Pancreatic anastomosis training models: Current status and future directions.

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD), and previous research has focused on patient-related risk factors and comparisons between anastomotic techniques. However, it is recognized that surgeon experience is an important factor in POPF outcomes, and that there is a significant learning curve for the pancreatic anastomosis. The aim of this study was to review the current literature on training models for the pancreatic anastomosis, and to explore areas for future research. It is concluded that research is needed to understand the mechanical properties of the human pancreas in an effort to develop a synthetic model that closely mimics its mechanical properties. Virtual reality (VR) is an attractive alternative to synthetic models for surgical training, and further work is needed to develop a VR pancreatic anastomosis training module that provides both high fidelity and haptic feedback.

Investigating misdiagnosis of suspected cancer among patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy: three decades of experience.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic error can result in pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) being mistakenly performed for benign disease. The aims of this study were to observe the error rate in PD over three decades and identify characteristics of benign disease that can mimic malignancy. METHODS: Patients with a benign histological diagnosis after having PD performed for suspected malignancy between 1988 and 2019 were selected for review. Preoperative clinical features, imaging and pathological samples were reviewed alongside resection specimens to identify features that may have led to misdiagnosis. RESULTS: Over the study period, 1812 patients underwent PD for suspected malignancy and 97 (5.2 %) of these had a final benign diagnosis. The rate of benign cases reduced across the study period. Some 62 patients proceeded to surgery without a preoperative tissue diagnosis; the decision to operate was made upon clinical and radiologic features alone. There were six patients who had a preoperative pathological sample suspicious for malignancy, of which two had autoimmune pancreatitis in the postoperative histology specimen. DISCUSSION: Benign conditions, notably autoimmune and chronic pancreatitis, can mimic malignancy even with the use of EUS-FNA. The results of all available diagnostic modalities should be interpreted by a multidisciplinary team and honest discussions with the patient should follow.

Can preoperative Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 predict metastatic pancreatic cancer? Results of a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the relationship between preoperative Carbohydrate Antigen19-9(CA19-9)and pancreatic cancer occult metastasis. METHODS: Systematic search of MEDLINE, CENTRAL, Web of Science and bibliographic reference lists were conducted. All comparative observational studies investigating the predictive ability of preoperative CA 19-9 in patients with pancreatic cancer were considered. Mean CA-19-9 value in the pancreatic cancer patients with and without metastasis were evaluated. Best cut-off value of CA 19-9 for metastasis was determined using ROC analysis. RESULTS: Ten comparative observational studies reporting a total of 1431 pancreatic cancer patients with (n = 496) and without (n = 935) metastasis were included. Subsequent meta-analysis demonstrated that mean preoperative CA 19-9 level was significantly higher in patients with metastases compared to those without (MD: 904.4; 95 % CI, 642.08-1166.74, P < 0.0001). The between-study heterogeneity was significant (I2: 99 %, P < 0.00001). ROC analysis yielded a cut-off CA 19-9 level of 336 with a sensitivity and specificity for predicting metastasis of 90 % and 80 %, respectively (AUC = 0.90). CONCLUSIONS: CA 19-9 level is significantly higher in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer. A preoperative CA 19-9 value of 336 should be considered as an acceptable cut-off value to design prospective studies.

Benchmarking of minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy with splenectomy: European multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: Benchmarking is the process to used assess the best achievable results and compare outcomes with that standard. This study aimed to assess best achievable outcomes in minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy with splenectomy (MIDPS). METHODS: This retrospective study included consecutive patients undergoing MIDPS for any indication, between 2003 and 2019, in 31 European centres. Benchmarks of the main clinical outcomes were calculated according to the Achievable Benchmark of Care (ABC™) method. After identifying independent risk factors for severe morbidity and conversion, risk-adjusted ABCs were calculated for each subgroup of patients at risk. RESULTS: A total of 1595 patients were included. The ABC was 2.5 per cent for conversion and 8.4 per cent for severe morbidity. ABC values were 160 min for duration of operation time, 8.3 per cent for POPF, 1.8 per cent for reoperation, and 0 per cent for mortality. Multivariable analysis showed that conversion was associated with male sex (OR 1.48), BMI exceeding 30 kg/m2 (OR 2.42), multivisceral resection (OR 3.04), and laparoscopy (OR 2.24). Increased risk of severe morbidity was associated with ASA fitness grade above II (OR 1.60), multivisceral resection (OR 1.88), and robotic approach (OR 1.87). CONCLUSION: The benchmark values obtained using the ABC method represent optimal outcomes from best achievable care, including low complication rates and zero mortality. These benchmarks should be used to set standards to improve patient outcomes.

