Clinical outcomes and predictors in patients with acute on chronic liver failure in Southern Taiwan.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The study is to analyze the clinical characteristics and identify prognostic factors as well as evaluate predictive models in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) from Southern Taiwan. METHODS: The cohort study was conducted using the Chang Gung Research Database. We included patients with ACLF based on the definition provided by the Asian-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium (AARC). RESULTS: A total of 231 patients diagnosed with ACLF were included in this study, out of which 26 patients underwent liver transplantation (LT). The primary cause of ACLF was acute exacerbation of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in 68.4% of cases and followed by severe alcoholic hepatitis (20.8%). Among LT-free patients, the 28-day mortality rate was observed to be 31%. Older age, higher INR and ammonia levels, and the presence of severe hepatic encephalopathy on 3-6 days of treatment were independent predictors of 28-day mortality. The CLIF-C ACLF and COSSH-ACLF scores, evaluated on 3-6 days, demonstrated the highest predictive performance for 28-day mortality. The optimal cut-off values for the CLIF-C ACLF and COSSH-ACLF scores were determined to be 47 and 6.3, respectively. Patients with CLIF-C ACLF score >63 or COSSH-ACLF score >8.1 experienced 100% mortality by day 28. CONCLUSIONS: The CLIF-C ACLF and COSSH-ACLF scores, evaluated within one week after treatment, exhibit strong predictive capabilities for short-term mortality in ACLF patients. These models are valuable tools for guiding timely decision-making, including the consideration of liver transplantation or withdrawal from treatment.

Exploring awareness of age-related changes among over 50s in the UK: findings from the PROTECT study.

OBJECTIVES: Older people describe positive and negative age-related changes, but we do not know much about what contributes to make them aware of these changes. We used content analysis to categorize participants' written comments and explored the extent to which the identified categories mapped onto theoretical conceptualizations of influences on awareness of age-related change (AARC). DESIGN: Cross-sectional observational study. PARTICIPANTS: The study sample comprised 609 UK individuals aged 50 years or over (mean (SD) age = 67.9 (7.6) years), enrolled in the PROTECT study. MEASUREMENTS: Between January and March 2019, participants provided demographic information, completed a questionnaire assessing awareness of age-related change (AARC-10 SF), and responded to an open-ended question asking them to comment on their responses. RESULTS: While some of the emerging categories were in line with the existing conceptual framework of AARC (e.g. experiencing negative changes and attitudes toward aging), others were novel (e.g. engagement in purposeful activities or in activities that distract from age-related thoughts). Analysis revealed some of the thought processes involved in selecting responses to the questionnaire items, demonstrating different ways in which people make sense of specific items. CONCLUSIONS: Results support the ability of the AARC questionnaire to capture perceived age-related changes in cognitive functioning, physical and mental health, and engagement in social activities and in healthy and adaptive behaviors. However, findings also suggest ways of enriching the theoretical conceptualization of how AARC develops and offer insights into interpretation of responses to measures of AARC.

Cross-sectional association between objective cognitive performance and perceived age-related gains and losses in cognition.

OBJECTIVES: Evidence linking subjective concerns about cognition with poorer objective cognitive performance is limited by reliance on unidimensional measures of self-perceptions of aging (SPA). We used the awareness of age-related change (AARC) construct to assess self-perception of both positive and negative age-related changes (AARC gains and losses). We tested whether AARC has greater utility in linking self-perceptions to objective cognition compared to well-established measures of self-perceptions of cognition and aging. We examined the associations of AARC with objective cognition, several psychological variables, and engagement in cognitive training. DESIGN: Cross-sectional observational study. PARTICIPANTS: The sample comprised 6056 cognitively healthy participants (mean [SD] age = 66.0 [7.0] years); divided into subgroups representing middle, early old, and advanced old age. MEASUREMENTS: We used an online cognitive battery and measures of global AARC, AARC specific to the cognitive domain, subjective cognitive change, attitudes toward own aging (ATOA), subjective age (SA), depression, anxiety, self-rated health (SRH). RESULTS: Scores on the AARC measures showed stronger associations with objective cognition compared to other measures of self-perceptions of cognition and aging. Higher AARC gains were associated with poorer cognition in middle and early old age. Higher AARC losses and poorer cognition were associated across all subgroups. Higher AARC losses were associated with greater depression and anxiety, more negative SPA, poorer SRH, but not with engagement in cognitive training. CONCLUSIONS: Assessing both positive and negative self-perceptions of cognition and aging is important when linking self-perceptions to cognitive functioning. Objective cognition is one of the many variables - alongside psychological variables - related to perceived cognitive losses.

