Assessing farmers' willingness to pay for FMD vaccines and factors influencing payment: a contingent valuation study in central Oromia, Ethiopia.

BACKGROUND: Foot and mouth disease is a contagious, transboundary, and economically devastating viral disease of cloven-hoofed animals. The disease can cause many consequences, including decreased productivity, limited market access, and elimination of flocks or herds. This study aimed to assess farmers' willingness to pay (WTP) for foot and mouth disease (FMD) vaccines and identify factors influencing their WTP. A cross-sectional questionnaire survey was conducted on 396 randomly selected livestock-owning farmers from three districts in the central Oromia region (Ambo, Dendi, and Holeta districts. The study utilized the contingent valuation method, specifically employing dichotomous choice bids with double bounds, to evaluate the willingness to pay (WTP) for the FMD vaccine. Mean WTP was assessed using interval regression, and influential factors were identified. RESULTS: The study revealed that the farmer's mean willingness to pay for a hypothetical foot and mouth disease vaccine was 37.5 Ethiopian Birr (ETB) [95% confidence interval [CI]: 34.5 40.58] in all data, while it was 23.84 (95% CI: 21.47-26.28) in the mixed farming system and 64.87 Ethiopian Birr (95% CI: 58.68 71.15) in the market-oriented farming system. We identified main livelihood, management system, sales income, breed, keeping animals for profit, and foot and mouth disease impact perception score as significant variables (p ≤ 0.05) determining the farmers' WTP for the FMD vaccine. CONCLUSION: Farmers demonstrated a high computed willingness to pay, which can be considered an advantage in the foot and mouth disease vaccination program in central Oromia. Therefore, it is necessary to ensure sufficient vaccine supply services to meet the high demand revealed.

Evaluation of human resources needed and comparison with human resources available to implement emergency vaccination in case of foot and mouth disease outbreaks in Tunisia.

Foot and mouth disease (FMD) is a highly contagious viral disease that affects domestic and wild artiodactyl animals and causes considerable economic losses related to outbreak management, production losses and trade impacts. In Tunisia, the last FMD outbreak took place in 2018-2019. The effectiveness of control measures implemented to control FMD depends, in particular, on the human resources used to implement them. Tunisia has the ultimate objective of obtaining OIE status as 'FMD-free with vaccination'. The aim of this study was to determine and compare the necessary and available human resources to control FMD outbreaks in Tunisia using emergency vaccination and to assess the gaps that would play a role in the implementation of the strategy. We developed a resources-requirement grid of necessary human resources for the management of the emergency vaccination campaign launched after the identification of a FMD-infected premises in Tunisia. Field surveys, conducted in the 24 governorates of Tunisia, allowed quantifying the available human resources for several categories of skills considered in the resources-requirement grid. For each governorate, we then compared available and necessary human resources to implement vaccination according to eight scenarios mixing generalised or cattle-targeted vaccination and different levels of human resources. The resources-requirement grid included 11 tasks in three groups: management of FMD-infected premises, organisational tasks and vaccination implementation. The available human resources for vaccination-related tasks included veterinarians and technicians from the public sector and appointed private veterinarians. The comparison of available and necessary human resources showed vaccination-related tasks to be the most time-consuming in terms of managing a FMD outbreak. Increasing the available human resources using appointed private veterinarians allowed performing the emergency vaccination of animals in the governorate in due time, especially if vaccination was targeted on cattle. The overall approach was validated by comparing the predicted and observed durations of a vaccination campaign conducted under the same conditions as during the 2014 Tunisian outbreak. This study could provide support to the Tunisian Veterinary Services or to other countries to optimise the management of a FMD outbreak.

Quantifying the Value of Perfect Information in Emergency Vaccination Campaigns.

Foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks in non-endemic countries can lead to large economic costs and livestock losses but the use of vaccination has been contentious, partly due to uncertainty about emergency FMD vaccination. Value of information methods can be applied to disease outbreak problems such as FMD in order to investigate the performance improvement from resolving uncertainties. Here we calculate the expected value of resolving uncertainty about vaccine efficacy, time delay to immunity after vaccination and daily vaccination capacity for a hypothetical FMD outbreak in the UK. If it were possible to resolve all uncertainty prior to the introduction of control, we could expect savings of £55 million in outbreak cost, 221,900 livestock culled and 4.3 days of outbreak duration. All vaccination strategies were found to be preferable to a culling only strategy. However, the optimal vaccination radius was found to be highly dependent upon vaccination capacity for all management objectives. We calculate that by resolving the uncertainty surrounding vaccination capacity we would expect to return over 85% of the above savings, regardless of management objective. It may be possible to resolve uncertainty about daily vaccination capacity before an outbreak, and this would enable decision makers to select the optimal control action via careful contingency planning.

