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BACKGROUND: The contribution of the central nervous system to sepsis pathobiology is incompletely understood. In previous studies, administration of endotoxin to mice decreased activity of the vagus anti-inflammatory reflex. Treatment with the centrally-acting M1 muscarinic acetylcholine (ACh) receptor (M1AChR) attenuated this endotoxin-mediated change. We hypothesize that decreased M1AChR-mediated activity contributes to inflammation following cecal ligation and puncture (CLP), a mouse model of sepsis. METHODS: In male C57Bl/6 mice, we quantified basal forebrain cholinergic activity (immunostaining), hippocampal neuronal activity, serum cytokine/chemokine levels (ELISA) and splenic cell subtypes (flow cytometry) at baseline, following CLP and following CLP in mice also treated with the M1AChR agonist xanomeline. RESULTS: At 48 h. post-CLP, activity in basal forebrain cells expressing choline acetyltransferase (ChAT) was half of that observed at baseline. Lower activity was also noted in the hippocampus, which contains projections from ChAT-expressing basal forebrain neurons. Serum levels of TNFα, IL-1ß, MIP-1α, IL-6, KC and G-CSF were higher post-CLP than at baseline. Post-CLP numbers of splenic macrophages and inflammatory monocytes, TNFα+ and ILß+ neutrophils and ILß+ monocytes were higher than baseline while numbers of central Dendritic Cells (cDCs), CD4+ and CD8+ T cells were lower. When, following CLP, mice were treated with xanomeline activity in basal forebrain ChAT-expressing neurons and in the hippocampus was significantly higher than in untreated animals. Post-CLP serum concentrations of TNFα, IL-1ß, and MIP-1α, but not of IL-6, KC and G-CSF, were significantly lower in xanomeline-treated mice than in untreated mice. Post-CLP numbers of splenic neutrophils, macrophages, inflammatory monocytes and TNFα+ neutrophils also were lower in xanomeline-treated mice than in untreated animals. Percentages of IL-1ß+ neutrophils, IL-1ß+ monocytes, cDCs, CD4+ T cells and CD8+ T cells were similar in xanomeline-treated and untreated post-CLP mice. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that M1AChR-mediated responses modulate CLP-induced alterations in serum levels of some, but not all, cytokines/chemokines and affected splenic immune response phenotypes.
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Citocinas , Piridinas , Sepsis , Tiadiazoles , Masculino , Ratones , Animales , Citocinas/metabolismo , Factor de Necrosis Tumoral alfa/metabolismo , Interleucina-6 , Linfocitos T CD8-positivos/metabolismo , Quimiocina CCL3 , Quimiocinas , Punciones , Endotoxinas , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Ligadura , Colinérgicos , Factor Estimulante de Colonias de Granulocitos , Ratones Endogámicos C57BL , Ciego/metabolismo , Modelos Animales de EnfermedadRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The diagnosis of sepsis is based on expert consensus and does not yet have a "gold standard." With the aim of improving and standardizing diagnostic methods, there have already been three major consensuses on the subject. However, there are still few studies in middle-income countries comparing the methods. This study describes the characteristics of patients diagnosed with sepsis and evaluates and compares the performance of Sepsis-1, 2, and 3 criteria in predicting 28 days, and in-hospital mortality. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective observational cohort study was conducted in the intensive care unit of a tertiary hospital. All admissions between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019, were reviewed. Patients diagnosed with sepsis were included. RESULTS: During the study period, 653 patients diagnosed with sepsis (by any of the studied criteria) were included in the study. The 28 days mortality rate was 45.8%, and the in-hospital mortality rate was 59.7%. We observed that 72.1% of patients met the minimum criteria for diagnosing sepsis according to the three protocols, and this group also had the highest mortality rate. Age and comorbidities such as cancer and liver cirrhosis were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. The most common microorganisms were Escherichia coli, Klebsiella spp., and Staphylococcus spp. CONCLUSIONS: The study found that most patients met the diagnostic criteria for sepsis using the three methods. Sepsis-2 showed greater sensitivity to predict mortality, while Sequential Organ Failure Assessment showed low accuracy, but was the only significant one. Furthermore, quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) had the highest specificity for mortality. Overall, these findings suggest that, although all three methods contribute to the diagnosis and prognosis of sepsis, Sepsis-2 is particularly sensitive in predicting mortality. Sepsis-3 shows some accuracy but requires improvement, and qSOFA exhibits the highest specificity. More research is needed to improve predictive capabilities and patient outcomes.
