Optimal age to discontinue long-term surveillance of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: comparative cost-effectiveness of surveillance by age.

OBJECTIVE: Current guidelines recommend long-term image-based surveillance for patients with low-risk intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). This simulation study aimed to examine the comparative cost-effectiveness of continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages and define the optimal age to stop surveillance. DESIGN: We constructed a Markov model with a lifetime horizon to simulate the clinical course of patients with IPMNs receiving imaging-based surveillance. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages to stop surveillance, stratified by sex and IPMN types (branch-duct vs mixed-type). We determined the optimal age to stop surveillance as the lowest age at which the ICER exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold of US$100 000 per quality-adjusted life year. To estimate model parameters, we used a clinical cohort of 3000 patients with IPMNs and a national database including 40 166 patients with pancreatic cancer receiving pancreatectomy as well as published data. RESULTS: In male patients, the optimal age to stop surveillance was 76-78 years irrespective of the IPMN types, compared with 70, 73, 81, and 84 years for female patients with branch-duct IPMNs <20 mm, =20-29 mm, ≥30 mm and mixed-type IPMNs, respectively. The suggested ages became younger according to an increasing level of comorbidities. In cases with high comorbidity burden, the ICERs were above the willingness-to-pay threshold irrespective of sex and the size of branch-duct IPMNs. CONCLUSIONS: The cost-effectiveness of long-term IPMN surveillance depended on sex, IPMN types, and comorbidity levels, suggesting the potential to personalise patient management from the health economic perspective.

Antimicrobial Prophylaxis With Ampicillin-sulbactam Compared With Cefazolin for Esophagectomy: Nationwide Inpatient Database Study in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of antimicrobial prophylaxis with ampicillin-sulbactam (ABPC/SBT) compared with cefazolin (CEZ) on the short-term outcomes after esophagectomy. BACKGROUND: CEZ is widely used for antimicrobial prophylaxis in esophagectomy without procedure-specific evidence, whereas ABPC/SBT is preferred in some hospitals to target both aerobic and anaerobic oral bacteria. METHODS: Data of patients who underwent esophagectomy for cancer between July 2010 and March 2019 were extracted from a nationwide Japanese inpatient database. Overlap propensity score weighting was conducted to compare the short-term outcomes [including surgical site infection (SSI), anastomotic leakage, and respiratory failure] between antimicrobial prophylaxis with CEZ and ABPC/SBT after adjusting for potential confounders. Sensitivity analyses were also performed using propensity score matching and instrumental variable analyses. RESULTS: Among 17,772 eligible patients, 16,077 (90.5%) and 1695 (9.5%) patients were administered CEZ and ABPC/SBT, respectively. SSI, anastomotic leakage, and respiratory failure occurred in 2971 (16.7%), 2604 (14.7%), and 2754 patients (15.5%), respectively. After overlap weighting, ABPC/SBT was significantly associated with a reduction in SSI [odds ratio 0.51 (95% CI: 0.43-0.60)], anastomotic leakage [0.51 (0.43-0.61)], and respiratory failure [0.66 (0.57-0.77)]. ABPC/SBT was also associated with reduced respiratory complications, postoperative length of stay, and total hospitalization costs. The proportion of Clostridioides difficile colitis and noninfectious complications did not differ between the groups. Propensity score matching and instrumental variable analyses demonstrated equivalent results. CONCLUSIONS: The administration of ABPC/SBT as antimicrobial prophylaxis for esophagectomy was associated with better short-term postoperative outcomes compared with CEZ.

