Submarine landslide megablocks show half of Anak Krakatau island failed on December 22nd, 2018.

As demonstrated at Anak Krakatau on December 22nd, 2018, tsunamis generated by volcanic flank collapse are incompletely understood and can be devastating. Here, we present the first high-resolution characterisation of both subaerial and submarine components of the collapse. Combined Synthetic Aperture Radar data and aerial photographs reveal an extensive subaerial failure that bounds pre-event deformation and volcanic products. To the southwest of the volcano, bathymetric and seismic reflection data reveal a blocky landslide deposit (0.214 ± 0.036 km3) emplaced over 1.5 km into the adjacent basin. Our findings are consistent with en-masse lateral collapse with a volume ≥0.175 km3, resolving several ambiguities in previous reconstructions. Post-collapse eruptions produced an additional ~0.3 km3 of tephra, burying the scar and landslide deposit. The event provides a model for lateral collapse scenarios at other arc-volcanic islands showing that rapid island growth can lead to large-scale failure and that even faster rebuilding can obscure pre-existing collapse.

Strategies to commit senior subcontractor managers in participatory ergonomics interventions.

The commitment of managers is one of the facilitators of participatory ergonomics (PE). However, to achieve this, practical practitioners' strategies vary depending on the organizational context and type of stakeholder and are poorly described in the literature. The purpose of this paper is to describe and to analyze the process and strategies that led to senior managers commitment during a decision-making intervention in a subcontracting context. A reflexive practice method was used to describe strategies implemented during a multi-site research project focusing on musculoskeletal disorders prevention in the meat processing sector. A 3 levels commitment method was developed which included: each subcontractor individually, subcontractors together, and subcontractors with their main contractor. Four strategies from the literature were firstly implemented: the creation of a steering committee, the identification of tendencies to act, the transfer of knowledge and moderation of collective discussion. An additional new strategy based on the sharing of a common interest - knife sharpening and maintenance was necessary to achieve the commitment. These results reinforce the importance of stakeholder strategies commitment in PE. A greater consideration for developing a valid framework is needed.

The application of an industry level participatory ergonomics approach in developing MSD interventions.

Participatory ergonomics projects are traditionally applied within one organisation. In this study, a participative approach was applied across the New Zealand meat processing industry, involving multiple organisations and geographical regions. The purpose was to develop interventions to reduce musculoskeletal disorder (MSD) risk. This paper considers the value of an industry level participatory ergonomics approach in achieving this. The main rationale for a participative approach included the need for industry credibility, and to generate MSD interventions that address industry level MSD risk factors. An industry key stakeholder group became the primary vehicle for formal participation. The study resulted in an intervention plan that included the wider work system and industry practices. These interventions were championed across the industry by the key stakeholder group and have extended beyond the life of the study. While this approach helped to meet the study aim, the existence of an industry-supported key stakeholder group and a mandate for the initiative are important prerequisites for success.

The Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative and breast feeding rates in Scotland.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect of the Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative on breast feeding rates in Scotland. DESIGN: Observational study using an annual survey of progress towards the WHO/UNICEF Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative and routinely collected breast feeding rates gathered on the Guthrie Inborn Errors Screening card at 7 days of postnatal age. SETTING: Scotland, UK, population 5.1 million, with about 53 000 births a year. PARTICIPANTS: All 33 maternity units with over 50 births per annum and 464,246 infants born in Scotland between 1995 and 2002. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Baby Friendly status of each maternity unit at the time of an infant's birth: certificate of commitment, UK standard award, and breast feeding at 7 days postnatal age. RESULTS: Babies born in a hospital with the UK Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative standard award were 28% (p<0.001) more likely to be exclusively breast fed at 7 days of postnatal age than those born in other maternity units after adjustment for mother's age, deprivation, hospital size, and year of birth. From 1995, breast feeding rates had increased significantly faster in hospitals with Baby Friendly status by 2002: 11.39% (95% confidence interval 10.35 to 12.43) v 7.97% (95% confidence interval 7.21 to 8.73). CONCLUSION: Being born in a hospital that held the award increased the chance of being breast fed. All maternity units should be encouraged to undertake the significant strategic and practical changes required to achieve UK Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative standard status.

An implementation evaluation of a qualitative culture assessment tool.