International relevance of two measures of awareness of age-related change (AARC).

BACKGROUND: A questionnaire assessing awareness of positive and negative age-related changes (AARC gains and losses) was developed in the US and Germany. We validated the short form of the measure (AARC-10 SF) and the cognitive functioning subscale from the 50-item version of the AARC (AARC-50) questionnaire in the UK population aged 50 and over. METHODS: Data from 9410 participants (Mean (SD) age = 65.9 (7.1)) in the PROTECT cohort were used to explore and confirm the psychometric properties of the AARC measures including: validity of the factor structure; reliability; measurement invariance across men and women, individuals with and without a university degree, and in middle age, early old age, and advanced old age; and convergent validity with measures of self-perception of aging and mental, physical, and cognitive health. We explored the relationship between demographic variables (age, sex, marital status, employment, and university education) and AARC. RESULTS: We confirmed the two-factor structure (gains and losses) of the AARC-10 SF and the AARC-50 cognitive functioning subscale. Both scales showed good reliability and good convergent validity for AARC losses, but weak convergent validity for AARC gains. For both scales metric invariance was held for the two subgroups defined by education level and age. For the AARC-50 subscale, but not for the AARC-10 SF, strong invariance was also held for the two subgroups defined by sex. Age, sex, marital status, employment, and university education predicted AARC gains and losses. CONCLUSIONS: The AARC-10 SF and AARC-50 cognitive functioning subscale identify UK individuals who perceive age-related changes in their mental, physical, and cognitive health.

Heschl's gyrus fiber intersection area: a new insight on the connectivity of the auditory-language hub.

OBJECTIVE: The functional importance of the superior temporal lobe at the level of Heschl's gyrus is well known. However, the organization and function of these cortical areas and the underlying fiber tracts connecting them remain unclear. The goal of this study was to analyze the area formed by the organization of the intersection of Heschl's gyrus-related fiber tracts, which the authors have termed the "Heschl's gyrus fiber intersection area" (HGFIA). METHODS: The subcortical connectivity of Heschl's gyrus tracts was analyzed by white matter fiber dissection and by diffusion tensor imaging tractography. The white matter tracts organized in relation to Heschl's gyrus were isolated in 8 human hemispheres from cadaveric specimens and in 8 MRI studies in 4 healthy volunteers. In addition, these tracts and their functions were described in the surgical cases of left temporal gliomas next to the HGFIA in 6 patients who were awake during surgery and underwent intraoperative electrical stimulation mapping. RESULTS: Five tracts were observed to pass through the HGFIA: the anterior segment of the arcuate fasciculus, the middle longitudinal fasciculus, the acoustic radiation, the inferior fronto-occipital fasciculus, and the optic radiation. In addition, U fibers originating at the level of Heschl's gyrus and heading toward the middle temporal gyrus were identified. CONCLUSIONS: This investigation of the HGFIA, a region where 5 fiber tracts intersect in a relationship with the primary auditory area, provides new insights into the subcortical organization of Wernicke's area. This information is valuable when a temporal surgical approach is planned, in order to assess the surgical risk related to language disturbances.

