Prognostic Factors for Early Recurrence After Resection of Pancreatic Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: More than half of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs) recur within 12 months after curative-intent resection. This systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to identify all reported prognostic factors for early recurrence in resected PDACs. METHODS: After a systematic literature search, a meta-analysis was conducted using a random effects model. Separate analyses were performed for adjusted vs unadjusted effect estimates as well as reported odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs). Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies tool, and evidence was rated according to Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation recommendations. RESULTS: After 2903 abstracts were screened, 65 studies were included. Of these, 28 studies (43.1%) defined early recurrence as evidence of recurrence within 6 months, whereas 34 (52.3%) defined it as evidence of recurrence within 12 months after surgery. Other definitions were uncommon. Analysis of unadjusted ORs and HRs revealed 41 and 5 prognostic factors for early recurrence within 6 months, respectively. When exclusively considering adjusted data, we identified 25 and 10 prognostic factors based on OR and HR, respectively. Using a 12-month definition, we identified 38 (OR) and 15 (HR) prognostic factors from unadjusted data and 38 (OR) and 30 (HR) prognostic factors from adjusted data, respectively. On the basis of frequency counts of adjusted data, preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9, N status, nondelivery of adjuvant therapy, grading, and tumor size based on imaging were identified as key prognostic factors for early recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Reported prognostic factors of early recurrence vary considerably. Identified key prognostic factors could aid in the development of a risk stratification framework for early recurrence. However, prospective validation is necessary.

Proteomic Analysis Identifies GSN as a Noninvasive Circulating Serum Biomarker for Predicting Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is susceptible to early recurrence, but it lacks effective predictive biomarkers. In this study, we retrospectively selected 179 individuals as a discovery cohort (126 HCC patients and 53 liver cirrhosis (LC) patients) for screening candidate serum biomarkers of early recurrence based on data independent acquisition-mass spectrometry strategy. And then, the candidate biomarkers were validated in an additional independent cohort with 192 individuals (142 HCC patients and 50 LC patients) using parallel reaction monitoring targeted quantitative techniques (PXD047852). Eventually, we validated that gelsolin (GSN) concentrations were significantly lower in HCC than in LC (p < 0.0001), patients with low GSN concentrations had a poor prognosis (p < 0.0001), and GSN concentrations were significantly lower in early recurrence HCC than in late recurrence HCC (p < 0.0001). These trends were also observed in alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-negative HCC patients. The area under the curve of machine-learning-based predictive model (GSN and microvascular invasion) for predicting early recurrence risk reached 0.803 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.786-0.820) and maintained the same efficacy in AFP-negative patients. In conclusion, GSN is a novel serum biomarker for early recurrence of HCC. The model could provide timely warning to HCC patients at high risk of recurrence.

Early versus Late Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Microwave Ablation: Patterns, Treatments, and Post-Recurrence Survival.

INTRODUCTION: Recurrence after microwave ablation (MWA) has not been extensively studied. We aimed to investigate the patterns, treatments, and survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who experienced early and late recurrence after MWA. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with HCC recurrence after MWA as the initial treatment from January 2008 to December 2021. Recurrence patterns, treatments, and outcomes between patients with early and late HCC recurrence were compared. Prognostic factors of post-recurrence survival (PRS) were identified by multivariable Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Among 222 patients, 128 developed early recurrence (≤2 years after MWA) and 94 had late recurrence (>2 years). Majority of the recurrent HCC were intrahepatic-only recurrence, within the Milan criteria, and received potentially curative treatment. No significant differences in the recurrence patterns, vascular invasion, tumor staging, post-recurrence treatments, or median PRS (35.0 vs. 33.0 months, p = 0.523) were identified between patients with early and late recurrence. Multivariable analyses suggested that multiple tumor number (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.54; 95% CI: 1.03-2.30, p = 0.038), extrahepatic recurrence (HR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.16-3.92, p = 0.015), vascular invasion (HR: 2.37, 95% CI: 1.18-4.76, p = 0.038), and higher ALBI grade (HR: 2.18, 95% CI: 1.54-3.08, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors of worse PRS, while curative treatment after recurrence (HR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.38-0.92, p = 0.020) was associated with better PRS. CONCLUSIONS: No differences in recurrence patterns, post-recurrence treatments, or PRS were found between HCC patients with early and late recurrence following MWA. Tumor burden and patients' liver function reserve should be considered to decide the optimal post-recurrence treatment after MWA.