An economic assessment of foot and mouth disease in Japan.

A large-scale foot and mouth disease (FMD) epidemic in Japan in 2010 caused severe economic losses for livestock and related industries. In this paper, the authors develop a clear and usable framework to estimate the economic impact of this FMD outbreak. An economic analysis is then conducted by combining this framework with an epidemiological model. The framework estimates the direct and indirect costs to livestock and related industries by applying an input-output model, as well as by addressing expenditure on disease control. The direct cost to the livestock industry was estimated at 51.2 billion Japanese yen (JPY), engendering an indirect cost to related industries of JPY 25.5 billion. The expenditure for disease control activities was estimated at JPY 8.2 billion. The total impact of the 2010 FMD epidemic was estimated at almost JPY 85 billion. Within the economic analysis, the authors evaluate several control measure scenarios: a baseline scenario, which assumes that the rapid disease spread observed in the early phase of the 2010 FMD epidemic would continue; prompt culling within 24 hours; early detection of the first case; and emergency vaccination within a radius of 10 km around the affected farms in either seven or 28 days. Prompt culling and early detection were superior from an economic point of view, reducing the total economic impact to 30% and 2% of that in the baseline scenario, respectively. Compared with these scenarios, vaccination was less cost effective. However, vaccination suppressed the speed of disease spread and shortened the duration of the epidemic, suggesting its potential effectiveness in curbing rapid disease spread in a densely populated area.

Une épizootie de fièvre aphteuse de grande envergure survenue au Japon en 2010 a entraîné de graves pertes économiques pour la filière de l'élevage et les secteurs connexes. Les auteurs proposent un cadre d'évaluation clair pour estimer l'impact économique de ce foyer de fièvre aphteuse. Ils effectuent ensuite une analyse économique dans laquelle ce cadre d'évaluation est relié à un modèle épidémiologique. Les coûts directs et indirects subis par la filière de l'élevage et par les secteurs connexes sont évalués dans ce cadre en appliquant un modèle entrées­sorties (input­output) et en prenant en compte les dépenses liées à la lutte contre la maladie. Le coût direct de la maladie pour la filière de l'élevage a été estimé à 51,2 milliards de yens japonais, auxquels s'ajoute le coût indirect pour les secteurs connexes estimé à 25,5 milliards de yens japonais. Les dépenses induites par la lutte contre la maladie s'élèvent à 8,2 milliards de yens japonais. L'impact total de l'épizootie de fièvre aphteuse de 2010 est estimé à près de 85 milliards de yens japonais. Dans leur analyse économique, les auteurs ont évalué plusieurs scénarios relatifs aux mesures de lutte appliquées : un scénario de base, qui suppose une propagation de la maladie au même rythme que durant la phase initiale de l'épidémie de 2010 ; l'abattage rapide des animaux en 24 heures ; la détection précoce du premier cas ; l'application de la vaccination d'urgence dans un périmètre de 10 km autour des exploitations affectées et dans un délai de sept ou de 28 jours. Par rapport au scénario de base, l'abattage rapide et la détection précoce sont les meilleurs scénarios du point de vue économique, réduisant l'impact économique total respectivement à 30 % et 2 % de celui du scénario de base. Comparativement à ces scénarios, la vaccination est la solution la moins efficiente économiquement. Néanmoins, la vaccination a freiné la propagation de la maladie et limité la durée de l'épidémie, ce qui laisse penser qu'elle permettrait d'infléchir la courbe de propagation de la maladie dans les zones à forte densité de bétail.