Association between body mass index and outcomes after autologous breast reconstruction: a nationwide inpatient database study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Although autologous reconstruction following breast cancer surgery is common, little is known about the association between preoperative body mass index (BMI) and short-term surgical outcomes. This study investigated the association between BMI and short-term surgical outcomes in autologous breast reconstruction using a nationwide Japanese inpatient database. METHODS: We retrospectively identified female patients with breast cancer who underwent breast reconstruction using a pedicled flap or free flap from July 2010 to March 2020. Multivariable regression analyses and restricted cubic spline analyses were conducted to investigate the associations between BMI and short-term outcomes with adjustment for demographic and clinical backgrounds. RESULTS: Of the 13,734 eligible patients, 7.1% and 22.2% had a BMI of < 18.5 kg/m2 and > 25 kg/m2, respectively. Compared with BMI of 18.5-21.9 kg/m2, overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m2) and obese (≥ 30.0 kg/m2) were significantly associated with higher occurrences of takebacks (odds ratio, 1.74 [95% confidence interval, 1.28-2.38] and 2.89 [1.88-4.43], respectively) and overall complications (1.37 [1.20-1.57] and 1.77 [1.42-2.20], respectively). In the restricted cubic spline analyses, BMI showed J-shaped associations with takebacks, overall complications, local complications, and wound dehiscence. BMI also demonstrated linear associations with postoperative surgical site infection, duration of anesthesia, duration of drainage, length of stay, and hospitalization costs. CONCLUSION: In autologous breast reconstruction following breast cancer surgery, a higher BMI was associated with takebacks, morbidity, a longer hospital stay, and higher total costs, whereas a lower BMI was associated with fewer surgical site infections, a shorter hospital stay, and lower total costs.

Clinical Efficacy of Beta-1 Selective Beta-Blockers Versus Propranolol in Patients With Thyroid Storm: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Thyroid storm is the most severe manifestation of thyrotoxicosis. Beta-blockers are among the standard treatment regimens for this condition, with propranolol being the historically preferred option. However, 2016 guidelines issued by the Japan Thyroid Association and the Japan Endocrine Society recommend the use of beta-1 selective beta-blockers over nonselective beta-blockers, such as propranolol. Nevertheless, evidence supporting this recommendation is limited. Herein, we aimed to investigate the in-hospital mortality of patients with thyroid storms based on the choice of beta-blockers. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: The Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, a national inpatient database in Japan. PATIENTS: Patients hospitalized with thyroid storm between April 2010 and March 2022. INTERVENTIONS: Propensity-score overlap weighting was performed to compare in-hospital mortality between patients who received beta-1 selective beta-blockers and those who received propranolol. Subgroup analysis was also conducted, considering the presence or absence of acute heart failure. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Among the 2462 eligible patients, 1452 received beta-1 selective beta-blockers and 1010 received propranolol. The crude in-hospital mortality rates were 9.3% for the beta-1 selective beta-blocker group and 6.2% for the propranolol group. After adjusting for baseline variables, the use of beta-1 selective beta-blockers was not associated with lower in-hospital mortality (6.3% vs. 7.4%; odds ratio, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.57-1.26). Furthermore, no significant difference in in-hospital mortality was observed in patients with acute heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with thyroid storm, the choice between beta-1 selective beta-blockers and propranolol did not affect in-hospital mortality, regardless of the presence of acute heart failure. Therefore, both beta-1 selective beta-blockers and propranolol can be regarded as viable treatment options for beta-blocker therapy in cases of thyroid storm, contingent upon the clinical context.

Chronic Tonsillitis and IgA Nephropathy: Findings From a Nationwide Japanese Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Little is known regarding the association between chronic tonsillitis and the onset of IgA nephropathy (IgAN). In the present study, we examined the potential relationship between chronic tonsillitis and a subsequent risk of developing IgAN. STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 4,311,393 individuals without a history of IgAN identified between January 2005 and May 2022 within a Japanese nationwide epidemiological database, the JMDC Claims Database, representing health claims to over 60 insurers. EXPOSURE: Comorbid chronic tonsillitis based on diagnosis codes. OUTCOME: IgAN occurrence. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cause-specific Cox proportional hazards analysis adjusting for potential confounding factors was employed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). RESULTS: Comorbid chronic tonsillitis was identified in 12,842 individuals, constituting 0.3% of the cohort. The cohort had a median age of 44 years (IQR, 36-53), and males accounted for 57.9%, with a follow-up of 1,089 days (IQR, 532-1,797), during which 2,653 cases of IgAN developed. Cumulative incidence curve showed a higher cumulative incidence of IgAN in individuals with chronic tonsillitis compared with their counterparts without this condition. Multivariable cause-specific analysis further demonstrated that individuals with chronic tonsillitis had an elevated risk of developing IgAN, with HR of 2.72 (95% CI, 1.79-4.14). LIMITATIONS: Potential residual confounders, and lack of consideration for ethnic distinctions. CONCLUSIONS: Using a large-scale epidemiological dataset, these findings suggest a relationship between chronic tonsillitis and an elevated risk of IgAN development in the general Japanese population. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: IgA nephropathy (IgAN), the most prevalent form of primary glomerulonephritis worldwide, is associated with unfavorable long-term kidney survival and life expectancy. Despite the substantial implications, the early detection of IgAN still remains challenging due to its commonly asymptomatic clinical presentation. Consequently, the exploration of risk factors assumes a critical research priority. Prior studies have reported the potential role of tonsilitis in the pathogenesis of IgAN. In this study, we assessed whether chronic tonsillitis was associated with the subsequent development of IgAN using a nationwide epidemiological dataset incorporating over 4,000,000 individuals. Within this large-scale cohort, our findings revealed an association between a history of tonsillitis and a greater risk of developing IgAN. These findings should heighten awareness of the potential susceptibility of people with chronic tonsilitis to IgAN.

