Immunotherapy and Transarterial Radioembolization Combination Treatment for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: The efficacy and safety of combined immunotherapy and transarterial radioembolization (TARE) were suggested in preclinical and early-phase trials, but these were limited by small sample sizes. We sought to compare the efficacy of combined therapy and immunotherapy alone in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: The National Cancer Database was used to identify patients with advanced HCC diagnosed between January 1, 2017, and December 31, 2019. We included patients who received combined therapy or immunotherapy alone as first-line treatment. Multivariable logistic regression was conducted to determine predictors of combined therapy. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression approaches were used to identify predictors of overall survival and to compare hazards of mortality between the patients who received combined therapy and immunotherapy alone. RESULTS: Of 1,664 eligible patients with advanced-stage HCC, 142 received combined TARE/immunotherapy and 1,522 received immunotherapy alone. Receipt of combination therapy was associated with care at an academic center and inversely associated with racial/ethnic minority status (Hispanic and Black individuals). The median overall survival was significantly higher in the combination group than in the immunotherapy alone group (19.8 vs 9.5 months). In multivariable analysis, combined therapy was independently associated with reduced mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 0.50, 95% confidence interval: 0.36-0.68, P < 0.001). Results were consistent across subgroups and in sensitivity analyses using propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting. DISCUSSION: The combination of TARE and immunotherapy was associated with improved survival compared with immunotherapy alone in patients with advanced-stage HCC. Our findings underly the importance of large clinical trials evaluating combination therapy in these patients.

Racial and ethnic disparities in early treatment with immunotherapy for advanced HCC in the United States.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Immunotherapy has emerged as an effective treatment for patients with advanced-stage HCC. We aimed to investigate the efficacy of immunotherapy for advanced HCC in a nationwide cohort and racial and ethnic disparities in access to immunotherapy. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We used the US National Cancer Database to identify patients with tumor-node-metastasis stage 3 or 4 HCC between 2017 and 2018. We performed multivariable Cox regression to identify factors associated with overall survival (OS) and logistic regression to identify factors associated with receipt of immunotherapy. Of the 3,990 patients treated for advanced HCC, 3,248 (81.4%) patients received chemotherapy and 742 (18.6%) patients received immunotherapy as a first-line treatment. Immunotherapy was associated with improved OS compared with chemotherapy (adjusted HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.65-0.88) after adjusting for covariates. There were racial and ethnic disparities in access to immunotherapy, with Hispanic (adjusted OR [aOR]: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.46-0.83) and Black patients (aOR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.54-0.89) less likely to receive immunotherapy compared with White patients. There was a significant interaction between race-ethnicity and facility type, with higher disparity observed in nonacademic centers (interaction p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Immunotherapy was associated with improved OS compared with chemotherapy in advanced HCC. There are significant disparities in early access to immunotherapy, likely due to differential access to clinical trials and experimental therapies. A comprehensive approach to monitoring and eliminating racial-ethnic disparities in the management of advanced HCC is urgently needed.

Impact of Asian Race on Prognosis in De Novo Metastatic Prostate Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the impact of Asian race on the long-term survival outcomes of males with de novo metastatic prostate cancer (PCa). Understanding racial disparities in survival is critical for accurate prognostic risk stratification and for informing the design of multiregional clinical trials. METHODS: This multiple-cohort study included individual patient-level data for males with de novo metastatic PCa from the following 3 cohorts: LATITUDE clinical trial data (n=1,199), the SEER program (n=15,476), and the National Cancer Database (NCDB; n=10,366). Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) in LATITUDE and NCDB and OS and cancer-specific survival in SEER. RESULTS: Across all 3 cohorts, Asian patients diagnosed with de novo metastatic PCa had better survival than white patients. In LATITUDE, median OS was significantly longer in Asian versus white patients in the androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) + abiraterone + prednisone group (not reached vs 43.8 months; hazard ratio [HR], 0.45; 95% CI, 0.28-0.73; P=.001) as well as in the ADT + placebo group (57.6 vs 32.7 months; HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.33-0.78; P=.002). In SEER, among all patients diagnosed with de novo metastatic PCa, median OS was significantly longer in Asian versus white males (49 vs 39 months; HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.68-0.84; P<.001). Among those who received chemotherapy, Asian patients again had longer OS (52 vs 42 months; HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.52-0.96; P=.025). Using data on cancer-specific survival in SEER resulted in similar conclusions. In NCDB, Asian patients also had longer OS than white patients in aggregate and in subgroups of males treated with ADT or chemotherapy (aggregate: 38 vs 26 months; HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.62-0.83; P<.001; ADT subgroup: 41 vs 26 months; HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.60-0.84; P<.001; chemotherapy subgroup: 34 vs 25 months; HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.57-0.78; P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: Asian males have better OS and cancer-specific survival than white males with metastatic PCa across different treatment regimens. This should be considered when assessing prognosis and in designing multinational clinical trials.

