Is your syringe services program cost-saving to society? A methodological case study.

BACKGROUND: While there is a general acceptance among public health officials and policy-makers that syringe services programs can be effective in reducing HIV transmission among persons who inject drugs, local syringe services programs are often asked to provide economic justifications for their activities. A cost-effectiveness study, estimating the cost of preventing one HIV infection, would be the preferred methods for addressing this economic question, but few local syringe services programs have the needed data, staff and epidemiologic modeling resources needed for a cost-effectiveness study. We present a method for estimating a threshold value for the number of HIV infections prevented above which the program will be cost-saving to society. An intervention is considered "cost-saving" when it leads to a desirable health outcome a lower cost than the alternative. METHODS: The research literature on the effectiveness of syringe services programs in controlling HIV transmission among persons who inject drugs and guidelines for syringe services program that are "functioning very well" were used to estimate the cost-saving threshold at which a syringe services program becomes cost-saving through preventing HIV infections versus lifetime treatment of HIV. Three steps are involved: (1) determining if HIV transmission in the local persons who inject drugs (PWID) population is being controlled, (2) determining if the local syringe services program is functioning very well, and then (3) dividing the annual budget of the syringe services program by the lifetime cost of treating a single HIV infection. RESULTS: A syringe services program in an area with controlled HIV transmission (with HIV incidence of 1/100 person-years or less), functioning very well (with high syringe coverage, linkages to other services, and monitoring the local drug use situation), and an annual budget of $500,000 would need to prevent only 3 new HIV infections per year to be cost-saving. CONCLUSIONS: Given the high costs of treating HIV infections, syringe services programs that are operating according to very good practices ("functioning very well") and in communities in which HIV transmission is being controlled among persons who inject drugs, will almost certainly be cost-saving to society.

Assessing Health and Economic Benefits of Omega-3 Fatty Acid Supplementation on Cardiovascular Disease in the Republic of Korea.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the primary cause of mortality worldwide and imposes a significant social burden on many countries. METHODS: This study assessed the health and economic benefits of omega-3 associated with CVD. The meta-analysis estimated the risk ratio (RR) and absolute risk reduction (ARR), and the economic impact was calculated using direct and indirect costs related to CVD treatments in Korean adults. RESULTS: A total of 33 studies were included in the meta-analysis on CVD outcomes, with 80,426 participants in the intervention group and 80,251 participants in the control group. The meta-analysis determined a significant reduction in omega-3 in CVD (RR = 0.92, 95% CI: 0.86~0.97) and ARR (1.48%). Additionally, the subgroup analysis indicated that higher doses and the long-term consumption of omega-3 could further enhance these effects. After applying ARR from meta-analysis to the target population of about 1,167,370 in 2021, the Republic of Korea, it was estimated that omega-3 consumption could result in an economic benefit of KRW 300 billion by subtracting the purchase expenses of omega-3 supplements from the total social cost savings. CONCLUSION: Omega-3 supplements can help to reduce the risk of CVD and subsequent economic benefits in the Republic of Korea.

Real world hospital costs following stress echocardiography in the UK: a costing study from the EVAREST/BSE-NSTEP multi-entre study.

