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1.
Nature ; 590(7844): 134-139, 2021 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33348340

RESUMEN

As countries in Europe gradually relaxed lockdown restrictions after the first wave, test-trace-isolate strategies became critical to maintain the incidence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) at low levels1,2. Reviewing their shortcomings can provide elements to consider in light of the second wave that is currently underway in Europe. Here we estimate the rate of detection of symptomatic cases of COVID-19 in France after lockdown through the use of virological3 and participatory syndromic4 surveillance data coupled with mathematical transmission models calibrated to regional hospitalizations2. Our findings indicate that around 90,000 symptomatic infections, corresponding to 9 out 10 cases, were not ascertained by the surveillance system in the first 7 weeks after lockdown from 11 May to 28 June 2020, although the test positivity rate did not exceed the 5% recommendation of the World Health Organization (WHO)5. The median detection rate increased from 7% (95% confidence interval, 6-8%) to 38% (35-44%) over time, with large regional variations, owing to a strengthening of the system as well as a decrease in epidemic activity. According to participatory surveillance data, only 31% of individuals with COVID-19-like symptoms consulted a doctor in the study period. This suggests that large numbers of symptomatic cases of COVID-19 did not seek medical advice despite recommendations, as confirmed by serological studies6,7. Encouraging awareness and same-day healthcare-seeking behaviour of suspected cases of COVID-19 is critical to improve detection. However, the capacity of the system remained insufficient even at the low epidemic activity achieved after lockdown, and was predicted to deteriorate rapidly with increasing incidence of COVID-19 cases. Substantially more aggressive, targeted and efficient testing with easier access is required to act as a tool to control the COVID-19 pandemic. The testing strategy will be critical to enable partial lifting of the current restrictive measures in Europe and to avoid a third wave.


Asunto(s)
Prueba de COVID-19/estadística & datos numéricos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/prevención & control , Portador Sano/epidemiología , Modelos Biológicos , Distribución por Edad , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/transmisión , Portador Sano/prevención & control , Portador Sano/transmisión , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Conductas Relacionadas con la Salud , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Pandemias/estadística & datos numéricos , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Distanciamiento Físico , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , Factores de Tiempo , Negativa del Paciente al Tratamiento/estadística & datos numéricos , Organización Mundial de la Salud
2.
Eur J Clin Pharmacol ; 79(7): 937-945, 2023 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37184597

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Pharmacokinetic interactions exist between apixaban or rivaroxaban, and CYP3A4 and P-glycoprotein inhibitors such as amiodarone, verapamil and diltiazem. We aimed to estimate the prevalence of exposure to this drug-drug association (DDA) and to assess the bleeding risk associated in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: We conducted a cohort study using a representative 1/97th sample of the French healthcare insurance database between 2014 and 2019. Patients with AF receiving apixaban or rivaroxaban were included and followed-up until hospitalization for bleeding, death, discontinuation of apixaban or rivaroxaban, exposure to strong CYP3A4 inhibitor, or until December 31st 2019, whichever came first. Primary outcome was hospitalization for bleeding registered as primary diagnosis. The association between the exposure to the DDA and hospitalization for bleeding was evaluated as a time-dependent variable in Cox model. RESULTS: Between 2014 and 2019, the AF population under apixaban or rivaroxaban represented 10,392 patients. During the study period, the annual average prevalence of DDA exposure in this population was 38.9%. Among the 10,392 patients, 223 (2.1%) were hospitalized for bleeding, of which 75 (33.6%) received the association and 148 (66.4%) received apixaban or rivaroxaban alone. There was no association between DDA exposure and risk of hospitalization for bleeding (aHR = 1.19, [95% CI: 0.90, 1.58]). Age (HR 1.03 [1.02, 1.05]) and male gender (HR 1.72 [1.28, 2.30]) were associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for bleeding. CONCLUSION: Exposure to antiarrhythmic drugs was not associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for bleeding in patients with AF under rivaroxaban or apixaban.