Psychometric Properties and Measurement Invariance of the Awareness of Age-Related Change Short Form in Older Adult Samples From Taiwan and Germany.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: This study examined the psychometric properties and measurement invariance of the 10-item Awareness of Age-Related Change Short Form (AARC-SF) questionnaire in a Chinese-speaking sample of older adults in Taiwan. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Data from 292 participants (Mage = 77.64 years) in the Healthy Aging Longitudinal Study in Taiwan cohort were used for Study 1, whereas data from young-old adult samples in Germany were used for Study 2. RESULTS: Study 1 showed that the AARC-SF had satisfactory reliability and validity for assessing adults' AARC in Taiwan. Analyses confirmed the 2-factor structure of AARC-gains and AARC-losses. Study 2 demonstrated strong measurement invariance across men and women, whereas direct comparisons of the item scores between young-old adults and old-old adults need to be made with caution. Noninvariance of loadings indicated that certain items were more closely linked to AARC-gains and AARC-losses in Taiwan than in Germany. Noninvariance of intercepts suggested potential biases in comparing item scores between Taiwanese and German older adults. DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS: The AARC-SF emerged as a reliable and valid instrument for capturing positive and negative subjective aging experiences among Taiwanese older adults. However, it is noteworthy that some items on the AARC-SF may solicit different responses from individuals of different ages and different countries of origin, requiring caution with age group and cross-cultural comparisons.

Cognitive trajectories: exploring the predictive role of subjective cognitive decline and awareness of age-related changes for cognitive functioning.

Background: We investigated whether aspects of subjective cognitive aging, including awareness of age-related gains and losses in cognition (AARC-gains, AARC-losses) and subjective cognitive decline (SCD), predict change in objective cognitive function as measured by verbal reasoning (VR) and working memory (WM). Methods: We used longitudinal data for 3,299 cognitively healthy UK residents aged 65+. We used data on AARC and SCD assessed in 2019, and cognitive tasks assessed in 2019, 2020, and 2021. We used latent growth curve modeling, latent class growth analysis, and growth mixture modeling. Results: For VR, multiple growth trajectories were not evident. Mean VR at baseline was 37.45; this remained stable over time. Higher AARC-gains in cognition (mean intercept = -0.23; 95%CI: -0.31; -0.16), higher AARC-losses in cognition (mean intercept = -0.37; 95%CI: -0.46; -0.28), and lower SCD (mean intercept = 2.92; 95%CI: 2.58; 3.58) were associated with poorer VR at baseline. A three-class growth mixture model-class varying best represented trajectories of WM. In Class 1 (N = 182) mean WM at baseline was 31.20; this decreased by 2.48 points each year. In Class 2 (N = 119) mean WM at baseline was 23.12; this increased by 3.28 points each year. In Class 3 (N = 2,998) mean WM at baseline was 30.11; and it remained stable. Higher AARC-gains (Odds Ratio = 1.08; 95%CI: 1.03; 1.14) and AARC-losses (Odds Ratio = 1.10; 95%CI: 1.04; 1.16) in cognition predicted greater likelihood of being in Class 2 than Class 3. Conclusion: Although both higher AARC-gains and AARC-losses indicate poorer concurrent cognition, higher AARC-gains may be a resource that facilitates future cognitive improvement.

AARC score determines outcomes in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis: a multinational study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a severe form of alcoholic hepatitis (SAH). We aimed to study the natural course, response to corticosteroids (CS), and the role of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of Liver (APASL) research consortium (AARC) score in determining clinical outcomes in AH patients. METHODS: Prospectively collected data from the AARC database were analyzed. RESULTS: Of the 1249 AH patients, (aged 43.8 ± 10.6 years, 96.9% male, AARC score 9.2 ± 1.9), 38.8% died on a 90 day follow-up. Of these, 150 (12.0%) had mild-moderate AH (MAH), 65 (5.2%) had SAH and 1034 (82.8%) had ACLF. Two hundred and eleven (16.9%) patients received CS, of which 101 (47.87%) were steroid responders by day 7 of Lille's model, which was associated with improved survival [Hazard ratio (HR) 0.15, 95% CI 0.12-0.19]. AARC-ACLF grade 3 [OR 0.28, 0.14-0.55] was an independent predictor of steroid non-response and mortality [HR 3.29, 2.63-4.11]. Complications increased with degree of liver failure [AARC grade III vs. II vs I], bacterial infections [48.6% vs. 37% vs. 34.7%; p < 0.001); extrahepatic organ failure [66.9% vs. 41.8% vs. 35.4%; p < 0.001] respectively. The AARC score better discriminated 90-day mortality. Harrell's C-index was 0.72 compared to other scores. CONCLUSION: Nearly 4 of 5 patients with AH present with ACLF. Such patients have a higher risk of infections, organ failures, lower response to CS, and higher mortality. Patients with AH and ACLF with AARC grade 3 should be considered for an early liver transplant.

