Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm Surveillance Leads to Early Diagnosis and Better Outcomes of Concomitant Cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether long-term surveillance of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) leads to early diagnosis and better clinical outcomes of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs) developing concomitantly with IPMNs. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Long-term image-based surveillance is recommended for patients with low-risk IPMNs. However, it is unknown whether the surveillance can improve surgical and survival outcomes of patients with concomitant PDACs. METHODS: Using a prospective single-institutional cohort of 4,620 patients with pancreatic cysts including 3,638 IPMN patients, we identified 63 patients who developed concomitant PDAC during long-term surveillance. We compared overall survival (OS) of 46 cases with concomitant PDAC to that of 460 matched cases diagnosed with non-IPMN-associated PDAC at the same institution. Multivariable hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall mortality were computed using the Cox regression model with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: Concomitant PDACs were identified at an earlier cancer stage compared to non-IPMN-associated PDACs with 67% and 38% cases identified at stage 2 or earlier, respectively (P<0.001) and 57% and 21% cases with R0 resection, respectively (P<0.001). Compared to non-IPMN-associated PDACs, concomitant PDACs were associated with longer OS (P=0.034) with a multivariable hazard ratio of 0.61 (95% CI, 0.39-0.96). The 5-year survival rate of patients with concomitant PDAC was higher compared to patients with non-IPMN-associated PDAC (34% vs. 18%, respectively; P=0.018). CONCLUSIONS: The surveillance for patients with IPMNs was associated with early identification of concomitant PDACs and longer survival of patients diagnosed with this malignancy.

The Revised Kyoto Criteria and Risk of Malignancy Among Patients With Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The revised Kyoto guidelines have a new catalog of high-risk stigmata and worrisome features for the risk stratification of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). We aimed to validate the stratification system in terms of short- and long-term risks of pancreatic carcinoma. METHODS: We included 3,336 patients diagnosed with IPMNs in 2000-2021 and examined short-term (≤ 6 months) and long-term risks of pancreatic carcinoma diagnosis. We used the multivariable competing-risks proportional hazards regression model to calculate subdistribution hazard ratios for long-term incidence of pancreatic carcinoma with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: In short-term analyses, pancreatic carcinomas were prevalent predominantly in IPMNs with high-risk stigmata (49% vs. 1.3% and 0.05% in IPMNs with worrisome features and no risk factors, respectively). In long-term analyses of worrisome features, the main pancreatic duct diameter of 5-9.9 mm, acute pancreatitis, and IPMN growth rate of 2.5 mm/year were associated with a high incidence with multivariable subdistribution hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 3.46 (2.04-5.89), 5.65 (1.86-17.2), and 3.83 (2.14-6.86), respectively. An increasing number of worrisome features at baseline was associated with a higher prevalence and incidence of pancreatic carcinoma (Ptrend < .001). Patients with 1, 2, and 3-4 worrisome features had multivariable subdistribution hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for pancreatic cancer incidence of 1.43 (0.93-2.19), 2.17 (1.17-4.05), and 10.1 (4.20-24.5), respectively (vs. no positive feature). CONCLUSIONS: The revised Kyoto criteria stratify IPMN patients well in terms of the short- and long-term risks of pancreatic carcinoma diagnosis, potentially informing personalized patient management.

Early versus delayed EUS-guided drainage for postoperative pancreatic fluid collections: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative pancreatic fluid collections (POPFCs) are common adverse events (AEs) after pancreatic surgery and may need interventions. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided drainage for POPFCs is increasingly reported, but its appropriate timing has not been fully elucidated. The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate treatment outcomes of POPFCs according to the timing of EUS-guided drainage. METHODS: Using PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane database, we identified clinical studies published until December 2022 with data comparing outcomes of early and delayed EUS-guided drainage for POPFCs. We pooled data on AEs, mortality, and technical and clinical success rates, using the random-effects model. RESULTS: From 1415 papers identified in the initial literature search, we identified 6 retrospective studies, including 128 and 107 patients undergoing early and delayed EUS-guided drainage for POPFCs. The threshold of early and delayed drainage ranged from 14 to 30 days. Distal pancreatectomy was the major cause of POPFCs, ranging from 44 to 100%. The pooled odds ratio (OR) for AEs was 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.40-1.64, P = 0.55) comparing early to delayed drainage. There was no procedure-related mortality. Technical success was achieved in all cases and a pooled OR of clinical success was 0.60 (95% CI 0.20-1.83, P = 0.37). CONCLUSION: POPFCs can be managed by early EUS-guided drainage without an increase in AEs.