En 2010 se produjo en el Japón una epidemia de fiebre aftosa de grandes proporciones, que causó graves pérdidas económicas a la industria ganadera y demás sectores conexos. Los autores describen un método claro para estimar el impacto económico de dicho brote. Acto seguido, llevan a cabo un análisis económico combinando este método con un modelo epidemiológico. El método permite estimar los costos directos e indirectos que soportan la industria ganadera y demás sectores conexos aplicando un modelo de «insumoproducto ¼ (input­output) y teniendo también en cuenta los gastos ligados al control de la enfermedad. Según los cálculos, el costo directo para la industria ganadera fue de 51 200 millones de yenes japoneses y el costo indirecto para los sectores conexos fue de 25 500 millones de yenes. Se estimó que las actividades de lucha contra la enfermedad supusieron gastos por valor de 8 200 millones. En total, pues, según estas estimaciones, el impacto económico de la epidemia de fiebre aftosa de 2010 se cifra en casi 85 000 millones de yenes. Como parte del análisis económico, los autores evalúan varias hipótesis relativas a las medidas de control: una hipótesis básica, en la cual prosigue sin trabas la veloz propagación de la enfermedad observada en la primera fase de la epidemia de 2010; la rápida implantación, en un plazo de 24 horas, de medidas de sacrificio sanitario; la pronta detección del primer caso; y la vacunación de emergencia dentro de un radio de 10 km alrededor de las explotaciones afectadas, en un plazo de siete días o en un plazo de 28 días. Desde un punto de vista económico, el rápido sacrificio sanitario y la pronta detección ofrecían mejores resultados, pues reducían el impacto económico total hasta un 30% y un 2%, respectivamente, del registrado en la hipótesis básica. En comparación con esas dos hipótesis, la vacunación ofrecía menos eficacia en relación con el costo, aunque frenaba la rápida propagación de la enfermedad y abreviaba la epidemia, de donde se infiere que puede resultar eficaz para contener la rápida dispersión de la enfermedad en áreas densamente pobladas.

Animal health economics: an aid to decisionmaking on animal health interventions - case studies in the United States of America.

For animal disease events the outcomes and consequences often remain unclear or uncertain, including the expected changes in benefits (e.g. profit to firms, prices to consumers) and in costs (e.g. response, clean-up). Moreover, the measurement of changes in benefits and costs across alternative interventions used to control animal disease events may be inexact. For instance, the economic consequences of alternative vaccination strategies to mitigate a disease can vary in magnitude due to trade embargoes and other factors. The authors discuss the economic measurement of animal disease outbreaks and interventions and how measurement is used in private and public decision-making. Two illustrative case studies in the United States of America are provided: a hypothetical outbreak of foot and mouth disease in cattle, and the 2014-2015 outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza in poultry.

Lors d'un événement sanitaire, les résultats et les conséquences d'une intervention sont souvent incertains ou imprécis, y compris pour ce qui concerne l'évolution attendue des bénéfices (par ex. le profit pour les entreprises ou le prix payé par le consommateur) et des coûts (par ex. le coût de la réponse ou de l'assainissement). De plus, la mesure de l'évolution des bénéfices et des coûts suivant les différentes interventions utilisées pour lutter contre les maladies animales peut s'avérer inexacte. Par exemple, les conséquences économiques de différentes stratégies de vaccination visant à atténuer l'impact d'une maladie peuvent varier en ordre de grandeur du fait des restrictions imposées au commerce suite à la vaccination, ou d'autres facteurs. Les auteurs examinent l'évaluation économique des foyers de maladies animales et des interventions sanitaires ainsi que l'utilisation de ces évaluations dans les prises de décision du secteur privé et public. L'analyse est illustrée par deux études de cas aux États- Unis d'Amérique : l'hypothèse d'un foyer de fièvre aphteuse survenant dans la population bovine, et le foyer d'influenza aviaire hautement pathogène survenu en 2014­2015 chez les volailles.

A menudo los resultados o efectos de ciertos episodios zoosanitarios quedan poco claros o generan incertidumbre, por ejemplo sobre el modo en que en principio modifican los beneficios (réditos para las empresas, precios para el consumidor) y los costos (p.ej. de respuesta o de saneamiento de la explotación). Además, la medición de los cambios que experimenten los costos y beneficios a resultas de distintas intervenciones posibles para combatir un episodio zoosanitario puede resultar inexacta. Por ejemplo: las consecuencias económicas de estrategias alternativas de vacunación para mitigar una enfermedad pueden ser de magnitud variable dependiendo de la existencia de embargos comerciales u otros factores. Los autores examinan la cuantificación económica de los brotes de enfermedades animales y las intervenciones para combatirlos y explican cómo se utilizan esas mediciones para tomar decisiones en los sectores público y privado, ofreciendo como ejemplo casos situados en los Estados Unidos de América: un brote hipotético de fiebre aftosa en el ganado vacuno y el brote de influenza aviar altamente patógena que en 2014 y 2015 afectó a las aves de corral.

