Association of percentile ranking with citation impact and productivity in a large cohort of de novo NIMH-funded R01 grants.

Previous reports from National Institutes of Health and National Science Foundation have suggested that peer review scores of funded grants bear no association with grant citation impact and productivity. This lack of association, if true, may be particularly concerning during times of increasing competition for increasingly limited funds. We analyzed the citation impact and productivity for 1755 de novo investigator-initiated R01 grants funded for at least 2 years by National Institute of Mental Health between 2000 and 2009. Consistent with previous reports, we found no association between grant percentile ranking and subsequent productivity and citation impact, even after accounting for subject categories, years of publication, duration and amounts of funding, as well as a number of investigator-specific measures. Prior investigator funding and academic productivity were moderately strong predictors of grant citation impact.

Heart rate recovery immediately after treadmill exercise and left ventricular systolic dysfunction as predictors of mortality: the case of stress echocardiography.

BACKGROUND: An attenuated heart rate recovery after exercise has been shown to be predictive of mortality. In prior studies, recovery heart rates were measured while patients were exercising lightly, that is, during a cool-down period. It is not known whether heart rate recovery predicts mortality when measured in the absence of a cool-down period or after accounting for left ventricular systolic function. METHODS AND RESULTS: We followed 5438 consecutive patients without a history of heart failure or valvular disease referred for exercise echocardiography for 3 years. Heart rate recovery was defined as the difference in heart rate between peak exercise and 1 minute later; a value

Ventilatory and heart rate responses to exercise : better predictors of heart failure mortality than peak oxygen consumption.

BACKGROUND: An abnormally low chronotropic response and an abnormally high ventilatory response (V(E)/V(CO2)) to exercise are common in patients with severe heart failure, but their relative prognostic impacts have not been well explored. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive patients with heart failure referred for metabolic stress testing who were not taking beta-blockers or intravenous inotropes (n=470) were followed for 1.5 years. The chronotropic index was calculated while peak V(O2) and V(E)/V(CO2) were directly measured. Chronotropic index and peak V(O2) were considered abnormal if in the lowest 25th percentiles of the patient cohort, whereas V(E)/V(CO2) was considered abnormal if in the highest 25th percentile. For comparative purposes, a group of 17 healthy controls underwent metabolic testing as well. Compared with controls, heart failure patients had markedly abnormal ventilatory and chronotropic responses to exercise. In the heart failure cohort, there were 71 deaths. In univariate analyses, predictors of death included high V(E)/V(CO2) low chronotropic index, low V(O2), low resting systolic blood pressure, and older age. Nonparametric Kaplan-Meier plots demonstrated that by dividing the population according to peak V(E)/V(CO2) and peak V(O2), it is possible to identify low, intermediate, and very high risk groups. In multivariate analyses, the only independent predictors of death were high V(E)/V(CO2) (adjusted relative risk [RR] 3.20, 95% CI 1.95 to 5.26, P<0.0001) and low chronotropic index (adjusted RR 1.94, 95% CI 1.18 to 3.19, P=0.0009). CONCLUSIONS: The ventilatory and chronotropic responses to exercise are powerful and independent predictors of heart failure mortality.