Asunto(s)
Fibrilación Atrial , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Masculino , Fibrilación Atrial/tratamiento farmacológico , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Rivaroxabán/efectos adversos , Anticoagulantes/efectos adversos , Antiarrítmicos/efectos adversos , Estudios de Cohortes , Prevalencia , Hemorragia/inducido químicamente , Hemorragia/epidemiología , Piridonas/efectos adversos , Atención a la Salud , Dabigatrán/efectos adversos , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología
3.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 116(5): 1802-1807, 2019 01 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30642967

RESUMEN

Infections caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae-including invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPDs)-remain a significant public health concern worldwide. The marked winter seasonality of IPDs is a striking, but still enigmatic aspect of pneumococcal epidemiology in nontropical climates. Here we confronted age-structured dynamic models of carriage transmission and disease with detailed IPD incidence data to test a range of hypotheses about the components and the mechanisms of pneumococcal seasonality. We find that seasonal variations in climate, influenza-like illnesses, and interindividual contacts jointly explain IPD seasonality. We show that both the carriage acquisition rate and the invasion rate vary seasonally, acting in concert to generate the marked seasonality typical of IPDs. We also find evidence that influenza-like illnesses increase the invasion rate in an age-specific manner, with a more pronounced effect in the elderly than in other demographics. Finally, we quantify the potential impact of seasonally timed interventions, a type of control measures that exploit pneumococcal seasonality to help reduce IPDs. Our findings shed light on the epidemiology of pneumococcus and may have notable implications for the control of pneumococcal infections.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Neumocócicas/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estaciones del Año , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Adulto Joven
4.
Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis ; 40(6): 1263-1269, 2021 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33474677

RESUMEN

Influenza viruses cause seasonal epidemics whose intensity varies according to the circulating virus type and subtype. We aim to estimate influenza-like illness (ILI) incidence attributable to influenza viruses in France from October 2014 to May 2019. Physicians participating in the French Sentinelles network reported the number of patients with ILI seen in consultation and performed nasopharyngeal swabs in a sample of these patients. The swabs were tested by RT-PCR for the presence of influenza viruses. These clinical and virological data were combined to estimate ILI incidence attributable to influenza viruses by subtypes and age groups. Influenza incidence rates over seasons ranged from 1.9 (95% CI, 1.9; 2.0) to 3.4% (95% CI, 3.2; 3.6) of the population. Each season, more than half of ILI cases were attributable to influenza. Children under 15 years were the most affected, with influenza incidence rates ranging from 3.0 (95% CI, 2.8;3.3) to 5.7% (95% CI, 5.3;6.1). Co-circulation of several (sub)types of influenza viruses was observed each year, except in 2016/2017 where A(H3N2) viruses accounted for 98.0% of the influenza cases. Weekly ILI incidences attributable to each influenza virus (sub)type were mostly synchronized with ILI incidence, except in 2014/2015 and 2017/2018, where incidence attributable to type B viruses peaked few weeks later. The burden of medically attended influenza among patients with ILI is significant in France, varying considerably across years and age groups. These results show the importance of influenza surveillance in primary care combining clinical and virological data.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Lactante , Gripe Humana/virología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Orthomyxoviridae/clasificación , Orthomyxoviridae/genética , Orthomyxoviridae/aislamiento & purificación , Orthomyxoviridae/fisiología , Atención Primaria de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Estaciones del Año , Adulto Joven
5.
Eur J Clin Pharmacol ; 76(12): 1675-1682, 2020 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32632714

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Drug-drug interactions (DDIs) require monitoring in an aging population with increasing polypharmacy exposure. We aimed to estimate the prevalence of exposure to potential DDIs using the French healthcare insurance system database, for six DDIs with various clinical relevance: angiotensin II receptor blockers or angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (ARBs-ACEIs + NSAIDs), antiplatelet agents and NSAIDs (AAP + NSAIDs), serotonergic drugs and tramadol (SD + T), statins and macrolides (S + M), oral anticoagulant and NSAIDs (OAC + NSAIDs), and colchicine and macrolides (C + M). METHODS: We used exhaustive healthcare data from a 1/97th random sample of the population covered by the French health insurance system (EGB) between 2006 and 2016. Exposure to a DDI was defined as overlapping exposure to two interacting drugs. The prevalence of exposure was estimated by year. RESULTS: Prevalence of exposure in 2016 was estimated at 3.7% for ARBs-ACEIs + NSAIDs, 1.5% for AAP + NSAIDs, 0.76% for SD + T, 0.36% for S + M, 0.24% for AOC + NSAIDs, and 0.02% for C + M. In 26% to 58% of episodes of exposure, the two interacting drugs were prescribed by the same physician and dispensed by the same pharmacy the same day. Between 2006 and 2016, the yearly prevalence was increasing for SD + T and for DDIs involving NSAIDs, and it was decreasing for those involving macrolides. CONCLUSION: Exposures to potential DDIs in France are not uncommon with a high proportion resulting from a co-prescription by the same physician. Monitoring the prevalence of exposure to DDIs is needed to implement prevention measures. Administrative data enable this surveillance in large and representative cohorts.


