Factors Affecting Recurrence and Survival for Patients with High-Risk Stage II Melanoma.

BACKGROUND: In the current era of effective adjuvant therapies and de-escalation of surgery, distinguishing which patients with high-risk stage II melanoma are at increased risk of recurrence after excision of the primary lesion is essential to determining appropriate treatment and surveillance plans. METHODS: A single-center retrospective study analyzed patients with stage IIB or IIC melanoma. Demographic and tumor data were collected, and genomic analysis of formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue samples was performed via an internal next-generation sequencing (NGS) platform (SNaPshot). The end points examined were relapse-free survival (RFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), overall survival (OS), and melanoma-specific survival (MSS). Uni- and multivariable Cox regressions were performed to calculate the hazard ratios. RESULTS: The study included 92 patients with a median age of 69 years and a male/female ratio of 2:1. A Breslow depth greater than 4 mm, a higher mitotic rate, an advanced T stage, and a KIT mutation had a negative impact on RFS. A primary lesion in the head and neck, a mitotic rate exceeding 10 mitoses per mm2, a CDH1 mutation, or a KIT mutation was significantly associated with a shorter DMFS. Overall survival was significantly lower with older age at diagnosis and a higher mitotic rate. An older age at diagnosis also had a negative impact on MSS. CONCLUSION: Traditional histopathologic factors and specific tumor mutations displayed a significant correlation with disease recurrence and survival for patients with high-risk stage II melanoma. This study supported the use of genomic testing of high-risk stage II melanomas for prognostic prediction and risk stratification.

The effects of oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy in high-risk stage II colon cancer with mismatch repair-deficient: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: For high-risk stageIImismatch repair deficient (dMMR) colon cancers, the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy remains debatable. The principal aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of high-risk factors and the effect of oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy among dMMR stageIIcolon cancers. METHODS: Patients with stage II dMMR colon cancers diagnosed between June 2011 and May 2018 were enrolled in the study. Clinicopathological characteristics, treatment, and follow-up data were retrospectively collected. The high-risk group was defined as having one of the following factors: pT4 disease, fewer than twelve lymph nodes harvested (< 12 LNs), poorly differentiated histology, perineural invasion (PNI), lymphatic vascular invasion (LVI), or elevated preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). The low-risk group did not have any risk factors above. Factors associated with disease-free survival (DFS) were included in univariate and multivariate Cox analyses. RESULTS: We collected a total of 262 consecutive patients with stage II dMMR colon cancer. 179 patients (68.3%) have at least one high-risk factor. With a median follow-up of 50.1 months, the low-risk group was associated with a tended to have a better 3-year DFS than the high-risk group (96.4% vs 89.4%; P = 0.056). Both elevated preoperative CEA (HR 2.93; 95% CI 1.26-6.82; P = 0.013) and pT4 disease (HR 2.58; 95% CI 1.06-6.25; P = 0.037) were independent risk factors of recurrence. Then, the 3-year DFS was 92.6% for the surgery alone group and 88.1% for the adjuvant chemotherapy group (HR 1.64; 95% CI 0.67-4.02; P = 0.280). Furthermore, no survival benefit from oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy was observed in the high-risk group and in the subgroups with pT4 disease or < 12 LNs. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggests that not all high-risk factors have a similar impact on stage II dMMR colon cancers. Elevated preoperative CEA and pT4 tumor stage are associated with increased recurrence risk. However, oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy shows no survival benefits in stage II dMMR colon cancers, either with or without high-risk factors.