Safety culture has been identified as a critical element of healthy and safe workplaces and as such warrants the attention of ergonomists involved in occupational health and safety (OHS). This study sought to evaluate a tool for assessing organisational safety culture as it impacts a common OHS problem: musculoskeletal disorders (MSD). The level of advancement across nine cultural aspects was assessed in two implementation site organisations. These organisations, in residential healthcare and timber processing, enabled evaluation of the tool in contrasting settings, with reported MSD rates also high in both sectors. Interviews were conducted with 39 managers and workers across the two organisations. Interview responses and company documentation were compared by two researchers to the descriptor items for each MSD culture aspect. An assignment of the level of advancement, using a five stage framework, was made for each aspect. The tool was readily adapted to each implementation site context and provided sufficient evidence to assess their levels of advancement. Assessments for most MSD culture aspects were in the mid to upper levels of advancement, although the levels differed within each organisation, indicating that different aspects of MSD culture, as with safety culture, develop at a different pace within organisations. Areas for MSD culture improvement were identified for each organisation. Reflections are made on the use and merits of the tool by ergonomists for addressing MSD risk.

The incidence and prevalence of HIV infection among childbearing women living in Edinburgh city, 1982-1995.

OBJECTIVE: To track the complete course of the HIV epidemic among women from the city of Edinburgh who delivered babies during 1982-1995. METHODS: The performance of the modified Serodia HIV test on dried blood spots from archived neonatal metabolic screening cards stored for up to 11 years was evaluated by testing 221 cards from neonates whose mothers' HIV infection status was already known (100 HIV-positive, 121 HIV-negative). Unlinked anonymous HIV testing of cards from neonates born during 1982-1989 was then performed and the resulting prevalence data were combined with existing data from 1990-1995. Maximum and minimum limits of HIV incidence among women during the 36-month period prior to delivery were calculated using data held on a clinical database of HIV-infected pregnant women that had been generated under strict conditions of confidentiality; these data included the date of the woman's first HIV-positive and, if available, last HIV-negative specimen. RESULTS: The evaluation revealed a sensitivity of 91%, not clearly related to storage time, and a specificity of 100%. HIV infection first entered Edinburgh's childbearing population during the early 1980s with prevalence peaking at 0.4% in 1986 and then decreasing to 0.1% in 1995; a similar incidence profile was seen during this period. Since 1986, the first full year that HIV testing was available, 78% of all infections were known during the pregnancy, 13% were identified retrospectively, and only 10% (10 cases) remain unaccounted for. For infected cases during 1984-1987, 78% were injecting drug users (IDU) and only 22% acquired their infection sexually; this distribution had reversed by 1992-1995. CONCLUSION: HIV testing of neonatal metabolic screening cards stored for up to 11 years can yield results of sufficient accuracy for epidemiological purposes. There has been a substantial decline in the prevalence and incidence of HIV since the mid-1980s. Although new infections are still occurring, the numbers are small. The decline may largely be explained by the impact of preventive measures on the spread of HIV amongst IDU, and thus from IDU to their sexual partners.

Smoking during pregnancy: how reliable are maternal self reports in New Zealand?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the reliability of self reports of smoking during pregnancy. METHODS: Residual sera from early and late antenatal blood samples were tested for cotinine for all pregnancies over a six month period. Over an overlapping 12 month period, a postal questionnaire on smoking was also sent to all new mothers (n = 4857) when their baby was 4-8 weeks old. Smoking status from obstetric booking notes was also obtained. RESULTS: The cotinine-validated smoking prevalence was 31.3% for the first trimester and 27.7% for the third trimester. Questionnaire self reported prevalences were 19.2% and 15.7% for the first and third trimesters respectively, and 18.9% for obstetric booking. Of cotinine-validated smokers, 22% denied smoking-self deceivers. Of mothers who replied to the questionnaire, a half appeared to systematically under report the amount they smoked. CONCLUSIONS: Nearly a quarter of smoking pregnant women did not report smoking. Moreover, of those who did, the amount smoked was often under reported. This tendency to under report may rise as pressures to stop smoking increase. Accurate measures of smoking prevalence in pregnant women will require objective testing.

Vision testing in schools: an evaluation of personnel, tests, and premises.

This study compared the results of vision screening of 5 year olds in schools by school nurses and an orthoptist, compared two tests, and examined testing conditions. The specificity of nurse testing was 95% and the sensitivity 83%. No conclusions about the tests could be made owing to the small numbers in this part of the study, but some children, after nearly one year at school, could not match a line of four letters required for the more accurate test. Only 13 of 22 schools had suitable testing conditions.

International Child Care Practices Study: infant sleeping environment.

