Circadian serum progesterone variations on the day of frozen embryo transfer in a modified natural cycle protocol.

STUDY QUESTION: Is there a circadian variation of serum progesterone (P) on the day of frozen embryo transfer (FET) in a modified natural cycle (mNC)? SUMMARY ANSWER: There is a statistically significant diurnal variation of serum P on the day of a FET in an mNC protocol. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: In recent years, the proportion of FET cycles has increased dramatically. To further optimize pregnancy outcomes after FET, recent studies have focused on serum luteal P levels in both natural and artificially prepared FET cycles. Despite the different cut-off values proposed to define low serum P in the NC, it is generally accepted that lower serum P values (<10 ng/ml) around the day of FET are associated with negative reproductive outcomes. However, a single serum P measurement is not reliable given that P levels are prone to diurnal fluctuations and are impacted by patients' characteristics. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A prospective cohort study was conducted in a single university-affiliated fertility center, including 22 patients performing a single blastocyst mNC-FET from August 2022 to August 2023. Serum P levels were measured on the day of transfer at 08:00h, 12:00h, 16:00h, and 20:00h. Differences between P levels were compared using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test. The sample size was calculated to detect a difference of 15% between the first and last P measurements with a 5% false-positive rate and a 95% CI. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Patients with a normal BMI, between 18 and 40 years old, without uterine diseases were eligible. Patients utilizing donated oocytes were excluded. The mNC-FET protocol involved monitoring the normal ovarian cycle and triggering ovulation with an injection of 250 µg of choriogonadotropin alfa when a pre-ovulatory follicle (16-20 mm diameter) was visualized. The blastocyst was transferred seven days later. The patients were not supplemented with exogenous P at any time before the day of the FET. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The mean age and BMI of the study population were 33.6 ± 3.8 years and 22.7 ± 1.8 kg/m2, respectively. Mean P values at 08:00h, 12:00h, 16:00h, and 20:00h were 14.6 ± 4.5, 14.7 ± 4.1, 12.9 ± 3.5, and 14.6 ± 4.3 ng/ml, respectively. The mean P levels at 16:00h were significantly lower compared to all other time points (P < 0.05: P = 0.007 between P at 8:00h and 16:00h; P = 0.003 between P at 12:00h and 16:00h; P = 0.007 between P at 16:00h and 20:00h). No statistically significant difference was observed between P values at the other time points (P > 0.05: P = 0.88 between P at 8:00h and 12:00h; P = 0.96 between P at 8:00h and 20:00h; P = 0.83 between P at 12:00h and 20:00h). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The study's limitations include the small sample size that may cause a bias when the results are extrapolated to a larger subfertile population undergoing mNC-FET. Ideally, larger prospective trials including a more heterogeneous patient population would be necessary to validate our findings. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: The current study demonstrates the existence of a diurnal fluctuation of serum P on the day of mNC-FET highlighting the importance of a standardized time point for its measurement. This is especially important for considering clinical actions, such as additional exogenous P supplementation, when encountering P values lower than 10 ng/ml on the day of FET. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): No funding was obtained for the study. The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare regarding the content of the study. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05511272.

Intra-individual variability of serum progesterone levels on the day of frozen blastocyst transfer in hormonal replacement therapy cycles.

STUDY QUESTION: Is there a significant intra-individual variability of serum progesterone levels on the day of single blastocyst Hormone Replacement Therapy-Frozen Embryo Transfer (HRT-FET) between two consecutive cycles? SUMMARY ANSWER: No significant intra-individual variability of serum progesterone (P) levels was noted between two consecutive HRT-FET cycles. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: In HRT-FET cycles, a minimum P level on the day of embryo transfer is necessary to optimise reproductive outcomes. In a previous study by our team, a threshold of 9.8 ng/ml serum P was identified as significantly associated with the live birth rates in single autologous blastocyst transfers under HRT using micronized vaginal progesterone (MVP). Such patients may benefit from an intensive luteal phase support (LPS) using other routes of P administration in addition to MVP. A crucial question in the way towards individualising LPS is whether serum P measurements are reproducible for a given patient in consecutive HRT-FET cycles, using the same LPS. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: We conducted an observational cohort study at the university-based reproductive medicine centre of our institution focusing on women who underwent at least two consecutive single autologous blastocyst HRT-FET cycles between January 2019 and March 2020. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Patients undergoing two consecutive single autologous blastocyst HRT-FET cycles using exogenous oestradiol and vaginal micronized progesterone for endometrial preparation were included. Serum progesterone levels were measured on the morning of the Frozen Embryo Transfer (FET), by a single laboratory. The two measurements of progesterone levels performed on the day of the first (FET1) and the second FET (FET2) were compared to evaluate the intra-individual variability of serum P levels. Paired statistical analyses were performed, as appropriate. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Two hundred and sixty-four patients undergoing two consecutive single autologous blastocyst HRT-FET were included. The mean age of the included women was 35.0 ± 4.2 years. No significant intra-individual variability was observed between FET1 and FET2 (mean progesterone level after FET1: 13.4 ± 5.1 ng/ml vs after FET2: 13.9 ± 5.0; P = 0.08). The characteristics of the embryo transfers were similar between the first and the second FET. Forty-nine patients (18.6%) had discordant progesterone levels (defined as one progesterone measurement > and one ≤ to the threshold of 9.8 ng/ml) between FET1 and FET2. There were 37/264 women (14.0%) who had high intra-individual variability (defined as a difference in serum progesterone values >75th percentile (6.0 ng/ml)) between FET1 and FET2. No specific clinical parameter was associated with a high intra-individual variability nor a discordant P measurement. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: This study is limited by its retrospective design. Moreover, only women undergoing autologous blastocyst HRT-FET with MVP were included, thereby limiting the extrapolation of the study findings to other routes of P administration and other kinds of endometrial preparation for FET. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: No significant intra-individual variability was noted. The serum progesterone level appeared to be reproducible in >80% of cases. These findings suggest that the serum progesterone level measured on the day of the first transfer can be used to individualize luteal phase support in subsequent cycles. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): No funding or competing interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Circadian serum progesterone variations on the day of frozen embryo transfer in artificially prepared cycles.

RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the intra-day variation of serum progesterone related to vaginal progesterone administration on the day of frozen embryo transfer (FET) in an artificial cycle? DESIGN: A prospective cohort study was conducted including 22 patients undergoing a single blastocyst artificial cycle (AC)-FET from August to December 2022. Endometrial preparation was achieved by administering oestradiol valerate (2 mg three times daily) and consecutively micronized vaginal progesterone (MVP; 400 mg twice daily). A blastocyst FET was performed on the 6th day of MVP administration. Serum progesterone concentrations were measured on the day of transfer at 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 and 20:00 hours. The first and last blood samples were collected just before MVP was administered. RESULTS: The mean age and body mass index of the study population were 33.95 ± 3.98 years and 23.10 ± 1.95 kg/m2. The mean P-values at 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 and 20:00 hours were 11.72 ± 4.99, 13.59 ± 6.33, 10.23 ± 3.81 and 9.28 ± 3.09 ng/ml, respectively. A significant decline, of 2.41 ng/ml (95% confidence interval 0.81-4.00), was found between the first and last progesterone measurements. CONCLUSION: A statistically significant intra-day variation of serum progesterone concentrations on the day of FET in artificially prepared cycles was observed. This highlights the importance of a standardized procedure for the timing of progesterone measurement on the day of AC-FET. Of note, the study results are applicable only to women using MVP for luteal phase support; therefore it is necessary to confirm its validity in comparison with the different existing administration routes of progesterone.

Can single progesterone concentration predict miscarriage in early pregnant women with threatened miscarriage: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: About 25% of pregnant women experience bleeding in the early stage, and half of them eventually progress to pregnancy loss. Progesterone serves as a useful biomarker to predict miscarriage in threatened miscarriage, yet its performance is still debated. AIM: To evaluate the performance of single serum progesterone predicting miscarriage in early pregnant patients with threatened miscarriage. METHOD: The online database was searched to yield the literature using the terms of 'Abortion', 'Miscarriage', and 'serum Progesterone', including PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane library, and China national knowledge infrastructure. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, likelihood ratio (LLR) and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were computed. Publication bias was assessed by the deeks funnel plot asymmetry test. Subgroup analyses were conducted according to the progesterone level (< 12 ng/mL), recruited location and region, progesterone measurement method, exogenous progesterone supplement and follow up. RESULTS: In total, 12 studies were eligible to be included in this study, with sample sizes ranging from 76 to 1087. The included patients' gestational age was between 4 and 12 weeks. No significant publication bias was detected from all included studies. The threshold of progesterone reported ranged from 8 to 30 ng/ml. The synthesized area under the ROC curve (0.85, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.88), positive LLR (6.2, 4.0 to 9.7) and DOR (18, 12 to 27) of single progesterone measurement distinguishing miscarriage were relatively good in early pregnant patients with threatened miscarriage. When the threshold of < 12 ng/mL was adapted, the progesterone provided a higher area under the ROC curve (0.90 vs. 0.78), positive LLR (8.3 vs. 3.8) and DOR (22 vs.12) than its counterpart (12 to 30 ng/mL). CONCLUSION: Single progesterone measurement can act as a biomarker of miscarriage in early pregnant patients with threatened miscarriage, and it has a better performance when the concentration is <12 ng/mL. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (CRD42021255382).

The combination of dydrogesterone and micronized vaginal progesterone can render serum progesterone level measurements on the day of embryo transfer and rescue attempts unnecessary in an HRT FET cycle.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the role of serum progesterone (P4) on the day of embryo transfer (ET) when dydrogesterone (DYD) and micronized vaginal progesterone (MVP) are combined as luteal phase support (LPS) in a hormone replacement therapy (HRT) frozen ET (FET) cycles. METHODS: Retrospective study, including single euploid HRT FET cycles with DYD and MVP as LPS and P4 measurement on ET day. Initially, patients with P4 levels < 10 ng/ml increased MVP to 400 mg/day; this "rescue" was abandoned later. RESULTS: 560 cycles of 507 couples were included. In 275 women, serum P4 level was < 10 ng/ml on the ET day. Among those with low P4 levels, MVP dose remained unchanged in 65 women (11.6%) and was increased in 210 women (37.5%). Women with P4 levels ≥ 10 ng/ml continued LPS without modification. Overall pregnancy rates in these groups were 61.5% (40/65), 54.8% (115/210), and 48.4% (138/285), respectively (p = n.s.). Association of serum P4 levels with ongoing pregnancy rates was analyzed in women without any additional MVP regardless of serum P4 levels (n = 350); multivariable analysis (adjusted for age, BMI, embryo quality (EQ)) did not show a significant association of serum P4 levels with OPR (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.90-1.02; p = 0.185). Using inverse probability treatment weights, regression analysis in the weighted sample showed no significant association between P4 treatment groups and OP. Compared to fair EQ, the transfer of good EQ increased (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.22-2.15; p = 0.001) and the transfer of a poor EQ decreased the odds of OP (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.55-0.97; p = 0.029). CONCLUSION: In HRT FET cycle, using LPS with 300 mg/day MVP and 30 mg/day DYD, it appears that serum P4 measurement and increase of MVP in patients with P4 < 10 ng/ml are not necessary.

