APOE ε4 and late-life cognition: mediation by structural brain imaging markers.

The apolipoprotein E allele 4 (APOE-ε4) is established as a major genetic risk factor for cognitive decline and late-onset Alzheimer's disease. Accumulating evidence has linked ε4 carriership to abnormal structural brain changes across the adult lifespan. To better understand the underlying causal mechanisms, we investigated the extent to which the effect of the ε4 allele on cognition is mediated by structural brain imaging markers in the population-based Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik Study (AGES-Reykjavik). This study included 4527 participants (aged 76.3 ± 5.4 at baseline) who underwent the brain magnetic resonance imaging assessment (of brain tissue volumes, white matter lesion volume, subcortical and cortical infarcts, and cerebral microbleeds) and a battery of neuropsychological tests at baseline. Causal mediation analysis was used to quantify the mediation of the ε4 effect on cognition by these MRI markers, both individually and jointly. We observed that about 9% of the total effect of ε4 carriership on cognition was mediated by white matter lesion volume. This proportion increased to 25% when total brain tissue volume was jointly considered with white matter lesion volume. In analyses separating ε4 homozygotes from ε4 heterozygotes, the effect on global cognition of specifically ε4 homozygosity appeared to be partially mediated by cerebral microbleeds, particularly lobar microbleeds. There was no evidence of mediation of the ε4 effect by cortical or subcortical infarcts. This study shows that the ε4 effect on cognition is partly mediated by white matter lesion volume and total brain tissue volume. These findings suggest the joint role of cerebral small vessel disease and neurodegeneration in the ε4-cognition relationship.

Deflazacort vs prednisone treatment for Duchenne muscular dystrophy: A meta-analysis of disease progression rates in recent multicenter clinical trials.

INTRODUCTION: In this study we characterized disease progression over 48 weeks among boys receiving deflazacort vs prednisone/prednisolone placebo arm treatment in two recent Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) clinical trials. METHODS: Ambulatory boys with DMD receiving placebo in the phase 3 ataluren (N = 115) and tadalafil (N = 116) trials were included. The trials required at least 6 months of prior corticosteroid use and stable baseline dosing. Associations between corticosteroid use and 48-week changes in ambulatory function were estimated using mixed models. Adjusted differences between corticosteroid groups were pooled in a meta-analysis. RESULTS: In the meta-analysis, deflazacort-treated patients vs prednisone/prednisolone-treated patients experienced, on average, lower declines of 28.3 meters on 6-minute walk distance (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.7, 50.9; 2.9 seconds on rise from supine [95% CI, 0.9, 4.9 seconds]; 2.3 seconds on 4-stair climb [95% CI, 0.5, 4.1 seconds]; and 2.9 [95% CI, 0.1, 5.8] points on the North Star Ambulatory Assessment linearized score). DISCUSSION: Deflazacort-treated patients experienced significantly lower functional decline over 48 weeks.

Genotype and Lifetime Burden of Disease in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: Insights from the Sarcomeric Human Cardiomyopathy Registry (SHaRe).

Background: A better understanding of the factors that contribute to heterogeneous outcomes and lifetime disease burden in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is critically needed to improve patient management and outcomes. The Sarcomeric Human Cardiomyopathy Registry (SHaRe) was established to provide the scale of data required to address these issues, aggregating longitudinal datasets curated by eight international HCM specialty centers. Methods: Data on 4591 HCM patients (2763 genotyped), followed for a mean of 5.4±6.9 years (24,791 patient-years; median [interquartile range] 2.9 [0.3-7.9] years) were analyzed regarding cardiac arrest, cardiac transplantation, appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy, all-cause death, atrial fibrillation, stroke, New York Heart Association Functional Class III/IV symptoms (all comprising the overall composite endpoint), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)<35%. Outcomes were analyzed individually and as composite endpoints. Results: Median age of diagnosis was 45.8 [30.9-58.1] years and 37% of patients were female. Age of diagnosis and sarcomere mutation status were predictive of outcomes. Patients <40 years old at diagnosis had a 77% [95% confidence interval: 72%, 80%] cumulative incidence of the overall composite outcome by age 60, compared to 32% [29%, 36%] by age 70 for patients diagnosed >60 years. Young HCM patients (20-29 years) had 4-fold higher mortality than the general United States population at a similar age. Patients with pathogenic/likely pathogenic sarcomere mutations had two-fold greater risk for adverse outcomes compared to patients without mutations; sarcomere variants of uncertain significance were associated with intermediate risk. Heart failure and atrial fibrillation were the most prevalent adverse events, although typically not emerging for several years after diagnosis. Ventricular arrhythmias occurred in 32% [23%, 40%] of patients <40 years at diagnosis, but in 1% [1%, 2%] >60 years. Conclusions: The cumulative burden of HCM is substantial and dominated by heart failure and atrial fibrillation occurring many years following diagnosis. Young age of diagnosis and the presence of a sarcomere mutation are powerful predictors of adverse outcomes. These findings highlight the need for close surveillance throughout life, and the need to develop disease-modifying therapies.