Incremental prognostic value of elevated baseline C-reactive protein among established markers of risk in percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Established methods of risk assessment in percutaneous coronary intervention have focused on clinical and anatomical lesion characteristics. Emerging evidence indicates the substantial contribution of inflammatory processes to short-term and long-term outcomes in coronary artery disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: Within a single-center registry of contemporary percutaneous coronary revascularization strategies with postprocedural creatine kinase and clinical events routinely recorded, we assessed the association of baseline C-reactive protein with death or myocardial infarction within the first 30 days. Predictive usefulness of baseline C-reactive protein within the context of established clinical and angiographic predictors of risk was also examined. Among 727 consecutive patients, elevated baseline C-reactive protein before percutaneous coronary intervention was associated with progressive increase in death or myocardial infarction at 30 days (lowest quartile, 3.9%, versus highest quartile, 14.2%; P=0.002). Among clinical and procedural characteristics, baseline C-reactive protein remained independently predictive of adverse events, with the highest quartile of C-reactive protein associated with an odds ratio for excess 30-day death or myocardial infarction of 3.68 (95% CI, 1.51 to 8.99; P=0.004). A predictive model that included baseline C-reactive protein quartiles, American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association lesion score, acute coronary syndrome presentation, and coronary stenting appears strongly predictive of 30-day death or myocardial infarction within this population (C-statistic, 0.735) and among individual patients (Brier score, 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated baseline C-reactive protein portends heightened risk of 30-day death or myocardial infarction after coronary intervention. Coupled anatomic, clinical, and inflammatory risk stratification demonstrates strong predictive utility among patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention and may be useful for guiding future strategies.

Effect of hydroxymethylglutaryl coenzyme a reductase inhibitors on the progression of calcific aortic stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have supported the hypothesis that calcific aortic stenosis is the product of an active inflammatory process, with similarities to atherosclerosis. We sought to determine whether therapy with hydroxymethylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitors (statins) might slow the progression of aortic stenosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: A retrospective study of 174 patients (mean age 68+/-12 years) with mild to moderate calcific aortic stenosis was conducted. Patients required normal left ventricular function, /=2 echocardiograms performed at least 12 months apart. Fifty-seven patients (33%) received treatment with a statin; the remaining 117 (67%) did not. The statin group was older and had a higher prevalence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and coronary disease. During a mean follow-up of 21 months, patients treated with statin had a smaller increase in peak and mean gradient and a smaller decrease in aortic valve area. When annualized, the decrease in aortic valve area for the nonstatin group was 0.11+/-0.18 cm(2) compared with 0.06+/-0.16 cm(2) for those treated with a statin (P=0.03). In multivariate analysis, statin usage was a significant independent predictor of a smaller decrease in valve area (P=0.01) and a lesser increase in peak gradient (P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Statin-treated patients, despite a higher risk profile for progression, had reduced aortic stenosis progression compared with those not treated with a statin. These data provide justification for a prospective randomized trial to substantiate whether statin therapy slows the progression of aortic stenosis.

Influence of contemporary versus 30-year blood pressure levels on left ventricular mass and geometry: the Framingham Heart Study.

To determine whether long-term blood pressure levels correlate with left ventricular mass, echocardiographic measurements were performed in 152 men and 299 women who were participants in the Framingham Heart Study. All subjects were free of obesity and cardiovascular and pulmonary disease, were not taking antihypertensive medications and had echocardiographic studies that were adequate for estimating left ventricular mass. Thirty-year average systolic blood pressure was correlated with left ventricular mass (corrected for height) (r = 0.27, p less than 0.001 in men; r = 0.31, p less than 0.001 in women). Multivariate linear regression analyses taking into account age and body mass index showed 30-year average systolic blood pressure to be a significant independent predictor of left ventricular mass (p less than 0.01 in men and women). Systolic blood pressure at echocardiography was not independently associated with left ventricular mass when 30-year systolic blood pressure was entered into the multivariate model. The prevalence of left ventricular hypertrophy was associated with 30-year average systolic blood pressure (odds ratio for every 20-mm Hg increase in blood pressure: 3.20, p less than 0.05 in men; 3.27, p less than 0.001 in women). The increase in left ventricular mass associated with 30-year average systolic blood pressure reflected changes in left ventricular wall thickness but not in left ventricular internal dimension. Thirty-year average diastolic blood pressure was also correlated with left ventricular mass but to a lesser degree than was systolic blood pressure (r = 0.18, p less than 0.05 in men; r = 0.18, p less than 0.01 in women).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Gender-specific reference M-mode values in adults: population-derived values with consideration of the impact of height.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this investigation was to derive population-based reference values for M-mode echocardiographic dimensions that can be applied in epidemiologic studies, clinical trials and clinical practice and to determine optimal methods for adjusting these dimensions for body size. BACKGROUND: M-mode echocardiography remains an important modality for studying cardiovascular disease; this is especially true with regard to detecting target organ damage in systemic hypertension. Most previously published reference values were derived from hospital-based series or relatively small samples and were not gender specific. METHODS: Using a sample of 288 men and 524 women who were between 20 and 45 years of age and who were free of cardiovascular disease, reference values were derived for end-diastolic and end-systolic left ventricular internal dimensions, left ventricular wall thickness and left atrial dimension. The relations between these dimensions and height, a measure of body size relatively independent of obesity, were investigated using various regression models. RESULTS: Nomograms for mean and 95th percentile values in men and women were constructed on the basis of linear regression models relating echocardiographic dimensions to height. Adjustment for body surface area greatly attenuated associations between obesity and cardiac dimensions in a separate healthy but less restricted sample of 411 men and 503 women. CONCLUSIONS: Gender-specific M-mode reference values and nomograms, with mean and 95th percentile values for echocardiographic dimensions as a function of height, are reported. The use of body surface area as means of body size adjustment is called into question.