Identifying the early predictors of non-response to steroids in patients with flare of autoimmune hepatitis causing acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Early identification of non-response to steroids is critical in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) causing acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We assessed if this non-response can be accurately identified within first few days of treatment. METHODS: Patients with AIH-ACLF without baseline infection/hepatic encephalopathy were identified from APASL ACLF research consortium (AARC) database. Diagnosis of AIH-ACLF was based mainly on histology. Those treated with steroids were assessed for non-response (defined as death or liver transplant at 90 days for present study). Laboratory parameters, AARC, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were assessed at baseline and day 3 to identify early non-response. Utility of dynamic SURFASA score [- 6.80 + 1.92*(D0-INR) + 1.94*(∆%3-INR) + 1.64*(∆%3-bilirubin)] was also evaluated. The performance of early predictors was compared with changes in MELD score at 2 weeks. RESULTS: Fifty-five out of one hundred and sixty-five patients (age-38.2 ± 15.0 years, 67.2% females) with AIH-ACLF [median MELD 24 (IQR: 22-27); median AARC score 7 (6-9)] given oral prednisolone 40 (20-40) mg per day were analyzed. The 90 day transplant-free survival in this cohort was 45.7% with worse outcomes in those with incident infections (56% vs 28.0%, p = 0.03). The AUROC of pre-therapy AARC score [0.842 (95% CI 0.754-0.93)], MELD [0.837 (95% CI 0.733-0.94)] score and SURFASA score [0.795 (95% CI 0.678-0.911)] were as accurate as ∆MELD at 2 weeks [0.770 (95% CI 0.687-0.845), p = 0.526] and better than ∆MELD at 3 days [0.541 (95% CI 0.395, 0.687), p < 0.001] to predict non-response. Combination of AARC score > 6, MELD score > 24 with SURFASA score ≥ - 1.2, could identify non-responders at day 3 (concomitant- 75% vs either - 42%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Baseline AARC score, MELD score, and the dynamic SURFASA score on day 3 can accurately identify early non-response to steroids in AIH-ACLF.

Healthcare utilization and outcomes of living donor liver transplantation for patients with APASL-defined acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) is associated with excellent survival in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). There is a lack of data assessing the healthcare utilization and outcomes of patients with APASL-defined ACLF undergoing living donor liver transplantation (LDLT). Our aim was to assess pre-LT healthcare utilization and post-LT outcomes in such patients. METHODS: Patients with ACLF who underwent LDLT at our center between 1st April 2019 and 1st October 2021 were included. RESULTS: Seventy-three ACLF patients willing to undergo LDLT were listed; eighteen patients died within 30 days. Fifty-five patients underwent LDLT (age:38.05 ± 14.76 years; alcohol:52.7%; males:81.8%). Most were in grade II ACLF (87.3%) at the time of LDLT (APASL ACLF Research Consortium [AARC] score: 9.05 ± 1; MELD NA: 28.15 ± 4.13). Survival rate was 72.73%; mean follow-up period of 925.21 days; 58.2% (32/55) developed complications during the first year post-LT; 45% (25/55) and 12.7% (7/55) developed infections within and after 3 months. Pre-LT, each patient required a median of 2 (1-4) admissions for 17 (4-45) days. Fifty-six percent (31/55) of patients underwent plasma exchange pre-LDLT. A median amount of Rs. 8,25,090 (INR 26,000-43,58,154) was spent to stabilize the patient (who were sicker and waited longer to undergo LDLT); though post-LT survival benefit was not observed. CONCLUSIONS: LDLT was associated with 73% survival and, thus, is a viable option in those with APASL-defined ACLF. There was a pre-LT high healthcare resource utilization of plasma exchange, with the intention of optimization, while survival benefit has not been demonstrated.

