patients relapse later, adding to the complexity of management. This study investigates the treatment results of relapsing clubfoot deformity after age 4. METHODS: Thirty-nine patients (60 feet) met the inclusion criteria. Age at initial treatment, previous treatment, number of casts and tenotomies, length of bracewear, and relapse presentation were recorded. Treatment of late relapse followed 1 of the 5 courses: (1) observation only (4 feet); (2) bracing (26 feet); (3) casting followed by bracing (7 feet); (4) casting followed by tibialis anterior tendon transfer (TATT) with or without open tendo Achilles lengthening (TAL) (8 feet); or (5) primary TATT±TAL (15 feet). Of the 37 feet treated initially with observation, bracing, or casting, 33 went on to have TATT (89%). Multiple other concurrent procedures were performed according to the specific deformities. These included plantar fasciotomy (6 feet), extensor hallicus longus recession (5 feet), limited posterior release 5 feet, and others (3 feet). Five feet underwent revision surgery after TATT, 2 of which ended in triple arthrodeses. RESULTS: Average age at final follow-up was 23.3 years (range, 8.5 to 50.6 y). Ninety percent of patients wore regular shoes, 41% had pain with activities, but only 18% were limited in function by their feet. Average ankle dorsiflexion was 6 degrees (range, -15 to 25 degrees). Mild residual deformities were noted in 55% of feet. CONCLUSIONS: This challenging group of patients with apparently persistent deforming biology achieves acceptable results with individualized evaluation and treatment of their foot deformities. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic level IV.

Spinal deformity surgery is accompanied by serious complications: report from the Morbidity and Mortality Database of the Scoliosis Research Society from 2013 to 2020.

PURPOSE: The Morbidity and Mortality (M&M) report of the Scoliosis Research Society (SRS) has been collected since 1965 and since 1968 submission of complications has been required of all members. Since 2009, the SRS has collected information on death, blindness, and neurological deficit, with acute infection being added in 2012 and unintentional return to the operating room (OR) being added in 2017. In this report, we use the most recent data submitted to the SRS M&M database to determine the rate of neurological deficit, blindness, acute infection, unintentional return to the OR, and death, while also comparing this information to previous reports. METHODS: The SRS M&M database was queried for all cases from 2013 to 2020. The rates of death, vision loss, neurological deficit, acute infection, and unintentional return to the OR were then calculated and analyzed. The rates were compared to previously published data if available. Differences in complication rates between years were analyzed with Poisson regression with significance set at α = 0.05. RESULTS: The total number of cases submitted per year varied with a maximum of 49,615 in 2018 and a minimum of 40,464 in 2020. The overall reported complication rate from 2013 to 2020 was 2.86%. The overall mortality rate ranged from 0.09% in 2018 to 0.14% in 2015. The number of patients with visual impairment ranged from 4 to 13 between 2013 and 2015 (no data on visual impairment were collected after 2015). The overall infection rate varied from 0.95 in 2020 to 1.30% in 2015. When the infection rate was analyzed based on spinal deformity group, the neuromuscular scoliosis group consistently had the highest infection rate ranging from 3.24 to 3.94%. The overall neurological deficit rate ranged from 0.74 to 0.94%, with the congenital kyphosis and dysplastic spondylolisthesis groups having the highest rates. The rates of unintentional return to the OR ranged from 1.60 to 1.79%. Multiple groups showed a statistically significant decreasing trend for infection, return to the operating room, neurologic deficit, and death. CONCLUSIONS: Neuromuscular scoliosis had the highest infection rate among all spinal deformity groups. Congenital kyphosis and dysplastic spondylolisthesis had the highest rate of neurological deficit postoperatively. This is similar to previously published data. Contrary to previous reports, neuromuscular scoliosis did not have the highest annual death rate. Multiple groups showed a statistically significant decreasing trend in complication rates during the reporting period, with only mortality in degenerative spondylolisthesis significantly trending upwards. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Scoliosis Research Society survey: brace management in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.