Disparities in COVID-19 Disease Incidence by Income and Vaccination Coverage - 81 Communities, Los Angeles, California, July 2020-September 2021.

COVID-19 has disproportionately affected socially vulnerable communities characterized by lower income, lower education attainment, and higher proportions of minority populations, among other factors (1-4). Disparities in COVID-19 incidence and the impact of vaccination on incidence disparities by community income were assessed among 81 communities in Los Angeles, California. Median community vaccination coverage and COVID-19 incidence were calculated across household income strata using a generalized linear mixed effects model with Poisson distribution during three COVID-19 surge periods: two before vaccine availability (July 2020 and January 2021) and the third after vaccines became widely available in April 2021 (September 2021). Adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRRs) during the peak month of each surge were compared across communities grouped by median household income percentile. The aIRR between communities in the lowest and highest median income deciles was 6.6 (95% CI = 2.8-15.3) in July 2020 and 4.3 (95% CI = 1.8-9.9) in January 2021. However, during the September 2021 surge that occurred after vaccines became widely availabile, model estimates did not identify an incidence disparity between the highest- and lowest-income communities (aIRR = 0.80; 95% CI = 0.35-1.86). During this surge, vaccination coverage was lowest (59.4%) in lowest-income communities and highest (71.5%) in highest-income communities (p<0.001). However, a significant interaction between income and vaccination on COVID-19 incidence (p<0.001) indicated that the largest effect of vaccination on disease incidence occured in the lowest-income communities. A 20% increase in community vaccination was estimated to have resulted in an additional 8.1% reduction in COVID-19 incidence in the lowest-income communities compared with that in the highest-income communities. These findings highlight the importance of improving access to vaccination and reducing vaccine hesitancy in underserved communities in reducing disparities in COVID-19 incidence.

Disparities in curative treatments and outcomes for early stage intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Curative surgical treatments afford the best prognosis for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA); however, the comparative effectiveness of treatment options and factors associated with curative treatment receipt for early stage iCCA remain unknown. METHODS: The authors identified patients who were diagnosed with early stage iCCA, defined as a unifocal tumor <3 cm, during 2004-2018 from the National Cancer Database. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses were used to identify the factors associated with curative treatment and overall survival (OS), respectively. RESULTS: The proportion of patients with early stage iCCA increased from 4.5% in 2004 to 7.3% in 2018, with the odds of early stage detection increasing by 3.1% per year (odds ratio [OR], 1.031; 95% CI, 1.015-1.049). Of 1093 patients who had early stage iCCA, 464 (42.5%) underwent resection, 113 (10.3%) underwent ablation, 62 (5.7%) underwent liver transplantation, and 454 (41.5%) received noncurative treatments. Hispanic patients (adjusted OR [aOR], 0.57; 95% CI, 0.33-0.97) and Black patients (aOR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.28-0.77) were less likely to receive curative treatments than White patients. Compared with patients who underwent surgical resection, those who underwent liver transplantation had a trend toward improved OS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.63; 95% CI, 0.37-1.08), whereas those who underwent local ablation (aHR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.01-1.92) and noncurative treatments (aHR, 3.97; 95% CI, 3.24-4.88) experienced worse OS. CONCLUSIONS: More than one third of patients with early stage iCCA did not receive curative treatment, with Hispanic and Black patients being less likely to receive curative treatments than White patients. Surgical resection and liver transplantation were associated with improved survival compared with local ablation. Future studies should investigate disparities in curative treatment receipt and outcomes for early stage iCCA.