BACKGROUND: The International Child Care Practices Study (ICCPS) has collected descriptive data from 21 centres in 17 countries. In this report, data are presented on the infant sleeping environment with the main focus being sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) risk factors (bedsharing and infant using a pillow) and protective factors (infant sharing a room with adult) that are not yet well established in the literature. METHODS: Using a standardised protocol, parents of infants were surveyed at birth by interview and at 3 months of age mainly by postal questionnaire. Centres were grouped according to geographic location. Also indicated was the level of SIDS awareness in the community, i.e. whether any campaigns or messages to "reduce the risks of SIDS" were available at the time of the survey. RESULTS: Birth interview data were available for 5488 individual families and 4656 (85%) returned questionnaires at 3 months. Rates of bedsharing varied considerably (2-88%) and it appeared to be more common in the samples with a lower awareness of SIDS, but not necessarily a high SIDS rate. Countries with higher rates of bedsharing appeared to have a greater proportion of infants bedsharing for a longer duration (>5 h). Rates of room sharing varied (58-100%) with some of the lowest rates noted in centres with a higher awareness of SIDS. Rates of pillow use ranged from 4% to 95%. CONCLUSIONS: It is likely that methods of bedsharing differ cross-culturally, and although further details were sought on different bedsharing practices, it was not possible to build up a composite picture of "typical" bedsharing practices in these different communities. These data highlight interesting patterns in child care in these diverse populations. Although these results should not be used to imply that any particular child care practice either increases or decreases the risk of SIDS, these findings should help to inject caution into the process of developing SIDS prevention campaigns for non-Western cultures.

HIV testing and prevalence in pregnancy in Edinburgh.

The objective was to study the changes in pregnancy HIV prevalence with time. Data were collected from multiple sources to provide a comprehensive record of all HIV seropositive pregnant women identified in the Edinburgh area (Scotland) until December 1992. There were 177 pregnancies in 108 HIV seropositive identified women. Risk factors were injection drug use (79% of pregnancies) and a known HIV seropositive injection drug-using partner (16%). Prevalence has decreased for Edinburgh City women from 0.5% of all pregnancies in 1986 to 0.1% in 1992; It was higher for induced abortion (0.6%) than for delivery (0.2%). HIV testing in pregnancy has declined. Comparison with unlinked anonymized testing showed that in 1990-1991, 20/22 seropositive women were known. In 1992, only 3 of 10 seropositive pregnancies were identified. The cohort initially infected by exposure to a 'drug related' risk factor between 1983 and 1985 may have increasingly finished childbearing, deliberately decided against pregnancy because of HIV status, and declined because of death, illness and emigration from the area, There may not have been major early tertiary heterosexual spread; however, data from 1992 suggest that this could now be impacting on pregnancy prevalence. Local testing policies have not adapted to this possible change.

Infant home apnoea monitors in Christchurch: an audit.

AIM: To audit parental perception of the apnoea monitor service given to neonatal graduates and infants surviving an apparent life threatening event in Christchurch. METHODS: Seventy-five of 103 sets of parents (74%), who had monitored their infants, between November 1990 and November 1992, were interviewed using a structured telephone questionnaire (apparent life threatening event (ALTE) n = 44, significant recurrent apnoea (NNU) n = 31. RESULTS: Anxiety present in most parents (83%) was relieved by monitoring (89%). Parents (97%) were satisfied with the instruction in monitor use. Eighty-nine percent had good contact with the technician, 73% called her to solve a problem. Most parents (84%) thought that initial instruction in cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) was adequate. Sixty-eight percent would have liked a refresher course which only 7% of NNU and 22% of ALTE parents received. Sixty percent of parents had at least one significant alarm. Nine percent performed CPR to abort an apnoea. Ten percent of parents would have liked to monitor their child longer. CONCLUSIONS: Apnoea monitoring allays parental anxiety and may save the lives of a few infants. A technician is essential to coordinate all aspects of the service. Improvements could be made to instruction for cardiopulmonary resuscitation.

Smoking during pregnancy measured by population cotinine testing.

AIM: To establish a baseline cross-sectional prevalence of maternal smoking, measured by antenatal serum cotinine testing, in a population of pregnant women. METHODS: Residual sera from first and second routine antenatal blood samples were collected anonymously over a six-month period for pregnancies within the Canterbury region. Cotinine levels were measured by an ELISA test with a result of > 14 ng/mL indicative of active smoking. Only pregnancies ending in a confirmed live birth were considered in smoking prevalence calculations. There was a total of 1948 eligible residual blood samples. RESULTS: Of the 414 residual blood samples available for the first two months of pregnancy, 146 (35.3%) were found to be positive for cotinine. Smoking prevalence decreased over pregnancy so that by the third trimester 225 (26.8%) of 838 samples were cotinine positive. Infants born from smoking mothers had significantly lower birth weights. CONCLUSIONS: In 1994, a third of women tested in early pregnancy and a quarter of women tested in late pregnancy were identified as being smokers. Repeated objective cross-sectional surveys will allow accurate assessment of the efficacy of smokefree interventions both before and during pregnancy.

