PFOA and testis cancer in the Veneto Region (Italy).

The largest documented episode of human contamination by PFOA in the world (approximately 150,000 actual residents on 1 January 2020) has occurred in Italy's Veneto Region. In this large, mostly flat plain area, a cluster of testicular cancers has also been observed. Preliminary data are reported, and the most relevant and recent recommendations regarding the health surveillance of exposed individuals are emphasized.

[Lifestyles and alterations of finger-stick glucose and cholesterol and blood pressure among fifty-year-old Italian and foreign residents in the Alto Vicentino Health District (Veneto Region, Northern Italy)]. / Stili di vita e alterazioni della glicemia e della colesterolemia rilevate su stick e della pressione arteriosa nella popolazione cinquantenne italiana e straniera residente nell'Alto Vicentino.

OBJECTIVES: to describe and compare cardiovascular risk prevalence in a large sample of Italian and foreign fifty-year-old residents in Veneto Region (Northern Italy) who do not have a co-pay fee exemption for cardiovascular diseases. Data collection comes from standardized and objective measurements carried out by health personnel of the Department of Prevention of the Local Health Agency 7 of Veneto Region. DESIGN: cross-sectional study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Italian and foreign fifty-years-old residents who do not have a co-pay fee exemption for cardiovascular diseases were extracted from the registry list, excluding people already affected by diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia or cardiovascular diseases, and received a written invitation to participate. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES: adherents were studied through standardized questionnaires about their lifestyles (tobacco, alcohol, weight excess, central obesity, physical inactivity), anthropometric measurements (height, weight, body mass index, waist circumference), the direct measurement of blood pressure and a finger-stick for glucose and cholesterol. Educational level was also recorded in a large subgroup of adherents. Risk factor prevalence has been described and analyzed by geographical area of origin, separately for men and women and adjusted for educational level. RESULTS: among the invited people, 3,420 out of 5,088 accepted the invitation (67.2%); the adherence was lower among foreign women. Both foreign women and men showed lower prevalence of healthy lifestyles compared to Italian participants (women: 20.3% vs. 34.3%; men: 13.2 vs. 25.6%). These differences remained large and statistically significant after adjusting for educational level. The prevalence of hypertension and of hypercholesterolemia/hyperglycaemia (finger stick) was higher among foreign women than among Italian (39.1% vs. 28.4%); remarkably, the prevalence of hyperglycaemia was 8.7% vs.1.9%. CONCLUSIONS: the majority of foreign residents can be reached through a personal invitation to participate in a cardiovascular prevention intervention. Foreign participants show a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors compared to Italian residents. It is advisable to implement a strategy involving both the health personnel of the Department of Prevention and the General practitioners aiming at improving individual and community healthy choices and at an early recognition of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and hypercholesterolemia onset among foreign residents.

Intensity of integrated cancer palliative care plans and end-of-life acute medical hospitalisation among cancer patient in Northern Italy.

A high hospital utilisation at the end of life (EOL) is an indicator of suboptimal quality of health care. We evaluated the impact of the intensity of different Integrated Cancer Palliative Care (ICPC) plans on EOL acute medical hospitalisation among cancer decedents. Decedents of cancer aged 18-84 years, who were residents in two Italian regions, were investigated through integrated administrative data. Outcomes considered were prolonged hospital stay for medical reasons, 2+ hospitalisations during the last month of life and hospital death. The ICPC plans instituted 90 to 31 days before death represented the main exposure of interest. Other variables considered were gender, age class at death, marital status, recent hospitalisation and primary cancer site. Among 6,698 patients included in ICPC plans, 44.3% presented at least one critical outcome indicator; among these, 76.5% died in hospital, 60.3% had a prolonged (12+ days) medical hospitalisation, 19.1% had 2+ hospitalisations at the EOL. These outcomes showed a strong dose-response effect with the intensity of the ICPC plans, which is already evident at levels of moderate intensity. A well-ICPC approach can be very effective-beginning at low levels of intensity of care-in reducing the percentage of patients spending many days or dying in hospital.

[Extending traceability of malignant testicular tumours using hospital discharge records: an experience in Veneto Region (Northern Italy)]. / Estendere la tracciabilità dei tumori maligni del testicolo per mezzo delle Schede di Dimissione Ospedaliera: un'esperienza in Veneto.

