Diagnosis and Management of Pancreatic Cysts.

As pancreatic cyst incidence rises, likely due to the ubiquitous increase in cross-sectional imaging, their management presents multiple challenges for both the practitioner and patient. It is critical that all pancreatic cysts are appropriately characterized, as treatment decisions depend on an accurate diagnosis. Diagnostic modalities such as cytology, biopsy, and cyst fluid biomarkers allow for definitive diagnosis of virtually all lesions. Some cysts, such as intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, mucinous cystic neoplasms, and cystic pancreatic endocrine neoplasms, have malignant potential and must be surveyed. Other cysts, such as serous cystadenomas and pancreatic fluid collections, do not have malignant potential. Surveillance strategies vary widely depending on cyst type and size and while multiple medical societies advocate surveillance, their published surveillance guidelines are heterogenous. Cysts with high-risk stigmata or worrisome features are usually resected, depending on the patient's surgical fitness. In patients unfit for resection, newer endoscopic ablative techniques are advocated. Controversial aspects regarding cyst management include whether surveillance can be stopped, how surveillance should be performed, and the extensive financial burden cyst management places on the health care system. Further study into the natural history of cystic lesions, including definitive determination of the rate of malignant transformation for each cyst type, is essential.

Surveillance for Presumed BD-IPMN of the Pancreas: Stability, Size, and Age Identify Targets for Discontinuation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Currently, most patients with branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) are offered indefinite surveillance, resulting in health care costs with questionable benefits regarding cancer prevention. This study sought to identify patients in whom the risk of cancer is equivalent to an age-matched population, thereby justifying discontinuation of surveillance. METHODS: International multicenter study involving presumed BD-IPMN without worrisome features (WFs) or high-risk stigmata (HRS) at diagnosis who underwent surveillance. Clusters of individuals at risk for cancer development were defined according to cyst size and stability for at least 5 years, and age-matched controls were used for comparison using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for pancreatic cancer. RESULTS: Of 3844 patients with presumed BD-IPMN, 775 (20.2%) developed WFs and 68 (1.8%) HRS after a median surveillance of 53 (interquartile range 53) months. Some 164 patients (4.3%) underwent surgery. Of the overall cohort, 1617 patients (42%) remained stable without developing WFs or HRS for at least 5 years. In patients 75 years or older, the SIR was 1.12 (95% CI, 0.23-3.39), and in patients 65 years or older with stable lesions smaller than 15 mm in diameter after 5 years, the SIR was 0.95 (95% CI, 0.11-3.42). The all-cause mortality for patients who did not develop WFs or HRS for at least 5 years was 4.9% (n = 79), and the disease-specific mortality was 0.3% (n = 5). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of developing pancreatic malignancy in presumed BD-IPMN without WFs or HRS after 5 years of surveillance is comparable to that of the general population depending on cyst size and patient age. Surveillance discontinuation could be justified after 5 years of stability in patients older than 75 years with cysts <30 mm, and in patients 65 years or older who have cysts ≤15 mm.

Long-Term Outcomes of Endoscopic Ultrasound-Guided Ablation Vs Surgery for Pancreatic Cystic Tumors.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Endoscopic ultrasound-guided pancreatic cyst ablation (EUS-PCA) is performed as an alternative to surgical resection in selected patients with pancreatic cystic tumors (PCTs). We aimed to directly compare the long-term outcomes between EUS-PCA and surgery for PCTs. METHODS: We reviewed a PCT database to identify patients with unilocular or oligolocular PCTs who underwent EUS-PCA or surgery between January 2004 and July 2019. We performed 1:1 propensity score matching based on potential confounding factors. The primary outcome was long-term morbidities. Secondary outcomes included early (≤14 days) and late (>14 days) major adverse events (MAEs), development of diabetes mellitus, readmission, length of hospital stay, and therapeutic efficacy. RESULTS: A total of 620 patients (EUS-PCA, n = 310; surgery, n = 310) were selected after propensity score matching. The EUS-PCA group showed a lower 10-year rate of cumulative long-term morbidities (1.6% vs 33.5%; P = .001) as well as lower rates of early MAE (1.0% vs 8.7%; P = .001), late MAE (0.3% vs 5.5%; P = .001), and readmission (1.0% vs 15.2%; P = .001). The EUS-PCA group had a shorter hospital stay (3.5 vs 10.3 d; P = .001) and a lower incidence of diabetes mellitus (2.2% vs 22.8%; P = .001), whereas the surgery group had a higher complete resolution rate (76.5% vs 100%; P = .001) and a lower relapse rate (4.6% vs 0.3%; P = .001). CONCLUSIONS: For select patients with PCTs, EUS-PCA showed superior results to surgery in terms of long-term safety profile and preservation of pancreatic function.

