Fetal macrosomia and adolescence obesity: results from a longitudinal cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between fetal macrosomia and adolescent obesity. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study of the association between macrosomia and adolescent obesity. SUBJECTS: Between 1 October 2005 and 1 February 2007, a follow-up study of live-born infants born in 1993-1995 in Wuxi, a suburban area of Shanghai, was conducted. Subjects with birth weight > 4000 g were selected as the exposed. For each exposed subject, one subject with a birth weight of 2500-4000 g, matched by year of birth, sex of infant, and type of institute at birth, was chosen as non-exposed. Clinical data were collected by structured interview and physical examination. Obesity was defined as body mass index (weight (kg)/height (m(2))) higher than the sex-age-specific criteria by the working group on obesity in China. Distribution of baseline characteristics and adolescent obesity rate between the exposed and non-exposed groups was compared. RESULTS: A total of 1435 pairs of exposed and non-exposed subjects were included in the final analysis. No major difference in baseline characteristics (other than birth weight) was found between the exposed and non-exposed groups. Obesity rate was significantly higher in the exposed group (2.9%) than in the non-exposed group (1.6%). Adolescent obesity rates were 1.4, 1.9, 2.6, and 5.6%, respectively, in study subjects with a birth weight of 2500-3499, 3500-3999, 4000-4499, and > or =4500 g. The association between birth weight and adolescent obesity remained essentially the same when mother's demographic and anthropometric factors, breast feeding, and adolescent life-style factors were adjusted. CONCLUSION: Compared with infants of normal birth weight, infants with birth weight >4000 g, especially those >4500 g, are at increased risk of adolescent obesity.

Combining social network analysis and cluster analysis to identify sexual network types.

Increases in the rates of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) suggest that control programmes may not be effectively targeting diverse subpopulations. The objective of this investigation was to examine STI transmission within different groups, using both social network analysis and cluster analysis. Routine partner notification data were analysed from individuals diagnosed with, or exposed to an STI in Manitoba. Groups were identified and characterized. Three different clusters of groups were identified, comprised of demographically and clinically distinct individuals. A greater understanding of disease transmission patterns within these groups will aid in the development of targeted education and prevention programmes for all STIs.

Lung cancer mortality (1950-80) in relation to radon daughter exposure in a cohort of workers at the Eldorado Beaverlodge uranium mine.

A cohort study of 8,487 workers employed between 1948 and 1980 at a uranium mine in Saskatchewan, Canada, has been conducted. A total of 65 lung cancer deaths was observed (34.24 expected, P less than 10(-5)). There was a highly significant linear relationship between dose and increased risk of lung cancer giving estimates for the relative and attributable risk coefficients of 3.28% per working level month (WLM) and 20.8 per WLM per 10(6) person-years. Age at first exposure had a significant modifying effect on risk. The interaction of exposure with age at observation fits a relative risk model well. The similarity of these results to a recent study of Swedish iron miners with similar levels of relatively low exposure suggests that exposure to radon daughter products may be a major contributory factor to lung cancer occurring among nonsmokers in the general population. The results also reinforce concerns as to the appropriateness of present occupational exposure standards.

Lung cancer mortality (1950-80) in relation to radon daughter exposure in a cohort of workers at the Eldorado Port Radium uranium mine: possible modification of risk by exposure rate.

A cohort study of 2,103 workers employed between 1942 and 1960 at a uranium mine in the Northwest Territories, Canada, was conducted. A total of 57 lung cancer deaths was observed (expected = 24.73, P less than .0001). There was a highly significant linear relationship between exposure and increased risk of lung cancer, giving estimates for the relative and attributable risk coefficients of 0.27 per working level month (WLM) and 3.10 per WLM per 10(6) person-years. These risk coefficients were substantially less than those estimated from the experience of miners in the Beaverlodge mine, which have previously been reported. Any biases in the present estimates are likely to have been upward, and therefore they probably represent an upper limit. The major difference between the two mine cohorts is in the exposure rate, since the Port Radium miners were exposed to much greater concentrations of radon daughters than the Beaverlodge miners. It is postulated that risk of lung cancer from radon daughter exposure may be modified by exposure rate, for which hypothesis there is some support from other epidemiologic data.

Renal and hepatic concentrations of platinum: relationship to cisplatin time, dose, and nephrotoxicity.