The role of adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization following repeated curative resection/ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma with early recurrence: a propensity score matching analysis.

BACKGROUND: The role of adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) following repeated resection/ablation for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains uncertain. The aim of this study was to assess the effectiveness of adjuvant TACE following repeated resection or ablation in patients with early recurrent HCC. METHODS: Information for patients who underwent repeated surgery or radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for early recurrent HCCs (< 2 years) at our institution from January 2017 to December 2020 were collected. Patients were divided into adjuvant TACE and observation groups according to whether they received adjuvant TACE or not. The recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between the two groups before and after propensity score matching (PSM). RESULTS: Of the 225 patients enrolled, the median time of HCC recurrence was 11 months (IQR, 6-16 months). After repeated surgery or radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for recurrent tumors, 45 patients (20%) received adjuvant TACE while the remaining 180 (80%) didn't. There were no significant differences in RFS (P = 0.325) and OS (P = 0.072) between adjuvant TACE and observation groups before PSM. There were also no significant differences in RFS (P = 0.897) and OS (P = 0.090) between the two groups after PSM. Multivariable analysis suggested that multiple tumors, liver cirrhosis, and RFA were independent risk factors for the re-recurrence of HCC. CONCLUSION: Adjuvant TACE after repeated resection or ablation for early recurrent HCCs was not associated with a long-term survival benefit in this single-center cohort.

Nomograms established for predicting microvascular invasion and early recurrence in patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: In this study, we aimed to establish nomograms to predict the microvascular invasion (MVI) and early recurrence in patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma (SHCC), thereby guiding individualized treatment strategies for prognosis improvement. METHODS: This study retrospectively analyzed 326 SHCC patients who underwent radical resection at Wuhan Union Hospital between April 2017 and January 2022. They were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a 7:3 ratio. The preoperative nomogram for MVI was constructed based on univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, and the prognostic nomogram for early recurrence was constructed based on univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. We used the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, area under the curves (AUCs), and calibration curves to estimate the predictive accuracy and discriminability of nomograms. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were employed to further confirm the clinical effectiveness of nomograms. RESULTS: The AUCs of the preoperative nomogram for MVI on the training set and validation set were 0.749 (95%CI: 0.684-0.813) and 0.856 (95%CI: 0.805-0.906), respectively. For the prognostic nomogram, the AUCs of 1-year and 2-year RFS respectively reached 0.839 (95%CI: 0.775-0.903) and 0.856 (95%CI: 0.806-0.905) in the training set, and 0.808 (95%CI: 0.719-0.896) and 0.874 (95%CI: 0.804-0.943) in the validation set. Subsequent calibration curves, DCA analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival curves demonstrated the high accuracy and efficacy of the nomograms for clinical application. CONCLUSIONS: The nomograms we constructed could effectively predict MVI and early recurrence in SHCC patients, providing a basis for clinical decision-making.

Prognostic factors associated with early recurrence following liver resection for colorectal liver metastases: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the 3rd most common malignancy with the liver being the most common site of metastases. The recurrence rate of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) after liver resection (LR) is notably high, with an estimated 40% of patients experiencing recurrence within 6 months. In this context, we conducted a meta-analysis to synthesize and evaluate the reliability of evidence pertaining to prognostic factors associated with early recurrence (ER) in CRLM following LR. METHODS: Systematic searches were conducted from the inception of databases to July 14, 2023, to identify studies reporting prognostic factors associated with ER. The Quality in Prognostic Factor Studies (QUIPS) tool was employed to assess risk-of-bias for included studies. Meta-analysis was then performed on these prognostic factors, summarized by forest plots. The grading of evidence was based on sample size, heterogeneity, and Egger's P value. RESULTS: The study included 24 investigations, comprising 12705 individuals, during an accrual period that extended from 2007 to 2023. In the evaluation of risk-of-bias, 22 studies were rated as low/moderate risk, while two studies were excluded because of high risk. Most of the studies used a postoperative interval of 6 months to define ER, with 30.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 24.1-36.4%) of the patients experiencing ER following LR. 21 studies were pooled for meta-analysis. High-quality evidence showed that poor differentiation of CRC, larger and bilobar-distributed liver metastases, major hepatectomy, positive surgical margins, and postoperative complications were associated with an elevated risk of ER. Additionally, moderate-quality evidence suggested that elevated levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA199), lymph node metastases (LNM) of CRC, and a higher number of liver metastases were risk factors for ER. CONCLUSION: This review has the potential to enhance the efficacy of surveillance strategies, refine prognostic assessments, and guide judicious treatment decisions for CRLM patients with high risk of ER. Additionally, it is essential to undertake well-designed prospective investigations to examine additional prognostic factors and develop salvage therapeutic approaches for ER of CRLM.