Differences in awareness of positive and negative age-related changes accounting for variability in health outcomes.

Higher awareness of positive age-related changes (AARC gains) is related to better mental health, whereas higher awareness of negative age-related changes (AARC losses) is related to poorer mental and physical health. So far perceived gains and losses have been explored separately, but people report gains and losses concurrently in varying degrees, and different profiles of gains and losses may be differentially associated with health. We identified profiles of gains and losses and explored whether different profiles differed in physical, mental, and cognitive health. We used cross-sectional data from the PROTECT study (N = 6192; mean (SD) age = 66.1 (7.0)). Using latent profile analysis, a four-class solution showed the best model fit. We found that 45% of people perceived many gains and few losses (Class 1); 24% perceived moderate gains and few losses (Class 2); 24% perceived many gains and moderate losses (Class 3); 7% perceived many gains and many losses (Class 4). Analysis of variance and Chi-squared tests showed that Class 1 had relatively better physical, mental, and cognitive health, followed by Classes 2, 3, and 4. Experiencing one's ageing to a high degree as gain may be related to better health only when individuals interpret ageing as involving low levels of loss across several life domains. Risk in terms of poorer health emerged in those who perceived high losses. Considering gains and losses in parallel, rather than separately, may lead to a more fine-tuned understanding of relations with health. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10433-021-00673-z.

Awareness of age-related change in very different cultural-political contexts: A cross-cultural examination of aging in Burkina Faso and Germany.

Combining recent developments in research on personal views on aging (VoA) and a cross-country comparative approach, this study examined awareness of age-related change (AARC) in samples from rural Burkina Faso and Germany. The aims of this study were (1) to examine for an assumed proportional shift in the relationship between gains/losses toward more losses as predicted by life span psychology; (2) to estimate the association between AARC dimensions and subjective age; and (3) to examine the association between health variables and AARC. A cross-sectional method involving a large, representative sample from rural Burkina Faso that included participants aged 40 and older (N = 3,028) and a smaller convenience sample of German respondents aged 50 years and older (N = 541) were used to address these questions. A proportional shift toward more AARC-losses was more clearly observable in the sample from Burkina Faso as compared to the German reference. In both samples, subjective age was consistently more strongly related to AARC-losses than to AARC-gains. Within the sample from Burkina Faso, differential associations of AARC-gains and AARC-losses to health variables could be shown. In conclusion, the findings support key tenets of life span psychology including that age-related gains occur even late in life and that a shift toward more losses occurs with increasing age. Also, feeling subjectively younger may indeed be more strongly guided by lowered negative aging experiences than by increased positive ones.

Liver Biopsy in Patients With Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease With Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

Patients with alcohol-associated liver disease may develop severe forms of presentation of acute-on-chronic liver failure, with a high risk for short-term mortality. Alcoholic hepatitis should be suspected among patients with alcohol-associated liver disease who present with acute-on-chronic liver failure. In this review, we discuss the need and feasibility of liver biopsy in the diagnosis of alcoholic hepatitis and predicting its prognosis among decompensated patients with alcohol-associated liver disease and acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Low Volume Plasma Exchange and Low Dose Steroid Improve Survival in Patients With Alcohol-Related Acute on Chronic Liver Failure and Severe Alcoholic Hepatitis - Preliminary Experience.

