Predicting Extubation Readiness in Preterm Infants Utilizing Machine Learning: A Diagnostic Utility Study.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to predict extubation readiness in preterm infants using machine learning analysis of bedside pulse oximeter and ventilator data. STUDY DESIGN: This is an observational study with prospective recordings of oxygen saturation (SpO2) and ventilator data from infants <30 weeks of gestation age. Research pulse oximeters collected SpO2 (1 Hz sampling rate) to quantify intermittent hypoxemia (IH). Continuous ventilator metrics were collected (4-5-minute sampling) from bedside ventilators. Data modeling was completed using unbiased machine learning algorithms. Three model sets were created using the following data source combinations: (1) IH and ventilator (IH + SIMV), (2) IH, and (3) ventilator (SIMV). Infants were also analyzed separated by postnatal age (infants <2 or ≥2 weeks of age). Models were compared by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: A total of 110 extubation events from 110 preterm infants were analyzed. Infants had a median gestation age and birth weight of 26 weeks and 825 g, respectively. Of the 3 models presented, the IH + SIMV model achieved the highest AUC of 0.77 for all infants. Separating infants by postnatal age increased accuracy further achieving AUC of 0.94 for <2 weeks of age group and AUC of 0.83 for ≥2 weeks group. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning analysis has the potential to enhance prediction accuracy of extubation readiness in preterm infants while utilizing readily available data streams from bedside pulse oximeters and ventilators.

Predictors of extubation failure and prolonged mechanical ventilation among patients with intracerebral hemorrhage after surgery.

BACKGROUND: Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a condition associated with high mortality and morbidity. Survivors may require prolonged intubation with mechanical ventilation (MV). The aim of this study was to analyze the predictors of extubation failure and prolonged MV in patients who undergo surgical evacuation. METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted on adult patients with ICH who underwent MV for at least 48 h and survived > 14 days after surgery. The demographics, clinical characteristics, laboratory tests, and Glasgow Coma Scale score were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 134 patients with ICH were included in the study. The average age of the patients was 60.34 ± 15.59 years, and 79.9% (n = 107) were extubated after satisfying the weaning parameters. Extubation failure occurred in 11.2% (n = 12) and prolonged MV in 48.5% (n = 65) patients. Multivariable regression analysis revealed that a white blood cell count > 10,000/mm3 at the time of extubation was an independent predictor of reintubation. Meanwhile, age and initial Glasgow Coma Scale scores were predictors of prolonged MV. CONCLUSIONS: This study provided the first comprehensive characterization and analysis of the predictors of extubation failure and prolonged MV in patients with ICH after surgery. Knowledge of potential predictors is essential to improve the strategies for early initiation of adequate treatment and prognosis assessment in the early stages of the disease.

Association of Noninvasive Respiratory Support with Extubation Outcomes in Brain-injured Patients Receiving Mechanical Ventilation: A Secondary Analysis of the ENIO Prospective Observational Study.

Rationale: Noninvasive respiratory support using a high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) or noninvasive positive pressure ventilation (NIPPV) can decrease the risk of reintubation in patients being liberated from mechanical ventilation, but effects in patients with acute brain injury (ABI) are unknown. Objectives: To evaluate the association between postextubation noninvasive respiratory support and reintubation in patients with ABI being liberated from mechanical ventilation. Methods: This was a secondary analysis of a prospective, observational study of mechanically ventilated patients with ABI (clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT03400904). The primary endpoint was reintubation during ICU admission. We used mixed-effects logistic regression models with patient-level covariates and random intercepts for hospital and country to evaluate the association between prophylactic (i.e., planned) HFNC or NIPPV and reintubation. Measurements and Main Results: 1,115 patients were included from 62 hospitals and 19 countries, of whom 267 received HFNC or NIPPV following extubation (23.9%). Compared with conventional oxygen therapy, neither prophylactic HFNC nor NIPPV was associated with decreased odds of reintubation (respectively, odds ratios of 0.97 [95% confidence interval, 0.54-1.73] and 0.63 [0.30-1.32]). Findings remained consistent in sensitivity analyses accounting for alternate adjustment procedures, missing data, shorter time frames of the primary endpoint, and competing risks precluding reintubation. In a Bayesian analysis using skeptical and data-driven priors, the probabilities of reduced reintubation ranged from 17% to 34% for HFNC and from 46% to 74% for NIPPV. Conclusions: In a large cohort of brain-injured patients undergoing liberation from mechanical ventilation, prophylactic use of HFNC and NIPPV were not associated with reintubation. Prospective trials are needed to confirm treatment effects in this population. Primary study registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT03400904).