Rectal progesterone administration secures a high ongoing pregnancy rate in a personalized Hormone Replacement Therapy Frozen Embryo Transfer (HRT-FET) protocol: a prospective interventional study.

STUDY QUESTION: Can supplementation with rectal administration of progesterone secure high ongoing pregnancy rates (OPRs) in patients with low serum progesterone (P4) on the day of blastocyst transfer (ET)? SUMMARY ANSWER: Rectally administered progesterone commencing on the ET day secures high OPRs in patients with serum P4 levels below 35 nmol/l (11 ng/ml). WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Low serum P4 levels at peri-implantation in Hormone Replacement Therapy Frozen Embryo Transfer (HRT-FET) cycles impact reproductive outcomes negatively. However, studies have shown that patients with low P4 after a standard vaginal progesterone treatment can obtain live birth rates (LBRs) comparable to patients with optimal P4 levels if they receive additionalsubcutaneous progesterone, starting around the day of blastocyst transfer. In contrast, increasing vaginal progesterone supplementation in low serum P4 patients does not increase LBR. Another route of administration rarely used in ART is the rectal route, despite the fact that progesterone is well absorbed and serum P4 levels reach a maximum level after ∼2 h. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This prospective interventional study included a cohort of 488 HRT-FET cycles, in which a total of 374 patients had serum P4 levels ≥35 nmol/l (11 ng/ml) at ET, and 114 patients had serum P4 levels <35 nmol/l (11 ng/ml). The study was conducted from January 2020 to November 2022. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Patients underwent HRT-FET in a public Fertility Clinic, and endometrial preparation included oral oestradiol (6 mg/24 h), followed by vaginal micronized progesterone, 400 mg/12 h. Blastocyst transfer and P4 measurements were performed on the sixth day of progesterone administration. In patients with serum P4 <35 nmol/l (11 ng/ml), 'rescue' was performed by rectal administration of progesterone (400 mg/12 h) starting that same day. In pregnant patients, rectal administration continued until Week 8 of gestation, and oestradiol and vaginal progesterone treatment continued until Week 10 of gestation. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Among 488 HRT-FET single blastocyst transfers, the mean age of the patients at oocyte retrieval (OR) was 30.9 ± 4.6 years and the mean BMI at ET 25.1 ± 3.5 kg/m2. The mean serum P4 level after vaginal progesterone administration on the day of ET was 48.9 ± 21.0 nmol/l (15.4 ± 6.6 ng/ml), and a total of 23% (114/488) of the patients had a serum P4 level lower than 35 nmol/l (11 ng/ml). The overall, positive hCG rate, clinical pregnancy rate, OPR week 12, and total pregnancy loss rate were 66% (320/488), 54% (265/488), 45% (221/488), and 31% (99/320), respectively. There was no significant difference in either OPR week 12 or total pregnancy loss rate between patients with P4 ≥35 nmol/l (11 ng/ml) and patients with P4 <35 nmol/l, who received rescue in terms of rectally administered progesterone, 45% versus 46%, P = 0.77 and 30% versus 34%, P = 0.53, respectively. OPR did not differ whether patients had initially low P4 and rectal rescue or were above the P4 cut-off. Logistic regression analysis showed that only age at OR and blastocyst scoring correlated with OPR week 12, independently of other factors like BMI and vitrification day of blastocysts (Day 5 or 6). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: In this study, vaginal micronized progesterone pessaries, a solid pessary with progesterone suspended in vegetable hard fat, were used vaginally as well as rectally. It is unknown whether other vaginal progesterone products, such as capsules, gel, or tablet, could be used rectally with the same rescue effect. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: A substantial part of HRT-FET patients receiving vaginal progesterone treatment has lowserum P4. Adding rectally administered progesterone in these patients increases the reproductive outcome. Importantly, rectal progesterone administration is considered convenient, and progesterone pessaries are easy to administer rectally and of low cost. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): Gedeon Richter Nordic supported the study with an unrestricted grant as well as study medication. B.A. has received unrestricted grant from Gedeon Richter Nordic and Merck and honoraria for lectures from Gedeon Richter, Merck, IBSA and Marckyrl Pharma. P.H. has received honoraria for lectures from Gedeon Richter, Merck, IBSA and U.S.K. has received grant from Gedeon Richter Nordic, IBSA and Merck for studies outside this work and honoraria for teaching from Merck and Thillotts Pharma AB and conference expenses covered by Merck. The other co-authors have no conflict of interest to declare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER (25): EudraCT no.: 2019-001539-29.

Endometriosis patients benefit from high serum progesterone in hormone replacement therapy-frozen embryo transfer cycles: a cohort study.

RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the optimal serum progesterone cut-off level in patients with endometriosis undergoing hormone replacement therapy frozen embryo transfer (HRT-FET) with intensive progesterone luteal phase support? DESIGN: A cohort study, including 262 HRT-FET cycles in 179 patients all diagnosed with endometriosis either by laparoscopy or by ultrasound in patients with visible endometriomas. Pre-treatment consisted of 42 days of oral contraceptive pills and 5 days' wash-out, followed by 6 mg oral oestrogen daily. Exogenous progesterone supplementation with vaginal progesterone gel 90 mg/12h commenced when the endometrium was 7 mm or thicker. From the fourth day of vaginal progesterone supplementation, patients also received intramuscular progesterone 50 mg daily. Blastocyst transfer was scheduled for the sixth day of progesterone supplementation. RESULTS: The overall positive HCG, live birth (LBR) and total pregnancy loss rates were 60%, 39% and 34%, respectively. The optimal progesterone cut-off level was 118 nmol/l (37.1 ng/ml) defined as the maximum of the Youden index. The unadjusted LBR was significantly higher in patients with progesterone measuring 118 nmol/l or above compared with patients with progesterone measuring less than 118 nmol/l (51% [44/86] versus 34% [59/176], P = 0.01), whereas the adjusted odds ratio for a live birth was 2.1 (95% CI 1.2 to 3.7) after adjusting for age, body mass index, blastocyst score, blastocyst age, quality and number of blastocysts transferred. CONCLUSIONS: Serum progesterone levels above 118 nmol/l (37.1ng/ml) resulted in significantly higher LBR compared with lower serum progesterone levels, suggesting that a threshold for optimal serum progesterone exists.

Comparison of the efficacy of subcutaneous versus vaginal progesterone using a rescue protocol in vitrified blastocyst transfer cycles.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Does administration of subcutaneous (s.c.) progesterone support ongoing pregnancy rates (OPR) similar to vaginal progesterone using a rescue protocol in hormone replacement therapy frozen embryo transfer cycles? DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. Two sequential cohorts - vaginal progesterone gel (December 2019-October 2021; n=474) and s.c. progesterone (November 2021-November 2022; n=249) -were compared. Following oestrogen priming, s.c. progesterone 25 mg twice daily (b.d.) or vaginal progesterone gel 90 mg b.d. was administered. Serum progesterone was measured 1 day prior to warmed blastocyst transfer (i.e. day 5 of progesterone administration). In patients with serum progesterone concentrations <8.75 ng/ml, additional s.c. progesterone (rescue protocol; 25 mg) was provided. RESULTS: In the vaginal progesterone gel group, 15.8% of patients had serum progesterone <8.75 ng/ml and received the rescue protocol, whereas no patients in the s.c. progesterone group received the rescue protocol. OPR, along with positive pregnancy and clinical pregnancy rates, were comparable between the s.c. progesterone group without the rescue protocol and the vaginal progesterone gel group with the rescue protocol. After the rescue protocol, the route of progesterone administration was not a significant predictor of ongoing pregnancy. The impact of different serum progesterone concentrations on reproductive outcomes was evaluated by percentile (<10th, 10-49th, 50-90th and >90th percentiles), taking the >90th percentile as the reference subgroup. In both the vaginal progesterone gel group and the s.c. progesterone group, all serum progesterone percentile subgroups had similar OPR. CONCLUSIONS: Subcutaneous progesterone 25 mg b.d. secures serum progesterone >8.75 ng/ml, whereas additional exogenous progesterone (rescue protocol) was needed in 15.8% of patients who received vaginal progesterone. The s.c. and vaginal progesterone routes, with the rescue protocol if needed, yield comparable OPR.

Comparison of serum progesterone levels on the day of frozen embryo transfers according to type of endometrial preparation: a single centre, retrospective study.

The live birth rate following embryo transfer is comparable between spontaneous, stimulated and artificial cycles. However, the pregnancy loss rate appears elevated with hormonal therapy, possibly due to luteal insufficiency. This study aimed to determine whether the serum progesterone level on transfer day differed according to the endometrial preparation method for frozen embryo transfer (FET). Twenty spontaneous cycles (SC), 27 ovarian stimulation cycles (OS) and 65 artificial cycles (AC) were retrospectively studied from May to December 2019 in a single French hospital. The primary endpoint was the level of serum progesterone on the day of FET between the three endometrial preparation methods. The mean serum progesterone level on transfer day was 29.47 ng/ml in the OS group versus 20.03 ng/ml in the SC group and 14.32 ng/ml AC group (P < 0.0001). Progesterone levels remained significantly different after logistic regression on age and anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level. There was no significant difference in demographic and hormone characteristics (age, body mass index, embryo stage of embryo, type of infertility, basal follicle stimulating hormone, luteinizing hormone, estradiol and AMH levels), endometrial thickness, number and type of embryos transferred, duration of infertility, pregnancy rate, live birth rate and pregnancy loss rate. No difference was found in serum progesterone levels between clinical pregnancy with fetal heartbeat and no clinical pregnancy (no pregnancy or pregnancy loss, 17.49 ng/ml vs 20.83 ng/ml, respectively, P = 0.07). The lower serum progesterone level found on FET day in the AC group should be further investigated to see whether this difference has a clinical effect on the live birth rate.

A model for predicting low progesterone levels on the day of embryo transfer in hormonally prepared vitrified-warmed embryo transfer cycles: A secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study.