Real-World Outcomes of Acute Ischemic Stroke Treatment with Intravenous Recombinant Tissue Plasminogen Activator.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In clinical trials, intravenous (IV) recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rt-PA) reduces the likelihood of disability if given within 3 hours of acute ischemic stroke. This study compared real-world outcomes between patients treated and patients not treated with IV rt-PA. METHODS: In this retrospective study, United States-based neurologists randomly selected eligible acute ischemic stroke patients from their charts who were and were not treated with IV rt-PA. Mortality, hospital readmission, and independence were compared between patients treated and patients not treated with IV rt-PA using Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: A total of 1026 charts were reviewed with a median follow-up time of 15.5 months. Pretreatment stroke severity, as measured by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, was comparable between cohorts (IV rt-PA =11.7; non-rt-PA = 11.3; P = .165). IV rt-PA patients experienced significantly longer survival (P = .013), delayed hospital readmission (P = .012), and shorter time to independence (P < .001) compared with patients not treated with rt-PA. After adjusting for baseline characteristics, IV rt-PA patients had significantly lower mortality (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] = .52 [.30, .90]) and greater rates of independence (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] = 1.42 [1.17, 1.71]) than patients not treated with rt-PA. CONCLUSIONS: This real-world study indicated that acute ischemic stroke patients treated with IV rt-PA experience long-term clinical benefits in survival and functional status.

Late-life Cognitive Activity and Dementia: A Systematic Review and Bias Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Engaging in late-life cognitive activity is often proposed as a strategy to delay or prevent Alzheimer's disease (AD) and other dementias. However, it is unclear to what extent the available evidence supports a causal effect of cognitive activity in dementia prevention. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed and EMBASE through June 2014 to identify peer-reviewed epidemiologic studies of cognitive activity and incidence of AD or all-cause dementia. Eligible articles analyzed data from cohort or nested case-control studies, explicitly defined cognitive activity, evaluated participants for AD or all-cause dementia using clearly defined criteria, and provided effect estimates adjusted for at least age and sex. We describe methodologic issues and biases relevant to interpretation of these studies, and quantify the degree of bias due to confounding and reverse causation required to nullify typically observed associations. RESULTS: We reviewed 12 studies involving 13,939 participants and 1,663 dementia cases, of which 565 were specifically evaluated as AD. Most studies found associations between late-life cognitive activity and lower AD and/or all-cause dementia incidence. Differences in cognitive activity operationalization across studies precluded meta-analysis of effect estimates. Our bias analysis indicated that the observed inverse associations are probably robust to unmeasured confounding, and likely only partially explained by reverse causation. CONCLUSION: Our systematic review and bias analyses provide support for the hypothesis that late-life cognitive activity offers some reduction in AD and all-cause dementia risk. However, more data are needed to confirm this relationship and on the optimal type, duration, intensity, and timing of that activity.

Long-Term Comparative Efficacy and Safety of Risdiplam and Nusinersen in Children with Type 1 Spinal Muscular Atrophy.

INTRODUCTION: Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) is a severe genetic neuromuscular disease characterized by a loss of motor neurons and progressive muscle weakness. Children with untreated type 1 SMA never sit independently and require increasing levels of ventilatory support as the disease progresses. Without intervention, and lacking ventilatory support, death typically occurs before the age of 2 years. There are currently no head-to-head trials comparing available treatments in SMA. Indirect treatment comparisons are therefore needed to provide information on the relative efficacy and safety of SMA treatments for healthcare decision-making. METHODS: The long-term efficacy and safety of risdiplam versus nusinersen in children with type 1 SMA was evaluated using indirect treatment comparison methodology to adjust for differences between population baseline characteristics, to reduce any potential bias in the comparative analysis. An unanchored matching-adjusted indirect comparison was conducted using risdiplam data from 58 children in FIREFISH (NCT02913482) and published aggregate nusinersen data from 81 children obtained from the ENDEAR (NCT02193074) and SHINE (NCT02594124) clinical trials with at least 36 months of follow-up. RESULTS: Children with type 1 SMA treated with risdiplam had a 78% reduction in the rate of death, an 81% reduction in the rate of death or permanent ventilation, and a 57% reduction in the rate of serious adverse events compared with children treated with nusinersen. Children treated with risdiplam also had a 45% higher rate of achieving a Hammersmith Infant Neurological Examination, Module 2 motor milestone response and a 186% higher rate of achieving a ≥ 4-point improvement in Children's Hospital of Philadelphia Infant Test of Neuromuscular Disorders compared with children treated with nusinersen. CONCLUSION: Long-term data supported risdiplam as a superior alternative to nusinersen in children with type 1 SMA. Video abstract available for this article. Video abstract (MP4 184542 KB).