PURPOSE: While the Scoliosis Research Society (SRS) has established criteria for brace initiation in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS), there are no recommendations concerning other management issues. As the BrAIST study reinforced the utility of bracing, the SRS Non-Operative Management Committee decided to evaluate the consensus or discord in AIS brace management. METHODS: 1200 SRS members were sent an online survey in 2017, which included 21 items concerning demographics, bracing indications, management, and monitoring. Free-text responses were analyzed and collated into common themes. Data were analyzed using Microsoft Excel 2013. RESULTS: Of 218 respondents; 207 regularly evaluate and manage patients with AIS, and 205 currently prescribe bracing. 99% of respondents use bracing for AIS and the majority (89%) use the published SRS criteria, or a modified version, to initiate bracing. 85% do not use brace monitoring and 66% use both %-Cobb correction and fit criteria to evaluate brace adequacy. In contrast, other aspects of brace management demonstrated a high degree of practice variability. This was seen with a radiographic assessment of maturity level, hours prescribed, timing and frequency of radiographic evaluation, the use of nighttime bracing only, and the method and timing of brace discontinuation. CONCLUSION: Although there is consensus in brace management amongst SRS members with respect to brace initiation and evaluation of adequacy, there is striking variability in how bracing for AIS is used. This variability may impact the overall efficacy of brace treatment and may be decreased with more robust guidelines from the SRS. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

Closed Vs. Open Reduction/Salter Innominate Osteotomy for Developmental Hip Dislocation After Age 18 Months: Comparative Survival at 45-Year Follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Despite widespread use of single-stage open reduction and pelvic osteotomy for treatment of developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) after walking age, this aggressive strategy remains controversial. We directly compared dislocated hips treated with closed reduction (CR) to those treated with open reduction and Salter innominate osteotomy (OR/IO) to estimate the relative hazard of total hip arthroplasty (THA) and the THA-free survival time. METHODS: In a series of patients 18 to 60 months of age, 45 patients (58 hips) underwent CR and 58 patients (78 hips) were treated with OR/IO and followed to a minimum 40 years post-reduction. Observations in the survival analysis were censored if no THA had occurred by 48 years. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the hazard of THA given treatment, age, and bilaterality. Complications and additional procedures were noted. RESULTS: At 48 years of follow-up, 29 (50%) of the hips survived after CR compared with 54 (69%) after OR/IO. At 45 years, the survival probability after OR/IO was 0.63 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.50 to 0.78) compared with 0.55 (95% CI = 0.43 to 0.72) after CR. The hazard ratio (HR) of THA was modeled as a function of treatment, age at reduction, and bilaterality. The effect of age and treatment on the outcome of hips in patients with unilateral involvement was minimal. However, age did significantly alter the relationship between treatment and outcome in bilateral cases. In the bilateral group, the predicted HR of THA was lower after CR in hips that were reduced at the age of 18 months (HR = 0.16, 95% CI = 0.04 to 0.64) but higher in those that were reduced at 36 months (HR = 4.23, 95% CI = 2.00 to 8.95). Additional procedures were indicated for 17% and 22% of hips after CR and OR/IO, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Osteoarthritis and THA was more likely after CR than OR/IO, but the data do not indicate a difference in unadjusted hip-survival time. In patients with bilateral disease, an older age at reduction was associated with an increased hazard of THA after CR than after OR/IO. Both treatments provided substantial benefit relative to the natural history of DDH, but THA is the expected outcome in middle adulthood. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Early-Onset Scoliosis Treated With Magnetically Controlled Growing Rods.