Asunto(s)
Bases de Datos Factuales/estadística & datos numéricos , Interacciones Farmacológicas , Prescripciones de Medicamentos/estadística & datos numéricos , Programas Nacionales de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/farmacología , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores de la Enzima Convertidora de Angiotensina/farmacología , Inhibidores de la Enzima Convertidora de Angiotensina/uso terapéutico , Antiinflamatorios no Esteroideos/farmacología , Antiinflamatorios no Esteroideos/uso terapéutico , Anticoagulantes/farmacología , Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas/farmacología , Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas/uso terapéutico , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Inhibidores de Agregación Plaquetaria/farmacología , Inhibidores de Agregación Plaquetaria/uso terapéutico , Polifarmacia , Prevalencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Serotoninérgicos/farmacología , Serotoninérgicos/uso terapéutico , Tramadol/farmacología , Tramadol/uso terapéutico , Adulto Joven
6.
BMC Public Health ; 20(1): 1146, 2020 Jul 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32693787

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Although it is rarely fatal in developed countries, acute gastroenteritis (AGE) still induces significant morbidity and economic costs. The objective of this study was to identify factors associated with AGE in winter in the general population. METHODS: A prospective study was performed during winter seasons from 2014 to 2015 to 2016-2017. Participants filled an inclusion survey and reported weekly data on acute symptoms. Factors associated with having at least one AGE episode per winter season were analyzed using the generalized estimating equations (GEE) approach. RESULTS: They were 13,974 participants included in the study over the three seasons. On average, 8.1% of participants declared at least one AGE episode during a winter season. People over 60 declared fewer AGE episodes (adjusted OR (aOR) = 0.76, 95% CI [0.64; 0.89]) compared to individuals between 15 and 60 years old, as well as children between 10 and 15 (aOR = 0.60 [0.37; 0.98]). Overweight (aOR = 1.25 [1.07; 1.45]) and obese (aOR = 1.47 [1.19; 1.81]) individuals, those having frequent cold (aOR = 1.63 [1.37; 1.94]) and those with at least one chronic condition (aOR = 1.35 [1.16; 1.58]) had more AGE episodes. Living alone was associated with a higher AGE episode rate (aOR = 1.31 [1.09; 1.59]), as well as having pets at home (aOR = 1.23 [1.08; 1.41]). CONCLUSIONS: Having a better knowledge of AGE determinants will be useful to adapt public health prevention messages.


Asunto(s)
Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Gastroenteritis/etiología , Salud Pública/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedad Aguda , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Internet , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Morbilidad , Sobrepeso/complicaciones , Sobrepeso/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Estaciones del Año , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Adulto Joven
7.
Euro Surveill ; 25(14)2020 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32290901

RESUMEN

Several French regions where coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been reported currently show a renewed increase in ILI cases in the general practice-based Sentinelles network. We computed the number of excess cases by region from 24 February to 8 March 2020 and found a correlation with the number of reported COVID-19 cases so far. The data suggest larger circulation of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the French population than apparent from confirmed cases.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Coronavirus , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral/epidemiología , Vigilancia de Guardia , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Infecciones por Coronavirus/transmisión , Brotes de Enfermedades , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Neumonía Viral/transmisión , SARS-CoV-2
8.
Am J Epidemiol ; 188(4): 724-733, 2019 04 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30576414