Balloon endoscopy-assisted endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography for hepatolithiasis in patients with hepaticojejunostomy.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Balloon endoscopy-assisted endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (BE-ERCP) is an emerging procedure for pancreatobiliary diseases in patients with surgically altered anatomy. However, data on BE-ERCP for hepatolithiasis after hepaticojejunostomy (HJS) are still limited. METHODS: Stone removal success, adverse events and recurrence were retrospectively studied in consecutive patients who underwent BE-ERCP for hepatolithiasis after HJS between January 2011 and October 2022. Subgroup analysis was performed to compare clinical outcomes between patients who had undergone HJS over 10 years before (past HJS group) and within 10 years (recent HJS group). RESULTS: A total of 131 patients were included; 39% had undergone HJS for malignancy and 32% for congenital biliary dilation. Scope insertion and complete stone removal were successful in 89% and 73%, respectively. Early adverse events were observed in 9.9%. Four patients (3.1%) developed gastrointestinal perforation but could be managed conservatively. Hepatolithiasis recurrence rate was 17%, 20% and 31% in 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year after complete stone removal. The past HJS group was the only risk factor for failed stone removal (odds ratio 10.4, 95% confidence interval 2.99-36.5) in the multivariable analysis. Failed scope insertion (20%) and failed guidewire or device insertion to the bile duct (22%) were two major reasons for failed stone removal in the past HJS group. CONCLUSIONS: BE-ERCP for hepatolithiasis was effective and safe in cases with HJS but the complete stone removal rate was low in the past HJS group. Recurrent hepatolithiasis was common and careful follow up study is needed even after complete stone removal.

Skeletal muscle status and survival among patients with advanced biliary tract cancer.

BACKGROUND: Studies have demonstrated a prognostic role of sarcopenia (i.e., loss of skeletal muscle volume and functionality) in patients with various cancer types. In patients with biliary tract cancer, the quantity and quality of skeletal muscles and their serial changes have not been fully investigated in relation to survival outcomes. METHODS: We identified 386 patients with unresectable or recurrent biliary tract cancer and calculated skeletal muscle index (SMI) and skeletal muscle density (SMD) to estimate muscular quantity and quality, respectively, based on computed tomography images. Using the Cox regression model with adjustment for potential confounders, we calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) according to skeletal muscle status and its serial change. RESULTS: Compared to patients without sarcopenia, patients with sarcopenia were associated with shorter PFS (multivariable HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.15-2.22; P = 0.005), but not with OS (P = 0.027) at the adjusted α level of 0.013. SMD at baseline was associated with OS (multivariable HR comparing the extreme quartiles, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.07-2.14; Ptrend = 0.012), but not with PFS (Ptrend = 0.13). A reduction in SMI rather than that in SMD was associated with OS. Progressive disease was a risk factor for reductions in SMI and SMD. CONCLUSIONS: Skeletal muscle quantity and quality and their serial changes were associated with survival outcomes in patients with advanced biliary tract cancer. Our data highlight the importance of designing nutritional and physical interventions for improvements in skeletal muscle status.

Controversies in endoscopic ultrasonography-guided management of walled-off necrosis.