5-year follow-up results of a JCOG1104 (OPAS-1) phase III non-inferiority trial to compare 4 courses and 8 courses of S-1 adjuvant chemotherapy for pathological stage II gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy with S-1 for 1 year (corresponding to eight courses) is the standard treatment for pathological stage II gastric cancer. The phase III trial (JCOG1104) investigating the non-inferiority of four courses of S-1 to eight courses was terminated due to futility at the first interim analysis. To confirm the primary results, we reported the results after a 5-years follow-up in JCOG1104. METHODS: Patients histologically diagnosed with stage II gastric cancer after radical gastrectomy were randomly assigned to receive S-1 for eight or four courses. In detail, 80 mg/m2/day S-1 was administered for 4 weeks followed by a 2-week rest as a single course. RESULTS: Between February 16, 2012, and March 19, 2017, 590 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to 8-course (295 patients) and 4-course (295 patients) regimens. After a 5-years follow-up, the relapse-free survival at 3 years was 92.2% for the 8-course arm and 90.1% for the 4-course arm, and that at 5 years was 87.7% for the 8-course arm and 85.6% for the 4-course arm (hazard ratio 1.265, 95% CI 0.846-1.892). The overall survival at 3 years was 94.9% for the 8-course arm, 93.2% for the 4-course arm, and that at 5 years was 89.7% for the 8-course arm, and 88.6% for the 4-course arm (HR 1.121, 95% CI 0.719-1.749). CONCLUSIONS: The survival of the four-course arm was slightly but consistently inferior to that of the eight-course arm. Eight-course S-1 should thus remain the standard adjuvant chemotherapy for pathological stage II gastric cancer.

Final analyses of the prospective controlled trial on the efficacy of uracil and tegafur/leucovorin as an adjuvant treatment for stage II colon cancer with risk factors for recurrence using propensity score-based methods (JFMC46-1201).

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) has not been well established. Using propensity score matching, we previously reported that the 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate was significantly higher in patients treated with uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin (UFT/LV) against surgery alone. We report the final results, including updated 5-year overall survival (OS) rates and risk factor analysis outcomes. METHODS: In total, 1902 high-risk stage II CC patients with T4, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma/mucinous carcinoma, and/or < 12 dissected lymph nodes were enrolled in this prospective, non-randomized controlled study based on their self-selected treatment. Oral UFT/LV therapy was administered for six months after surgery. RESULTS: Of the 1880 eligible patients, 402 in Group A (surgery alone) and 804 in Group B (UFT/LV) were propensity score-matched. The 5-year DFS rate was significantly higher in Group B than in Group A (P = 0.0008). The 5-year OS rates were not significantly different between groups. The inverse probability of treatment weighting revealed significantly higher 5-year DFS (P = 0.0006) and 5-year OS (P = 0.0122) rates in group B than in group A. Multivariate analyses revealed that male sex, age ≥ 70 years, T4, < 12 dissected lymph nodes, and no adjuvant chemotherapy were significant risk factors for DFS and/or OS. CONCLUSION: The follow-up data from our prospective non-randomized controlled study revealed a considerable survival advantage in DFS offered by adjuvant chemotherapy with UFT/LV administered for six months over surgery alone in individuals with high-risk stage II CC. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Japan Registry of Clinical Trials: jRCTs031180155 (date of registration: 25/02/2019), UMIN Clinical Trials Registry: UMIN000007783 (date of registration: 18/04/2012).

Mechanism of action of montmorillonite powder on injury and repair factors in Stage II pressure ulcers in model mice.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to elucidate the therapeutic effects and underlying mechanisms of montmorillonite powder on wound healing in mice with Stage II pressure ulcers, thereby providing a robust foundation for its clinical application in the treatment of such ulcers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Sixty 8-week-old specific pathogen-free male BALB/c mice were randomly allocated into three groups: a model group (where Stage II pressure ulcers were induced using the magnet pressure method and the wounds were dressed with gauze soaked in 0.9% sodium chloride solution), a treatment group (where, following the induction of Stage II pressure ulcer models, wounds were uniformly treated with montmorillonite powder), and a control group (where magnets were placed in the same location without exerting magnetic pressure). Skin histopathology was assessed via light microscopy. Wound healing progress over various intervals was quantified utilizing Image-Pro Plus software. Histopathological alterations in the wounds were examined through hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) staining. The expression of growth factor proteins within the wound tissue was analyzed using the streptavidin-peroxidase method. Furthermore, the levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), collagen types I and III (COL-I, COL-III) proteins were quantified via Western blotting, serum concentrations of inflammatory mediators in mice were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and the levels of oxidative stress markers in wound tissues were measured using UV-visible spectrophotometry. RESULTS: The treatment group exhibited significantly reduced serum levels of interleukin-1ß, interleukin-6, and tumor necrosis factor-alpha, and elevated levels of interleukin-4 compared to the model group (p < 0.05). Additionally, the expression of transforming growth factor-beta1, basic fibroblast growth factor, epidermal growth factor, VEGF, COL-I, and COL-III proteins in wound tissues was significantly higher in the treatment group than in the model group (p < 0.05). Levels of superoxide dismutase and glutathione peroxidase in wound tissues were higher, and levels of malondialdehyde were lower in the treatment group compared to the model group (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Montmorillonite powder facilitates wound healing and augments the healing rate of Stage II pressure ulcers in model mice. Its mechanism of action is likely associated with mitigating wound inflammation, reducing oxidative stress damage, promoting angiogenesis, and enhancing the synthesis of growth factors and collagen.