BACKGROUND: Stress echocardiography is widely used to detect coronary artery disease, but little evidence on downstream hospital costs in real-world practice is available. We examined how stress echocardiography accuracy and downstream hospital costs vary across NHS hospitals and identified key factors that affect costs to help inform future clinical planning and guidelines. METHODS: Data on 7636 patients recruited from 31 NHS hospitals within the UK between 2014 and 2020 as part of EVAREST/BSE-NSTEP clinical study, were used. Data included all diagnostic tests, procedures, and hospital admissions for 12 months after a stress echocardiogram and were costed using the NHS national unit costs. A decision tree was built to illustrate the clinical pathway and estimate average downstream hospital costs. Multi-level regression analysis was performed to identify variation in accuracy and costs at both patient, procedural, and hospital level. Linear regression and extrapolation were used to estimate annual hospital cost-savings associated with increasing predictive accuracy at hospital and national level. RESULTS: Stress echocardiography accuracy varied with patient, hospital and operator characteristics. Hypertension, presence of wall motion abnormalities and higher number of hospital cardiology outpatient attendances annually reduced accuracy, adjusted odds ratio of 0.78 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.93), 0.27 (95% CI 0.15 to 0.48), 0.99 (95% CI 0.98 to 0.99) respectively, whereas a prior myocardial infarction, angiotensin receptor blocker medication, and greater operator experience increased accuracy, adjusted odds ratio of 1.77 (95% CI 1.34 to 2.33), 1.64 (95% CI 1.22 to 2.22), and 1.06 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.09) respectively. Average downstream costs were £646 per patient (SD 1796) with significant variation across hospitals. The average downstream costs between the 31 hospitals varied from £384-1730 per patient. False positive and false negative tests were associated with average downstream costs of £1446 (SD £601) and £4192 (SD 3332) respectively, driven by increased non-elective hospital admissions, adjusted odds ratio 2.48 (95% CI 1.08 to 5.66), 21.06 (95% CI 10.41 to 42.59) respectively. We estimated that an increase in accuracy by 1 percentage point could save the NHS in the UK £3.2 million annually. CONCLUSION: This study provides real-world evidence of downstream costs associated with stress echocardiography practice in the UK and estimates how improvements in accuracy could impact healthcare expenditure in the NHS. A real-world downstream costing approach could be adopted more widely in evaluation of imaging tests and interventions to reflect actual value for money and support realistic planning.

A cross-country utilization patterns comparison of high expenditure therapeutic groups between Portugal and six European countries: the two sides of the Portuguese coin.

BACKGROUND: Understanding variability in prescribing patterns through comparative drug utilization studies can contribute to improve an efficient, effective and safe use of medicines. OBJECTIVES: To perform a cross-country comparison of consumption patterns of ambulatory high expenditure therapeutic groups between Portugal and six European countries and simulate potential cost-saving scenarios through the adoption of the different prescribing patterns of studied countries. METHODS: Cross-country comparison of 2019 drug consumption patterns between Portugal, Denmark, England, Finland, the Netherlands, Norway, and Spain. Analysis comprised antihypertensive drugs, glucose lowering drugs (GLD), insulins, lipid lowering drugs (LLD) and oral anticoagulants. Cost-saving analysis were performed using the Portugal average annual cost/daily defined dose and the potential reduction in expenditure simulating other European countries consumption pattern scenarios. RESULTS: Portugal had the lowest consumption uptake of metformin and the highest consumption of GLD (30.1%) and LLD (8.5% vs <3%) fixed-dose combinations. Annual cost-savings scenarios showed that Portugal would have saved between 53 M€ and 305 M€ if it had the same prescribing patterns than Norway or the Netherlands, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Different utilization patterns across countries were found. Although Portugal has the lowest gross domestic product per capita among the countries studied, it had the highest uptake of newly and costly drugs.

Analysis of self-initiated visits for cervical trauma at urgent care centers and subsequent emergency department referral.

BACKGROUND: Following trauma involving the cervical spine (c-spine), patients often seek care at urgent care centers (UCCs) or emergency departments (EDs). PURPOSE: The purpose was to assess whether UCCs could effectively image acute self-selected c-spine trauma without referral to the ED as well as to estimate costs differences between UCC and ED imaging assessment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study identified patients receiving c-spine imaging at UCCs affiliated with a large academic hospital system from 5/1/-8/31/2021. Patients receiving c-spine X-rays with an indication of trauma following low acuity injury, at UCCs were compared to patients receiving any c-spine imaging in the main campus ED. Medical record numbers were cross-referenced to identify patients receiving imaging at both a UCC and ED within 24 h and within 7 days. Work relative value units (wRVUs) for each UCC and ED imaging type were calculated. For the hypothetical scenario of patients presenting to the ED in the absence of UCC, patients were assumed to receive c-spine computed tomography (CT) without contrast per "usually appropriate" designation by the American College of Radiology Appropriateness Criteria®. RESULTS: Among 143 self-selected, low acuity, patients who received c-spine X-rays at UCCs with an indication of trauma, one required referral to the ED within 24 h and two required referrals to the ED within 7 days. During the 4-month study period, 105.94 wRVUs ($3696.25) were saved by performing a c-spine X-ray in an UCC instead of a CT in the ED, extrapolated to 317.82 wRVUs ($11,088.74) per year. Using the average total costs of an UCC visit versus an ED visit, a total $145,976 was estimated to be saved during the study period or $437,928 per year. CONCLUSION: Offering access for patient-initiated visits at UCCs for low-acuity c-spine trauma may help reduce the need for an ED visit, reducing imaging and healthcare visit costs. SUMMARY STATEMENT: Urgent Care Centers (UCCs) reduced the need for an Emergency Department (ED) referral visit in nearly 100% of self-selected, low acuity, patients with cervical trauma.