Risdiplam and nusinersen are two approved treatments for patients with type 1 spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). There are currently no head-to-head trials that compare the outcomes of these treatments in patients. This study conducted a statistical comparison of the efficacy and safety of risdiplam and nusinersen in children with type 1 SMA who received treatment for at least 36 months. Risdiplam data were collected from 58 children who participated in the FIREFISH trial (NCT02913482). Published combined data were collected from 81 children treated with nusinersen who participated in the ENDEAR (NCT02193074) and SHINE (NCT02594124) trials. Outcomes from the two studies were compared using matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) methodology. MAIC adjusts for differences in baseline characteristics between patients in two trials to make the populations more similar and reduce bias in the comparison. Results suggested that children with type 1 SMA treated with risdiplam had a 78% reduction in the rate of death and an 81% reduction in the rate of death or permanent ventilation compared with children treated with nusinersen. With risdiplam, children also had a higher rate of achieving motor function responses, and a longer time to the first serious adverse event compared with children treated with nusinersen. These results support risdiplam as a superior alternative to nusinersen in children with type 1 SMA over 36 months of follow-up. Access to long-term data beyond 36 months would allow for additional indirect comparisons between SMA treatments. These comparisons are key to guiding treatment decision-making in the absence of head-to-head trials.

Stratified Patient Profiling for Vedolizumab Effectiveness in Crohn's Disease: Identifying Optimal Subgroups for Enhanced Treatment Response in the EVOLVE Study.

INTRODUCTION: This analysis evaluated the relative performance of vedolizumab and anti-tumor necrosis factor alpha (anti-TNFα) agents in subpopulations of biologic therapy-naive patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and assessed whether patients in whom vedolizumab would have a larger treatment effect vs anti-TNFα agents could be identified. METHODS: Data were from EVOLVE, a real-world, multicountry, retrospective cohort study of patients with inflammatory bowel disease who initiated first-line biologic treatment with vedolizumab (n = 195) or anti-TNFα agents (n = 245). Prediction models for time to clinical remission were developed in vedolizumab- and anti-TNFα-treated patients and used to estimate effect scores, a metric of predicted comparative efficacy, for each patient. Patients were ranked by effect scores and potential subpopulations were investigated. Simplified rules to identify these subpopulations were also developed using classification tree analysis. RESULTS: Among all patients, median time to clinical remission was 7.8 months (vedolizumab) and 11.1 months (anti-TNFα) (P < 0.05). Among patients in the top 40% of the effect score distribution, the median time to clinical remission was 4.8 months (vedolizumab) vs 18.1 months (anti-TNFα) (adjusted hazard ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval 1.3-2.9). A simplified rule for identifying a subpopulation more likely to benefit from vedolizumab was based on having an ongoing CD exacerbation, no prior emergency visits, and non-stricturing disease. CONCLUSIONS: Subpopulations of biologic-naive patients with CD in whom vedolizumab appeared to have a larger effect relative to anti-TNFα agents for the outcome of clinical remission were identified. Validation of the identified subpopulations and simplified rules are warranted to confirm these findings. GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT03710486. Graphical Abstract available for this article.

Functional trajectories before and after loss of ambulation in Duchenne muscular dystrophy and implications for clinical trials.