Familial hypercholesterolemia is related to cardiovascular disease, heart failure and atrial fibrillation. Results from a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, the prevalence of FH among a general population remains unknown, and it is unclear if FH is associated with other cardiovascular complications, including heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: Analyses were conducted on individuals without a prior history of cardiovascular disease using a nationwide health claims database collected in the JMDC Claims Database between 2005 and 2022 (n = 4,126,642; median age, 44 years; 57.5% men). We defined FH as either LDL cholesterol ≥250 mg/dL or LDL cholesterol ≥175 mg/dL under the lipid-lowering medications under the assumption that lipid-lowering medications reduced LDL cholesterol by 30%. We assessed the associations between FH and composite outcomes, including, ASCVD (myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, and stroke), HF, and AF using Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: We identified 11,983 (.29%) FH patients. In total, 181,150 events were recorded during the mean follow-up period of 3.5 years. The status FH was significantly associated with composite outcomes after adjustments (hazard ratio [HR]; 1.38, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.30-1.47, p < .001). Interestingly, the status FH was significantly associated with HF (HR: 1.48, 95% CI: 1.36-1.61, p < .001) and AF (HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.08-1.64, p < .001) in addition to angina pectoris (HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.33-1.58, p < .001) and stroke (HR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.04-1.36, p < .001). CONCLUSION: We found that the prevalence of FH was .29% in a general population. FH was significantly associated with a higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease, HF and AF. LAY SUMMARY: We sought to identify the prevalence of FH among a general population, and to clarify whether FH increases the risk of not only ASCVD but also HF and AF.

Dose-dependent association between estimated glomerular filtration rate and the subsequent risk of depression: An analysis of a nationwide epidemiological dataset.

BACKGROUND: Although the risk of depression is well-known in the patients with kidney dysfunction, especially at the late stages, little is known about the exact point at which the decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) begins to significantly increase the risk of depression. In the present study, we analysed a nationwide epidemiological dataset to investigate the dose-dependent association between baseline eGFR and a future risk of developing depression in a general population. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 1,518,885 individuals (male: 46.3%) without a history of depression identified between April 2014 and November 2022 within a nationwide epidemiological database, provided by DeSC Healthcare (Tokyo, Japan). We investigated the association of eGFR with the incidence of depression using Cox regression analyses and also conducted cubic spline analysis to investigate the dose-dependent association between eGFR and depression. RESULTS: In the mean follow-up of 1218 ± 693 days, 45,878 cases (3.0% for total participants, 2.6% for men and 3.3% for women) of depression were recorded. The risk of depression increased with the eGFR decline as well as the presence of proteinuria. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed the hazard ratio (95% CI) of depression in each kidney function category (eGFR ≥90, 60-89, 45-59, 30-44, 15-29, and < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2) was 1.14 (1.11-1.17), 1 (reference), 1.11 (1.08-1.14), 1.51 (1.43-1.59), 1.77 (1.57-1.99) and 1.77 (1.26-2.50), respectively. In the cubic spline analysis, the risk of depression continued to increase monotonically as the eGFR declined when the eGFR fell below approximately 65 mL/min/1.73 m2. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis using a large-scale epidemiological dataset presented the dose-dependent association between eGFR decline and the risk of depression, which highlights the importance of incorporating mental health assessments into the routine care of patients with kidney dysfunction, regardless of the stage of their disease.