Separate and joint influences of obesity and mild hypertension on left ventricular mass and geometry: the Framingham Heart Study.

Increased left ventricular mass has been shown to be a significant independent predictor of cardiovascular risk. The purpose of this study was to assess the separate and combined relations of obesity and hypertension with left ventricular mass and geometry. Echocardiographic findings in subjects in the Framingham Heart Study who were free of cardiopulmonary disease and were not taking cardiovascular medications were examined. M-mode studies that were adequate for estimating left ventricular mass were available in 624 men and 1,209 women. Height and weight measured at the time of echocardiography were used to calculate body mass index (in kg/m2), a measure of obesity. Casual sitting blood pressure measurements were obtained to detect rest hypertension. In subgroup analyses of lean normotensive, obese normotensive, lean hypertensive and obese hypertensive subjects, hypertension and obesity each had significant independent associations with left ventricular mass and wall thickness (all p less than 0.001 in men and women). Obesity was also associated with left ventricular internal diameter (p less than 0.001 in men and women). There were no synergistic influences of hypertension and obesity on any echocardiographic left ventricular variables. It is concluded that obesity and hypertension each have distinct associations with left ventricular mass and geometry. These strengths of association are additive but not synergistic.

Use of exercise echocardiography for prognostic evaluation of patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease.

OBJECTIVES: This study prospectively compared the incremental prognostic benefit of exercise echocardiography with that of exercise testing in a large cohort. BACKGROUND: Exercise echocardiography is widely accepted as a diagnostic tool, but the prognostic information provided by this test, incremental to clinical and stress testing evaluation, is ill-defined. METHODS: Clinical, exercise and echocardiographic variables were studied in a consecutive group of 500 patients undergoing exercise echocardiography. After exclusion of patients who underwent revascularization within 3 months of the stress test (n = 16, 3%) and those lost to follow-up (n = 21, 4%), the remaining 463 patients (mean [+/-SD] age 57 +/- 12 years, 302 men) were followed-up for 44 +/- 11 months. Outcome was related to the exercise and echocardiographic findings, and the incremental prognostic benefit of exercise echocardiography was compared with that of standard exercise testing. RESULTS: Cardiac events occurred in 81 patients (17%), including 33 (7%) with spontaneous events (cardiac death, myocardial infarction and unstable angina) and 48 with late revascularizations due to progressive symptoms. In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, the likelihood of any cardiac event was increased in the presence of ischemia (relative risk [RR] 5.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.09 to 8.29, p < 0.001) and lessened by more maximal stress, measured as percent age-predicted maximal heart rate (RR per 5% increment 0.84, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.92, p < 0.001). Spontaneous events were more strongly predicted by ischemia (RR 8.20, 95% CI 3.41 to 19.71, p < 0.001) and percent age-predicted maximal heart rate (RR per 5% increment 0.78, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.91, p < 0.001). An interactive logistic regression model showed that the addition of echocardiographic to exercise and clinical data offered incremental predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of ischemia on the exercise echocardiogram can predict whether patients will experience an event. This relation is independent of, and incremental to, clinical and exercise data.