Walled-off necrosis (WON) develops as local complications after acute necrotizing pancreatitis. Although less invasive interventions such as endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS)-guided drainage and endoscopic necrosectomy are selected over surgical interventions, delayed and step-up interventions are still preferred to avoid procedure-related adverse events. However, there is a controversy about the appropriate timing of drainage and subsequent necrosectomy. The advent of large-caliber lumen-apposing metal stents has also brought about potential advantages of proactive interventions, which still needs investigation in future trials. When step-up interventions of necrosectomy and additional drainage are necessary, a structured or protocoled approach for WON has been reported to improve safety and effectiveness of endoscopic and/or percutaneous treatment, but has not been standardized yet. Finally, long-term outcomes such as recurrence of WON, pancreatic endocrine, and exocrine function are increasingly investigated in association with disconnected pancreatic duct syndrome. In this review we discuss current evidence and controversy on EUS-guided management of WON.

Retrospective comparative study of new slim-delivery and conventional large-cell stents for stent-in-stent methods for hilar malignant biliary obstruction.

OBJECTIVES: Endoscopic management of unresectable hilar malignant biliary obstruction (HMBO) is technically challenging, and effectiveness of stent-in-stent using large-cell, metal stents was reported. A new, large-cell stent with a 6F tapered delivery system was recently developed. The aim of this study was to compare clinical outcomes of slim-delivery and conventional large-cell stents. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective comparative study of stent-in-stent methods using slim-delivery stents (Niti-S Large Cell SR Slim Delivery [LC slim-delivery]) and conventional stents (Niti-S large-cell D-type; LCD) for unresectable HMBO. RESULTS: Eighty-three patients with HMBO were included; 31 LC slim-delivery and 52 LCD. Overall technical and clinical success rates were 100% and 90% in LC slim-delivery group and 98% and 88% in LCD group. Use of the LC slim-delivery was associated with shorter stent placement time in the multiple regression analysis, with a stent placement time of 18 and 23 min in LC slim-delivery and LCD groups, respectively. The early adverse event (AE) rate of LC slim-delivery was 10%, with no cholangitis or cholecystitis as compared to 23% in the LCD group. Recurrent biliary obstruction (RBO) rates and time to RBO were comparable between the two groups: 35% and 44%, and 8.5 and 8.0 months in LC slim-delivery and LCD groups, respectively. The major cause of RBO was tumor ingrowth (82%) in the LC slim-delivery group and sludge (43%) and ingrowth (48%) in LCD group. CONCLUSION: Stent-in-stent methods using LC slim-delivery shortened stent placement time with low early AE rates and comparable time to RBO in patients with HMBO.

Clinical Outcomes of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms With Dilatation of the Main Pancreatic Duct.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Dilatation of the main pancreatic duct (MPD) has been a surgical indication for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Few studies have investigated long-term outcomes of IPMNs with MPD dilatation. METHODS: Among 3610 patients diagnosed with pancreatic cysts between 1994 and 2021, we identified 2829 IPMN patients, including 282 patients with MPD ≥5 mm, and examined short-term (≤6 months) and long-term risks of pancreatic carcinoma. Utilizing competing risks proportional hazards models, we estimated subdistribution hazard ratios for incidence of pancreatic carcinoma with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: In analyses of short-term outcomes of the 282 patients with MPD dilatation, 72 (26%) patients were diagnosed with pancreatic carcinoma based on surgical or nonsurgical exploration. During long-term follow-up of 168 patients, we documented 24 (14%) patients diagnosed with pancreatic carcinoma (18 with IPMN-derived carcinoma and 6 with concomitant ductal adenocarcinoma). The patients with the MPD = 5-9.9 mm had cumulative incidence rates of pancreatic carcinoma diagnosis of 8.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.3%-13.5%) and 10.0% (95% CI, 5.5%-15.9%) at 2 and 5 years, respectively; and the patients with the MPD ≥10 mm had the corresponding rates of 16.0% (95% CI, 3.6-36.5%) and 33.3% (95% CI, 10.3%-58.8%). The multivariable subdistribution hazard ratios were 2.78 (95% CI, 1.57-4.90) and 7.00 (95% CI, 2.58-19.0) for the MPD = 5-9.9 mm and ≥10 mm (vs <5 mm), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: IPMNs with MPD dilatation at baseline were associated with higher prevalence and incidence of pancreatic carcinoma compared with IPMNs with no MPD dilatation.