This study examined functional trajectories of subjects during the transition phase between ambulatory and non-ambulatory Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) to inform clinical trial designs for new therapeutics. Ambulatory, pulmonary, and upper limb function leading up to loss of ambulation (LoA) and non-ambulatory measures following LoA were quantified; time ordering of pulmonary and upper limb milestones relative to LoA were determined; and the 10-second time threshold for 10-meter walk/run (10MWR) as a marker of approaching LOA was explored. Included in this analysis were 51 subjects aged between 7 and 18 years who experienced LoA during follow-up in the PRO-DMD-01 natural history study. Mean age at LoA was 12.7 (7.1-18.6) years. Mean annual rates of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) <80%-predicted and performance of upper limb (PUL) 1.2 total score were smaller before than after LoA, but not significantly (FVC %-predicted: 5.6% vs. 10.1%, p = 0.21; PUL 1.2 total score: 2.3 vs. 3.8 units, p = 0.20). More than half of patients experienced clinically significant deficits in FVC %-predicted and PUL 1.2 before experiencing LoA. Among subjects with baseline 10MWR >10 s, those with <1 year to LoA had similar mean ages but significantly worse mean ambulatory function at baseline compared to those with ≥1 year to LoA. Enriching DMD clinical trials for patients with declining pulmonary or upper limb function is achievable without restricting enrollment to non-ambulatory patients. The sequencing of LoA and initial deficits in pulmonary and upper limb function varied across patients and highlights the potential for composite outcomes or multi-outcome trial designs to assess disease-modifying therapies more comprehensively.

Meaningful changes in motor function in Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD): A multi-center study.

Evaluations of treatment efficacy in Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), a rare genetic disease that results in progressive muscle wasting, require an understanding of the 'meaningfulness' of changes in functional measures. We estimated the minimal detectable change (MDC) for selected motor function measures in ambulatory DMD, i.e., the minimal degree of measured change needed to be confident that true underlying change has occurred rather than transient variation or measurement error. MDC estimates were compared across multiple data sources, representing >1000 DMD patients in clinical trials and real-world clinical practice settings. Included patients were ambulatory, aged ≥4 to <18 years and receiving steroids. Minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) for worsening were also estimated. Estimated MDC thresholds for >80% confidence in true change were 2.8 units for the North Star Ambulatory Assessment (NSAA) total score, 1.3 seconds for the 4-stair climb (4SC) completion time, 0.36 stairs/second for 4SC velocity and 36.3 meters for the 6-minute walk distance (6MWD). MDC estimates were similar across clinical trial and real-world data sources, and tended to be slightly larger than MCIDs for these measures. The identified thresholds can be used to inform endpoint definitions, or as benchmarks for monitoring individual changes in motor function in ambulatory DMD.

Analysis of 34 candidate genes in bupropion and placebo remission.

There is considerable variability in the rate of response and remission following treatment with antidepressant drugs or placebo in depression patients. No pharmacogenetic studies of bupropion response have been done. We investigated 532 tagging single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 34 candidate genes for association with remission and response to either bupropion (n=319) or placebo (n=257) in patients with major depressive disorder. Analyses were performed using conditional logistic regression. Significant association (gene-wide correction) was observed for remission following treatment with bupropion for a SNP within the serotonin receptor 2A gene (HTR2A rs2770296, p(corrected)=0.02). Response to bupropion treatment was significantly associated with a SNP in the dopamine transporter gene (rs6347, p(corrected)=0.013). Among the patients who received placebo, marginal association for remission was observed between a SNP in HTR2A (rs2296972, p(corrected)=0.055) as well as in the serotonin transporter gene (5-HTT or SLC6A4 rs4251417, p(corrected)=0.050). Placebo response was associated with SNPs in the glucocorticoid receptor gene (NR3C1; rs1048261, p(corrected)=0.040) and monoamine oxidase A gene (MAOA; rs6609257, p corrected=0.046). Although the above observations were significant after gene-wide corrections, none of these would be significant after a more conservative study-wide correction for multiple tests. These results suggest a possible role for HTR2A in remission to bupropion treatment. In accordance with bupropion pharmacology, dopamine transporter may play a role in response. The MAOA gene may be involved in placebo response.

