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1.
Immunity ; 57(6): 1413-1427.e9, 2024 Jun 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38823390

RESUMEN

Influenza B viruses (IBVs) comprise a substantial portion of the circulating seasonal human influenza viruses. Here, we describe the isolation of human monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) that recognized the IBV neuraminidase (NA) glycoprotein from an individual following seasonal vaccination. Competition-binding experiments suggested the antibodies recognized two major antigenic sites. One group, which included mAb FluB-393, broadly inhibited IBV NA sialidase activity, protected prophylactically in vivo, and bound to the lateral corner of NA. The second group contained an active site mAb, FluB-400, that broadly inhibited IBV NA sialidase activity and virus replication in vitro in primary human respiratory epithelial cell cultures and protected against IBV in vivo when administered systemically or intranasally. Overall, the findings described here shape our mechanistic understanding of the human immune response to the IBV NA glycoprotein through the demonstration of two mAb delivery routes for protection against IBV and the identification of potential IBV therapeutic candidates.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Monoclonales , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Virus de la Influenza B , Gripe Humana , Neuraminidasa , Neuraminidasa/inmunología , Humanos , Virus de la Influenza B/inmunología , Animales , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/inmunología , Anticuerpos Antivirales/inmunología , Gripe Humana/inmunología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la Influenza/inmunología , Ratones , Infecciones por Orthomyxoviridae/inmunología , Infecciones por Orthomyxoviridae/prevención & control , Proteínas Virales/inmunología , Replicación Viral/efectos de los fármacos
2.
Nature ; 584(7821): 443-449, 2020 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32668443

RESUMEN

The ongoing pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is a major threat to global health1 and the medical countermeasures available so far are limited2,3. Moreover, we currently lack a thorough understanding of the mechanisms of humoral immunity to SARS-CoV-24. Here we analyse a large panel of human monoclonal antibodies that target the spike (S) glycoprotein5, and identify several that exhibit potent neutralizing activity and fully block the receptor-binding domain of the S protein (SRBD) from interacting with human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2). Using competition-binding, structural and functional studies, we show that the monoclonal antibodies can be clustered into classes that recognize distinct epitopes on the SRBD, as well as distinct conformational states of the S trimer. Two potently neutralizing monoclonal antibodies, COV2-2196 and COV2-2130, which recognize non-overlapping sites, bound simultaneously to the S protein and neutralized wild-type SARS-CoV-2 virus in a synergistic manner. In two mouse models of SARS-CoV-2 infection, passive transfer of COV2-2196, COV2-2130 or a combination of both of these antibodies protected mice from weight loss and reduced the viral burden and levels of inflammation in the lungs. In addition, passive transfer of either of two of the most potent ACE2-blocking monoclonal antibodies (COV2-2196 or COV2-2381) as monotherapy protected rhesus macaques from SARS-CoV-2 infection. These results identify protective epitopes on the SRBD and provide a structure-based framework for rational vaccine design and the selection of robust immunotherapeutic agents.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Neutralizantes/inmunología , Anticuerpos Antivirales/inmunología , Betacoronavirus/inmunología , Infecciones por Coronavirus/inmunología , Infecciones por Coronavirus/prevención & control , Pandemias/prevención & control , Neumonía Viral/inmunología , Neumonía Viral/prevención & control , Enzima Convertidora de Angiotensina 2 , Animales , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/inmunología , Betacoronavirus/química , Unión Competitiva , COVID-19 , Línea Celular , Reacciones Cruzadas , Modelos Animales de Enfermedad , Epítopos de Linfocito B/química , Epítopos de Linfocito B/inmunología , Femenino , Humanos , Macaca mulatta , Masculino , Ratones , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pruebas de Neutralización , Peptidil-Dipeptidasa A/genética , Peptidil-Dipeptidasa A/metabolismo , Profilaxis Pre-Exposición , Coronavirus Relacionado al Síndrome Respiratorio Agudo Severo/química , Coronavirus Relacionado al Síndrome Respiratorio Agudo Severo/inmunología , SARS-CoV-2 , Síndrome Respiratorio Agudo Grave/inmunología , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/química , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/inmunología , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/metabolismo
3.
J Immunol ; 211(7): 1082-1098, 2023 10 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37647360