MNX1-HNF1B Axis Is Indispensable for Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm Lineages.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Chromatin architecture governs cell lineages by regulating the specific gene expression; however, its role in the diversity of cancer development remains unknown. Among pancreatic cancers, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) with an associated invasive carcinoma (IPMNinv) arise from 2 distinct precursors, and their fundamental differences remain obscure. Here, we aimed to assess the difference of chromatin architecture regulating the transcriptional signatures or biological features in pancreatic cancers. METHODS: We established 28 human organoids from distinct subtypes of pancreatic tumors, including IPMN, IPMNinv, and PDAC. We performed exome sequencing (seq), RNA-seq, assay for transposase-accessible chromatin-seq, chromatin immunoprecipitation-seq, high-throughput chromosome conformation capture, and phenotypic analyses with short hairpin RNA or clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats interference. RESULTS: Established organoids successfully reproduced the histology of primary tumors. IPMN and IPMNinv organoids harbored GNAS, RNF43, or KLF4 mutations and showed the distinct expression profiles compared with PDAC. Chromatin accessibility profiles revealed the gain of stomach-specific open regions in IPMN and the pattern of diverse gastrointestinal tissues in IPMNinv. In contrast, PDAC presented an impressive loss of accessible regions compared with normal pancreatic ducts. Transcription factor footprint analysis and functional assays identified that MNX1 and HNF1B were biologically indispensable for IPMN lineages. The upregulation of MNX1 was specifically marked in the human IPMN lineage tissues. The MNX1-HNF1B axis governed a set of genes, including MYC, SOX9, and OLFM4, which are known to be essential for gastrointestinal stem cells. High-throughput chromosome conformation capture analysis suggested the HNF1B target genes to be 3-dimensionally connected in the genome of IPMNinv. CONCLUSIONS: Our organoid analyses identified the MNX1-HNF1B axis to be biologically significant in IPMN lineages.

Development and external validation of a nomogram for prediction of post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is widely performed for management of pancreatobiliary diseases; however, post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP) remains as an unsolved problem. Although various risk factors for PEP have been reported, the prediction of PEP remains controversial. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for PEP. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing ERCP for biliary indications at two centers were retrospectively studied. Using data from a training cohort, we utilized a multivariable model to select five variables to construct a nomogram. The predictive model was internally and externally validated. Based on the nomogram, the patients were categorized into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups. RESULTS: Using the data of 2224 patients in the training cohort, five variables were selected to generate a nomogram: 1) sex, 2) indication for ERCP, 3) difficult cannulation, 4) guidewire insertion into the pancreatic duct, and 5) endoscopic sphincterotomy or sphincteroplasty. The most significant risk factor was endoscopic papillary balloon dilation such as endoscopic sphincterotomy or sphincteroplasty. The bias-corrected concordance index was 0.72 in the training cohort and 0.72 in the validation cohort. Calibration curves for both cohorts demonstrated good agreement between the predicted and observed frequencies of the actual outcome. In the validation cohort, PEP developed in 5.0% and 14% of patients in the moderate- and high-risk groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We successfully developed a good predictive model for PEP. The prevention of PEP in high risk patients should be investigated further.

Inverse association of hospital volume with in-hospital mortality rate of patients receiving EUS-guided interventions for pancreatic fluid collections.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: EUS-guided interventions currently serve as first-line treatment for symptomatic pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs) but require high-level expertise and multidisciplinary care. Hospital caseload has not been fully examined in relation to clinical outcomes of patients with endoscopically managed PFCs. METHODS: Using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database (a Japanese nationwide inpatient database), we identified 4053 patients receiving EUS-guided treatment of PFCs at 486 hospitals between 2010 and 2020 and examined an association of hospital volume (average annual number of cases at a hospital) with in-hospital mortality. Associations with bleeding, length of stay, and total costs were examined as secondary analyses. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: The hospital volume was inversely associated with the risk of in-hospital mortality (Ptrend < .001). The adjusted odds ratio for in-hospital mortality comparing the extreme quintiles of hospital volume was .17 (95% confidence interval, .09-.33). A restricted cubic spline analysis yielded no statistically significant evidence on the nonlinear relationship (Pnonlinearity = .19). The types of stents (plastic vs lumen-apposing metal stent) seemed to have no effect modification on the volume-mortality relationship (Pinteraction = .58). Higher hospital volume was also associated with lower risk of bleeding, shorter length of stay, and lower medical costs of inpatient care. CONCLUSIONS: Higher hospital volume was associated with a lower risk of in-hospital mortality of patients receiving EUS-guided treatment of PFCs. A further investigation is warranted to justify the volume-based selective referral of the patients.