OBJECTIVES: validation of codes of hospital discharge records (SDO) for identification of new cases of malignant testicular tumour in the Veneto Region (Northern Italy). DESIGN: record linkage between the regional archive of SDO and the archive of the Veneto Tumour Registry (VTR). SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: extraction of cases from SDO source with ICD-9-CM 186 code for diagnosis and 62.3-62.4 codes for surgical procedure, and from VTR database using ICD-O-3 C62 code for site and 9060-9062, 9064-9066, 9070, 9071, 9080-9083, 9085, 9100, 9101 codes for morphology, with 5th digit behaviour code equal to "/3". Comparison of the two sources in a classification table using VTR data as gold standard. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: positive predictive value and sensitivity of SDO, with 95% confidence interval (95%CI) based on binomial distribution. RESULTS: from 2006 to 2008, in areas covered by the registry, SDO and VTR identified, respectively, 221 and 216 cases of testicular cancer. SDO procedure showed a sensitivity of 92% (95%CI 87%- 95%) and a positive predictive value of 90% (95%CI 85%-93%). CONCLUSIONS: the SDO procedure can be considered an acceptable proxy for testis cancer incidence, thus allowing a wider spatiotemporal observation of the epidemiological trends.

Prevalence, characteristics, and survival of children with esophageal atresia: A 32-year population-based study including 1,417,724 consecutive newborns.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal atresia (EA) is a congenital malformation of the upper gastrointestinal tract with an estimated prevalence varying from 1 in 2500 to 1 in 4500 births. The aim of this study was to describe the epidemiology of EA between 1981 and 2012 and evaluate patients' survival. METHODS: This study used data from a population-based Italian Congenital Malformation Registry. The survival status was ascertained by linking the registry records, vital records and the regional registries of patients. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate survival probabilities up to 25 years and Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate factors that affected survival. RESULTS: A total of 407 cases of EA were identified among 1,417,724 total births. After the exclusion of cases with chromosomal anomalies, 49.9% of the patients presented with at least one associated congenital anomaly. The 25-year survival probability was 85.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 80.8-89.4), with most deaths occurring during the first months of life. Patients' characteristics associated with decreased survival probability were low birth weight (hazard ratio, 3.7; 95% CI, 1.7-8.3) and presence of additional major defects (hazard ratio, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.3-6.0). A significant improvement in survival over the decades was observed for patients with nonisolated EA. CONCLUSION: This study detected a significant improvement in survival of individuals with EA over the past decades and identified the strongest predictors of mortality. These results will be important for the planning of the clinical management and formulation of prognosis when EA is diagnosed in a newborn. Birth Defects Research (Part A) 106:542-548, 2016. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Growing burden of sepsis-related mortality in northeastern Italy: a multiple causes of death analysis.

BACKGROUND: Few population-based data are available on mortality due to sepsis. The aim of the study was to estimate sepsis-related mortality rates and to assess the associated comorbidities. METHODS: From multiple causes of death data (MCOD) of the Veneto Region (northeastern Italy), all deaths with sepsis mentioned anywhere in the death certificate were retrieved for the period 2008-2013. Among these deaths the prevalence of common chronic comorbidities was investigated, as well as the distribution of the underlying cause of death (UCOD), the single disease selected from all condition mentioned in the certificate and usually tabulated in mortality statistics. Age-standardized mortality rates were computed for sepsis selected as the UCOD, and for sepsis mentioned anywhere in the certificate. RESULTS: Overall 16,906 sepsis-related deaths were tracked. Sepsis was mentioned in 6.3 % of all regional deaths, increasing from 4.9 in 2008 to 7.7 % in 2013. Sepsis was the UCOD in 0.6 % of total deaths in 2008, and in 1.6 % in 2013. Age-standardized mortality rates increased by 45 % for all sepsis-related deaths, and by 140 % for sepsis as the UCOD. Sepsis was often reported in the presence of chronic comorbidities, especially neoplasms, diabetes, circulatory diseases, and dementia. Respiratory tract and intra-abdominal infections were the most frequently associated sites of infection. CONCLUSIONS: MCOD analyses provide an estimate of the burden of sepsis-related mortality. MCOD data suggest an increasing importance attributed to sepsis by certifying physicians, but also a real increase in mortality rates, thus confirming trends reported in some other countries by analyses of hospital discharge records.