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Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Sepsis , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Hospitalización , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Pronóstico , Curva ROCRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To investigate the association between maternal sepsis during pregnancy and poor pregnancy outcome and to identify risk factors for poor birth outcomes and adverse perinatal events. METHODS: We linked the Taiwan Birth Cohort Study (TBCS) database and the Taiwanese National Health Insurance Database (NHID) to conduct this population-based study. We analysed the data of pregnant women who met the criteria for sepsis-3 during pregnancy between 2005 and 2017 as the maternal sepsis cases and selected pregnant women without infection as the non-sepsis comparison cohort. Sepsis during pregnancy and fulfilled the sepsis-3 definition proposed in 2016. The primary outcome included low birth weight (LBW, < 2500 g) and preterm birth (< 34 weeks), and the secondary outcome was the occurrence of adverse perinatal events. RESULTS: We enrolled 2,732 women who met the criteria for sepsis-3 during pregnancy and 196,333 non-sepsis controls. We found that the development of maternal sepsis was highly associated with unfavourable pregnancy outcomes, including LBW (adjOR 9.51, 95% CI 8.73-10.36), preterm birth < 34 weeks (adjOR 11.69, 95%CI 10.64-12.84), and the adverse perinatal events (adjOR 3.09, 95% CI 2.83-3.36). We also identified that socio-economically disadvantaged status was slightly associated with an increased risk for low birth weight and preterm birth. CONCLUSION: We found that the development of maternal sepsis was highly associated with LBW, preterm birth and adverse perinatal events. Our findings highlight the prolonged impact of maternal sepsis on pregnancy outcomes and indicate the need for vigilance among pregnant women with sepsis.
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Recién Nacido de Bajo Peso , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo , Resultado del Embarazo , Nacimiento Prematuro , Sepsis , Humanos , Femenino , Embarazo , Adulto , Estudios Retrospectivos , Taiwán/epidemiología , Sepsis/epidemiología , Resultado del Embarazo/epidemiología , Nacimiento Prematuro/epidemiología , Recién Nacido , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Bases de Datos Factuales , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There is no evidence to determine the association between the lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio (LAR) and the development of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SAKI). We aimed to investigate the predictive impact of LAR for SAKI in patients with sepsis. METHODS: A total of 4,087 patients with sepsis from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC IV) database were included. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the association between LAR and the risk of developing SAKI, and the relationship was visualized using restricted cubic spline (RCS). The clinical predictive value of LAR was evaluated by ROC curve analysis. Subgroup analysis was used to search for interactive factors. RESULTS: The LAR level was markedly increased in the SAKI group (p < 0.001). There was a positive linear association between LAR and the risk of developing SAKI (p for nonlinearity = 0.867). Logistic regression analysis showed an independent predictive value of LAR for developing SAKI. The LAR had moderate clinical value, with an AUC of 0.644. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) was identified as an independent interactive factor. The predictive value of LAR for the development of SAKI disappeared in those with a history of CKD but remained in those without CKD. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated LAR 12 h before and after the diagnosis of sepsis is an independent risk factor for the development of SAKI in patients with sepsis. Chronic comorbidities, especially the history of CKD, should be taken into account when using LAR to predict the development of AKI in patients with sepsis.
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Lesión Renal Aguda , L-Lactato Deshidrogenasa , Sepsis , Humanos , Lesión Renal Aguda/sangre , Lesión Renal Aguda/epidemiología , Lesión Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Sepsis/complicaciones , Sepsis/sangre , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , L-Lactato Deshidrogenasa/sangre , Albúmina Sérica/metabolismo , Albúmina Sérica/análisis , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Biomarcadores/sangreRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There is a growing demand for advanced methods to improve the understanding and prediction of illnesses. This study focuses on Sepsis, a critical response to infection, aiming to enhance early detection and mortality prediction for Sepsis-3 patients to improve hospital resource allocation. METHODS: In this study, we developed a Machine Learning (ML) framework to predict the 30-day mortality rate of ICU patients with Sepsis-3 using the MIMIC-III database. Advanced big data extraction tools like Snowflake were used to identify eligible patients. Decision tree models and Entropy Analyses helped refine feature selection, resulting in 30 relevant features curated with clinical experts. We employed the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) model for its efficiency and predictive power. RESULTS: The study comprised a cohort of 9118 Sepsis-3 patients. Our preprocessing techniques significantly improved both the AUC and accuracy metrics. The LightGBM model achieved an impressive AUC of 0.983 (95% CI: [0.980-0.990]), an accuracy of 0.966, and an F1-score of 0.910. Notably, LightGBM showed a substantial 6% improvement over our best baseline model and a 14% enhancement over the best existing literature. These advancements are attributed to (I) the inclusion of the novel and pivotal feature Hospital Length of Stay (HOSP_LOS), absent in previous studies, and (II) LightGBM's gradient boosting architecture, enabling robust predictions with high-dimensional data while maintaining computational efficiency, as demonstrated by its learning curve. CONCLUSIONS: Our preprocessing methodology reduced the number of relevant features and identified a crucial feature overlooked in previous studies. The proposed model demonstrated high predictive power and generalization capability, highlighting the potential of ML in ICU settings. This model can streamline ICU resource allocation and provide tailored interventions for Sepsis-3 patients.