The recently developed magnetically controlled growing rod (MCGR) system has gained popularity because it limits additional surgical lengthening procedures and promises reduction of the complication rate previously reported for the traditional growing rods. A retrospective single-center study was performed. Demographic and complications data were recorded. A statistical analysis was conducted to quantify the effect of MCGR placement and of subsequent lengthening on the Cobb angle, T1-T12 kyphosis, and the distances from T1-T12 and T1-S1. Twenty-four patients met the inclusion criteria. Six had idiopathic scoliosis and 18 patients had nonidiopathic scoliosis (neuromuscular and syndromic scoliosis). Nine patients underwent primary MCGR placement, and 15 had the traditional growing rods removed and replaced with MCGRs. The mean age at surgery and at last follow-up was 6.3 years and 8.8 years, respectively. The mean follow-up was 29.2 months. The MCGR placement significantly reduced the Cobb angle and kyphosis by an average of 21.33° and 10.79°, respectively. The T1-T12 and the T1-S1 distances increased an average of 1.19 and 1.89 cm/year, respectively, during the follow-up period. The average percentage of achieved-to-intended distraction was 65% on the concave side and 68% on the convex side at last follow-up. There were 9 postoperative complications in 8 (33%) patients, 6 of whom had nonidiopathic scoliosis. The MCGR system is reliable and effective in the treatment of patients affected by early-onset scoliosis. [Orthopedics. 2020;43(6):e601-e608.].

Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis Bracing Success Is Influenced by Time in Brace: Comparative Effectiveness Analysis of BrAIST and ISICO Cohorts.

STUDY DESIGN: Comparative effectiveness study OBJECTIVE.: To evaluate factors leading to higher percentage of brace failures in a cohort of North American patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis relative to their peers in Italy. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Studies of bracing in United States have shown worse outcomes than studies from European centers, possibly due to sample characteristics or treatment approaches. METHODS: Sample: Braced patients, aged 10 to 15, Risser <3, Cobb 20°- to 40°, observed to Cobb ≥40° and/or ≥Risser 4 selected from prospective databases. Comparators: Bracing per Bracing in Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis Trial (BrAIST) (TLSO) and Italian Scientific Spine Institute (ISICO) protocol (SPoRT braces with or without SEAS exercises). Baseline characteristics (sex, age, BMI, Risser, Cobb, curve type) and average hours of brace wear/day. Differences in programs (e.g., SEAS, type of brace, weaning protocol) were captured by a variable named "SITE." OUTCOME: Treatment failure (Cobb ≥40 before Risser 4). STATISTICS: Comparison of baseline characteristics, analyses of risk factors, treatment components, and outcomes within and between cohorts using logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 157 BrAIST and 81 ISICO subjects were included. Cohorts were similar at baseline but differed significantly in terms of average hours of brace wear: 18.31 in the ISICO versus 11.76 in the BrAIST cohort. Twelve percent of the ISICO and 39% of the BrAIST cohort had failed treatment. Age, Risser, Cobb, and a thoracic apex predicted failure in both groups. SITE was related to failure (odds ratio [OR] = 0.19), indicating lower odds of failure with ISICO versus BrAIST approach. With both SITE and wear time in the model, SITE loose significance. In the final model, the adjusted odds of failure were higher in boys (OR = 3.34), and those with lowest BMI (OR = 9.83); the odds increased with the Cobb angle (OR = 1.23), and decreased with age (OR = 0.41) and hours of wear (OR = 0.86). CONCLUSION: Treatment at the ISICO resulted in a lower failure rate, primarily explained by longer average hours of brace wear. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.

