Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Show: 20 | 50 | 100
Resultados 1 - 20 de 68
Filtrar
1.
Epidemiol Infect ; 149: e173, 2021 07 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34668464

RESUMEN

New Zealand has a strategy of eliminating SARS-CoV-2 that has resulted in a low incidence of reported coronavirus-19 disease (COVID-19). The aim of this study was to describe the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in New Zealand via a nationwide serosurvey of blood donors. Samples (n = 9806) were collected over a month-long period (3 December 2020-6 January 2021) from donors aged 16-88 years. The sample population was geographically spread, covering 16 of 20 district health board regions. A series of Spike-based immunoassays were utilised, and the serological testing algorithm was optimised for specificity given New Zealand is a low prevalence setting. Eighteen samples were seropositive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, six of which were retrospectively matched to previously confirmed COVID-19 cases. A further four were from donors that travelled to settings with a high risk of SARS-CoV-2 exposure, suggesting likely infection outside New Zealand. The remaining eight seropositive samples were from seven different district health regions for a true seroprevalence estimate, adjusted for test sensitivity and specificity, of 0.103% (95% confidence interval, 0.09-0.12%). The very low seroprevalence is consistent with limited undetected community transmission and provides robust, serological evidence to support New Zealand's successful elimination strategy for COVID-19.


Asunto(s)
Donantes de Sangre/estadística & datos numéricos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Erradicación de la Enfermedad/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Algoritmos , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , COVID-19/sangre , COVID-19/transmisión , Prueba Serológica para COVID-19 , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Prevalencia , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Adulto Joven
2.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 29(2): 150-160, 2020 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31788906

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: We analysed lipid-lowering medication adherence before and after the first hospitalization for cardiovascular disease (CVD) to explore the influence hospitalization has on patient medication adherence. METHODS: We extracted a sub-cohort for analysis from 313,207 patients who had primary CVD risk assessment. Adherence was assessed as proportion of days covered (PDC) ≥ 80% based on community dispensing records. Adherence in the 4 quarters (360 days) before the first CVD hospitalization and 8 quarters (720 days) after hospital discharge was assessed for each individual in the sub-cohort. An interrupted time series design using generalized estimating equations was applied to compare the differences of population-level medication adherence rates before and after the first CVD hospitalization. RESULTS: Overall, a significant improvement in medication adherence rate from before to after the hospitalization was observed (odds ratio (OR) 2.49 [1.74-3.57]) among the 946 patients included in the analysis. Patients having diabetes history had a higher OR of adherence before the hospitalization than patients without diabetes (1.50 [1.03-2.22]) but no significant difference after the hospitalization (OR 1.13 [0.89-1.43]). Before the first hospitalization, we observed that quarterly medication adherence rate was steady at around 55% (OR 0.97 [0.93-1.01), whereas the trend in adherence over the post-hospitalization period decreased significantly per quarter (OR 0.97 [0.94-0.99]). CONCLUSIONS: Patients were more likely to adhere to lipid-lowering therapy after experiencing a first CVD hospitalization. The change in medication adherence rate is consistent with patients having heightened perception of disease severity following the hospitalization.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Hospitalización/tendencias , Hipolipemiantes/uso terapéutico , Análisis de Series de Tiempo Interrumpido/métodos , Cumplimiento de la Medicación , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/psicología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Cumplimiento de la Medicación/psicología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología
3.
Health Expect ; 22(5): 1122-1131, 2019 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31368649

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Compared with New Zealand Europeans, Pacific peoples in New Zealand develop type 2 diabetes at a higher rate and a younger age, and have 3.8 times higher incidence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD). OBJECTIVE: To investigate contextual factors that shape understandings of disease for Pacific peoples with diabetes and ESRD. METHODS: Focussed ethnography. In-depth interviews were conducted with 16 Pacific people on haemodialysis for diabetic ESRD, in Auckland, New Zealand. Study participants aged between 30 and 69 years old were of Samoan, Cook Islander, Tongan, Niuean or Tokelauan ethnicity. Thematic analysis was used to code and identify themes. RESULTS: Participants were embedded in a multigenerational legacy of diabetes. The limited diabetes-related education of earlier generations influenced how future generations behaved and understood diabetes. Perceptions were compounded by additional factors including the invisibility of early-stage diabetes; misunderstandings of health risks during communication with health providers; and misunderstandings of multiple conditions' symptoms and management. Participants had limited engagement with health services until their diagnosis of ESRD acted as a trigger to change this behaviour. However, this trigger was not effective in itself-rather, it was in combination with relevant education delivered in a way that made sense to participants, given their current understandings. CONCLUSIONS: Illness representations drive choices and behaviours with respect to self-management of diabetes and engagement with health services. Diabetes is often present in multiple generations of Pacific people; therefore, illness representations are developed and shared within a family. Changing illness representations requires engagement with the individual within a family context.