Using machine-learning models to predict extubation failure in neonates with bronchopulmonary dysplasia.

AIM: To develop a decision-support tool for predicting extubation failure (EF) in neonates with bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) using a set of machine-learning algorithms. METHODS: A dataset of 284 BPD neonates on mechanical ventilation was used to develop predictive models via machine-learning algorithms, including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest, support vector machine, naïve Bayes, logistic regression, and k-nearest neighbor. The top three models were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and their performance was tested by decision curve analysis (DCA). Confusion matrix was used to show the high performance of the best model. The importance matrix plot and SHapley Additive exPlanations values were calculated to evaluate the feature importance and visualize the results. The nomogram and clinical impact curves were used to validate the final model. RESULTS: According to the AUC values and DCA results, the XGboost model performed best (AUC = 0.873, sensitivity = 0.896, specificity = 0.838). The nomogram and clinical impact curve verified that the XGBoost model possessed a significant predictive value. The following were predictive factors for EF: pO2, hemoglobin, mechanical ventilation (MV) rate, pH, Apgar score at 5 min, FiO2, C-reactive protein, Apgar score at 1 min, red blood cell count, PIP, gestational age, highest FiO2 at the first 24 h, heart rate, birth weight, pCO2. Further, pO2, hemoglobin, and MV rate were the three most important factors for predicting EF. CONCLUSIONS: The present study indicated that the XGBoost model was significant in predicting EF in BPD neonates with mechanical ventilation, which is helpful in determining the right extubation time among neonates with BPD to reduce the occurrence of complications.

Two-year survival after scheduled extubation in patients with pneumonia or ARDS: a prospective observational study.

PURPOSE: To report two-year survival after scheduled extubation in patients with pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). METHODS: This was a prospective observational study performed in a respiratory ICU of a teaching hospital. Pneumonia or ARDS patients who successfully completed a spontaneous breathing trial were enrolled. Data were collected before extubation. Patients were followed up to two years by phone every 3 months. RESULTS: A total of 230 patients were enrolled in final analysis. One-, 3-, 6-, 12-, and 24-month survival was 77.4%, 63.8%, 61.3%, 57.8%, and 47.8%, respectively. Cox regression shows that Charlson comorbidity index (hazard ratio: 1.20, 95% confidence interval: 1.10-1.32), APACHE II score before extubation (1.11, 1.05-1.17), cough peak flow before extubation (0.993, 0.986-0.999), and extubation failure (3.96, 2.51-6.24) were associated with two-year mortality. To predict death within two years, the area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic was 0.79 tested by Charlson comorbidity index, 0.75 tested by APACHE II score, and 0.75 tested by cough peak flow. Two-year survival was 31% and 77% in patients with Charlson comorbidity index ≥ 1 and < 1, 28% and 62% in patients with APACHE II score ≥ 12 and < 12, and 64% and 17% in patients with cough peak flow > 58 and ≤ 58 L/min, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidity, disease severity, weak cough and extubation failure were associated with increased two-year mortality in pneumonia or ARDS patients who experienced scheduled extubation. It provides objective information to caregivers to improve decision-making process during hospitalization and post discharge.

Higher Cumulative Dose of Opioids and Other Sedatives are Associated with Extubation Failure in Norwood Patients.