Association of Cancer and Its Interaction with Conventional Risk Factors on Cardiovascular Disease Risk.

INTRODUCTION: We sought to examine the association of cancer history with the incidence of individual cardiovascular disease events and to clarify whether the history of cancer modifies the relationship between conventional cardiovascular risk factors and incident cardiovascular disease. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used the JMDC Claims Database, including 3,531,683 individuals. The primary endpoint was the composite cardiovascular disease outcome, which included myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. RESULTS: During a follow-up, 144,162 composite endpoints were recorded. Individuals with a history of cancer had a higher risk of developing composite cardiovascular disease events (hazard ratio [HR] 1.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-1.29). The HRs for myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation were 1.11 (95% CI 0.98-1.27), 1.15 (95% CI 1.10-1.20), 1.11 (95% CI 1.05-1.18), 1.39 (95% CI 1.34-1.44), and 1.22 (95% CI 1.13-1.32), respectively. Individuals who required chemotherapy for cancer had a higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease. Although conventional risk factors (e.g., overweight/obesity, hypertension, and diabetes) were associated with incident composite cardiovascular disease even in individuals with a history of cancer, the total population-attributable fractions of conventional risk factors were less in individuals with a history of cancer. CONCLUSION: Individuals with a history of cancer (particularly those requiring chemotherapy) have a higher risk of cardiovascular disease. Traditional risk factors are important in the development of cardiovascular disease in individuals with and without a history of cancer. In individuals with a history of cancer, however, the total population-attributable fractions of conventional risk factors decreased.

Kidney outcomes with SGLT2 inhibitor vs. DPP4 inhibitor use in older adults with diabetes.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: While the kidney protective effects of sodium glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have attracted much attention, there are limited real-world clinical data examining the effects of SGLT2 inhibitors on kidney function in older individuals. We aimed to compare the kidney outcomes between SGLT2 inhibitor and dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitor use in older adults with diabetes. METHODS: Using a nationwide claims database, we studied 6 354 older adults (≥ 60 years of age) who had diabetes and newly initiated on SGLT2 inhibitors or DPP4 inhibitors. A 1:4 propensity score matching algorithm was used to compare changes in eGFR between SGLT2 inhibitor and DPP4 inhibitor users. The primary outcome was a decline in the rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), which was obtained using a linear mixed-effects model with an unstructured covariance. RESULTS: Following propensity score matching, 6 354 individuals including 1 271 SGLT2 inhibitor users and 5 083 DPP4 inhibitor users (median age: 68 [65-70] years); men, 60.4%; median eGFR:69.0 [59.1-79.0] ml/min/1.73 m2, median hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c]:6.9 [6.5-7.4]%) were analyzed. SGLT2 inhibitor users had a slower eGFR decline than did DPP4 inhibitor users (-0.97 [95% CI, -1.24 to -0.70] ml/min/1.73m2 vs. -1.83 [95% CI, -1.97 to -1.69] ml/min/1.73m2 per year; p for interaction < 0.001). This finding remained consistent across subgroups based on age, sex, body mass index, HbA1c level, renin-angiotensin system inhibitor use, and baseline eGFR. Additionally, the risk of a ≥ 20%, ≥ 30%, and ≥ 40% decrease in eGFR from baseline was significantly lower in SGLT2 inhibitor users than that in DPP4 inhibitor users. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis, utilizing a nationwide epidemiological dataset, demonstrated that the decline in eGFR was slower in individuals aged ≥ 60 years with diabetes who were prescribed SGLT2 inhibitors compared to those prescribed DPP4 inhibitors, suggesting a potential advantage of SGLT2 inhibitors for kidney outcomes even in older individuals with diabetes.

