Disability outcomes in NMOSD and MOGAD patients: data from a nationwide registry in Argentina.

The objective was to evaluate time to reach an EDSS of 4, 6, and 7 in NMOSD and MOGAD patients included in the Argentinean MS and NMOSD registry (RelevarEM, NCT 03,375,177). METHODS: NMOSD patients diagnosed according to 2015 criteria and with MOGAD were identified. Patients with at least 3 years of follow-up and periodic clinical evaluations with EDSS outcomes were included. AQP4-antibody and MOG-antibody status was recorded, and patients were stratified as seropositive and seronegative for AQP4-antibody. EDSS of 4, 6, and 7 were defined as dependent variables. Log rank test was used to identify differences between groups. RESULTS: Registry data was provided for a total of 137 patients. Of these, seventy-five presented AQP4-ab-positive NMOSD, 45 AQP4-ab-negative NMOSD, and 11 MOGAD. AQP4-ab status was determined by cell-based assay (CBA) in 72% of NMOSD patients. MOG-ab status was tested by CBA in all cases. Mean time to EDSS of 4 was 53.6 ± 24.5 vs. 63.1 ± 32.2 vs. 44.7 ± 32 months in seropositive, seronegative NMOSD, and MOGAD, respectively (p = 0.76). Mean time to EDSS of 6 was 79.2 ± 44.3 vs. 75.7 ± 48.6 vs. 54.7 ± 50 months in seropositive, seronegative NMOSD, and MOGAD (p = 0.23), while mean time to EDSS of 7 was 86.8 ± 54 vs. 80.4 ± 51 vs. 58.5 ± 47 months in seropositive, seronegative NMOSD, and MOGAD (p = 0.39). CONCLUSION: No differences were observed between NMOSD (seropositive and seronegative) and MOGAD in survival curves.

Brain and spinal MRI features distinguishing MS from different AQP4 antibody serostatus NMOSD at disease onset in a cohort of Latin American patients.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) previously used criteria (Matthews's criteria, MC) for differentiating multiple sclerosis (MS) from neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD) in Caucasian and non-Caucasian populations (Argentina, Brazil and Venezuela) with positive (P-NMOSD), negative (N-NMOSD), and unknown (U-NMOSD) aquaporin-4 antibody serostatus at disease onset and to assess the added diagnostic value of spinal cord MRI in these populations. METHODS: We reviewed medical records, and MRIs were assessed by two blinded evaluators and were scored using MC. Short-segment transverse myelitis (STM) was added as a new criterion. MC sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were determined. RESULTS: We included 282 patients (MS = 188 and NMOSD = 94). MC applied to the entire cohort showed 97.8% sensitivity, 82.9% specificity, 92.0% PPV, and 95.1% NPV for differentiating MS from NMOSD. A subanalysis applied only to non-Caucasian (MS = 89 and NMOSD = 47) showed 100% sensitivity, 80.8% specificity, 90.8% PPV, and 100% NPV. Similar sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of MC for MS versus P-NMOSD (n = 55), N-NMOSD (n = 28), and U-NMOSD (n = 21) were observed. CONCLUSION: MC distinguished MS from NMOSD of all serostatus in a Latin American cohort that included non-Caucasian populations. Addition of STM to MC did not raise the accuracy significantly.

Correction to: Clinical and demographic characteristics of primary progressive multiple sclerosis in Argentina: Argentinean registry cohort study (RelevarEM).

The above article was published online with incorrect figure 1.

Clinical and demographic characteristics of primary progressive multiple sclerosis in Argentina: Argentinean registry cohort study (RelevarEM).

BACKGROUND: Primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) is an infrequent clinical form of multiple sclerosis (MS). Scarce information is available about PPMS in Latin America. The aim of this work is to describe the clinical and demographic characteristics of PPMS patients in Argentina. MATERIAL AND METHODS: RelevarEM is a longitudinal, strictly observational registry in Argentina. Clinical and epidemiological data from PPMS patients were described. RESULTS: There were 144 cases of PPMS. They represented 7% of MS patients. The mean age was 44.1 years. The female:male ratio was 1.08. The mean Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score was 5.5 and the mean disease evolution time was 10.6 years. Oligoclonal bands were found in 72.9%. At the time of diagnosis, magnetic resonance imaging showed spinal cord lesions in 82.6% and contrast-enhancing brain lesions in 18.1% of patients. Almost one third of patients were treated with a disease-modifying drug, and ocrelizumab was the most frequently used (55.8%). CONCLUSIONS: PPMS is an infrequent subtype of MS and its recognition is of the highest importance as it has its own evolution, treatment, and prognosis. The importance of our research resides in providing local data and contributing to a better understanding of PPMS and its treatment in Latin America.