Meta-analysis of interrupted versus continuous suturing for Roux-en-Y hepaticojejunostomy and duct-to-duct choledochocholedochostomy.

AIMS: To compare outcomes of interrupted (IS) and continuous (CS) suturing techniques for Roux-en-Y hepaticojejunostomy and duct-to-duct choledochocholedochostomy. METHODS: The study protocol was prospectively registered in PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42021286294). A systematic search of MEDLINE, CENTRAL, and Web of Science and bibliographic reference lists were conducted (last search: 14th March 2022). All comparative studies reporting outcomes of IS and CS in hepaticojejunostomy and choledochocholedochostomy were included and their risk of bias was assessed using ROBINS-I tool. Overall biliary complications, bile leak, biliary stricture, cholangitis, liver abscess, and anastomosis time were the evaluated outcome parameters. RESULTS: Ten comparative studies (2 prospective and 8 retrospective) were included which reported 1617 patients of whom 1186 patients underwent Roux-en-Y hepaticojejunostomy (IS: 789, CS: 397) and the remaining 431 patients underwent duct-to-duct choledochocholedochostomy (IS: 168, CS: 263). Although use of IS for hepaticojejunostomy was associated with significantly longer anastomosis time (MD: 14.15 min, p=0.0002) compared to CS, there was no significant difference in overall biliary complications (OR: 1.34, p=0.11), bile leak (OR: 1.64, p=0.14), biliary stricture (OR: 0.84, p=0.65), cholangitis (OR: 1.54, p=0.35), or liver abscess (OR: 0.58, p=0.40) between two groups. Similarly, use of IS for choledochocholedochostomy was associated with no significant difference in risk of overall biliary complications (OR: 0.92, p=0.90), bile leak (OR: 1.70, p=0.28), or biliary stricture (OR: 1.07, p=0.92) compared to CS. CONCLUSIONS: Interrupted and continuous suturing techniques for Roux-en-Y hepaticojejunostomy or duct-to-duct choledochocholedochostomy seem to have comparable clinical outcomes. The available evidence may be subject to confounding by indication with respect to diameter of bile duct. Future high-quality research is encouraged to report the outcomes with respect to duct diameter and suture material.

Long-term outcomes of delayed biliary strictures following cholecystectomy.

BACKGROUND: Delayed biliary strictures (DBS) after cholecystectomy are uncommon and little is known of their aetiology or long-term consequences. The aims of this study were to investigate the clinical and economic impact of DBS after cholecystectomy. METHODS: Patients who developed DBS after cholecystectomy were identified from a prospectively collected and maintained database. Risk factors for stricture development, quality of life (QoL) and long-term biliary complication rates were explored. Costs of treatment and follow up were determined. The same outcomes among patients with minor or major bile duct injury (BDI) were used as a comparison. RESULTS: Among 44 patients, a laparoscopic converted to open procedure or post cholecystectomy bile leak affected some 18 and 12 patients respectively. Most DBS required surgical treatment (40). Over a median follow-up of 8.9 years after DBS treatment, 16 (36%) patients developed biliary complications (similar to minor, 26%, and major BDI, 40%) and 1 patient died of causes related to the biliary stricture. Costs of treating DBS and its follow up (£14,309.26 per patient), were similar to previously reported costs for major BDI (£15,784). CONCLUSION: DBS typically occur after a technically and/or complicated cholecystectomy. Clinical, economic and QoL outcomes are similar to patients with major BDI.

Impact of an enhanced recovery after surgery protocol on short-term outcomes in elderly patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy.

