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The efficacy of convolutional neural network (CNN)-enhanced electrocardiography (ECG) in detecting hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) and dilated HCM (dHCM) remains uncertain in real-world applications. This retrospective study analyzed data from 19,170 patients (including 140 HCM or dHCM) in the Shinken Database (2010-2017). We evaluated the sensitivity, positive predictive rate (PPR), and F1 score of CNN-enhanced ECG in a ''basic diagnosis'' model (total disease label) and a ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model (including disease subtypes). Using all-lead ECG in the "basic diagnosis" model, we observed a sensitivity of 76%, PPR of 2.9%, and F1 score of 0.056. These metrics improved in cases with a diagnostic probability of ≥ 0.9 and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) on ECG: 100% sensitivity, 8.6% PPR, and 0.158 F1 score. The ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model further enhanced these figures to 100%, 13.0%, and 0.230, respectively. Performance was broadly consistent across CNN models using different lead configurations, particularly when including leads viewing the lateral walls. While the precision of CNN models in detecting HCM or dHCM in real-world settings is initially low, it improves by targeting specific patient groups and integrating disease subtype models. The use of ECGs with fewer leads, especially those involving the lateral walls, appears comparably effective.
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Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica , Electrocardiografía , Redes Neurales de la Computación , Humanos , Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica/diagnóstico , Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica/fisiopatología , Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica/complicaciones , Electrocardiografía/métodos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Adulto , AncianoRESUMEN
Pericardial effusion (PE) presentation varies from an incidental finding to a life-threatening situation; thus, its etiology and clinical course remain unknown. The aim of the present study was to retrospectively investigate these factors.We analyzed 171 patients (0.4%) who presented with PE among 34,873 patients who underwent echocardiography between 2011 and 2021 at our hospital. Clinical and prognostic information was retrieved from electronic medical records. The primary endpoints were all-cause death, hospitalization due to heart failure (HF), and other cardiovascular events such as cardiovascular death, acute coronary syndrome, elective percutaneous coronary intervention, and stroke.The etiologies of PE were as follows: idiopathic (32%), HF-related (18%), iatrogenic (11%), cardiac surgery-related (10%), radiation therapy-related (9%), malignancy (8%), pericarditis/myocarditis (8%), myocardial infarction-related (2%), and acute aortic dissection (2%). Patients with idiopathic/HF etiology were more likely to be older than the others.During a mean follow-up period of 2.5 years, all-cause death occurred in 21 patients (12.3%), cardiovascular events in 10 patients (5.8%), and hospitalization for HF in 24 patients (14.0%). All-cause death was frequently observed in patients with malignancy (44% per person-year). Cardiovascular events were mostly observed in patients with radiation therapy-related and malignancy (8.6% and 7.3% per person-year, respectively).The annual incidence of hospitalization for HF was the highest in patients with HF-related (25.1% per person-year), followed by radiation therapy-related (10.4% per person-year).This retrospective study is the first, to the best of our knowledge, to reveal the contemporary prevalence of PE, its cause, and outcome in patients who visited a cardiovascular hospital in an urban area of Japan.
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Derrame Pericárdico , Humanos , Masculino , Derrame Pericárdico/etiología , Derrame Pericárdico/epidemiología , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Ecocardiografía , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Causas de Muerte , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etiología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Adulto , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Japón/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
High alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels are reported to be associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Given the pathological link with CKD, a similar relationship may exist in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We retrospectively evaluated 1,719 patients with AF and normal hepatic function who were registered in the Shinken Database between November 2011 and March 2017. Study patients were divided into three groups according to ALP value tertiles with cut-offs of 175 and 227 IU/L (normal range: 95-350 IU/L). Each group's incidence rate was recorded, and the risks of cardiovascular events and each component for patients in the middle and high ALP tertiles were compared with those in the low tertile and evaluated using Cox regression models. The additional predictive value of the high ALP tertile over the existing risk scores for the components of cardiovascular events was evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. During the median follow-up of 731 days (IQR: 444-1095 days), 137 cardiovascular events occurred, with incidence rates of 2.94%, 3.44%, and 6.19%/person-year for the low, middle, and high ALP tertiles, respectively. Of these cardiovascular events, heart failure had the highest incidence rates (1.34%, 1.89%, and 4.29%/person-year for the low, middle, and high ALP tertiles, respectively) and the incidence rates of the other components of cardiovascular event were similar in each ALP groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis yielded hazard ratios of 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.70-1.96) and 1.62 (95% CI 1.06-2.48) for cardiovascular events and 1.66 (95% CI 0.87-3.15) and 2.50 (95% CI 1.39-4.48) for heart failure admission in the middle and high ALP tertiles, respectively. By ROC curve analysis for heart failure admission showed that the high ALP tertile lacked significant additive predictive value over the existing risk scores. High serum ALP levels, even those in the normal range, were significantly associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events, especially heart failure admission in patients with AF.