Multiple sclerosis and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders in Argentina: comparing baseline data from the Argentinean MS Registry (RelevarEM).

The objective of this study was to describe and compare the baseline epidemiological data of multiple sclerosis (MS) and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) patients included in RelevarEM (Clinical Trials registry number NCT03375177). METHODS: RelevarEM is a longitudinal, strictly observational MS and NMOSD registry in Argentina. Epidemiological and comorbidity data from MS and NMOSD patients were described and compared. For comorbidities, the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) was used to calculate the burden at entry. CCI was stratified in 0 and ≥ 1 and described for the entire cohort. RESULTS: A total of 1588 and 75 MS and NMOSD patients (respectively) were included. For MS patients, the mean age was 42 ± 7 years, female sex 65.3%, mean EDSS 2, and mean disease duration 8 ± 6 years. In NMOSD, the mean age was 40 ± 7 years, female sex 78.7%, mean disease duration 5 ± 3.5 years, and mean EDSS 2.5. The most frequent MS phenotype was RRMS in 82.4%. In MS, the CCI was 0 in 85.8.2% while ≥ 1 was in 14.2% of patients. Regarding phenotype stratification, CCI ≥ 1 was 3.9% in CIS, 13.5% in RRMS, 28.7% in SPMS, and 17.4% in PPMS (p < 0.001 between groups). In NMOSD, the CCI was 0 in 64% while ≥ 1 was in 36%. The MS/NMOSD ratio found was 21/1. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first analysis of the longitudinal Argentinean registry of MS and NMOSD describing and comparing conditions that contributes to provide reliable real-world data in the country.

Safety of high efficacy therapies in older people with Multiple Sclerosis: A real-world evidence study.

INTRODUCTION: the increase of older adults living with Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is associated with higher use of high efficacy therapies (HETs) in a clinical practice. The are no data regarding the safety of HET in this patient group. OBJECTIVE: to analyze the safety of HETs in older people with MS (pwMS) in a real-life cohort. METHODS: retrospective cohort study including pwMS under HETs (cladribine and monoclonal antibodies) treated in two specialized MS centers in Latin America. We compare: pwMS ≥ 50 years old (G1) and < 50 years old (G2). In all pwMS, presence and type of adverse events, and comorbidities were recorded. RESULTS: 882 pwMS were included, 141 (15.9 %) had ≥50 years old, 47 (33.3 %) werunde HETs (G1). The most used DMT in G1 was ocrelizumab (48.9 %), mean time under HETs: 2.06 ± 0.8 years. The most frequent adverse event in G1 was urinary tract infection (UTI) (21.3 %). We did not find significant differences between G1 and G2 in infusion reactions, lymphopenia, neoplasms, respiratory infections, and liver disease. We found differences in the frequency of urinary tract infections (p = 0.004). No cases of VZV reactivation, tuberculosis or progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy were registered. In a regression model adjusted for MS evolution, time under HET, EDSS, Charlson comorbidity index and phenotype, patients 50 ≥ under HETs did not have a higher incidence of adverse events compared to < 50 (Adjusted OR 0.72; CI95 % 0.143 -3.43, p = 0.67)} CONCLUSION: the short term use of HETs in pwMS older than 50 years old seems to be safe.

Real-World Effectiveness and Safety of Cladribine in Multiple Sclerosis: Longitudinal Data From the Nationwide Registry in Argentina.

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to evaluate patient profiles, effectiveness and safety of cladribine (CLAD) in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis in Argentina. METHODS: This was a substudy included in RelevarEM (MS and neuromyelitis optica registry in Argentina, NCT03375177). Patients with MS who received CLAD tablets and were followed up for at least 24 months were included. Clinical evaluations every 3 months collect information about: a) clinical relapses; b) progression of physical disability, evaluated through Expanded Disability Status Scale, and c) new lesions found in the magnetic resonance imaging. Lymphopenia was evaluated during the follow-up and defined as grade 1: absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) 800-999/µL; grade 2: ALC 500-799/µL; grade 3: ALC 200-499/µL and grade 4: ALC <200/µL. RESULTS: A total of 240 patients were included from 19 centers from Argentina. The mean annualized relapse rate during the 12-month pre-CLAD initiation was 1.19 ± 0.56 versus 0.22 ± 0.18 at month 12 and 0.19 ± 0.15 at month 24 ( P < 0.001). A total of 142 (59.2%) fulfilled the criteria of disease activity during the 12 months before treatment initiation, whereas 27 (11.3%) fulfilled it at month 12 and 38 (15.8%) at month 24, P < 0.001. Regarding no evidence of disease activity (NEDA), 202 (84.2%) patients achieved NEDA status at month 12 and 185 (77%) at month 24. The most frequent incidence density of lymphopenia for course 2 observed was also for grade 1, 6.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.5-7.1). The overall incidence density of lymphopenia grade 4 was 0.1 (95% CI = 0.06-0.19). CONCLUSION: This information will help when choosing the best treatment option for Argentinean patients.