BACKGROUND: To determine whether the short-term benefits associated with an enhanced recovery after surgery programme (ERAS) following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) vary with age. METHODS: 830 consecutive patients who underwent PD between January 2009 and March 2019 were divided according to age: elderly (≥75 years) vs. non-elderly patients (<75 years). Within each age group, cohort characteristics and outcomes were compared between patients treated pre- and post-ERAS (ERAS was systematically introduced in December 2012). Univariable and multivariable analysis were then performed, to assess whether ERAS was independently associated with length of hospital stay (LOS). RESULTS: Of the entire cohort, 577 of 830 patients (69.5%) were managed according to an ERAS protocol, and 170 patients (20.5%) were aged ≥75 years old. Patients treated post-ERAS were significantly more comorbid than those pre-ERAS, with a mean Charlson Comorbidity Index of 4.6 vs. 4.1 (p < 0.001) and 6.0 vs. 5.7 (p = 0.039) for the non-elderly and elderly subgroups, respectively. There were significantly fewer medical complications in non-elderly patients treated post-ERAS compared to pre-ERAS (12.4% vs. 22.4%; p = 0.002), but not in elderly patients (23.6% vs. 14.0%; p = 0.203). On multivariable analysis, ERAS was independently associated with reduced LOS in both elderly (14.8% reduction, 95% CI: 0.7-27.0%, p = 0.041) and non-elderly patients (15.6% reduction, 95% CI: 9.2-21.6%, p < 0.001), with the effect size being similar in each group. CONCLUSION: ERAS protocols can be safely applied to patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy irrespective of age. Implementation of an ERAS protocol was associated with a significant reduction in postoperative LOS in both elderly and non-elderly patients, despite higher comorbidity in the post-ERAS period.

The effects of resection margin and KRAS status on outcomes after resection of colorectal liver metastases.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of resection margin status in patients with KRAS mutations (mt-KRAS) when compared to those with wild-type KRAS (wt-KRAS) on long-term outcomes in patients with resected CRLM. METHODS: All patients who underwent resection of CRLM with curative intent between January 2011 and December 2016 and had a KRAS type recorded were included in the study. Overall survival (OS), as well as death-censored overall (RFS) and liver-specific (LS-RFS) recurrence-free survival between KRAS types and the margin status within KRAS subgroups were compared using Cox regression models. RESULTS: Data were available for N = 500 patients (30.4% mt-KRAS). mt-KRAS status was independently associated with significantly shorter OS. Within the wt-KRAS subgroup, smaller margins were found to be associated with significantly shorter death-censored LS-RFS (p < 0.001), with HRs of 1.93 (p = 0.005) for 1-4 mm margins and 2.83 (p < 0.001) for <1 mm margins, relative to those with clear margins. No such association was observed in the mt-KRAS subgroup (p = 0.721). CONCLUSION: The resection margin status is of greater importance in patients with wt-KRAS. Such information could be useful in the operative planning, especially for those with multiple metastatic deposits, and also in the post-operative counselling and surveillance based on the margin and KRAS status.

Liver Resection and role of Extended Histology (LiREcH study) in patients with multifocal colorectal cancer liver metastases.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to assess the correlation between the margin status on the specimen side (Rs) and that from the patient side (base of resection) (Rp) and the influence of positive margins (R1s and R1p) on cancer related outcomes in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). METHODS: In this prospective study, patients undergoing non-anatomical resection (NAR) of multifocal CRLM, with suspected close resection margins were included. The primary outcome evaluated was the correlation of Rs and Rp. RESULTS: Twenty-three patients had 89 NARs, and CUSA samples from the base of 36 specimens were analysed. Among 36 specimens where extended histology (EH) was performed, margin status on the specimen side (Rs) was positive in 69.4% (25/36), whereas on the patient side, the margin (Rp) was positive in only 8.3% (3/36) of specimens. On univariate analysis, there was no significant difference in the site-specific recurrence at previous resection with regards to Rs positivity (P = 0.56) and Rp positivity (P = 0.48). CONCLUSION: There is a poor correlation between Rs and Rp and the local recurrence rates in the liver. These results might further support that tumour biology is more relevant than the margin status in patients with multifocal CRLM.