Decreasing Trend of Serum α-Fetoprotein Level in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Serum α-fetoprotein (AFP), a well-established biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), increases the sensitivity of ultrasound-based surveillance programs for early stage HCC detection.1,2 Multiple factors, including tumor burden, can affect AFP levels in patients with HCC.3 Nontumoral factors, such as race/ethnicity and liver disease etiology, are also known to be associated with elevated AFP.3 With the increasing trend of earlier stage HCC detection and shift from viral to nonviral etiology, we hypothesized that AFP level at HCC diagnosis would decrease in the United States.

Development and Validation of an Improved Pathological Nodal Staging System in Men with Prostate Cancer.

PURPOSE: Prostate cancer pathological nodal staging uses a single category for all node-positive patients. We sought to improve risk stratification by creating and validating a novel pathological nodal staging system incorporating number of metastatic lymph nodes (+LNs). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 118,450 men who underwent radical prostatectomy for nonmetastatic prostate cancer in the National Cancer Database comprised our development cohort. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis with restricted cubic splines was used to assess the nonlinear association between number of +LNs and overall mortality (OM). A novel staging system based on number of +LNs was derived by recursive partitioning analysis. The staging system was validated for prediction of OM and prostate-specific mortality in 105,568 men with nonmetastatic prostate cancer undergoing radical prostatectomy from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Discrimination was assessed via Harrell's c-index. RESULTS: In multivariable Cox analysis, OM risk increased with higher number of +LNs up to 4 (HR 1.30 per each LN+, 95% CI 1.23-1.38), with a nonstatistically significant increase in risk (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.99-1.11) beyond 4 +LN. In the development cohort, recursive partitioning analysis identified optimal cutoffs at 0 (N0: referent), 1 (N1: HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.25-1.58), 2 (N2: HR 1.67, 95% CI 1.40-1.99), 3-5 (N3a: HR 2.18, 95% CI 0.84-2.60) and ≥6 (N3b: HR 3.00, 95% CI 2.37-3.79) +LNs. In the validation cohort, these groups had markedly different 10-year OM (0+ LNs, N0: 15%; 1+ LN, N1: 35%; 2+ LNs, N2: 43%; 3-5 +LNs, N3a: 52%; and ≥6 +LNs, N3b: 59%; p <0.05) and prostate-specific mortality. The novel staging system improved survival classification over current staging for node-positive patients (optimism-corrected c-index 0.669 [95% CI 0.668-0.671] vs 0.649 [95% CI 0.648-0.651]). CONCLUSIONS: Pathological nodal staging in prostate cancer is improved with stratification by number of +LNs.

Variation in Communication of Competing Risks of Mortality in Prostate Cancer Treatment Consultations.

PURPOSE: Men with prostate cancer prefer patient-specific, quantitative assessments of longevity in shared decision making. We sought to characterize how physicians communicate the 3 components of competing risks-life expectancy (LE), cancer prognosis and treatment-related survival benefit-in treatment consultations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Conversation related to LE, cancer prognosis and treatment-related survival benefit was identified in transcripts from treatment consultations of 42 men with low- and intermediate-risk disease across 10 multidisciplinary providers. Consensus of qualitative coding by multiple reviewers noted the most detailed mode of communication used to describe each throughout the consultation. RESULTS: Physicians frequently failed to provide patient-specific, quantitative estimates of LE and cancer mortality. LE was omitted in 17% of consultations, expressed as a generalization (eg "long"/"short") in 17%, rough number of years in 31%, probability of mortality/survival at an arbitrary timepoint in 17% and in only 19% as a specific number of years. Cancer mortality was omitted in 24% of consultations, expressed as a generalization in 7%, years of expected life in 2%, probability at no/arbitrary timepoint in 40% and in only 26% as the probability at LE. Treatment-related survival benefit was often omitted; cancer mortality was reported without treatment in 38%, with treatment in 10% and in only 29% both with and without treatment. Physicians achieved "trifecta"-1) quantifying probability of cancer mortality 2) with and without treatment 3) at the patient's LE-in only 14% of consultations. CONCLUSIONS: Physicians often fail to adequately quantify competing risks. We recommend the "trifecta" approach, reporting 1) probability of cancer mortality 2) with and without treatment 3) at the patient's LE.