More severe thoracic idiopathic scoliosis is associated with a greater three-dimensional loss of thoracic kyphosis.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective. OBJECTIVES: Utilize three-dimensional (3D) measurements to assess the relationship between thoracic scoliosis severity and thoracic kyphosis in a large, multicenter cohort, and determine impact of 3D measurements on adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) curve classification. Research has demonstrated differences in two-dimensional (2D) and 3D assessment of the sagittal plane deformity in AIS. A prior smaller, single-institution study demonstrated an association between scoliosis severity and loss of 3D thoracic kyphosis. METHODS: Data included retrospective compilation of prospectively enrolled bracing candidates and prospectively enrolled surgical candidates with thoracic AIS. Analysis included two groups based on thoracic curve magnitude: moderate (20-45°) and severe (> 45°). Imaging was performed using 2D radiographs. 3D thoracic kyphosis was calculated using a 2D to 3D conversion formula. Kyphosis was categorized according to the Lenke classification sagittal plane modifier. RESULTS: Analysis included 3032 patients. 2D kyphosis was significantly less in the moderate group (21 ± 12 vs 23 ± 14, p = 0.028). However, estimated 3D kyphosis was significantly greater in the moderate group (13 ± 10 vs 5 ± 12, p < 0.001). In the moderate group, the rate of normokyphosis was 78% with 2D measures and 61% with 3D measures of T5-T12 kyphosis. In the severe group, this rate changed from 72 to 32% with use of 2D and 3D measures, respectively. In the moderate group, 16% of patients were classified as hypokyphotic using 2D measures while this rate increased 38% with 3D measures (p < 0.001). In the severe group, this rate changed from 18 to 68% using 2D and 3D measures, respectively (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Increased coronal curve severity was associated with decreased thoracic kyphosis. Hypokyphosis was more pronounced in 3D. 2D radiographs increasingly underestimate kyphosis with increasing coronal severity. Assessment of sagittal alignment from 2D radiographs can be improved with a 2D-3D conversion formula. Findings indicate potential for classification system improvement with use of 3D sagittal plane measurements. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV.

Establishing consensus on the best practice guidelines for the use of bracing in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.

STUDY DESIGN: Survey. OBJECTIVES: Bracing is the mainstay of conservative treatment in Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis (AIS). The purpose of this study was to establish best practice guidelines (BPG) among a multidisciplinary group of international bracing experts including surgeons, physiatrists, physical therapists, and orthotists utilizing formal consensus building techniques. Currently, there is significant variability in the practice of brace treatment for AIS and, therefore, there is a strong need to develop BPG for bracing in AIS. METHODS: We utilized the Delphi process and the nominal group technique to establish consensus among a multidisciplinary group of bracing experts. Our previous work identified areas of variability in brace treatment that we targeted for consensus. Following a review of the literature, three iterative surveys were administered. Topics included bracing goals, indications for starting and discontinuing bracing, brace types, brace prescription, radiographs, physical activities, and physiotherapeutic scoliosis-specific exercises. A face-to-face meeting was then conducted that allowed participants to vote for or against inclusion of each item. Agreement of 80% throughout the surveys and face-to-face meeting was considered consensus. Items that did not reach consensus were discussed and revised and repeat voting for consensus was performed. RESULTS: Of the 38 experts invited to participate, we received responses from 32, 35, and 34 for each survey, respectively. 11 surgeons, 4 physiatrists, 8 physical therapists, 3 orthotists, and 1 research scientist participated in the final face-to-face meeting. Experts reached consensus on 67 items across 10 domains of bracing which were consolidated into the final best practice recommendations. CONCLUSIONS: We believe that adherence to these BPG will lead to fewer sub-optimal outcomes in patients with AIS by reducing the variability in AIS bracing practices, and provide a framework future research. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level IV.

Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.

Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) affects 1-3% of children in the at-risk population of those aged 10-16 years. The aetiopathogensis of this disorder remains unknown, with misinformation about its natural history. Non-surgical treatments are aimed to reduce the number of operations by preventing curve progression. Although bracing and physiotherapy are common treatments in much of the world, their effectiveness has never been rigorously assessed. Technological advances have much improved the ability of surgeons to safely correct the deformity while maintaining sagittal and coronal balance. However, we do not have long-term results of these changing surgical treatments. Much has yet to be learned about the general health, quality of life, and self-image of both treated and untreated patients with AIS.

Determining the Prevalence and Costs of Unnecessary Referrals in Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis.