Variations between the anatomical and functional distribution, based on 99m technetium -mebrofinate SPECT-CT scan, in patients at risk of post hepatectomy liver failure.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the current study is to investigate the variations of anatomical (LVRem%) and functional remnant volumes (fLVRem%) and the dynamic uptake of Technetium-Mebrofinate (FRLF) measured from 99m Technetium-Mebrofinate SPECT-CT scan (TMSCT) in patients at high risk of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). METHODS: Variations in the measures of LVRem% and fLVRem% were assessed. The predictive accuracies of LVRem%, fLVRem% and FRLF with respect to PHLF were reported. RESULTS: From the N = 92 scans performed, LVRem% and fLVRem% returned identical results in 15% of cases, and ±10 percentage points in 79% of cases. Some patients had larger discrepancies, with difference of >10 percentage points in 21% of cases. The difference was significant in those with primary liver cancers (-4.4 ± 9.2, p = 0.002). For the N = 29 patients that underwent surgery as planned on TMSCT, FRLF was a strong predictor of PHLF, with an AUROC of 0.83 (p = 0.005). CONCLUSION: TMSCT is emerging as a useful modality in pre-operative assessment of patients undergoing major liver resection. For those with primary liver cancer, there is a significant variation in the anatomical and functional distributions that needs considered in surgical planning. Reduced FRLF, measured as the dynamic uptake in the future liver remnant, is a strong predictor of PHLF.

Splenic preservation versus splenectomy in laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy: a propensity score-matched study.

BACKGROUND: The laparoscopic approach in distal pancreatectomy is associated with higher rates of splenic preservation compared to open surgery. Although favorable postoperative short-term outcomes have been reported in open spleen-preserving distal pancreatectomy when compared to distal pancreatectomy with splenectomy, it is unclear whether this observation applies to the laparoscopic approach. The aim of this study is to compare laparoscopic spleen-preserving distal pancreatectomy (LSPDP) with laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy with splenectomy (LDPS). STUDY DESIGN: This is a UK wide, propensity score-matched study, including patients who underwent LSPDP or LDPS between 2006 and 2016. Short-term outcomes were compared between LSPDP and LDPS according to intention to treat. Additionally, risk factors for unplanned splenectomy were explored. RESULTS: A total of 456 patients were included from eleven centers (229 LSPDP and 227 LDPS). We were able to match 173 LSPDP cases to 173 LDPS cases, according to intention to treat. No differences were seen in postoperative morbidity between the groups. The only identified risk factor for unplanned splenectomy was tumor size ≥ 30 mm. CONCLUSIONS: Preserving the spleen during laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy is not associated with a lower postoperative morbidity compared to sacrificing the spleen. Tumor size is a risk factor for unplanned splenectomy.

Recurrence patterns of pancreatic cancer after pancreatoduodenectomy: systematic review and a single-centre retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Positive margins in pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) for pancreatic cancer, specifically the superior mesenteric artery (SMA) margin, are associated with worse outcomes. Local therapies targeting these margins could impact on recurrence. This study analysed recurrence-patterns to identify whether strategies to control local disease could have a meaningful impact. METHODS: (I) Systematic review to define recurrence patterns and resection margin status. (II) Additional retrospective study of PD performed at our centre. RESULTS: In the systematic review, 23/617 evaluated studies were included (n = 3815). Local recurrence was observed in 7-69%. SMA margin (6 studies) was positive in 15-35%. In the retrospective study (n = 204), local recurrence was more frequently observed with a positive SMA margin (66 vs.45%; p = 0.005). Furthermore, in a multivariate cox-proportional hazard model, only a positive SMA margin was associated with disease recurrence (HR 1.615; 95%CI 1.127-2.315; p = 0.009). Interestingly, median overall survival was 20 months and similar for patients who developed local only, metastases only or simultaneous recurrence (p = 0.124). CONCLUSION: Local recurrence of pancreatic cancer is common and associated with similar mortality rates as those who present with simultaneous or metastatic recurrence. Involvement of the SMA margin is an independent predictor for disease progression and should be the target of future adjuvant local therapies.