RESUMEN

T cells are implicated in the pathophysiology of preterm labor and birth, the leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality worldwide. Specifically, maternal decidual T cells infiltrate the chorioamniotic membranes in chronic chorioamnionitis (CCA), a placental lesion considered to reflect maternal anti-fetal rejection, leading to preterm labor and birth. However, the phenotype and TCR repertoire of decidual T cells in women with preterm labor and CCA have not been investigated. In this study, we used phenotyping, TCR sequencing, and functional assays to elucidate the molecular characteristics and Ag specificity of T cells infiltrating the chorioamniotic membranes in women with CCA who underwent term or preterm labor. Phenotyping indicated distinct enrichment of human decidual effector memory T cell subsets in cases of preterm labor with CCA without altered regulatory T cell proportions. TCR sequencing revealed that the T cell repertoire of CCA is characterized by increased TCR richness and decreased clonal expansion in women with preterm labor. We identified 15 clones associated with CCA and compared these against established TCR databases, reporting that infiltrating T cells may possess specificity for maternal and fetal Ags, but not common viral Ags. Functional assays demonstrated that choriodecidual T cells can respond to maternal and fetal Ags. Collectively, our findings provide, to our knowledge, novel insight into the complex processes underlying chronic placental inflammation and further support a role for effector T cells in the mechanisms of disease for preterm labor and birth. Moreover, this work further strengthens the contribution of adaptive immunity to the syndromic nature of preterm labor and birth.


Asunto(s)
Corioamnionitis , Trabajo de Parto Prematuro , Embarazo , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Femenino , Placenta , Inflamación , Receptores de Antígenos de Linfocitos T
4.
Bioinformatics ; 36(24): 5695-5697, 2021 Apr 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33325481

RESUMEN

SUMMARY: B-cell receptor (BCR) and T-cell receptor (TCR) repertoires are generated through somatic DNA rearrangements and are responsible for the molecular basis of antigen recognition in the immune system. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) of DNA and the falling cost of sequencing due to continued development of these technologies have made sequencing assays an affordable way to characterize the repertoire of adaptive immune receptors (sometimes termed the 'immunome'). Many new workflows have been developed to take advantage of NGS and have placed the resulting immunome datasets in the public domain. The scale of these NGS datasets has made it challenging to search through the Complementarity-determining region 3 (CDR3), which is responsible for imparting specific antibody-antigen interactions. Thus, there is an increasing demand for sequence analysis tools capable of searching through CDR3s from immunome data collections containing millions of sequences. To address this need, we created a software package called ClonoMatch that facilitates rapid searches in bulk immunome data for BCR or TCR sequences based on their CDR3 sequence or V3J clonotype. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: Documentation, software support and the codebase are all available at https://github.com/crowelab/clonomatch. This software is distributed under the GPL v3 license.

5.
Microbiol Resour Announc ; : e0087624, 2024 Sep 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39345208

RESUMEN

Here, we present the draft genome sequence of Gordonia sp. ABKF26, a potential petroleum, plastic, and rubber degrading bacterium isolated from Lake Champlain. The assembled genome comprises a 6.0-Mb chromosome with a GC content of 67.8%. Gordonia sp. ABKF26 is predicted to be lysogenized by one intact 52.2 Kbp prophage.

6.
Microbiol Resour Announc ; 13(10): e0071324, 2024 Oct 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39212350

RESUMEN

Here, we present the complete genome sequence of Bacillus pumilus RI06-95 isolated during a Microcystis bloom in Lake Champlain. The assembled genome comprises a 3.8 Mbp chromosome with a GC content of 42%, and two plasmids, pPZZ84 6.4 Kbp, GC content 37% and pSHB9 97Kbp, GC content 36%.