RESUMEN

Surveillance data used by epidemic alert systems are typically fully aggregated in space at the national level. However, epidemics may be spatially heterogeneous, undergoing distinct dynamics in distinct regions of the surveillance area. We unveiled this in retrospective analyses by classifying incidence time series. We used Pearson correlation to quantify the similarity between local time series and then classified them using modularity maximization. The surveillance area was thus divided into regions with different incidence patterns. We analyzed 31 years (1985-2016) of data on influenza-like illness from the French Sentinelles system and found spatial heterogeneity in 19 of 31 influenza seasons. However, distinct epidemic regions could be identified only 4-5 weeks after a nationwide alert. The impact of spatial heterogeneity on influenza epidemiology was complex. First, when a nationwide alert was triggered, 32%-41% of the administrative regions of France were experiencing an epidemic, while the others were not. Second, the nationwide alert was timely for the whole surveillance area, but subsequently regions experienced distinct epidemic dynamics. Third, the epidemic dynamics were homogeneous in space. Spatial heterogeneity analyses can provide information on the timing of the peak and end of the epidemic, in various regions, for use in tailoring disease monitoring and control.


Asunto(s)
Epidemias/estadística & datos numéricos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Virosis/epidemiología , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estaciones del Año , Factores de Tiempo
9.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 19(1): 110, 2019 05 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31151387

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: This study compares an algorithm to detect acute gastroenteritis (AG) episodes from drug dispensing data to the validated data reported in a primary care surveillance system in France. METHODS: We used drug dispensing data collected in a drugstore database and data collected by primary care physicians involved in a French surveillance network, from season 2014/15 to 2016/17. We used an adapted version of an AG discrimination algorithm to identify AG episodes from the drugstore database. We used Pearson's correlation coefficient to evaluate the agreement between weekly AG signals obtained from the two data sources during winter months, in the overall population, by specific age-groups and by regions. RESULTS: Correlations between AG signals for all ages were 0.84 [95%CI 0.69; 0.92] for season 2014/15, 0.87 [95%CI 0.75; 0.93] for season 2015/16 and 0.94 [95%CI 0.88; 0.97] for season 2016/17. The association between AG signals estimated from two data sources varied significantly across age groups in season 2016/17 (p-value < 0.01), and across regions in all three seasons studied (p-value < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: There is a strong agreement between the dynamic of AG activity estimated from drug dispensing data and from validated primary care surveillance data collected during winter months in the overall population but the agreement is poorer in several age groups and in several regions. Once automated, the reuse of drug dispensing data, already collected for reimbursement purposes, could be a cost-efficient method to monitor AG activity at the national level.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Prescripciones de Medicamentos/estadística & datos numéricos , Gastroenteritis/tratamiento farmacológico , Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Atención Primaria de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Bases de Datos Factuales/estadística & datos numéricos , Monitoreo Epidemiológico , Francia/epidemiología , Gastroenteritis/diagnóstico , Humanos , Vigilancia de la Población , Estaciones del Año
10.
BMC Infect Dis ; 19(1): 561, 2019 Jun 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31248368

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In a context of increasing use of Nucleic Acid Amplification Test, diagnoses of Neisseria gonorrhoeae and Chlamydia trachomatis infections among men increased in Europe and USA since 2007. We aimed to describe trends in the incidence of male urethritis in France between 2007 and 2017. METHODS: We analysed male urethritis clinical cases reported by the French GPs' Sentinelles network. RESULTS: GPs reported 1944 cases of male urethritis during the study period. The estimated annual incidence rates in men aged 15 years and older remained stable between 226 cases per 100,000 seen in 2007 and 196 in 2017 (P value = 0.9). A third-generation cephalosporin with macrolide or tetracycline was prescribed in 17.5% of cases in 2009 (27/154) and 32.4% in 2017 (47/145) (P value = 0.0327). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence rates for adult male urethritis diagnosed in primary care have remained stable since 2007 in France in contrast with the increasing trend of Neisseria gonorrhoeae and Chlamydia trachomatis infections based on microbiological surveillance. Using stable clinical definition for male urethritis seems essential to follow correctly epidemiological dynamic.