Early skeletal muscle mass decline is a prognostic factor in patients receiving gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel for unresectable pancreatic cancer: a retrospective observational study.

PURPOSE: Patients with pancreatic cancer often have cancer cachexia at diagnosis. Recent studies suggested that loss of skeletal muscle mass was related to cancer cachexia, which hindered continuance of chemotherapy and could be one of prognostic factors in pancreatic cancer, however the association remains unclear in patients receiving gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel (GnP). METHODS: We retrospectively studied 138 patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer receiving first-line GnP at the University of Tokyo from January 2015 to September 2020. We calculated body composition in CT images before chemotherapy and at initial evaluation, and evaluated the association of both body composition before chemotherapy and its changes at initial evaluation. RESULTS: Compared by skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) change rate between pre-chemotherapy and initial evaluation, there were statistically significantly differences in the median OS: 16.3 months (95%CI 12.3-22.7) and 10.3 months (95%CI 8.3-18.1) between SMI change rate ≥ -3.5% and < -3.5% groups (P = 0.01). By multivariate analysis for OS, CA19-9 (HR 3.34, 95%CI 2.00-5.57, P < 0.01), PLR (HR 1.68, 95%CI 1.01-2.78, P = 0.04), mGPS (HR 2.32, 95%CI 1.47-3.65, P < 0.01) and relative dose intensity (HR 2.21, 95%CI 1.42-3.46, P < 0.01) were significantly poor prognostic factors. SMI change rate (HR 1.47, 95%CI 0.95-2.28, P = 0.08) showed a trend to poor prognosis. Sarcopenia before chemotherapy was not significantly associated with PFS or OS. CONCLUSION: Early skeletal muscle mass decline was associated with poor OS. Further investigation is warranted whether the maintenance of skeletal muscle mass by nutritional support would improve prognosis.

Time to think prime times for treatment of necrotizing pancreatitis: Pendulum conundrum.

Pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs) typically develop as local complications of acute pancreatitis and complicate the clinical course of patients with acute pancreatitis and potentially fatal clinical outcomes. Interventions are required in cases of symptomatic walled-off necrosis (WON) (matured PFCs with necrosis) and pancreatic pseudocysts (matured PFCs without necrosis). In the management of necrotizing pancreatitis and WON, endoscopic ultrasound-guided transluminal drainage combined with on-demand endoscopic necrosectomy (i.e. the step-up approach) is increasingly used as a less invasive treatment modality compared with a surgical or percutaneous approach. Through the substantial research efforts and development of specific devices and stents (e.g. lumen-apposing metal stents), endoscopic techniques of PFC management have been standardized to some extent. However, there has been no consensus about timing of carrying out each treatment step; for instance, it is uncertain when direct endoscopic necrosectomy should be initiated and finished and when a plastic or metal stent should be removed following clinical treatment success. Despite emerging evidence for the effectiveness of noninterventional supportive treatment (e.g. antibiotics, nutritional support, irrigation of the cavity), there has been only limited data on the timing of starting and stopping the treatment. Large studies are required to optimize the timing of those treatment options and improve clinical outcomes of patients with PFCs. In this review, we summarize the current available evidence on the indications and timing of interventional and supportive treatment modalities for this patient population and discussed clinical unmet needs that should be addressed in future research.