Longitudinal Assessment of Creatine Kinase, Creatine/Creatinineratio, and Myostatin as Monitoring Biomarkers in Becker Muscular Dystrophy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The slow and variable disease progression of Becker muscular dystrophy (BMD) urges the development of biomarkers to facilitate clinical trials. We explored changes in 3 muscle-enriched biomarkers in serum of patients with BMD over 4-year time and studied associations with disease severity, disease progression, and dystrophin levels in BMD. METHODS: We quantitatively measured creatine kinase (CK) using the International Federation of Clinical Chemistry reference method, creatine/creatinineratio (Cr/Crn) using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry, and myostatin with ELISA in serum and assessed functional performance using the North Star Ambulatory Assessment (NSAA), 10-meter run velocity (TMRv), 6-Minute Walking Test (6MWT), and forced vital capacity in a 4-year prospective natural history study. Dystrophin levels were quantified in the tibialis anterior muscle using capillary Western immunoassay. The correlation between biomarkers, age, functional performance, mean annual change, and prediction of concurrent functional performance was analyzed using linear mixed models. RESULTS: Thirty-four patients with 106 visits were included. Eight patients were nonambulant at baseline. Cr/Crn and myostatin were highly patient specific (intraclass correlation coefficient for both = 0.960). Cr/Crn was strongly negatively correlated, whereas myostatin was strongly positively correlated with the NSAA, TMRv, and 6MWT (Cr/Crn rho = -0.869 to -0.801 and myostatin rho = 0.792 to 0.842, all p < 0.001). CK showed a negative association with age (p = 0.0002) but was not associated with patients' performance. Cr/Crn and myostatin correlated moderately with the average annual change of the 6MWT (rho = -0.532 and 0.555, p = 0.02). Dystrophin levels did not correlate with the selected biomarkers nor with performance. Cr/Crn, myostatin, and age could explain up to 75% of the variance of concurrent functional performance of the NSAA, TMRv, and 6MWT. DISCUSSION: Both Cr/Crn and myostatin could potentially serve as monitoring biomarkers in BMD, as higher Cr/Crn and lower myostatin were associated with lower motor performance and predictive of concurrent functional performance when combined with age. Future studies are needed to more precisely determine the context of use of these biomarkers.

DMD Genotypes and Motor Function in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy: A Multi-institution Meta-analysis With Implications for Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Clinical trials of genotype-targeted treatments in Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) traditionally compare treated patients with untreated patients with the same DMD genotype class. This avoids confounding of drug efficacy by genotype effects but also shrinks the pool of eligible controls, increasing challenges for trial enrollment in this already rare disease. To evaluate the suitability of genotypically unmatched controls in DMD, we quantified effects of genotype class on 1-year changes in motor function endpoints used in clinical trials. METHODS: More than 1,600 patient-years of follow-up (>700 patients) were studied from 6 real-world/natural history data sources (UZ Leuven, PRO-DMD-01 shared by CureDuchenne, iMDEX, North Star UK, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, and the DMD Italian Group), with genotypes classified as amenable to skipping exons 44, 45, 51, or 53, or other skippable, nonsense, and other mutations. Associations between genotype class and 1-year changes in North Star Ambulatory Assessment total score (ΔNSAA) and in 10-m walk/run velocity (Δ10MWR) were studied in each data source with and without adjustment for baseline prognostic factors. RESULTS: The studied genotype classes accounted for approximately 2% of variation in ΔNSAA outcomes after 12 months, whereas other prognostic factors explained >30% of variation in large data sources. Based on a meta-analysis across all data sources, pooled effect estimates for the studied skip-amenable mutation classes were all small in magnitude (<2 units in ΔNSAA total score in 1-year follow up), smaller than clinically important differences in NSAA, and were precisely estimated with standard errors <1 unit after adjusting for nongenotypic prognostic factors. DISCUSSION: These findings suggest the viability of trial designs incorporating genotypically mixed or unmatched controls for up to 12 months in duration for motor function outcomes, which would ease recruitment challenges and reduce numbers of patients assigned to placebos. Such trial designs, including multigenotype platform trials and hybrid designs, should ensure baseline balance between treatment and control groups for the most important prognostic factors, while accounting for small remaining genotype effects quantified in this study.

Health-Related Quality of Life Following Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation with Omidubicel versus Umbilical Cord Blood.