Perioperative anesthetic management of patients with hypoplastic left heart syndrome undergoing the comprehensive stage II surgery-A review of 148 cases.

BACKGROUND: Patients with hypoplastic left heart syndrome undergo the comprehensive stage 2 procedure as the second stage in the hybrid approach toward Fontan circulation. The complexity of comprehensive stage 2 procedure is considered a potential limitation, and limited information is available on its anesthetic management. This study aims to address this gap. METHODS: A single-center retrospective cohort study analyzed 148 HLHS patients who underwent comprehensive stage 2 procedure, divided into Group A (stable condition, n = 116) and Group B (requiring preoperative intravenous inotropic therapy, n = 32). Demographic data, intraoperative hemodynamics, anesthetic management, and postoperative outcomes were collected. RESULTS: Etomidate (40%) was the most common induction agent, followed by esketamine (24%), midazolam (16%), and propofol (13%). Inhaled induction was rarely necessary (2%), occurring only in Group A patients. No statistical differences were found between groups for induction drug choice. Post-cardiopulmonary bypass management included moderate hypoventilation, inhaled nitric oxide (100%), and hemodynamic support with milrinone (97%) and norepinephrine (77%). Group B patients more frequently required additional levosimendan (20%) and epinephrine (18%). Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation was necessary in 8 patients (5%) with no between-group differences. Switching from fentanyl to remifentanil reduced postoperative ventilation time overall. However, Group B experienced significantly longer ventilation (6.3 vs. 3.5 h) and ICU stay (22 vs. 14 days). In-hospital mortality was 5% overall (Group A: 4%, Group B: 9%). Long-term survival analysis revealed a significant advantage for Group A. CONCLUSION: The use of short-acting opioids and adjusted ventilation modes enables optimal pulmonary blood flow and rapid transition to spontaneous breathing. Differentiated hemodynamic support with milrinone, norepinephrine, supplemented by levosimendan and epinephrine in high-risk patients, can mitigate the effects on the preoperatively volume-loaded right ventricle. However, differences in long-term survival probability were observed between groups. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Local ethics committee, Medical Faculty, Justus-Liebig-University-Giessen (Trial Code Number: 216/14).

Factors Associated with Receipt of Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Stage II Colon Cancer.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of chemotherapy in stage II colon cancer remain unclear, but it is recommended for high-risk stage II disease. Which patients receive chemotherapy and its impact on survival remains undetermined. METHODS: The National Cancer Database was surveyed between 2004 and 2016 for stage II colon cancer patients. Patients were categorized as high- or average-risk as defined by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network. The demographic characteristics of high- and average-risk patients who did and did not receive chemotherapy were compared using univariate and multivariable analyses. The survival of high- and average-risk patients was compared based on receipt of chemotherapy with Cox hazard ratios and Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: Overall, 84,424 patients met the inclusion criteria. A total of 34,868 patients were high-risk and 49,556 were average-risk. In high-risk patients, the risk factors for not receiving chemotherapy included increasing age, distance from the treatment facility, Charlson-Deyo score, and lack of insurance. In average-risk patients, factors associated with receipt of chemotherapy were decreasing age, distance from the treatment facility, Charlson-Deyo score, and non-academic association of the treatment facility. In both, chemotherapy was significantly associated with increased survival on the Kaplan-Meier curve. In the Cox hazard ratio, only high-risk patients benefited from chemotherapy (hazard ratio 1.183, confidence interval 1.116-1.254). CONCLUSIONS: Factors associated with not receiving chemotherapy in high-risk stage II colon cancers included increasing age, medical comorbidities, increasing distance from the treatment facility, and lack of insurance. Chemotherapy is associated with improved overall survival in high-risk patients.