COPD-Related Mortality and Co-morbidities in Northeastern Italy, 2008-2012: A Multiple Causes of Death Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Analysis of COPD mortality based only on the underlying cause of death (UCOD) derived from death certificates underestimates disease burden. We analyzed the burden of COPD, as well as the pattern of reporting COPD and its co-morbidities in death certificates, using multiple-cause of death (MCOD) records. METHODS: All 220,281 death certificates of decedents aged ≥ 40 years in the Veneto region (northeastern Italy) were analyzed through 2008-2012. The UCOD was selected by the Automated Classification of Medical Entities software. COPD was defined by ICD-10 codes J40-J44 and J47 based either on the UCOD or on any mention of COPD in death certificates (MCOD). Annual age-standardized COPD death rates were computed for 40-85 year-old subjects. RESULTS: COPD was mentioned in 7.9% (and selected as the UCOD in 2.7%) of death certificates. In about half of these, COPD was mentioned in Part II only. After circulatory and neoplastic diseases, the most frequent chronic diseases reported in certificates with any mention of COPD were diabetes (15.2%) and dementia/Alzheimer (8.9%). Between 2008 and 2012, age-standardized death rates (/100,000/year) decreased from 39.8 to 34.0 in males and from 12.7 to 11.3 in females in the UCOD analyses. These trends were confirmed, although figures were three times greater, in the MCOD analyses. CONCLUSIONS: MCOD analysis should be adopted to fully evaluate the burden of COPD-related mortality. Our findings support a decreasing trend in COPD-related mortality in northeastern Italy between 2008 and 2012, in line with other recent studies in Europe and beyond.

Impact on colorectal cancer mortality of screening programmes based on the faecal immunochemical test.

OBJECTIVE: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programmes based on the guaiac faecal occult blood test (gFOBT) reduce CRC-specific mortality. Several studies have shown higher sensitivity with the faecal immunochemical test (FIT) compared with gFOBT. We carried out an ecological study to evaluate the impact of FIT-based screening programmes on CRC mortality. DESIGN: In the Veneto Region (Italy), biennial FIT-based screening programmes that invited 50-69-year-old residents were introduced in different areas between 2002 and 2009. We compared CRC mortality rates from 1995 to 2011 between the areas where screening started in 2002-2004 (early screening areas (ESA)) and areas that introduced the screening in 2008-2009 (late screening areas (LSA)) using Poisson regression models. We also compared available data on CRC incidence rates (1995-2007) and surgical resection rates (2001-2012). RESULTS: Before the introduction of screening, CRC mortality and incidence rates in the two areas were similar. Compared with 1995-2000, 2006-2011 mortality rates were 22% lower in the ESA than in the LSA (rate ratio (RR)=0.78; 95% CI 0.68 to 0.89). The reduction was larger in women (RR=0.64; CI 0.51 to 0.80) than in men (RR=0.87; CI 0.73 to 1.04). In the ESA, incidence and surgery rates peaked during the introduction of the screening programme and then returned to the baseline (2006-2007 incidence) or dropped below initial values (surgery after 2007). CONCLUSIONS: FIT-based screening programmes were associated with a significant reduction in CRC mortality. This effect took place much earlier than reported by gFOBT-based trials and observational studies.

Impact of fecal immunochemical test-based screening programs on proximal and distal colorectal cancer surgery rates: A natural multiple-baseline experiment.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programs based on the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) were found to reduce overall CRC surgery rates, but to the authors' knowledge data by subsite are lacking. The objective of the current study was to assess the impact of FIT-based screening on proximal and distal CRC surgical resection rates. METHODS: The Veneto region in Italy can be subdivided into 3 areas with staggered introduction of FIT-based screening programs: early (2002-2004), intermediate (2005-2007), and late (2008-2009) areas. Time series of proximal and distal CRC surgery were investigated in the 3 populations between 2001 and 2012 by Joinpoint regression analysis and segmented Poisson regression models. RESULTS: The impact of screening was similar in the study populations. Rates of distal CRC surgical resection were stable before screening, increased at the time of screening implementation (rate ratio [RR], 1.25; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.14-1.37), and thereafter declined by 10% annually (RR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.88-0.92). Rates of proximal CRC surgical resection increased by 4% annually before screening (RR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.03-1.05) but, after a peak at the time of screening initiation, the trend was reversed. The percentage represented by proximal CRC surgery rose from 28% in 2001 to 41% in 2012. CONCLUSIONS: In this natural multiple-baseline experiment, consistent findings across each time series demonstrated that FIT-based screening programs have an impact both on proximal and distal CRC surgery rates. However, underlying preexisting epidemiological trends are leading to a rapidly increasing percentage of proximal CRC.