Omidubicel is an advanced cell therapy derived from umbilical cord blood (UCB) for use in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). A recent randomized phase 3 clinical trial demonstrated faster engraftment, shorter length of hospital stays, and lower rates of infection with omidubicel compared with standard UCB transplantation in patients with high-risk hematologic malignancies. Despite the proven clinical benefits of omidubicel, its impact on health-related quality of life (HRQL) from the patient's perspective has not been described. This study analyzed patient-reported HRQL measures collected prospectively in the randomized phase 3 trial comparing omidubicel to standard UCB transplantation. A total of 108 patients at 33 international stem cell transplantation centers underwent myeloablative allogeneic HCT with either omidubicel or standard UCB. Patients completed serial HRQL questionnaires at screening and on days 42, 100, 180, and 365 post-transplantation. The HRQL surveys included the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Bone Marrow Transplant (FACT-BMT), a 50-item cancer-specific questionnaire assessing physical, functional, emotional, social/family, and HCT-specific well-being, and the EuroQol 5-Dimension 3-Level, a 5-item generic HRQL survey. A mixed model with repeated measures was used to compare changes in HRQL from baseline in the 2 treatment arms. The average change in HRQL scores over time was compared by estimating the difference in the area under the curve (AUC) in each treatment group. Seventy-five patients (omidubicel arm, n = 37; standard UCB arm, n = 38) who completed the FACT-BMT at baseline and on 1 or more follow-up visits were included in this study. Baseline characteristics were similar in the 2 treatment arms. Over the first year post-transplantation, the AUCs of mean changes in physical, functional, and total FACT-BMT scores indicated significantly better HRQL with omidubicel (P < .05), with mean differences across time points ranging from 1.4 to 3.1 points, 1.6 to 3.2 points, and 7.2 to 11.0 points, respectively. The minimal clinically important difference was exceeded at 1 or more time points for each of these measures. The HRQL improvements with omidubicel were observed as early as 42 days post-transplantation and persisted at 1 year, indicating the potential long-term benefits of omidubicel on HRQL. Across all patients, adverse clinical outcomes, such as grade 3 viral infections and lower rates of neutrophil engraftment, were associated with worse HRQL scores. The observed improvements in HRQL measures may reflect the known clinical benefits of omidubicel. Compared with standard UCB, allogeneic HCT with omidubicel resulted in significant and clinically meaningful improvements in patient-reported HRQL measures.

Real-world and natural history data for drug evaluation in Duchenne muscular dystrophy: suitability of the North Star Ambulatory Assessment for comparisons with external controls.

Using external controls based on real-world or natural history data (RWD/NHD) for drug evaluations in Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is appealing given the challenges of enrolling placebo-controlled trials, especially for multi-year trials. Comparisons to external controls, however, face risks of bias due to differences in outcomes between trial and RWD/NHD settings. To assess this bias empirically, we conducted a multi-institution study comparing mean 48-week changes in North Star Ambulatory Assessment (NSAA) total score between trial placebo arms and RWD/NHD sources, with and without adjustment for baseline prognostic factors. Analyses used data from three placebo arms (235 48-week intervals, N = 235 patients) and three RWD/NHD sources (348 intervals, N = 202 patients). Differences in mean ΔNSAA between placebo arms and RWD/NHD sources were small before adjustment (-1.2 units, 95% CI: [-2.0 -0.5]) and were attenuated and no longer statistically significant after adjustment (0.1 units (95% CI: [-0.6, 0.8]). Results were similar whether adjusting using multivariable regression or propensity score matching. This consistency in ΔNSAA between trial placebo arms and RWD/NHD sources accords with prior findings for the six-minute walk distance, provides a well-validated framework for baseline adjustment of prognostic factors, and supports the suitability of RWD/NHD external controls for drug evaluations in ambulatory DMD.

Indirect treatment comparison of the efficacy of patisiran and inotersen for hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis with polyneuropathy.

INTRODUCTION: Patisiran and inotersen are two therapies approved for the treatment of hereditary transthyretin-mediated (hATTR) amyloidosis with polyneuropathy, a rapidly progressive disease with a substantial clinical burden. This analysis indirectly compares the efficacy of patisiran and inotersen on neuropathy and quality of life (QOL). METHODS: Published results from the NEURO-TTR study of inotersen and individual patient data from the APOLLO study of patisiran were used. Indirect comparisons were conducted for 15-month changes in neuropathy and QOL endpoints: modified Neuropathy Impairment Score +7 (mNIS+7Ionis,), Norfolk Quality of Life-Diabetic Neuropathy (Norfolk QOL-DN) questionnaire, body mass index (BMI), and Polyneuropathy Disability (PND) score. Analyses were conducted under different assumptions about the impact of missing data and to adjust for baseline differences between studies. RESULTS: Patisiran showed significantly greater treatment effects than inotersen for mNIS+7Ionis (mean difference: -12.3 [95% confidence interval: -21.4, -3.3]), Norfolk QOL-DN (-11.3 [-19.8, -2.9]), and BMI (1.0 [0.4, 1.7]). The proportion of patients with improvement or no change from baseline on PND score was higher for patisiran-treated patients (odds ratio: 8.9 [4.6, 17.5]). Results were consistent and robust across analyses and methods. CONCLUSIONS: Patisiran demonstrated greater treatment effects on neuropathy and QOL than inotersen in patients with hATTR amyloidosis with polyneuropathy.