Mortality after radiotherapy or surgery in the treatment of early-stage non-small-cell lung cancer: a population-based data analysis in the clinical cancer registry of Brandenburg-Berlin.

PURPOSE: Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) is an established treatment method with favorable toxicity for inoperable early-stage non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. This paper aims to evaluate the importance of SBRT in the treatment of early-stage lung cancer patients compared to surgery as standard of care. METHODS: The German clinical cancer register of Berlin-Brandenburg was assessed. Cases of lung cancer were considered if they had a TNM stage (clinical or pathological) of T1-T2a and N0/x and M0/x, corresponding to UICC stages I and II. In our analyses, cases diagnosed between 2000 and 2015 were included. We adjusted our models with propensity score matching. We compared patients treated with SBRT or surgery regarding age, Karnofsky performance status (KPS), sex, histological grade, and TNM classification. Further, we assessed the association of cancer-related parameters with mortality; hazard ratios (HR) from Cox proportional hazards models were computed. RESULTS: A total of 558 patients with UICC stages I and II NSCLC were analyzed. In univariate survival models, we found similar survival rates in patients who underwent radiotherapy compared with surgery (HR 1.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.56; p = 0.2). Our univariate subgroup analyses of patients > 75 years showed a statistically nonsignificant survival benefit for patients treated with SBRT (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.54-1.35; p = 0.5). Likewise, in our T1 subanalysis, survival rates were similar between the two treatment groups regarding overall survival (HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.57-2.19; p = 0.7). The availability of histological data might be slightly beneficial in terms of survival (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.68-1.15; p = 0.4). This effect was also not significant. Regarding the availability of histological status in our subgroup analyses of elderly patients, we could show similar survival rates as well (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.44-1.23; p = 0.14). T1-staged patients also had a statistically nonsignificant survival benefit if histological grading was available (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.39-1.44; p = 0.4). Concerning adjusted covariates, better KPS scores were associated with better survival in our matched univariate Cox regression models. Further, higher histological grades and TNM stages were related to a higher mortality risk. CONCLUSION: Using population-based data, we observed an almost equal survival of patients treated with SBRT compared to surgery in stage I and II lung cancer. The availability of histological status might not be decisive in treatment planning. SBRT is comparable to surgery in terms of survival.

Risk factors for postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Recurrences are the main reasons for unfavorable outcomes for patients with stage II colorectal cancer (CRC). To obtain a clear understanding of the high-risk factors, further investigation is warranted. The present study aimed to analyze the risk factors associated with postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II CRC. METHODS: Eligible patients with pathologically confirmed stage II CRC were enrolled in the study retrospectively based on a prospectively maintained database from April 2008 to March 2019. The Kaplan-Meier method were used to calculate the overall survival (OS) rate and the cumulative recurrence rate. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for recurrence. RESULTS: There were 2515 patients included, of whom 233 (9.3%) developed local or distant recurrence. Recurrence was associated with a significantly worse 5-year OS (45.4% vs. 95.5%, p < 0.0001). The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate was 13.0% in patients with stage II CRC. On multivariable Cox analysis, tumor size (Hazard Ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 1.79[1.38, 2.33]), preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA) 125 level (HR [95% CI] = 1.78[1.17, 2.70]), preoperative CA 199 level (HR [95% CI] = 1.56[1.09, 2.22]), and ulcerating tumor (HR [95% CI] = 1.61[1.19, 2.17]) were found to be associated with postoperative recurrence. Adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with a lower cumulative recurrence rate in patients with these risk factors (p = 0.00096). CONCLUSION: The tumor diameter, preoperative CA125 level, preoperative CA199 level, and an ulcerative tumor can predict postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II CRC, and postoperative chemotherapy could reduce the cumulative recurrence rate in patients with these high-risk factors.