Review of the foot and mouth disease situation in North Africa and the risk of introducing the disease into Europe.

Foot and mouth disease (FMD) is a highly contagious disease of cloven-hoofed animals, including cattle, pigs, sheep, goats, and certain wildlife species. The disease can cause massive economic losses when introduced into countries that were free from the infection, generating negative effects due to reduced animal productivity and restrictions on international livestock trade. Following 15 years of FMD absence, Tunisia and Algeria experienced an incursion of the disease in 2014. The epidemiological situation and disease control measures in operation for FMD in the North African region are not homogeneous. The FMD virus detected in Tunisia and Algeria during the epidemic in 2014 showed 99% identity with a strain isolated in Libya in 2013. Morocco was not affected by the 2014 epidemic but it started a preventive vaccination campaign for cattle in August of that year. The relatively short distance between the North African continent and southern Europe may facilitate the introduction of pathogens, including FMD virus. The history of infectious diseases demonstrates that the Mediterranean Sea is not a sufficient barrier to viral infections. Considering the geography and the FMD situation in North African countries, strong and coordinated intervention strategies are required, including economic, political and disease control aspects, to prevent the spread of FMD to other countries in North Africa or to other regions, e.g. southern Europe. Regional platforms such as the Mediterranean Animal Health Network (REMESA) could play a crucial role in coordinating and managing animal health crises, such as the 2014 FMD epidemic.

La fièvre aphteuse est une maladie extrêmement contagieuse affectant les artiodactyles, c'est-à-dire les bovins, les porcs, les ovins, les caprins et un certain nombre d'espèces de la faune sauvage. La maladie peut provoquer des pertes économiques considérables en cas d'introduction dans des pays précédemment indemnes, l'impact négatif étant dû à la baisse de productivité et aux restrictions imposées aux échanges internationaux de produits de l'élevage. Après avoir été indemnes de fièvre aphteuse pendant 15 ans, la Tunisie et l'Algérie ont subi une incursion de la maladie en 2014. La situation épidémiologique de la fièvre aphteuse et les mesures de contrôle en vigueur en Afrique du Nord sont très hétérogènes. Les séquences du virus de la fièvre aphteuse détecté en Tunisie et en Algérie durant l'épizootie de 2014 présentaient un pourcentage d'identité de 99 % avec celles d'une souche isolée en Libye en 2013. Bien que n'ayant pas été affecté par l'épizootie de 2014, le Maroc a lancé une campagne de vaccination préventive des bovins en août de cette même année. La distance assez courte séparant l'Afrique du Nord du Sud de l'Europe peut faciliter l'introduction d'agents pathogènes, y compris le virus de la fièvre aphteuse. L'histoire des maladies infectieuses a montré que la mer Méditerranée ne constitue pas une barrière suffisante pour arrêter les infections virales. Compte tenu de ce facteur géographique et de la situation de la fièvre aphteuse dans les pays d'Afrique du Nord, des stratégies robustes et concertées doivent être mises en place, couvrant les aspects tant économiques et politiques que de contrôle de la maladie, afin d'empêcher que la fièvre aphteuse ne se propage vers d'autres pays d'Afrique du Nord ou dans d'autres régions, dont l'Europe méridionale. Les plateformes régionales telles que le Réseau méditerranéen de santé animale (REMESA) pourraient jouer un rôle essentiel dans la coordination et la gestion des crises de santé animale comme l'épizootie de fièvre aphteuse de 2014.