7.
J Hosp Med ; 19(10): 886-893, 2024 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38797937

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Hospital-at-home has become a more recognized way to care for patients requiring inpatient hospitalization. At times, these patients may require escalation of care (transfer from home back to the brick-and-mortar (BAM) hospital for ongoing hospitalization care needs), a process that has not been extensively studied. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate what patient factors contribute to escalations of care in the hospital-at-home delivery model. DESIGNS, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: We conducted a retrospective review of all patients admitted to Mayo Clinic's Advanced Care at Home (ACH) program from January 1, 2022 to December 31, 2022. INTERVENTION: None. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Patient information was collected via electronic health record including demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical status. The primary outcome was the of occurrence of an escalation. RESULTS: A total of 904 patients were included, of whom 80 (8.8%) required an escalation of care. In multivariable analysis, risk of an escalation was significantly higher for patients who were married or had a life partner (HR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.05-3.23, p = .033) for patients admitted with procedure-related disorders (HR: 2.61, 95% CI: 1.35-5.05, p = .005) and patients with an increased mortality risk score (HR [per each 1-category increase] = 1.86, 95% CI: 1.39-2.50, p < .001).


Asunto(s)
Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Servicios de Atención a Domicilio Provisto por Hospital , Centros Médicos Académicos , Anciano de 80 o más Años
8.
Sci Transl Med ; 15(688): eabf4077, 2023 03 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36947593

RESUMEN

Angelman syndrome is a devastating neurogenetic disorder for which there is currently no effective treatment. It is caused by mutations or epimutations affecting the expression or function of the maternally inherited allele of the ubiquitin-protein ligase E3A (UBE3A) gene. The paternal UBE3A allele is imprinted in neurons of the central nervous system (CNS) by the UBE3A antisense (UBE3A-AS) transcript, which represents the distal end of the small nucleolar host gene 14 (SNHG14) transcription unit. Reactivating the expression of the paternal UBE3A allele in the CNS has long been pursued as a therapeutic option for Angelman syndrome. Here, we described the development of an antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) therapy for Angelman syndrome that targets an evolutionarily conserved region demarcating the start of the UBE3A-AS transcript. We designed and chemically optimized gapmer ASOs targeting specific sequences at the start of the human UBE3A-AS transcript. We showed that ASOs targeting this region precisely and efficiently repress the transcription of UBE3A-AS, reactivating the expression of the paternal UBE3A allele in neurotypical and Angelman syndrome induced pluripotent stem cell-derived neurons. We further showed that human-targeted ASOs administered to the CNS of cynomolgus macaques by lumbar intrathecal injection repress UBE3A-AS and reactivate the expression of the paternal UBE3A allele throughout the CNS. These findings support the advancement of this investigational molecular therapy for Angelman syndrome into clinical development (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04259281).


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Angelman , Humanos , Síndrome de Angelman/terapia , Síndrome de Angelman/tratamiento farmacológico , Alelos , Ubiquitina-Proteína Ligasas/genética , Ubiquitina-Proteína Ligasas/metabolismo
9.
Cell Rep ; 42(4): 112370, 2023 04 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37029928

RESUMEN

Understanding the human antibody response to emerging viral pathogens is key to epidemic preparedness. As the size of the B cell response to a pathogenic-virus-protective antigen is poorly defined, we perform deep paired heavy- and light-chain sequencing in Ebola virus glycoprotein (EBOV-GP)-specific memory B cells, allowing analysis of the ebolavirus-specific antibody repertoire both genetically and functionally. This approach facilitates investigation of the molecular and genetic basis for the evolution of cross-reactive antibodies by elucidating germline-encoded properties of antibodies to EBOV and identification of the overlap between antibodies in the memory B cell and serum repertoire. We identify 73 public clonotypes of EBOV, 20% of which encode antibodies with neutralization activity and capacity to protect mice in vivo. This comprehensive analysis of the public and private antibody repertoire provides insight into the molecular basis of the humoral immune response to EBOV GP, which informs the design of vaccines and improved therapeutics.