Comparison of Clinical Features and Outcomes Between Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are the most common primary liver cancers (PLCs). Differences in their clinical features and outcomes are open for investigation in a large-scale study. We aim to investigate the differences in clinical features and outcomes between iCCA and HCC. APPROACH AND RESULTS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program 18 Database (2000-2017) was used to extract demographic and clinical features of HCC and iCCA patients. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with iCCA diagnosis versus HCC. Cox regression analysis was used to assess factors affecting overall survival (OS). There were 13,611 iCCA and 96,151 HCC patients. Half of iCCA (50.7%) and three quarters of HCC (76.3%) patients were male. Diagnosis in recent year, age (<50 or ≥65), female sex, non-Hispanic White race, higher income, rural area, and higher tumor burden were independently associated with iCCA diagnosis versus HCC. Patients with iCCA had worse OS than those with HCC (9 vs. 13 months; P < 0.001). However, OS was comparable between iCCA and HCC in multivariable analysis (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.02; 95% CI = 0.99-1.05). In subgroup analyses, iCCA was associated with better OS than HCC in patients with tumor ≥5 cm (aHR = 0.83; 95% CI = 0.80-0.86), lymph node involvement (aHR = 0.76; 95% CI = 0.72-0.81), distant metastasis (aHR = 0.76; 95% CI = 0.73-0.79), poorly/undifferentiated tumors (aHR = 0.88; 95% CI = 0.83-0.94), and those receiving noncurative treatment (aHR = 0.96; 95% CI = 0.93-0.98). CONCLUSIONS: We identified the demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical features associated with iCCA diagnosis over HCC among patients with PLC. Although iCCA patients presented at an advanced stage, OS was similar between iCCA and HCC in multivariable analysis. iCCA was associated with longer OS for subgroups with poor prognostic features.

State-Level HCC Incidence and Association With Obesity and Physical Activity in the United States.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality, with a disproportionate impact on racial/ethnic minority groups. However, state-level variation in racial/ethnic disparities and temporal trends of HCC incidence remain unknown. Therefore, we aimed to characterize (1) state-level racial/ethnic disparity in HCC incidence, (2) state-level temporal changes in HCC incidence, and (3) the ecological correlation between HCC incidence and obesity/physical activity levels in the USA. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Trends in HCC incidence between 2001 and 2017 were calculated using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Program of Cancer Registries and the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results, and annual percent change in rates were calculated. State-level percent of obesity and level of physical activity were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the correlation among obesity, physical activity, and state-specific average annual percent change was tested by Pearson correlation coefficient. There were striking state-level racial/ethnic disparities in HCC incidence; incidence rate ratios ranged between 6.3 and 0.9 in Blacks, 6.1 and 1.7 in Asians/Pacific Islanders, 3.8 and 0.9 in Hispanics, and 6.0 and 0.9 in American Indians/Alaska Natives (compared with Whites as reference). Despite overall decreasing HCC incidence rates after 2015, HCC incidence continued increasing in 26 states over recent years. HCC incidence trends had a moderate correlation with state-level obesity (r = 0.45, P < 0.001) and a moderate inverse correlation with state-level physical activity (r = -0.40, P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: There is wide state-level variation in racial/ethnic disparity of HCC incidence. There are also disparate incidence trends across states, with HCC incidence continuing to increase in over half of the states. Regional obesity and lack of physical activity have moderate correlations with HCC incidence trends, suggesting that interventions targeting these factors may help curb rising HCC incidence.

Pathologic primary tumor factors associated with risk of lymph node involvement in patients with non-endometrioid endometrial cancer.