Grading Cytologic Epithelial Atypia in Pancreatic Mucinous Cysts Predicts Patient Survival: Correlation With Histologic, Molecular, and Clinical Follow-Up.

Cytologic examination of epithelial cells in cyst fluids from pancreatic mucinous cysts is the optimal method for identifying high-grade atypia (HGA), which may represent histologic high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or invasive carcinoma and thereby classify the cyst as high risk, warranting surgical resection. Cytologic features of HGA were previously described at our institution in 2013 and implemented thereafter, but performance of grading with these criteria has not yet been reported. In total, 1322 pancreatic cyst fluid specimens (2014-2021) were identified; all pathology reports and relevant clinical data were reviewed in detail; and 230 unique cysts (217 patients) contained neoplastic mucinous epithelium. Of the 230 cysts, 178 had low-grade atypia (LGA), and 52 had HGA. Ninety-seven cysts had histologic follow-up: 77 (79%) were resections and 20 (21%) were diagnostic surgical biopsies only. Moreover, 92 (95%) were confirmed neoplastic mucinous cysts, 3 were adenocarcinomas, and 2 were benign entities. Among histologically confirmed neoplastic mucinous cysts, 58 had low-grade dysplasia (LGD); 34 had HGD, of which 14 also had invasive carcinoma. A significantly higher proportion of cysts with HGA (63%) demonstrated at least HGD on follow-up compared to those with LGA (26%, P < .001). The sensitivity and specificity of HGA for accurately classifying a high-risk cyst were 54% and 81%, respectively. Of the 230 cysts, 146 (64%) cysts had corresponding next-generation sequencing results; 31% of HGA cysts harbored a high-risk mutation (TP53, CDKN2A, and/or SMAD4) vs 7% of LGA cysts (P < .001). Among cysts without histologic confirmation, 25% of HGA cysts had high-risk mutation vs 7% of LGA cysts. The grade of cytologic atypia was predictive of overall survival and recurrence-free survival (P < .001 and P = .020, respectively). Implementation of cytologic criteria for HGA in pancreatic mucinous cysts has relatively low sensitivity but modest specificity for classifying a high-risk cyst. Although high-risk mutations were more commonly found in cysts with HGA, their frequency is overall low. Thus, evaluating the degree of cytologic atypia, which is predictive of patient survival, provides significant value and informs patient outcomes.

Outcomes of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Invasive Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm Compared with de Novo Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The management of invasive intraductal papillary mucinous cystic neoplasm (I-IPMN) does not differ from de novo pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC); however, I-IPMNs are debated to have better prognosis. Despite being managed similarly to PDAC, no data are available on the response of I-IPMN to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: All patients undergoing pancreatic resection for a pancreatic adenocarcinoma from 2011 to 2022 were included. The PDAC and I-IPMN cohorts were compared to evaluate response to neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: This study included 1052 PDAC patients and 105 I-IPMN patients. NAT was performed in 25% of I-IPMN patients and 65% of PDAC patients. I-IPMN showed a similar pattern of pathological response to NAT compared with PDAC (p = 0.231). Furthermore, positron emission tomography (PET) response (71% vs. 61%; p = 0.447), CA19.9 normalization (85% vs. 76%, p = 0.290), and radiological response (32% vs. 37%, p = 0.628) were comparable between I-IPMN and PDAC. A significantly higher OS and disease-free survival (DFS) of I-IPMN was denoted by Kaplan-Meier analysis, with a p-value of < 0.001 in both plots. In a multivariate analysis, I-IPMN histology was independently associated with lower risk of recurrence and death. CONCLUSIONS: I-IPMN patients have a longer OS and DFS after surgical treatment when compared with PDAC patients. The more favorable oncologic outcome of I-IPMNs does not seem to be related to early detection, as I-IPMN histological subclass is independently associated with a lower risk of disease recurrence. Moreover, neoadjuvant effect on I-IPMN was non-inferior to PDAC in terms of pathological, CA19.9, PET, and radiological response and thus can be considered in selected patients.