Autopsy tissues were obtained from 30 patients who had received cisplatin antemortem; the tissues were assayed for platinum by flameless atomic absorption spectrometry. Patients with antemortem evidence of renal toxicity had higher renal cortical platinum concentrations than did patients without evidence of kidney damage. In addition, patients with nephrotoxicity were more likely than patients without toxicity to have renal cortical platinum concentrations that were higher than renal medullary platinum concentrations. Overall, the two variables most closely associated with an increase in serum creatinine with treatment were renal cortical platinum concentration (P less than .02) and cumulative dose of cisplatin (P less than .05). These two variables were important independently of one another. Renal cortex platinum concentrations correlated inversely with time from last treatment until death, whereas hepatic platinum concentrations did not. In contrast, hepatic platinum concentrations correlated with dose of cisplatin while renal platinum concentrations did not. Our results suggest the following: (1) cisplatin-induced renal toxicity is tissue-platinum-concentration dependent and cisplatin-dose dependent; and (2) cisplatin may be handled differently at the molecular level in liver and kidney.

Comparison of clinical and treadmill variables for the prediction of outcome after myocardial infarction.

To assess the relative prognostic merits of 15 clinical and 10 predischarge exercise test variables, 226 patients who had sustained an acute myocardial infarction were studied. A submaximal treadmill test was performed on 205 patients to a mean work load of 5.7 +/- 2.9 METS. Testing was performed an average of 11.7 (range 6 to 33) days after myocardial infarction. During the first year of observation, major cardiac events were noted in 33 patients (16%), unstable angina in 7 (3.4%), recurrent myocardial infarction in 14 (6.8%) and death in 12 patients (5.9%). Cardiac mortality correlated with mean peak serum creatine kinase (CK) (p less than 0.05), history of previous myocardial infarction (p less than 0.01) and ST segment depression at rest (p less than 0.01). The only exercise variable that correlated with cardiac mortality was poor exercise endurance (p less than 0.05). Multivariate risk stratification of clinical and treadmill variables from these 205 patients using linear discriminant analysis produced a function that correctly classified 95% of those who were event-free and 80% of those who died. The first four discriminant variables that contributed independent information for the prediction of cardiac mortality were: 1) ST segment depression at rest; 2) CK greater than 1,280 IU/liter; 3) exercise duration less than 3 minutes; and 4) a history of previous myocardial infarction. ST segment depression on the predischarge treadmill test did not predict any event, nor did it improve the predictive accuracy of the clinical variables. It is concluded that a history of previous myocardial infarction and ST segment depression on the rest electrocardiogram indicate a poor prognosis after acute myocardial infarction. Poor endurance is the only exercise variable that suggests a future cardiac event. Prognosis after acute myocardial infarction is more accurately predicted by these clinical data than by variables derived from the predischarge treadmill test.

Iridium-192 curietherapy for T1 and T2 epidermoid carcinomas of the floor of mouth.

From 1970 to 1986, 117 patients with T1 (47) or T2 (70) epidermoid carcinomas of the floor of the mouth (SCC) were treated by iridium-192 implantation (192 Ir). The dose was prescribed according to the Paris System and varied over those years. Follow-up information was available on 116 patients. There were 46 T1N0, 47 T2N0, and 23 T2N1-3. Neck management varied for the 93 N0 patients consisting of surveillance (24 T1, 17 T2) or elective neck dissection (22 T1:all pN-, 30 T2: 20 pN-, 10 pN+). Cause specific survival rates were 94% for T1N0, 61.5% for T2N0, and 28% for T2N1-3 at 5 years. Primary local control was 93.5%, 74.5%, and 65%, respectively, and 98%, 79%, and 65% after salvage. Patients with gingival extension or a tumor size over 3 cm (T2b) had a local control of 50% (9/18) and 58% (15/26), respectively. Nodal control was 93.5% for Stage I, 85% for Stage II, and 48% for T2N1-3 patients. There was no difference in nodal control with regard to treatment policy for Stage I-II patients. There were few complications including three deaths: two from surgery and one from 192 Ir. Nodal status, tumor size defined as T1, T2a (less than or equal to 3 cm), T2b (greater than 3 cm), and gingival extension were the only independent prognostic factors. The management of T1N0 and T2N0 SCC by 192 Ir to a dose of 65 or 70 Gy, using the Paris System, is recommended for lesions 3 cm or less and without gingival extension.