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVES: Lymph node (LN) involvement is an important factor in guiding adjuvant treatment for patients with endometrial cancer. Risk factors for LN involvement are fairly well-established for endometrial adenocarcinoma, but it is not as well defined whether these factors similarly predict LN positivity in less common histologies. MATERIALS/METHODS: Patients diagnosed with pathologic T1-T2 carcinosarcoma, clear cell, uterine papillary serous carcinoma (UPSC), and mixed histologic type endometrial cancer between 2004 and 2016 undergoing primary surgery with at least 1 lymph node sampled in the National Cancer Data Base were identified. Logistic regression was performed to identify primary pathologic tumor predictors of LN positivity. Nomograms were created to predict overall, pelvic only, and paraaortic with or without pelvic LN involvement. RESULTS: Among 11,390 patients included, 1950 (18%) were node positive. On multivariable analysis, increasing pathologic tumor stage (pT2 versus pT1a, odds ratio [OR] 3.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.15-4.18, p < 0.001), increase in tumor size per centimeter (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.06-1.10, p < 0.001), and the presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (OR 4.97, 95% CI 4.43-5.57, p < 0.001) were predictive of overall LN positivity. Relative to carcinosarcoma, both clear cell (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.22-1.95, p < 0.001) and UPSC (OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.48-2.02, p < 0.001) histology were significantly associated with a higher risk of LN positivity while mixed histology was not (OR 1.07, 95% CI 0.92-1.24, p = 0.42). CONCLUSION: Among patients with non-endometrioid endometrial cancer, predictors of LN positivity are similar to endometrial adenocarcinoma. The nomograms provided could be helpful in making adjuvant treatment decisions for these less common histologies.

An Algorithmic Approach to the Physical Exam for the Pain Medicine Practitioner: A Review of the Literature with Multidisciplinary Consensus.

BACKGROUND: Increased utilization of telemedicine has created a need for supplemental pain medicine education, especially for the virtual physical assessment of the pain patient. Traditional clinical training utilizes manual and tactile approaches to the physical examination. Telemedicine limits this approach and thus alternative adaptations are necessary to acquire information needed for sound clinical judgement and development of a treatment plan. Clinical assessment of pain is often challenging given the myriad of underlying etiologies contributing to the sensory experience. The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a dramatic increase in the use of virtual and telemedicine visits, further complicating the ease of assessing patients in pain. The increased reliance on telemedicine visits requires clinicians to develop skills to obtain objective information from afar. While eliciting a comprehensive history and medication assessment are performed in a standard fashion via telemedicine, a virtual targeted physical examination is a new endeavor in our current times. In order to appropriately diagnose and treat patients not directly in front of you, a pivot in education adaptations are necessary. OBJECTIVE: To summarize best care practices in the telemedicine physical exam while presenting an algorithmic approach towards virtual assessment for the pain practitioner. DESIGN: Review of the literature and expert multidisciplinary panel opinion. SETTING: Nationally recognized academic tertiary care centers. SUBJECTS: Multidisciplinary academic experts in pain medicine. METHODS: Expert consensus opinion from the literature review. RESULTS: An algorithm for the virtual physical exam for pain physicians was created using literature review and multidisciplinary expert opinion. CONCLUSIONS: The authors here present simple, comprehensive algorithms for physical exam evaluations for the pain physician stemming from a review of the literature.

Nodal staging convergence for HPV- and HPV+ oropharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Modern disease staging systems have restructured human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative (HPV-) and HPV-positive (HPV+) oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) into distinct pathologic nodal systems. Given that quantitative lymph node (LN) burden is the dominant prognostic factor in most head and neck cancers, we investigated whether HPV- and HPV+ OPC warrant divergent pathologic nodal classification. METHODS: Multivariable Cox regression models of OPC surgical patients identified via U.S. cancer registry data were constructed to determine associations between survival and nodal characteristics. Nonlinear associations between metastatic LN number and survival were modeled with restricted cubic splines. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used to derive unbiased nodal schema. RESULTS: Mortality risk escalated continuously with each successive positive LN in both OPC subtypes, with analogous slope. Survival hazard increased by 18.5% (hazard ratio [HR], 1.19 [95% CI, 1.16-1.21]; P < .001) and 19.1% (HR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.17-1.21]; P < .001), with each added positive LN for HPV- and HPV+ OPC, respectively, up to identical change points of 5 positive LNs. Extranodal extension (ENE) was an independent predictor of HPV- OPC (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.20-1.99]; P < .001) and HPV+ OPC (HR 1.73 [95% CI, 1.36-2.20]; P < .001) mortality. In RPA for both diseases, metastatic LN was the principal nodal covariate driving survival, with ENE as a secondary determinant. Given the similarities across analyses, we propose a concise, unifying HPV-/HPV+ OPC pathologic nodal classification schema: N1, 1-5 LN+/ENE-; N2, 1-5 LN+/ENE+; N3, >5 LN+. CONCLUSION: HPV- and HPV+ OPC exhibit parallel relationships between nodal characteristics and relative mortality. In both diseases, metastatic LN number represents the principal nodal covariate governing survival, with ENE being an influential secondary element. A consolidated OPC pathologic nodal staging system that is based on these covariates may best convey prognosis. LAY SUMMARY: The current nodal staging system for oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) has divided human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative (HPV-) and HPV-positive (HPV+) OPC into distinct systems that rely upon criteria that establish them as separate entities, a complexity that may undermine the core objective of staging schema to clearly communicate prognosis. Our large-scale analysis revealed that HPV- and HPV+ pathologic nodal staging systems in fact mirror each other. Multiple analyses produced conspicuously similar nodal staging systems, with metastatic lymph node number and extranodal extension delineating the highest risk groups that shape prognosis. We propose unifying HPV- and HPV+ nodal systems to best streamline prognostication and maximize staging accuracy.