Asunto(s)
Chlamydia trachomatis/genética , Neisseria gonorrhoeae/genética , Trichomonas vaginalis/genética , Uretritis/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Cefalosporinas/uso terapéutico , Chlamydia trachomatis/aislamiento & purificación , ADN Bacteriano/aislamiento & purificación , ADN Bacteriano/metabolismo , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neisseria gonorrhoeae/aislamiento & purificación , Técnicas de Amplificación de Ácido Nucleico , Trichomonas vaginalis/aislamiento & purificación , Uretritis/tratamiento farmacológico , Uretritis/epidemiología , Uretritis/microbiología , Adulto Joven
11.
Fam Pract ; 36(4): 425-430, 2019 07 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30423110

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The safety of non-steroids anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) in the context of pharyngitis is doubtful with contradictory results in the literature. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the risk of peritonsillar abscess (PTA) associated to NSAIDs consumption during a pharyngitis episode observed in primary care. METHOD: A retrospective cohort study using Observatory of General Medicine Datalink from 1995 to 2010. All patients consulting a GP from the Datalink network for pharyngitis have been included. The occurrence of a PTA in the 15 days following the consultation for pharyngitis was matched. The association between PTA and prescriptions of NSAIDs was studied via an adjusted logistic regression model. RESULTS: During the study period, 105 802 cases of pharyngitis and 48 cases of PTA following a pharyngitis were reported, concerning respectively 67 765 and 47 patients. In the multivariate analysis, the risk of PTA was associated positively with a NSAIDs prescription (OR = 2.9, 95% CI = 1.6-5.2). Other factors associated with PTA occurrence were the prescription of corticosteroids (OR = 3.1, 95% CI = 1.3-7.6) and an age between 20 and 40 years (OR = 5.7, 95% CI = 2.5-13.0). The prescription of antibiotics was not significantly associated with PTA (P = 0.7). CONCLUSION: Prescription of NSAIDs in pharyngitis may increase the risk of PTA. This study encourages considering cautiously the balance between benefits and harms before prescription of NSAIDs for pharyngitis.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Antiinflamatorios no Esteroideos/efectos adversos , Antiinflamatorios no Esteroideos/uso terapéutico , Absceso Peritonsilar/epidemiología , Faringitis/tratamiento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Absceso Peritonsilar/etiología , Atención Primaria de Salud , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto Joven
12.
BMC Public Health ; 19(1): 879, 2019 Jul 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31272411

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Influenza generates a significant societal impact on morbidity, mortality, and associated costs. The study objective was to identify factors associated with influenza-like-illness (ILI) episodes during seasonal influenza epidemics among the general population. METHODS: A prospective study was conducted with the GrippeNet.fr crowdsourced cohort between 2012/13 and 2017/18. After having completed a yearly profile survey detailing socio-demographic, lifestyle and health characteristics, participants reported weekly data on symptoms. Factors associated with at least one ILI episode per influenza epidemic, using the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control case definition, were analyzed through a conditional logistic regression model. RESULTS: From 2012/13 to 2017/18, 6992 individuals participated at least once, and 61% of them were women (n = 4258). From 11% (n = 469/4140 in 2013/14) to 29% (n = 866/2943 in 2012/13) of individuals experienced at least one ILI during an influenza epidemic. Factors associated with higher risk for ILI were: gender female (OR = 1.29, 95%CI [1.20; 1.40]), young age (< 5 years old: 3.12 [2.05; 4.68]); from 5 to 14 years old: 1.53 [1.17; 2.00]), respiratory allergies (1.27 [1.18; 1.37]), receiving a treatment for chronic disease (1.20 [1.09; 1.32]), being overweight (1.18 [1.08; 1.29]) or obese (1.28 [1.14; 1.44]), using public transport (1.17 [1.07; 1.29]) and having contact with pets (1.18 [1.09; 1.27]). Older age (≥ 75 years old: 0.70 [0.56; 0.87]) and being vaccinated against influenza (0.91 [0.84; 0.99]) were found to be protective factors for ILI. CONCLUSIONS: This ILI risk factors analysis confirms and further completes the list of factors observed through traditional surveillance systems. It indicates that crowdsourced cohorts are effective to study ILI determinants at the population level. These findings could be used to adapt influenza prevention messages at the population level to reduce the spread of the disease.