Comparison of novel large-bore and conventional-bore covered self-expandable metal stents for malignant gastric outlet obstruction: Multicenter, retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: Covered self-expandable metal stent (cSEMS) for gastric outlet obstruction (GOO) has been developed to overcome tumor ingrowth but is prone to be associated with an increased risk of migration. Clinical impact of the novel large-bore cSEMS for malignant GOO remains unclear. METHODS: A total of 117 patients undergoing endoscopic cSEMS placement for malignant GOO were enrolled in this multicenter retrospective study. Technical and clinical success, adverse events, recurrent GOO, and survival after stent placement were compared between 24 mm-cSEMS (n = 49) and 20 mm-cSEMS (n = 68). RESULTS: Patient characteristics were well-balanced and thus similar survival was observed between the two groups (136 days vs. 89 days, P = 0.60). Technical success rate of 100% and clinical success rate of 96% were achieved both in 24 mm-cSEMS and 20 mm-cSEMS, respectively. The median cumulative time to recurrent GOO was significantly longer in 24 mm-cSEMS than in 20 mm-cSEMS (380 days vs. 138 days, P = 0.01). The incidence of adverse events and recurrent GOO was comparable: 12% vs. 15% (P = 0.91), and 16% vs. 31% (P = 0.11); however, no stent migration was observed in 24 mm-cSEMS. In a subgroup analysis, the superiority of 24 mm-cSEMS to 20 mm-cSEMS was demonstrated in extrinsic cancers (380 days vs. 121 days, P = 0.01) but not in intrinsic cancers (151 days vs. not reached, P = 0.47). CONCLUSIONS: The 24 mm-cSEMS may improve time to recurrent GOO with ensuring acceptable safety in patients with malignant GOO.

Risk factors for adverse outcomes at various phases of endoscopic ultrasound-guided treatment of pancreatic fluid collections: Data from a multi-institutional consortium.

OBJECTIVES: No comprehensive study has examined short- and long-term adverse outcomes of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided treatment of pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs) including walled-off necrosis (WON) and pseudocysts. METHODS: In a multi-institutional cohort of 357 patients receiving EUS-guided treatment of PFCs (228 with WON and 129 with pseudocysts), we examined PFC type-specific risk factors for procedure-related adverse events (AEs), clinical failure, and recurrence. Odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed using the logistic and Cox regression models, respectively, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Adverse events were observed predominantly in WON, and risk factors were WON extension to the pelvis (OR 2.49; 95% CI 1.00-6.19) and endoscopic necrosectomy (OR 5.15; 95% CI 1.61-16.5). Risk factors for clinical failure in WON treatment included higher Charlson Comorbidity Index (OR for ≥3 vs. ≤2, 2.58; 95% CI 1.05-6.35), extension to the pelvis (OR 3.63; 95% CI 1.57-8.43), nonuse of a lumen-apposing metal stent (OR 2.88; 95% CI 1.10-7.54), and percutaneous drainage (OR 3.73; 95% CI 1.27-10.9). Patients with pseudocysts extending to the paracolic gutter and the need for more than two endoscopic/percutaneous procedures had ORs for clinical failure of 5.28 (95% CI 1.10-25.3) and 5.52 (95% CI 1.61-18.9), respectively. Pseudocysts requiring the multigateway approach were associated with a high risk of recurrence (HR 4.00; 95% CI 1.11-11.6). CONCLUSION: The adverse outcomes at various phases of EUS-guided PFC treatment may be predictable based on clinical parameters. Further research is warranted to optimize treatment strategies for high-risk patients.