Delayed systolic blood pressure recovery after graded exercise: an independent correlate of angiographic coronary disease.

OBJECTIVE: This study was performed to determine whether a delayed decline in systolic blood pressure (SBP) after graded exercise is an independent correlate of angiographic coronary disease. BACKGROUND: The predictive importance of the rate of SBP decline after exercise relative to blood pressure changes during exercise has not been well explored. METHODS: Among adults who underwent symptom-limited exercise treadmill testing and who underwent coronary angiography within 90 days, a delayed decline in SBP during recovery was defined as a ratio of SBPs at 3 min of recovery to SBP at 1 min of recovery >1.0. Severe angiographic coronary artery disease was defined as left main disease, three-vessel disease or two-vessel disease with involvement of the proximal left anterior descending artery. RESULTS: There were 493 subjects eligible for analyses (age 59 +/- 11 years, 78% male). Severe angiographic coronary disease was noted in 102 (21%). There were associations noted between a delayed decline in SBP during recovery and severe angiographic coronary disease (34% vs. 17%, odds ratio [OR] 2.59, confidence interval [CI] 1.58 to 4.25, p = 0.001). In multivariate logistic regression analyses adjusting for SBP changes during exercise and other potential confounders, a delayed decline in SBP during recovery remained predictive of severe angiographic coronary disease (adjusted OR 2.22, 95% CI 1.27 to 3.87, p = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: A delayed decline in SBP during recovery is associated with a greater likelihood of severe angiographic coronary disease even after accounting for the change in SBP during exercise.

Angiographic and prognostic implications of an exaggerated exercise systolic blood pressure response and rest systolic blood pressure in adults undergoing evaluation for suspected coronary artery disease.

OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to assess the angiographic and prognostic implications of an exaggerated systolic blood pressure response to exercise ("exercise hypertension") in adults undergoing evaluation for suspected coronary artery disease. BACKGROUND: The clinical implications of exercise hypertension are unclear. METHODS: Subjects for this prospective cohort study were derived from a consecutive sample of 9,608 adults who were referred for treadmill testing and who augmented their systolic blood pressure by at least 10 mm Hg. There were 594 subjects who underwent coronary angiography within 90 days of treadmill testing. Exercise hypertension was defined as a peak exercise systolic blood pressure > or = 210 mm Hg in men and > or = 190 mm Hg in women. Severe angiographic coronary disease was defined as left main coronary artery disease (> or = 50% diameter stenosis), three-vessel disease (> or = 70% diameter stenosis) or two-vessel disease with > or = 70% diameter stenosis of the proximal left anterior descending coronary artery. All-cause mortality was assessed during a follow-up period of approximately 2 years. RESULTS: Exercise hypertension was present in 196 subjects (33%). Severe coronary disease was less common in subjects with exercise hypertension (14% vs. 25%, odds ratio 0.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.32 to 0.81, p = 0.004). Exercise hypertension remained associated with a lower rate of severe coronary disease even after adjusting for rest hypertension, age, gender, exercise capacity and other possible confounders. During the follow-up period, there were 23 deaths; only 2 occurred in the group with exercise hypertension. After adjusting for severity of coronary disease, exercise hypertension remained associated with a lower mortality rate (adjusted relative risk 0.20, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.84, p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: In adults evaluated for coronary artery disease, exercise hypertension is associated with a lower likelihood of angiographically severe disease and a lower adjusted mortality rate.

