Developing a Prognostic Model for Primary Biliary Cholangitis Based on a Random Survival Forest Model.

Background: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a rare autoimmune liver disease with few effective treatments and a poor prognosis, and its incidence is on the rise. There is an urgent need for more targeted treatment strategies to accurately identify high-risk patients. The use of stochastic survival forest models in machine learning is an innovative approach to constructing a prognostic model for PBC that can improve the prognosis by identifying high-risk patients for targeted treatment. Method: Based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria, the clinical data and follow-up data of patients diagnosed with PBC-associated cirrhosis between January 2011 and December 2021 at Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province were retrospectively collected and analyzed. Data analyses and random survival forest model construction were based on the R language. Result: Through a Cox univariate regression analysis of 90 included samples and 46 variables, 17 variables with p-values <0.1 were selected for initial model construction. The out-of-bag (OOB) performance error was 0.2094, and K-fold cross-validation yielded an internal validation C-index of 0.8182. Through model selection, cholinesterase, bile acid, the white blood cell count, total bilirubin, and albumin were chosen for the final predictive model, with a final OOB performance error of 0.2002 and C-index of 0.7805. Using the final model, patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups, which showed significant differences with a P value <0.0001. The area under the curve was used to evaluate the predictive ability for patients in the first, third, and fifth years, with respective results of 0.9595, 0.8898, and 0.9088. Conclusion: The present study constructed a prognostic model for PBC-associated cirrhosis patients using a random survival forest model, which accurately stratified patients into low- and high-risk groups. Treatment strategies can thus be more targeted, leading to improved outcomes for high-risk patients.

Qualitative study on the perception of good death in patients with end-stage cancer in oncology nurses.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the perception of good death of patients with end-stage cancer by nurses in the oncology department. METHOD: In the study we used a phenomenological approach and semi-structured interviews. A total of 11 nurses from the oncology department of a Grade A hospital in Taizhou were interviewed on the cognition of good death from July 1 to September 30, 2022. Colaizzi's analysis method was used to analyse the interview data. This study followed the consolidated criteria for reporting qualitative research (COREQ). RESULT: Four themes were identified: a strong sense of responsibility and mission; To sustain hope and faith; The important role of family members; Improve patients' quality of life. CONCLUSION: The nurses in the department of oncology have a low level of knowledge about the "good death", and the correct understanding and view of the "good death" is the premise of the realization of " good death". The ability of nursing staff to improve the "good death", attention, and meet the needs and wishes of individuals and families, is the guarantee of the realization of "good death".

Deep learning assists detection of esophageal cancer and precursor lesions in a prospective, randomized controlled study.

Endoscopy is the primary modality for detecting asymptomatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and precancerous lesions. Improving detection rate remains challenging. We developed a system based on deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for detecting esophageal cancer and precancerous lesions [high-risk esophageal lesions (HrELs)] and validated its efficacy in improving HrEL detection rate in clinical practice (trial registration ChiCTR2100044126 at www.chictr.org.cn). Between April 2021 and March 2022, 3117 patients ≥50 years old were consecutively recruited from Taizhou Hospital, Zhejiang Province, and randomly assigned 1:1 to an experimental group (CNN-assisted endoscopy) or a control group (unassisted endoscopy) based on block randomization. The primary endpoint was the HrEL detection rate. In the intention-to-treat population, the HrEL detection rate [28 of 1556 (1.8%)] was significantly higher in the experimental group than in the control group [14 of 1561 (0.9%), P = 0.029], and the experimental group detection rate was twice that of the control group. Similar findings were observed between the experimental and control groups [28 of 1524 (1.9%) versus 13 of 1534 (0.9%), respectively; P = 0.021]. The system's sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for detecting HrELs were 89.7, 98.5, and 98.2%, respectively. No adverse events occurred. The proposed system thus improved HrEL detection rate during endoscopy and was safe. Deep learning assistance may enhance early diagnosis and treatment of esophageal cancer and may become a useful tool for esophageal cancer screening.