BACKGROUND: The primary purpose of this study is to evaluate the relationship between sedation usage and extubation failure, and to control for the effects of hemodynamic, oximetric indices, clinical characteristics, ventilatory settings pre- and post-extubation, and echocardiographic (echo) findings in neonates with hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS) post-Norwood procedure. METHODS: Single-center, retrospective analysis of Norwood patients during their first extubation post-surgery from January 2015 to July 2021. Extubation failure was defined as reintubation within 48 h of extubation. Demographics, clinical characteristics, ventilatory settings, echo findings (right ventricular function, tricuspid regurgitation), and cumulative dose of sedation medications before extubation were compared between patients with successful or failed extubation. RESULTS: The analysis included 130 patients who underwent the Norwood procedure with 121 (93%) successful and 9 (7%) failed extubations. Univariate analyses showed that vocal cord anomaly (p = 0.05), lower end-tidal CO2 (p < 0.01), lower pulse-to-respiratory quotient (p = 0.02), and ketamine administration (p = 0.04) were associated with extubation failure. The use of opioids, benzodiazepines, dexmedetomidine, and ketamine are mutually correlated in this cohort. On multivariable analysis, the vocal cord anomaly (OR = 7.31, 95% CI 1.25-42.78, p = 0.027), pre-extubation end-tidal CO2 (OR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.65-0.97, p = 0.025), and higher cumulative dose of opioids (OR = 10.16, 95% CI 1.25-82.43, p = 0.030) were independently associated with extubation failure while also controlling for post-extubation respiratory support (CPAP/BiPAP/HFNC vs NC), intubation length, and echo results. CONCLUSION: Higher cumulative opioid doses were associated with a greater incidence of extubation failure in infants post-Norwood procedure. Therefore, patients with higher cumulative doses of opioids should be more closely evaluated for extubation readiness in this population. Low end-tidal CO2 and low pulse-to-respiratory quotient were also associated with failed extubation. Consideration of the pulse-to-respiratory quotient in the extubation readiness assessment can be beneficial in the Norwood population.

Central venous pressure waveform analysis during sleep/rest: a novel approach to enhance intensive care unit post-extubation monitoring of extubation failure.

This pilot study aimed to investigate the relation between cardio-respiratory parameters derived from Central Venous Pressure (CVP) waveform and Extubation Failure (EF) in mechanically ventilated ICU patients during post-extubation period. This study also proposes a new methodology for analysing these parameters during rest/sleep periods to try to improve the identification of EF. We conducted a prospective observational study, computing CVP-derived parameters including breathing effort, spectral analyses, and entropy in twenty critically ill patients post-extubation. The Dynamic Warping Index (DWi) was calculated from the respiratory component extracted from the CVP signal to identify rest/sleep states. The obtained parameters from EF patients and patients without EF were compared both during arbitrary periods and during reduced DWi (rest/sleep). We have analysed data from twenty patients of which nine experienced EF. Our findings may suggest significantly increased respiratory effort in EF patients compared to those successfully extubated. Our study also suggests the occurrence of significant change in the frequency dispersion of the cardiac signal component. We also identified a possible improvement in the differentiation between the two groups of patients when assessed during rest/sleep states. Although with caveats regarding the sample size, the results of this pilot study may suggest that CVP-derived cardio-respiratory parameters are valuable for monitoring respiratory failure during post-extubation, which could aid in managing non-invasive interventions and possibly reduce the incidence of EF. Our findings also indicate the possible importance of considering sleep/rest state when assessing cardio-respiratory parameters, which could enhance respiratory failure detection/monitoring.