Functional status and quality of life in patients with heart failure undergoing coronary bypass surgery after assessment of myocardial viability.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate whether preoperative clinical and test data could be used to predict the effects of myocardial revascularization on functional status and quality of life in patients with heart failure and ischemic LV dysfunction. BACKGROUND: Revascularization of viable myocardial segments has been shown to improve regional and global LV function. The effects of revascularization on exercise capacity and quality of life (QOL) are not well defined. METHODS: Sixty three patients (51 men, age 66+/-9 years) with moderate or worse LV dysfunction (LVEF 0.28+/-0.07) and symptomatic heart failure were studied before and after coronary artery bypass surgery. All patients underwent preoperative positron emission tomography (PET) using FDG and Rb-82 before and after dipyridamole stress; the extent of viable myocardium by PET was defined by the number of segments with metabolism-perfusion mismatch or ischemia. Dobutamine echocardiography (DbE) was performed in 47 patients; viability was defined by augmentation at low dose or the development of new or worsening wall motion abnormalities. Functional class, exercise testing and a QOL score (Nottingham Health Profile) were obtained at baseline and follow-up. RESULTS: Patients had wall motion abnormalities in 83+/-18% of LV segments. A mismatch pattern was identified in 12+/-15% of LV segments, and PET evidence of viability was detected in 30+/-21% of the LV. Viability was reported in 43+/-18% of the LV by DbE. The difference between pre- and postoperative exercise capacity ranged from a reduction of 2.8 to an augmentation of 5.2 METS. The degree of improvement of exercise capacity correlated with the extent of viability by PET (r = 0.54, p = 0.0001) but not the extent of viable myocardium by DbE (r = 0.02, p = 0.92). The area under the ROC curve for PET (0.76) exceeded that for DbE (0.66). In a multiple linear regression, the extent of viability by PET and nitrate use were the only independent predictors of improvement of exercise capacity (model r = 0.63, p = 0.0001). Change in Functional Class correlated weakly with the change in exercise capacity (r = 0.25), extent of viable myocardium by PET (r = 0.23) and extent of viability by DbE (r = 0.31). Four components of the quality of life score (energy, pain, emotion and mobility status) significantly improved over follow-up, but no correlations could be identified between quality of life scores and the results of preoperative testing or changes in exercise capacity. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with LV dysfunction, improvement of exercise capacity correlates with the extent of viable myocardium. Quality of life improves in most patients undergoing revascularization. However, its measurement by this index does not correlate with changes in other parameters nor is it readily predictable.

Association of chronotropic incompetence with echocardiographic ischemia and prognosis.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to examine the prognostic importance of chronotropic incompetence among patients referred for stress echocardiography. BACKGROUND: Although chronotropic incompetence has been shown to be predictive of an adverse prognosis, it is not clear if this association is independent of exercise-induced myocardial ischemia. METHODS: Consecutive patients (146 men and 85 women; mean age 57 years) who were not taking beta-adrenergic blocking agents and were referred for symptom-limited exercise echocardiography were followed for a mean of 41 months. Chronotropic incompetence was assessed in two ways: (1) failure to achieve 85% of the age-predicted maximum heart rate and (2) a low chronotropic index, a heart rate response measure that accounts for effects of age, resting heart rate and physical fitness. RESULTS: The primary end point, a composite of death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina and late (>3 months after the exercise test) myocardial revascularization, occurred in 41 patients. Failure to achieve 85% of the age-predicted maximum heart rate was predictive of events (relative risk [RR] 2.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28 to 4.79, p=0.007); similarly, a low chronotropic index was predictive (RR 2.44, 95% CI 1.31 to 4.55, p=0.005). Even after adjusting for myocardial ischemia and other possible confounders, failure to achieve 85% of age-predicted maximum heart rate was predictive (adjusted RR 2.20, 95% CI 1.11 to 4.37, p=0.02). A low chronotropic index also remained predictive (adjusted RR 1.85, 95% CI 0.98 to 3.47, p=0.06). CONCLUSIONS: Chronotropic incompetence is predictive of an adverse cardiovascular prognosis even after adjusting for echocardiographic myocardial ischemia.