Asunto(s)
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etnología , Fallo Renal Crónico/etnología , Nativos de Hawái y Otras Islas del Pacífico/psicología , Adulto , Anciano , Antropología Cultural , Comprensión , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/psicología , Femenino , Humanos , Entrevistas como Asunto , Fallo Renal Crónico/etiología , Fallo Renal Crónico/psicología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nueva Zelanda
4.
Eur Heart J ; 38(3): 172-180, 2017 01 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28158544

RESUMEN

Aims: The aim of this study is to determine proportions of major ischaemic heart disease (IHD) events that are fatal and where they occur, in an era of rapidly falling IHD mortality. Methods and Results: Individual person linkage of national data sets identified all IHD hospitalizations and deaths in New Zealand from December 2008 to November 2010. Outcome measures were proportions of people: (i) hospitalized with IHD and alive at 28 days; (ii) hospitalized with IHD and died within 28 days; (iii) hospitalized for a non-IHD cause and died from IHD within 28 days; and (iv) not hospitalized and died from IHD. Three event definitions were used [broad-balanced: IHD deaths and IHD hospitalizations, unbalanced: IHD deaths and myocardial infarction (MI) hospitalizations, and narrow-balanced: MI deaths and MI hospitalizations]. About 37 867 IHD hospitalizations and 9409 IHD deaths were identified using the broad IHD definition. Approximately one-quarter of IHD events were fatal: 4% were deaths within 28 days of an IHD hospitalization, 6% were IHD deaths within 28 days of a non-IHD hospitalization, and 14% were non-hospitalized IHD deaths. Using different event definitions, overall case fatality varied from 24­25% (broad and narrow balanced) to 37­39% (unbalanced), whereas the proportion of all deaths that were non-hospitalized was approximately 60%. Forty per cent of deaths were first-ever events that manifested as non-hospitalized IHD deaths. Conclusion: About one-quarter of IHD are fatal, although the proportion is dependent on disease definitions and age. About 60% of all IHD deaths occur out of hospital, and of these 60% are in people not previously hospitalized for IHD.


Asunto(s)
Isquemia Miocárdica/mortalidad , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Recurrencia , Distribución por Sexo
5.
J Asthma ; 53(8): 854-61, 2016 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27211111

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The relationship between urbanisation and the symptom prevalence of asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema is not clear, and varying definitions of urban extent have been used. Furthermore, a global analysis has not been undertaken. This study aimed to determine whether the symptom prevalence of asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema in centres involved in the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) were higher in urban than rural centres, using a definition of urban extent as land cover from satellite data. METHODS: A global map of urban extent from satellite images (MOD500 map) was used to define the urban extent criterion. Maps from the ISAAC centres were digitised and merged with the MOD500 map to describe the urban percentage of each centre. We investigated the association between the symptom prevalence of asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema and the percentage of urban extent by centre. RESULTS: A weak negative relationship was found between the percentage of urban extent of each ISAAC centre and current wheeze in the 13-14-year age group. This association was not statistically significant after adjusting for region of the world and gross national income. No other relationship was found between urban extent and symptoms of asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the prevalence of symptoms of asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema in children were not associated with urbanisation, according to the land cover definition of urban extent from satellite data. Comparable standardised definitions of urbanisation need to be developed so that global comparisons can be made.