Economic impact and cost savings of teledermatology units compared to conventional monitoring at hospitals in southern Spain.

INTRODUCTION: Asynchronous teledermatology (TD) has undergone exponential growth in the past decade, allowing better diagnosis. Moreover, it saves both cost and time and reduces the number of visits involving travel and opportunity cost of time spent on visits to the hospital. The present study performed a cost-saving analysis of TD units and assessed whether they offered a cheaper alternative to conventional monitoring (CM) in hospitals from the perspective of public health-care systems (PHS) and patients. METHODS: This study was a retrospective assessment of 7030 patients. A cost-saving analysis comparing TD units to CM for patients at the Hospital de Poniente was performed over a period of one year. The TD network covered the Hospital de Poniente reference area (Spain) linked to 37 primary care (PC) centres that belonged to the Poniente Health District of Almeria. RESULTS: We observed a significant cost saving for TD units compared to participants in the conventional follow-up group. From the perspective of a PHS, there was a cost saving of 31.68% in the TD group (€18.59 TD vs. €27.20 CM) during the follow-up period. The number of CM visits to the hospital reduced by 38.14%. From the patients' perspective, the costs were lower, and the cost saving was 73.53% (€5.45 TD vs. €20.58 CM). DISCUSSION: The cost-saving analysis showed that the TD units appeared to be significantly cheaper compared to CM.

Whole Grain Intakes Are Associated with Healthcare Cost Savings Following Reductions in Risk of Colorectal Cancer and Total Cancer Mortality in Australia: A Cost-of-Illness Model.

Whole grain consumption has been associated with the reduced risk of several chronic diseases with significant healthcare monetary burden, including cancer. Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers globally, with the highest rates reported in Australia. Three servings of whole grains provide a 15% reduction in total cancer and 17% reduction in CRC risk; however, 70% of Australians fall short of this level of intake. The aim of this study was to assess the potential savings in healthcare costs associated with reductions in the relative risk of CRC and total cancer mortality following the whole grain Daily Target Intake (DTI) of 48 g in Australia. A three-step cost-of-illness analysis was conducted using input parameters from: (1) estimates of current and targeted whole grain intakes among proportions (5%, 15%, 50%, and 100%) of the Australian adult (≥20 years) population; (2) estimates of reductions in relative risk (with 95% confidence intervals) of CRC and total cancer mortality associated with specific whole grain intake from meta-analysis studies; and (3) estimates of annual healthcare costs of CRC and all cancers from disease expenditure national databases. A very pessimistic (5% of population) through to universal (100% of population) adoption of the recommended DTI in Australia were shown to potentially yield savings in annual healthcare costs equal to AUD 1.9 (95% CI 1.2-2.4) to AUD 37.2 (95% CI 24.1-48.1) million for CRC and AUD 20.3 (95% CI 12.2-27.0) to AUD 405.1 (95% CI 243.1-540.1) million for total cancers. As treatment costs for CRC and other cancers are increasing, and dietary measures exchanging whole grains for refined grains are not cost preclusive nor does the approach increase energy intake, there is an opportunity to facilitate cost-savings along with reductions in disease for Australia. These results suggest specific benefits of encouraging Australians to swap refined grains for whole grains, with greater overall adherence to suggestions in dietary guidelines.