Recurrence pattern and its risk factors in patients with resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma - A retrospective analysis of 272 patients.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate the patterns of recurrence and their associated risk factors in patients who underwent resection for pancreatic carcinoma. METHODS: This retrospective study included 272 patients, who underwent Ro/R1-resection of PDAC from 2005 to 2020 at the University Hospital Erlangen. Risk factors for different recurrence patterns and the prognostic value of recurrence pattern on the overall survival after recurrence were evaluated. RESULTS: 61 % of the patients experienced recurrence, mostly within the first 12 postoperative months (62 %) and in the form of metastases (87 %). The median overall survival from recurrence was 9.2 months. The preoperative absence of diabetes and the presence of lymph node metastasis were independent risk factors for recurrence and a preoperative CA19-9 exceeding 97 U/ml for early recurrence. Additionally, lymph node metastases were associated with a higher risk of metastatic recurrence. Early recurrence, but not the site of recurrence, was identified as an independent prognostic factor for worse overall survival from recurrence. CONCLUSION: The occurrence of recurrence and especially of early and metastatic recurrence are associated with a worse overall survival. Patients lacking preoperative diabetes, having high preoperative CA19-9 values and lymph node metastases are particularly at risk for (early) recurrence.

MRI-based prediction of the need for wide resection margins in patients with single hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: To develop an MRI-based score that enables individualized predictions of the survival benefit of wide over narrow resection margins. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This single-center retrospective study (December 2011 to May 2022) included consecutive patients who underwent curative-intent resection for single Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) 0/A HCC and preoperative contrast-enhanced MRI. In patients with narrow resection margins, preoperative demographic, laboratory, and MRI variables independently associated with early recurrence-free survival (RFS) were identified using Cox regression analyses, which were employed to develop a predictive score (named "MARGIN"). Survival outcomes were compared between wide and narrow resection margins in a propensity-score matched cohort for the score-stratified low- and high-risk groups, respectively. RESULTS: Four hundred nineteen patients (median age, 54 years; 361 men) were included, 282 (67.3%) undergoing narrow resection margins. In patients with narrow resection margins, age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) > 400 ng/mL, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) > 200 mAU/mL, radiological involvement of liver capsule, and infiltrative appearance were associated with early RFS (p values, 0.002-0.04) and formed the MARGIN score with a testing dataset C-index of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.65-0.84). In the matched cohort, wide resection margin was associated with improved early RFS rate for the high-risk group (MARGIN score ≥ - 1.3; 71.1% vs 41.0%; p = 0.02), but not for the low-risk group (MARGIN score < - 1.3; 79.7% vs 76.1%; p = 0.36). CONCLUSION: In patients with single BCLC 0/A HCC, the MARGIN score may serve as promising decision-making to indicate the need for wide resection margins. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The MARGIN score has the potential to identify patients who would benefit more from wide resection margins than narrow resection margins, improving the postoperative survival of patients with single BCLC 0/A hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). KEY POINTS: Age, AFP, PIVKA-II, radiological involvement of liver capsule, and infiltrative appearance were associated with early RFS and formed the MARGIN score. The MARGIN score achieved a testing dataset C-index of 0.75. Wide resection margins were associated with improved early RFS for the high-risk group, but not for the low-risk group.

The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio is a complementary prognostic factor to tumor markers in predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy.