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Fosfatasa Alcalina , Fibrilación Atrial , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Humanos , Fosfatasa Alcalina/sangre , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/complicaciones , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) has been used to evaluate inflammatory response and nutritional status. This study aimed to investigate the impact of nutritional status on cardiac prognosis by using GPS in patients after undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). We included 862 patients who underwent PCI for stable angina pectoris between 2015 and 2018. We used the original cutoff values, which were an albumin (Alb) level of 3.5 g/dl and a C-reactive protein (CRP) level of 0.3 mg/dl. We categorized them into the three groups: originally defined GPS (od-GPS) 0 (high Alb and low CRP), 1 (low Alb or high CRP), and 2 (low Alb and high CRP). Major adverse clinical events (MACEs) included all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, revascularization, and hospitalization for heart failure. The median follow-up period was 398.5 days. During the follow-up, MACEs occurred in 136 patients. Od-GPS 2 had higher prevalence rates in terms of chronic kidney disease (CKD; 31.7% [229/722] vs. 44.9% [53/118] vs. 63.6% [14/22], p < 0.001), hemodialysis (6.4% [46/722] vs. 14.4% [17/118] vs. 31.8% [7/22], p < 0.001), and heart failure cases (HF; 9.1% [66/722] vs. 14.4% [17/118] vs. 27.3% [6/22], p = 0.007), with higher creatinine (1.17 ± 1.37 mg/dl vs. 1.89 ± 2.60 mg/dl vs. 3.49 ± 4.01 mg/dl, p < 0.001) and brain natriuretic peptide levels (104.1 ± 304.6 pg/ml vs. 242.4 ± 565.9 pg/ml vs. 668.1 ± 872.2 pg/ml, p < 0.001) and lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (101.5 ± 32.9 mg/dl vs. 98.2 ± 28.8 mg/dl vs. 77.1 ± 24.3 mg/dl, p = 0.002) than od-GPS 0 and 1.Od-GPS 2 (HR 2.42; 95% CI 1.16-5.02; p = 0.018), od-GPS 1 (HR 2.09; 95% CI 1.40-3.13; p < 0.001), diabetes (HR 1.41; 95% CI 1.00-1.99; p = 0.048), CKD (HR 2.10; 95% CI 1.49-2.96; p < 0.001), and HF (HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.05-2.56; p = 0.029) were independent predictors of MACEs. A scoring system using CRP and Alb levels with a milder definition than GPS suitably predicted the risk of MACEs in the patients who underwent PCI.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Intervención Coronaria Percutánea , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etiología , Humanos , Japón/epidemiología , Intervención Coronaria Percutánea/efectos adversos , Pronóstico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/etiología , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Resting 12-lead electrocardiography is widely used for the detection of cardiac diseases. Electrocardiogram readings have been reported to be affected by aging and, therefore, can predict patient mortality. METHODS: A total of 12,837 patients without structural heart disease who underwent electrocardiography at baseline were identified in the Shinken Database among those registered between 2010 and 2017 (n = 19,170). Using 438 electrocardiography parameters, predictive models for all-cause death and cardiovascular (CV) death were developed by a support vector machine (SVM) algorithm. RESULTS: During the observation period of 320.4 days, 55 all-cause deaths and 23 CV deaths were observed. In the SVM prediction model, the mean c-statistics of 10 cross-validation models with training and testing datasets were 0.881 ± 0.027 and 0.927 ± 0.101, respectively, for all-cause death and 0.862 ± 0.029 and 0.897 ± 0.069, respectively for CV death. For both all-cause and CV death, high values of permutation importance in the ECG parameters were concentrated in the QRS complex and ST-T segment. CONCLUSIONS: Parameters acquired from 12-lead resting electrocardiography could be applied to predict the all-cause and CV deaths of patients without structural heart disease. The ECG parameters that greatly contributed to the prediction were concentrated in the QRS complex and ST-T segment.