Multiple causes of death analysis of chronic diseases: the example of diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Identifying a single disease as the underlying cause of death (UCOD) is an oversimplification of the clinical-pathological process leading to death. The multiple causes of death (MCOD) approach examines any mention of a disease in death certificates. Taking diabetes as an example, the study investigates: patterns of death certification, differences in mortality figures based on the UCOD and on MCOD, factors associated to the mention of diabetes in death certificates, and potential of MCOD in the analysis of the association between chronic diseases. METHODS: The whole mortality archive of the Veneto Region-Italy was extracted from 2008 to 2010. Mortality rates and proportional mortality were computed for diabetes as the UCOD and as MCOD. The position of the death certificate where diabetes was mentioned was analyzed. Conditional logistic regression was applied with chronic liver diseases (CLD) as the outcome and diabetes as the exposure variable. A subset of 19,605 death certificates of known diabetic patients (identified from the archive of exemptions from medical charges) was analyzed, with mention of diabetes as the outcome and characteristics of subjects as well as other diseases reported in the certificate as predictors. RESULTS: In the whole mortality archive, diabetes was mentioned in 12.3 % of death certificates, and selected as the UCOD in 2.9 %. The death rate for diabetes as the UCOD was 26.8 × 10(5) against 112.6 × 10(5) for MCOD; the UCOD/MCOD ratio was higher in males. The major inconsistencies of certification were entering multiple diseases per line and reporting diabetes as a consequence of circulatory diseases. At logistic regression the mention of diabetes was associated with the mention of CLD (mainly non-alcohol non-viral CLD). In the subset of known diabetic subjects, diabetes was reported in 52.1 %, and selected as the UCOD in 13.4 %. The probability of reporting diabetes was higher with coexisting circulatory diseases and renal failure and with long duration of diabetes, whereas it was lower in the presence of a neoplasm. CONCLUSIONS: The use of MCOD makes the analysis of mortality data more complex, but conveys more information than usual UCOD analyses.

Mortality from chronic liver diseases in diabetes.

OBJECTIVES: Mortality from chronic liver diseases (CLDs) is increased in diabetes, but little is known about the etiology. The aim of this study was to assess mortality rates from CLD by etiology in known diabetic subjects living in the Veneto Region, Northern Italy. METHODS: A total of 167,621 diabetic subjects, aged 30-89 years (54.6% men), were identified in the year 2007 and their vital status was assessed between 2008 and 2010. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed with regional mortality rates as reference. The underlying cause of death and all comordidities reported on the certificate were scrutinized in order to identify CLD deaths and their main etiologies. The latter were grouped into the following three categories: (i) virus-related, (ii) alcohol-related, and (iii) non-virus, non-alcohol-related (mainly represented by nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, NAFLD). RESULTS: Analyses were based upon 473,374 person-years of follow-up and 17,134 deaths. We observed an increased risk of dying from CLD in diabetic subjects with an SMR of 2.47 (95% CI=2.19-2.78) in men and 2.70 (2.24-3.23) in women. SMRs were 2.17 (1.90-2.47), 2.25 (1.98-2.54), and 2.86 (2.65-3.08) for virus-related, alcohol-related, and non-virus, non-alcohol-related CLD, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetic patients have a twofold to threefold higher risk of dying of CLD, mainly associated with a non-virus and non-alcohol-related etiology, which is largely attributable to NAFLD. An early diagnosis and treatment of NAFLD, if any, may have a beneficial clinical impact on the survival of diabetic patients.

Descriptive epidemiology of chronic liver disease in northeastern Italy: an analysis of multiple causes of death.