BACKGROUND: The usefulness of inflammation-based prognostic scores for early recurrence (ER) after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma has rarely been reported. This study aimed to evaluate the potential of inflammation-based prognostic scores as predictors of ER and their relationship with tumor markers. METHODS: We enrolled 338 patients who underwent hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma between January 2007 and December 2021. Clinicopathological factors were compared between patients who developed ER (ER group) and those who did not develop ER (non-ER group). The association between inflammation-based prognostic scores and ER status was evaluated. These scores were compared with those of well-established tumor markers. RESULTS: The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) correlated with ER of hepatocellular carcinoma, with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.70, sensitivity of 68.1%, and specificity of 67.7%. In patients with low tumor marker levels, the PLR showed a strong correlation with ER of hepatocellular carcinoma, with an AUC value of 0.851, sensitivity of 100%, and specificity of 76.2%. Multivariate analysis revealed that the PLR was an independent prognostic factor for ER. CONCLUSIONS: The PLR is useful and complementary to tumor markers for predicting ER after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Radiofrequency Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation Patients on Hemodialysis (From the Kansai Plus Atrial Fibrillation Registry)　- Clinical Impact of Early Recurrence.

BACKGROUND: Catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients on hemodialysis (HD) is reported to have a high risk of late recurrence (LR). However, the relationship between early recurrence (ER) within a 90-day blanking period after CA in AF patients and LR in HD patients remains unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of the 5,010 patients in the Kansai Plus Atrial Fibrillation Registry, 5,009 were included in the present study. Of these patients, 4,942 were not on HD (non-HD group) and 67 were on HD (HD group). HD was an independent risk factor for LR after the initial CA (adjusted hazard ratio 1.6; 95% confidence interval 1.1-2.2; P=0.01). In patients with ER, the rate of sinus rhythm maintenance at 3 years after the initial CA was significantly lower in the HD than non-HD group (11.4% vs. 35.4%, respectively; log-rank P=0.004). However, in patients without ER, there was no significant difference in the rate of sinus rhythm maintenance at 3 years between the HD and non-HD groups (67.7% vs. 74.5%, respectively; log-rank P=0.62). CONCLUSIONS: ER in HD patients was a strong risk factor for LR. However, even HD patients could expect a good outcome without ER after the initial CA.

Optimal treatment strategy and prognostic analysis of salvage liver transplantation for patients with early hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after hepatectomy.

AIM: We aimed to investigate the prognostic factors for salvage liver transplant in patients with early hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after hepatectomy. METHODS: This retrospective analysis included 53 patients who underwent salvage living-donor liver transplantation between January 2007 and January 2018. There were 24 and 29 patients in the early (recurrence ≤24 months after primary liver resection) and the late recurrence groups, respectively. RESULTS: In the multivariate Cox regression model, pre-liver transplant downstaging therapy, early recurrence (ER) after primary liver resection , and recurrence-to-liver-transplant ≥12 months were independent risks to predict recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after salvage living-donor liver transplantation. Compared with the late recurrence group, the ER group showed lower disease-free survival rates (p < 0.001); however, the overall survival rates did not differ between the two groups (p = 0.355). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year disease-free survival rates were 83.3%, 70.6%, and 66.2%, and 96.0%, 91.6%, and 91.6% in the early and late recurrence groups, respectively. When stratified by recurrence-to-liver transplant time and pre-liver transplant downstaging therapy in the ER group, disease-free survival and overall survival rates were significantly different. CONCLUSION: ER after primary liver resection with advanced tumor status and a longer period of recurrence-to-liver-transplant (≥12 months) have a negative impact on salvage liver transplant. Our findings provide novel recommendations for treatment strategies and eligibility for salvage liver transplant candidates.