Performance of explainable artificial intelligence in guiding the management of patients with a pancreatic cyst.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Pancreatic cyst management can be distilled into three separate pathways - discharge, monitoring or surgery- based on the risk of malignant transformation. This study compares the performance of artificial intelligence (AI) models to clinical care for this task. METHODS: Two explainable boosting machine (EBM) models were developed and evaluated using clinical features only, or clinical features and cyst fluid molecular markers (CFMM) using a publicly available dataset, consisting of 850 cases (median age 64; 65 % female) with independent training (429 cases) and holdout test cohorts (421 cases). There were 137 cysts with no malignant potential, 114 malignant cysts, and 599 IPMNs and MCNs. RESULTS: The EBM and EBM with CFMM models had higher accuracy for identifying patients requiring monitoring (0.88 and 0.82) and surgery (0.66 and 0.82) respectively compared with current clinical care (0.62 and 0.58). For discharge, the EBM with CFMM model had a higher accuracy (0.91) than either the EBM model (0.84) or current clinical care (0.86). In the cohort of patients who underwent surgical resection, use of the EBM-CFMM model would have decreased the number of unnecessary surgeries by 59 % (n = 92), increased correct surgeries by 7.5 % (n = 11), identified patients who require monitoring by 122 % (n = 76), and increased the number of patients correctly classified for discharge by 138 % (n = 18) compared to clinical care. CONCLUSIONS: EBM models had greater sensitivity and specificity for identifying the correct management compared with either clinical management or previous AI models. The model predictions are demonstrated to be interpretable by clinicians.

Prospective multicenter surveillance study of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas; risk of dual carcinogenesis.

BACKGROUND: The natural history of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous cystic neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) in the pancreas remains unclear. This study aimed to answer this clinical question by focusing on the development of concomitant pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (cPDAC). METHODS: The Japan Pancreas Society conducted a prospective multicenter surveillance study of BD-IPMN every six months for five years. The primary endpoints were progression of BD-IPMN, progression to high-grade dysplasia/invasive carcinoma (HGD/IC), and cPDAC. Factors predicting the progression of BD-IPMN to HGD/IC and development of cPDAC were also assessed as secondary endpoints. RESULTS: Among the 2104 non-operated patients, 348 (16.5 %) showed progression of primary BD-IPMN. Cumulative incidences of BD-IPMN with HGD/IC and cPDAC during the 5.17-year surveillance period were 1.90 % and 2.11 %, respectively, and standard incidence ratios of BD-IPMN with HGD/IC and cPDAC were 5.28 and 5.73, respectively. Of 38 cPDACs diagnosed during surveillance, 25 (65.8 %) were resectable. The significant predictive characteristics of BD-IPMN for progression to HGD/IC were larger cyst size (p = 0.03), larger main pancreatic duct size (p < 0.01), and mural nodules (p = 0.02). Significant predictive characteristics for the development of cPDAC were male sex (p = 0.03) and older age (p = 0.02), while the size of IPMN was not significant. CONCLUSION: Careful attention should be given to "dual carcinogenesis" during BD-IPMN surveillance, indicating the progression of BD-IPMN to HGD/IC and development of cPDAC distinct from BD-IPMN, although the establishment of risk factors that predict cPDAC development remains a challenge (UMIN000007349).

Intracystic injection of large surface area microparticle paclitaxel for chemoablation of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: Insights from an expanded access protocol.