Asunto(s)
Ebolavirus , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola , Humanos , Animales , Ratones , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Formación de Anticuerpos , Prevalencia , Glicoproteínas/genética
10.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 3178, 2022 06 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35676279

RESUMEN

Despite recent success in hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment using antivirals, an HCV vaccine is still needed to prevent reinfections in treated patients, to avert the emergence of drug-resistant strains, and to provide protection for people with no access to the antiviral therapeutics. The early production of broadly neutralizing antibodies (bNAbs) associates with HCV clearance. Several potent bNAbs bind a conserved HCV glycoprotein E2 epitope using an unusual heavy chain complementarity determining region 3 (HCDR3) containing an intra-loop disulfide bond. Isolation of additional structurally-homologous bNAbs would facilitate the recognition of key determinants of such bNAbs and guide rational vaccine design. Here we report the identification of new antibodies containing an HCDR3 disulfide bond motif using computational screening with the Rosetta software. Using the newly-discovered and already-known members of this antibody family, we review the required HCDR3 amino acid composition and propose determinants for the bent versus straight HCDR3 loop conformation observed in these antibodies.


Asunto(s)
Hepatitis C , Vacunas , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes , Anticuerpos ampliamente neutralizantes , Regiones Determinantes de Complementariedad , Disulfuros/metabolismo , Hepacivirus , Anticuerpos contra la Hepatitis C/metabolismo , Humanos , Vacunas/metabolismo , Proteínas del Envoltorio Viral
11.
J Clin Invest ; 132(11)2022 06 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35472136

RESUMEN

The protective human antibody response to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) focuses on the spike (S) protein, which decorates the virion surface and mediates cell binding and entry. Most SARS-CoV-2 protective antibodies target the receptor-binding domain or a single dominant epitope ("supersite") on the N-terminal domain (NTD). Using the single B cell technology called linking B cell receptor to antigen specificity through sequencing (LIBRA-Seq), we isolated a large panel of NTD-reactive and SARS-CoV-2-neutralizing antibodies from an individual who had recovered from COVID-19. We found that neutralizing antibodies against the NTD supersite were commonly encoded by the IGHV1-24 gene, forming a genetic cluster representing a public B cell clonotype. However, we also discovered a rare human antibody, COV2-3434, that recognizes a site of vulnerability on the SARS-CoV-2 S protein in the trimer interface (TI) and possesses a distinct class of functional activity. COV2-3434 disrupted the integrity of S protein trimers, inhibited the cell-to-cell spread of the virus in culture, and conferred protection in human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2-transgenic (ACE2-transgenic) mice against the SARS-CoV-2 challenge. This study provides insight into antibody targeting of the S protein TI region, suggesting this region may be a site of virus vulnerability.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Animales , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes , Anticuerpos Antivirales , COVID-19/genética , Humanos , Ratones , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/genética
12.
bioRxiv ; 2021 May 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33972937

RESUMEN

Unrelated individuals can produce genetically similar clones of antibodies, known as public clonotypes, which have been seen in responses to different infectious diseases as well as healthy individuals. Here we identify 37 public clonotypes in memory B cells from convalescent survivors of SARS-CoV-2 infection or in plasmablasts from an individual after vaccination with mRNA-encoded spike protein. We identified 29 public clonotypes, including clones recognizing the receptor-binding domain (RBD) in the spike protein S1 subunit (including a neutralizing, ACE2-blocking clone that protects in vivo ), and others recognizing non-RBD epitopes that bound the heptad repeat 1 region of the S2 domain. Germline-revertant forms of some public clonotypes bound efficiently to spike protein, suggesting these common germline-encoded antibodies are preconfigured for avid recognition. Identification of large numbers of public clonotypes provides insight into the molecular basis of efficacy of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and sheds light on the immune pressures driving the selection of common viral escape mutants.