Risk factors for early recurrence after radical gastrectomy followed by adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II or III gastric cancer: a multicenter, retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Radical gastrectomy followed by adjuvant chemotherapy is the standard treatment for stage II or III gastric cancer in Asian countries. Early recurrence during or after adjuvant chemotherapy is associated with poor prognosis; however, risk factors for early recurrence remain unclear. METHODS: In this multicenter, retrospective cohort study including six institutions, we evaluated the clinicopathological factors of 553 patients with gastric cancer undergoing gastrectomy followed by adjuvant chemotherapy between 2012 and 2016. Patients were divided into the following groups: early recurrence (recurrence during adjuvant chemotherapy or within 6 months after adjuvant chemotherapy completion) and non-early recurrence, which was further divided into late recurrence and no recurrence. Early-recurrence risk factors were investigated using multivariate Cox proportional hazard model. The chronological changes in the recurrence hazard were also examined for each factor. RESULTS: Early recurrence and late recurrence occurred in 83 (15.0%) and 73 (13.2%) patients, respectively. Based on the Cox proportional hazards model, a postoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen level of ≥5 ng/mL (hazard ratio: 2.220, 95% confidence interval: 1.089-4.526) and a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio of >1.8 (hazard ratio: 2.408, 95% confidence interval: 1.479-3.92) were identified as independent risk factors of early recurrence, but not late recurrence. The recurrence hazard ratios for neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio significantly decreased over time (P < 0.001) and carcinoembryonic antigen also had the same tendency (P = 0.08). CONCLUSIONS: A carcinoembryonic antigen level of ≥5 ng/mL and a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio of >1.8 are predictors of early recurrence after radical gastrectomy and adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II or III gastric cancer.

A simple model to predict early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver resection.

PURPOSE: Multiple studies have reported models for predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver resection (LR). However, these models are too complex to use in daily practice. We aimed to develop a simple model. METHOD: We enrolled 1133 patients with newly diagnosed HCC undergoing LR. The Kaplan - Meier method and log-rank test were used for survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards analysis to identify prognostic factors associated with early recurrence (i.e., recurrence within two years after LR). RESULTS: Early recurrence was identified in 403 (35.1%) patients. In multivariate analysis, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) 20-399 vs. < 20 ng/ml (HR = 1.282 [95% confidence interval = 1.002-1.639]; p = 0.048); AFP ≥ 400 vs. < 20 ng/ml (HR = 1.755 [1.382-2.229]; p < 0.001); 7th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage 2 vs. 1 (HR = 1.958 [1.505-2.547]; p < 0.001); AJCC stage 3 vs. 1 (HR = 4.099 [3.043-5.520]; p < 0.001); and pathology-defined cirrhosis (HR = 1.46 [1.200-1.775]; p < 0.001) were associated with early recurrence. We constructed a predictive model with these variables, which provided three risk strata for recurrence-free survival (RFS): low risk, intermediate risk, and high risk, with two-year RFS of 79%, 57%, and 35%, respectively (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We developed a simple model to predict early recurrence risk for patients undergoing LR for HCC.

Predictors for early recurrence beyond up-to-7 or distant metastasis after hepatocellular carcinoma resection: proposal for borderline resectable HCC.

BACKGROUND: The recurrence rate after curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) reaches over 70% after 5 years and early recurrence (within 1 year) is now recognized as having a poor prognosis and has limited treatment options. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 184 consecutive patients who underwent curative hepatic resection for HCC. Severe early recurrence was defined as multiple (beyond up-to-7) liver recurrence or distant metastasis after hepatic resection within 1 year. We divided the participants into two groups according to severe early recurrence and analyzed clinicopathological and long-term outcomes. RESULTS: Among the patients with multiple or distant metastasis (n = 59), 49 patients (83%) had recurrence within 1 year. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were significantly worse in the severe early recurrence group than in the others group. Logistic regression analysis revealed that severe early recurrence was significantly associated with macroscopic vascular invasion (MVI), tumor burden score (TBS) > 4.70, and ALBI grade 2. In patients with scores of 2 and 3 (the sum of the three factors), OS and RFS rates were significantly poorer than those of patients with scores of 0 or 1. Positive predictive value and negative predictive value for severe early recurrence was 68.4% and 84.2%, respectively. Furthermore, a validation study demonstrated that cases with these factors were at high risk of severe early recurrence and had poor prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective analysis, MVI, TBS, and ALBI could predict severe early recurrence after hepatic resection for HCC, and patients with these risk factors had a poor prognosis.