Time definition of reintubation most relevant to patient outcomes in critically ill patients: a multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Reintubation is a common complication in critically ill patients requiring mechanical ventilation. Although reintubation has been demonstrated to be associated with patient outcomes, its time definition varies widely among guidelines and in the literature. This study aimed to determine the association between reintubation and patient outcomes as well as the consequences of the time elapsed between extubation and reintubation on patient outcomes. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective cohort study of critically ill patients conducted between April 2015 and March 2021. Adult patients who underwent mechanical ventilation and extubation in intensive care units (ICUs) were investigated utilizing the Japanese Intensive Care PAtient Database. The primary and secondary outcomes were in-hospital and ICU mortality. The association between reintubation and clinical outcomes was studied using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Among the patients who underwent reintubation, a Cox proportional hazard analysis was conducted to evaluate patient outcomes according to the number of days from extubation to reintubation. RESULTS: Overall, 184,705 patients in 75 ICUs were screened, and 1849 patients underwent reintubation among 48,082 extubated patients. After adjustment for potential confounders, multivariable analysis revealed a significant association between reintubation and increased in-hospital and ICU mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.520, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.359-1.700, and adjusted HR 1.325, 95% CI 1.076-1.633, respectively). Among the reintubated patients, 1037 (56.1%) were reintubated within 24 h after extubation, 418 (22.6%) at 24-48 h, 198 (10.7%) at 48-72 h, 111 (6.0%) at 72-96 h, and 85 (4.6%) at 96-120 h. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that in-hospital and ICU mortality was highest in patients reintubated at 72-96 h (adjusted HR 1.528, 95% CI 1.062-2.197, and adjusted HR 1.334, 95% CI 0.756-2.352, respectively; referenced to reintubation within 24 h). CONCLUSIONS: Reintubation was associated with a significant increase in in-hospital and ICU mortality. The highest mortality rates were observed in patients who were reintubated between 72 and 96 h after extubation. Further studies are warranted for the optimal observation of extubated patients in clinical practice and to strengthen the evidence for mechanical ventilation.

Sonometric assessment of cough predicts extubation failure: SonoWean-a proof-of-concept study.

BACKGROUND: Extubation failure is associated with increased mortality. Cough ineffectiveness may be associated with extubation failure, but its quantification for patients undergoing weaning from invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) remains challenging. METHODS: Patients under IMV for more than 24 h completing a successful spontaneous T-tube breathing trial (SBT) were included. At the end of the SBT, we performed quantitative sonometric assessment of three successive coughing efforts using a sonometer. The mean of the 3-cough volume in decibels was named Sonoscore. RESULTS: During a 1-year period, 106 patients were included. Median age was 65 [51-75] years, mainly men (60%). Main reasons for IMV were acute respiratory failure (43%), coma (25%) and shock (17%). Median duration of IMV at enrollment was 4 [3-7] days. Extubation failure occurred in 15 (14%) patients. Baseline characteristics were similar between success and failure extubation groups, except percentage of simple weaning which was lower and MV duration which was longer in extubation failure patients. Sonoscore was significantly lower in patients who failed extubation (58 [52-64] vs. 75 [70-78] dB, P < 0.001). After adjustment on MV duration and comorbidities, Sonoscore remained associated with extubation failure. Sonoscore was predictive of extubation failure with an area under the ROC curve of 0.91 (IC95% [0.83-0.99], P < 0.001). A threshold of Sonoscore < 67.1 dB predicted extubation failure with a sensitivity of 0.93 IC95% [0.70-0.99] and a specificity of 0.82 IC95% [0.73-0.90]. CONCLUSION: Sonometric assessment of cough strength might be helpful to identify patients at risk of extubation failure in patients undergoing IMV.

Extubation failure after cardiac surgery in children with Down syndrome.

Extubation failure (EF) after cardiac surgery is associated with poorer outcomes. Approximately 50% of children with Down syndrome (DS) have congenital heart disease. Our primary aim was to describe the frequency of EF and identify risk factors for its occurrence in a population of patients with DS after cardiac surgery. Secondary aims were to describe complications, length of hospital stay, and mortality rates. This report was a retrospective case-control study and was carried out in a national reference congenital heart disease repair center of Chile. This study includes all infants 0-12 months old with DS who were admitted to pediatric intensive care unit after cardiac surgery between January 2010 and November 2020. Patients with EF (cases) were matched 1:1 with children who did not fail their extubation (controls) using the following criteria: age at surgery, sex, and type of congenital heart disease. Overall, 27/226 (11.3%) failed their first extubation. In the first analysis, before matching of cases and controls was made, we found association between EF and younger age (3.8 months vs 5 months; p = 0.003) and presence of coarctation of the aorta (p = 0.005). In the case-control univariate analysis, we found association between an increased cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) (p = 0.03; OR 5 (95% CI 1.6-16.7) for a CTR > 0.59) and marked hypotonia (27% vs 0%; p = 0.01) with the risk of EF. No differences were found in ventilatory management. CONCLUSIONS: In pediatric patients with DS, EF after cardiac surgery is associated with younger age, presence of aortic coarctation, higher CTR reflecting the degree of cardiomegaly and hypotonia. Recognition of these factors may be helpful when planning extubation for these patients. WHAT IS KNOWN: • Extubation failure after cardiac surgery is associated with higher morbidity and mortality rates. Some studies report higher rates of extubation failure in patients with Down syndrome. WHAT IS NEW: • In children with Down syndrome, extubation failure after cardiac surgery is associated with younger age, presence of aortic coarctation, higher CTR reflecting cardiomegaly and severe hypotonia.