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Electrocardiografía , Sistema de Conducción Cardíaco/fisiopatología , Cardiopatías/diagnóstico , Cardiopatías/mortalidad , Potenciales de Acción , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Cardiopatías/fisiopatología , Frecuencia Cardíaca , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Pronóstico , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Procesamiento de Señales Asistido por Computador , Máquina de Vectores de Soporte , Factores de Tiempo , Tokio/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The incidence of ischemic stroke (IS) increases in patients with enlarged left atrium (LA) irrespective of whether or not the existence of atrial fibrillation (AF). In such situation, it is unclear whether the impact of LA on incidence of IS still significant in young, non-AF patients with enlarged LA who are primarily unconcerned on anticoagulation therapy. The study population consisted of 18,511 consecutive patients not receiving oral anticoagulants and undergoing echocardiography with measurement of LAD at baseline. The incidence rate of ischemic stroke was calculated in 3 groups according to left atrial dimension (LAD; < 30, 30-45 and ≥ 45 mm) in AF and non-AF patients. Further subgroup analysis was performed in stratification by elderly and young (aged ≥ 65 and < 65 years, respectively). The incidences of IS (per 100 patient-years) were 0.11 and 0.71 in non-AF and AF patients with LAD < 30 mm, respectively, which increased to 0.58 and 1.35 in LAD ≥ 45 mm (adjusted hazard ratios [HRs]; 1.95 [95% confidence intervals, CIs: 0.76-5.01] and 1.22 [95% CIs: 0.27-5.58], interaction P was 0.246). In non-AF patients, the incidences of IS were 0.30 and 0.04 in elderly and young patients with LAD < 30 mm, which increased to 0.67 and 0.48 in LAD ≥ 45 mm (adjusted HRs; 1.34 [95% CIs: 0.43-4.15] and 4.21 [95% CIs: 0.77-23.12], interaction P was 0.158). The incidence of IS significantly increased with increase of LAD in non-AF, especially in non-AF and young patients, although the difference was not independent of other clinical factors. The impact of LAD on IS was numerically larger in non-AF than in AF, and larger in young and non-AF than in elderly counterpart, although a significant interaction was not observed in this small population. Further studies with large population are necessary to judge whether these population with enlarged LA need antithrombotic therapy.
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Fibrilación Atrial , Isquemia Encefálica , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Anciano , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico , Isquemia Encefálica/epidemiología , Isquemia Encefálica/etiología , Atrios Cardíacos/diagnóstico por imagen , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
We experienced a case of aortic regurgitation secondary to tear in the non-coronary cusp of the aortic valve after percutaneous mechanical circulatory support by Impella 2.5 placement, which was resolved with aortic valve replacement. Our patient, a 72-year-old man, developed non-ST elevation myocardial infarction and cardiogenic shock, which was treated with the implantation of Impella 2.5 prior to percutaneous coronary intervention. He eventually required prosthetic valve replacement for progressive aortic regurgitation after removing the Impella device. From intraoperative photographs, multiple lacerations were confirmed in the non-coronary aortic cusp. One year after prosthetic valve replacement, he was asymptomatic as per the New York Heart Association functional class II; additionally, echocardiography showed a mean prosthetic valve gradient of 7 mmHg, an effective orifice area of 1.87 cm2, and no aortic regurgitation. A rare complication of aortic regurgitation due to aortic valve injury should be considered when hemodynamic deterioration is observed after Impella implantation.
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Insuficiencia de la Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Prótesis Valvulares Cardíacas , Corazón Auxiliar/efectos adversos , Laceraciones/cirugía , Choque Cardiogénico/cirugía , Reemplazo de la Válvula Aórtica Transcatéter , Anciano , Aorta/cirugía , Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Aórtica/etiología , Hemodinámica , Humanos , Laceraciones/etiología , Masculino , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
The vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist (Tolvaptan) is a new diuretic that selectively promotes the excretion of water. It has been reported to be effective for patients in cardiology, but there have been no reports of its use in the perioperative period after cardiac surgery. We report the usefulness of Tolvaptan for postoperative fluid management in a patient with severe mitral regurgitation due to ischemic cardiomyopathy. Marked improvement was achieved after administration of Tolvaptan for heart failure in the postoperative period.