Prognostic value of dobutamine echocardiography in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to establish the prognostic implications of ischemic and viable myocardium identified by dobutamine echocardiography in patients with left ventricular dysfunction. BACKGROUND: Recent studies have suggested that in patients with viable myocardium identified by positron emission tomography, medical treatment is associated with recurrent cardiac events. Dobutamine echocardiography has been used to identify viable myocardium in patients with left ventricular dysfunction, but the prognostic significance of this test is undefined. METHODS: One hundred thirty-six consecutive patients (mean [+/- SD] age 67 +/- 7.9 years; 104 men) with moderate or severe left ventricular dysfunction (left ventricular ejection fraction 30 +/- 5%) undergoing dobutamine echocardiography were included in the study. Dobutamine was administered using a standard incremental protocol (5 to 40 micrograms/kg body weight per min intravenously in 3-min stages) with additional atropine (1 mg intravenously) as required. Standard body weight echocardiographic views were digitized on-line and compared using a side-by-side display. Viable myocardium was identified by enhancement of regional function at low dose (< 10 micrograms); scar was diagnosed by akinesia at rest or dyskinesia without change and ischemia as new or worsening dysfunction. One hundred thirty patients (95%) were followed up for 16 +/- 8 months after the original study for major cardiac events (cardiac death, myocardial infarction or severe unstable angina requiring late myocardial revascularization). RESULTS: No significant complications occurred during dobutamine echocardiography. Viable myocardium was detected in 26 patients (19%), ischemia in 23 (17%), both viability and ischemia in 13 (10%) and scar in 74 (54%). Of 108 patients treated medically, 46 had viable or ischemic myocardium, and 62 had scar only. There were no significant differences in age or other clinical characteristics, stress response, left ventricular dimensions and ejection fraction between the two groups. Cardiac events occurred in 26 medically treated patients (24%): 18 died of cardiac-related causes; 4 had a nonfatal myocardial infarction; and 4 had late revascularization because of unstable angina. The event rate was greater in patients with viable or ischemic myocardium than those with scar (43% vs. 8%, p = 0.01 by log-rank test). In a Cox regression model, the presence of viable or ischemic myocardium was found to predict subsequent events (relative risk 3.51, p = 0.02) independently of ejection fraction and age. CONCLUSIONS: Viable or ischemic myocardium detected at dobutamine echocardiography in patients with left ventricular dysfunction is associated with an adverse prognosis, independent of age and ejection fraction.

Independent contribution of myocardial perfusion defects to exercise capacity and heart rate recovery for prediction of all-cause mortality in patients with known or suspected coronary heart disease.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to determine the value of thallium201 single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) imaging for prediction of all-cause mortality when considered along with functional capacity and heart rate recovery. BACKGROUND: Myocardial perfusion defects identified by thallium201 SPECT imaging are predictive of cardiac events. Functional capacity and heart rate recovery are exercise measures that also have prognostic implications. METHODS: We followed 7,163 consecutive adults referred for symptom-limited exercise thallium SPECT (mean age 60 +/- 10, 25% women) for 6.7 years. Using information theory, we identified a probable best model relating nuclear findings to outcome to calculate a prognostic nuclear score. RESULTS: There were 855 deaths. Intermediate- and high-risk prognostic nuclear scores were noted in 28% and 10% of patients. Compared with those with low-risk scans, patients with an intermediate-risk score were at increased risk for death (14% vs. 9%, hazard ratio: 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.44 to 1.95, p < 0.0001), while those with high-risk scores were at greater risk (24%, hazard ratio: 2.98, 95% CI: 2.49 to 3.56, p < 0.0001). In multivariable analyses that adjusted for clinical characteristics, functional capacity and heart rate recovery, an intermediate-risk nuclear score remained predictive of death (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.28 to 1.76, p < 0.0001), as did a high-risk score (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.76, 95% CI: 2.13 to 2.56, p < 0.0001). Impaired functional capacity and decreased heart rate recovery provided additional prognostic information. CONCLUSIONS: Myocardial perfusion defects detected by thallium SPECT imaging are independently predictive of long-term all-cause death, even after accounting for exercise capacity, heart rate recovery and other potential confounders.