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Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Aprendizaje Automático , Sepsis , Humanos , Sepsis/mortalidad , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , PronósticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Sepsis surveillance using electronic health record (EHR)-based data may provide more accurate epidemiologic estimates than administrative data, but experience with this approach to estimate population-level sepsis burden is lacking. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study including all adults admitted to publicly-funded hospitals in Hong Kong between 2009-2018. Sepsis was defined as clinical evidence of presumed infection (clinical cultures and treatment with antibiotics) and concurrent acute organ dysfunction (≥2 point increase in baseline SOFA score). Trends in incidence, mortality, and case fatality risk (CFR) were modelled by exponential regression. Performance of the EHR-based definition was compared with 4 administrative definitions using 500 medical record reviews. RESULTS: Among 13,550,168 hospital episodes during the study period, 485,057 (3.6%) had sepsis by EHR-based criteria with 21.5% CFR. In 2018, age- and sex-adjusted standardized sepsis incidence was 759 per 100,000 (relative +2.9%/year [95%CI 2.0, 3.8%] between 2009-2018) and standardized sepsis mortality was 156 per 100,000 (relative +1.9%/year [95%CI 0.9,2.9%]). Despite decreasing CFR (relative -0.5%/year [95%CI -1.0, -0.1%]), sepsis accounted for an increasing proportion of all deaths (relative +3.9%/year [95%CI 2.9, 4.9%]). Medical record reviews demonstrated that the EHR-based definition more accurately identified sepsis than administrative definitions (AUC 0.91 vs 0.52-0.55, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: An objective EHR-based surveillance definition demonstrated an increase in population-level standardized sepsis incidence and mortality in Hong Kong between 2009-2018 and was much more accurate than administrative definitions. These findings demonstrate the feasibility and advantages of an EHR-based approach for widescale sepsis surveillance.
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Background: The prevalence and mortality of sepsis in Internal Medicine Units (IMUs) is poorly understood as most of the data derive from studies conducted in Intensive Care Units. Aim of SEpsis Management in INternal medicine Apulia (SEMINA) study was to determine the prevalence of sepsis and the characteristics and outcomes of patients with Sepsis-3 criteria admitted in Apulia's Internal Medicine Units for over six months. Methods: The SEpsis Management in INternal medicine of Apulia study was a prospective, multicentre, observational study. Adult admissions to the 13 Apulia Region's Internal Medicine Units between November 15, 2018 and May 15, 2019 were screened for sepsis according to the Sepsis-3 criteria. Medical data were collected in electronic case report form. Results: Out of 7,885 adult patients of the Internal Medicine Units, 359 (4.55%) fulfilled the inclusion criteria, and 65 of them (18.1%) met the septic shock criteria. The patients enrolled were elderly, suffering from chronic poly-pathologies and from cognitive and functional impairment. The respiratory system was the most common site of infection and the most common pathogens isolated from blood cultures were Staphylococcus spp., E. coli, Klebsiella spp., Enterococcus spp. and Acinetobacter spp. The in-hospital fatality rate was 31.2% and was significantly higher for septic shock. Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, dementia and infections from Acinetobacter spp. were independent risk factors for mortality. Conclusions: A high prevalence of sepsis and a high fatality rate were detected in Apulia Region's Internal Medicine Units. The high fatality rate observed in our study could be related to the underlying diseases and to the vulnerability of elderly patients admitted to our Internal Medicine Units.