Background: Alcohol-related acute on chronic liver failure (A-ACLF) patients have high short-term mortality and are poor candidates for steroid therapy. Plasma exchange (PLEX) improves survival in ACLF patients. We analyzed our experience with low volume PLEX (50% of plasma volume exchanged per session) and low dose steroids to treat A-ACLF patients. Methods: We retrospectively compared the efficacy of low volume PLEX and low-dose steroids with standard medical treatment (SMT) in A-ACLF patients treated at our center between November 2017 to June 2019. The primary study outcome was one-year survival. Results: Twenty-one A-ACLF patients in PLEX group [age 40 (29-56) years, median (range); MELD score 31 (29-46)] and 29 A-ACLF patients in SMT group [age 41.5 (28-63) years, MELD score 37 (21-48)] were studied. All 50 study patients had severe alcoholic hepatitis [mDF 84.7 (50-389)]. PLEX group patients had 3 (1-7) PLEX sessions with 1.5 (1.4-1.6) liters of plasma exchanged per session and oral Prednisolone 20 mg daily, tapered over 1 month. Kaplan Meier analysis showed better survival over 1 year in the PLEX group compared to the SMT group (P = 0.03). There was renal dysfunction in 10 patients in the PLEX group, which normalized in six patients after PLEX. Conclusion: In this preliminary report, compared to SMT, low volume PLEX and low dose steroid improved survival over one year in A-ACLF patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis. In patients with renal dysfunction, 60% showed improvement in renal function with PLEX. Studies with a larger number of patients are needed to validate these results.

Transplantation for EASL-CLIF and APASL acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients: The TEA cohort to evaluate long-term post-Transplant outcomes.

Background: The forecast accuracy of the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) and Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) criteria in assessing long-term outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) is still unclear, especially when the staging of the two standards is inconsistent. Methods: A retrospective cohort (NCT05036031) including 565 patients from January 2015 to June 2021 was conducted. The 28 and 90 days, 1- and 3-years overall survival (OS) after LT were compared between different grades. Findings: Total of 162 (28.7%) and 230 (40.7%) patients met the ACLF standards. In the EASL-CLIF criteria, the 3-year OS rates were 83·0%, 80·3%, and 69·8% for ACLF1-3, respectively. In the APASL criteria, the 3-year OS rates were 85·7% for APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC)-1, similar to ACLF-1. The 3-year OS rates were 84·5% for AARC-2, which were slightly better than ACLF-2. Regarding AARC-3, the 3-year OS rate was 5·8% higher than ACLF-3. For patients who met neither set of criteria for ACLF, the 3-year OS rates were 89·8%. The multivariate analysis showed that alanine aminotransferase >100 U/L, respiration failure, and cerebral failure were independent risk factors for post-LT death. Interpretation: This study provides the first large-scale long-term follow-up data in Asia. Both criteria showed favorable distinguishing ability for post-LT survival. Patients with ACLF had a higher post-LT mortality risk, and ACLF-3 and AARC-3 correlated with significantly greater mortality. Funding: National Natural Science Foundation of China and Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality.

The cross-sectional relationship between pain and awareness of age-related changes.

BACKGROUND: Awareness of positive and negative age-related changes (AARC gains and losses) captures the perceived changes that older individuals experience in several domains of their lives including physical, cognitive and social functioning; interpersonal relationships; and lifestyle. Exploring antecedents of AARC is important to identify those individuals that could benefit the most from interventions promoting positive experiences of ageing and/or adaptation to age-related changes. This study investigates the experience of pain as a predictor of lower AARC gains and higher AARC losses. METHODS: Analyses are based on cross-sectional data from the PROTECT cohort (2019); 1013 UK residents (mean (SD; range) age: 65.3 (7.1; 51.4-92) years, 84.4% women) completed measures of AARC and pain and provided demographic information. Linear regression models were fitted to examine pain as a predictor of AARC gains and AARC losses. RESULTS: Higher levels of pain predicted more AARC losses both before (regression coefficient, B = 0.36; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.29 to 0.42, p-value < 0.001; R 2 = 0.11) and after adjusting for demographic covariates (B = 0.34; 95% CI: 0.27 to 0.40; p-value < 0.001; Partial R 2 = 0.11). Pain was not significantly associated with AARC gains (unadjusted B = 0.05; 95% CI: -0.03 to 0.12, p-value = 0.21; Partial R 2 = 0.01). CONCLUSION: Individuals experiencing pain may perceive more AARC losses. Interventions aiming to decrease levels of pain could include a component targeting self-perceptions of ageing and/or promoting acceptance of the negative changes that can happen with ageing. STATEMENT OF SIGNIFICANCE: The predictive role of greater levels of pain for more negative perceptions of age-related changes extends the literature on the negative psychological outcomes of pain and on predictors of perceived awareness of age-related changes (AARC). As individuals experiencing pain may be more at risk of perceiving their own ageing in a more negative way, they may benefit from interventions that combine strategies to reduce levels of pain and the interference that pain exerts on their daily activities with an educational component enhancing positive self-perceptions of ageing and promoting acceptance of negative age-related changes.