Prevalence of smoking in early pregnancy by census area: measured by anonymous cotinine testing of residual antenatal blood samples.

AIM: To accurately measure the prevalence of smoking in early pregnancy by census area units (CAU) in Christchurch. METHODS: Smoking status in pregnancy was determined by serum cotinine assay for all antenatal blood samples taken over a 6 month period. CAUs in Christchurch were grouped into quartiles according to the proportion of maternal smokers. Social factors from 1991 census data were used to describe the characteristics of each quartile. RESULTS: The overall rate of smoking in pregnancy was 33.0%. Rates ranged from 10.6% to 56.9% for the census area groups. CAUs in the upper quartile (39-57% of women smoking in pregnancy) were clustered together geographically and were associated with lower socioeconomic indices. The strongest correlation was between average income with smoking rates (Pearson correlation coefficient 0.76). CONCLUSION: Smoking rates in pregnancy have remained at around 30% for at least 20 years, with some areas of the city having rates nearly double this. It would seem logical to promote smoke-free pregnancy activities in localities with the highest rates of smoking. Future evaluation of the efficacy of such programmes should be done using objective measurements.

Case-control study of sudden infant death syndrome in Scotland, 1992-5.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relation between routine infant care practices and the sudden infant death syndrome in Scotland. METHODS: National study of 201 infants dying of the sudden infant death syndrome (cases) and 276 controls by means of home interviews comparing methods of infant care and socioeconomic factors. RESULTS: Sleeping prone (odds ratio 6.96 (95% confidence interval 1.51 to 31.97) and drug treatment in the previous week (odds ratio 2.33 (1.10 to 4.94)) were more common in the cases than controls on multivariate analysis. Smoking was confirmed as a significant risk factor (odds ratio for mother and father both smoking 5.19 (2.26 to 11.91)). The risk increased with the number of parents smoking (P < 0.0001), with the number of cigarettes smoked by mother or father (P = 0.0001), and with bed sharing (P < 0.005). A new finding was an increased risk of dying of the syndrome for infants who slept at night on a mattress previously used by another infant or adult (odds ratio 2.51 (1.39 to 4.52)). However, this increased risk was not established for mattresses totally covered by polyvinyl chloride. CONCLUSIONS: Sleeping prone and parental smoking are confirmed as modifiable risk factors for the sudden infant death syndrome. Sleeping on an old mattress may be important but needs confirmation before recommendations can be made.

The role of the New Zealand forest industry injury surveillance system in a strategic ergonomics, safety and health research programme.

Forestry is among the most hazardous of all industry sectors internationally. In New Zealand, highest work-related morbidity and mortality incidence rates are found in the logging sector. The New Zealand Forest Industry Accident Reporting Scheme (ARS) is a forestry injury surveillance system maintained by the Centre for Human Factors and Ergonomics (COHFE). The paper highlights the pivotal role of an industry-wide injury surveillance system in an industry-specific strategic research programme, giving examples of the use of ARS data in identification of priority areas for ergonomics, safety and health research attention, for safety awareness feedback to the industry, and in the evaluation of injury countermeasures. An analysis of injury patterns and trends for one high-risk forestry operation (skid work) is presented to illustrate both the capabilities and limitations of the ARS in its present stage of development.

Breast feeding in Scotland.

OBJECTIVE: To measure the prevalence of breast feeding and to examine the value of using information collected on Guthrie cards (used for detecting inherited metabolic disease and hypothyroidism when newborn infants are 7 days old) to calculate this prevalence. DESIGN: Analysis, by geographical area and maternity unit, of information on breast feeding collected on Guthrie cards for 131,759 babies born in 1990 and 1991, and comparison with prevalences from other sources. SETTING: Scotland. RESULTS: Of the 131,759 babies, only 46,949 (35.6%) were breast feeding on day 7. The prevalence of breast feeding ranged from 59.1% (376/636) in Shetland to 21.1% (1836/8719) in Lanarkshire and < 8% in some postcode districts of cities. Analysis of the data by hospital of birth showed that the prevalence ranged from 51.2% (2701/5275) to 16.4% (507/3090). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of breast feeding in Scotland is low and varies among areas and maternity units. Intervention to increase this prevalence is essential, and information collected on Guthrie cards is a useful indication of mothers' intentions to breast feed.