La fiebre aftosa es una enfermedad sumamente contagiosa que afecta a los animales biungulados, esto es, el ganado bovino, porcino, ovino y caprino, así como ciertas especies salvajes. Al ser introducida en países donde hasta entonces no estaba presente, la enfermedad trae consigo una serie de efectos negativos, debidos a la caída de la productividad animal y a la imposición de restricciones al comercio internacional de ganado, que pueden acarrear ingentes pérdidas económicas. En 2014, tras 15 años sin fiebre aftosa, Túnez y Argelia sufrieron una incursión de la enfermedad. La situación epidemiológica y las medidas de control de la fiebre aftosa vigentes en la región norteafricana no son homogéneas. El virus de la fiebre aftosa detectado en Túnez y Argelia durante la epidemia de 2014 mostraba una coincidencia de identidad del 99% con una cepa aislada en Libia en 2013. Aunque no se vio afectado por la epidemia de 2014, Marruecos puso en marcha en agosto de ese año una campaña preventiva de vacunación del ganado vacuno. El hecho de que el norte del continente africano y el sur de Europa estén relativamente cercanos puede facilitar la introducción de patógenos, entre ellos el virus de la fiebre aftosa. La historia de las enfermedades infecciosas demuestra que el Mar Mediterráneo no constituye una barrera suficiente para contener las infecciones víricas. Habida cuenta de los factores geográficos y de la situación de la fiebre aftosa en los países norteafricanos, para impedir que la fiebre aftosa se propague a otros países del norte de África o a otras regiones, como Europa meridional, se precisan estrategias de intervención sólidas y coordinadas, que comprendan aspectos tanto económicos como políticos y de lucha zoosanitaria. Los dispositivos regionales, del estilo de la red mediterránea de sanidad animal (REMESA), pueden cumplir una función esencial en la coordinación y gestión de crisis zoosanitarias, como fue la epidemia de fiebre aftosa de 2014.

Unveiling the spatial distribution and transboundary pathways of FMD serotype O in Western China and its bordering countries.

Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is a severe, highly contagious viral disease of livestock that has a significant economic impact on domestic animals and threatens wildlife survival in China and border countries. However, effective surveillance and prevention of this disease is often incomplete and unattainable due to the cost, the great diversity of wildlife hosts, the changing range and dynamics, and the diversity of FMDV. In this study, we used predictive models to reveal the spread and risk of FMD in anticipation of identifying key nodes to control its spread. For the first time, the spatial distribution of FMD serotype O was predicted in western China and border countries using a niche model, which is a combination of eco-geographic, human, topographic, and vegetation variables. The transboundary least-cost pathways (LCPs) model for ungulates in the study area were also calculated. Our study indicates that FMD serotype O survival is seasonal at low altitudes (March and June) and more sensitive to temperature differences at high altitudes. FMD serotype O risk was higher in Central Asian countries and both were highly correlated with the population variables. Ten LCPs were obtained representing Pakistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and China.

Economic losses due to foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Ethiopian cattle.

Ethiopia's cattle population is among the largest in Africa and is burdened by frequent foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreaks. FMD is caused by several distinct and highly contagious viral strains that can result in acute disease in cattle, causing losses in productivity and impeding international trade. This economic simulation study considered four main sources of losses due to FMD in cattle: reduced milk yield, draft power yield, fertility, and increased mortality. Economic losses were estimated per case across age-sex strata in 89 Ethiopian administrative zones for the years 2010-2021 using a wide range of data to estimate distributions for 30 input variables in a series of Monte Carlo simulations. It was estimated that an average case of FMD in Ethiopian cattle results in losses (mean values reported followed 95 % confidence intervals in brackets) of US dollars (USD) 11 (USD 7-USD 16) per case. Losses resulting from an average outbreak were estimated to be USD 2300 (USD 1400-USD 3300), while national annual losses were estimated to be USD 0.9 Mil. (USD 0.2 Mil.-USD 2.3 Mil.). Per cow-year, based on a national cow population of approximately 39 Mil. head, these estimated annual losses are equivalent to losses of only USD 0.02 (USD 0.01-USD 0.06). Nationally, these losses were significantly less than previously estimated in the literature, with currently estimated losses more accurately reflecting the economic burden of FMD in Ethiopian cattle over the past decade. The relatively small estimated losses suggest that control efforts based on widespread vaccination in countries with primarily extensive cattle production systems, such as Ethiopia, are unlikely to be economically sound. Sensitivity analyses suggested losses would be far greater in intensive systems, and that certainty surrounding incidence rates is paramount to the formulation of economically sound animal healthpolicy in regions with endemic FMD.