BACKGROUND: The analysis of multiple causes of death data has been applied in the United States to examine the population burden of chronic liver disease (CLD) and to assess time trends of alcohol-related and hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related CLD mortality. The aim of this study was to assess the mortality for CLD by etiology in the Veneto Region (northeastern Italy). METHODS: Using the 2008-2010 regional archive of mortality, all causes registered on death certificates were extracted and different descriptive epidemiological measures were computed for HCV-related, alcohol-related, and overall CLD-related mortality. RESULTS: The crude mortality rate of all CLD was close to 40 per 100,000 residents. In middle ages (35 to 74 years) CLD was mentioned in about 10% and 6% of all deaths in males and females, respectively. Etiology was unspecified in about half of CLD deaths. In females and males, respectively, HCV was mentioned in 44% and 21% and alcohol in 11% and 26% of overall CLD deaths. A bimodal distribution with age was observed for HCV-related proportional mortality among females, reflecting the available seroprevalence data. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple causes of death analyses can provide useful insights into the burden of CLD mortality according to etiology among different population subgroups.

Outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 (delta) variant in a nursing home 28 weeks after two doses of mRNA anti-COVID-19 vaccines: evidence of a waning immunity.

OBJECTIVES: To describe a severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant outbreak among residents (n = 69) and health workers (n = 69) of a small nursing home in northeastern Italy, with full vaccination coverage of 91% and 82%, respectively. Evaluation of the anti-Spike IgG titres 28 weeks after the mRNA vaccine booster dose against SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Sera were collected within 48 hours from the index case; anti-Spike IgG was determined (expressed as WHO binding antibody units (BAU)/mL) through a commercial quantitative assay; SARS-CoV-2 was diagnosed using RT-PCR, and full-genome sequencing was performed for lineage characterization. Residents were grouped according to anti-Spike IgG titres (≤50, 51-1000 and > 1000 BAU/mL) and the resulting protection against infection and severe disease was measured. RESULTS: None of the health workers and 14 of the 59 (24%) residents fully vaccinated and without a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection showed anti-Spike IgG ≤50 BAU/mL (one-sided Fisher exact test, p 0.011). Among these residents, a level of anti-Spike IgG ≤50 BAU/mL resulted in a higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection (relative risk 1.55, 95% CI 1.17-2.05) and severe COVID-19 (relative risk 5.33, 95% CI 1.83-15.57). CONCLUSION: Low levels of SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing anti-Spike IgG in serum 28 weeks after the administration of the second dose parallel the waning of vaccine protection.

Widening Disparities in Teen HPV Vaccinations during COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study from Veneto Region (Italy).

INTRODUCTION: In Local Health Unit 7, human papilloma virus (HPV) vaccination campaigns for 12-year-olds have long been implemented by the vaccination services of the Department of Prevention. Due to the pressure of the COVID-19 pandemic on these services, an emergency vaccination campaign was directly managed by primary care pediatricians (PCPs). An initial evaluation of this experience was conducted. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on 12-year-olds assisted by PCPs belonging to the 2006 (pre-pandemic) and 2008 (pandemic) birth cohorts were extracted, along with HPV vaccination data. Health district, gender, citizenship, socioeconomic status, and PCPs were evaluated as possible influencing factors in a two-level logistic regression (second level: single PCP). RESULTS: The HPV vaccination gap between males and females increased significantly for the 2008 birth cohort compared to the 2006 birth cohort (11 vs. 4 percentage points). As for PCPs, the vaccination uptake range was 4-71% for the 2008 birth cohort vs. 32-85% for the 2006 cohort. The proportion of variance explained at the second level was overall equal to 9.7% for the 2008 cohort vs. 3.6% for the 2006 cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The vaccination campaign carried out during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic increased the HPV vaccination gaps among Health Districts, genders, and individual PCPs, probably due to a lack of homogeneity in professional practices and attitudes toward HPV vaccination. Catch-up interventions are required in the immediate term, while an equity-lens approach should be taken for reprogramming the vaccination campaign. Greater involvement of schools and families could ensure a more equitable approach and a better uptake.

Rubella immunity status and the active offer of MMR/MMRV vaccination during pregnancy.

INTRODUCTION: The rubella test during pregnancy makes it possible to identify situations at risk of congenital rubella and those pregnant mothers who should be offered the MMR vaccine. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Authors analysed test coverage and the immunity status of pregnant mothers between 2005 and 2017, using birth attendance certificates. RESULTS: Rubella test coverage on 61,437 pregnant mothers was 99.4%. The average proportion of susceptible subjects was 6.4%. Seroconversion was observed in 7 cases, with 1 confirmed case of congenital rubella. 32% of susceptible subjects were vaccinated, and adherence was seen to be influenced by the characteristics of the pregnant women and of the maternity unit. CONCLUSIONS: A current information flow including a number of healthcare services, is useful both for monitoring the maternity care pathway and for public health purposes.

dTap vaccination uptake during pregnancy: Pregnant women-focused and health professionals-focused predictors in the Veneto Region (Italy).