Development and validation of nomogram for predicting early recurrence after radical gastrectomy of gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: After radical surgery, early detection of recurrence and metastasis is a crucial factor in enhancing the prognosis and survival of patients with gastric cancer (GC). Therefore, assessing the risk of recurrence in gastric cancer patients and determining the timing for postoperative recurrence is crucial. METHODS: The clinicopathological data of 521 patients with recurrent gastric cancer, who underwent radical gastrectomy at Zhejiang Cancer Hospital between January 2010 and January 2017, were retrospectively analyzed. These patients were randomly divided into two groups: a training group (n = 365) and a validation group (n = 156). In the training set, patients were further categorized into early recurrence (n = 263) and late recurrence (n = 102) groups based on a 2-year boundary. Comparative analyses of clinicopathological features and prognoses were conducted between these two groups. Subsequently, a nomogram for predicting early recurrence was developed and validated. RESULTS: In this study, the developed nomogram incorporated age, serous infiltration, lymph node metastasis, recurrence mode, and the tumour marker CA19-9. In the training cohort, the area under the curve (AUC value) was 0.739 (95% CI, 0.682-0.798), with a corresponding C-index of 0.739. This nomogram was subsequently validated in an independent validation cohort, yielding an AUC of 0.743 (95% CI, 0.652-0.833) and a C-index of 0.743. Furthermore, independent risk factors for prognosis were identified, including age, absence of postoperative chemotherapy, early recurrence, lymph node metastasis, abdominal metastasis, and vascular cancer embolus. CONCLUSION: Independent risk factors for gastric cancer recurrence following radical surgery were utilized to construct a nomogram for predicting early relapse. This nomogram effectively assesses the risk of recurrence, aids in treatment decision-making and follow-up planning in clinical settings, and demonstrated strong performance in the validation cohort.

Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer as a novel predictor of early recurrence after resection for hepatocellular carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) frequently recurs after radical resection, resulting in a poor prognosis. This study assessed the prognostic value of Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) for early recurrence (ER) in patients with HCC. METHODS: Patients who underwent radical resection for HCC between 2015 and 2021. HCC recurrence within one year after curative resection was defined as ER. RESULTS: The 150 patients were divided into two groups: non-ER (116, 77.3%) and ER (34, 22.7%). The ER group had a lower overall survival rate (p < 0.0001) and significantly higher levels of M2BPGi (1.06 vs. 2.74 COI, p < 0.0001) than the non-ER group. High M2BPGi levels (odds ratio [OR] 1.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.31-2.41, p < 0.0001) and a large tumor size (OR 1.31, 95% CI, 1.05-1.63; p = 0.0184) were identified as independent predictors of ER. M2BPGi was the best predictor of ER according to a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis (area under the ROC curve 0.82, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: M2BPGi can predict ER after surgery and is useful for risk stratification in patients with HCC.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: CEUS characteristics are correlated with pathological findings and help predict early recurrence after resection.

OBJECTIVES: To identify characteristics of preoperative contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) that could predict early recurrence after curative resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). METHODS: From January 2017 to September 2022, a total of 110 patients with PDAC (all confirmed by samples obtained via operation) who underwent CEUS within 1 month before surgery were enrolled. We proposed five CEUS enhancement patterns (Pattern I, homogeneous enhancement; Pattern II, heterogeneous enhancement without cystic components; pattern III, ring enhancement; Pattern IV, starry enhancement; Pattern V, heterogeneous enhancement with cystic components) of PDAC. Clinical-pathologic and CEUS characteristics for predicting early recurrence (recurrence within 1 year after curative resection) were analyzed. Important CEUS characteristics were compared with the pathological findings. RESULTS: Tumor size and TNM stage were closely associated with early recurrence. Incomplete-enhancement and enhancement pattern III, IV and V at CEUS imaging were more prone to early recurrence. Incomplete-enhancement lesions had higher histological tumor grades, less frequent remaining acini, and more frequent necrosis within the tumor. PDACs with pattern I and II had lower histological tumor grades, and pattern III, IV and V had higher histological tumor grades. PDACs with pattern I, II and IV had less frequent intratumoral necrosis than PDACs with pattern III and V, and PDACs with pattern IV had lower MVD values. CONCLUSIONS: PDACs with incomplete enhancement and enhancement pattern III, IV and V were more prone to early recurrence after attempted curative resection, and these important CEUS characteristics were closely related to the pathological findings of PDAC.

Afterglow/Photothermal Bifunctional Polymeric Nanoparticles for Precise Postbreast-Conserving Surgery Adjuvant Therapy and Early Recurrence Theranostic.