A missed diagnosis of sputum crust with fiberoptic bronchoscope causing extubation failure: a case report.

BACKGROUND: Fiberoptic bronchoscopy (FOB) and bronchoscopic biopsy are the established methods for diagnosing and treating sputum crust. However, sputum crust in concealed locations can sometimes be missed or undiagnosed, even with bronchoscopy. CASE PRESENTATION: We present the case of a 44-year-old female patient who experienced initial extubation failure and postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) due to the missed diagnosis of sputum crust by FOB and low-resolution bedside chest X-ray. The FOB examination showed no apparent abnormalities prior to the first extubation, and the patient underwent tracheal extubation 2 h after aortic valve replacement (AVR). However, she was reintubated 13 h after the first extubation due to a persistent irritating cough and severe hypoxemia, and a bedside chest radiograph revealed pneumonia and atelectasis. Upon performing a repeat FOB examination prior to the second extubation, we serendipitously discovered the presence of sputum crust at the end of the endotracheal tube. Subsequently, we found that the sputum crust was mainly located on the tracheal wall between the subglottis and the end of the endotracheal tube during the "Tracheobronchial Sputum Crust Removal" procedure, and most of the crust was obscured by the retained endotracheal tube. The patient was discharged on the 20th day following therapeutic FOB. CONCLUSION: FOB examination may miss specific areas in endotracheal intubation (ETI) patients, particularly the tracheal wall between the subglottis and distal end of the tracheal catheter, where sputum crust can be concealed. When diagnostic examinations with FOB are inconclusive, high-resolution chest CT can be helpful in identifying hidden sputum crust.

Risk factors and clinical outcomes of extubation failure in very early preterm infants: a single-center cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Early extubation success (ES) in preterm infants may reduce various mechanical ventilation-associated complications; however, extubation failure (EF) can cause adverse short- and long-term outcomes. Therefore, the present study aimed to identify differences in risk factors and clinical outcomes between ES and EF in very early preterm infants. METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted between January 2017 and December 2021. Premature infants born at 32 weeks' gestational age in whom extubation had failed at least once were assigned to the EF group. Successfully extubated patients with a similar gestational age and birth weight as those in the EF group were assigned to the ES group. EF was defined as the need for re-intubation within 120 h of extubation. Various variables were compared between groups. RESULTS: The EF rate in this study was 18.6% (24/129), and approximately 80% of patients with EF required re-intubation within 90.17 h. In the ES group, there was less use of inotropes within 7 days of life (12 [63.2%] vs. 22 [91.7%], p = 0.022), a lower respiratory severity score (RSS) at 1 and 4 weeks (1.72 vs. 2.5, p = 0.026; 1.73 vs. 2.92, p = 0.010), and a faster time to reach full feeding (18.7 vs. 29.7, p = 0.020). There was a higher severity of bronchopulmonary dysplasia BPD (3 [15.8%] vs. 14 [58.3%], p = 0.018), longer duration of oxygen supply (66.5 vs. 92.9, p = 0.042), and higher corrected age at discharge (39.6 vs. 42.5, p = 0.043) in the EF group. The cutoff value, sensitivity, and specificity of the respiratory severity score (RSS) at 1 week were 1.98, 0.71, and 0.42, respectively, and the cutoff value, sensitivity, and specificity of RSS at 4 weeks were 2.22, 0.67, and 0.47, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: EF caused adverse short-term outcomes such as a higher BPD severity and longer hospital stay. Therefore, extubation in very early preterm infants should be carefully evaluated. Using inotropes, feeding, and RSS at 1 week of age can help predict extubation success.