BACKGROUND: Despite recommendations, the uptake of dTap maternal vaccination is still low in many countries. The reasons for this must be investigated both on the patient's and the healthcare professionals' sides. METHODS: A record linkage study was performed linking Birth Assitance Certificates and dTap mothers' vaccination records (5183 deliveries) to describe the influence of socioeconomical and obstetrical-gynecological factors after the recommendations concerning dTap vaccination in pregnancy issued by the Italian Ministry of Health (August 2018). An interview was also administered to a subgroup of 656 new mothers on the occasion of the first vaccination of their newborns, in order to assess the dTap vaccination advice received from maternal care providers during pregnancy. A generalized linear model (binomial family, log link) was implemented to give a correct estimate of the mother's relative risk of being vaccinated. RESULTS: Several pregnant women-focused factors are evident, but the most important ones are related to maternal care providers' practices: after mutual adjustment, the explicit advice towards dTap maternal vaccination given by the Obstetrician-Gynecologist or the Midwife is associated with a 12-fold increase in the dTap coverage. CONCLUSIONS: Multiprofessional training is essential to make Obstetricians-Gynecologists and Midwives more confident in recommending dTaP maternal immunization.

[Risk factors for one year hospitalization and death of 615 home care patients with multidimensional assessment]. / Fattori di rischio per i'ospedalizzazione ed il decesso ad un anno in 615 pazienti assistiti in cure domiciliari sottoposti a valutazione multidimensionale.

INTRODUCTION: The District care activities are often presented as number of patients, interventions or home visits. A better description should render more visible the persons and their clinical problems whose outcomes should be monitored. AIM: To prospectically monitor the outcomes in a sample of home care patients followed for one year. METHODS: Six hundred sixty two home care patients of two Local Health Units of Veneto Region with at least two nurses visits per month had a multidimensional assessment and were followed for one year. RESULTS: At the end of follow-up 32% of patients had died, 3.9% had been admitted to a Nursing home; 41.9% had at least one hospital admission and for 49.7% the number of nursing visits was increased. Closeness to death and inadequate family support were independently associated to an increased risk of hospital admission, while patients with severe cognitive impairment tend to be admitted to hospital less frequently. Of the 216 bedridden patients those with inadequate family support are at higher risk for death and hospital admissions. CONCLUSIONS: Home care informative systems allow to assess and monitor the more severe patients thus producing information useful for the continuous improvement of caring processes.

Failure to rescue as a source of variation in hospital mortality after rectal surgery: The Italian experience.

INTRODUCTION: Failure to rescue (FTR) patients from postoperative complications could contribute to the variability in surgical mortality seen among hospitals with different volumes. We sought to examine the impact of complications and FTR on mortality following rectal surgery. METHODS: The National Italian Hospital Discharge Dataset allowed to identify 75,280 patients who underwent rectal surgery between 2002 and 2014. Hospital volume was stratified into tertiles. Rates of major complications, FTR from complications and mortality following rectal surgery were compared. RESULTS: During the study period, both the incidence of complications (2002, 23.7% versus 2014, 21.2%), and FTR decreased overtime (2002, 6.9% versus 2014, 3.8%) (both P < 0.001). The complication rate was 24.4% in low-, 21.6% in intermediate- and 20.4% in high-volume hospitals (P < 0.001). Complications were less common in minimally invasive surgery (MIS) versus open cases (18.2% versus 23.2%; P < 0.001). The most frequent complications included prolonged ileus or small bowel obstruction (5.3%), and anemia requiring blood transfusions (5.3%). The rate of FTR was 5.5%, 5.6% and 3.7% for low-, intermediate- and high-volume hospitals, respectively (P < 0.001). FTR after MIS was 2.6% vs. 5.5% after open surgery (P < 0.001). After accounting for patient and hospital characteristics, patients treated at low-volume hospitals were 23% more likely to die after a complication, compared to patients at high-volume hospitals (OR 1.23, 95%CI 1.13-1.33). CONCLUSIONS: Hospital volume is the strongest predictor of complication and FTR. The reduction in mortality in high-volume hospitals could be determined by the better ability to rescue patients. These findings support the centralization policy of rectal cancer treatment.