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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(22): e2116165119, 2022 05 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35609196

RESUMEN

We study the airborne transmission risk associated with holding in-person classes on university campuses for the original strain and a more contagious variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). We adopt a model for airborne transmission risk in an enclosed room that considers room properties, mask efficiency, and initial infection probability of the occupants. Additionally, we study the effect of vaccination on the spread of the virus. The presented model has been evaluated in simulations using fall 2019 (prepandemic) and fall 2020 (hybrid instruction) course registration data of a large US university, allowing for assessing the difference in transmission risk between in-person and hybrid programs and the impact of occupancy reduction, mask-wearing, and vaccination. The simulations indicate that without vaccination, moving 90% of the classes online leads to a 17 to 18× reduction in new cases, and universal mask usage results in an ∼2.7 to 3.6× reduction in new infections through classroom interactions. Furthermore, the results indicate that for the original variant and using vaccines with efficacy greater than 90%, at least 23% (64%) of students need to be vaccinated with (without) mask usage in order to operate the university at full occupancy while preventing an increase in cases due to classroom interactions. For the more contagious variant, even with universal mask usage, at least 93% of the students need to be vaccinated to ensure the same conditions. We show that the model is able to predict trends observed in weekly infection rates for fall 2021.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Modelos Teóricos , Política Pública , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/transmisión , Prueba de COVID-19 , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , Educación a Distancia , Humanos , Máscaras , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudiantes , Universidades
2.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 108(10): 3860-4, 2011 Mar 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21368125

RESUMEN

The growth of microbial cultures in the laboratory often is assessed informally with a quick flick of the wrist: dense suspensions of microorganisms produce translucent "swirls" when agitated. Here, we rationalize the mechanism behind this phenomenon and show that the same process may affect the propagation of light through the upper ocean. Analogous to the shaken test tubes, the ocean can be characterized by intense fluid motion and abundant microorganisms. We demonstrate that the swirl patterns arise when elongated microorganisms align preferentially in the direction of fluid flow and alter light scattering. Using a combination of experiments and mathematical modeling, we find that this phenomenon can be recurrent under typical marine conditions. Moderate shear rates (0.1 s(-1)) can increase optical backscattering of natural microbial assemblages by more than 20%, and even small shear rates (0.001 s(-1)) can increase backscattering from blooms of large phytoplankton by more than 30%. These results imply that fluid flow, currently neglected in models of marine optics, may exert an important control on light propagation, influencing rates of global carbon fixation and how we estimate these rates via remote sensing.


Asunto(s)
Clima , Luz , Microbiología del Agua , Modelos Estadísticos , Océanos y Mares , Dispersión de Radiación
3.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 4513, 2021 02 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33633138

RESUMEN

Intertidal sea stars often function in environments with extreme hydrodynamic loads that can compromise their ability to remain attached to surfaces. While behavioral responses such as burrowing into sand or sheltering in rock crevices can help minimize hydrodynamic loads, previous work shows that sea stars also alter body shape in response to flow conditions. This morphological plasticity suggests that sea star body shape may play an important hydrodynamic role. In this study, we measured the fluid forces acting on surface-mounted sea star and spherical dome models in water channel tests. All sea star models created downforce, i.e., the fluid pushed the body towards the surface. In contrast, the spherical dome generated lift. We also used Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) to measure the midplane flow field around the models. Control volume analyses based on the PIV data show that downforce arises because the sea star bodies serve as ramps that divert fluid away from the surface. These observations are further rationalized using force predictions and flow visualizations from numerical simulations. The discovery of downforce generation could explain why sea stars are shaped as they are: the pentaradial geometry aids attachment to surfaces in the presence of high hydrodynamic loads.


Asunto(s)
Hidrodinámica , Fenómenos Mecánicos , Estrellas de Mar/fisiología , Algoritmos , Animales , Modelos Teóricos , Somatotipos , Estrellas de Mar/anatomía & histología
4.
ACS Nano ; 12(6): 5158-5167, 2018 Jun 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29775282

RESUMEN

The growth of crystalline compound semiconductors on amorphous and non-epitaxial substrates is a fundamental challenge for state-of-the-art thin-film epitaxial growth techniques. Direct growth of materials on technologically relevant amorphous surfaces, such as nitrides or oxides results in nanocrystalline thin films or nanowire-type structures, preventing growth and integration of high-performance devices and circuits on these surfaces. Here, we show crystalline compound semiconductors grown directly on technologically relevant amorphous and non-epitaxial substrates in geometries compatible with standard microfabrication technology. Furthermore, by removing the traditional epitaxial constraint, we demonstrate an atomically sharp lateral heterojunction between indium phosphide and tin phosphide, two materials with vastly different crystal structures, a structure that cannot be grown with standard vapor-phase growth approaches. Critically, this approach enables the growth and manufacturing of crystalline materials without requiring a nearly lattice-matched substrate, potentially impacting a wide range of fields, including electronics, photonics, and energy devices.

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