Background: Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) has been associated with unnecessary referrals, but the provider and patient costs associated with these referrals remain unknown. The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence and associated costs of unnecessary referrals for AIS in a university hospital-based orthopaedic clinic. These data are required to estimate the cost-efficacy of scoliosis screening programs. Methods: We accessed the electronic medical records of all patients referred during 2013-2014 with suspected AIS. Spine radiographs were reviewed to determine whether the referral was "unnecessary," defined as a Cobb angle <20 degrees. Patient and provider costs were estimated. Patient costs included transportation expenses and parental lost wages. Provider costs included orthopaedic evaluation, diagnostic imaging, and overhead. Transportation costs were based on actual driving distances and the Internal Revenue Service standard mileage rate. Parental lost wages and the cost of evaluation by an orthopaedic surgeon were calculated with time-driven activity-based costing. Diagnostic imaging costs were calculated with a traditional activity-based costing methodology. Results: Three hundred thirty-seven patients were included. The prevalence of unnecessary referrals was 39% (n=131). 17% of patients had a Cobb angle <10 degrees and 22% had a Cobb angle between 10-20 degrees. Males were more likely to be referred unnecessarily than females, 49% to 35% (p=0.02) as were non-Caucasians (54% vs. 37%, p=0.04). No difference was noted related to source of insurance (private or public, p=0.18). The average total cost of an unnecessary referral was $782.13 USD, including $231.07 in patient costs and $551.06 in provider costs. Conclusions: Nearly 40% of all referrals for AIS were deemed unnecessary. The average cost of an unnecessary referral is approximately $780, imposing significant costs on both patients and the healthcare system.Level of Evidence: III.

Bracing in Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis Trial (BrAIST): Development and Validation of a Prognostic Model in Untreated Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis Using the Simplified Skeletal Maturity System.

STUDY DESIGN: Prognostic study and validation using prospective clinical trial data. OBJECTIVE: To derive and validate a model predicting curve progression to ≥45° before skeletal maturity in untreated patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Studies have linked the natural history of AIS with characteristics such as sex, skeletal maturity, curve magnitude, and pattern. The Simplified Skeletal Maturity Scoring System may be of particular prognostic utility for the study of curve progression. The reliability of the system has been addressed; however, its value as a prognostic marker for the outcomes of AIS has not. The BrAIST trial followed a sample of untreated AIS patients from enrollment to skeletal maturity, providing a rare source of prospective data for prognostic modeling. METHODS: The development sample included 115 untreated BrAIST participants. Logistic regression was used to predict curve progression to ≥45° (or surgery) before skeletal maturity. Predictors included the Cobb angle, age, sex, curve type, triradiate cartilage, and skeletal maturity stage (SMS). Internal and external validity was evaluated using jackknifed samples of the BrAIST data set and an independent cohort (n = 152). Indices of discrimination and calibration were estimated. A risk classification was created and the accuracy evaluated via the positive (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV). RESULTS: The final model included the SMS, Cobb angle, and curve type. The model demonstrated strong discrimination (c-statistics 0.89-0.91) and calibration in all data sets. The classification system resulted in PPVs of 0.71-0.72 and NPVs of 0.85-0.93. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides the first rigorously validated model predicting a short-term outcome of untreated AIS. The resultant estimates can serve two important functions: 1) setting benchmarks for comparative effectiveness studies and 2) most importantly, providing clinicians and families with individual risk estimates to guide treatment decisions. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 1, prognostic.

Evidence-based analysis of removal of orthopaedic implants in the pediatric population.