Asunto(s)
Colaboración de las Masas , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto Joven
13.
Am J Epidemiol ; 187(5): 1029-1039, 2018 05 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29053767

RESUMEN

The seasonalities of influenza-like illnesses (ILIs) and invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPDs) remain incompletely understood. Experimental evidence indicates that influenza-virus infection predisposes to pneumococcal disease, so that a correspondence in the seasonal patterns of ILIs and IPDs might exist at the population level. We developed a method to characterize seasonality by means of easily interpretable summary statistics of seasonal shape-or seasonal waveforms. Nonlinear mixed-effects models were used to estimate those waveforms based on weekly case reports of ILIs and IPDs in 5 regions spanning continental France from July 2000 to June 2014. We found high variability of ILI seasonality, with marked fluctuations of peak amplitudes and peak times, but a more conserved epidemic duration. In contrast, IPD seasonality was best modeled by a markedly regular seasonal baseline, punctuated by 2 winter peaks in late December to early January and January to February. Comparing ILI and IPD seasonal waveforms, we found indication of a small, positive correlation. Direct models regressing IPDs on ILIs provided comparable results, even though they estimated moderately larger associations. The method proposed is broadly applicable to diseases with unambiguous seasonality and is well-suited to analyze spatially or temporally grouped data, which are common in epidemiology.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Dinámicas no Lineales , Infecciones Neumocócicas/epidemiología , Estaciones del Año , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Análisis de Regresión
14.
Euro Surveill ; 23(25)2018 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29945696

RESUMEN

IntroductionParticipatory surveillance systems provide rich crowdsourced data, profiling individuals and their health status at a given time. We explored the usefulness of data from GrippeNet.fr, a participatory surveillance system, to estimate influenza-related illness incidence in France. Methods: GrippeNet.fr is an online cohort since 2012 averaging ca. 5,000 weekly participants reporting signs/symptoms suggestive of influenza. GrippeNet.fr has flexible criteria to define influenza-related illness. Different case definitions based on reported signs/symptoms and inclusions of criteria accounting for individuals' reporting and participation were used to produce influenza-related illness incidence estimates, which were compared to those from sentinel networks. We focused on the 2012/13 and 2013/14 seasons when two sentinel networks, monitoring influenza-like-illness (ILI) and acute respiratory infections (ARI) existed in France. Results: GrippeNet.fr incidence estimates agreed well with official temporal trends, with a higher accuracy for ARI than ILI. The influenza epidemic peak was often anticipated by one week, despite irregular participation of individuals. The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control ILI definition, commonly used by participatory surveillance in Europe, performed better in tracking ARI than ILI when applied to GrippeNet.fr data. Conclusion: Evaluation of the epidemic intensity from crowdsourced data requires epidemic and intensity threshold estimations from several consecutive seasons. The study provides a standardised analytical framework for crowdsourced surveillance showing high sensitivity in detecting influenza-related changes in the population. It contributes to improve the comparability of epidemics across seasons and with sentinel systems. In France, GrippeNet.fr may supplement the ILI sentinel network after ARI surveillance discontinuation in 2014.


Asunto(s)
Colaboración de las Masas , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Vigilancia de Guardia , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Estaciones del Año
15.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 16(1): 156, 2016 11 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27846798

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In surveillance networks based on voluntary participation of health-care professionals, there is little choice regarding the selection of participants' characteristics. External information about participants, for example local physician density, can help reduce bias in incidence estimates reported by the surveillance network. METHODS: There is an inverse association between the number of reported influenza-like illness (ILI) cases and local general practitioners (GP) density. We formulated and compared estimates of ILI incidence using this relationship. To compare estimates, we simulated epidemics using a spatially explicit disease model and their observation by surveillance networks with different characteristics: random, maximum coverage, largest cities, etc. RESULTS: In the French practice-based surveillance network - the "Sentinelles" network - GPs reported 3.6% (95% CI [3;4]) less ILI cases as local GP density increased by 1 GP per 10,000 inhabitants. Incidence estimates varied markedly depending on scenarios for participant selection in surveillance. Yet accounting for change in GP density for participants allowed reducing bias. Applied on data from the Sentinelles network, changes in overall incidence ranged between 1.6 and 9.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Local GP density is a simple measure that provides a way to reduce bias in estimating disease incidence in general practice. It can contribute to improving disease monitoring when it is not possible to choose the characteristics of participants.


