A clinical prediction rule for pulmonary tuberculosis in emergency departments.

SETTING: University-affiliated hospital located in an area with a high incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB). OBJECTIVE: To develop a clinical prediction rule (CPR) based on information obtainable on admission, to permit rapid identification of patients with PTB. DESIGN: Information from patients with respiratory symptoms who attended the emergency department of Cayetano Heredia Hospital, Lima, Peru, was collected prospectively. Clinical symptoms, past medical history, demographic data and results of chest X-rays (CXRs), sputum smear and culture in Löwenstein-Jensen media were obtained. Based on logistic regression, we constructed a scoring system to predict PTB. RESULTS: A total of 345 patients were enrolled in the study, including 109 (31%) culture-proven PTB cases. In logistic regression analysis, we found age, previous history of PTB, weight loss, presence of cavities, upper lobe infiltrate and miliary pattern on CXR as independent predictors of PTB. We designed a scoring system with these variables, taking into account their statistical weight. The score attained 93% sensitivity and 42% specificity. CONCLUSION: The CPR that was developed performed well in our population. It merits further validation in other settings. It should not, however, replace, but should complement sputum microscopy when deciding on isolation, and it does not preclude microbiology in making a definitive diagnosis.

An outbreak of acute bartonellosis (Oroya fever) in the Urubamba region of Peru, 1998.

During May 1998, we conducted a case-control study of 357 participants from 60 households during an outbreak of acute bartonellosis in the Urubamba Valley, Peru, a region not previously considered endemic for this disease. Blood and insect specimens were collected and environmental assessments were done. Case-patients (n = 22) were defined by fever, anemia, and intra-erythrocytic coccobacilli seen in thin smears. Most case-patients were children (median age = 6.5 years). Case-patients more frequently reported sand fly bites than individuals of neighboring households (odds ratio [OR] = 5.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.2-39.2), or members from randomly selected households > or = 5 km away (OR = 8.5, 95% CI = 1.7-57.9). Bartonella bacilliformis isolated from blood was confirmed by nucleotide sequencing (citrate synthase [g/tA], 338 basepairs). Using bacterial isolation (n = 141) as the standard, sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value of thin smears were 36%, 96%, and 44%, respectively. Patients with clinical syndromes compatible with bartonellosis should be treated with appropriate antibiotics regardless of thin-smear results.

Socioeconomic factors and antibiotic use in relation to antimicrobial resistance in the Amazonian area of Peru.

Our objective was to correlate antibiotic resistance in gut E. coli flora of children, aged 6-72 months, with use of antibiotics, socioeconomic status (SES) and household characteristics in the urban communities of Yurimaguas and Moyobamba in the Amazonian area of Peru. Caregivers of 1598 children were interviewed using a structured questionnaire in a cross-sectional survey. Faecal samples were collected from the children and the antimicrobial susceptibility of E. coli was analysed by a rapid resistance screening method. Significantly higher odds for resistance were seen for children who had used antibiotics, both during the last 2 weeks and the last 6 months. Children from wealthier families had significantly higher odds for resistance to a number of antibiotics than children from the least wealthy families (Yurimaguas: nalidixic acid, OR = 2.13; ciprofloxacin, OR = 2.09; chloramphenicol, OR = 1.98. Moyobamba: nalidixic acid, OR = 1.59; ciprofloxacin, OR = 1.69). Thus, the children of wealthier families had a significantly increased odds ratio for resistance, also when controlling for the family's antibiotic use. Unknown factors related to socioeconomic status seem to contribute to the results seen in the study area.

Importancia de la Lutzomia peruensis en la transmisión de la enfermedad de Carrión en el Valle Sagrado de los incas. Urubamba Cusco, Perú / Importance of Lutzomyia peruensis in the transmission of the Carrionïs disease in the Incaïs Sacred Valley. Urubamba Cusco, Peru

En el valle Sagrado de los Incas (Valle del Río Urubamba) encontramos una sola de Lutzomyia, nos referimos a la Lutzomyia suele compartir su habitat con el vector de la enfermedad de Carrión, la Lutzomyia verrucarum. Los aspectos entomológicos fueron levados a cabo, en Mayo de 1998. Las colectas entomológicas se realizaron utilizando trampas de luz CDC toda la noche y en capturas diurnas en las viviendas.Se muestra la importancia de Lutzomyia peruensis incriminándola epidemiológicamente y se detectó Bartonella bacilliformis mediante PCR y haciendo secuenciamiento de ADN. Se presenta también la estimación del riesgo entomólogico de transmisión de bartonelosis por Lutzomyia peruensis, mediante el índice de inoculación de Bartonella bacilliformis