Prognostic Impact of Histologic Grade for Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: While numerous factors affect prognosis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), the comparative impact of histologic grade has not been well described. Moreover, indications for external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) remain imprecise. We evaluate clinicopathologic characteristics and outcomes for PTC stratified by grade. METHODS: We profiled histologic grade for PTC (well differentiated, moderately differentiated, poorly differentiated) via hospital (National Cancer Database) and population-based (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) registries. Cox regression was used to adjust for clinicopathologic covariates. Statistical interactions between subtypes and the effect of EBRT on survival were assessed. RESULTS: Collectively, worsening clinicopathologic factors (age, tumor size, extrathyroidal extension, nodal spread, M1 disease) and outcomes (disease-free survival, overall survival) correlated with less differentiated state, across all histologic grades (p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis showed escalating hazard with loss of differentiation relative to well-differentiated PTC (moderately differentiated hazard ratio [HR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.41, p = 0.02; poorly differentiated HR 2.62, 95% CI 2.23-3.08, p < 0.001). Correspondingly, greater survival benefit was associated with EBRT for poorly differentiated cases (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.18-0.72, p = 0.004). This finding was upheld after landmark analysis to address potential immortal time bias (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.17-0.80, p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Worsening histologic grade in PTC is independently associated with parallel escalation in mortality risk, on a scale approximating or surpassing established thyroid cancer risk factors. On preliminary analysis, EBRT was associated with improved survival in the most aggressive or least differentiated subvariants. Further investigation is warranted to examine the efficacy of EBRT for select poorly differentiated thyroid carcinomas.

Visualizing adverse events in clinical trials using correspondence analysis with R-package visae.

BACKGROUND: Graphical displays and data visualization are essential components of statistical analysis that can lead to improved understanding of clinical trial adverse event (AE) data. Correspondence analysis (CA) has been introduced decades ago as a multivariate technique that can communicate AE contingency tables using two-dimensional plots, while quantifying the loss of information as other dimension reduction techniques such as principal components and factor analysis. METHODS: We propose the application of stacked CA using contribution biplots as a tool to explore differences in AE data among treatments in clinical trials. We defined five levels of refinement for the analysis based on data derived from the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) grades, domains, terms and their combinations. In addition, we developed a Shiny app built in an R-package, visae, publicly available on Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN), to interactively investigate CA configurations based on the contribution to the explained variance and relative frequency of AEs. Data from two randomized controlled trials (RCT) were used to illustrate the proposed methods: NSABP R-04, a neoadjuvant rectal 2 × 2 factorial trial comparing radiation therapy with either capecitabine (Cape) or 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) alone with or without oxaliplatin (Oxa), and NSABP B-35, a double-blind RCT comparing tamoxifen to anastrozole in postmenopausal women with hormone-positive ductal carcinoma in situ. RESULTS: In the R04 trial (n = 1308), CA biplots displayed the discrepancies between single agent treatments and their combinations with Oxa at all levels of AE classes, such that these discrepancies were responsible for the largest portion of the explained variability among treatments. In addition, an interaction effect when adding Oxa to Cape/5-FU was identified when the distance between Cape+Oxa and 5-FU + Oxa was observed to be larger than the distance between 5-FU and Cape, with Cape+Oxa and 5-FU + Oxa in different quadrants of the CA biplots. In the B35 trial (n = 3009), CA biplots showed different patterns for non-adherent Anastrozole and Tamoxifen compared with their adherent counterparts. CONCLUSION: CA with contribution biplot is an effective tool that can be used to summarize AE data in a two-dimensional display while minimizing the loss of information and interpretation.