Significance of eGFR and proteinuria for cardiovascular disease in individuals beyond 85 years.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data on how advancing age influences prediction of CVD risk based on the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and proteinuria, especially in older adults, including those aged ≥ 85 years. This study aimed to clarify the association of eGFR and proteinuria with CVD outcomes and the impact of age on this association. METHODS: The distribution of eGFR and urine protein in Japan was assessed retrospectively using real-world administrative claims and health checkup data collected between April 2014 and November 2022. We investigated the associations of these two parameters with the incidence of CVD, with an emphasis on the impact of aging. RESULTS: We assessed 1 829 020 individuals for distribution of eGFR and proteinuria; after excluding those with known CVD, their association with CVD risk was examined in 1 040 101 individuals aged ≥ 40 years. The prevalence of impaired kidney function (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2) increased with age, being 0.7%, 9.2%, 21.9%, 40.2%, and 60.2% at the ages of 18-39, 40-64, 65-74, 75-84, and ≥ 85 years (P for trend < 0.001); similarly, the proportion with positive proteinuria increased with age, being 2.7%, 4.3%, 5.6%, 9.2%, and 15.8%, respectively (P for trend < 0.001). Both eGFR and urine protein were identified to be independent risk factors for CVD. Hazard ratios for CVD increased significantly when eGFR was <45 mL/min/1.73 m2 at the ages of 40-64, 65-74, and 75-84 and <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 at ≥ 85 years, while proteinuria remained significantly associated with a high CVD risk regardless of age. These findings were consistent even when analyzed separately by sex. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified eGFR and urine dipstick proteinuria to be independent risk factors for CVD, even among individuals aged ≥ 85 years. However, the contribution of eGFR to the CVD risk was attenuated by aging, whereas proteinuria remained less affected by advancing age.

Body weight change associated kidney outcomes of sodium-glucose cotransporter new users.

AIM: To investigate the clinical significance of body weight changes on kidney outcomes among individuals with diabetes using sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study using a nationwide epidemiological database, and we conducted an analysis involving 11 569 individuals with diabetes who were newly prescribed SGLT2 inhibitors. The main outcome was the rate of decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), determined through a linear mixed-effects model with an unstructured covariance structure. RESULTS: The median age of the patients was 52 (Q1-Q3: 47-58) years, and the median fasting plasma glucose and glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels were 144 (Q1-Q3: 124-175) mg/dL and 7.4 (Q1-Q3: 6.8-8.3)%, respectively. The median estimated eGFR was 77.7 (Q1-Q3: 67.2-89.1) mL/min/1.73 m2. The median follow-up period was 1.7 (Q1-Q3: 1.0-2.6) years. Participants were stratified into three groups based on the body mass index change rate tertiles between baseline and 1 year after (tertile 1: <-4.55%, tertile 2: -4.55% to -1.43%, tertile 3: >-1.43%). The annual change in eGFR was -0.78 (-0.94 to -0.63) mL/min/1.73 m2 in tertile 1, -0.95 (-1.09 to -0.81) mL/min/1.73 m2 in tertile 2, and -1.65 mL/min/1.73 m2 (-1.84 to -1.47) in tertile 3 (pinteraction < 0.001). A variety of sensitivity analyses confirmed the relationship between the 1-year body mass index decrease and favourable kidney outcomes after SGLT2 inhibitor administration. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis of a nationwide epidemiological cohort revealed that kidney outcomes following the initiation of SGLT2 inhibitors would be more favourable, with greater body weight loss observed after the initiation of SGLT2 inhibitors.

Comparison of estimated glomerular filtration rate change with sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists among people with diabetes: A propensity-score matching study.

AIM: To compare the risk of developing kidney outcomes with use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) versus use of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors among individuals with diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective observational study, we analysed 12 338 individuals with diabetes who newly initiated SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1RAs using data from the JMDC claims database. The primary outcome was change in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), estimated using a linear mixed-effects model. A 1:4 propensity-score-matching algorithm was used to compare the changes in eGFR between GLP-1RA and SGLT2 inhibitor users. RESULTS: After propensity-score matching, 2549 individuals (median [range] age 52 [46-58] years, 80.6% men) were analysed (510 GLP-1RA new users and 2039 SGLT2 inhibitor new users). SGLT2 inhibitor use was associated with a slower eGFR decline when compared with GLP-1RA use (-1.41 [95% confidence interval -1.63 to -1.19] mL/min/1.73 m2 vs. -2.62 [95% confidence interval -3.15 to -2.10] mL/min/1.73 m2). CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis demonstrates the potential advantages of SGLT2 inhibitors over GLP-1RAs in terms of kidney outcomes in individuals with diabetes.