Asunto(s)
Redes Comunitarias/estadística & datos numéricos , Medicina General/estadística & datos numéricos , Médicos Generales/estadística & datos numéricos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Vigilancia de Guardia , Algoritmos , Simulación por Computador , Epidemias , Francia/epidemiología , Geografía , Humanos , Incidencia , Modelos Teóricos , Estaciones del Año , Análisis Espacial
16.
Popul Health Metr ; 12: 19, 2014.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25435814

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In primary care surveillance systems based on voluntary participation, biased results may arise from the lack of representativeness of the monitored population and uncertainty regarding the population denominator, especially in health systems where patient registration is not required. METHODS: Based on the observation of a positive association between number of cases reported and number of consultations by the participating general practitioners (GPs), we define several weighted incidence estimators using external information on consultation volume in GPs. These estimators are applied to data reported in a French primary care surveillance system based on voluntary GPs (the Sentinelles network) for comparison. RESULTS: Depending on hypotheses for weight computations, relative changes in weekly national-level incidence estimates up to 3% for influenza, 6% for diarrhea, and 11% for varicella were observed. The use of consultation-weighted estimates led to bias reduction in the estimates. At the regional level (NUTS2 level - Nomenclature of Statistical Territorial Units Level 2), relative changes were even larger between incidence estimates, with changes between -40% and +55%. Using bias-reduced weights decreased variation in incidence between regions and increased spatial autocorrelation. CONCLUSIONS: Post-stratification using external administrative data may improve incidence estimates in surveillance systems based on voluntary participation.

17.
BMC Infect Dis ; 14: 574, 2014 Oct 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25358721

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Data describing the epidemiology and management of viral acute diarrhea (AD) in adults are scant. The objective of this study was to identify the incidence, clinical characteristics, management and risk factors of winter viral AD in adults. METHODS: The incidence of AD in adults during two consecutive winters (from December 2010 to April 2011 and from December 2011 to April 2012) was estimated from the French Sentinelles network. During these two winters, a subset of Sentinelles general practitioners (GPs) identified and included adult patients who presented with AD and who filled out a questionnaire and returned a stool specimen for virological examination. All stool specimens were tested for astrovirus, group A rotavirus, human enteric adenovirus, and norovirus of genogroup I and genogroup II. Age- and sex-matched controls were included to permit a case-control analysis with the aim of identifying risk factors for viral AD. RESULTS: During the studied winters, the average incidence of AD in adults was estimated to be 3,158 per 100,000 French adults (95% CI [2,321 - 3,997]). The most reported clinical signs were abdominal pain (91.1%), watery diarrhea (88.5%), and nausea (83.3%). GPs prescribed a treatment in 95% of the patients with AD, and 80% of the working patients with AD could not go to work. Stool examinations were positive for at least one enteric virus in 65% (95% CI [57 - 73]) of patients with AD with a predominance of noroviruses (49%). Having been in contact with a person who has suffered from AD in the last 7 days, whether within or outside the household, and having a job (or being a student) were risk factors significantly associated with acquiring viral AD. CONCLUSIONS: During the winter, AD of viral origin is a frequent disease in adults, and noroviruses are most often the cause. No preventable risk factor was identified other than contact with a person with AD. Thus, at the present time, reinforcement of education related to hand hygiene remains the only way to reduce the burden of disease.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Caliciviridae/epidemiología , Diarrea/epidemiología , Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Enfermedad Aguda , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Diarrea/virología , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Gastroenteritis/virología , Médicos Generales , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Estaciones del Año , Adulto Joven
18.
Vaccine ; 42(5): 1065-1070, 2024 Feb 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38092609

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In France, mumps surveillance is conducted in primary care by the Sentinelles network, the National Reference Centre for Measles, Mumps and Rubella and Santé publique France. AIM: The objective of this study was to estimate the incidence of suspected mumps in general practice, the proportion of laboratory confirmed cases and the factors associated with a virological confirmation. METHODS: General practitioners (GPs) participating in the Sentinelles network should report all patients with suspected mumps according to a clinical definition in case of parotitis and a serological definition in case of clinical expression without parotitis. All suspected mumps cases reported between January 2014 and December 2020 were included. A sample of these cases were tested by real time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for mumps biological confirmation. RESULTS: A total of 252 individuals with suspected mumps were included in the study. The average annual incidence rate of suspected mumps in general practice in France between 2014 and 2020 was estimated at 11 cases per 100,000 population [CI95%: 6-17]. A mumps confirmation RT-PCR test was performed on 146 cases amongst which 17 (11.5 %) were positive. Age (between 20 and 29 years old), the presence of a clinical complication and an exposure to a suspected mumps case within the 21 days prior the current episode were associated with a mumps biological confirmation. CONCLUSION: If these results confirm the circulation of mumps virus in France, they highlight the limits of a surveillance without a systematic laboratory confirmation in highly immunized populations.