Improved survival in women versus men with merkel cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Studies have observed that women have better outcomes than men in melanoma, but less is known about the influence of sex differences on outcomes for other aggressive cutaneous malignancies. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether women and men have disparate outcomes in Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC). METHODS: Patients with nonmetastatic MCC undergoing surgery and lymph node evaluation were identified from the National Cancer Database (NCDB) and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for overall survival, and competing-risks analysis and Fine-Gray models were used for cause-specific and other-cause mortality. RESULTS: The NCDB cohort (n = 4178) included 1516 (36%) women. Women had a consistent survival advantage compared with men in propensity score-matched analysis (66.0% vs 56.8% at 5 years, P < .001) and multivariable Cox regression (hazard ratio, 0.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.75; P < .001). Similarly, women had a survival advantage in the SEER validation cohort (n = 1202) with 457 (38.0%) women, which was entirely due to differences in MCC-specific mortality (5-year cumulative incidence: 16.4% vs 26.7%, P = .002), with no difference in other-cause mortality (16.8% vs 17.8%, P = .43) observed in propensity score-matched patients. LIMITATIONS: Potential selection bias from a retrospective data set. CONCLUSION: In MCC, women have improved survival compared with men, driven by MCC-related mortality.

Quantitative metastatic lymph node burden and survival in Merkel cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Current lymph node (LN) staging for Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) does not account for the number of metastatic LNs, which is a primary driver of survival in multiple cancers. OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of the number of metastatic LNs on survival in MCC. METHODS: Patients with MCC undergoing surgery were identified from the National Cancer Database (NCDB). The association between metastatic LN number and survival was modeled with restricted cubic splines. A novel nodal classification system was derived by using recursive partitioning analysis. MCC patients undergoing surgery in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program were used as validation cohort. RESULTS: Among 3670 patients in the NCDB, increasing metastatic LN number was associated with decreased survival (P < .001). Mortality risk increased continuously with each additional positive LN when using multivariable, nonlinear modeling. According to a novel staging system derived via recursive partitioning analysis, the hazard ratio for death in multivariable regression compared with patients without LN involvement was 1.24 (P = .049), 2.08 (P < .001), 3.24 (P < .001), and 6.13 (P < .001) for the proposed N1a (1-3 metastatic LNs with microscopic detection), N1b (1-3 metastatic LNs with macroscopic detection), N2 (4-8 metastatic LNs), and N3 (≥9 metastatic LNs), respectively. This system was validated in the SEER cohort and showed improved concordance compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer, Eighth Edition. LIMITATIONS: Retrospective design. CONCLUSIONS: Number of metastatic LNs is the dominant nodal factor driving survival in patients with MCC.

Incidental radiologic findings in breast cancer patients who undergo staging prior to neo-adjuvant chemotherapy.

NCCN guidelines discourage the use of staging imaging for newly diagnosed patients with early breast cancer (BC). When performed, incidental radiologic findings of uncertain significance are often encountered. The purpose of this study was to compare incidental findings seen on staging imaging with distant recurrence in patients undergoing neo-adjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). 396 patients with BC who had NAC from 2008 to 2016 were identified from a prospectively maintained data base. Staging imaging was reviewed. Of 396 patients with BC treated with NAC, patients with a positive PET/CT for metastatic disease (n = 36, 9.1%), those that did not undergo staging imaging (n = 49, 12.4%), or those that did not have a reported incidental finding (n = 49, 12.4%) were excluded from analysis. Of the 262 patients who met criteria, mean age was 50 years (range: 26-88). 201 (76.7%) patients had stage I-II cancer, and 61 (23.3%) patients had stage III cancer. Overall, 146 (55.7%) patients had an incidental finding on imaging. 90 (34.4%) patients had one finding, 42 (16.0%) patients had two, and 14 (5.3%) patients had three or more findings. The majority of incidental findings were seen in the ovary/uterus (29.7%), followed by lung (18.4%), liver (10.3%), and bone (9.0%). 5 (3.4%) patients had additional imaging performed. At mean follow-up of 3.7 years (range: 0.7-10.8), 43 (15.6%) patients had a distant recurrence. Of these patients, only 5 (1.9%) patients had distant metastasis in the same organ that was initially thought to be an incidental finding. Our results suggest that breast cancer patients with incidental findings on preoperative staging imaging are unlikely to be indicative of sites for future metastasis.