Descriptors of Failed Extubation in Norwood Patients Using Physiologic Data Streaming.

The objective of this study is to evaluate the utility of high-frequency physiologic data during the extubation process and other clinical variables for describing the physiologic profile of extubation failure in neonates with hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS) post-Norwood procedure. This is a single-center, retrospective analysis. Extubation events were collected from January 2016 until July 2021. Extubation failure was defined as the need for re-intubation within 48 h of extubation. The data included streaming heart rate, respiratory rate, blood pressure, arterial oxygen saturation, and cerebral/renal near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS). The most recent blood laboratory results before extubation were also included. These markers, demographics, clinical characteristics, and ventilatory settings were compared between successful and failed extubations. The analysis included 311 extubations. The extubation failure rate was 10%. According to univariable analyses, failed extubations were preceded by higher respiratory rates (p = 0.029), lower end-tidal CO2 (p = 0.009), lower pH (p = 0.043), lower serum bicarbonate (p = 0.030), and lower partial pressure of O2 (p = 0.022). In the first 10 min after extubation, the failed events were characterized by lower arterial (p = 0.028) and cerebral NIRS (p = 0.018) saturations. Failed events were associated with persistently lower values for cerebral NIRS 2 h post-extubation (p = 0.027). In multivariable analysis, vocal cord anomaly, cerebral NIRS at 10 min post-extubation, renal NIRS at pre-extubation and post-extubation, and end-tidal CO2 at pre-extubation remained as significant co-variables. Oximetric indices before, in the 10 min immediately after, and 2 h after extubation and vocal cords paralysis are associated with failed extubation events in patients with parallel circulation.

A comparison of high-flow nasal cannula versus non-invasive positive pressure ventilation for respiratory support in infants following cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Following cardiac surgery, infants often remain endotracheally intubated upon arrival to the cardiac ICU. High-flow nasal cannula and non-invasive positive pressure ventilation are used to support patients following extubation. There are limited data on the superiority of either mode to prevent extubation failure. METHODS: We conducted a single-centre retrospective study for infants (<1 year) and/or <10 kg who underwent cardiac surgery between 3/2019-3/2020. Data included patient and clinical characteristics and operative variables. The study aimed to compare high-flow nasal cannula versus non-invasive positive pressure ventilation following extubation and their association with extubation failure. Secondarily, we examined risk factors associated with extubation failure. RESULTS: There were 424 patients who met inclusion criteria, 320 (75%) were extubated to high-flow nasal cannula, 104 (25%) to non-invasive positive pressure ventilation, and 64 patients (15%) failed extubation. The high-flow nasal cannula group had lower rates of extubation failure (11%, versus 29%, p = 0.001). Infants failing extubation were younger and had higher STAT score (p < 0.05). Compared to high-flow nasal cannula, non-invasive positive pressure ventilation patients were at 3.30 times higher odds of failing extubation after adjusting for patient factors (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Extubation failure after cardiac surgery occurs in smaller, younger infants, and those with higher risk surgical procedures. Patients extubated to non-invasive positive pressure ventilation had 3.30 higher odds to fail extubation than patients extubated to high-flow nasal cannula. The optimal mode of respiratory support in this patient population is unknown.

Commentary on "Prediction of Successful Spontaneous Breathing Trial and Extubation of Trachea by Lung Ultrasound in Mechanically Ventilated Patients in Intensive Care Unit".

How to cite this article: Chowdhury SR, Kundu R. Commentary on "Prediction of Successful Spontaneous Breathing Trial and Extubation of Trachea by Lung Ultrasound in Mechanically Ventilated Patients in Intensive Care Unit." Indian J Crit Care Med 2023;27(8):596.

A new index, Respiratory Insufficiency index and Modified Early Warning Scores predict extubation failure.