Using oral tegafur/uracil (UFT) plus leucovorin as adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colorectal cancer: a propensity score matching study from Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Early-stage colorectal cancer had excellent outcomes after curative resection, typically. However, a perplexing survival paradox between stage II and stage III was noted. This paradox could be influenced by the administration of routine postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and the presence of high-risk factors in stage II CRC. The objective of the study was to investigate the influence of high-risk factors on patients with stage II CRC and assess the efficacy of oral tegafur/uracil (UFT) plus leucovorin as adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II CRC patients. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted using propensity score matching at a single medical institution. A total of 1544 patients with stage II colorectal cancer who underwent radical surgery between January 2004 and January 2009 were included. The intervention used was tegafur/uracil plus leucovorin as adjuvant chemotherapy. The main outcome measures were disease-free survival and overall survival. RESULTS: After propensity score matching, 261 patients were included in three groups: no-treatment, half-year treatment, and one-year treatment. The clinical characteristics of each group tended to be more consistent. The Cox proportional hazard models showed that tegafur/uracil treatment or not was a significant independent factor for oncological outcome. Kaplan-Meier analysis also showed significantly better disease-free survival and overall survival. Further investigation revealed that tegafur/uracil duration was an independent factor for oncological outcome. While the survival curve did not reach statistical significance, the one-year UFT treatment group demonstrated the best treatment trend. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that tegafur/uracil plus leucovorin is a feasible adjuvant chemotherapy regimen for patients with stage II colorectal cancer after curative surgical treatment. Prolonged tegafur/uracil plus leucovorin treatment for 12 months showed a trend towards better outcomes in patients with stage II colorectal cancer.

Size and number of lymph nodes were risk factors of recurrence in stage II colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Size and number of lymph nodes (LNs) were reported to be associated with the prognosis of stage II colorectal cancer (CRC). The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic role of the size of LNs (SLNs) measured by computer tomography (CT) and the number of retrieved LNs (NLNs) in the relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) among stage II CRC patients. METHODS: Consecutive patients diagnosed with stage II CRC at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) from January 2011 to December 2015 were reviewed, and 351 patients were randomly divided into two cohorts for cross-validation. The optimal cut-off values were obtained using X-tile program. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analyses were conducted for the two cohorts. RESULTS: Data from 351 stage II CRC patients were analyzed. The cut-off values for SLNs and NLNs were 5.8 mm and 22, respectively, determined by the X-tile in the training cohort. In the validation cohort, Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated SLNs (P = 0.0034) and NLNs (P = 0.0451) were positively correlated with RFS but not with OS. The median follow-up time in the training cohort and the validation cohort were 60.8 months and 61.0 months respectively. Univariate and multivariate analysis revealed that both SLNs (training cohort: Hazard Ratio (HR) = 2.361, 95% Confidence interval (CI): 1.044-5.338, P = 0.039; validation cohort: HR = 2.979, 95%CI: 1.435-5.184, P = 0.003) and NLNs (training cohort: HR = 0.335, 95%CI: 0.113-0.994, P = 0.049; validation cohort: HR = 0.375, 95%CI: 0.156-0.900, P = 0.021) were independent prognostic factors for RFS whereas not for OS. CONCLUSION: SLNs and NLNs are independent prognostic factors for patients with stage II CRC. Patients with SLNs > 5.8 mm and NLNs ≤ 22 are apt to have higher risk of recurrence.

Impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on long-term overall survival in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on long-term survival in unselected patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer including an analysis of each high-risk feature. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from the Danish Colorectal Cancer Group, the National Patient Registry and the Danish Pathology Registry from 2014 to 2018 were merged. Patients surviving > 90 days were included. High-risk features were defined as emergency presentation, including self-expanding metal stents (SEMS)/loop-ostomy as a bridge to resection, grade B or C anastomotic leakage, pT4 tumors, lymph node yield < 12 or signet cell carcinoma. Eligibility criteria for chemotherapy were age < 75 years, proficient MMR gene expression, and performance status ≤ 2. The primary outcome was 5-year overall survival. Secondary outcomes included the proportion of eligible patients allocated for adjuvant chemotherapy and the time to first administration. RESULTS: In total 939 of 3937 patients with stage II colon cancer had high-risk features, of whom 408 were eligible for chemotherapy. 201 (49.3%) patients received adjuvant chemotherapy, with a median time to first administration of 35 days after surgery. The crude 5-year overall survival was 84.9% in patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy compared with 66.3% in patients not receiving chemotherapy, p < 0.001. This association corresponded to an absolute risk difference of 14%. CONCLUSION: 5-year overall survival was significantly higher in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer treated with adjuvant chemotherapy compared with no chemotherapy. Adjuvant treatment was given to less than half of the patients who were eligible for it.