Disconnected pancreatic duct syndrome and outcomes of endoscopic ultrasound-guided treatment of pancreatic fluid collections: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Disconnected pancreatic duct syndrome (DPDS) frequently occurs in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis and resultant pancreatic fluid collection (PFC). We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate outcomes of endoscopic ultrasound-guided treatment of PFCs according to the presence of DPDS. METHODS: Using PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane database, we identified clinical studies published until January 2021 with data comparing outcomes of endoscopic ultrasound-guided drainage of PFCs between DPDS and non-DPDS patients. We pooled data on technical and clinical success rates, PFC recurrence, and adverse events using the random-effects model. RESULTS: We identified five eligible articles including 941 PFC patients treated with endoscopic ultrasound-guided interventions. Clinical success, defined as resolution of the PFC and symptoms, was achieved in a majority of the cases irrespective of DPDS (pooled odds ratio [OR] comparing DPDS to non-DPDS patients, 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.33-1.81). Compared to patients without DPDS, patients with DPDS were more likely to undergo PFC recurrence (pooled OR 6.72; 95% CI 2.72-16.6) after clinical resolution of PFC. Prolonged plastic stent placement following the clinical resolution was more frequently performed in DPDS patients than in non-DPDS patients (pooled OR 15.9; 95% CI 2.76-91.9). No statistically significant difference was observed between the groups in terms of the rate of technical success, adverse events, or mortality. CONCLUSION: Disconnected pancreatic duct syndrome was associated with higher rate of PFC recurrence after successful endoscopic treatment of PFCs. Future studies should evaluate effectiveness and optimal duration of long-term placement of transmural plastic stents for PFCs with DPDS.

Long-term Risk of Malignancy in Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Long-term outcomes of patients with branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs), particularly those after 5 years of surveillance, have not been fully evaluated in large studies. We analyzed incidences of IPMN-derived carcinoma and concomitant ductal adenocarcinoma (pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma [PDAC]) over 20 years in a large population of patients. METHODS: We identified 1404 consecutive patients (52% women; mean age, 67.5 years) with a diagnosis of branch-duct IPMN, from 1994 through 2017, at the University of Tokyo in Japan. Using a competing risk analysis, we estimated cumulative incidence of pancreatic carcinoma, overall and by carcinoma type. We used competing risks proportional hazards models to estimate subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) for incidences of carcinomas. To differentiate IPMN-derived and concomitant carcinomas, we collected genomic DNA from available paired samples of IPMNs and carcinomas and detected mutations in GNAS and KRAS by polymerase chain reaction and pyrosequencing. RESULTS: During 9231 person-years of follow-up, we identified 68 patients with pancreatic carcinomas (38 patients with IPMN-derived carcinomas and 30 patients with concomitant PDACs); the overall incidence rates were 3.3%, 6.6%, and 15.0% at 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively. Among 804 patients followed more than 5 years, overall cumulative incidence rates of pancreatic carcinoma were 3.5% at 10 years and 12.0% at 15 years from the initial diagnosis. The size of the IPMN and the diameter of the main pancreatic duct associated with incidence of IPMN-derived carcinoma (SHR 1.85; 95% confidence interval 1.38-2.48 for a 10-mm increase in the IPMN size and SHR 1.56; 95% confidence interval 1.33-1.83 for a 1-mm increase in the main pancreatic duct diameter) but not with incidence of concomitant PDAC. CONCLUSIONS: In a large long-term study of patients with branch-duct IPMNs, we found the 5-year incidence rate of pancreatic malignancy to be 3.3%, reaching 15.0% at 15 years after IPMN diagnosis. We observed heterogeneous risk factor profiles between IPMN-derived and concomitant carcinomas.

A phase I study of intraperitoneal paclitaxel combined with gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel for pancreatic cancer with peritoneal metastasis.