Asunto(s)
Medicina General , Paperas , Parotiditis , Humanos , Adulto Joven , Adulto , Paperas/diagnóstico , Paperas/epidemiología , Paperas/prevención & control , Parotiditis/epidemiología , Virus de la Parotiditis , Francia/epidemiología , Vacuna contra el Sarampión-Parotiditis-Rubéola
19.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 22(10): 1080-5, 2013 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23935001

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Anti-dopaminergic anti-emetics (ADA) use for the treatment of nausea associated with gastroenteritis (GE) can be considered inappropriate, as their effects are not supported by evidence of clinical efficacy and can potentially induce serious adverse events. OBJECTIVE: This study quantifies the suboptimal consumption of ADA attributable to seasonal GE epidemics in France and its cost. METHODS: GE epidemiological data were collected and transmitted by the general practitioners (GPs) of Sentinelles network. Epidemic periods were identified by periodic regression. Drug sales data were obtained from pharmacies, and costs data were obtained from the French National Social Security. The ADA use and costs incurred by seasonal GE epidemics were calculated. RESULTS: During the epidemic periods considered in this study, the median age of patients seen by GPs for GE was 24 years old. During each epidemic, a sale increase by 14% for domperidone, by 15% for metoclopramide and 30% for metopimazine was observed. The average cost attributable to seasonal GE epidemic was 5,030,000 Euros, of which 2,160,000 Euros were incurred by the French National Social Security. CONCLUSION: Linking epidemiological databases helped to identify and quantify inappropriate ADA prescriptions. GE treatment guidelines should be disseminated more widely.


Asunto(s)
Antieméticos/uso terapéutico , Dopaminérgicos/uso terapéutico , Gastroenteritis/tratamiento farmacológico , Prescripción Inadecuada/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Francia/epidemiología , Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Humanos , Prescripción Inadecuada/economía , Adulto Joven
20.
BMC Public Health ; 13: 246, 2013 Mar 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23514534

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Three main categories of persons are targeted by the French influenza vaccination strategy: all persons aged 65 years or over, those aged less than 65 years with certain underlying medical conditions and health care workers. The main objective of this study was to estimate rates of influenza immunization in these target groups attending a medical consultation for two consecutive influenza seasons: 2009-2010 (seasonal and pandemic vaccines) and 2010-2011 (seasonal vaccine). METHODS: A standardized questionnaire was mailed to 1323 general practitioners (GPs) of the Sentinelles Network, collecting data on all patients seen on a randomly assigned day. For every patient, following information was collected: age, gender, BMI, presence of any medical condition that increases risk of severe influenza illness, and vaccination status for the three vaccines mentioned. RESULTS: Two hundred and three GPs agreed to participate and included 4248 patients. Overall, in persons with high risk of severe influenza, the estimated vaccine coverages (VC) were 60%, (95% CI = 57%; 62%) for the seasonal vaccine in 2010-2011, 61% (59%; 63%) for the seasonal vaccine in 2009-2010 and 23% (21%; 25%), for the pandemic vaccine in 2009-2010. Among people aged 65 years and over (N=1259, 30%) VC was estimated for seasonal vaccines at 72% (70%; 75%) in 2010-2011 and 73% (71%; 76%) in 2009-2010, and 24% (22%; 26%) for the pandemic vaccine. The lowest seasonal VC were observed in younger persons (<65 years) with underlying medical conditions, in particular pregnant women (<10%) and overweight persons (<30%). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that influenza vaccination coverage among patients of the French Sentinelles general practitioners remains largely below the target of 75% defined by the 2004 French Public Health Law, and underscores the need for the implementation of public health interventions likely to increase vaccination uptake.


Asunto(s)
Inmunización/estadística & datos numéricos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Pandemias , Médicos de Familia/estadística & datos numéricos , Estaciones del Año , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Niño , Enfermedad Crónica/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Inmunización/tendencias , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Vacunas contra la Influenza/uso terapéutico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos Estadísticos , Obesidad/epidemiología , Médicos de Familia/provisión & distribución , Embarazo , Factores de Riesgo , Vigilancia de Guardia , Poblaciones Vulnerables/estadística & datos numéricos
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