Conceptualising the technical relationship of animal disease surveillance to intervention and mitigation as a basis for economic analysis.

BACKGROUND: Surveillance and intervention are resource-using activities of strategies to mitigate the unwanted effects of disease. Resources are scarce, and allocating them to disease mitigation instead of other uses necessarily involves the loss of alternative sources of benefit to people. For society to obtain the maximum benefits from using resources, the gains from disease mitigation must be compared to the resource costs, guiding decisions made with the objective of achieving the optimal net outcome. DISCUSSION: Economics provides criteria to guide decisions aimed at optimising the net benefits from the use of scarce resources. Assessing the benefits of disease mitigation is no exception. However, the technical complexity of mitigation means that economic evaluation is not straightforward because of the technical relationship of surveillance to intervention. We argue that analysis of the magnitudes and distribution of benefits and costs for any given strategy, and hence the outcome in net terms, requires that mitigation is considered in three conceptually distinct stages. In Stage I, 'sustainment', the mitigation objective is to sustain a free or acceptable status by preventing an increase of a pathogen or eliminating it when it occurs. The role of surveillance is to document that the pathogen remains below a defined threshold, giving early warning of an increase in incidence or other significant changes in risk, and enabling early response. If a pathogen is not contained, the situation needs to be assessed as Stage II, 'investigation'. Here, surveillance obtains critical epidemiological information to decide on the appropriate intervention strategy to reduce or eradicate a disease in Stage III, 'implementation'. Stage III surveillance informs the choice, timing, and scale of interventions and documents the progress of interventions directed at prevalence reduction in the population. SUMMARY: This article originates from a research project to develop a conceptual framework and practical tool for the economic evaluation of surveillance. Exploring the technical relationship between mitigation as a source of economic value and surveillance and intervention as sources of economic cost is crucial. A framework linking the key technical relationships is proposed. Three conceptually distinct stages of mitigation are identified. Avian influenza, salmonella, and foot and mouth disease are presented to illustrate the framework.

Study on seroprevalence, risk factors, and economic impact of foot-and-mouth disease in Borena pastoral and agro-pastoral system, southern Ethiopia.

Cross-sectional serological study and questionnaire survey were conducted in Borana pastoral and agro-pastoral area to determine seroprevalence and risk factors associated with foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) infection and to assess community perceptions as to importance of the disease. A multistage random sampling was carried out to select cattle for seroprevalence and households for interviews. Totally, 768 sera were collected from 111 herds. The overall individual level seroprevalence of 23.0% (n = 177) and herd level seroprevalence of 58.6% (n = 65) were recorded using 3ABC ELISA test. The variation of individual level seroprevalence in districts were statistically significant (P < 0.05) which was 29.9% in Arero, 24.0% in Yabello, and 15.7% in Teltele. From multivariate logistic regression analysis, herd size and age were seen to be significantly (P < 0.05) associated with FMD seroprevalence. The result of the questionnaire survey based on 120 respondents indicated that, the daily milk yield of cows infected with FMD during outbreaks is reduced to an average of 0.5 L for 25.5 days while cows developing heat-intolerance syndrome after acute infection gave an average 0.67 L for 3.8 months and their calving interval prolonged about 12 months. The questionnaire survey in agro-pastoral area of Borena also indicated that FMD-infected oxen remained off-plough for one season when outbreaks occur in cropping time, whereas heat-intolerant oxen were no longer used for traction. These findings of the present study indicated that FMD is a highly prevalent and economically important disease in the Borana pastoral and agro-pastoral production systems which need effective control strategy for the disease.

Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) incidence in cattle and buffaloes and its associated farm-level economic costs in endemic India.