AIM: To develop a model that predicts low progesterone (P) levels on the day of embryo transfer (ET) based on patient and cycle characteristics, including serum estradiol (E2 ) concentration after vaginal administration of micronized E2 for endometrial preparation. METHODS: A prospective cohort of 193 patients scheduled for cryopreserved blastocyst transfer during an artificial endometrial preparation cycle, using micronized E2 vaginally for first 4 days (4 mg/day), followed by oral administration (6 mg/day). Blood sampling for E2 was performed prospectively on day-5 of vaginal administration and analysis was performed retrospectively. On sixth day of P treatment (daily 300 mg of vaginal micronized P tablets), P levels were measured on ET day. Primary outcome measure was serum P levels after vaginal E2 administration. RESULTS: Patients with low P levels on the day of ET (<7.8 ng/mL, 25th percentile) were heavier (p < 0.001) and exhibited lower day 5 serum E2 levels (p < 0.001) compared with patients with adequate P levels. Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that weight (p = 0.003) and day 5 E2 levels (p < 0.001) were independently associated with the P levels. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values (%) were 71.4, 55.6, 35.4, and 85.1 for weight ≥ 65 kg; 71.4, 61.8, 38.9, and 86.4 for day 5 E2 ≤ 1615 pg/mL; 59.2, 83.3, 54.7, and 85.7 for the combination of these two variables; and 82.9, 62.5, 54.7, and 87.0 for the sequential inclusion of these variables, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Low day 5 E2 levels following vaginal administration and high weight are independently associated with low P levels on the day of ET. Predictive performance is enhanced when these variables are considered sequentially or in combination.

The addition of dydrogesterone improves the outcomes of pregnant women with low progesterone levels when receiving vaginal progesterone alone as luteal support in HRT-FET cycles.

Purpose: Vaginal progesterone (VP) alone has been used as luteal support (LS) in HRT-FET cycles without measuring serum progesterone concentrations (SPC) because it can achieve adequate intrauterine progesterone levels. However, several reports showed that the co-administration of progestin produced better outcomes than VP alone. We tried to address this discrepancy, focusing on SPC. Methods: VP was given to 180 women undergoing HRT-FET. We measured SPC when pregnancy was diagnosed on day 14 of LS. We compared assisted reproductive technology outcomes between VP alone versus VP + dydrogesterone (D). Results: When using VP alone, average SPC in the miscarriage cases (9.6 ng/mL) were significantly lower compared with the ongoing pregnancy (OP) cases (14.7 ng/mL). The cut-off value for progesterone, 10.7 ng/mL, was a good predictor for the subsequent course of the pregnancy. Of 76 women receiving D ± VP from the start of LS and achieving a pregnancy, the numbers of OP were 44 (84.6%) in SPC ≥ 10.7 ng/mL and 20 (83.3%) in SPC ≤ 10.7 ng/mL with no significant difference. Conclusion: VP alone resulted in lower SPC in some pregnant women in HRT-FET cycles and exhibited a lower OP rate. The co-administration of D improved an OP rate of low progesterone cases to the level comparable with non-low progesterone cases.

Are serum progesterone measurements truly representative for the identification of an adequate luteal phase in hormonal replacement therapy frozen embryo transfers?

ABSTRACT: Progesterone (P4) is crucial for the achievement and maintenance of a pregnancy and with rising numbers of frozen embryo transfers (FETs) performed worldwide, the search for the 'optimal' P4 levels in HRT FET cycles became a focus of research. Certainly, measurement of systemic P4 levels is an easy applicable tool and P4 levels, considered as being too low, could be addressed by changing and/or increasing exogenously administered P4. However, the question must be raised whether the sole measurement of systemic P4 levels is reflective for the endometrial status and the endometrial receptivity in HRT FET cycles, since systemic P4 levels do not reflect the dynamic of the endometrial changes, deemed necessary to prepare the endometrium for implantation. Moreover, different types of P4 administration routes will exhibit distinct different patterns of P4 release, affecting the process of secretory transformation and last but not least, embryonic factors are almost fully neglected in this concept. This opinion article aims to raise critical points towards the 'sole' focus on systemic P4 levels in HRT FET cycles and raises the question whether 'serum P4 measurements are truly representative for the identification of an adequate luteal phase in HRT FETs'?.

Clinical factors associated with low serum progesterone levels on the day of frozen blastocyst transfer in hormonal replacement therapy cycles.