Background: Extubation failure occurs in 5%-20% of patients and is associated with poor clinical outcomes. The primary aim of this project was to determine the predictive ability of the Respiratory Insufficiency (RI) index, Respiratory Oxygenation (ROX) index and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) in identifying extubation failure. Methods: This was a secondary analysis of a prior cross-sectional retrospective study conducted from February 2018 through December 2018 among adult subjects who received mechanical ventilation for more than 24 h. Extubation failure was defined as the need for reintubation or rescue non-invasive ventilation (NIV) within 48 h after planned extubation. Univariate analysis and logistic regression were used to identify the predictors and final model was validated using 10-fold cross validation. Nomogram was constructed based on the final model. Results: Of 216 enrolled subjects, 46 (21.3%) experienced extubation failure. The median RI index 1-h post extubation was 20 [interquartile range [IQR] 16.33-24.24] for success group and 27.02 [IQR 22.42-33.83] for the failure group (P<0.001). The median ROX index 1-h post extubation was 16.66 [IQR 12.57-19.84] for success group and 11.11 [IQR 8.09-14.67] for failure group (P<0.001). The median MEWS 1-h post extubation was 2 [IQR 1-3] for the success group and 4 [IQR 3-5] for the failure group (P<0.001). In multivariable analysis, age >60 years [OR 3.89 (95% CI 1.56-9.73); P=0.004], MEWS >4 [OR 4.01 (95% CI (1.59-10.14); P=0.003] and, RI index >20 [OR 4.50 (95% CI 1.43-14.21); P=0.010] were independently associated with extubation failure. Conclusion: In the present study, RI index and MEWS were independently associated with predicting extubation failure within 1 h of extubation. A prospective validation study is warranted to establish the role of these indices in predicting extubation outcome.

Use of the Change in Weaning Parameters as a Predictor of Successful Re-Extubation.

OBJECTIVE: Weaning parameters are well studied in patients undergoing first time extubation. Fewer data exists to guide re-extubation of patients who failed their first extubation attempt. It is reasonable to postulate that improved weaning parameters between the first and second extubation attempt would lead to improved rates of re-extubation success. To investigate, we studied a cohort of patients who failed their first extubation attempt and underwent a second attempt at extubation. We hypothesized that improvement in weaning parameters between the first and the second extubation attempt is associated with successful reextubation. INTERVENTIONS: Rapid shallow breathing index (RSBI), maximum inspiratory pressure (MIP), vital capacity (VC), and the blood partial pressure of CO2 (PaCO2) were measured and recorded in the medical record prior to extubation along with demographic information. We examined the relationship between the change in extubation and re-extubation weaning parameters and re-extubation success. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 1283 adult patients were included. All weaning parameters obtained prior to re-extubation differed between those who were successful and those who required a second reintubation. Those with reextubation success had slightly lower PaCO2 values (39.5 ± 7.4 mmHg vs. 41.6 ± 9.1 mmHg, p = 0.0045) and about 13% higher vital capacity volumes (1021 ± 410 mL vs. 907 ± 396 mL, p = 0.0093). Lower values for RSBI (53 ± 32 breaths/min/L vs. 69 ± 42 breaths/min/L, p < 0.001) and MIP (-41 ± 12 cmH2O vs. -38 ± 13 cm H2O), p = 0.0225) were seen in those with re-extubation success. Multivariable logistical regression demonstrates lack of independent associated between the change in parameters between the 2 attempts and re-extubation success. CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between the changes in extubation parameters through successive attempts is driven primarily by the value obtained immediately prior to re-extubation. These findings do not support waiting for an improvement in extubation parameters to extubate patients who failed a first attempt at extubation if extubation parameters are compatible with success.

Association between fluid intake and extubation failure in intensive care unit patients with negative fluid balance: a retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Negative fluid balance (NFB) is associated with reduced extubation failure. However, whether achieving more NFB can further improve extubation outcome has not been investigated. This study aimed to investigate whether more NFB and restricted fluid intake were associated with extubation success. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of adult patients with mechanical ventilation (MV) admitted to Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) from 2001 to 2012. Patients with duration of MV over 24 hours and NFB within 24 hours before extubation were included for analysis. The primary outcome was extubation failure, defined as reintubation within 72 hours after extubation. Association between fluid balance or fluid intake and extubation outcome were investigated with multivariable logistic models. RESULTS: A total of 3433 extubation events were recorded. 1803 with NFB were included for the final analysis, of which 201(11.1%) were extubation failure. Compared with slight NFB (- 20 to 0 ml/kg), more NFB were not associated improved extubation outcome. Compared with moderate fluid intake (30 to 60 ml/kg), lower (< 30 ml/kg, OR 0.75, 95% CI [0.54, 1.05], p = 0.088) or higher (> 60 ml/kg, OR 1.63, 95% CI [0.73, 3.35], p = 0.206) fluid intake was not associated with extubation outcome. Duration of MV, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), hypercapnia, use of diuretics, and SAPSIIscore were associated with extubation failure. CONCLUSIONS: More NFB or restricted fluid intake were not associated with reduced extubation failure in patients with NFB. However, for COPD patients, restricted fluid intake was associated with extubation success.