Treatment strategies and responses for attacks of neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder: A real-world retrospective cohort study.

We aimed to assess the treatment strategies utilized in patients with neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) experiencing relapses, including their frequency, types, and response after 6 months based on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study involving NMOSD patients from the Argentinean MS and NMOSD registry (RelevarEM, NCT03375177). Treatment response at 6 months was categorized as "good" if the EDSS score decreased by ≥1 point after a nadir EDSS score ≤ 3, or by ≥2 points after a nadir EDSS score > 3, "poor" if the EDSS score decrease was slighter, and as "absent" if the EDSS score remained unchanged or worsened. RESULTS: We included 120 NMOSD patients (seropositive N = 75), who experienced 250 NMOSD-related relapses and received 248 treatments. At 6 months, complete recovery was achieved in 70/98 (71.4%) and 15/19 (79%) patients, respectively. Predictors of a "good" response in our regression model were a younger age at disease onset (OR:3.54, CI95% 2.45-5.01, p < 0.0001) and a short delay from onset of relapse to treatment initiation (OR:1.56, CI95% 1.22-2.13, p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately two-thirds of patients experienced complete recovery, and younger age and a short delay to start treatment were independent predictors of a "good" response.

Traditional first-line treatment failure rates in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder patients included in the Argentinean registry (RelevarEM).

BACKGROUND: Immunosuppressive therapies as azathioprine (AZA), mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) and rituximab (RTX) are widely prescribed as first-line treatment to prevent relapses in NMOSD. However, the rate of response to these traditional therapies is unknown in Argentina. We aimed to describe and compare treatment failure rates in NMOSD patients included in the Argentinean MS and NMOSD registry (RelevarEM, NCT03375177). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in NMOSD patients included in RelevarEM (a nationwide, longitudinal, observational, non-mandatory registry of MS and NMOSD in Argentina). NMOSD patients were defined based on validate diagnostic criteria. Only NMOSD patients who received AZA or MMF for at least 6 months or RTX for at least 1 month were included. Patients who were receiving AZA, MMF, or RTX and then switched to another 1 of these 3 therapies were included if the above-mentioned criteria for each drug were fulfilled. Data on patient demographics, clinical, neuroradiological findings, and treatments administered were collected. Treatment failure was defined as any new attack/relapse that occurred despite immunosuppressive treatment. RESULTS: We included 139 NMOSD patients who were receiving AZA (n = 105), MMF (n = 5) or RTX (n = 29) with a mean follow-up time of 41.3 ± 11.4 months and median of EDSS at treatment initiation of 3. We observed a reduction in the annualized relapse rate from pre-treatment to post-treatment of 51.1 %, 48.4 %, and 79.1 % respectively with a Hazard Risk relative to RTX (95 % CI) of 1.67 (1.34-3.54, p = 0.01) for AZA and 2.01 (1.86-4.43, p = 0.008) for MMF. AZA, MMF and RTX failure was observed in 45/105 (42.8 %), 2/5 (40 %) and 3/29 (10.3 %) patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment failure rates were higher for AZA and MMF than RTX in Argentinean NMOSD patients in a real-world setting. High-efficacy treatment increases the opportunity to prevent attacks of NMOSD.