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Sepsis , Choque Séptico , Adulto , Anciano , Humanos , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Prospectivos , Sepsis/epidemiología , Sepsis/microbiología , Sepsis/terapia , Choque Séptico/epidemiología , Choque Séptico/microbiología , Choque Séptico/terapia , PrevalenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Sepsis is the leading cause of death in the intensive care unit (ICU). Expediting its diagnosis, largely determined by clinical assessment, improves survival. Predictive and explanatory modelling of sepsis in the critically ill commonly bases both outcome definition and predictions on clinical criteria for consensus definitions of sepsis, leading to circularity. As a remedy, we collected ground truth labels for sepsis. METHODS: In the Ground Truth for Sepsis Questionnaire (GTSQ), senior attending physicians in the ICU documented daily their opinion on each patient's condition regarding sepsis as a five-category working diagnosis and nine related items. Working diagnosis groups were described and compared and their SOFA-scores analyzed with a generalized linear mixed model. Agreement and discriminatory performance measures for clinical criteria of sepsis and GTSQ labels as reference class were derived. RESULTS: We analyzed 7291 questionnaires and 761 complete encounters from the first survey year. Editing rates for all items were > 90%, and responses were consistent with current understanding of critical illness pathophysiology, including sepsis pathogenesis. Interrater agreement for presence and absence of sepsis was almost perfect but only slight for suspected infection. ICU mortality was 19.5% in encounters with SIRS as the "worst" working diagnosis compared to 5.9% with sepsis and 5.9% with severe sepsis without differences in admission and maximum SOFA. Compared to sepsis, proportions of GTSQs with SIRS plus acute organ dysfunction were equal and macrocirculatory abnormalities higher (p < 0.0001). SIRS proportionally ranked above sepsis in daily assessment of illness severity (p < 0.0001). Separate analyses of neurosurgical referrals revealed similar differences. Discriminatory performance of Sepsis-1/2 and Sepsis-3 compared to GTSQ labels was similar with sensitivities around 70% and specificities 92%. Essentially no difference between the prevalence of SIRS and SOFA ≥ 2 yielded sensitivities and specificities for detecting sepsis onset close to 55% and 83%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: GTSQ labels are a valid measure of sepsis in the ICU. They reveal suspicion of infection as an unclear clinical concept and refute an illness severity hierarchy in the SIRS-sepsis-severe sepsis spectrum. Ground truth challenges the accuracy of Sepsis-1/2 and Sepsis-3 in detecting sepsis onset. It is an indispensable intermediate step towards advancing diagnosis and therapy in the ICU and, potentially, other health care settings.
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Enfermedad Crítica , Sepsis , Consenso , Atención a la Salud , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Síndrome de Respuesta Inflamatoria Sistémica/diagnósticoRESUMEN
Thrombocytopenia is common in critical illness. But there are no studies that focus on thrombocytopenia and platelet recovery in Sepsis-3 patients. We employed a large database to identify sepsis based on Sepsis-3 criteria. Patients were grouped by nadir platelet count during ICU, propensity score matching was used to eliminate covariates imbalance, multivariable cox proportional hazard model was used for evaluating mortality. A total of 9709 patients were enrolled based on Sepsis-3, 1794 (18%) patients developed thrombocytopenia, with 858 (8.8%) exhibiting thrombocytopenia at ICU admission (prevalent), 891 (9.2%) developed thrombocytopenia during ICU stay (incident). In the incident thrombocytopenia group, survivors exhibited higher nadir platelet count, higher rate in platelet count recovery and shorter time to platelet recovery compared to non-survivors. Platelet recovery was not observed until 1 days (IQR, 1-2) after weaning of mechanical ventilation and 1 days (IQR, 1-3) after discontinuation of vasopressor in survivors of incident thrombocytopenia. Furthermore, thrombocytopenia was associated with longer duration of ICU length of stay, longer duration of mechanical ventilation and vasopressor use compared to no thrombocytopenia. Moderate (20-50 × 109/L) and severe (<20 × 109/L) thrombocytopenia group showed increased 28 days mortality compared to no thrombocytopenia, while the mortality rate between mild (51-100 × 109/L) and no thrombocytopenia group (≥100 × 109/L) showed no significant difference. Taken together these data revealed that thrombocytopenia occurred in 18% Sepsis-3 patients; platelet recovery occurred more frequent and earlier in survivors; platelet recovery was not observed until clinical improvement. Thrombocytopenia in Sepsis-3 demonstrated increased disease severity, and patients with platelet count <50 × 109/L showed increased 28 days mortality.
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Sepsis , Trombocitopenia , Humanos , Recuento de Plaquetas , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sepsis/complicaciones , Trombocitopenia/complicacionesRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Patients in Intensive Care Units (ICU) are a high-risk population for sepsis, recognized as a major cause of admission and death. The aim of the current study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and prognostication of monocyte distribution width (MDW) in sepsis for patients admitted to ICU. METHODS: Between January and June 2020, we conducted a prospective observational study during the hospitalization of 506 adult patients admitted to the ICU. MDW was evaluated in 2,367 consecutive samples received for routine complete blood counts (CBC) performed once a day and every day during the study. Sepsis was diagnosed according to Sepsis-3 criteria and patients enrolled were classified in the following groups: no sepsis, sepsis and septic shock. RESULTS: MDW values were significantly higher in patients with sepsis or septic shock in comparison to those within the no sepsis group [median 26.23 (IQR: 23.48-29.83); 28.97 (IQR: 21.27-37.21); 21.99 (IQR: 19.86-24.36) respectively]. ROC analysis demonstrated that AUC is 0.785 with a sensitivity of 66.88% and specificity of 77.79% at a cut-off point of 24.63. In patients that developed an ICU-acquired sepsis MDW showed an increase from 21.33 [median (IQR: 19.47-21.72)] to 29.19 [median (IQR: 27.46-31.47)]. MDW increase is not affected by the aetiology of sepsis, even in patients with COVID-19. In sepsis survivors a decrease of MDW values were found from the first time to the end of their stay [median from 29.14 (IQR: 26.22-32.52) to 25.67 (IQR: 22.93-30.28)]. CONCLUSIONS: In ICU, MDW enhances the sepsis detection and is related to disease severity.
