Development of an MRI-Based Prediction Model for Anti-TNF Treatment Failure in Perianal Crohn's Disease: A Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Clinical and radiologic variables associated with perianal fistula (PAF) outcomes are poorly understood. We developed prediction models for anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) treatment failure in patients with Crohn's disease-related PAF. METHODS: In a multicenter retrospective study between 2005 and 2022 we included biologic-naive adults (>17 years) who initiated their first anti-TNF therapy for PAF after pelvic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Pretreatment MRI studies were prospectively reread centrally by blinded radiologists. We developed and internally validated a prediction model based on clinical and radiologic parameters to predict the likelihood of anti-TNF treatment failure, clinically, at 6 months. We compared our model and a simplified version of MRI parameters alone with existing imaging-based PAF activity indices (MAGNIFI-CD and modified Van Assche MRI scores) by De Long statistical test. RESULTS: We included 221 patients: 32 ± 14 years, 60% males, 76% complex fistulas; 68% treated with infliximab and 32% treated with adalimumab. Treatment failure occurred in 102 (46%) patients. Our prediction model included age at PAF diagnosis, time to initiate anti-TNF treatment, and smoking and 8 MRI characteristics (supra/extrasphincteric anatomy, fistula length >4.3 cm, primary tracts >1, secondary tracts >1, external openings >1, tract hyperintensity on T1-weighted imaging, horseshoe anatomy, and collections >1.3 cm). Our full and simplified MRI models had fair discriminatory capacity for anti-TNF treatment failure (concordance statistic, 0.67 and 0.65, respectively) and outperformed MAGNIFI-CD (P = .002 and < .0005) and modified Van Assche MRI scores (P < .0001 and < .0001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our risk prediction models consisting of clinical and/or radiologic variables accurately predict treatment failure in patients with PAF.

Exercise Training for Liver Transplant Candidates.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Frailty is associated with increased morbidity and mortality, and this is tightly linked to liver decompensation and increased complication rates among liver transplant (LT) candidates. The aim of the study was to evaluate the efficacy of a structured in- and outpatient exercise training program for cirrhotic patients who were referred for liver transplant evaluation. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 458 consecutive LT patients. There were 200 patients who underwent LT prior to the implementation of an exercise training program (non-ETP) and 258 LT patients who underwent a comprehensive exercise training program (ETP). Baseline characteristics, readmission rate, and length of hospital stay (LOS) were analyzed and compared between the 2 groups. RESULTS: The ETP group were more likely to have diabetes mellitus and coronary artery disease. However, there was no significant difference in the postoperative complication rates between the 2 groups except for more infections in the ETP group compared to the non-ETP group. There was a trend toward lower 90-day readmission rate in the ETP group (17.9% vs 20%) and shorter LOS (14 vs 17 days). CONCLUSION: There was a trend toward reduced 90-day readmission and shorter length of stay after implementation of an exercise training program.