13.
Cell Rep ; 36(8): 109604, 2021 08 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34411541

RESUMEN

Unrelated individuals can produce genetically similar clones of antibodies, known as public clonotypes, which have been seen in responses to different infectious diseases, as well as healthy individuals. Here we identify 37 public clonotypes in memory B cells from convalescent survivors of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection or in plasmablasts from an individual after vaccination with mRNA-encoded spike protein. We identify 29 public clonotypes, including clones recognizing the receptor-binding domain (RBD) in the spike protein S1 subunit (including a neutralizing, angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 [ACE2]-blocking clone that protects in vivo) and others recognizing non-RBD epitopes that bind the S2 domain. Germline-revertant forms of some public clonotypes bind efficiently to spike protein, suggesting these common germline-encoded antibodies are preconfigured for avid recognition. Identification of large numbers of public clonotypes provides insight into the molecular basis of efficacy of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and sheds light on the immune pressures driving the selection of common viral escape mutants.

14.
PLoS One ; 15(7): e0235713, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32634163

RESUMEN

Immunoglobulin light chain amyloidosis is the most common form of systemic amyloidosis. AL amyloidosis is caused by a misfolded light chain produced by a clonal population of plasma cells. Disease status currently is defined by measuring the absolute quantity of serum free light chain protein, but this measurement often fails to identify the subclinical presence of clonal cells that may merit additional therapy. Next generation sequencing has the sensitivity to measure the relative amount of dominating light chains within the repertoire of a patient, and this technique is in clinical use to identify clonal populations of plasma cells for multiple myeloma, a related disorder. In this proof-of-concept study, we used bone marrow aspirates of AL amyloidosis positive patients and used reverse transcription of the antibody transcriptome followed by next generation sequencing to identify antibody variable-diversity-joining gene sequences for patients with immunoglobulin light chain amyloidosis, and demonstrate that this technology can be used to identify the dominant clone. The data also reveal differing patterns of overall antibody repertoire disruption in different patients. This method merits further study in larger prospective studies to establish its utility in detecting residual disease for patients with immunoglobulin light chain amyloidosis.


Asunto(s)
Genes de Inmunoglobulinas , Amiloidosis de Cadenas Ligeras de las Inmunoglobulinas/genética , Región Variable de Inmunoglobulina/genética , Células de la Médula Ósea , Secuenciación de Nucleótidos de Alto Rendimiento/métodos , Humanos , Transcripción Reversa , Análisis de Secuencia de ARN
15.
bioRxiv ; 2020 May 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32511409

RESUMEN

The COVID-19 pandemic is a major threat to global health for which there are only limited medical countermeasures, and we lack a thorough understanding of mechanisms of humoral immunity 1,2 . From a panel of monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) targeting the spike (S) glycoprotein isolated from the B cells of infected subjects, we identified several mAbs that exhibited potent neutralizing activity with IC 50 values as low as 0.9 or 15 ng/mL in pseudovirus or wild-type ( wt ) SARS-CoV-2 neutralization tests, respectively. The most potent mAbs fully block the receptor-binding domain of S (S RBD ) from interacting with human ACE2. Competition-binding, structural, and functional studies allowed clustering of the mAbs into defined classes recognizing distinct epitopes within major antigenic sites on the S RBD . Electron microscopy studies revealed that these mAbs recognize distinct conformational states of trimeric S protein. Potent neutralizing mAbs recognizing unique sites, COV2-2196 and COV2-2130, bound simultaneously to S and synergistically neutralized authentic SARS-CoV-2 virus. In two murine models of SARS-CoV-2 infection, passive transfer of either COV2-2916 or COV2-2130 alone or a combination of both mAbs protected mice from severe weight loss and reduced viral burden and inflammation in the lung. These results identify protective epitopes on the S RBD and provide a structure-based framework for rational vaccine design and the selection of robust immunotherapeutic cocktails.

16.
bioRxiv ; 2020 May 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32511414

RESUMEN

Antibodies are a principal determinant of immunity for most RNA viruses and have promise to reduce infection or disease during major epidemics. The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has caused a global pandemic with millions of infections and hundreds of thousands of deaths to date 1,2 . In response, we used a rapid antibody discovery platform to isolate hundreds of human monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) against the SARS-CoV-2 spike (S) protein. We stratify these mAbs into five major classes based on their reactivity to subdomains of S protein as well as their cross-reactivity to SARS-CoV. Many of these mAbs inhibit infection of authentic SARS-CoV-2 virus, with most neutralizing mAbs recognizing the receptor-binding domain (RBD) of S. This work defines sites of vulnerability on SARS-CoV-2 S and demonstrates the speed and robustness of new antibody discovery methodologies.