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Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Monocitos/metabolismo , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Área Bajo la Curva , Femenino , Pruebas Hematológicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Curva ROC , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Sepsis/sangre , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Trends in the incidence and outcomes of sepsis using a Japanese nationwide database were investigated. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study. Adult patients, who had both presumed serious infections and acute organ dysfunction, between 2010 and 2017 were extracted using a combined method of administrative and electronic health record data from the Japanese nationwide medical claim database, which covered 71.5% of all acute care hospitals in 2017. Presumed serious infection was defined using blood culture test records and antibiotic administration. Acute organ dysfunction was defined using records of diagnosis according to the international statistical classification of diseases and related health problems, 10th revision, and records of organ support. The primary outcomes were the annual incidence of sepsis and death in sepsis per 1000 inpatients. The secondary outcomes were in-hospital mortality rate and length of hospital stay in patients with sepsis. RESULTS: The analyzed dataset included 50,490,128 adult inpatients admitted between 2010 and 2017. Of these, 2,043,073 (4.0%) patients had sepsis. During the 8-year period, the annual proportion of patients with sepsis across inpatients significantly increased (slope = + 0.30%/year, P < 0.0001), accounting for 4.9% of the total inpatients in 2017. The annual death rate of sepsis per 1000 inpatients significantly increased (slope = + 1.8/1000 inpatients year, P = 0.0001), accounting for 7.8 deaths per 1000 inpatients in 2017. The in-hospital mortality rate and median (interquartile range) length of hospital stay significantly decreased (P < 0.001) over the study period and were 18.3% and 27 (15-50) days in 2017, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The Japanese nationwide data indicate that the annual incidence of sepsis and death in inpatients with sepsis significantly increased; however, the annual mortality rates and length of hospital stay in patients with sepsis significantly decreased. The increasing incidence of sepsis and death in sepsis appear to be a significant and ongoing issue.
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Mortalidad Hospitalaria/tendencias , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Sepsis/mortalidad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Hospitalización/tendencias , Humanos , Incidencia , Japón/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sistema de Registros/estadística & datos numéricos , Sepsis/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Sepsis is the most common cause of acute kidney injury (AKI) among critically ill patients. This study aimed to determine whether presepsin is a predictor of septic acute kidney injury, renal replacement therapy initiation (RRTi) in sepsis patients, and prognosis in septic AKI patients. METHODS: Presepsin values were measured immediately after ICU admission (baseline) and on Days 2, 3, and 5 after ICU admission. Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio, Prognostic Index, and Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) were measured at baseline, and total scores ("inflammation-presepsin scores [iPS]") were calculated for category classification. Presepsin values, inflammation-based prognostic scores, and iPS were compared between patients with and without septic AKI or RRTi and between survivors and non-survivors. RESULTS: Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses identified the following variables as predictors of septic AKI and RRTi in sepsis patients: presepsin on Day 1 (AUC: 0.73) and Day 2 (AUC: 0.71) for septic AKI, and presepsin on Day 1 (AUC: 0.71), Day 2 (AUC: 0.9), and Day 5 (AUC: 0.96), Δpresepsin (Day 2 - Day 1) (AUC: 0.84), Δpresepsin (Day 5 - Day 1) (AUC: 0.93), and PNI (AUC: 0.72) for RRTi. Multivariate logistic regression analyses identified presepsin on Day 2 as a predictor of prognosis in septic AKI patients. CONCLUSIONS: Presepsin and PNI were found to be predictors of septic AKI, RRTi in sepsis patients, and prognosis in septic AKI patients.
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Lesión Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Lesión Renal Aguda/terapia , Receptores de Lipopolisacáridos/sangre , Evaluación Nutricional , Fragmentos de Péptidos/sangre , Terapia de Reemplazo Renal , Sepsis/complicaciones , Lesión Renal Aguda/sangre , Lesión Renal Aguda/etiología , Anciano , Biomarcadores/sangre , Cuidados Críticos , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Proyectos Piloto , Pronóstico , Curva ROCRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a significant cause of mortality in-hospital, especially in ICU patients. Early prediction of sepsis is essential, as prompt and appropriate treatment can improve survival outcomes. Machine learning methods are flexible prediction algorithms with potential advantages over conventional regression and scoring system. The aims of this study were to develop a machine learning approach using XGboost to predict the 30-days mortality for MIMIC-III Patients with sepsis-3 and to determine whether such model performs better than traditional prediction models. METHODS: Using the MIMIC-III v1.4, we identified patients with sepsis-3. The data was split into two groups based on death or survival within 30 days and variables, selected based on clinical significance and availability by stepwise analysis, were displayed and compared between groups. Three predictive models including conventional logistic regression model, SAPS-II score prediction model and XGBoost algorithm model were constructed by R software. Then, the performances of the three models were tested and compared by AUCs of the receiver operating characteristic curves and decision curve analysis. At last, nomogram and clinical impact curve were used to validate the model. RESULTS: A total of 4559 sepsis-3 patients are included in the study, in which, 889 patients were death and 3670 survival within 30 days, respectively. According to the results of AUCs (0.819 [95% CI 0.800-0.838], 0.797 [95% CI 0.781-0.813] and 0.857 [95% CI 0.839-0.876]) and decision curve analysis for the three models, the XGboost model performs best. The risk nomogram and clinical impact curve verify that the XGboost model possesses significant predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: Using machine learning technique by XGboost, more significant prediction model can be built. This XGboost model may prove clinically useful and assist clinicians in tailoring precise management and therapy for the patients with sepsis-3.