Screening Referable Diabetic Retinopathy Using a Semi-automated Deep Learning Algorithm Assisted Approach.

Purpose: To assess the accuracy and efficacy of a semi-automated deep learning algorithm (DLA) assisted approach to detect vision-threatening diabetic retinopathy (DR). Methods: We developed a two-step semi-automated DLA-assisted approach to grade fundus photographs for vision-threatening referable DR. Study images were obtained from the Lingtou Cohort Study, and captured at participant enrollment in 2009-2010 ("baseline images") and annual follow-up between 2011 and 2017. To begin, a validated DLA automatically graded baseline images for referable DR and classified them as positive, negative, or ungradable. Following, each positive image, all other available images from patients who had a positive image, and a 5% random sample of all negative images were selected and regraded by trained human graders. A reference standard diagnosis was assigned once all graders achieved consistent grading outcomes or with a senior ophthalmologist's final diagnosis. The semi-automated DLA assisted approach combined initial DLA screening and subsequent human grading for images identified as high-risk. This approach was further validated within the follow-up image datasets and its time and economic costs evaluated against fully human grading. Results: For evaluation of baseline images, a total of 33,115 images were included and automatically graded by the DLA. 2,604 images (480 positive results, 624 available other images from participants with a positive result, and 1500 random negative samples) were selected and regraded by graders. The DLA achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 0.953, 0.970, 0.879, and 88.6%, respectively. In further validation within the follow-up image datasets, a total of 88,363 images were graded using this semi-automated approach and human grading was performed on 8975 selected images. The DLA achieved an AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.914, 0.852, 0.853, respectively. Compared against fully human grading, the semi-automated DLA-assisted approach achieved an estimated 75.6% time and 90.1% economic cost saving. Conclusions: The DLA described in this study was able to achieve high accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity in grading fundus images for referable DR. Validated against long-term follow-up datasets, a semi-automated DLA-assisted approach was able to accurately identify suspect cases, and minimize misdiagnosis whilst balancing safety, time, and economic cost.

Healthcare Cost Savings Associated with Increased Whole Grain Consumption among Australian Adults.

Many dietary guidelines emphasise "mostly" whole grain food choices as part of an overall healthy eating pattern based on evidence for enhancing nutritional status and reducing chronic disease. Still, countries including Australia fall short of their consumption targets. Furthermore, healthcare cost savings associated with increasing the consumption of whole grains in alignment with the Daily Target Intake (DTI) recommendation of 48 g are unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the potential savings in costs of healthcare and lost productivity associated with a reduction in the incidence of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) through meeting the 48 g DTI recommendation for whole grains among the Australian adult population (>20 years). A three-step cost-of-illness analysis was conducted using input parameters from: 1) estimates of proportions of consumers (5%, 15%, 50%, and 100%) who would increase their current intake of whole grains to meet the recommended DTI in Australia; 2) relative reductions in risk of T2DM and CVD associated with specific whole grain consumption, as reported in meta-analysis studies; and 3) data on costs of healthcare and productivity loss based on monetary figures by national healthcare authorities. A very pessimistic (5% of the population) through to universal (100% of the population) adoption of the recommended DTI was shown to potentially yield AUD 37.5 (95% CI 22.3-49.3) to AUD 750.7 (95% CI 445.7-985.2) million, and AUD 35.9 (95% CI 8.3-60.7) to AUD 717.4 (95% CI 165.5-1214.1) million in savings on annual healthcare and lost productivity costs for T2DM and CVD, respectively. Given such economic benefits of the recommended consumption of whole grains, in exchange for refined grains, there is a real opportunity to facilitate relevant socioeconomic cost-savings for Australia and reductions in disease. These results are suggestive of a much greater opportunity to communicate the need for dietary change at all levels, but particularly through food-based dietary guidelines and front-of-pack labelling initiatives.

Type 2 Diabetes-Related Health Economic Impact Associated with Increased Whole Grains Consumption among Adults in Finland.

