Constrained Optimization for Pneumococcal Vaccination in Brazil.

OBJECTIVES: To identify the most cost-efficient combination of pneumococcal vaccines in infants and aging adults for a 10-year period in Brazil. METHODS: Constrained optimization (CO) prioritized 9 pneumococcal vaccine regimens according to their gain in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and their related costs over a prespecified time horizon with defined constraints for 2 age groups, infants and aging adults. The analysis starts from the current universal infant vaccination of pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV), 2 primary and 1 booster dose at 2, 4, and 12 months, respectively. Key constraints are the fixed annual vaccine budget increase and the relative return on investment (ROIR) per regimen, which must be > 1, the reference intervention being the current vaccination strategy in infants and the most cost-efficient one in aging adults. RESULTS: The CO analysis including all the constraints indicates that over 10 years the maximum extra health gain is 126 194 QALYs for an extra budget of $974 million Brazilian reals (ROIR = 1.15). Results could be improved with a higher proportion of the at-risk population in aging adults, less herd effect, and better QALY scores. CONCLUSION: The study shows that with 4 constraints on budget, time horizon, vaccine coverage, and cost efficiency, a CO analysis could identify the most cost-efficient overall pneumococcal vaccination strategy for Brazil, allowing for limited vaccine budget increase while obtaining appropriate health gain.

Ten years of experience with the pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D-conjugate vaccine (Synflorix) in children.

Introduction: Pneumococcal diseases (including pneumonia, meningitis and sepsis) are among the leading vaccine-preventable causes of death in under-5-year-olds. Pneumococci are also one of the main bacterial pathogens associated with acute otitis media (AOM). Infant immunization programs with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have led to stark reductions in pneumococcal disease rates.Areas covered: We summarized the development of the pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D-conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) and evidence of its protective effect in children, since its licensure one decade ago. We highlighted the most recent data from post-licensure studies on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), pneumonia and AOM and from health economic evaluations. We present results from a model estimating PHiD-CV's impact on pneumococcal-related deaths.Expert opinion: Recent data from post-licensure studies confirm the previously demonstrated positive impact of PHiD-CV on IPD, pneumonia, AOM and AOM-related interventions (e.g., antibiotic use). Despite the success of infant PHiD-CV (and other PCV) programs, pneumococcal diseases still pose a substantial public health burden. Further reducing this burden will require improving access to currently available PCVs, increasing vaccination coverage and addressing the remaining burden due to non-vaccine serotypes. Future availability of lower-cost PCVs, PCVs with a broader serotype coverage and serotype-independent vaccines may contribute to this.

Cost-Effectiveness Comparison of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Turkish Children.

BACKGROUND: The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) is used for universal infant vaccination in Turkey. OBJECTIVES: To assess the cost effectiveness of replacing PCV13 with pneumococcal nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV). METHODS: A Markov cohort model with monthly cycles following 1 cohort of infants over a 10-year time horizon was used. Local input parameters were obtained from published sources and expert consultation whenever possible. The model was adapted to estimate the health benefits and economic impact of each vaccine on invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia, and acute otitis media (AOM). An annual discount rate of 3% was used for benefits and costs (2016 euros). RESULTS: Under base-case assumptions, vaccinating 1 birth cohort of 1 325 783 infants with PHiD-CV instead of PCV13 was predicted to have the same impact on meningitis and pneumonia, a similar impact on bacteremia (+30 cases), but greater reductions in AOM-related general practitioner visits (-34 955) and hospitalizations (-624). Assuming equal vaccine prices, PHiD-CV was predicted to be dominant over PCV13 (176 additional quality-adjusted life-years while saving €635 330 [discounted]). One-way sensitivity analysis indicated that varying the vaccine price differential had the largest effect on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, and then AOM parameters. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis predicted PHiD-CV to be dominant over PCV13 in 92.4% of simulations. CONCLUSIONS: Any difference in price between PHiD-CV and PCV13 is expected to be the key driver of vaccine choice for preventing childhood pneumococcal disease in Turkey. At price parity, PHiD-CV use is likely to be a dominant strategy over the use of PCV13.