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Benzazepinas/administración & dosificación , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/tratamiento farmacológico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etiología , Implantación de Prótesis de Válvulas Cardíacas/efectos adversos , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral/cirugía , Desequilibrio Hidroelectrolítico/tratamiento farmacológico , Desequilibrio Hidroelectrolítico/etiología , Diuréticos/administración & dosificación , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral/complicaciones , Tolvaptán , Resultado del Tratamiento , Desequilibrio Hidroelectrolítico/prevención & controlRESUMEN
Background: We developed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) using the sinus rhythm ECG (SR-ECG). However, the diagnostic performance of the CNN model based on different ECG leads remains unclear. MethodsâandâResults: In this retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study, we identified 616 AF cases and 3,412 SR cases for the modeling dataset among new patients (n=19,170). The modeling dataset included SR-ECGs obtained within 31 days from AF-ECGs in AF cases and SR cases with follow-up ≥1,095 days. We evaluated the CNN model's performance for AF detection using 8-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead ECGs through 5-fold cross-validation. The CNN model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.872 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.856-0.888) and an odds ratio of 15.24 (95% CI: 12.42-18.72) for AF detection using the eight-lead ECG. Among the single-lead and double-lead ECGs, the double-lead ECG using leads I and V1 yielded an AUC of 0.871 (95% CI: 0.856-0.886) with an odds ratio of 14.34 (95% CI: 11.64-17.67). Conclusions: We assessed the performance of a CNN model for detecting AF using eight-lead, single-lead, and double-lead SR-ECGs. The model's performance with a double-lead (I, V1) ECG was comparable to that of the 8-lead ECG, suggesting its potential as an alternative for AF screening using SR-ECG.
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Background: The potential of utilizing artificial intelligence with electrocardiography (ECG) for initial screening of aortic dissection (AD) is promising. However, achieving a high positive predictive rate (PPR) remains challenging. Methods and results: This retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study (Shinken Database 2010-2017, N = 19,170) used digital 12-lead ECGs from initial patient visits. We assessed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model's performance for AD detection with eight-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead (I, II) ECGs via five-fold cross-validation. The mean age was 63.5 ± 12.5 years for the AD group (n = 147) and 58.1 ± 15.7 years for the non-AD group (n = 19,023). The CNN model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.936 (standard deviation [SD]: 0.023) for AD detection with eight-lead ECGs. In the entire cohort, the PPR was 7 %, with 126 out of 147 AD cases correctly diagnosed (sensitivity 86 %). When applied to patients with D-dimer levels ≥1 µg/dL and a history of hypertension, the PPR increased to 35 %, with 113 AD cases correctly identified (sensitivity 86 %). The single V1 lead displayed the highest diagnostic performance (AUC: 0.933, SD: 0.03), with PPR improvement from 8 % to 38 % within the same population. Conclusions: Our CNN model using ECG data for AD detection achieved an over 30% PPR when applied to patients with elevated D-dimer levels and hypertension history while maintaining sensitivity. A similar level of performance was observed with a single-lead V1 ECG in the CNN model.
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Background: This study sought to develop an artificial intelligence-derived model to detect the dilated phase of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (dHCM) on digital electrocardiography (ECG) and to evaluate the performance of the model applied to multiple-lead or single-lead ECG. Methods: This is a retrospective analysis using a single-center prospective cohort study (Shinken Database 2010-2017, n = 19,170). After excluding those without a normal P wave on index ECG (n = 1,831) and adding dHCM patients registered before 2009 (n = 39), 17,378 digital ECGs were used. Totally 54 dHCM patients were identified of which 11 diagnosed at baseline, 4 developed during the time course, and 39 registered before 2009. The performance of the convolutional neural network (CNN) model for detecting dHCM was evaluated using eight-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead (I, II) ECGs with the five-fold cross validation method. Results: The area under the curve (AUC) of the CNN model to detect dHCM (n = 54) with eight-lead ECG was 0.929 (standard deviation [SD]: 0.025) and the odds ratio was 38.64 (SD 9.10). Among the single-lead and double-lead ECGs, the AUC was highest with the single lead of V5 (0.953 [SD: 0.038]), with an odds ratio of 58.89 (SD:68.56). Conclusion: Compared with the performance of eight-lead ECG, the most similar performance was achieved with the model with a single V5 lead, suggesting that this single-lead ECG can be an alternative to eight-lead ECG for the screening of dHCM.