Stage I HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer: Should all patients receive similar treatments?

BACKGROUND: Patients with clinical stage I human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell cancer (OPSCC) according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) eighth edition classification comprise a heterogeneous group formerly classified as stage I to stage IVA according to the seventh edition of the AJCC classification. These patients historically were treated with disparate treatment regimens, particularly with respect to the use of concurrent chemotherapy. METHODS: The National Cancer Data Base was queried for patients with AJCC eighth edition clinical stage I HPV-positive OPSCC (AJCC seventh edition stage T1-2N0-2bM0) who were diagnosed from 2010 to 2014 and underwent definitive radiotherapy. Concurrent chemotherapy with definitive radiotherapy was defined as chemotherapy administered within 7 days of the initiation of radiotherapy. RESULTS: The current analysis included 4473 patients with HPV-positive stage I OPSCC with a median follow-up of 36.3 months. A total of 3127 patients (69.9%) received concurrent chemotherapy. Concurrent chemotherapy was found to be associated with improved overall survival on multivariable analyses (hazard ratio [HR], 0.782; 95% CI, 0.645-0.948 [P = .012]). The effect of chemotherapy on survival varied based on lymph node involvement (P for interaction = .001). Specifically, chemotherapy was associated with improved survival for patients with lymph node-positive stage I disease (stage III-IVA according to the AJCC seventh edition: HR, 0.682; 95% CI, 0.557-0.835 [P < .001]), but not for patients with N0 disease (stage I-II according to the AJCC seventh edition: HR, 1.646; 95% CI, 1.011-2.681 [P = .05]). Similar results were noted among propensity score-matched cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with concurrent chemotherapy was associated with improved overall survival for patients with lymph node-positive, but not lymph node-negative, AJCC eighth edition stage I HPV-positive OPSCC undergoing definitive radiotherapy, thereby supporting different treatment paradigms for these patients.

Factors Associated With Detection and Survival of T1 Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States: National Cancer Database Analysis.

BACKGROUND: It remains unknown to what extent hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) are detected very early (T1 stage; ie, unifocal <2 cm) in the United States. The aim of this study was to investigate the trends and factors associated with very early detection of HCC and resultant outcomes. METHODS: Patients with HCC diagnosed from 2004 through 2014 were identified from the National Cancer Database. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with T1 HCC detection, and Cox proportional hazard analyses identified factors associated with overall survival among patients with T1 HCC. RESULTS: Of 110,182 eligible patients, the proportion with T1 HCC increased from 2.6% in 2004 to 6.8% in 2014 (P<.01). The strongest correlate of T1 HCC detection was receipt of care at an academic institution (odds ratio, 3.51; 95% CI, 2.31-5.34). Older age, lack of insurance, high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, high alpha-fetoprotein, increased Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score, and nonsurgical treatment were associated with increased mortality, and care at an academic center (hazard ratio [HR], 0.27; 95% CI, 0.15-0.48) was associated with reduced mortality in patients with T1 HCC. Liver transplantation (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.20-0.37) and surgical resection (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.48-0.93) were independently associated with improved survival compared with ablation. This is the first study to examine the trend of T1 HCC using the National Cancer Database, which covers approximately 70% of all cancer diagnoses in the United States, using robust statistical analyses. Limitations of the study include a retrospective study design using administrative data and some pertinent data that were not available. CONCLUSIONS: Despite increases over time, <10% of HCCs are detected at T1 stage. The strongest correlates of survival among patients with T1 HCC are receiving care at an academic institution and surgical treatment.