Comparative accuracy of prognostic models for short-term mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients: CAP-ACLF.

BACKGROUND: Multiple predictive models of mortality exist for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients that often create confusion during decision-making. We studied the natural history and evaluated the performance of prognostic models in ACLF patients. METHODS: Prospectively collected data of ACLF patients from APASL-ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) was analyzed for 30-day outcomes. The models evaluated at days 0, 4, and 7 of presentation for 30-day mortality were: AARC (model and score), CLIF-C (ACLF score, and OF score), NACSELD-ACLF (model and binary), SOFA, APACHE-II, MELD, MELD-Lactate, and CTP. Evaluation parameters were discrimination (c-indices), calibration [accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and positive/negative predictive values (PPV/NPV)], Akaike/Bayesian Information Criteria (AIC/BIC), Nagelkerke-R2, relative prediction errors, and odds ratios. RESULTS: Thirty-day survival of the cohort (n = 2864) was 64.9% and was lowest for final-AARC-grade-III (32.8%) ACLF. Performance parameters of all models were best at day 7 than at day 4 or day 0 (p < 0.05 for C-indices of all models except NACSELD-ACLF). On comparison, day-7 AARC model had the numerically highest c-index 0.872, best accuracy 84.0%, PPV 87.8%, R2 0.609 and lower prediction errors by 10-50%. Day-7 NACSELD-ACLF-binary was the simple model (minimum AIC/BIC 12/17) with the highest odds (8.859) and sensitivity (100%) but with a lower PPV (70%) for mortality. Patients with day-7 AARC score > 12 had the lowest 30-day survival (5.7%). CONCLUSIONS: APASL-ACLF is often a progressive disease, and models assessed up to day 7 of presentation reliably predict 30-day mortality. Day-7 AARC model is a statistically robust tool for classifying risk of death and accurately predicting 30-day outcomes with relatively lower prediction errors. Day-7 AARC score > 12 may be used as a futility criterion in APASL-ACLF patients.