Importance of estimated functional capacity as a predictor of all-cause mortality among patients referred for exercise thallium single-photon emission computed tomography: report of 3,400 patients from a single center.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the relative influence of estimated functional capacity and thallium-201 (Tl-201) single-photon emission computed tomographic (SPECT) findings on prediction of short-term all-cause and cardiac-related mortality. BACKGROUND: Decreased functional capacity and abnormal Tl-201 SPECT findings are predictive of increased cardiovascular risk and mortality. However, the relative importance of these variables as predictors of all-cause mortality is not well established. METHODS: Analyses were based on 3,400 consecutive adults undergoing symptom-limited exercise Tl-201 SPECT testing at the Cleveland Clinic Foundation between September 1990 and December 1993; none had previous invasive procedures, heart failure or valve disease. Estimated functional capacity, classified by age and gender, and thallium perfusion defects, expressed as a stress extent thallium score on a 12-segment scale, were analyzed to determine their relative prognostic importance during 2 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Of 3,400 patients, 108 (3.2%) died during follow-up; 32 deaths were identified as cardiac related. On univariable analysis, estimated functional capacity was a strong predictor of death, with 62 (57%) deaths occurring in patients achieving < 6 metabolic equivalents (METs) (log-rank chi-square 86, p < 0.0001). On multivariable analysis, the strongest independent predictors of all-cause mortality were fair or poor functional capacity (adjusted relative risk [RR] 3.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.36 to 6.64, chi-square 27, p < 0.0001) and age (adjusted RR for 10 years 2.25, 95% CI 1.80 to 2.80, chi-square 27, p < 0.0001). The presence of SPECT thallium perfusion defects was a less powerful predictor of death (for each two additional segments with defects, adjusted RR 1.21, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.43, chi-square 5, p = 0.02). Cardiac mortality was predicted by both fair or poor functional capacity (adjusted RR 4.37, 95% CI 1.59 to 12.00, chi-square 8, p = 0.004) and by stress extent thallium score (adjusted RR 1.62, 95% CI 1.25 to 2.11, chi-square 13, p = 0.0003). CONCLUSIONS: In this clinically low risk group, estimated functional capacity was a strong and overwhelmingly important independent predictor of all-cause mortality among patients undergoing exercise Tl-201 SPECT testing. The extent of myocardial perfusion defects was of comparable importance for the prediction of cardiac mortality.

The duration of pretreatment with ticlopidine prior to stenting is associated with the risk of procedure-related non-Q-wave myocardial infarctions.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine whether the duration of pretreatment with the adenosine diphosphate receptor antagonist ticlopidine prior to intracoronary stenting is associated with the incidence of procedure-related non-Q-wave myocardial infarctions (MIs). BACKGROUND: Dual antiplatelet therapy with ticlopidine and aspirin is routinely used with stenting, although ticlopidine is commonly not begun until the day of the procedure. Periprocedural MIs are at least partially platelet-dependent events. As the maximal platelet inhibitory effects of this drug take 2 to 3 days to be realized, we hypothesized that longer treatment prior to stenting would be associated with lower rates of procedure-related MIs. METHODS: We reviewed outcomes in 175 consecutive patients treated with ticlopidine prior to stenting at the Cleveland Clinic Foundation. Those patients with an elevation in creatine kinase above our laboratory normal (>210 IU/L) with > or =4% MB fraction on routine evaluation were defined as having a non-Q-wave MI. RESULTS. There were 28 patients (16%) who had a non-Q-wave MI. Longer duration of ticlopidine pretreatment was strongly associated with a lower incidence of procedure-related non-Q-wave MIs (duration of pretreatment <1 day, 29% had MI; 1 to 2 days, 14%; > or =3 days, 5%; chi-square for trend=9.6; p=0.002). Ticlopidine pretreatment of > or =3 days was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of non-Q-wave MI (unadjusted odds ratio 0.18, 95% confidence interval=0.04 to 0.78, p=0.01) compared with pretreatment of <3 days. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients undergoing intracoronary stenting, beginning ticlopidine therapy several days prior to the procedure is associated with a reduced risk of procedural non-Q-wave MIs.