STUDY QUESTION: Which factors are associated with low serum progesterone (P) levels on the day of frozen embryo transfer (FET), in HRT cycles? SUMMARY ANSWER: BMI, parity and non-European geographic origin are factors associated with low serum P levels on the day of FET in HRT cycles. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The detrimental impact of low serum P concentrations on HRT-FET outcomes is commonly recognized. However, the factors accounting for P level disparities among patients receiving the same luteal phase support treatment remain to be elucidated, to help clinicians predicting which subgroups of patients would benefit from a tailored P supplementation. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Observational cohort study with 915 patients undergoing HRT-FET at a tertiary care university hospital, between January 2019 and March 2020. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Patients undergoing single autologous blastocyst FET under HRT using exogenous estradiol and vaginal micronized progesterone for endometrial preparation. Women were only included once during the study period. The serum progesterone level was measured in the morning of the FET, in a single laboratory. Independent factors associated with low serum P levels (defined as ≤9.8 ng/ml, according to a previous published study) were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Two hundred and twenty-six patients (24.7%) had a low serum P level, on the day of the FET. Patients with a serum P level ≤9.8 ng/ml had a lower live birth rate (26.1% vs 33.2%, P = 0.045) and a higher rate of early miscarriage (35.2% vs 21.5%, P = 0.008). Univariate analysis showed that BMI (P < 0.001), parity (P = 0.001), non-European geographic origin (P = 0.001), the duration of infertility (P = 0.018) and the use of oral estradiol for endometrial preparation (P = 0.009) were significantly associated with low serum P levels. Moreover, the proportion of active smokers was significantly lower in the 'low P concentrations' group (P = 0.002). After multivariate analysis, BMI (odds ratio (OR) 1.06 95% CI (1.02-1.11), P = 0.002), parity (OR 1.32 95% CI (1.04-1.66), P = 0.022), non-European geographic origin (OR 1.70 95% CI (1.21-2.39), P = 0.002) and active smoking (OR 0.43 95% CI (0.22-0.87), P = 0.018) remained independent factors associated with serum P levels ≤9.8 ng/ml. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The main limitation of this study is its observational design, leading to a risk of selection and confusion bias that cannot be ruled out, although a multivariable analysis was performed to minimize this. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Extrapolation of our results to other laboratories, or other routes and/or doses of administering progesterone also needs to be validated. There is urgent need for future research on clinical factors affecting P concentrations and the underlying pathophysiological mechanisms, to help clinicians in predicting which subgroups of patients would benefit from individualized luteal phase support. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): No funding/no conflicts of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Low serum progesterone affects live birth rate in cryopreserved blastocyst transfer cycles using hormone replacement therapy.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Does serum progesterone concentration on the day of vitrified-warmed embryo transfer affect live birth rate (LBR) with hormonal replacement therapy (HRT) cycles? DESIGN: Observational cohort study of patients (n = 915) undergoing single autologous vitrified-warmed blastocyst transfer under HRT using vaginal micronized progesterone. Women were included once, between January 2019 and March 2020. Serum progesterone concentration was measured by a single laboratory on the morning of embryo transfer. The primary end point was LBR. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used for statistical analyses. RESULTS: Median (25th-75th percentile) serum progesterone concentration on the day of embryo transfer was 12.5 ng/ml (9.8-15.3). The LBR was 31.5% (288/915) in the overall population. No significant differences were found in implantation rates (40.7% versus 44.9%); LBR was significantly lower in women with a progesterone concentration ≤25th percentile (≤9.8 ng/ml) (26.1% versus 33.2%, P = 0.045) versus women with a progesterone concentration >25th percentile. This correlated with a significantly higher early miscarriage rate (35.9% versus 21.6%, P = 0.005). After adjusting for potential confounding factors in multivariate analysis, low serum progesterone levels (≤9.8 ng/ml) remained significantly associated with lower LBR (OR 0.68 95% CI 0.48 to 0.97). CONCLUSION: A minimum serum progesterone concentration is needed to optimize reproductive outcomes in HRT cycles with single autologous vitrified-warmed blastocyst transfer. Whether modifications of progesterone administration routes, dosage, or both, can improve pregnancy rates needs further study so that treatment of patients undergoing HRT cycles can be further individualized.

Impact of low serum progesterone levels on the day of embryo transfer on pregnancy outcome: a prospective cohort study in artificial cycles with vaginal progesterone.

STUDY QUESTION: Is there a serum progesterone (P) threshold on the day of embryo transfer (ET) in artificial endometrium preparation cycles below which the chances of ongoing pregnancy are reduced? SUMMARY ANSWER: Serum P levels <8.8 ng/ml on the day of ET lower ongoing pregnancy rate (OPR) in both own or donated oocyte cycles. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: We previously found that serum P levels <9.2 ng/ml on the day of ET significantly decrease OPR in a sample of 211 oocyte donation recipients. Here, we assessed whether these results are applicable to all infertile patients under an artificial endometrial preparation cycle, regardless of the oocyte origin. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This prospective cohort study was performed between September 2017 and November 2018 and enrolled 1205 patients scheduled for ET after an artificial endometrial preparation cycle with estradiol valerate and micronized vaginal P (MVP, 400 mg twice daily). PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Patients ≤50 years old with a triple-layer endometrium ≥6.5 mm underwent transfer of one or two blastocysts. A total of 1150 patients treated with own oocytes without preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidies (PGT-A) (n = 184), own oocytes with PGT-A (n = 308) or donated oocytes (n = 658) were analyzed. The primary endpoint was the OPR beyond pregnancy week 12 based on serum P levels measured immediately before ET. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Women with serum P levels <8.8 ng/ml (30th percentile) had a significantly lower OPR (36.6% vs 54.4%) and live birth rate (35.5% vs 52.0%) than the rest of the patients. Multivariate logistic regression showed that serum P < 8.8 ng/ml was an independent factor influencing OPR in the overall population and in the three treatment groups. A significant negative correlation was observed between serum P levels and BMI, weight and time between the last P dose and blood tests and a positive correlation was found with age, height and number of days on HRT. Multivariate logistic regression showed that only body weight was an independent factor for presenting serum P levels <8.8 ng/ml. Obstetrical and perinatal outcomes did not differ in patients with ongoing pregnancy regardless of serum P levels being above/below 8.8 ng/ml. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Only women with MVP were included. Extrapolation to other P administration forms needs to be validated. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This study identified the threshold of serum P as 8.8 ng/ml on the day of ET for artificial endometrial preparation cycles necessary to optimize outcomes, in cycles with own or donated oocytes. One-third of patients receiving MVP show inadequate levels of serum P that, in turn, impact the success of the ART cycle. Monitoring P levels in the mid-luteal phase is recommended when using MVP to adjust the doses according to the needs of the patient. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): None. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03272412.