The study investigated the important epidemiological parameters and farm-level economic costs of FMD incidence in cattle and buffaloes during 2013-14 to 2015-16 in various states of India. Multistage random sampling procedure was adopted for the primary survey and data was collected through face-to-face personal interview from 18,609 cattle and buffalo rearing farm households from 123 districts across twelve states and one Union Territory. Besides epidemiological parameters, different farm-level direct and indirect loss associated with FMD was assessed at disaggregated level (states) by employing deterministic mathematical models. Highest number of affected villages and disease incidence was observed in non- FMD control programme (FMD-CP) implemented Madhya Pradesh and Assam states, respectively whereas negligible incidence was in FMD-CP implemented Punjab state. The disease incidence was high during 2013-14 and declined during 2014-15 and 2015-16, respectively implied severe incidence scenario (2013-14) succeeded by moderate (2014-15) and mild (2015-16) scenarios. The crossbred and high productive animals were severely affected than local breeds whereas on sexwise and agewise comparison revealed higher incidence in females and adult animals. During severe incidence scenario, milk loss/animal ranged from USD 6.87-47.44, 18.42-125.88, 16.33-91.43, and 27.17-123.62; mortality loss/animal ranged from USD 32.61-804.27, 30.76-577.7, 65.36-502.2, and 188.04-413.7; distress sale loss/animal ranged from USD 3.22-188.63, 64.34-519.3, 214.47-341.8, and 209.11-450.3; and opportunity cost of labour/animal from USD 5.49-54.29, 5.49-67.78; 7.95-31.37 and 9.83-72.38 in indigenous cattle, crossbred cattle, local and improved buffalo, respectively. The estimated draught power loss/animal varied from USD 39.46-142.94 with least being in Madhya Pradesh and highest in Assam states whereas the median treatment cost/animal was USD 9.18 and USD 27.07 in indigenous cattle and upgraded buffaloes, respectively. The total farm-level economic loss projected due to FMD in cattle and buffaloes in India was USD 3159 million (INR 221,110 million), USD 270 million (INR 18,910 million) and USD 152 million (INR 10,610 million), respectively during the severe, moderate and mild incidence scenarios at 2015-16 constant prices. The loss varied across the states, and in severe incidence scenario, the country might lose USD 3.2 billion/year and hence, the bi-annual vaccination schedule need to be strictly implemented in all the states. Besides timely vaccination coverage, managing unabated animal movement, educating and motivating the farmers to vaccinate their animals might reduce the incidence and consequential losses to various stakeholders in endemic states like India.

Economic impact assessment of foot-and-mouth disease burden and control in pastoral local dairy cattle production systems in Northern Nigeria: A cross-sectional survey.

Milk has been envisaged as a major source of high-quality protein and bioavailable nutrients to humans. Its production is constraint by foot and mouth disease (FMD), a contagious viral disease of very high economic importance worldwide. This study was aimed at assessing the economic impact of FMD in pastoral dairy cattle herds in Nigeria and determines returns to investments in its control to better inform policy decisions. An interview questionnaire-based cross-sectional study was conducted in 660 nomadic and agro-pastoral dairy cattle herds in 2019. Economic impact analyses were conducted using the total economic cost and benefit-cost analysis models. Of the 660 pastoralists enrolled, 92.6% (n = 611) participated. Nomadic pastoralists constituted 50.7% (n = 310) of the respondents while 49.3% (n = 301) were agro-pastoralists. Most of the respondents (66.4%, n = 406) had no formal education. The value of visible losses to the herders was estimated at USD 15,591,694.30 and the cost of control by treatment of secondary infections was USD 463,673.70. The economic impact of FMD due to production losses and costs of treatment to pastoralists was estimated to be USD 16,055,368.00. Return on investment in FMD control was positive with a benefit-cost ratio of 33.6. The estimated total economic costs due to FMD have indicated that it is a disease of high economic importance to dairy production herds and must be controlled to assure food security, local incomes to herders, and protein requirement of human population, especially the children in FMD endemic countries.

Foot and mouth disease outbreak investigation and estimation of its economic impact in selected districts in northwest Ethiopia.

Foot and mouth disease (FMD), a highly contagious and economically important disease of cloven-hoofed animals, is endemic in Ethiopia. Foot and mouth disease outbreak investigation and follow-up studies were undertaken to identify the causative serotype, determine the morbidity and mortality, and estimate the economic impact of the outbreaks in selected districts of Northwest Ethiopia. The serotype of FMD virus involved in the outbreaks was identified by antigen detection ELISA from clinical samples. Morbidity, mortality and economic impact of the outbreaks were assessed based on data collected from 738 smallholder farmers in a mixed crop-livestock (MCL) production system and from five dairy farms in the commercial dairy production system. The outbreaks were confirmed to be due to FMD virus serotype O. The animal level morbidity in clinically affected cattle herds was 68.1% for MCL production system and 54.5% for commercial dairy farms. The mortality in cattle in the MCL system was 0.4% and no mortality was recorded in the commercial dairy farms. The animal level morbidity in sheep and goats in the infected flocks was 35.7% but no mortality was seen in these species. The herd/flock level morbidity of FMD in outbreak affected kebeles of MCL system was 57.2% for cattle and 8% for sheep and goats. The economic losses due to milk loss, draught power loss, mortality and treatment cost were on average USD 34 (interquartile range: 9.4-44.4) per affected herd in the MCL system and this was statistically significantly lower than the USD 459.1 (interquartile range: 400.0-486.2) per affected farm in the commercial dairy farms (p < .05). These economic losses have significant impact in the livelihood and income of affected farmers in both production systems. Future work should focus on the implementation of control measures that mitigate the economic impact of the disease.