Copy-number intratumor heterogeneity as high-risk feature of stage II colon cancer†.

Overall, the prognosis of patients suffering from stage II colon cancer is relatively favorable. However, a proportion of patients develop a recurrence following surgery. Clinical and histopathological properties that identify high-risk patients are of limited value and better biomarkers are urgently required. In a recent issue of The Journal of Pathology, Lahoz et al proposed that copy-number-based biomarkers could be employed for patient stratification. The authors studied copy-number alterations (CNAs) at the genomic scale by measuring the total CNA load (the aberrant genome fraction), and at a smaller scale by identifying common arm- or cytoband-level alterations. Both the overall CNA load and specific chromosomal regions were associated with an increased risk of recurrence. Most interestingly, it was demonstrated that copy-number intratumor heterogeneity, as defined by subclonal CNAs, is associated with poor disease outcome. This study demonstrates that structural genomic aberrations are promising biomarkers for patient stratification in early colon cancer. © 2022 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Copy-number intratumor heterogeneity increases the risk of relapse in chemotherapy-naive stage II colon cancer.

Optimal selection of high-risk patients with stage II colon cancer is crucial to ensure clinical benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy. Here, we investigated the prognostic value of genomic intratumor heterogeneity and aneuploidy for disease recurrence. We combined targeted sequencing, SNP arrays, fluorescence in situ hybridization, and immunohistochemistry on a retrospective cohort of 84 untreated stage II colon cancer patients. We assessed the clonality of copy-number alterations (CNAs) and mutations, CD8+ lymphocyte infiltration, and their association with time to recurrence. Prognostic factors were included in machine learning analysis to evaluate their ability to predict individual relapse risk. Tumors from recurrent patients displayed a greater proportion of CNAs compared with non-recurrent (mean 31.3% versus 23%, respectively; p = 0.014). Furthermore, patients with elevated tumor CNA load exhibited a higher risk of recurrence compared with those with low levels [p = 0.038; hazard ratio (HR) 2.46], which was confirmed in an independent cohort (p = 0.004; HR 3.82). Candidate chromosome-specific aberrations frequently observed in recurrent cases included gain of the chromosome arm 13q (p = 0.02; HR 2.67) and loss of heterozygosity at 17q22-q24.3 (p = 0.05; HR 2.69). CNA load positively correlated with intratumor heterogeneity (R = 0.52; p < 0.0001). Consistently, incremental subclonal CNAs were associated with an elevated risk of relapse (p = 0.028; HR 2.20), which we did not observe for subclonal single-nucleotide variants and small insertions and deletions. The clinico-genomic model rated an area under the curve of 0.83, achieving a 10% incremental gain compared with clinicopathological markers (p = 0.047). In conclusion, tumor aneuploidy and copy-number intratumor heterogeneity were predictive of poor outcome and improved discriminative performance in early-stage colon cancer. © 2022 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Adjuvant chemotherapy decision-making in stage II colon adenocarcinoma associated with patients' age and high-risk factors.