Extubation Failure in Infants with Modified Blalock-Taussig Shunt: The Incidence, Predictors, and Outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: Infants with congenital heart diseases often require mechanical ventilation and a prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stay due to complex cardiopulmonary complications. The primary objective of the study was to determine the incidence and predictors of tracheal extubation failure in infants undergoing modified Blalock-Taussig shunt (MBTS). The secondary objective was to evaluate if extubation failure was associated with increased mortality and longer ICU and hospital stays. DESIGN: Single-center, retrospective, cohort study. SETTING: Tertiary center pediatric cardiac ICU. PARTICIPANTS: Infants who underwent MBTS between January 2010 and December 2019. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The demographic data and details related to the preoperative, intraoperative, and pretracheal extubation clinical conditions in the ICU were compared between the 2 study arms. Statistically significant predictors were analyzed using multivariate analysis. The p value was based on the Student's -t test for continuous variables and the chi-square test for categorical variables. A total of 146 infants were recruited for the study. Extubation failure occurred in 27 infants (18.5%), resulting in longer ICU and hospital stays. Extubation failure was deemed to be positively associated with preoperative mechanical ventilation duration, the need for escalation of the inotropic score, diaphragmatic paralysis, and systolic blood pressure ≤50th percentile at the time of extubation. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence rate of extubation failure after placement of MBTS was 18.5%. Preoperative mechanical ventilation, diaphragmatic paralysis, the need for escalation of the inotropic score, and systolic blood pressure ≤50th percentile could be considered predictors of extubation failure in these infants.

Comparison of Two Noninvasive Ventilation Strategies (NHFOV Versus NIPPV) as Initial Postextubation Respiratory Support in High-Risk Infants After Congenital Heart Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare the effects of nasal high-frequency oscillatory ventilation (NHFOV) and noninvasive positive-pressure ventilation (NIPPV) as the initial postextubation therapies on preventing extubation failure (EF) in high-risk infants younger than three months after congenital heart surgery (CHS). DESIGN: This was a single-center, randomized, unblinded clinical trial. SETTING: The study was performed in a teaching hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Between January 2020 and January 2021, a total of 150 infants underwent CHS in the authors' hospital. INTERVENTIONS: Infants younger than three months with a high risk for extubation failure who were ready for extubation were randomized to either an NHFOV therapy group or an NIPPV therapy group, and received the corresponding noninvasive mechanical ventilation to prevent EF. MEASUREMENTS: Primary outcomes were reintubation, long-term noninvasive ventilation (NIV) support (more than 72 hours), and the time in NIV therapy. The secondary outcomes were adverse events, including mild-moderate hypercapnia, severe hypercapnia, severe hypoxemia, treatment intolerance, signs of discomfort, unbearable dyspnea, inability to clear secretions, emesis, and aspiration. MAIN RESULTS: Of 92 infants, 45 received NHFOV therapy, and 47 received NIPPV therapy after extubation. There were no significant differences between the NHFOV and the NIPPV therapy groups in the incidences of reintubation, long-term NIV support, and total time under NIV therapy. No significant difference was found of the severe hypercapnia between the two groups, but NHFOV treatment significantly decreased the rate of mild-moderate hypercapnia (p < 0.05). Other outcomes were similar in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among infants younger than three months after CHS who had undergone extubation, NIPPV therapy and NHFOV therapy were the equivalent NIV strategies for preventing extubation failure, and NHFOV therapy was more effective in avoiding mild-moderate hypercapnia.