Anthropometric craniofacial pattern profiles in Down syndrome.

A series of 21 anthropometric craniofacial measurements was performed on 199 individuals with Down syndrome (DS), age 6 months to 61 years. These were compared to age and sex-matched normal standards, and Z score pattern profiles were constructed. These profiles confirmed brachycephaly and reduced ear length. With increasing age, maxillary growth was reduced in comparison to mandibular growth. Clinically, this was manifested by a change in facial shape from the characteristic round face of infancy to an oval shape in later life. Stepwise forward discriminant function analysis identified a subset of three variables (ear length, maxillary arc, and upper facial depth) which could accurately classify greater than 99% of the individuals in the combined sample of affected and unaffected individuals. Of the subjects with DS, 96.8% were classified correctly. These findings demonstrate the usefulness of anthropometric craniofacial pattern profiles in defining abnormal facial dimensions in particular syndromes and documenting the changes that occur with age. The technique should facilitate syndrome recognition, identification of carriers, and comparisons between syndromes.

An outbreak of acute hepatic encephalopathy due to severe aflatoxicosis in Malaysia.

In October 1988, 13 Chinese children died of acute hepatic encephalopathy in the northwestern state of Perak in peninsular Malaysia. The acuteness of the illness differed from previously reported outbreaks described in Kenya, India, and Thailand. Epidemiologic investigations determined that the children had eaten a Chinese noodle, loh see fun, hours before they died. The attack rates among those who had eaten the noodles were significantly higher than those who had not (P < 0.0001). The cases were geographically scattered in six towns in two districts along the route of distribution of the noodle supplied by one factory in Kampar town. Aflatoxins were confirmed in postmortem samples from patients. This outbreak has important public health implications for many developing countries.

Serum CK-MB activity during and after aortocoronary bypass surgery.

Frequent serum sampling of CK-MB and total CK levels was carried out in 100 patients during and up to 48 hours following aortocoronary bypass surgery. Using an ion exchange chromatography method for CK-MB determination, significantly higher serum CK-MB levels (peak 46.1 +/- 5.2 cf. 31.3 +/- 2.2 u/L), but not total CK levels were present 6 to 16 hours postoperatively in those with new Q waves in the ECG. Serum levels of CK-MB in those patients with uncomplicated surgery were defined. New post-operative Q waves were seen in only one half of cases with frankly abnormal CK-MB curves and seriously underestimated the incidence of perioperative infarction. Peak levels of CK-MB in patients with new Q waves occurred within 16 hours of surgery suggesting that infarction is usually an intraoperative or early post-operative event.

A randomized phase II study of cisplatin alone versus cisplatin plus disulfiram.

Preclinical evidence has suggested that disulfiram (DS) and related compounds can decrease the toxicity and enhance the therapeutic index of cisplatin (CP). To study this further, we have performed a prospective randomized study wherein 53 patients with CP-sensitive malignancies were assigned to therapy with CP 100 mg/m2 alone (group I) or CP 100 mg/m2 and oral DS 2,000 mg/m2 (group II). Both groups were comparable with regard to sex distribution, age, performance status, prior chemotherapy, and radiotherapy. Twenty-three patients were not evaluable for response (3 refused follow-up, 18 had less than two courses, one had an early death, and one had excessive toxicity during the first cycle of treatment). Of the 30 evaluable patients (16 in group I, 14 in group II), only one in group II achieved a complete response. There was no statistically significant difference in response rate, time to progression, or median survival between the two groups. Fifty-two patients (98.1%) were evaluable for toxicity. Significant differences in toxicities were observed between the two groups: patients in group I encountered lower [Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) 0-1)] grades of nausea, vomiting, and ototoxicity, and patients in group II experienced higher grades (ECOG 2-3) of toxicity in general. In addition, there was no difference in nephrotoxicity between the two groups, as measured by the change in serum creatine or 24-h urine creatinine clearance over the first course of treatment. We conclude that, contrary to previously published reports, DS does not afford significant nephroprotection against CP and, in fact, enhances gastrointestinal and ototoxicities.

Platinum concentrations in human autopsy tumor samples.