Asunto(s)
Asma/epidemiología , Conjuntivitis Alérgica/epidemiología , Eccema/epidemiología , Rinitis Alérgica Perenne/epidemiología , Urbanización , Adolescente , Niño , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Prevalencia , Población Rural , Imágenes Satelitales , Población Urbana
6.
Heart Lung Circ ; 25(8): 820-8, 2016 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27118265

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to describe ethnic differences in angiography and revascularisation rates following an acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in New Zealand. METHODS: National hospitalisation and mortality data were anonymously linked to determine receipt of angiography and revascularisation for 30-84 year-olds hospitalised with ACS between 2007 and 2012. Multilevel Cox regression, accounting for individual factors and admitting hospital, was used to estimate adjusted procedural rates within 30 days of admission. RESULTS: Of the 50,324 ACS patients included, 10% were Maori, 4% Pacific, 3% Indian and 83% New Zealand European or Other ethnicities (NZEO). A larger proportion of Maori (48%) than NZEO (36%), Pacific (19%) and Indian (14%) patients were admitted to hospitals without catheterisation facilities. More Maori and Pacific (22-24%) than NZEO and Indian patients (12-13%) had severe comorbidities. Maori and Pacific were less likely than NZEO patients to receive angiography (adjusted HRs 0.94 [0.91-0.98] and 0.93 [0.87-0.98] respectively) and revascularisation (adjusted HRs 0.79 [0.75-0.83] and 0.77 [0.71-0.83]), even after adjusting for important demographic and clinical factors. CONCLUSIONS: A higher comorbidity burden in Maori and Pacific patients and reduced access to catheterisation facilities for non-urban Maori contributed to lower procedure rates after ACS admission. Ethnic differences remained after adjustment for these factors and require further investigation.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome Coronario Agudo/etnología , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/mortalidad , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/cirugía , Bases de Datos Factuales , Intervención Coronaria Percutánea , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio/etnología , Infarto del Miocardio/mortalidad , Infarto del Miocardio/cirugía , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología
7.
Br J Sports Med ; 48(15): 1167-71, 2014 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24659510

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Screening to prevent sudden cardiac death remains a contentious topic in sport and exercise medicine. The aim of this study was to assess whether the use of a standardised criteria tool improves the accuracy of ECG interpretation by physicians screening athletes. METHODS: Design: Randomised control trial. Study Population: General practitioners with an interest in sports medicine, sports physicians, sports medicine registrars and cardiologists from Australia and New Zealand were eligible to participate. Outcome Measures: Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and false-positive rates of screening ECG interpretation of athletes. Intervention: A two-page standardised ECG criteria tool was provided to intervention participants. Control participants undertook 'usual' interpretation. RESULTS: 62 physicians, with a mean duration of practice of 16 years, were randomised to intervention and control. 10 baseline and 30 postrandomisation athlete ECGs were interpreted by the participants. Intervention participants were more likely to be correct: OR 1.72 (95% CI 1.31 to 2.27, p<0.001). Correct ECG interpretation was higher in the intervention group, 88.4% (95% CI 85.7% to 91.2%), than in the control group, 82.2% (95% CI 78.8% to 85.5%; p=0.005). Sensitivity was 95% in the intervention group and 92% in the control group (p=0.4), with specificity of 86% and 78%, respectively (p=0.006). There were 36% fewer false positives in the intervention group (p=0.006). CONCLUSIONS: ECG interpretation in athletes can be improved by using a standardised ECG criteria tool. Use of the tool results in lower false-positive rates; this may have implications for screening recommendations. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12612000641897.


Asunto(s)
Competencia Clínica/normas , Electrocardiografía/normas , Cardiopatías/diagnóstico , Medicina Deportiva/normas , Muerte Súbita Cardíaca/prevención & control , Diagnóstico Precoz , Ejercicio Físico/fisiología , Humanos , Sensibilidad y Especificidad
8.
Health Syst (Basingstoke) ; 12(3): 332-356, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37860596

RESUMEN

Shortage of general practitioners (GP) is a challenge worldwide, not only in Europe, but also in countries like New Zealand. Providing primary care in rural areas is especially challenging. In order to support decision makers, it is necessary to first assess the current GP coverage and then to determine different scenarios and plans for the future. In this paper, we first present a thorough overview of related literature on locating GP practices. Second, we propose an approach for assessing the GP coverage and determining future GP locations based on a genetic algorithm framework. As a use case, we have chosen the rural New Zealand region of Northland. We also perform a sensitivity analysis for the main input parameters.