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BACKGROUND: Fulminant myocarditis (FM) is a form of severe inflammatory carditis with rapidly developing acute heart failure. CASE PRESENTATION: We report three cases of successful intensive treatment by Impella of FM without any complications. In all cases, impairment of microcirculation as measured by blood lactate level and the hemodynamic value as indicated by cardiac index were improved within 24-48 h and 7 days after Impella implantation, respectively. Interestingly, our data also suggested that treatment by Impella CP or 5.0 may lead to faster recovery of microcirculation and cardiac function than treatment by Impella 2.5. CONCLUSION: Our findings demonstrate that the appropriate selection of Impella devices guided by body surface area measurements may help to improve clinical outcomes of severe heart failure including FM.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Corazón Auxiliar , Miocarditis , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/complicaciones , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/cirugía , Corazón Auxiliar/efectos adversos , Hemodinámica , Humanos , Miocarditis/cirugía , Choque Cardiogénico/etiología , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Cardiac papillary fibroelastoma (PFE) is a rare tumor, and especially rare when found on the pulmonary valve. CASE PRESENTATION: We report the case of a 70-year-old woman patient with a pulmonary valve PFE diagnosed incidentally during a follow-up of aortic regurgitation. Computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging showed no suggestive signs of malignant tumors, and thrombus or myxoma was initially suspected. However, an initial transthoracic and transesophageal echocardiogram did not exclude the possibility of a malignant tumor attached to the wall of the pulmonary artery. Considering the embolization risk, we opted to perform tumorectomy, in which additional surgical procedures could then be conducted if intraoperative diagnosis showed a malignant tumor. Indeed, intraoperative findings showed the tumoral mass attached on the left semilunar cusp of the pulmonary valve, and intraoperative diagnosis of the tumor showed no malignancy. Planned tumorectomy was performed concomitantly with AVR. The pathologic examination of the removed tumor confirmed the diagnosis of PFE. Her postoperative course was uneventful without any sign of recurrence. CONCLUSION: This case highlights the difficulty of accurate diagnostic imaging and provides valuable insight into a successful surgical treatment of pulmonary valve PFE without any complications.
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Fibroelastoma Papilar Cardíaco , Fibroma , Neoplasias Cardíacas , Válvula Pulmonar , Anciano , Ecocardiografía Transesofágica , Femenino , Fibroma/diagnóstico por imagen , Fibroma/cirugía , Neoplasias Cardíacas/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias Cardíacas/cirugía , Humanos , Válvula Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagen , Válvula Pulmonar/patología , Válvula Pulmonar/cirugíaRESUMEN
Acute eosinophilic pneumonia is a rare but severe side effect of daptomycin, which has been recommended as empirical antimicrobial drug therapy for blood culture-negative prosthetic valve endocarditis. Here, we present a case of an 82-year-old man who developed fever, cough, and shortness of breath after 23-day treatment with daptomycin for prosthetic valve endocarditis. Bilateral ground-glass opacities were observed on computed tomography with peripheral eosinophilia of 640/µL (7%). Cessation of daptomycin and commencement of corticosteroid therapy improved his symptoms. This case highlights the importance of prompt diagnosis of acute eosinophilic pneumonia in endocarditis patients treated with daptomycin.
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Three indole alkaloids, voacamine (1), 3,6-oxidovoacangine (2), and a new alkaloid, 5-hydroxy-3,6-oxidovoacangine (3), isolated from Voacanga africana were found to exhibit potent cannabinoid CB1 receptor antagonistic activity. This is the first example of CB1 antagonists derived from natural alkaloids.