AIMS: A novel large surface area microparticle paclitaxel (LSAM-PTX) has unique properties of long retention in cystic spaces while maintaining high drug concentration. We prospectively evaluated the safety and response of EUS-guided fine needle injection (EUS-FNI) of LSAM-PTX to chemoablate branch duct (BD)-IPMNs. METHODS: Subjects diagnosed with BD-IPMNs exhibiting at least one worrisome criteria and considered non-surgical were enrolled in a multicenter clinical trial (NCT03188991) and subsequently included in an Expanded Access Protocol (EAP) where they received EUS-FNI of LSAM-PTX (15 mg/mL). RESULTS: Six BD-IPMNs measuring (mean ± SD) 3.18 ± 0.76 cm in diameter among 5 subjects (mean age: 66 years) were treated by EUS-FNI of LSAM-PTX. A mean of 4 doses of LSAM-PTX (mean dose/cyst: 73 ± 31 mg) were administered, and subjects were followed for up to 32 months. The mean volume reduction/cyst ranged from 42 to 89% (9.58 ± 5.1 ml to 2.2 ± 1.1 ml (p = 0.016)). The mean surface area reduction ranged from 31 to 83% (21.9 ± 8.7 cm2 to 5.7 ± 2.5 cm2 (p = 0.009)). Higher dosing-frequency of EUS-FNI of LSAM-PTX significantly correlated with a reduction in cyst volume (R2 = 0.87, p = 0.03) and surface area (R2 = 0.83, p = 0.04). Comparing pre- and post-ablation samples, molecular analysis of the cyst fluid revealed a loss of IPMN-associated mutations in 5 cases (83.3%), while reemergence was observed in 1 case and persistence in 1 case. Intracystic changes (fibrosis/calcification) were observed in 83.3% (n = 5). One subject developed mild acute pancreatitis (1 of 22 EUS-FNIs of LSAM-PTX). CONCLUSION: In this EAP, EUS-FNI of LSAM-PTX into BD-IPMNs was safe and resulted in volume and surface area reduction, morphological changes, and loss of pathogenic mutations.

Association of high-risk stigmata and worrisome features with advanced neoplasia in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN): A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: This systematic review aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the International Consensus Fukuoka Guidelines (ICG2017) in identifying high-risk lesions of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs). METHODS: The ICG2017 revision committee conducted a comprehensive literature review to establish evidence-based statements on IPMNs. The review focused on articles examining the diagnostic value of imaging features (e.g., cyst or main pancreatic duct diameter), clinical symptoms associated with IPMN, and serum biomarkers. Five clinical questions regarding high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WF) in the ICG2017 guidelines were addressed. RESULTS: A total of 210 articles were reviewed. The findings revealed a significant association between the presence of mural nodules ≥5 mm in diameter or solid components with contrast enhancement and the diagnosis of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma. Contrast-enhanced diagnostic tools, such as CT, MRI, or EUS, demonstrated the highest prediction rate and were recommended. Positive cytology was identified as an HRS, while symptoms like acute pancreatitis and cyst diameter growth ≥2.5 mm per year were considered WFs. The use of nomograms and multiple diagnostic factors was recommended for optimal IPMN management. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review provides evidence supporting the improved diagnostic accuracy of ICG2017 in identifying high-risk lesions of IPMN. The multidisciplinary incorporation of HRS and WF based on imaging findings and clinical symptoms is crucial. These findings should inform the revision of ICG2017, enhancing the evaluation and management of IPMN patients. By implementing these recommendations, clinicians can make more informed decisions, leading to better diagnosis and treatment outcomes for high-risk IPMN cases.

Radiomics model versus 2017 revised international consensus guidelines for predicting malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate a CT-based radiomics model for identifying malignant pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and compare its performance with the 2017 international consensus guidelines (ICGs). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively included 194 consecutive patients who underwent surgical resection of pancreatic IPMNs between January 2008 and December 2020. Surgical histopathology was the reference standard for diagnosing malignancy. Using radiomics features from preoperative contrast-enhanced CT, a radiomics model was built with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator by a five-fold cross-validation. CT and MR images were independently reviewed based on the 2017 ICGs by two abdominal radiologists, and the performances of the 2017 ICGs and radiomics model were compared. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were compared using the DeLong method. RESULTS: A total of 194 patients with pancreatic IPMNs (benign, 83 [43%]; malignant, 111 [57%]) were chronologically divided into training (n = 141; age, 65 ± 8.6 years; 88 males) and validation sets (n = 53; age, 66 ± 9.7 years; 31 males). There was no statistically significant difference in the diagnostic performance of the 2017 ICGs between CT and MRI (AUC, 0.71 vs. 0.71; p = 0.93) with excellent intermodality agreement (k = 0.86). In the validation set, the CT radiomics model had higher AUC (0.85 vs. 0.71; p = 0.038), specificity (84.6% vs. 61.5%; p = 0.041), and positive predictive value (84.0% vs. 66.7%; p = 0.044) than the 2017 ICGs. CONCLUSION: The CT radiomics model exhibited better diagnostic performance than the 2017 ICGs in classifying malignant IPMNs. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Compared with the radiologists' evaluation based on the 2017 international consensus guidelines, the CT radiomics model exhibited better diagnostic performance in classifying malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. KEY POINTS: • There is a paucity of comparisons between the 2017 international consensus guidelines (ICGs) and radiomics models for malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). • The CT radiomics model developed in this study exhibited better diagnostic performance than the 2017 ICGs in classifying malignant IPMNs. • The radiomics model may serve as a valuable complementary tool to the 2017 ICGs, potentially allowing a more quantitative assessment of IPMNs.