9.
BMJ Open ; 12(6): e052209, 2022 06 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35649589

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To investigate interdistrict variations in childhood ambulatory sensitive hospitalisation (ASH) over the years. DESIGN: Observational population-based study over 2008-2018 using the Primary Health Organisation Enrolment Collection (PHO) and the National Minimum Dataset hospital events databases. SETTING: New Zealand primary and secondary care. PARTICIPANTS: All children aged 0-4 years enrolled in the PHO Enrolment Collection from 2008 to 2018. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: ASH. RESULTS: Only 1.4% of the variability in the risk of having childhood ASH (intracluster correlation coefficient=0.014) is explained at the level of District Health Board (DHB), with the median OR of 1.23. No consistent time trend was observed for the adjusted childhood ASH at the national level, but the DHBs demonstrated different trajectories over the years. Ethnicity (being a Pacific child) followed by deprivation demonstrated stronger relationships with childhood ASH than the geography and the health system input variables. CONCLUSION: The variation in childhood ASH is explained only minimal at the DHB level. The sociodemographic variables also only partly explained the variations. Unlike the general ASH measure, the childhood ASH used in this analysis provides insights into the acute conditions sensitive to primary care services. However, further information would be required to conclude this as the DHB-level performance variations.


Asunto(s)
Hospitalización , Asistencia Médica , Niño , Etnicidad , Geografía , Programas de Gobierno , Humanos
10.
Health Place ; 76: 102850, 2022 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35777248

RESUMEN

Existing indices of multiple deprivation exclude indicators specifically relevant to the population aged ≥65 years. In this study we create a whole-of-population cohort of people aged ≥65 years living in private dwellings and who completed the 2013 New Zealand Census of Populations and Dwellings to create an Older Persons' Index of Multiple Deprivation (OPIMD). We combined 22 indicators representing 6 domains of deprivation (Income, Housing, Health, Assets, Connectedness and Geographic access) to establish this individual-level measure of deprivation. We used smoking data from the census to validate the OPIMD and describe the geography of the OPIMD by District Health Board, contrasting these patterns with a conventional area deprivation index. The OPIMD has the potential to inform policies concerning resource allocation for the older population. An accompanying website with an interactive atlas and an online OPIMD calculator is available for wider use of the data. Further research is required to explore associations between the OPIMD and other major health and social outcomes affecting this population.


Asunto(s)
Censos , Grupos de Población , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Humanos , Renta , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Fumar , Factores Socioeconómicos
11.
N Z Med J ; 135(1554): 111-128, 2022 05 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35728223

RESUMEN

AIM: To describe the epidemiology of DRIs in New Zealand. METHODS: A review of Accident Compensation Corporation (ACC) new claims for DRIs that required medical attention, and publicly funded hospital discharges identified from the National Minimum Dataset (NMDS) for the period of 1 July 2014 to 30 June 2019. ACC cases were identified using the TE60 READ code and relevant diagnosis or external agency descriptions; NMDS cases with an ICD-10-AM external cause of injury code of W540, W541, or W548 were included. RESULTS: There were 108,324 new ACC claims for DRIs and 3,456 hospitalisations during the five-year review period. The majority of injuries were dog bites (51%, n=54,754 ACC claims; 89%, n=3,084 hospitalisations). The all-age incidence of ACC claims for all DRIs significantly increased by 1.75% per year (p<0.001) during the period reviewed, with a significant increase in claims for dog bite injuries of 1.64% per year (p<0.001), a significant increase in DRI hospitalisations (2.43% per year, p=0.046), and a non-significant annual increase (p=0.217) in dog bite injury hospitalisations. Children aged 0-9 years had similar rates to adults of ACC claims for dog bite injuries; however, children 0-9 years were more likely to be hospitalised. Maori had a higher incidence of ACC claims and hospitalisations for dog bite injuries than non-Maori. ACC claims and hospitalisations for dog bite injuries were more likely to occur in areas of greater deprivation, with substantial regional variation across the country. CONCLUSION: The incidence of injury from dogs in New Zealand is increasing. Inequity exists with substantial regional variation, in higher rates among those living in areas of greater deprivation, and with Maori in the setting of the ongoing effects of colonisation. Children aged 0-9 years are no more likely than other age groups to present for medical attention but are more likely to be hospitalised. Reasons for these disparities require further investigation.