PURPOSE: A phase I study of intraperitoneal paclitaxel (ip PTX) combined with gemcitabine (GEM) plus nab-paclitaxel (nab-PTX) (GnP) was conducted to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and the recommended dose (RD) in pancreatic cancer patients with peritoneal metastasis in first-line setting. METHODS: Based on the 3 + 3 dose-escalation model, ip PTX, GEM and nab-PTX were administered at doses of 20 or 30 mg/m2, 800 or 1000 mg/m2 and 100 or 125 mg/m2 (level 1, 2 and 3, respectively) on days 1, 8 and 15 in 4-week cycles. Dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) defined as severe adverse events was evaluated during the first cycle of the treatment. Safety and preliminary efficacy were also investigated. RESULTS: In total, 12 patients were enrolled. While 2 of the first 6 patients enrolled at level 1 experienced DLTs (grade 3 ip port dysfunction and grade 3 pneumonia), no DLT was observed in the next 6 patients enrolled at level 2 and 3. Therefore, we did not reach the MTD and the RD was determined to be level 3 (ip PTX of 30 mg/m2, GEM of 1000 mg/m2, and nab-PTX of 125 mg/m2). The major grade 3/4 adverse events included neutropenia (58%), anemia (33%), and ip port dysfunction (25%). The response rate was 25% and the median PFS was 5.4 (95% confidence interval; 2.4-16.0). The cytological status in peritoneal lavage turned negative in 8 patients (67%). CONCLUSIONS: Ip PTX combined with GnP was feasible and potentially effective in pancreatic cancer with peritoneal metastasis as a first-line treatment deserved further evaluations.

A retrospective comparative study of S-IROX and modified FOLFIRINOX for patients with advanced pancreatic cancer refractory to gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and tolerability of S-IROX and modified FOLFIRINOX (mFFX) after gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel for advanced pancreatic cancer (PC) in the real world setting. METHODS: Consecutive patients receiving S-IROX or mFFX as a second-line chemotherapy for advanced PC refractory to gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel were retrospectively studied. Patients were treated every 2 weeks: S-1 40 mg/m2 was administered orally twice daily on days 1 to 7 in S-IROX and 5-fluorouracil 2400 mg/m2 was intravenously administered for 46 h without bolus infusion in mFFX, in addition to intravenous oxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 and irinotecan 150 mg/m2 on day 1 in both regimens. RESULTS: Fifty-four patients with advanced PC who received S-IROX (n = 19) or mFFX (n = 35) were retrospectively studied. The disease control rate and response rate were 73.7% and 10.5% in the S-IROX group and 62.2% and 2.7% in the mFFX group, respectively. The median progression free survival (PFS) was 7.8 and 5.7 months in the S-IROX and mFFX groups (p = 0.24). The median overall survival (OS) was 14.2 and 11.5 months in the S-IROX and mFFX groups (p = 0.34). There were no significant differences in the incidences of grade 3-4 adverse effects. The subgroup analyses suggested S-IROX demonstrated favorable OS in patients with PFS ≥6 months of first-line gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (p for interaction = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: S-IROX and mFFX were similarly tolerable and effective as a second-line chemotherapy in patients with PC refractory to gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel.

Long-term outcome of endotherapy for pancreatic stones by using a dedicated pancreatic basket catheter.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Although endotherapy for pancreatic stones is less invasive compared with surgical interventions, its recurrence rate is high and residual pancreatic stones can be a cause of recurrence. We previously reported usefulness of a novel basket catheter with nitinol fine reticular structure for pancreatic stone retraction. In this retrospective study, we aimed to evaluate the long-term outcomes of endotherapy for pancreatic stones with and without the use of this dedicated basket catheter. METHODS: We retrospectively compared patients with symptomatic pancreatic stones who underwent the initial endotherapy between 2008 and 2019. The primary outcome was the symptomatic recurrence after complete stone clearance. Secondary outcomes were the rate of complete stone clearance, complications, risk factors for recurrences, and the treatment cost. RESULTS: A total of 101 patients who underwent endotherapy for pancreatic stones were analyzed: 41 patients by using the dedicated basket catheter and 60 patients by only the conventional devices. The complete stone clearance was achieved in 87.8% in the dedicated basket group and 88.3% in the conventional device group. Symptomatic recurrence was observed in 16.7% of the dedicated basket group and 47.2% of the conventional device group (P < 0.01). In the multivariate analysis, the use of the dedicated basket catheter was significantly associated with the reduced risk of symptomatic recurrence (hazard ratio, 0.40; 95% confidence interval, 0.15-0.92, P = 0.031). The complication rate and the cost were comparable between the two groups. CONCLUSION: The use of this dedicated pancreatic basket catheter significantly reduced symptomatic recurrence after complete pancreatic stone removal.