Incidence of new fractures in older patients with osteoporosis receiving biosimilar teriparatide or reference products: A retrospective cohort study.

AIMS: Biosimilar products have clinical characteristics similar to those of brand-name products and can reduce medical costs. However, the use of biosimilar products for osteoporosis treatments remains limited due to concerns regarding its safety and efficacy. We aimed to clarify the effectiveness and safety of the biosimilar teriparatide compared with those of the reference product using the incidence of new fractures and osteosarcoma as outcomes in osteoporosis patients. METHODS: This study used the DeSC database, which contains medical claims data for various insurers in Japan. We included patients with osteoporosis aged ≥65 years who newly received either biosimilar teriparatide or the reference products between April 2019 and November 2022. Competing risk analyses were performed with adjustments for patient characteristics. The primary and secondary outcomes were the occurrence of new fractures and osteosarcoma, respectively. RESULTS: Among 45 861 included patients, 3613 and 42 248 were in the biosimilar and reference product groups, respectively. The median follow-up duration was 439 days. New fractures occurred in 6.7% of patients. Cumulative incidence function curves showed similar risks of new fractures over time in both groups. The cause-specific hazard ratio for new fractures was 0.95 (95% confidence interval: 0.82-1.11) for the biosimilar group compared with that of the reference product group. The incidence of osteosarcoma did not differ significantly between the groups (P = .559). CONCLUSIONS: The biosimilar teriparatide showed effectiveness and safety comparable with those of the reference products in treating osteoporosis patients. Our results suggest that clinicians need not hesitate to prescribe biosimilar teriparatide for osteoporosis patients.

Cilostazol versus Aspirin or Clopidogrel for Reducing Post-Stroke Aspiration Pneumonia: A Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: The association between the use of cilostazol as a post-stroke antiplatelet medication and a reduction in post-stroke pneumonia has been suggested. However, whether cilostazol has a greater preventive effect against post-stroke aspiration pneumonia (AP) than other antiplatelet medications remains unclear. Thus, this study aimed to evaluate whether cilostazol has a greater preventive effect against post-stroke AP than aspirin or clopidogrel. METHODS: Through the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we identified patients who were hospitalized for ischemic stroke between April 2012 and September 2019. We performed 1:1 propensity score matching between patients who received cilostazol alone at discharge and those who received aspirin or clopidogrel alone at discharge. The primary outcome was the 90-day readmission for post-stroke AP. The occurrence of recurrent ischemic stroke within 90 days was also evaluated. RESULTS: Among the 305,543 eligible patients with ischemic stroke, 65,141 (21%), 104,157 (34%), and 136,245 (45%) received cilostazol, aspirin, and clopidogrel, respectively. Propensity score matching generated 65,125 pairs. The cilostazol group had a higher proportion of 90-day post-stroke readmissions with AP than the aspirin or clopidogrel groups (1.5% vs. 1.2%, p < 0.001). The proportion of patients with recurrent ischemic stroke within 90 days was also higher in the cilostazol group (2.4% vs. 2.2%, p = 0.017). CONCLUSION: The present study suggests that cilostazol may not have a greater effect on preventing post-stroke AP within 90 days than other antiplatelet medications. Nevertheless, further randomized controlled trials with longer follow-up periods are warranted.

Use of Japanese Herbal Kampo Medicine in Patients With Acute Cardiovascular Disease　- A 12-Year Nationwide Cohort Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Kampo, a Japanese herbal medicine, is approved for the treatment of various symptoms/conditions under national medical insurance coverage in Japan. However, the contemporary nationwide status of Kampo use among patients with acute cardiovascular diseases remains unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we retrospectively identified 2,547,559 patients hospitalized for acute cardiovascular disease (acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, pulmonary embolism, or aortic dissection) at 1,798 hospitals during the fiscal years 2010-2021. Kampo medicines were used in 227,008 (8.9%) patients, with a 3-fold increase from 2010 (4.3%) to 2021 (12.4%), regardless of age, sex, disease severity, and primary diagnosis. The top 5 medicines used were Daikenchuto (29.4%), Yokukansan (26.1%), Shakuyakukanzoto (15.8%), Rikkunshito (7.3%), and Goreisan (5.5%). From 2010 to 2021, Kampo medicines were initiated earlier during hospitalization (from a median of Day 7 to Day 3), and were used on a greater proportion of hospital days (median 16.7% vs. 21.4%). However, the percentage of patients continuing Kampo medicines after discharge declined from 57.9% in 2010 to 39.4% in 2021, indicating their temporary use. The frequency of Kampo use varied across hospitals, with the median percentage of patients prescribed Kampo medications increasing from 7.7% in 2010 to 11.5% in 2021. CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide study demonstrates increasing Kampo use in the management of acute cardiovascular diseases, warranting further pharmacoepidemiological studies on its effectiveness.

Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia and Incident Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: Data regarding the relationship between benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) are scarce. We aimed to clarify the association of BPH with the risk of developing CVD using a nationwide epidemiological database. METHODS AND RESULTS: This retrospective observational cohort study analyzed data from the JMDC Claims Database between 2005 and 2022, including 2,370,986 men (median age 44 years). The primary endpoints were myocardial infarction (MI), angina pectoris (AP), stroke, heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF), which were assessed separately. BPH was observed in 48,651 (2.1%) men. During a mean (±SD) follow-up of 1,359±1,020 days, 7,638 MI, 52,167 AP, 25,355 stroke, 58,183 HF, and 16,693 AF events were detected. Hazard ratios of BPH for MI, AP, stroke, HF, and AF were 1.04 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.18), 1.31 (95% CI 1.25-1.37), 1.26 (95% CI 1.18-1.33), 1.21 (95% CI 1.16-1.27), and 1.15 (95% CI 1.07-1.24), respectively. We confirmed the robustness of our primary findings through a multitude of sensitivity analyses. In particular, a history of BPH was associated with a higher risk of developing CVD, even in participants without obesity, hypertension, diabetes, or dyslipidemia. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis of a nationwide epidemiological dataset demonstrated that BPH was associated with a greater risk of developing CVD in middle-aged men.

Awareness of Being Prescribed Antihypertensive Medications and Cardiovascular Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a major cause of cardiovascular disease (CVD). In patients with hypertension, unawareness of the disease often results in poor blood pressure control and increases the risk of CVD. However, data in nationwide surveys regarding the proportion of unaware individuals and the implications of such on their clinical outcomes are lacking. We aimed to clarify the association between unawareness of being prescribed antihypertensive medications among individuals taking antihypertensive medications and the subsequent risk of developing CVD. METHODS AND RESULTS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from the JMDC Claims Database, including 313,715 individuals with hypertension treated with antihypertensive medications (median age 56 years). The primary endpoint was a composite of myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Overall, 19,607 (6.2%) individuals were unaware of being prescribed antihypertensive medications. During the follow-up period, 33,976 composite CVD endpoints were documented. Despite their youth, minimal comorbidities, and the achievement of better BP control with a reduced number of antihypertensive prescriptions, unawareness of being prescribed antihypertensive medications was associated with a greater risk of developing composite CVD. Hazard ratios of unawareness of being prescribed antihypertensive medications were 1.16 for myocardial infarction, 1.25 for angina pectoris, 1.15 for stroke, 1.36 for heart failure, and 1.28 for atrial fibrillation. The results were similar in several sensitivity analyses, including the analysis after excluding individuals with dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals taking antihypertensive medications, assessing the awareness of being prescribed antihypertensive medications may help identify those at high risk for CVD-related events.

Duration of effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine in Japan: a retrospective cohort study using large-scale population-based registry data.