Asunto(s)
Mordeduras y Picaduras , Accidentes , Animales , Mordeduras y Picaduras/epidemiología , Perros , Hospitalización , Humanos , Incidencia , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos
12.
PLoS One ; 16(12): e0261163, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34928994

RESUMEN

New Zealand's rate of suicide persistently exceeds the global average. The burden of suicide in New Zealand is disproportionately borne by youth, males and Maori (NZ indigenous people). While the demographic characteristics of suicide decedents are established, there is a need to identify potential points of contact with health services where preventative action could take place. This paper aims to determine if suicide deaths in New Zealand were likely to be preceded by contact with health services, and the type and time frame in which these contacts took place. This study utilised a whole-of-population-cohort of all individuals age 15 years and over, who were alive on March 5th 2013, followed up to December 2015. Associations between the odds of suicide, demographic factors, area-based deprivation, and the timing of last contact with primary, secondary, and tertiary services were analysed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. Contact with a health service in the 6 Months prior to death was associated with the highest odds of suicide. Over half of the suicide decedent population (59.4%) had contacted primary health services during this period. Large proportions of the suicide decedent population contacted secondary and tertiary services in the 6 Months prior to death, 46.5% and 30.4% respectively. Contact with primary, secondary and tertiary services in the prior 6 Months, were associated with an increased odds of suicide of 2.51 times [95% CI 2.19-2.88], 4.45 times [95% CI 3.69-4.66] and 6.57 times [95% CI 5.84-7.38], respectively, compared to those who had no health services contact.


Asunto(s)
Servicios de Salud Mental/estadística & datos numéricos , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Suicidio/estadística & datos numéricos , Suicidio/tendencias , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nueva Zelanda , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto Joven
13.
Int J Law Psychiatry ; 74: 101648, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33412476

RESUMEN

The use of firearms by police in mental health-related events has not been previously researched in New Zealand. This study analysed reports of investigations carried out by the Independent Police Conduct Authority between 1995 and 2019. We extracted data relating to mental health state, demographics, setting, police response, outcome of shooting, and whether the individual was known to police, mental health services, and with a history of mental distress or drug use. Of the 258 reports analysed, 47 (18%) involved mental health-related events compared to 211 (82%) classified as non-mental health events. Nineteen (40.4%) of the 47 mental health events resulted in shootings, compared to 31 (14.8%) of the 211 non-mental health events. Of the 50 cases that involved shootings 38% (n = 19) were identified as mental health events compared to 62% (n = 31) non-mental health events. Over half of the mental health events (n = 11, 57.9%) resulted in fatalities, compared to 35.5% (n = 11) of the non-mental health events. Cases predominantly involved young males. We could not ascertain the ethnicity of individuals from the IPCA reports. Across all shooting events, a high proportion of individuals possessed a weapon, predominantly either a firearm or a knife, and just under half were known to police and had known substance use. Of the 19 mental health events, 47.4% (n = 9) of individuals were known to mental health services and in 89.5% (n = 17) of cases whanau (family) were aware of the individual's current (at the time of the event) mental health distress and/or history. These findings suggest opportunities to prevent the escalation of events to the point where they involve shootings. Lack of ethnicity data limits the accountability of the IPCA and is an impediment to informed discussion of police response to people of different ethnicities, and Maori in particular, in New Zealand.


Asunto(s)
Armas de Fuego , Heridas por Arma de Fuego , Humanos , Masculino , Salud Mental , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Policia
14.
Methods Inf Med ; 59(2-03): 61-74, 2020 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32726811

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: This study analyzed patient factors in medication persistence after discharge from the first hospitalization for cardiovascular disease (CVD) with the aim of predicting persistence to lipid-lowering therapy for 1 to 2 years. METHODS: A subcohort having a first CVD hospitalization was selected from 313,207 patients for proportional hazard model analysis. Logistic regression, support vector machine, artificial neural networks, and boosted regression tree (BRT) models were used to predict 1- and 2-year medication persistence. RESULTS: Proportional hazard modeling found significant association of persistence with age, diabetes history, complication and comorbidity level, days stayed in hospital, CVD diagnosis type, in-patient procedures, and being new to therapy. BRT had the best predictive performance with c-statistic of 0.811 (0.799-0.824) for 1-year and 0.793 (0.772-0.814) for 2-year prediction using variables potentially available shortly after discharge. CONCLUSION: The results suggest that development of a machine learning-based clinical decision support tool to focus improvements in secondary prevention of CVD is feasible.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Hospitalización , Metabolismo de los Lípidos/efectos de los fármacos , Cumplimiento de la Medicación , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nueva Zelanda , Alta del Paciente , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales
15.
Trans GIS ; 24(4): 967-1000, 2020 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32837240