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) is increasing rapidly worldwide. A healthy diet supporting the control of energy intake and body weight has major importance in the prevention of T2D. For example, a high intake of whole grain foods (WGF) has been shown to be inversely associated with risk for T2D. The objective of the study was to estimate the expected health economic impacts of increased WGF consumption to decrease the incidence of T2D in the Finnish adult population. A health economic model utilizing data from multiple national databases and published scientific literature was constructed to estimate these population-level health economic consequences. Among the adult Finnish population, increased WGF consumption could reduce T2D-related costs between 286€ and 989€ million during the next 10-year time horizon depending on the applied scenario (i.e., a 10%-unit increase in a proportion of daily WGF users, an increased number (i.e., two or more) of WGF servings a day, or alternatively a combination of these scenarios). Over the next 20-30 years, a population-wide increase in WGF consumption could lead to much higher benefits. Furthermore, depending on the applied scenario, between 1323 and 154,094 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) could be gained at the population level due to decreased T2D-related morbidity and mortality during the next 10 to 30 years. The results indicate that even when the current level of daily WGF consumption is already at a relatively high-level in a global context, increased WGF consumption could lead to important health gains and savings in the Finnish adult population.

Is it Safe and Cost Saving to Defer the CD4+ Cell Count Monitoring in Stable Patients on Art with More than 350 or 500 cells/µl?

BACKGROUND: CD4+ lymphocyte cell count represents the main immunological marker used to monitor HIV infection. However, frequent monitoring may be unnecessary, could cause anxiety to the patient as well as burdening healthcare with extra expenses. OBJECTIVES AND METHODS: A two-step retrospective (safety and cost-saving) analysis was performed to evaluate the probability of maintaining a safe number of more than 350 CD4+ cells/µl in HIV-positive subjects under treatment during a three-year follow up and secondarily to estimate in real life the cost of the CD4+ determinations in a 3 years period, speculating on possible cost-saving strategies. The safety analyses was conducted with Kaplan-Meyer method considering: 1) all patients independently from their viral load (VL); 2) patients with 500 > CD4+ ≥ 350 cells/µl versus (vs) CD4+ ≥ 500 cells/µl at baseline; 3) patients with VL < 20 copies/ml vs VL > 20 copies/ml. The cost-saving analysis measuring the costs of CD4+ determinations was calculated from April 1, 2013, to March 31, 2016. RESULTS: In the safety analysis, 253 subjects were enrolled. The median CD4+ count was 623 (489-805) cells/µl. Subjects maintaining ≥ 350 cells/µl in the first, second, and third year were respectively 238 (94.1%), 229 (90.5%), and 226 (89.3%), independently from VL. Within subjects with ≥ 350 CD4+/µl vs. ≥ 500 CD4+/µl at baseline, those who maintained ≥ 350 cells/µl until the third year were respectively 241 (95.3%) and 158 (98.1%). The probability of maintaining these values in the third year was 89.3% for those who had CD4+ ≥ 350/µl at baseline and 98.1% for those who had CD4+ ≥ 500/µl. This probability was around 90% vs. 99% for subjects with HIV-RNA above or below 20 copies/ml. In the real-life cost saving analysis, we evaluated subjects with a stable value or more than 500 CD4+ (respectively 343, 364 and 383 in the first, second and third period). We observed mean value of about two determinations patient/year (2.41 in 2013/2014; 2.32 in 2014/2015; 2.18 in 2015/2016), with a significant decrease between the first and the last period (p<0.001). The mean cost patient/year was €101.51 in the first year, €97.61 in the second, €92.00 in the third (p<0,001). Assuming to extend these procedures to all our patients with stable CD4+ cells/µl and monitoring CD4+ cell count once in a year, we were able to obtain an overall saving of €19,152/year. CONCLUSIONS: A very high percentage of subjects maintained a high and safe number of CD4+ cells (>350 cells/µl) during a three-year follow-up. It could be possible to save up to 66% of the costs by reducing the number of CD4+ count determinations in a year, to have other favorable consequences as well, releasing new resources for patient management.