BACKGROUND: Most evidence of the waning of vaccine effectiveness is limited to a relatively short period after vaccination. METHODS: Data obtained from a linked database of healthcare administrative claims and vaccination records maintained by the municipality of a city in the Kanto region of Japan were used in this study. The study period extended from April 1, 2020, to December 31, 2022. The duration of the effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine was analyzed using a time-dependent piecewise Cox proportional hazard model using the age, sex and history of cancer, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease as covariates. RESULTS: Among the 174,757 eligible individuals, 14,416 (8.3%) were diagnosed with COVID-19 and 936 (0.54%) were hospitalized for COVID-19. Multivariate analysis based on the time-dependent Cox regression model with reference of non-vaccine group revealed a lower incidence of COVID-19 in the one-dose group (hazard ratio, 0.76 [95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.91]), two-dose (0.89 [0.85-0.93]), three-dose (0.80 [0.76-0.85]), four-dose (0.93 [0.88-1.00]), and five-dose (0.72 [0.62-0.84]) groups. A lower incidence of COVID-19-related hospitalization was observed in the one-dose group (0.42 [0.21-0.81]), two-dose (0.44 [0.35-0.56]), three-dose (0.38 [0.30-0.47]), four-dose (0.20 [0.14-0.28]), and five-dose (0.11 [0.014-0.86]) groups. Multivariable analyses based on the time-dependent piecewise Cox proportional hazard model with reference of non-vaccine group revealed significant preventive effects of the vaccine for 4 months for the incidence of COVID-19 and ≥ 6 months for hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccine effectiveness showed gradual attenuation with time after vaccination; however, protective effects against the incidence of COVID-19 and hospitalization were maintained for 4 months and ≥ 6 months, respectively. These results may aid in formulating routine vaccination plans after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Body Mass Index and Outcomes in Patients with Takotsubo Syndrome: A Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is a cardiac disorder that mimics acute coronary syndrome at presentation. While previous studies have demonstrated a relationship between body mass index (BMI) and outcomes in acute coronary syndrome, few have examined its relationship with TTS. METHODS: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we retrospectively identified 14,551 patients admitted for TTS between 2010 and 2021. By applying multivariable regressions with restricted cubic splines, we examined the association between BMI and in-hospital mortality after adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Mean BMI was 21.1 kg/m2, classifying patients into severe underweight (<16.0 kg/m2, 7.1%), mild/moderate underweight (16.0-18.4 kg/m2, 18.3%), normal weight (18.5-22.9 kg/m2, 46.8%), overweight (23.0-27.4 kg/m2, 22.2%), and obese (≥27.5 kg/m2, 5.6%) groups. Patients with severe or mild/moderate underweight were older and had a higher prevalence of impaired physical activity, malignancy, chronic pulmonary disease, and pneumonia. In-hospital mortality was the highest (9.4%) in the severe underweight group, followed by the mild/moderate underweight group (5.4%), with the lowest being in the obese group (2.1%). Severe underweight (adjusted odds ratio = 2.05; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.54-2.73) and mild/moderate underweight (1.26; 95% CI = 1.01-1.57) were significantly associated with higher mortality compared with normal weight, while no significant association was noted with obesity. A nonlinear association between continuous BMI and mortality was observed, with mortality increasing when BMI decreased <20.0 kg/m2 but nearly plateauing in BMI >20.0 kg/m2. CONCLUSIONS: The present nationwide analysis demonstrated a nonlinear association between BMI and in-hospital mortality of TTS. BMI is an easily available and clinically relevant marker for the risk stratification of TTS.

Machine Learning-based Models for Outpatient Prescription of Kampo Formulations: An Analysis of a Health Insurance Claims Database.

BACKGROUND: Despite the widespread practice of Japanese traditional Kampo medicine, the characteristics of patients receiving various Kampo formulations have not been documented in detail. We applied a machine learning model to a health insurance claims database to identify the factors associated with the use of Kampo formulations. METHODS: A 10% sample of enrollees of the JMDC Claims Database in 2018 and 2019 was used to create the training and testing sets, respectively. Logistic regression analyses with lasso regularization were performed in the training set to construct models with prescriptions of 10 commonly used Kampo formulations in 1 year as the dependent variable and data of the preceding year as independent variables. Models were applied to the testing set to calculate the C-statistics. Additionally, the performance of simplified scores using 10 or 5 variables were evaluated. RESULTS: There were 338,924 and 399,174 enrollees in the training and testing sets, respectively. The commonly prescribed Kampo formulations included kakkonto, bakumondoto, and shoseityuto. Based on the lasso models, the C-statistics ranged from 0.643 (maoto) to 0.888 (tokishakuyakusan). The models identified both the common determinants of different Kampo formulations and the specific characteristics associated with particular Kampo formulations. The simplified scores were slightly inferior to full models. CONCLUSION: Lasso regression models showed good performance for explaining various Kampo prescriptions from claims data. The models identified the characteristics associated with Kampo formulation use.