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Aprendizaje Automático , Sepsis , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Curva ROC , Sepsis/diagnósticoRESUMEN
We aimed to develop a scoring system for predicting in-hospital mortality of community-acquired (CA) sepsis patients. This was a prospective, observational multicenter study performed to analyze CA sepsis among adult patients through ID-IRI (Infectious Diseases International Research Initiative) at 32 centers in 10 countries between December 1, 2015, and May 15, 2016. After baseline evaluation, we used univariate analysis at the second and logistic regression analysis at the third phase. In this prospective observational study, data of 373 cases with CA sepsis or septic shock were submitted from 32 referral centers in 10 countries. The median age was 68 (51-77) years, and 174 (46,6%) of the patients were females. The median hospitalization time of the patients was 15 (10-21) days. Overall mortality rate due to CA sepsis was 17.7% (n = 66). The possible predictors which have strong correlation and the variables that cause collinearity are acute oliguria, altered consciousness, persistent hypotension, fever, serum creatinine, age, and serum total protein. CAS (%) is a new scoring system and works in accordance with the parameters in third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3). The system has yielded successful results in terms of predicting mortality in CA sepsis patients.
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Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Sepsis/mortalidad , Anciano , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas/diagnóstico , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas/mortalidad , Femenino , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Índice de Severidad de la EnfermedadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Currently, it remains controversial whether the Sepsis-3 definition provides the most appropriate criteria for clinical use. The purpose of this study was to compare between the Sepsis-2 and Sepsis-3 definitions using Japan's nationwide registry. METHODS: Data were obtained from a multicenter registry conducted at 42 intensive care units (ICUs) throughout Japan, in which patients received treatment for severe sepsis or septic shock between January 2011 and December 2013. RESULTS: A total of 2797 patients diagnosed using the Sepsis-2 criteria were included in the present study. These patients were categorized into "Severe sepsis" (n = 1154) and "Sepsis-2 shock" (n = 1643) groups. Among the "Sepsis-2 shock" group, patients who did not meet the Sepsis-3 criteria for septic shock were categorized into the "Sepsis-2 shock-only" (n = 448, 27.3%) group, while patients who met the Sepsis-3 criteria for septic shock were categorized into "Sepsis-3 shock (n = 1195, 72.7%)" group. The ICU mortality in the "Sepsis-3 shock" group, "Sepsis-2 shock-only" group, and "Severe sepsis" group was 28.5%, 10.9%, and 14.1%, respectively. We observed no significant difference between the "Severe sepsis" and "Sepsis-2 shock-only" groups in terms of in-hospital survival (P = .098), while the "Sepsis-3 shock" group had the highest in-hospital mortality rate (P < .001). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, liver insufficiency and immunocompromised status were independent prognostic factors in the "Sepsis-2 shock-only" group. In contrast, chronic heart disease and chronic hemodialysis were independent prognostic factors in the "Sepsis-3 shock" group. CONCLUSIONS: The ICU mortality of the "Sepsis-2 shock-only" group was significantly low. Besides septic shock diagnosed by the Sepsis-3 definition selects patients with more severe cases of sepsis among the "Sepsis-2 shock" group.