Epidemiology and detection of HIV-1 among pregnant women in the United Kingdom: results from national surveillance 1988-96.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiology of HIV-1 infection in pregnant women in the United Kingdom. DESIGN: Serial unlinked serosurveillance for HIV-1 in neonatal specimens and surveillance through registers of diagnosed maternal and paediatric infections from reporting by obstetricians, paediatricians, and microbiologists. SETTING: United Kingdom, 1988-96. SUBJECTS: Pregnant women proceeding to live births and their children. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time trends in prevalence of HIV-1 seropositivity in newborn infants (as a proxy for infection in mothers); the proportions of mothers with diagnosed HIV-1 infections, and their characteristics. RESULTS: HIV-1 prevalence among mothers in London rose sixfold between 1988 and 1996 (0.19% of women tested; 1 in 520 in 1996). Apart from in Edinburgh and Dundee, levels remained low in Scotland (0.025%; 1 in 3970) and elsewhere in the United Kingdom (0.016%; 1 in 1930). Over a third of births to infected mothers in 1996 occurred outside London. In London the reported infections were predominantly among black African women, whereas in Scotland most were associated with drug injecting. The contribution of reported infection among African women increased over time as that of drug injecting declined. In Scotland 51% of mothers' infections were diagnosed before the birth. In England, despite a national policy initiative in 1992 to increase the antenatal detection rate of HIV, no improvement in detection was observed, and in 1996 only 15% of previously unrecognised HIV infections were diagnosed during pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: HIV-1 infection affects mothers throughout the United Kingdom but is most common in London. Levels of diagnosis in pregnant women have not improved. Surveillance data can monitor effectively the impact of initiatives to reduce preventable HIV-1 infections in children.

Constipation and soiling--outcome of treatment at one year.

AIM: To assess the outcome at one year of a cohort of patients referred to outpatient clinics with soiling. METHOD: Retrospective case note audit of 34 children referred to hospital outpatients over a four month period with soiling stated as the main problem in the referral letter. RESULTS: After one year, 29% of the 34 children studied were discharged to patient satisfaction, 38% defaulted from follow up, 24% were still attending outpatient clinics and 9% had been referred back to source. Coexisting pathologies, in particular enuresis and family stress, were found in several of the children. At the time of referral, 44% of new patients and 89% of re-referrals bad symptoms present for longer than 12 months. Only 18% of the children were receiving treatment at the time referral was made. CONCLUSION: Constipation is often undiagnosed until the problem is well established with soiling present, which makes treatment a long and often difficult process. It is necessary to consider the wider social and family issues when managing a child with constipation and soiling. Hospital based general medical and surgical outpatient clinics may not be the ideal setting in which to deal with these problems.

Prevalence of maternal HIV infection in Scotland based on unlinked anonymous testing of newborn babies. Update.

In January 1990, unlinked anonymous testing of Guthrie cards for HIV antibody commenced in Scotland. Ethics Committee approval allowed testing of 99.6% of Scottish births. Twenty-one mothers spontaneously refused to allow testing of their baby's blood. Samples were coded by district postcodes. For 1990 through 1991, eluates of 132,531 dried blood spots were initially tested for HIV-1 antibody with the Fujirebio technique. Of the 49 positive samples 38 were confirmed to be positive by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and western blot (seroprevalence 0.3 per 1000). Thirty-five of 38 samples came from large metropolitan areas in Scotland. Prevalences were 2.0 per 1000 for Edinburgh city, 0.7 per 1000 for Dundee and Aberdeen, 0.15 per 1000 for Glasgow and 0.05 per thousand for all other areas in Scotland. Recent spread of HIV infection to Aberdeen may have occurred. These figures do not support an overall increase of HIV infection in childbearing women in Scotland.

Spread of maternal HIV infection in Scotland from 1990 to 1992.

In Scotland since January 1990, unlinked anonymous testing of Guthrie cards has documented maternal HIV-1 antibody in neonatal blood. District postcode and quarter year of birth determined prevalence and spread of infection. The Fujirebio particle agglutination assay screened for HIV-1 antibody, with confirmation by ELISA and full western blotting. Births to known HIV infected women were reported to the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists. 0.3/1000 childbearing women were infected with HIV-1 with no significant increase from 1990 to 1992. Spread of infection from 11 to 26 districts has occurred. In 1990, 74%(14/19) of HIV positive deliveries were known to obstetricians falling to 33%(7/21) in 1992. Spread of HIV-1 infection has occurred to mothers who live outside closely defined areas and who do not belong to recognised high risk groups. In Scotland, two thirds of mothers and their infants will not receive early prophylactic care for their HIV disease.