RESUMEN

This article describes two spatially explicit models created to allow experimentation with different societal responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. We outline the work to date on modeling spatially explicit infective diseases and show that there are gaps that remain important to fill. We demonstrate how geographical regions, rather than a single, national approach, are likely to lead to better outcomes for the population. We provide a full account of how our models function, and how they can be used to explore many different aspects of contagion, including: experimenting with different lockdown measures, with connectivity between places, with the tracing of disease clusters, and the use of improved contact tracing and isolation. We provide comprehensive results showing the use of these models in given scenarios, and conclude that explicitly regionalized models for mitigation provide significant advantages over a "one-size-fits-all" approach. We have made our models, and their data, publicly available for others to use in their own locales, with the hope of providing the tools needed for geographers to have a voice during this difficult time.

16.
J Sports Med Phys Fitness ; 60(4): 562-567, 2020 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31062539

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In rugby the tackle is a complex task requiring joint position sense (JPS). Injuries commonly occur during the tackle and these account for significant time lost from training and play. Simulated tackling tasks have previously shown a reduction in shoulder joint position sense and it is possible that this may contribute to injury. There is growing evidence in support of injury prevention programs, but none so far are dedicated specifically to tackling. We postulate that a brief neuromuscular warmup could alter the negative effects of fatigue on shoulder JPS. METHODS: In this field based, repeated measures design study, 25 semi-professional Rugby players participated. JPS was measured at criterion angles of 45° and 80° of right arm shoulder external rotation. Reproduction accuracy prior to and following a neuromuscular warmup and simulated tackling task was then assessed. RESULTS: In pre-warmup JPS measures, the spread of angle errors were larger at the 80° positions. Adding the warmup, the spread of the angle errors at the 80° positions decreased compared to pre-intervention measures. Two one-sided tests (TOST) analysis comparing pre- and post-testing angle errors, with the addition of the warmup, indicated no difference in JPS. CONCLUSIONS: The neuromuscular warmup resulted in a decrease in JPS error variance meaning fewer individuals made extreme errors. The TOST analysis results also suggest the neuromuscular warmup used in this study could mitigate the negative effects of tackling on JPS that has been seen in prior research. This neuromuscular warmup could play a role in preventing shoulder injuries. It can easily be added to existing successful injury prevention programs.


Asunto(s)
Fútbol Americano/fisiología , Articulación del Hombro/fisiología , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Propiocepción , Rotación , Hombro/fisiología , Lesiones del Hombro , Ejercicio de Calentamiento , Adulto Joven
17.
Australas J Ageing ; 39(3): 297-304, 2020 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32394527

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: There are no national dementia epidemiological studies using New Zealand (NZ) data. NZ routinely collects health-care data within the Integrated Data Infrastructure (IDI). The study objectives were to 1) investigate late-onset dementia estimates using the IDI between 2012-2015 and compare these with 2) published estimates, and 3) variations between North and South Islands and ethnicity. METHODS: A population-based, retrospective cohort design was applied to routinely collected de-identified health/administrative IDI data. Dementia was defined by ICD-10-AM dementia codes or anti-dementia drugs. RESULTS: Approximately 2% of those aged ≥60 years had dementia, lower than published estimates. Dementia was higher in North Island; in 80- to 89-year-olds; among the Maori population when age-standardised, and 9% of all dementia cases had >1 dementia sub-type. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, this is the first study ascertaining dementia estimates using NZ's whole-of-population IDI data. Estimates were lower than existing NZ estimates, for several reasons. Further work is required, including expanding IDI data sets, to develop future estimates that better reflect NZ's diverse population.


Asunto(s)
Demencia , Datos de Salud Recolectados Rutinariamente , Demencia/diagnóstico , Demencia/epidemiología , Humanos , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Estudios Retrospectivos
18.
J Epidemiol Community Health ; 74(5): 460-466, 2020 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32102839