Platinum concentrations were determined in autopsy tumor samples obtained from 27 patients who had received cisplatin 40-1,029 mg/m2 from 0 to 240 days antemortem. Liver metastases had significantly higher platinum concentrations than did tumors in other sites (p less than 0.005). Platinum concentrations in liver metastases were similar to platinum concentrations in normal liver. Platinum concentrations in gliomas and brain metastases were similar to platinum concentrations in other extrahepatic tumors. Platinum concentration generally decreased with increasing distance into brain from tumor. By multiple stepwise linear regression analysis, the factors that were independently most closely associated with tumor platinum concentration were time from last cisplatin treatment, cumulative lifetime dose of cisplatin, route of cisplatin administration (intraarterial vs. other), and site of tumor deposit (liver vs. other) (r = 0.69, p less than 0.001). Patients whose tumors had responded to cisplatin-containing regimens had mean tumor platinum concentrations that were higher than the mean tumor platinum concentrations in patients whose tumors had not responded to cisplatin (p less than 0.05).

Patterns of risk behaviour for patients with sexually transmitted diseases and surveillance for human immunodeficiency virus in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

A study was conducted to determine the feasibility of establishing a sentinel human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) surveillance system involving patients with sexually transmitted diseases attending private clinics and a government sexually transmitted disease clinic in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Information on risk behaviours for HIV infection were also collected. A total of 84 female and 91 male patients were interviewed and tested for HIV infection; 41.7% of the women reported working as prostitutes, other occupations included masseuses, hairdressers, waitresses, salesgirls, receptionists, factory workers, and others. The most common diagnosis was gonorrhoea. Other diagnoses included non-specific genital infection, pelvic inflammatory disease, genital herpes and syphilis. 58.3% of the women had a hundred or more sex partners during the previous month; 99% had 6 or more sex partners. Only 4.8% of female patients had their male partners using condoms most of the time, 11.9% hardly used condoms at all. Of the males, 93.3% were heterosexual, while 6.7% were bisexuals, 41.1% had between 6-20 different partners in the previous year. 78.0% of them had prostitutes as their sex partners most of the time. 41.8% had experiences in Thailand and the Philippines. 73.6% never used condoms, while 19.8% only used condoms rarely. Although all patients were tested negative for HIV antibodies, lot quality assurance sampling methods indicate that the upper limits of prevalences for females and males were 3.5% and 3.3% respectively, at a 5% type I error. The study has shown that it is feasible to carry out a sentinel surveillance programme among STD patients and provided useful baseline data for future comparisons.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

PIP: The authors interviewed and tested 91 male and 84 female sexually transmitted disease (STD) patients for HIV infection to determine the feasibility of establishing a sentinel HIV surveillance system involving patients with STDs attending private clinics and a government STD clinic in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. 77.3% of the women were aged 20-34 years and 7.1% under age 20. Information was collected on risk behaviors for HIV infection. 41.7% of the women reported working as prostitutes, while others worked as masseuses, hairdressers, waitresses, salesgirls, receptionists, factory workers, and in other capacities. 58.3% of the women had 100 or more sex partners during the preceding month and 99% had six or more sex partners. Only 4.8% of the women, however, had their male partners use condoms most of the time, while 11.9% hardly used condoms at all. Gonorrhea was most commonly diagnosed, while nonspecific genital infections, pelvic inflammatory disease, genital herpes, and syphilis were also diagnosed. Among the males, 93.3% were heterosexual and 6.7% bisexual, with 41.1% having 6-20 different partners in the previous year. 78.0% had prostitutes as their sex partners most of the time, 41.8% had experiences in Thailand and the Philippines, 73.6% never used condoms, 19.8% used condoms rarely, and 6.6% used condoms most of the time. Despite such behavior, all tested negative for antibodies to HIV. Lot quality assurance sampling methods did, however, indicate that the upper limits of prevalences for females and males were 3.5% and 3.3% respectively, at a 5% type I error. An HIV prevalence of several percent could therefore exist. While offering useful baseline data for future comparisons, this study found it feasible to carry out a sentinel surveillance program among STD patients.

Importance of timing of treadmill predictors for risk stratification after myocardial infarction: a five year follow-up study.