The economic consequences of available diagnostic and prognostic strategies for the evaluation of stable angina patients: an observational assessment of the value of precatheterization ischemia. Economics of Noninvasive Diagnosis (END) Multicenter Study Group.

OBJECTIVES: The study aim was to determine observational differences in costs of care by the coronary disease diagnostic test modality. BACKGROUND: A number of diagnostic strategies are available with few data to compare the cost implications of the initial test choice. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 11,372 consecutive stable angina patients who were referred for stress myocardial perfusion tomography or cardiac catheterization. Stress imaging patients were matched by their pretest clinical risk of coronary disease to a series of patients referred to cardiac catheterization. Composite 3-year costs of care were compared for two patients management strategies: 1) direct cardiac catheterization (aggressive) and 2) initial stress myocardial perfusion tomography and selective catheterization of high risk patients (conservative). Analysis of variance techniques were used to compare costs, adjusting for treatment propensity and pretest risk. RESULTS: Observational comparisons of aggressive as compared with conservative testing strategies reveal that costs of care were higher for direct cardiac catheterization in all clinical risk subsets (range: $2,878 to $4,579), as compared with stress myocardial perfusion imaging plus selective catheterization (range: $2,387 to $3,010, p < 0.0001). Coronary revascularization rates were higher for low, intermediate and high risk direct catheterization patients as compared with the initial stress perfusion imaging cohort (13% to 50%, p < 0.0001); cardiac death or myocardial infarction rates were similar (p > 0.20). CONCLUSIONS: Observational assessments reveal that stable chest pain patients who undergo a more aggressive diagnostic strategy have higher diagnostic costs and greater rates of intervention and follow-up costs. Cost differences may reflect a diminished necessity for resource consumption for patients with normal test results.

Influence of blood pressure on left atrial size. The Framingham Heart Study.

Increased left atrial size has been identified as a precursor of atrial fibrillation and of stroke once atrial fibrillation is manifest. Conflicting data exist regarding the effect of high blood pressure on left atrial size. Our objective was to evaluate the association of contemporary and long-term measures of blood pressure with echocardiographically determined left atrial size in a large, population-based cohort. The study sample consisted of 1849 male and 2152 female participants of the Framingham Heart Study and Framingham Offspring Study. All analyses were sex specific. In correlation analyses, systolic and pulse pressures were identified as statistically significant determinants of left atrial size after adjustment for age and body mass index, although the magnitudes of these relations were very modest (partial r < or = .10). Multivariable linear regression models showed the relative contributions of the pressure variables to the prediction of left atrial size to be substantially less than those of age and, in particular, body mass index. Furthermore, inclusion of left ventricular mass in these multivariable models eliminated or attenuated the associations of the pressure variables with left atrial size. In logistic analyses, increasing levels of the pressure variables were significantly predictive of left atrial enlargement. Subjects with 8-year average systolic pressure of 140 mm Hg or higher were twice as likely to have left atrial enlargement as those with values of 110 mm Hg or lower. Overall, in this population-based study sample, increased levels of systolic and pulse pressures (but not diastolic or mean arterial pressures) were significantly associated with increased left atrial size.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)