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Descubrimiento de Drogas , Alcaloides Indólicos/farmacología , Receptor Cannabinoide CB1/antagonistas & inhibidores , Alcaloides Indólicos/química , Estructura Molecular , Extractos Vegetales/farmacología , Espectrometría de Masa por Ionización de Electrospray , Voacanga/químicaRESUMEN
AIM: Polypharmacy is known to be a risk factor for falls or bone fracture (F/F) in elderly patients. However, this relationship is not fully described in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), for which F/F may lead to serious clinical outcomes, including major bleeding. METHODS: We analyzed 509 elderly (aged ≥75 years) patients with NVAF who had recently visited a hospital specializing in cardiology, of which 272 patients had paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) and 237 had persistent/permanent atrial fibrillation (PeAF). Patients were divided into four groups according to the number of medications: ≤3, 4-6, 7-9, and ≥10. The relationship between the number of medications and incidence rate of F/F in AF patients was analyzed. In addition, this relationship was analyzed in patients with each AF type. RESULTS: Cumulative incidence of F/F at 3 years in the respective categories was 3.7%, 5.4%, 4.3% and 5.7% for PAF, and 5.2%, 7.5%, 7.8% and 25.0% for PeAF (log-rank test, P = 0.930 and 0.003, respectively). In a multivariable model, patients with ≥10 medications showed a significantly higher risk for F/F compared with those with ≤3 medications as reference only in PeAF (adjusted hazard ratio 4.82, 95%CI 1.42-16.33), without significant interaction (P = 0.081). CONCLUSIONS: Elderly NVAF patients using ≥10 medications showed a higher risk for F/F. In subgroup analysis, this association was observed only in patients with PeAF, although there was no significant interaction between number of medications and AF type. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2021; 21: 802-809.
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Fibrilación Atrial , Fracturas Óseas , Accidentes por Caídas , Anciano , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/tratamiento farmacológico , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Bases de Datos Factuales , Fracturas Óseas/epidemiología , Humanos , IncidenciaRESUMEN
AIM: Although polypharmacy has been associated with poor clinical outcomes, whether taking an increased number of medications is harmful or beneficial for older adult patients treated for cardiovascular diseases might require further discussion. METHODS: We analyzed data of 2089 patients aged ≥75 years in a single hospital-based cohort. The study population was divided into three groups according to the tertiles of the number of medications at baseline: <3 (n = 647), 3-7 (n = 707) and ≥8 (n = 735). RESULTS: The cumulative incidences of all-cause death at 3 years among patients taking less than three, three to seven and eight or more medications were 3.7%, 4.1% and 7.8%, respectively (log-rank test P = 0.015). In a Cox regression analysis, taking eight or more total medications (vs 0-2) was independently associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.67, 95% CI 1.01-2.78). For predicting mortality using the number of medications, the maximum Youden Index was 7. In subgroups with certain heart diseases, no regular tendency of an increase in the risk of all-cause death was observed with an increase in the number of medications. CONCLUSIONS: The number of medications taken was independently associated with mortality among older adult patients, with a relatively high cut-off point. This association was not observed in patients with certain heart diseases, possibly indicating the merit - rather than the harm - of medical treatment in the cardiovascular field. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2021; 21: 985-995.
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Cardiología , Polifarmacia , Anciano , Hospitales , Humanos , Incidencia , Medición de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Older adults with atrial fibrillation (AF) have highly diverse risk levels for mortality, heart failure (HF), thromboembolism (TE), and major bleeding (MB), thus an integrated risk-pattern algorithm is warranted. METHODS: We analyzed 573 AF patients aged ≥ 75 years from our single-center cohort (Shinken Database 2010-2018). The 3-year risk scores (risk probability) for mortality (M-score), HF (HF-score), TE (TE-score), and MB (MB-score) were estimated for each patient by logistic regression analysis. Using the four risk scores, cluster analysis was performed with Ward's linkage hierarchical algorithm. RESULTS: Three clusters were identified: Clusters 1 (n = 429, 74%), 2 (n = 24, 5%), and 3 (n = 120, 21%). The clusters were characterized as standard risk (Cluster 1), high TE- and MB-risk (Cluster 2), and high M- and HF-risk (Cluster 3). Oral anticoagulants were prescribed for over 80% of the patients in each cluster. Catheter ablation for AF was performed only in Cluster 1 (8.9%). Compared with Cluster 1, Cluster 2 was more closely associated with males, asymptomatic AF, history of cerebral infarction or transient ischemic attack, history of intracranial hemorrhage, high HAS-BLED score (≥3), and low body mass index (<18.0 kg/m2). Cluster 3 was more closely associated with old age, heart failure, and low estimated creatinine clearance (<30 mL/min). CONCLUSION: The cluster analysis identified those at a high risk for all-cause death and HF or a high risk for TE and MB and could support decision making in older adults with AF.