Primary Hyperoxaluria Type 1 Disease Manifestations and Healthcare Utilization: A Multi-Country, Online, Chart Review Study.

Background: Primary hyperoxaluria type 1 (PH1) is a rare genetic disease that can result in irreversible damage to the kidneys and, eventually, extrarenal organs. While kidney failure is a known consequence of PH1, few studies to date have characterized clinical consequences of PH1 prior to kidney failure, and data on healthcare resource use outcomes across different stages of disease severity in PH1 are also limited. To help fill this knowledge gap, this study characterized the clinical and healthcare resource use (HRU) burden in patients with PH1 with varying stages of kidney disease. Methods: Nephrologists in the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Italy abstracted chart data from patients with PH1 under their care via an online questionnaire. Eligible patients had confirmed PH1 and ≥2 office visits from 2016 to 2019. Results: A total of 120 patients were analyzed (median age at diagnosis, 17.4 years old, median age at index 19.5 years old, median eGFR at index 45 ml/min/1.73 m2; median follow-up 1.7 years). During follow-up, the most common PH1 manifestations were kidney stones and urinary tract infections (UTIs, both 56.8%), and the most common symptoms were fatigue/weakness (71.7%) and pain (64.6%). With regard to HRU during follow-up, 37.4% required lithotripsy, 31.3% required ureteroscopy, and 9.6% required nephrolithotomy. PH1-related hospitalizations and emergency/urgent care visits were noted for 84.0 and 81.6% of patients, respectively. Conclusions: The current study demonstrated that patients with PH1 across various stages of kidney disease exhibited a substantial clinical burden, including kidney stones, UTIs, fatigue/weakness, and pain, and required frequent HRU, including kidney stone procedures, hospitalizations, and emergency visits. These findings highlight the significant morbidity and HRU burden in patients with PH1.

Incidence of Parkinson's disease among hospital patients with methamphetamine-use disorders.

Because methamphetamine exposure to experimental animals can damage brain dopamine neurones, we examined whether hospital patients diagnosed with methamphetamine-related disorders might have greater risk of subsequent admission with a Parkinson's disease diagnosis. This was a population-based cohort study using all statewide inpatient hospital discharge records from July 1, 1990, through June 30, 2000, in California, USA, in which subjects aged at least 50 years were followed for up to 10 years. Individuals with reported methamphetamine-related conditions (n = 1,863; ICD-9 codes 304.4, 305.7, 969.7, and E854.2) were matched on demographic variables and follow-up time with those with primary appendicitis conditions (n = 9,315). The appendicitis group had a Parkinson's disease incidence rate no different than the rate found among members of a large health maintenance organization in California. Cox regression procedures were used to estimate group differences in the rates of receiving a subsequent inpatient diagnosis of Parkinson's disease (ICD-9 332.0). The methamphetamine group showed increased risk of a subsequent admission with Parkinson's disease compared with that of the matched appendicitis group (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.65, 95% CI, 1.17-5.98, P= 0.019). Study limitations include a population limited to hospital admissions, an uncertainty regarding diagnostic validity of the ICD-9 code 332.0 (Parkinson's disease), and a small number of incident cases with suspected Parkinson's disease. We strongly emphasize the preliminary nature of the findings. Nevertheless, these data, requiring replication, provide some evidence that methamphetamine users might be at greater than normal risk for developing Parkinson's disease.

Prognostic factors for changes in the timed 4-stair climb in patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy, and implications for measuring drug efficacy: A multi-institutional collaboration.