The prognostic value of information derived from clinical characteristics and exercise treadmill tests performed before discharge and repeated at three months was evaluated in 205 consecutive patients followed for five years. Recurrent myocardial infarction, unstable angina and mortality were tabulated. Survival was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier life-table method and the Cox regression model. The major difference between the predischarge and three month intervals was the failure of exercise-induced ST depression to predict mortality from the predischarge test. However, it was predictive of mortality at three months when 76% survived five years with a positive ischemic response compared to 94% with a negative response (P less than 0.0005). In contrast, resting ST depression of at least 1 mm was associated with a very poor five year survival rate of 58.3% and 50% when assessed at both predischarge and three months (P less than 0.0005 and P less than 0.004, respectively). Selected univariately at the predischarge interval, the following characteristics were ranked in descending order of predictive power for five year mortality by discriminant analysis: history of previous infarction; exercise capacity; and ST depression on resting ECG greater than 1 mm. At three months, the same characteristics were selected. However, recurrent infarction and unstable angina were not predictable at either interval by any clinical or treadmill variable. Characteristics tending to reflect poor exercise capacity are stronger predictors of five year outcome than exercise-induced ischemia. While predischarge exercise testing for ST segment response failed to predict survival, this variable showed improved predictive power with repeat testing at three months.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Small group estimation for public health.

We used synthetic estimation and linear regression to estimate the prevalence of selected risk factors and health status indicators in small populations. The derivation was based on the sociodemographic characteristics of the populations and the relationships between these variables and the health variables, as measured by the Ontario Health Survey (OHS). The estimates were validated by a comparison with the direct results of the OHS (gold standards). Synthetic estimates were much less dispersed than the regression estimates or the direct OHS estimates. Regression estimates performed better than synthetic estimates on most validation indicators, and combined approaches performed marginally better yet, although there were few clear patterns. Although correlation coefficients with gold standards in excess of 0.8 were obtained for some variables, the estimates rarely met pre-determined criteria for accuracy. At present these techniques have limited value for public health workers, but further work is justified, especially on approaches combining synthetic and regression estimation.

Diffuse axonal injury A clinical and computerised tomography study of 128 patients.

A study of clinical, computerised tomography (CT) profile and outcome was made of 128 patients, diagnosed to have diffuse axonal injury based on CT criteria. The mean age was 26 years. A lucid interval was present in 37 patients and hypoxia and/or hypotension was present in 43 patients. The depth of "marker lesions" in CT correlated with Glasgow Coma Score (GCS) (p<0.02) and duration of coma (p<0.01). The presence of associated intracranial haematoma >25 ml portended an adverse outcome. A logistic regression analysis revealed age, GCS, state of perimesencephalic cisterns and pupillary dilation to be independent predictors of poor outcome. Residual sequelae (focal deficits, cognitive deficits, postconcussion syndrome) were evident in nearly half of patients with diffuse axonal injury (DAI) and a lucid interval.

Statistical problems associated with cohort studies of workers in an industry.

Risk factors in a working environment are studied mainly by case control studies or cohort studies of workers in several occupational settings. While the cohort studies are by far more powerful in detecting risk factors there are many problems associated with these studies, apart from the high cost and long duration. Some of these problems include the large number of variables involved, the evaluation of missing observations and the resulting bias, problems in selecting appropriate statistical models and analyses as well as identifying the disease subgroup (including loss to follow up). The problems are considered under four groupings: (1) identifying outcome, (ii) missing data, (iii) estimation of work exposure and (iv) statistical analysis. The apparent advantages of retrospective cohort study should be weighed against these problems when deciding on a study design. More appropriate statistical methods, other than SMR and PMR analysis, should be considered while analysing data from such studies.

Definition of life quality from a patient versus health care professional perspective.

Quality of life assessment is increasingly acknowledged as an important component in selecting optimal health interventions for persons with cardiovascular disease. We hypothesized that cardiac out-patients have the same perception of what comprises quality of life as do their health care providers. A list of items was compiled from all quality of life measures and quality of life research. Staff members, cardiac out-patients and family members were asked what they considered important to the patients' quality of life by rating the relative importance of each item on the list. The three groups differed in their ratings. Of the top ten items ranked by patients, only three items appeared on the staff top ten list, and five on the family member's list. The patients, in contrast with staff and family, chose aspects of QL that reflected the positive aspects of life. These differences were more marked in the physical, psychological, and activity domains than in the social domain. The study suggests that QL measures developed from the perspective of primary caregivers are probably invalid and therefore QL measures should be developed from a patients perspective.