Selection of disease modifying therapies in multiple sclerosis based on patient's age and disease activity: Data from a nationwide registry.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge of the safety and efficacy of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in older patients with Multiple Sclerosis (pwMS) is limited due to their exclusion from clinical trials. Our purpose is to evaluate the choice of DMTs in pwMS older than 50 years old in a real-world setting. METHODS: Cross-sectional study of pwMS from the Argentine MS and NMOSD Registry. We included patients under 35 and above 50 years old prescribed DMTs. Disease activity was categorized as highly active (HA) or not highly active (NHA), and DMTs were classified as low efficacy therapies (LET) or high efficacy therapies (HET). RESULTS: 1460 patients (65% females) were enrolled. The HA group comprised 241 patients, 198 young (82.2%) and 43 older (17.8%). The NHA group included 1219 patients, 893 young (73%) and 326 older (27%). In the NHA group, older patients received LET more frequently than younger patients (66% versus 44%; p < 0.01). In the HA group, older patients received LET in 61% of cases, whereas younger patients received HET in 71% (p = 0.01). CONCLUSION: The study shows the preference of LET in older patients regardless of disease activity. However it does not demonstrate a difference in disability in older patients based on low vs high efficacy DMTs used, probably due to the design of the study. Further longitudinal studies are warranted to address this issue.

Shared decision making in the treatment of multiple sclerosis: A consensus based on Delphi methodology.

Shared decision making is a way of incorporating patients' preferences and values into the decisions regarding the treatment and follow-up plan for the condition that affects them. It is currently applied mainly in the context of chronic disorders for which there is no cure available but nevertheless many therapeutic alternatives, such as multiple sclerosis (MS). Current views and opinions on shared decision making for the treatment of MS are discussed in this consensus based on a modified Delphi method that included a group of neurologists from Argentina. A set of statements was defined by the experts and seeks to serve as a guide to apply this concept in clinical practice.

Evaluation of the use of high-efficacy treatments (HETs) in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis in Argentina.

BACKGROUND: Disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS) can be classified according to the efficacy in which they prevent inflammatory activity. To date, there are limited data regarding the use of high-efficacy treatments (HETs) in Latin America (LATAM). We aimed to analyze the use of HETs in Argentina, focusing on the clinical and sociodemographic characteristics of the patients who use these treatments and the changes in the trend of use over the years. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was done using the Argentina MS patient registry, RelevarEM. Patients diagnosed with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) according to validated diagnostic criteria and under treatment with natalizumab, alemtuzumab, cladribine, rituximab or ocrelizumab were included. RESULTS: Out of 2450 RRMS patients under a DMT, 462 (19%) were on HETs. One third of those patients (35%) received HETs as the first treatment. The most frequent reason for switching to HETs was treatment failure to previous DMT (77%). The time from MS diagnosis to the first HET in treatment-naive patients was less than one year (IQR: 0-1 year) and in treatment-experienced patients it was 5 years (IQR: 3-9 years). Between 2015 and 2017 (P1), 729 patients included in RelevarEM started a new treatment, of which 85 (11.65%) were HETs. Between 2018 and 2020 (P2), 961 patients included in RelevarEM started a new treatment, of which 284 (29.55%) were HETs. When comparing P2 with P1, a significant increase in the use of HETs was observed (p < 0.01). The most frequently used HETs were alemtuzumab (50.59%) in P1, and cladribine (45.20%) in P2. CONCLUSION: The demographic and clinical characteristics of patients under HET in Argentina were identified. Based on a real-world setting, we found a significant trend towards and a rapid increase in the use of HETs in clinical practice in patients with RRMS.

Achieving no evidence of disease activity-3 in highly active multiple sclerosis patients treated with cladribine and monoclonal antibodies.

Background: We aimed to determine the proportion of highly active multiple sclerosis patients under high-efficacy therapies (HETs) achieve no evidence of disease activity-3 (NEDA-3) at 1 and 2 years, and to identify factors associated with failing to meet no evidence of disease activity 3 at 2 years. Methods: This retrospective cohort study based on Argentina Multiple Sclerosis patient registry (RelevarEM), includes highly active multiple sclerosis patients who received HETs. Results: In total, 254 (78.51%) achieved NEDA-3 at year 1 and 220 (68.12%) achieved NEDA-3 at year 2. Patients who achieved NEDA-3 at 2 years had a shorter duration of multiple sclerosis (p < 0.01) and a shorter time between first treatment and current treatment (p = 0.01). Early high-efficacy strategy patients reached NEDA-3 more frequently (p < 0.01). Being a naïve patient (odds ratio: 3.78, 95% confidence interval 1.50-9.86, p < 0.01) was an independent predictor to reach NEDA-3 at 2 years. No association was found between type of HETs and NEDA-3 at 2 years when adjusted for potential confounders (odds ratio: 1.73; 95% confidence interval 0.51-6.06, p 0.57). Conclusion: We found a high proportion of patients who achieved NEDA-3 at 1 and 2 years. Early high-efficacy strategy patients had a higher probability of achieving NEDA-3 at 2 years.