Serum progesterone levels greater than 32.5 ng/ml on the day of embryo transfer are associated with lower live birth rate after artificial endometrial preparation: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Previous observational studies have highlighted the negative effects of serum hormone levels at the minimum threshold during frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles. However, still the questions regarding the maximum threshold level, and the highest allowed dosage of hormonal medications remain unresolved. The present study was conducted to determine whether there is any relationship between the serum progesterone and estradiol levels on the day of ET, and live birth rate (LBR) in patients receiving HRT in FET cycles. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, eligible women who were undergoing their first or second FET cycles with the top graded blastocyst stage embryos were included. All patients received the same HRT regimen. FET was scheduled 5 days after administration of the first dosage of progesterone. On the morning of ET, 4-6 h after the last dose of progesterone supplementation, the serum progesterone (P4, ng/ml) and estradiol (E2, pg/ml) levels were measured. RESULTS: Amongst the 258 eligible women that were evaluated, the overall LBR was 34.1 % (88/258). The serum P4 and E2 values were divided into four quartiles. The means of women's age and BMI were similar between the four quartiles groups. Regarding both P4 and E2 values, it was found that the LBR was significantly lower in the highest quartile group (Q4) compared with the others, (P = 0.002 and P = 0.042, respectively). The analysis of the multivariable logistic regression showed that the serum level of P4 on ET day, was the only significant predictive variable for LBR. The ROC curve revealed a significant predictive value of serum P4 levels on the day of ET for LBR, with an AUC = 0.61 (95 % CI: 0.54-0.68, P = 0.002). The optimum level of serum P4, with 70 % sensitivity and 50 %specificity for LBR, was 32.5 ng/ml. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that a serum P4 value at the maximum threshold on the day of FET is associated with reduced LBR following blastocyst transfer. Therefore, measuring and monitoring of P4 levels during FET cycles might be necessary. However, the results regarding the necessity for the screening of serum E2 levels before ET, are still controversial, and further prospective studies are required.

Subcutaneous luteal phase progesterone rescue rectifies ongoing pregnancy rates in hormone replacement therapy vitrified-warmed blastocyst transfer cycles.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Will luteal phase rescue with additional progesterone increase serum progesterone concentrations and improve reproductive outcomes in patients with low serum progesterone concentrations undergoing hormone replacement therapy (HRT) cycles? DESIGN: Case-control study including 40 consecutive patients with serum progesterone concentrations <8.75 ng/ml on the 5th day of progesterone supplementation who underwent rescue with a daily bolus of 25 mg s.c. progesterone, starting on the afternoon of the 5th day of progesterone administration. For every patient who underwent progesterone rescue, three patients matched by age, body mass index, number of previous attempts and number of blastocysts transferred, with serum progesterone concentration >8.75 ng/ml on the 5th day of progesterone administration served as controls (n = 120). The main outcome measure was ongoing pregnancy rate (OPR). RESULTS: Baseline demographic features and embryological data of the rescue and control groups were comparable. As expected, the mean serum progesterone concentration was lower in the rescue group on the 5th day of progesterone administration (7.84 ± 0.92 versus 15.32 ± 5.02 ng/ml; P < 0.001). Following rescue, the mean serum progesterone concentration on the day of vitrified-warmed embryo transfer (6th day of progesterone administration) was 33.43 ± 10.83 ng/ml (range 14.61-82.64 ng/ml), and the OPR of the rescue and control groups were comparable. CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing HRT vitrified-warmed blastocyst transfer with serum progesterone concentrations lower than 8.75 ng/ml 1 day prior to the scheduled embryo transfer (6th day of progesterone administration), additional supplementation with a 25 mg s.c. daily progesterone dose seems to rescue the cycle, resulting in OPR comparable to those of patients with serum progesterone >8.75 ng/ml.

The efficiency of progesterone/estradiol and progesterone/follicle ratio without elevated trigger-day progesterone levels on the reproductive outcomes of GnRH antagonist IVF/ICSI cycles.

AIM: To assess the predictive value of serum progesterone/estradiol (P/E2) and serum progesterone/follicle (P/F) ratios on the reproductive outcomes of women without elevated trigger-day progesterone levels undergoing GnRH-antagonist IVF (in vitro fertilization)/ICSI (intracytoplasmic sperm injection) cycles. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study in a university teaching hospital conducted between January 2017 and December 2019. Couples who underwent assisted reproduction cycles were evaluated. Initially, 978 cycles were evaluated and only GnRH antagonist cycles (n = 505) without elevated trigger-day progesterone levels were analyzed after respecting exclusion criteria. RESULTS: A total of 505 cycles were analyzed after the exclusion criteria were met. The clinical pregnancy rate, ongoing pregnancy rate, and live birth rate were 45.5%, 30.9%, and 27.8%, respectively. Cutoff values of P/E2 and P/F ratios that were discriminative for achieving or not achieving clinical pregnancy were 0.36 and 0.17, respectively. The clinical pregnancy rates were found to be significantly different between below and above P/E2 cutoff values (49.8% vs. 40.1%, respectively, p = .031), while there were no significant differences between below and above P/F cutoff values regarding the pregnancy outcomes. CONCLUSION: The P/E2 and P/F ratios were found to be more efficient and reliable markers than serum progesterone level alone in predicting the reproductive outcomes of assisted reproduction cycles without a premature rise in serum progesterone levels. A P/E2 ratio ≤0.36 and a P/F ratio ≤0.17 significantly improved the cycle outcomes.

