Identification, analysis and prediction of valid and false information related to vaccines from Romanian tweets.

Introduction: The online misinformation might undermine the vaccination efforts. Therefore, given the fact that no study specifically analyzed online vaccine related content written in Romanian, the main objective of the study was to detect and evaluate tweets related to vaccines and written in Romanian language. Methods: 1,400 Romanian vaccine related tweets were manually classified in true, neutral and fake information and analyzed based on wordcloud representations, a correlation analysis between the three classes and specific tweet characteristics and the validation of several predictive machine learning algorithms. Results and discussion: The tweets annotated as misinformation showed specific word patterns and were liked and reshared more often as compared to the true and neutral ones. The validation of the machine learning algorithms yielded enhanced results in terms of Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Score (0.744-0.843) when evaluating the Support Vector Classifier. The predictive model estimates in a well calibrated manner the probability that a specific Twitter post is true, neutral or fake. The current study offers important insights regarding vaccine related online content written in an Eastern European language. Future studies must aim at building an online platform for rapid identification of vaccine misinformation and raising awareness for the general population.

Development and validation of cardiometabolic risk predictive models based on LDL oxidation and candidate geromarkers from the MARK-AGE data.

The predictive value of the susceptibility to oxidation of LDL particles (LDLox) in cardiometabolic risk assessment is incompletely understood. The main objective of the current study was to assess its relationship with other relevant biomarkers and cardiometabolic risk factors from MARK-AGE data. A cross-sectional observational study was carried out on 1089 subjects (528 men and 561 women), aged 40-75 years old, randomly recruited age- and sex-stratified individuals from the general population. A correlation analysis exploring the relationships between LDLox and relevant biomarkers was undertaken, as well as the development and validation of several machine learning algorithms, for estimating the risk of the combined status of high blood pressure and obesity for the MARK-AGE subjects. The machine learning models yielded Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Score ranging 0.783-0.839 for the internal validation, while the external validation resulted in an Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Score between 0.648 and 0.787, with the variables based on LDLox reaching significant importance within the obtained predictions. The current study offers novel insights regarding the combined effects of LDL oxidation and other ageing markers on cardiometabolic risk. Future studies might be extended on larger patient cohorts, in order to obtain reproducible clinical assessment models.

The development of a scoring and ranking strategy for a patient-tailored adverse drug reaction prediction in polypharmacy.

Only few applications are currently dealing with personalized adverse drug reactions (ADRs) prediction in case of polypharmacy. The study aimed to develop a patient-tailored ADR web application, considering characteristics from 734 drugs and relevant patient related factors. The application was designed in Python using a scoring and ranking system based on frequency and severity, computed for each ADR and expressed through an online platform. A neural networks algorithm was used for predicting the severity of ADRs. The application inputs are: age, gender, drugs, relevant pathologies. The outputs are: an overall severity profile (hospitalization and mortality risk), a stratified risk on specific ADR groups and a sorted list of the most important ADRs depending on frequency and severity. The Severity prediction model validation resulted in 79.7-85.1% Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Score, which lies in the good cut-off of 75-90%. The program offers a complex view regarding the ADR profile of a given patient and could be used by the physician and clinical pharmacist during patient safety monitoring, for a coherent therapy choice or medication adjustment, due to the good therapy coverage and the inclusion of relevant patient comorbidities.