Mortality of neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder patients in an Argentinean population: A study from the RelevarEM registry.

We aimed to evaluate mortality and causes of death among Argentinean neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) patients and identify predictors of death. Retrospective study included 158 NMOSD patients and 11 (7%) patients died after 11 years of follow-up for a total exposure time of 53,345 days with an overall incidence density of 2.06 × 10.000 patients/day (95% CI 1.75-2.68). Extensive cervical myelitis with respiratory failure (45%) was the most frequent cause of death. Older age (HR = 2.05, p = 0.002) and higher disability score (HR = 2.30, p < 0.001) at disease onset were independent predictors of death. We found an 11-year mortality rate of 7% in Argentinean NMOSD patients.

Disease activity after discontinuation of disease-modifying therapies in patients with multiple sclerosis in Argentina: data from the nationwide registry RelevarEM.

INTRODUCTION: The discontinuation of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS) is commonly seen in real-world settings due to several factors. AREA COVER: The aim of this study is to describe the frequency of disease activity after discontinuation of DMTs in MS patients included in the Argentinean MS and NMOSD registry. DISCUSION: Patients with relapsing remitting MS (RRMS) and active secondary progressive MS (SPMS) were included based on the following criteria: they discontinued treatment for more than 6 months, they had been treated with a DMT for ≥2 years, and they had at least 6 months of follow-up in the registry after discontinuation. Demographic and clinical data were collected. Disease activity during follow-up was defined as the presence of a clinical relapse or a new magnetic resonance (MRI) lesion (either new lesions on T2-weighted sequence and/or contrast enhancement). Bivariate analysis was applied to identify clinical and demographic factors related to disease activity. CONCLUSION: We included 377 patients (75.5% RRMS, 22.5% SPMS) who had discontinued DMTs. The mean (SD) follow-up after discontinuation was 15.7 (7.9) months. After discontinuation, the presence of relapse was detected in 18.8% and 3.5% in RRMS and SPMS, respectively; and new MRI activity in 22% and 3.5%, respectively. We found that higher risk of relapse and MRI activity was associated with younger age (p < 0.001), shorter disease duration (p < 0.001), and RRMS phenotype (p = 0.006). Males showed higher MRI activity (p 0.011). This study provides real-world data that can guide physicians when considering discontinuation of DMTs.

Rebound activity after fingolimod cessation: A case - control study.

BACKGROUND: There has been an increase in the number of reports of multiple sclerosis (MS) rebound activity (RA), which is usually defined as a severe disease reactivation after natalizumab or fingolimod withdrawal that exceeds pre-treatment baseline inflammatory activity. The frequency and risk factors that could predict RA remain unknown. Fingolimod is currently the most frequently prescribed disease modifying therapy for MS in Argentina, so that there is a need to determine possible predictors of RA. OBJECTIVES: To identify risk factors for developing RA after fingolimod cessation; to describe RA characteristics, management and evolution. METHODS: The study was a multicenter, retrospective, case-control study of patients with MS who had discontinued fingolimod and were followed up to nine months after discontinuation. Demographic, clinical and paraclinical data was extracted, including age, gender, MS phenotype, reason for discontinuation, number of relapses during the year prior to suspension, time treated with fingolimod, EDSS before, during and after rebound, MRI findings. RESULTS: 26 cases of RA were matched 1:1 with patients without RA. The median time elapsed to RA was 50 days. 68% showed worsening of the EDSS in the evaluation at 3 months of RA. When compared with the control group, no difference was found in terms of age, gender, phenotype, EDSS at the moment of suspension, reason for discontinuation, number of relapses in the previous year, and time on therapy. CONCLUSION: In this case-controlled study, no risk factors could be identified to predict RA after fingolimod cessation. Further controlled, prospective, better powered studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Evaluation of the times of disability progression and related factors in patients with primary progressive multiple sclerosis from Argentina.