Risk adjusted assessment of individual surgeon's pancreatic fistula outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Post-operative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a major cause of morbidity following pancreatoduodenectomy. The risk of POPF varies between individuals and thus assessment without risk adjustment is crude. However, despite the availability of numerous scores to determine risk, no study has provided a risk adjusted assessment of POPF outcomes. METHODS: The observed and risk adjusted occurrence of POPF from consecutive patients operated upon by eight surgeons were recorded. Surgeons varied in experience from newly appointed (n = 5) to established (n = 3). CUSUM (cumulative sum) analysis was used to assess performance. RESULTS: 104 POPF occurred among 519 patients (20.0%). The occurrence of POPF was significantly lower among experienced surgeons (20/186, 10.7% vs 84/333, 25.2%; p < 0.001). Following risk adjustment surgeons observed 16.6 fewer to 6.5 excess POPF per 100 patients than predicted. Analysis of the CUSUM plots demonstrated the experienced surgeons performed steadily with a gradual reduction in observed POPF compared to what was predicted. The new surgeon's performance was less consistent and evidence of a learning curve was observed with steady improvement occurring after 50-70 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Risk adjusted assessment of POPF demonstrates differences between experienced and less experienced surgeons. This method could be used to audit practice and observe effects of changes to technique.

Risk factors to differentiate between benign proximal biliary strictures and perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate potential risk factors associated with benign lesions and perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC) in patients presenting with proximal biliary strictures (PBS). METHODS: Patients with PBS who were referred to a specialist HPB centre between 2008 and 2016 were identified. Patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis, metastatic PHC or hilar obstruction by a peripheral tumour were excluded. The final diagnosis was determined either by (1) resection histology or (2) combination of biopsy and clinical course. Multivariable analysis of clinical, laboratory and radiological data was undertaken to identify independent predictors of benign and malignant lesions. RESULTS: 155 consecutive patients were identified, including 25 patients (16%) with benign PBS. Abdominal pain (odds ratio [OR] 3.36; p = 0.027), serum CA19.9 < 100 U/ml (OR 10.35; p = 0.001), and absence of mass on imaging (OR 4.66; p = 0.004) were all associated with the presence of benign lesions on multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: This study has identified several independent variables that may differentiate between benign and malignant proximal biliary strictures. A larger multi-institutional study would be warranted to validate these findings, and to develop a risk score to stratify patients with suspected PHC.

Development and validation of a risk score to predict the overall survival following surgical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma in non-cirrhotic liver.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a risk score to predict overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in non-cirrhotic liver (NC-HCC). METHODS: Patients who underwent resection for NC-HCC between 2004 and 2013 were identified from the SEER database. A derivation set of 75% of this cohort was used to develop a risk score. This was then internally validated on the remaining patients, and externally validated using a cohort of patients from The HPB Unit, Birmingham, UK. RESULTS: A total of 3897 patients were included from the SEER database, with a median post-diagnosis survival of 59 months. In the derivation set, multivariable analyses identified male sex, increasing tumour size, the presence of multiple tumours, bilobar tumours and major vascular invasion as adverse prognostic factors. A risk score generated from these factors was significantly predictive of OS, and was used to classify patients into low, medium and high-risk groups. These groups had a five-year OS of 69%, 51% and 19% in the internal, and 73%, 50% and 45% in the external validation sets. CONCLUSION: The proposed risk score is useful in the selection, pre-operative consenting and counselling of patients for surgery and to allow patients to make an informed decision regarding treatment.

Developing and validating a preoperative risk score to predict 90-day mortality after liver resection.

BACKGROUND: Hepatobiliary surgeons continue to expand the pool of patients undergoing liver resection using combinations of surgical and interventional procedures with chemotherapy. Improved perioperative care allows for operation on higher risk surgical patients. Postoperative outcomes, including 90-day mortality that improved over the past decade but still varies across cohorts. This study developed a preoperative risk score, on the basis significant clinical and laboratory variables, to predict 90-day mortality after hepatectomy. METHODS: All patients who underwent hepatectomy between 2011 and 2016 were included. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify the predictors of postoperative mortality and a risk score was derived and validated. RESULTS: The overall 90-day mortality rate in the derivation cohort (n = 1269 patients) was 4.0% (N = 51). Increasing patient age (P < 0.001), extent of resection (P = 0.001), diabetes mellitus (P = 0.006), and low preoperative sodium (P = 0.012) were predictors of the increased 90-day mortality in the multivariable analysis. The risk model developed based on these factors had an AUROC of 0.778 (P < 0.001) and remained significant in a validation cohort of 788 patients (AUROC: 0.703, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The proposed preoperative risk score to predict 90-day mortality after liver resection could be useful for appropriate counseling, optimization, and risk-adjusted assessment of surgical outcomes.