17.
Nat Med ; 26(9): 1422-1427, 2020 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32651581

RESUMEN

Antibodies are a principal determinant of immunity for most RNA viruses and have promise to reduce infection or disease during major epidemics. The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has caused a global pandemic with millions of infections and hundreds of thousands of deaths to date1,2. In response, we used a rapid antibody discovery platform to isolate hundreds of human monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) against the SARS-CoV-2 spike (S) protein. We stratify these mAbs into five major classes on the basis of their reactivity to subdomains of S protein as well as their cross-reactivity to SARS-CoV. Many of these mAbs inhibit infection of authentic SARS-CoV-2 virus, with most neutralizing mAbs recognizing the receptor-binding domain (RBD) of S. This work defines sites of vulnerability on SARS-CoV-2 S and demonstrates the speed and robustness of advanced antibody discovery platforms.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Monoclonales/aislamiento & purificación , Betacoronavirus/efectos de los fármacos , Infecciones por Coronavirus/tratamiento farmacológico , Neumonía Viral/tratamiento farmacológico , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/antagonistas & inhibidores , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/inmunología , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/uso terapéutico , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes/inmunología , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes/aislamiento & purificación , Betacoronavirus/inmunología , Betacoronavirus/patogenicidad , COVID-19 , Infecciones por Coronavirus/inmunología , Infecciones por Coronavirus/virología , Humanos , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral/inmunología , Neumonía Viral/virología , Unión Proteica , SARS-CoV-2 , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/inmunología
18.
Water Res ; 45(2): 652-64, 2011 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20843534

RESUMEN

Assessing the potential threat of fecal contamination in surface water often depends on model forecasts which assume that fecal indicator bacteria (FIB, a proxy for the concentration of pathogens found in fecal contamination from warm-blooded animals) are lost or removed from the water column at a certain rate (often referred to as an "inactivation" rate). In efforts to reduce human health risks in these water bodies, regulators enforce limits on easily-measured FIB concentrations, commonly reported as most probable number (MPN) and colony forming unit (CFU) values. Accurate assessment of the potential threat of fecal contamination, therefore, depends on propagating uncertainty surrounding "true" FIB concentrations into MPN and CFU values, inactivation rates, model forecasts, and management decisions. Here, we explore how empirical relationships between FIB inactivation rates and extrinsic factors might vary depending on how uncertainty in MPN values is expressed. Using water samples collected from the Neuse River Estuary (NRE) in eastern North Carolina, we compare Escherichia coli (EC) and Enterococcus (ENT) dark inactivation rates derived from two statistical models of first-order loss; a conventional model employing ordinary least-squares (OLS) regression with MPN values, and a novel Bayesian model utilizing the pattern of positive wells in an IDEXX Quanti-Tray®/2000 test. While our results suggest that EC dark inactivation rates tend to decrease as initial EC concentrations decrease and that ENT dark inactivation rates are relatively consistent across different ENT concentrations, we find these relationships depend upon model selection and model calibration procedures. We also find that our proposed Bayesian model provides a more defensible approach to quantifying uncertainty in microbiological assessments of water quality than the conventional MPN-based model, and that our proposed model represents a new strategy for developing robust relationships between environmental factors and FIB inactivation rates, and for reducing uncertainty in water resource management decisions.


Asunto(s)
Heces/microbiología , Incertidumbre , Microbiología del Agua , Contaminación del Agua/prevención & control , Abastecimiento de Agua/normas , Animales , Teorema de Bayes , Oscuridad , Enterococcus/aislamiento & purificación , Escherichia coli/aislamiento & purificación , Humanos , North Carolina , Ríos/microbiología
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