Women utilizing oocyte donation have a decreased live birth rate if they displayed a low progesterone level in a previous hormonal replacement mock cycle.

PURPOSE: Is serum progesterone(P) level on day 2 of vaginal P administration in a hormonally substituted mock cycle predictive of live birth in oocyte donation(OD)? METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 110 mock cycles from 2008 to 2016 of OD recipients having at least one subsequent embryo transfer (ET). Endometrial preparation consisted of sequential administration of vaginal estradiol, followed by transdermal estradiol and 600 mg/day vaginal micronized P. In mock cycles, serum P was measured 2 days after vaginal P introduction. OD was performed 1 to 3 years later, without P measurement. RESULTS: In mock cycles, mean serum P level on day 2 was 12.8 ± 4.5 ng/mL (range: 4-28 ng/mL). A total of 32% patients had P < 10 ng/mL. At the time of first OD, age of recipients and donors, number of retrieved and attributed oocytes, and number of transferred embryos were comparable between patients with P < 10 ng/mL in their mock cycles compared with P ≥ 10 ng/mL. Pregnancy and live birth rate after first ET were significantly lower for patients with P < 10ng/mL (9% vs. 35 %; P = 0.002 and 9% vs. 32%; P = 0.008, respectively). Considering both fresh and subsequent frozen-thawed ET, cumulative live birth rate per-patient and per-transfer were significantly lower in patients with P < 10 ng/mL in their mock cycle (14% vs. 35%; P = 0.02 and 11% vs. 27%; P = 0.03). CONCLUSION: A low P level in hormonally substituted cycles several years before ET performed with the same endometrial preparation is associated with a significantly lower chance of live birth. This suggests that altered vaginal P absorption is a permanent phenomenon. Monitoring serum P in hormonally substituted cycles appears mandatory to adjust luteal P substitution.

Low progesterone levels on the day before natural cycle frozen embryo transfer are negatively associated with live birth rates.

STUDY QUESTION: Are progesterone (P) levels on the day before natural cycle frozen embryo transfer (NC-FET) associated with live birth rate (LBR)? SUMMARY ANSWER: Regular ovulatory women undergoing NC-FET with serum P levels <10 ng/ml on the day before blastocyst transfer have a significantly lower LBR than those with serum P levels >10 ng/ml. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The importance of serum P levels around the time of embryo transfer in patients undergoing FET under artificial endometrial preparation has been well established. However, no study has analyzed the importance of serum P levels in patients undergoing FET under a true natural endometrial preparation cycle. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This was a retrospective cohort study including 294 frozen blastocyst transfers under natural cycle endometrial preparation at a university-affiliated fertility centre between January 2016 and January 2019. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: All patients had regular menstrual cycles and underwent NC-FET with their own oocytes. Only patients who had undergone serum P measurement between 8 am and 11 am on the day before FET were included. Patients did not receive any external medication for endometrial preparation or luteal phase support. Patients were divided into two groups according to serum P levels below or above 10 ng/ml on the day before FET. Univariate analysis was carried out to describe and compare the cycle characteristics with reproductive outcomes. To evaluate the effect of P, a multivariable logistic model was fitted for each outcome after adjusting for confounding variables. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Mean serum P levels on the day before FET were significantly higher in patients who had a live birth compared to those who did not (14.5 ± 7.0 vs 12.0 ± 6.6 ng/ml, 95% CI [0.83; 4.12]). The overall clinical pregnancy rate (CPR) and LBR were 42.9% and 35.4%, respectively. Patients in the higher P group (>10 ng/ml) had a higher LBR (41.1% vs 25.7%: risk difference (RD) 15.4%, 95% CI [5; 26]) and CPR (48.6% vs 33.0%: RD 15.6%, 95% CI [4; 27]). Patients with higher serum P levels on the day before FET (63% of patients) had an improved LBR (odds ratio: 1.05; 95% CI [1.02; 1.09]). Women with serum P levels <10 ng/ml on the day before FET (37% of patients) had significantly higher weights (62.5 ± 9.9 vs 58.1 ± 7.1 kg, 95% CI [1.92; 6.90]) and BMI (22.9 ± 3.6 vs 21.6 ± 2.7 kg/m2, 95% CI [0.42; 2.25]) compared to patients with P levels >10 ng/ml. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The main limitation of our study is its retrospective design. Other potential limitations are the detection of LH surge through urine testing and the inclusion of patients who did and did not undergo preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidies. The protocol used in our institution for monitoring NC-FET does not look for the onset of progesterone secretion by the corpus luteum, and a slow luteinisation process or delay of corpus luteum function cannot be ruled out. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: We provide evidence that a minimum serum P threshold (P >10 ng/ml) might be required for improved reproductive outcomes in NC-FET. This result suggests that there are different mechanisms by which P is produced and/or distributed by each patient. This study also provides an excellent model to evaluate the impact of luteal phase defect through NC-FET. A prospective evaluation to assess whether P supplementation should be individualised according to patient's needs is necessary to support our findings. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): No external funding was used, and there are no competing interests.