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Sepsis , Choque Séptico , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Japón/epidemiología , Sepsis/clasificación , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Sepsis/mortalidad , Choque Séptico/diagnóstico , Choque Séptico/mortalidadRESUMEN
SEPSIS-3 DEFINITION: Sepsis is defined as life-threatening organ dysfunction due to a dysregulated host response to infection. The clinical criteria of sepsis include organ dysfunction, which is defined as an increase of two points or more on the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA). For patients with infection, an increase of 2 SOFA points yields an overall mortality rate of 10%. Patients with suspected infection who are likely to have a prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stay or to have in-hospital mortality can be promptly identified at the bedside with a quick SOFA (qSOFA) score of 2 or higher. IMPORTANCE: The sepsis-3 criteria have emphasized the value of a change of two or more points on the SOFA, introduced the qSOFA, and removed the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria from the sepsis definition. OBJECTIVE: To externally validate and assess the discriminatory capacities of an increase in the SOFA score by two or more points, the presence of two or more SIRS criteria, or a qSOFA score of 2 or more points for outcomes in 5109 patients, the vast majority of whom were postcardiac surgery patients who were admitted to a Cardiothoracic Surgical ICU in Singapore. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A retrospective cohort analysis of 5109 patients with an infection-related primary admission diagnosis in the cardiothoracic intensive care unit (CTICU) at the National University Hospital (NUH) in Singapore from 2010 to 2016. EXPOSURES: The SOFA, qSOFA, and SIRS criteria were applied to the data representing the worst condition within 24 hours of ICU admission. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Discrimination was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: In 5109 patients, the average mortality of patients with an increase in the SOFA scores of less than 2 points was 3.5% (n = 64), and it was 6% (n = 199) for those with an increase in the SOFA scores of 2 or more points. The mortality of patients with an increase in the qSOFA scores of less than 2 points was 2.6% (n = 7), and it was 5.3% (n = 256) for those with an increase in the qSOFA scores of 2 or more points. The mortality of patients with an increase in the SIRS criteria of less than 2 points was 3.6% (n = 30), and it was 5.4% (n = 233) for those with an increase in the SIRS criteria of 2 or more points. The AUROC of in-hospital mortality of patients with an increase in the SOFA, qSOFA, and SIRS criteria of 2 or more points was 0.96, 0.95, and 0.95, respectively. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In adults with suspected infection admitted to the CTICU in NUH, the change in in-hospital mortality between patients with an increase in SOFA scores of less than 2 and those with an increase of 2 or more was 2.5 percentage points. In contrast to other studies, the absolute change in mortality was nearly the same compared to the qSOFA and SIRS criteria, and the qSOFA score had the greatest percentage increase of 104%, compared to 71% for the SOFA score and 50% for the SIRS criteria. Besides, from the perspective of discriminatory capacities, an increase in SOFA scores of 2 or more did not demonstrate significantly greater prognostic accuracy for in-hospital mortality than equivalent increases in qSOFA scores or SIRS criteria. These findings suggest distinctive characteristics of the study population in the CTICU that are different from the general population.
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Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Cardíacos , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Torácicos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , PronósticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES: Scrub typhus has a wide spectrum of clinical presentations from acute febrile illness to sepsis with multi-organ failure with poor prognosis. The aim was to study the clinical presentation of scrub typhus and application of SOFA and qSOFA scores of sepsis-3 criteria to determine sepsis and consequent in-hospital outcomes. METHODS: A prospective study was carried out in adults (≥18 years), with scrub typhus diagnosed by IgM ELISA. Sepsis-3 criteria were used to identify patients with sepsis and plan subsequent management. Statistical analysis was done using software SPSS 16.0 and p value of less than 0.05 was taken as significant. RESULTS: Of the 78 scrub typhus patients, 38 (48.71%) presented with sepsis. Mean age in the sepsis group was significantly lower than the non-sepsis group (35.41±11.14 versus 43.56±14.31 years, p<0.05). Mortality was 71.05% in the sepsis group compared to nil in the non-sepsis group. On regression analysis, the presence of eschar (OR=5.2, 95% CI=1.15-23.544, P= 0.032), Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) (OR=5.33, 95% CI= 1.13-25.16, P = 0.034) and a GCS <10 (OR=9.29, 95% CI=1.04-82.96, P=0.046) were significant predictors of mortality in patients of scrub typhus with sepsis. INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSION: Scrub typhus is more common in young age, with significantly younger patients developing sepsis. Presence of eschar, ARDS and GCS<10 were risk factors for mortality in scrub typhus patients with sepsis.
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Orientia tsutsugamushi , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria , Tifus por Ácaros , Sepsis , Adulto , Humanos , India/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/diagnóstico , Tifus por Ácaros/complicaciones , Tifus por Ácaros/diagnóstico , Sepsis/diagnósticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The prognostic capability of the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) bedside scoring tool is uncertain in non-ICU patients with sepsis due to bacteremia given the low number of patients previously evaluated. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of adult hospitalized patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (SAB). Medical charts were reviewed to determine qSOFA score, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, and Pitt bacteremia score (PBS) at initial presentation; their predictive values were compared for ICU admission within 48 h, ICU stay duration > 72 h, and 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Four hundred twenty-two patients were included; 22% had qSOFA score ≥2. Overall, mean age was 56y and 75% were male. More patients with qSOFA ≥2 had altered mentation (23% vs 5%, p < 0.0001), were infected with MRSA (42% vs 30%, p = 0.03), had endocarditis or pneumonia (29% vs 15%, p = 0.0028), and bacterial persistence ≥4d (34% vs 20%, p = 0.0039) compared to qSOFA <2 patients. Predictive performance based on AUROC was better (p < 0.0001) with qSOFA than SIRS criteria for all three outcomes, but similar to PBS ≥2. qSOFA≥2 was the strongest predictor for poor outcome by multivariable analysis and showed improved specificity but lower sensitivity than SIRS ≥2. CONCLUSIONS: qSOFA is a simple 3-variable bedside tool for use at the time of sepsis presentation that is more specific than SIRS and simpler to calculate than PBS in identifying septic patients at high risk for poor outcomes later confirmed to have S. aureus bacteremia.