Reappraising imaging features of pancreatic acinar cystic transformation: be aware of differential diagnoses.

OBJECTIVES: Imaging features of pancreatic acinar cystic transformation (ACT) have been published. We aimed to describe the clinical and radiological characteristics of patients with a presumed pancreatic ACT diagnosis, reappraising the value of these published imaging criteria. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Single-center retrospective study (2003-2021) of consecutive patients with a presumed diagnosis of ACT as suggested by the local expert multidisciplinary case review board. Patients without available imaging (CT or MRI) for review were excluded. Patients were classified into "certain" ACT (if ≥ 2 imaging criteria and no differential diagnosis) or "uncertain" ACT (if ≥ 1 imaging criteria and suggested differential diagnoses). RESULTS: Sixty-four patients (35 males, [55%]) were included. ACT was considered "certain" for 34 patients (53%) and "uncertain" for 30 patients (47%). The number of ACT criteria did not differ between groups, with 91.2% of patients with ≥ 3 ACT imaging criteria in the "certain" group vs 93.3% in the "uncertain" group (p = 0.88). In the "uncertain" group, the main suggested differentials were branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (18/30 patients, 60%), calcifying chronic pancreatitis (8/30 patients, 27%), both (three patients, 10%) and serous cystadenoma (one patient, 3%). Calcifications were significantly more frequent in the "uncertain" group (89% vs 63% in the "certain" group, p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Published ACT imaging criteria are frequently associated with features suggesting differential diagnoses. They appear insufficient to reach a final diagnosis in a subset of patients. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: ACT displays a heterogeneous morphological imaging presentation challenging the non-invasive diagnostic work-up. Physicians' and radiologists' awareness of this entity is important to better understand its natural history and improve non-invasive diagnostic criteria. KEY POINTS: The criteria to help diagnose ACT are frequently associated with features suggestive of differentials. The main alternatives suggested when ACT diagnosis was "uncertain" were branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm and calcifying chronic pancreatitis. Published ACT diagnostic imaging criteria can be insufficient for a definite non-invasive diagnosis.

Outcomes in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm-derived pancreatic cancer differ from PanIN-derived pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN)-derived pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) management is generally extrapolated from pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN)-derived PDAC guidelines. However, these are biologically divergent, and heterogeneity further exists between tubular and colloid subtypes. METHODS: Consecutive upfront surgery patients with PanIN-derived and IPMN-derived PDAC were retrospectively identified from international centers (2000-2019). One-to-one propensity score matching for clinicopathologic factors generated three cohorts: IPMN-derived versus PanIN-derived PDAC, tubular IPMN-derived versus PanIN-derived PDAC, and tubular versus colloid IPMN-derived PDAC. Overall survival (OS) was compared using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests. Multivariable Cox regression determined corresponding hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). RESULTS: The median OS (mOS) in 2350 PanIN-derived and 700 IPMN-derived PDAC patients was 23.0 and 43.1 months (P < 0.001), respectively. PanIN-derived PDAC had worse T-stage, CA19-9, grade, and nodal status. Tubular subtype had worse T-stage, CA19-9, grade, nodal status, and R1 margins, with a mOS of 33.7 versus 94.1 months (P < 0.001) in colloid. Matched (n = 495), PanIN-derived and IPMN-derived PDAC had mOSs of 30.6 and 42.8 months (P < 0.001), respectively. In matched (n = 341) PanIN-derived and tubular IPMN-derived PDAC, mOS remained poorer (27.7 vs 37.4, P < 0.001). Matched tubular and colloid cancers (n = 112) had similar OS (P = 0.55). On multivariable Cox regression, PanIN-derived PDAC was associated with worse OS than IPMN-derived (HR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.44-1.90) and tubular IPMN-derived (HR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.32-1.77) PDAC. Colloid and tubular subtype was not associated with OS (P = 0.16). CONCLUSIONS: PanIN-derived PDAC has worse survival than IPMN-derived PDAC supporting distinct outcomes. Although more indolent, colloid IPMN-derived PDAC has similar survival to tubular after risk adjustment.