PURPOSE: To clarify whether the combination of age and high-risk factors (HRFs) was preferable for adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) decision-making in patients with stage II colon adenocarcinoma. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study analyzing eligible colon cancer patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2017. A nomogram was used to predict patient prognosis. Decision curve analysis (DCA) predicted model clinical benefit. Restricted cubic spline calculated the optimal cut-off value. RESULTS: A total of 8570 patients with stage II colon adenocarcinoma were included in this study; 25.2% received AC. A nomogram predicting the prognosis of patients with stage II colon adenocarcinoma was constructed with age and HRFs, and scores were assigned to the relevant variables. DCA showed that age combined with HRFs was superior to treatment decision-making based on HRFs alone. Patients were grouped according to their total score with the cut-off value of 100. AC did not significantly improve overall survival (OS) in low-score group (hazard ratios (HRs) 1.01, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) 0.86-1.18, p = 0.918). In high-score group, AC improved 5-year OS by about 7.6% (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.61-0.88, p = 0.001). And high-score group mainly included patients aged < 50 years with two or more HRFs and patients aged ≥ 50 years with at least one HRF. CONCLUSION: Age and HRFs could be preferable for determining the group of stage II colon adenocarcinoma patients who would benefit from AC. Patients aged < 50 years with two or more HRFs might be a potential benefit population for AC.

Prognostic factors in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer after curative resection: a post hoc analysis of the JFMC46-1201 trial.

PURPOSE: The goal of the current study was to identify prognostic factors for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in high-risk stage II colon cancer. METHODS: The subjects were patients with histologically confirmed stage II colon cancer undergoing R0 resection who met at least one of the following criteria: T4, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, mucinous carcinoma, and < 12 examined lymph nodes. Patients self-selected surgery alone or a 6-month oral uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin (UFT/LV) regimen. Serum CEA mRNA at ≥ 24 h after surgery and < 2 weeks after registration was also examined as a potential prognostic factor for stage II colon cancer. This study is registered with UMIN-CTR (protocol ID: UMIN000007783). RESULTS: 1880 were included in the analysis to identify prognostic factors for DFS and OS in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer. In multivariate analyses, gender, depth of tumor invasion, extent of lymph node dissection, number of examined lymph nodes, and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (POAC) emerged as significant independent prognostic factors for DFS. Similarly, multivariate analysis showed that age, gender, depth of tumor invasion, perforation/penetration, extent of lymph node dissection, number of examined lymph nodes, and POAC were significant independent prognostic factors for OS. Univariate analyses showed no significant difference in DFS or OS for CEA mRNA-positive and mRNA-negative cases. CONCLUSION: This study showed that gender, depth of tumor invasion, extent of lymph node dissection, number of examined lymph nodes, and lack of use of POAC were significant independent prognostic factors in stage II colon cancer.

Implication of perineural invasion in patients with stage II gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Perineural invasion (PNI) is regarded as a prognostic factor for patients with GC. However, the significance of PNI in patients with stage II GC remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the clinical implication of PNI in patients with stage II GC undergoing curative resection. METHODS: Patients with stage II GC who underwent curative resection were retrospectively evaluated from January 2010 to July 2019. According to PNI status, all patients were divided into two groups: with or without PNI. The prognostic value of PNI was analyzed by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: A total of 233 patients were included in this study. There were 100 patients with PNI (42.92%) and 133 patients without PNI (57.08%). The overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates for patients with PNI were significantly lower than that for patients without PNI (p = 0.019 and p = 0.032, respectively). Multivariate analysis indicated that the presence of PNI was an independent risk factor for OS (hazard ratio (HR): 1.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-3.06, p = 0.044) and DFS (HR: 1.70, 95% CI 1.04-2.80, p = 0.035), while adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) was an independent protective factor for OS (HR: 0.51, 95% CI 0.30-0.88, p = 0.016) and DFS (HR: 0.52, 95% CI 0.31-0.86, p = 0.011). Furthermore, among patients with PNI, those who received AC had better OS (p = 0.022) and DFS (p = 0.027) than their counterparts. When patients with PNI received AC, the OS (p = 0.603) and DFS (p = 0.745) appeared to be similar to those without PNI and no AC. CONCLUSION: In patients with stage II GC undergoing curative resection, the presence of PNI was associated with worse survival, which appeared to improve with the treatment of AC, indicating a potential need for more intensive AC.