Background PPMS (primary progressive multiple sclerosis) patients represent less than 10% of MS patients in Argentina, men and women were similarly affected and most of them had a severe functional impairment. More rapid progression has been reported in males, but this is not the case in all datasets. The main objective of our study was to determine the time to EDSS (Expanded disability Status Scale) 4, 6 and 7 in PPMS patients. We also compared the times to reach these EDSS in men and women and aimed to identify factors associated with the disability progression. Method This cohort of patients with diagnosis of PPMS (n = 253) was selected from follow-up recorded in the RelevarEM registry database. Result The median times to EDSS 4, 6 and 7 were 24 (IQR 12-48), 72 (IQR 36-96) and 96 (IQR 60-120) months, respectively. Comparison of the survival curves to EDSS 4, 6 and 7 according to gender did not show significant differences (p = 0.33, p = 0.55 and p = 0.59). There is no evidence of an association between the clinical adjustment variables (sex, age >40 years at diagnosis, EDSS > 3 at onset and multifocal MS symptoms at disease onset) and the time of arrival at the EDSS 4, 6 and 7. Conclusion Severe disability was observed six years after the onset of symptoms. No association was found between the studied factors and the time to arrival to severe disability.

Accumulative risk of clinical event in high-risk radiologically isolated syndrome in Argentina: data from the nationwide registry RelevarEM.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to analyze the accumulative risk of MRI and OB factors for evolution from RIS to MS in subjects included in the Argentinean MS registry (NCT03375177). METHODS: RIS subjects were identified according to RIS diagnosis criteria. Subjects were longitudinally followed with clinical and MRI at intervals of 6 months. Time from RIS identification to the first clinical event was estimated using Kaplan-Meier. Multivariable Cox regression models were created to assess the independent predictive value of demographic characteristics, as well as clinical, OB and MRI data on time to the first clinical event. The single and increased risk factor of evolution of RIS was quantified. RESULTS: A total of 88 RIS subjects, mean follow-up time 42 ± 4 months were included. 39 (44.3%) and 23 (26.1%) had a new MRI lesion or a clinical event, respectively, during the follow-up. OB (HR 5.9, 95% CI 1.29-10.1, p = 0.004), infratentorial lesions (HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.09-7.5) and spinal cord lesions (HR 5.3, 95% CI 1.4-8.2, p = 0.01) at RIS identification were independent predictors associated with a subsequent clinical event. The accumulative risk showed that when two of the three factors (OB, infratentorial or spinal cord lesions) were present the HR was 10.4, 95% CI 4.4-22, p < 0.001, and when three factors were present, it was HR 15.6, 95% CI 5.7-28, p < 0.001 for a relapse. CONCLUSION: The presence of three factors significantly increased the risk of clinical event; high-risk subjects should probably be managed by a different approach than those used for individuals without high-risk factors.

Seasonal variation in attacks of neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders and multiple sclerosis: Evaluation of 794 attacks from a nationwide registry in Argentina.

BACKGROUND: Identification of triggers that potentially instigate attacks in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD) and multiple sclerosis (MS) has remained challenging. We aimed to analyze the seasonality of NMOSD and MS attacks in an Argentinean cohort seeking differences between the two disorders. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted in a cohort of NMOSD and MS patients followed in specialized centers from Argentina and enrolled in RelevarEM, a nationwide, longitudinal, observational, non-mandatory registry of MS/NMOSD patients. Patients with complete relapse data (date, month and year) at onset and during follow-up were included. Attack counts were analyzed by month using a Poisson regression model with the median monthly attack count used as reference. RESULTS: A total of 551 patients (431 MS and 120 NMOSD), experiencing 236 NMOSD-related attacks and 558 MS-related attacks were enrolled. The mean age at disease onset in NMOSD was 39.5 ± 5.8 vs. 31.2 ± 9.6 years in MS (p < 0.01). Mean follow-up time was 6.1 ± 3.0 vs. 7.4 ± 2.4 years (p < 0.01), respectively. Most of the included patients were female in both groups (79% vs. 60%, p < 0.01). We found a peak of number of attacks in June (NMOSD: 28 attacks (11.8%) vs MS: 33 attacks (5.9%), incidence rate ratio 1.82, 95%CI 1.15-2.12, p = 0.03), but no differences were found across the months in both disorders when evaluated separately. Strikingly, we observed a significant difference in the incidence rate ratio of attacks during the winter season when comparing NMOSD vs. MS (NMOSD: 75 attacks (31.7%) vs MS: 96 attacks (17.2%), incidence rate ratio 1.82, 95%CI 1.21-2.01, p = 0.02) after applying Poisson regression model. Similar results were observed when comparing the seropositive NMOSD (n = 75) subgroup vs. MS. CONCLUSIONS: Lack of seasonal variation in MS and NMOSD attacks was observed when evaluated separately. Future epidemiological studies about the effect of different environmental factors on MS and NMOSD attacks should be evaluated prospectively in Latin America population.