Pancreatic Cystic Lesions on MRI: What Is The Likelihood of a Present or Future Diagnosis of Pancreatic Carcinoma?

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are followed for years due to older and likely biased works demonstrating a strong association with pancreatic carcinoma; more recent data are needed clarifying this relationship. PURPOSE: To determine the association between PCLs on MRI and a synchronous or future diagnosis of pancreatic carcinoma. STUDY TYPE: Single-center retrospective cohort. POPULATION: A total of 192 patients (111 female, 58%) with median age 66 years (range 26-87 years) with PCLs on abdominal MRI from 2011 to 2016. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCES: 1.5 T and 3 T, including T2 WI, T1 WI, diffusion weighted imaging and contrast-enhanced T1 WI. ASSESSMENT: Each PCL was reviewed independently by 2 of 10 fellowship-trained abdominal radiologists. Fukuoka guideline worrisome features and high-risk stigmata were evaluated. Follow-up imaging and clinical notes were reviewed within a system that captures pancreatic carcinoma for the region, for a median follow-up of 67 months (interquartile range: 43-88 months). STATISTICAL TESTS: Pancreatic carcinoma prevalence and incidence rate for future carcinoma with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Fisher exact test, logistic regression with odds ratios (OR) and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test were used to assess PCL morphologic features with the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test used to assess for normality. P < 0.05 defined statistical significance. RESULTS: The prevalence of pancreatic carcinoma on initial MRI showing a PCL was 2.4% (95% CI: 0.9%, 5.2%). Thickened/enhancing cyst wall was associated with pancreatic carcinoma, OR 52 (95% CI: 4.5, 1203). Of 189 patients with a PCL but without pancreatic carcinoma at the time of initial MRI, one developed high-grade dysplasia and none developed invasive carcinoma for an incidence rate of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.02, 5.43) and 0 (95% CI: 0, 3.59) cases per 1000 person-years, respectively. DATA CONCLUSION: A low percentage of patients with a PCL on MRI had a pancreatic carcinoma at the time of initial evaluation and none developed carcinoma over a median 67 months of follow-up. EVIDENCE LEVEL: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: 5.

Percentage of Pancreatic Cysts on MRI With a Pancreatic Carcinoma: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are frequent on MRI and are thought to be associated with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) necessitating long-term surveillance based on older studies suffering from selection bias. PURPOSE: To establish the percentage of patients with PCLs on MRI with a present or future PDAC. STUDY TYPE: Systematic review, meta-analysis. POPULATION: Adults with PCLs on MRI and a present or future diagnosis of PDAC were eligible. MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Scopus were searched to April 2022 (PROSPERO:CRD42022320502). Studies limited to PCLs not requiring surveillance, <100 patients, or those with a history/genetic risk of PDAC were excluded. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: ≥1.5 T with ≥1 T2-weighted sequence. ASSESSMENT: Two investigators extracted data, with discrepancies resolved by a third. QUADAS-2 assessed bias. PDAC was diagnosed using a composite reference standard. STATISTICAL TESTS: A meta-analysis of proportions was performed at the patient-level with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). RESULTS: Eight studies with 1289 patients contributed to the percentage of patients with a present diagnosis of PDAC, and 10 studies with 3422 patients to the percentage with a future diagnosis. Of patients with PCLs on MRI, 14.8% (95% CI 2.4-34.9) had a PDAC at initial MRI, which decreased to 6.0% (2.2-11.3) for studies at low risk of bias. For patients without PDAC on initial MRI, 2.0% (1.1-3.2) developed PDAC during surveillance, similar for low risk of bias studies at 1.9% (0.7-3.6), with no clear trend of increased PDAC for longer surveillance durations. For patients without worrisome features or high-risk stigmata, 0.9% (0.1-2.2) developed PDAC during surveillance. Of 10, eight studies had a median surveillance ≥3 years (range 3-157 months). Sources of bias included retrospectively limiting PCLs to those with histopathology and inconsistent surveillance protocols. DATA CONCLUSION: A low percentage of patients with PCLs on MRI develop PDAC while on surveillance. The first MRI revealing a PCL should be scrutinized for PDAC. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Predictive ability of pancreatic cyst fluid biomarkers: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Mucinous pancreatic cysts harbor the potential to progress to highly lethal pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Since these precursor cysts require cancer surveillance or surgical resection, they need to be reliably distinguished from harmless pancreatic cysts. Current clinical and radiographic assessment is imperfect and the value of cyst fluid analysis for differential diagnosis is unclear. Therefore, we set out to investigate the value of cyst fluid biomarkers in distinguishing pancreatic cysts. METHODS: We performed a systematic review of the current literature to identify articles that evaluated the diagnostic performance of clinically relevant and promising candidate cyst fluid biomarkers, with a particular emphasis on DNA-based biomarkers. Meta-analysis was performed for biomarkers targeted at identifying cyst type and presence of high-grade dysplasia or PDAC. RESULTS: Data from a total of 42 studies was analyzed. Mutations in KRAS and/or GNAS allowed identification of mucinous cysts with a sensitivity of 79% and specificity of 98%. This exceeded the performance of the traditional biomarker carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA; sensitivity 58%, specificity 87%). Mutations in VHL were specific for serous cystadenomas (SCAs; sensitivity 56%, specificity 99%) and help to exclude mucinous cysts. Mutations in CDKN2A, PIK3CA, SMAD4, and TP53 each had high specificities of 97%, 97%, 98%, and 95%, respectively, to identify high-grade dysplasia or PDAC in mucinous cysts. CONCLUSIONS: Cyst fluid analysis can be a valuable tool in the characterization of pancreatic cysts, with relevant clinical implications. Our results support the use of DNA-based cyst fluid biomarkers in the multidisciplinary diagnostic work-up of pancreatic cysts.