The T-CEA score: a useful prognostic indicator based on postoperative CEA and pathological T4 levels for patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE: To investigate a prognostic score for stage II-III colorectal cancer (CRC) based on post-CEA and pT4 levels. METHODS: Two cohorts of stage II-III CRC patients who underwent curative surgery between 2011 and 2017 were included. The prognostic score (T-CEA score) was calculated as follows: T-CEA-0, post-CEA ≤ 5 ng/mL and pT1-3; T-CEA-1, post-CEA > 5 ng/mL or pT4; T-CEA-2, post-CEA > 5 ng/mL and pT4. RESULTS: The T-CEA scores of the 587 patients were as follows: T-CEA-0 (n = 436; 74%), T-CEA-1 (n = 129; 22%), and T-CEA-2 (n = 10; 2%). The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates of the T-CEA-0, 1, and 2 groups were 80.3%, 54.8%, and 0%, respectively (P < 0.01), and the 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 90.9%, 74.2%, and 0%, respectively (T-CEA-0 vs T-CEA-1: P < 0.01, T-CEA-1 vs T-CEA-2: P = 0.04). Multivariate analysis revealed that an elevated T-CEA score of 1 or 2 was a significant risk factor for poor RFS (HR: 2.89, P < 0.01) and OS (HR: 2.85, P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: The T-CEA score is a reliable and convenient prognostic score for stage II-III CRC.

Predictive modelling for high-risk stage II colon cancer using auto-artificial intelligence.

BACKGROUND: Recently, stratification of high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) and the need for adjuvant chemotherapy have been the focus of attention. The aim of this retrospective study was to define high-risk factors for recurrent stage II CC using Prediction One auto-artificial intelligence (AI) software and develop a new predictive model for high-risk stage II CC. METHODS: The study included 259 consecutive pathological stage II CC patients undergoing curative resection at our institution between January 2000 and December 2016. Prediction One software with five-fold cross-validation was used to create a predictive model and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Predictive accuracy of AI was evaluated using the area under the ROC curve (AUC). We also evaluated the importance of variables (IOV) using a method based on permutation feature importance (IOV > 0.01 defined high-risk factors) to evaluate disease-free survival (DFS). RESULTS: The median observation period was 6.1 (range = 0.3-15.8) years. Thirty-seven patients had recurrence (14.3%); the AUC of the AI model was 0.775. Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen > 5.0 ng/mL (IOV = 0.047), venous invasion (IOV = 0.014), and obstruction (IOV = 0.012) were high-risk factors contributing to cancer recurrence. Patients with 2-3 high-risk factors had lower 5-year DFS than those with 0-1 factor (87.4% vs 62.7%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We developed a new predictive model that could predict recurrent high-risk stage II CC with high probability using auto-AI Prediction One software. Patients with ≥ 2 of the aforementioned factors are considered to have high risks for recurrent stage II CC and may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Risk factors for recurrence in elderly patients with stage II colorectal cancer: a multicenter retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) is considered appropriate for patients with risk factors for recurrence, rather than for all patients uniformly. However, the risk factors for recurrence remain controversial, and there is limited information, especially for elderly patients. The Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) is widely used as a simple nutritional screening tool in the elderly and is associated with cancer prognosis and recurrence. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for recurrence in the elderly with stage II CRC, focusing on the GNRI. METHODS: We enrolled 348 elderly patients (≥ 75 years) with stage II CRC who underwent curative resection at the Department of Surgery, Tottori University and our 10 affiliated institutions. The patients were divided into GNRIhigh (≥ 93.465) and GNRIlow (< 93.465) groups. RESULTS: The GNRIlow group showed a significantly worse overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and relapse-free survival (RFS) (P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001, respectively). In a multivariate analysis, GNRIlow (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.244, P < 0.001), pathologic T4 stage (HR: 1.658, P = 0.014), and moderate to severe lymphatic or venous invasion (HR: 1.460, P = 0.033) were independent factors affecting RFS. By using these three factors to score the risk of recurrence from 0 to 3 points, the prognosis was significantly stratified in terms of OS, CSS, and RFS (P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001, respectively). The recurrence rate for each score was as follows: 0 points, 9.8%; 1 point, 22.0%; 2 points, 37.3%; and 3 points, 61.9%. CONCLUSIONS: GNRIlow, pathologic T4 stage, and moderate to severe lymphatic or venous invasion are high-risk factors for recurrence in the elderly with stage II CRC. The scoring system using these three factors appropriately predicted their recurrence and outcome.