Adipocyte Fatty Acid-Binding Protein as a Predictor of Outcome in Alcohol-induced Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol is the leading cause of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Several severity scores predict the outcome of ACLF. However, there is a lack of simple biomarkers in predicting the outcome of these sick patients. Fatty acid-binding proteins (FABPs) are small cytosolic proteins that play a major role in lipid metabolism, energy homeostasis, and inflammation, but, have not been investigated in alcohol-induced ACLF (A-ACLF). OBJECTIVES: The primary objective was to assess the correlation between serum adipocyte-FABP (A-FABP) and liver-FABP (L-FABP) levels on mortality at day 90. Secondary objectives were to compare the levels between controls and A-ACLF, correlate L-FABP, and A-FABP levels on the development of organ failure/sepsis at day 90. METHODS: In this prospective observational pilot study, we included patients with A-ACLF and age-matched healthy controls. FABP's were analyzed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay method. The patients were followed up for 90 days. RESULTS: Twenty-five patients with A-ACLF (mean age: 40years; mean model for end-stage liver disease NA: 29.8; median Modified Maddrey's discriminant function [mDF]: 95) and 12 controls (mean age: 36.83yrs) were included in the study. A-FABP and L-FABP levels were significantly high in patients with A-ACLF than controls. Forty-four percent of patients with A-ACLF developed sepsis, 48% developed organ failure, and 44% expired by day 90. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, A-FABP (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.27 [1.08-1.5]; P = 0.003), Asian Pacific Association for the Study of Liver ACLF research consortium score (HR: 3.3[1.15-9.54]; P = 0.02), L-FABP (HR: 0.69 [0.52-0.91]; P = 0.009), and serum protein levels (HR: 0.03 [0.003-0.36]; P = 0.005) predicted mortality. A-FABP (1.17 [1.07-1.29]; P = 0.001), and serum bilirubin (1.05 [0.99-1.12]; P = 0.06) predicted development of organ failure, and only mDF (HR: 1.04 [1.01-1.07]; P = 0.009) predicted the development of sepsis on multivariate analysis. Fifteen patients received steroid therapy, of which 13.34% were nonresponders. CONCLUSIONS: In a selected group of patients with A-ACLF, A-FABP is highly sensitive at predicting mortality and outcome. If validated in a large, diverse sample, A-FABP can be used as a simple biomarker for prognostication in A-ACLF.

Admission Serum Urea is a Better Predictor of Mortality than Creatinine in Patients With Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure and Acute Kidney Injury.

BACKGROUND: The occurrence of acute kidney injury (AKI) in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) negatively impacts the survival of patients. There are scant data on the impact of serum urea on outcomes in these patients. We performed this study to evaluate the relationship between admission serum urea and the survival in patients with ACLF and AKI. METHODS: A prospective study was conducted on patients with ACLF (as per Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria) and AKI (as per Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria) hospitalized in the gastroenterology ward between October 2016 and May 2018. Demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters were recorded, and outcomes were compared in patients with respect to the admission serum urea level. RESULTS: A total of 103 of 143 hospitalized patients with ACLF had AKI and were included as study subjects. The discrimination ability between survivors and the deceased was similar for serum urea levels (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] [95% confidence interval {CI}]: 28 days survival, 0.76 [0.67-0.85]; 90 days survival, 0.81 [0.72-0.91]) and serum creatinine levels (AUROC [95% CI]: 28 days survival, 0.75 [0.66-0.84]; 90 days survival: 0.77 [0.67-0.88]) in patients with ACLF and AKI. However, on multivariate analysis, admission serum urea (not serum creatinine) was an independent predictor of mortality in these patients both at 28 days (p = 0.001, adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]: 1.013 [1.005-1.021]) and 90 days (p = 0.001, AHR: 1.014 [1.006-1.022]). CONCLUSION: Over two-thirds of patients with ACLF had AKI. The discrimination ability between survivors and the deceased was similar for both serum urea and serum creatinine levels. However admission serum urea was found to be a better predictor of mortality than serum creatinine in patients with ACLF and AKI.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: Definitions, pathophysiology and principles of treatment.

The term acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) defines an abrupt and life-threatening worsening of clinical conditions in patients with cirrhosis or chronic liver disease. In recent years, different definitions and diagnostic criteria for the syndrome have been proposed by the major international scientific societies. The main controversies relate to the type of acute insult (specifically hepatic or also extrahepatic), the stage of underlying liver disease (cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis) and the concomitant extrahepatic organ failure(s) that should be considered in the definition of ACLF. Therefore, different severity criteria and prognostic scores have been proposed and validated. Current evidence shows that the pathophysiology of ACLF is closely associated with an intense systemic inflammation sustained by circulating pathogen-associated molecular patterns and damage-associated molecular patterns. The development of organ failures may be a result of a combination of tissue hypoperfusion, direct immune-mediated damage and mitochondrial dysfunction. Management of ACLF is currently based on the supportive treatment of organ failures, mainly in an intensive care setting. For selected patients, liver transplantation is an effective treatment that offers a good long-term prognosis. Future studies on potential mechanistic treatments that improve patient survival are eagerly awaited.