The Use of Integrated Molecular Testing in the Assessment and Management of Pancreatic Cysts.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: As abdominal imaging becomes more sensitive and regularly used, pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are being diagnosed more frequently. A small but clinically significant minority of these lesions have a predisposition to either harbor malignancy or undergo malignant transformation. This review highlights the current state and performance of cystic fluid biomarkers and how they may be incorporated into management. RECENT FINDINGS: Among the major domains of molecular testing for PCLs, DNA based analyses have demonstrated the highest accuracy in identifying cyst type and have the most data to support their clinical use. However, epigenetic and protein biomarker based molecular assessments have emerged with the potential to complement DNA based approaches. In addition, recent studies have increasingly demonstrated the value associated with combinations of mutations and other biomarkers in identifying higher grade mucinous cystic lesions. We present the performance of individual biomarkers in cyst fluid analysis with an emphasis on an algorithmic approach to improve the accurate identification of both cyst type and risk of malignant transformation.

Stratification Based on Risk Factors at Diagnosis Could Predict Progression in Patients with Pancreatic Cysts.

BACKGROUND: Predicting the risk of malignant transformation in pancreatic cyst patients is challenging. AIM: We retrospectively investigated the risk factors for malignant transformation in pancreatic cyst patients. METHODS: Patients with pancreatic cysts diagnosed using imaging tests were followed from November 2008 to December 2021. A significant change was defined as the additional development of high-risk stigmata (HRS), worrisome features (WFs), or pancreatic cancer during monitoring. RESULTS: In total, 479 patients were analyzed, with a median observation period of 50 months. Forty-four patients (9.2%) showed significant changes, and eight (1.7%) developed pancreatic cancer. The univariate analysis showed that the cyst diameter at diagnosis (≥ 14 mm), main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter at diagnosis (≥ 3 mm), presence of multilocular cysts, and an inconsistent MPD caliber were significant predictive factors for a significant change. One point was assigned for each significant factor. We grouped the patients into three groups: the low-risk group (total score 0), medium-risk group (score 1-2), and high-risk group (score 3-4). The high-risk group had a higher risk of a significant change than the medium- and low-risk groups (age-adjusted HRs for the medium-risk and high-risk groups were 3.0 and 5.2 compared with the low-risk group). CONCLUSION: Stratification based on risk factors may help predict the development of significant changes in pancreatic cyst patients.

Validation of combined carcinoembryonic antigen and glucose testing in pancreatic cyst fluid to differentiate mucinous from non-mucinous cysts.