The timed 4-stair climb (4SC) assessment has been used to measure function in Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) practice and research. We sought to identify prognostic factors for changes in 4SC, assess their consistency across data sources, and the extent to which prognostic scores could be useful in DMD clinical trial design and analysis. Data from patients with DMD in the placebo arm of a phase 3 trial (Tadalafil DMD trial) and two real-world sources (Universitaire Ziekenhuizen, Leuven, Belgium [Leuven] and Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center [CCHMC]) were analyzed. One-year changes in 4SC completion time and velocity (stairs/second) were analyzed. Prognostic models included age, height, weight, steroid use, and multiple timed function tests and were developed using multivariable regression, separately in each data source. Simulations were used to quantify impacts on trial sample size requirements. Data on 1-year changes in 4SC were available from the Tadalafil DMD trial (n = 92) Leuven (n = 67), and CCHMC (n = 212). Models incorporating multiple timed function tests, height, and weight significantly improved prognostic accuracy for 1-year change in 4SC (R2: 29%-36% for 4SC velocity, and 29%-34% for 4SC time) compared to models including only age, baseline 4SC and steroid duration (R2:8%-17% for 4SC velocity and 2%-13% for 4SC time). Measures of walking and rising ability contributed important prognostic information for changes in 4SC. In a randomized trial with equal allocation to treatment and placebo, adjustment for such a prognostic score would enable detection (at 80% power) of a treatment effect of 0.25 stairs/second with 100-120 patients, compared to 170-190 patients without prognostic score adjustment. Combining measures of ambulatory function doubled prognostic accuracy for 1-year changes in 4SC completion time and velocity. Randomized clinical trials incorporating a validated prognostic score could reduce sample size requirements by approximately 40%. Knowledge of important prognostic factors can also inform adjusted comparisons to external controls.

Suitability of external controls for drug evaluation in Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the suitability of real-world data (RWD) and natural history data (NHD) for use as external controls in drug evaluations for ambulatory Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). METHODS: The consistency of changes in the 6-minute walk distance (Δ6MWD) was assessed across multiple clinical trial placebo arms and sources of NHD/RWD. Six placebo arms reporting 48-week Δ6MWD were identified via literature review and represented 4 sets of inclusion/exclusion criteria (n = 383 patients in total). Five sources of RWD/NHD were contributed by Universitaire Ziekenhuizen Leuven, DMD Italian Group, The Cooperative International Neuromuscular Research Group, ImagingDMD, and the PRO-DMD-01 study (n = 430 patients, in total). Mean Δ6MWD was compared between each placebo arm and RWD/NHD source after subjecting the latter to the inclusion/exclusion criteria of the trial for baseline age, ambulatory function, and steroid use. Baseline covariate adjustment was investigated in a subset of patients with available data. RESULTS: Analyses included ∼1,200 patient-years of follow-up. Differences in mean Δ6MWD between trial placebo arms and RWD/NHD cohorts ranged from -19.4 m (i.e., better outcomes in RWD/NHD) to 19.5 m (i.e., worse outcomes in RWD/NHD) and were not statistically significant before or after covariate adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: We found that Δ6MWD was consistent between placebo arms and RWD/NHD subjected to equivalent inclusion/exclusion criteria. No evidence for systematic bias was detected. These findings are encouraging for the use of RWD/NHD to augment, or possibly replace, placebo controls in DMD trials. Multi-institution collaboration through the Collaborative Trajectory Analysis Project rendered this study feasible.

Categorising trajectories and individual item changes of the North Star Ambulatory Assessment in patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

Functional variability among boys with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is well recognised and complicates interpretation of clinical studies. We hypothesised that boys with DMD could be clustered into groups sharing similar trajectories of ambulatory function over time, as measured by the North Star Ambulatory Assessment (NSAA) total score. We also explored associations with other variables such as age, functional abilities, and genotype. Using the NorthStar Clinical Network database, 395 patients with >1 NSAA assessment were identified. We utilised latent class trajectory analysis of longitudinal NSAA scores, which produced evidence for at least four clusters of boys sharing similar trajectories versus age in decreasing order of clinical severity: 25% of the boys were in cluster 1 (NSAA falling to ≤ 5 at age ~10y), 35% were in cluster 2 (NSAA ≤ 5 ~12y), 21% in were cluster 3 (NSAA≤ 5 ~14y), and 19% in cluster 4 (NSAA > 5 up to 15y). Mean ages at diagnosis of DMD were similar across clusters (4.2, 3.9, 4.3, and 4.8y, respectively). However, at the first NSAA assessment, a significant (p<0.05) association was observed between earlier declining clusters and younger age, worse NSAA, slower rise from supine, slower 10 metre walk/run times, and younger age of steroid initiation. In order to assess the probability of observing complete loss of function for individual NSAA items, we examined the proportion of patients who shifted from a score of 1 or 2 at baseline to a score of 0. We also assessed the probability of gain of function using the inverse assessment and stratified the probability of deterioration, improvement-or static behavior-by age ranges and using baseline functional status. Using this tool, our study provides a comprehensive assessment of the NSAA in a large population of patients with DMD and, for the first time, describes discrete clusters of disease progression; this will be invaluable for future DMD clinical trial design and interpretation of findings.