BACKGROUND: Requested project of the Pediatric Orthopaedic Society of North America Evidenced-Based Medicine Committee. METHODS: The English literature was systematically reviewed for scientific evidence supporting or disputing the common practice of elective removal of implants in children. RESULTS: Several case series reported implant removal, but none contained a control group with retained implants. No articles reported long-term outcomes of retained implants in large numbers. Several small series describe complications associated with retained implants without evidence of causation. The existing literature was not amenable to a meta-analysis. By compiling data from the literature, it is possible to calculate a complication rate of 10% for implant removal surgery. The complication rate for removal of implants placed for slipped capital femoral epiphysis is 34%. Articles regarding postmarket implant surveillance and basic science were also reviewed. CONCLUSIONS: There is no evidence in the current literature to support or refute the practice of routine implant removal in children.

Natural history of type III growth disturbance after treatment of developmental dislocation of the hip.

BACKGROUND: Type III growth disturbance (T3GD) following reduction for developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) is a relatively rare, but potentially devastating complication. This study evaluated the long-term outcomes of patients treated for DDH who developed a T3GD hip compared to those who didn't, with an emphasis on possible risk factors. METHODS: A case-control design was used. All radiographs of a consecutive set of patients with DDH were evaluated. Twenty-two patients (29 hips) developed T3GD. The control group consisted of 57 patients (72 hips) without any sign of growth disturbance. Variables examined included age at reduction, type of reduction and serial radiographic parameters reflecting pre- and post-reduction status. Average age at final follow up was 26 years in the T3GD group and 34 years in the control group. RESULTS: Evidence of T3GD was first noticed radiographically at 11 months after reduction and healing of the epiphysis occurred an average of 8.5 months later. Univariate analysis demonstrated no increased risk of T3GD related to age at presentation, presence or absence of the ossific nucleus, type of reduction, initial acetabular index or Smith's centering ratios. However, the Tönnis grade was significantly associated with an increased risk of T3GD. Tönnis grade 4 hips (high-degree dislocations) had 3.43 times greater risk of developing T3GD compared to those with lower dislocations. At maturity, 90% of the T3GD hips were classified as Severin III/IV, compared to 35% of the controls. At last follow-up, 7 of the 29 T3GD hips (32%) had undergone total hip replacement at an average age of 39 years (range 19 to 57 years). CONCLUSIONS: T3GD remains the most severe and devastating complication after treatment of DDH in children. In most cases, poor acetabular development and flattening of the femoral head lead to early degenerative changes in the hip joint. The risk increases in high-degree dislocations, independent of the treatment performed.

Long-term clinical and radiographic results of Cotrel-Dubousset instrumentation of right thoracic adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.

Little substantive data is available in the literature on the long-term clinical and radiological results of Cotrel-Dubousset instrumentation (CDI) for the treatment of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. We therefore retrospectively investigated the long-term clinical and radiographic outcome of patients who underwent (CDI) for right thoracic adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. 54 consecutive patients (45 females, 9 males) who underwent CDI for right thoracic adolescent idiopathic scoliosis with an average age of 14 years (range 10-21 years) at surgery were included in this series. There were 18 King Type II, 19 Type III, 5 Type IV, 3 Type V and 9 double major curves. The average coronal Cobb angle of the primary thoracic curve preoperatively, postoperatively and at latest follow-up was 55 degrees, 17 degrees and 22 degrees, respectively. The lumbar curve (secondary and double major) averaged 40 degrees, 21 degrees and 23 degrees, respectively. Coronal balance (deviation from the central sacral line) was slightly improved from 13 mm to 11 mm. The average shoulder elevation increased from 3 degrees to 5 degrees, presumably as a result of the rod derotation maneuver. Thoracic kyphosis (20 degrees to 22 degrees) and lumbar lordosis (49 degrees to 54 degrees) was preserved or even improved by the instrumentation. All patients were doing well and had no complaints with regard to a substantial limitation of professional or sports activity. There were no apparent non-unions, infections or neurological complications. CDI of adolescent right thoracic idiopathic scoliosis provides encouraging clinical and radiographic results at an average follow-up of 9 years (2 to 16 years). Overall patient satisfaction, functional status and subjective cosmetic improvement is high.