BACKGROUND: More accurate diagnosis of mucinous cysts will reduce the risk of unnecessary pancreatic surgery. Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and glucose in pancreatic cyst fluid (PCF) can differentiate mucinous from non-mucinous pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCN). The current study assessed the value of combined CEA and glucose testing in PCF. METHODS: Cross-sectional validation study including prospectively collected PCF from patients undergoing endoscopic ultrasonography-guided fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) and pancreatic surgery. We performed laboratory measurements for CEA and glucose and measured glucose levels by a hand glucometer. Primary outcome was diagnostic accuracy evaluated by receiver operator curves (ROC), sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive value (PPV, NPV). RESULTS: Overall, PCF was collected from 63 patients, including 33 (52%) with mucinous and 30 (48%) with non-mucinous PCN. Histopathology (n = 36; 57%), cytopathology (n = 2; 3%), or clinical and/or radiological diagnosis (n = 25; 40%) was used as reference standard. Combined CEA (cut-off ≥ 192 ng/ml) and laboratory glucose testing (cut-off ≤ 50 mg/dL) reached 92% specificity and 48% sensitivity, whereas either positive CEA (cut-off ≥ 20 ng/ml) or glucose testing (cut-off ≤ 50 mg/dL) showed 97% sensitivity and 50% specificity. Sensitivity and specificity were 80% and 68% for CEA ≥ 20 ng/mL versus 50% and 93% for CEA ≥ 192 ng/mL (the conventional cut-off level). Laboratory and glucometer glucose both reached 100% sensitivity and 60% and 45% specificity, respectively. None of the biomarkers and cut-offs reached a PPV exceeding 90%, whereas both glucose measurements had a NPV of 100% (i.e., high glucose excludes a mucinous cyst). CONCLUSION: Combined CEA and glucose testing in PCF reached high specificity and sensitivity for differentiating mucinous from non-mucinous PCN. Glucose testing, whether alone or combined with the new CEA cut-off (≥ 20 ng/mL), reached > 95% sensitivity for mucinous cysts, whereas only glucose reached a NPV > 95%.

Increased incidence of indeterminate pancreatic cysts and changes of management pattern: Evidence from nationwide data.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cysts are common. However, most studies are based on data collected from individual centers. The present study aimed to evaluate the changes of management patterns for pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) by analyzing large epidemiologic data. METHODS: Between January 2007 and December 2018, information regarding pancreatic cystic lesions was acquired from the nationwide Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database in Korea. RESULTS: The final number of patients with pancreatic cysts was 165 277 among the total claims for reimbursement of 855 983 associated with PCLs over 12 years. The total number of claims were increased from 19 453 in 2007 to 155 842 in 2018 and the prevalence increased from 0.04% to 0.23%. For 12 years, 2874 (1.7%) had pancreatic cancer and 8212 (5.0%) underwent surgery, and 36 had surgery for twice (total 8248 pancreatectomy). After ruling out claims from the first 3 years of washout period, the incidence increased from 9891 to 24 651 and the crude incidence rate of PCLs expanded from 19.96 per 100 000 to 47.77 per 100 000. Compared to specific neoplasm codes (D136 or D377), the use of pancreatic cyst code (K862) has been remarkably increased and the most common since 2010. The annual number of pancreatectomies increased from 518 to 861 between 2007 and 2012, and decreased to 596 until 2018. The percentage of pancreatic cancer in patients who received pancreatectomy increased from 5.6% in 2007 to 11.7% in 2018. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of PCLs is rapidly increasing. Among PCLs, indeterminate cyst is increasing outstandingly. A trend of decreasing in the number of resections and increasing cancer rates among resected cysts may be attributed to the updated international guidelines.

PAPNet: Convolutional network for pancreatic cyst segmentation.

BACKGROUND: Automatic segmentation of the pancreas and its tumor region is a prerequisite for computer-aided diagnosis. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we focus on the segmentation of pancreatic cysts in abdominal computed tomography (CT) scan, which is challenging and has the clinical auxiliary diagnostic significance due to the variability of location and shape of pancreatic cysts. METHODS: We propose a convolutional neural network architecture for segmentation of pancreatic cysts, which is called pyramid attention and pooling on convolutional neural network (PAPNet). In PAPNet, we propose a new atrous pyramid attention module to extract high-level features at different scales, and a spatial pyramid pooling module to fuse contextual spatial information, which effectively improves the segmentation performance. RESULTS: The model was trained and tested using 1,346 CT slice images obtained from 107 patients with the pathologically confirmed pancreatic cancer. The mean dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and mean Jaccard index (JI) achieved using the 5-fold cross-validation method are 84.53% and 75.81%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed new method in this study enables to achieve effective results of pancreatic cyst segmentation.