Adjuvant whole-breast radiotherapy is essential for breast cancer patients who adopted breast-conserving surgery (BCS) to reduce the risk of local recurrences, which however suffer from large-area and highly destructive ionizing radiation-induced adverse events. To tackle this issue, an afterglow/photothermal bifunctional polymeric nanoparticle (APPN) is developed that utilizes nonionizing light for precise afterglow imaging-guided post-BCS adjuvant second near-infrared (NIR-II) photothermal therapy. APPN consists of a tumor cell targeting afterglow agent, which is doped with a NIR dye as an afterglow initiator and a NIR-II light-absorbing semiconducting polymer as a photothermal transducer. Such a design realizes precise afterglow imaging-guided NIR-II photothermal ablation of minimal residual breast tumor foci after BCS, thus achieving complete inhibition of local recurrences. Moreover, APPN enables early diagnosis and treatment of local recurrence after BCS. This study thus provides a nonionizing modality for precision post-BCS adjuvant therapy and early recurrence theranostic.

Exosomal miRNA Changes Associated with Restoration to Sinus Rhythm in Atrial Fibrillation Patients.

We aimed to identify serum exosomal microRNAs (miRNAs) associated with the transition from atrial fibrillation (AF) to sinus rhythm (SR) and investigate their potential as biomarkers for the early recurrence of AF within three months post-treatment. We collected blood samples from eight AF patients at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital in Taiwan both immediately before and within 14 days following rhythm control treatment. Exosomes were isolated from these samples, and small RNA sequencing was performed. Using DESeq2 analysis, we identified nine miRNAs (16-2-3p, 22-3p, 23a-3p, 23b-3p, 125a-5p, 328-3p, 423-5p, 504-5p, and 582-3p) associated with restoration to SR. Further analysis using the DIABLO model revealed a correlation between the decreased expression of miR-125a-5p and miR-328-3p and the early recurrence of AF. Furthermore, early recurrence is associated with a longer duration of AF, presumably indicating a more extensive state of underlying cardiac remodeling. In addition, the reads were mapped to mRNA sequences, leading to the identification of 14 mRNAs (AC005041.1, ARHGEF12, AMT, ANO8, BCL11A, DIO3OS, EIF4ENIF1, G2E3-AS1, HERC3, LARS, NT5E, PITX1, SLC16A12, and ZBTB21) associated with restoration to SR. Monitoring these serum exosomal miRNA and mRNA expression patterns may be beneficial for optimizing treatment outcomes in AF patients.

Combining a machine-learning derived 4-lncRNA signature with AFP and TNM stages in predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Near 70% of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence is early recurrence within 2-year post surgery. Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) are intensively involved in HCC progression and serve as biomarkers for HCC prognosis. The aim of this study is to construct a lncRNA-based signature for predicting HCC early recurrence. METHODS: Data of RNA expression and associated clinical information were accessed from The Cancer Genome Atlas Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA-LIHC) database. Recurrence associated differentially expressed lncRNAs (DELncs) were determined by three DEG methods and two survival analyses methods. DELncs involved in the signature were selected by three machine learning methods and multivariate Cox analysis. Additionally, the signature was validated in a cohort of HCC patients from an external source. In order to gain insight into the biological functions of this signature, gene sets enrichment analyses, immune infiltration analyses, as well as immune and drug therapy prediction analyses were conducted. RESULTS: A 4-lncRNA signature consisting of AC108463.1, AF131217.1, CMB9-22P13.1, TMCC1-AS1 was constructed. Patients in the high-risk group showed significantly higher early recurrence rate compared to those in the low-risk group. Combination of the signature, AFP and TNM further improved the early HCC recurrence predictive performance. Several molecular pathways and gene sets associated with HCC pathogenesis are enriched in the high-risk group. Antitumor immune cells, such as activated B cell, type 1 T helper cell, natural killer cell and effective memory CD8 T cell are enriched in patients with low-risk HCCs. HCC patients in the low- and high-risk group had differential sensitivities to various antitumor drugs. Finally, predictive performance of this signature was validated in an external cohort of patients with HCC. CONCLUSION: Combined with TNM and AFP, the 4-lncRNA signature presents excellent predictability of HCC early recurrence.