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Children residing in neighbourhoods of high deprivation are more likely to have poorer health, including excess body size. While the availability of unhealthy food outlets are increasingly considered important for excess child body size, less is known about how neighbourhood deprivation, unhealthy food outlets and unhealthy dietary behaviours are interlinked. METHODS: This study involves children aged 8-13 years (n=1029) and resided in Auckland, New Zealand. Unhealthy dietary behaviours (frequency of consumption of unhealthy snacks and drinks) and food purchasing behaviour on the route to and from school were self-reported. Height and waist circumference were measured to calculate waist-to-height ratio (WtHR). Geographic Information Systems mapped neighbourhood deprivation and unhealthy food outlets within individual, child-specific neighbourhood buffer boundaries (800 m around the home and school). Associations between neighbourhood deprivation (calculated using the New Zealand Index of Deprivation 2013), unhealthy food outlets, unhealthy dietary behaviours and WtHR were investigated using structural equation modelling in Mplus V.8.0. Age, sex and ethnicity were included as covariates, and clustering was accounted for at the school level. RESULTS: Structural equation models showed that unhealthy food outlets were unrelated to unhealthy dietary behaviours (estimate 0.029, p=0.416) and excess body size (estimate -0.038, p=0.400). However, greater neighbourhood deprivation and poorer dietary behaviours (estimate -0.134, p=0.001) were associated with greater WtHR (estimate 0.169, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Excess child body size is associated with neighbourhood deprivation and unhealthy dietary behaviours but not unhealthy outlet density or location of these outlets near home and school.


Asunto(s)
Comercio/estadística & datos numéricos , Dieta/estadística & datos numéricos , Privación de Alimentos , Desiertos Alimentarios , Áreas de Pobreza , Características de la Residencia , Restaurantes/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Tamaño Corporal , Niño , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Abastecimiento de Alimentos , Humanos , Análisis de Clases Latentes , Masculino , Nueva Zelanda , Medio Social
19.
N Z Med J ; 133(1521): 14-27, 2020 09 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32994634

RESUMEN

AIM: In Aotearoa, New Zealand, cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden is greatest among Indigenous Maori, Pacific and Indian people. The aim of this study was to describe CVD risk profiles by ethnicity. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of a cohort of people aged 35-74 years who had a CVD risk assessment in primary care between 2004 and 2016. Primary care data were supplemented with linked data from regional/national databases. Comparisons between ethnic groups were made using age-adjusted summaries of continuous or categorical data. RESULTS: 475,241 people (43% women) were included. Fourteen percent were Maori, 13% Pacific, 8% Indian, 10% Other Asian and 55% European. Maori and Pacific people had a much higher prevalence of smoking, obesity, heart failure, atrial fibrillation and prior CVD compared with other ethnic groups. Pacific and Indian peoples, and to a lesser extent Maori and Other Asian people, had markedly elevated diabetes prevalence compared with Europeans. Indian men had the highest prevalence of prior coronary heart disease. CONCLUSIONS: Maori and Pacific people experience the most significant inequities in exposure to CVD risk factors compared with other ethnic groups. Indians have a high prevalence of diabetes and coronary heart disease. Strong political commitment and cross-sectoral action to implement effective interventions are urgently needed.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etnología , Adulto , Anciano , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nativos de Hawái y Otras Islas del Pacífico , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Atención Primaria de Salud , Factores de Riesgo , Población Blanca
20.
Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act ; 6: 19, 2009 Mar 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19331652

RESUMEN

UNLABELLED: : This study sought to integrate perceived and built environmental and individual factors into the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) model to better understand adolescents' physical activity. METHODS: Participants (n = 110) aged 12 to 17 years (M = 14.6 +/- 1.55) were recruited from two large metropolitan high schools in Auckland, New Zealand, were included in the analysis. Participants completed measures of the revised TPB and the perceived environment. Individual factors such as ethnicity and level of deprivation were also collected. Geographical Information Systems (GIS) software was used to measure the physical environment (walkability, access to physical activity facilities). Physical activity was assessed using the ActiGraph accelerometer and the Physical Activity Questionnaire for Adolescents (PAQ-A). Data from the various sources were combined to develop an integrated model integrated for statistical analysis using structural equation modeling. RESULTS: The TPB model variables (intention and perceived behavioral control) explained 43% of the variance of PAQ-A. Unique and individual contributions were made by intention and PBC and home ownership of home equipment. The model explained 13% of time spent in moderate and vigorous physical activity (Actigraph). Unique and individual contribution was made by intention. CONCLUSION: Social cognitive variables were better predictors of both subjective and objective physical activity compared to perceived environmental and built environment factors. Implications of these findings are discussed.

SELECCIÓN DE REFERENCIAS
Detalles de la búsqueda