Evaluating the learning curve for laparoscopic liver resection: a comparative study between standard and learning curve CUSUM.

BACKGROUND: Laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) requires training in both hepatobiliary surgery and advanced laparoscopy. Available data on LLR learning curves are derived from pioneer surgeons. The aims of this study were to evaluate the LLR learning curve for second generation surgeons, and to compare different CUSUM methodology with and without risk adjustment. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of a prospective database of 111 consecutive patients who underwent LLR by two surgeons at a single centre between 2011 and 2016. The LLR learning curve for minor hepatectomy (MH) was evaluated for each surgeon using standard CUSUM before and after risk-adjusting for operative difficulty using the Iwate index, and compared with Learning Curve (LC) CUSUM. The end points were operative time and conversion rate. RESULTS: Standard CUSUM analysis identified a learning curve of 50-60 MH procedures. The corresponding learning curve reduced to 25-30 after risk-adjusting for operative difficulty, whilst LC-CUSUM identified a learning curve of 17-25 procedures. CONCLUSIONS: The learning curve for laparoscopic minor liver resection by second generation surgeons is shorter than that for pioneer surgeons. Laparoscopic HPB fellowship programmes may further shorten the learning curve, facilitating safe expansion of LLR. The LC-CUSUM method is an alternative technique that warrants further study.

Developing and validating a pre-operative risk score to predict post-hepatectomy liver failure.

BACKGROUND: Post hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a serious complication in patients undergoing liver resection. This study hypothesized that a new pre-operative risk score developed through statistical modeling to predict PHLF could be used to stratify patients at higher risk of PHLF. METHODS: Patients who underwent hepatectomy between 2008 and 2016 were included in the derivation and validation cohorts. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was performed to identify predictors of PHLF, and a prognostic score was derived. RESULTS: A total of 1269 patients were included in the derivation cohort. PHLF was encountered in 13.1% and was associated with significantly increased 90-day mortality and prolonged post-operative hospital stay (both p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis identified the extent of surgery (p < 0.001) and pre-operative bilirubin (p = 0.015), INR (p < 0.001), and creatinine (p = 0.048) to be independent predictors of PHLF. A risk score derived from these factors returned an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.816 (p < 0.001) for an internal validation cohort (N = 453), significantly outperforming the MELD score (AUROC: 0.643). CONCLUSION: The PHLF risk score could be used to stratify the risk of PHLF among patients planned for hepatectomy.

Multivariable analysis of predictors of unplanned hospital readmission after pancreaticoduodenectomy: development of a validated risk score.

BACKGROUND: Unplanned hospital readmission after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) is usually due to surgical complications and has significant clinical and economic impact. This study developed a risk score to predict 30-day readmission after PD. METHODS: Patients undergoing PD between 2009 and 2016 were reviewed from a prospective database. Predictors of readmission were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model, from which a points-based risk scoring system was derived. RESULTS: 81 of 518 patients (15.6%) were readmitted within 30 days. History of cardiac disease ([odds ratio] OR = 2.12; 95% CI: 1.12-4.56), CRP>140 mg/L on post-operative day 3 (OR = 2.34; 95% CI: 1.37-4.35) and comprehensive complication index >14 (OR = 1.74; 95% CI: 1.03-2.85) were independent predictors of readmission. The regression coefficients were used to generate a risk score with excellent calibration (p = 0.917) and good discrimination (c-index = 0.65; 95% CI: 0.58-0.71; p < 0.001). Patients were categorised as low, moderate and high risk, with readmission rates of 6.4%, 13.4% and 23.0% respectively (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The risk score identifies patients at high risk of readmission after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Such patients may benefit from pre-discharge imaging and/or enhanced follow-up, which may potentially reduce the impact of readmissions.