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Bacteriemia/etiología , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/etiología , Adulto , Anciano , Bacteriemia/tratamiento farmacológico , Bacteriemia/mortalidad , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Staphylococcus aureus/patogenicidad , Síndrome de Respuesta Inflamatoria Sistémica/diagnóstico , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic variables impact health outcomes but have rarely been evaluated in critical illness. Low- and middle-income countries bear the highest burden of sepsis and also have significant health inequities. In Argentina, public hospitals serve the poorest segment of the population, while private institutions serve patients with health coverage. Our objective was to analyze differences in mortality between public and private hospitals, using Sepsis-3 definitions. METHODS: This is a multicenter, prospective cohort study including patients with sepsis admitted to 49 Argentine ICUs lasting 3 months, beginning on July 1, 2016. Epidemiological, clinical, and socioeconomic status variables and hospital characteristics were compared between patients admitted to both types of institutions. RESULTS: Of the 809 patients included, 367 (45%) and 442 (55%) were admitted to public and private hospitals, respectively. Those in public institutions were younger (56 ± 18 vs. 64 ± 18; p < 0.01), with more comorbidities (Charlson score 2 [0-4] vs. 1 [0-3]; p < 0.01), fewer education years (7 [7-12] vs. 12 [10-16]; p < 0.01), more frequently unemployed/informally employed (30% vs. 7%; p < 0.01), had similar previous self-rated health status (70 [50-90] vs. 70 [50-90] points; p = 0.30), longer pre-admission symptoms (48 [24-96] vs. 24 [12-48] h; p < 0.01), had been previously evaluated more frequently in any healthcare venue (28 vs. 20%; p < 0.01), and had higher APACHE II, SOFA, lactate levels, and mechanical ventilation utilization. ICU admission as septic shock was more frequent in patients admitted to public hospitals (47 vs. 35%; p < 0.01), as were infections caused by multiresistant microorganisms. Sepsis management in the ICU showed no differences. Twenty-eight-day mortality was higher in public hospitals (42% vs. 24%; p < 0.01) as was hospital mortality (47% vs. 30%; p < 0.01). Admission to a public hospital was an independent predictor of mortality together with comorbidities, lactate, SOFA, and mechanical ventilation; in an alternative prediction model, it acted as a correlate of pre-hospital symptom duration and infections caused by multiresistant microorganisms. CONCLUSIONS: Patients in public hospitals belonged to a socially disadvantaged group and were sicker at admission, had septic shock more frequently, and had higher mortality. Unawareness of disease severity and delays in the health system might be associated with late admission. This marked difference in outcome between patients served by public and private institutions constitutes a state of health inequity.
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Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Sepsis/diagnóstico , APACHE , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Argentina , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/organización & administración , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Sepsis/complicaciones , Sepsis/epidemiología , Clase SocialRESUMEN
PURPOSE: The abdomen is the second most common source of sepsis and is associated with unacceptably high morbidity and mortality. Recently, the essential definitions of sepsis and septic shock were updated (Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock, Sepsis-3) and modified. The purpose of this review is to provide an overview of the changes introduced by Sepsis-3 and the current state of the art regarding the treatment of abdominal sepsis. RESULTS: While Sepsis-1/2 focused on detecting systemic inflammation as a response to infection, Sepsis-3 defines sepsis as a life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection. The Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) guideline, which was updated in 2016, recommends rapid diagnosis and initiating standardized therapy. New diagnostic tools, the establishment of antibiotic stewardship programs, and a host of new-generation antibiotics are new landmark changes in the sepsis literature of the last few years. Although the "old" surgical source control consisting of debridement, removal of infected devices, drainage of purulent cavities, and decompression of the abdominal cavity is the gold standard of surgical care, the timing of gastrointestinal reconstruction and closure of the abdominal cavity ("damage control surgery") are discussed intensively in the literature. The SSC guidelines provide evidence-based sepsis therapy. Nevertheless, treating critically ill intensive care patients requires individualized, continuous daily re-evaluation and flexible therapeutic strategies, which can be best discussed in the interdisciplinary rounds of experienced surgeons and intensive care medicals.