Farmers' willingness to pay for foot and mouth disease vaccine in different cattle production systems in Amhara region of Ethiopia.

Although foot and mouth disease (FMD) is endemic in Ethiopia, use of vaccines to control the disease has been practiced sparingly. This is due to perceived high cost of good quality FMD vaccine, and consequently limited availability of the vaccine in the market. This study was conducted to assess farmers' willingness to pay (WTP) for a quality FMD vaccine and identify factors that could potentially influence their WTP in Amhara region of Ethiopia. A total of 398 farmers from four districts that represent the mixed crop-livestock and market oriented production systems were enrolled for the study. The WTP was estimated using contingent valuation method with a double-bound dichotomous choice bid design. Interval regression analysis was used to estimate mean WTP and identify factors that influence it. The results showed that the mean WTP of all farmers was Ethiopian Birr (ETB) 58.23 (95% CI: 56.20-60.26)/annual dose. It was ETB 75.23 (95% CI: 72. 97-74.49) for market oriented farmers and ETB 42.6 (95%CI: 41.24-43.96) for mixed crop livestock farmers. Willingness to pay for the vaccine was significantly higher for farmers in market oriented system than in mixed crop livestock system. It was also significantly higher for farmers whose main livelihood is livestock than those whose main livelihood is other than livestock, and for farmers who keep exotic breed cattle and their crosses than those who keep only local cattle breeds. Willingness to pay significantly increased with increase in FMD impact perception and vaccine knowledge scores of farmers. The high mean WTP estimates showed that farmers are enthusiastic about using the FMD vaccine. Market-oriented farmers with higher willingness to pay may be more likely to pay full cost if official FMD vaccination is planned in the country than mixed crop livestock farmers. Animal health extension about livestock diseases impact and vaccines has a potential to increase farmers' uptake of vaccines for disease control.

The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions.

We present an analysis of the current foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain over the first 2 months of the spread of the virus. The net transmission potential of the pathogen and the increasing impact of control measures are estimated over the course of the epidemic to date. These results are used to parameterize a mathematical model of disease transmission that captures the differing spatial contact patterns between farms before and after the imposition of movement restrictions. The model is used to make predictions of future incidence and to simulate the impact of additional control strategies. Hastening the slaughter of animals with suspected infection is predicted to slow the epidemic, but more drastic action, such as "ring" culling or vaccination around infection foci, is necessary for more rapid control. Culling is predicted to be more effective than vaccination.

Moving towards the global control of foot and mouth disease: an opportunity for donors.

Livestock contributes significantly to the world economy. However, animal diseases are still a major constraint on economic growth, the reduction of poverty and food security. Among the most significant diseases is foot and mouth disease (FMD), a highly contagious, multi-species animal disease with a devastating impact on national economies and trade. Less obvious is the severe constraint that FMD places on both development and the reduction of poverty in developing countries where this disease is endemic. As a result of its global implications and the high costs that it imposes on society, FMD is an infectious disease whose control and prevention are recognised as being a global public good. Moving towards the global control of FMD should be considered a priority for donors, but will require long-term commitment from all parties, strong political will from governments and concerted financial support from donors. Areas of intervention must fall within the framework of programmes developed by international organisations, such as the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE), through the FAO/OIE Global Framework for the Progressive Control of FMD and Other Transboundary Animal Diseases, as well as the disease control programmes of the regions concerned. Such a goal should specifically focus on analytical work (micro-economic impact and cost-benefit analyses of FMD at the household level and on the poor), research, surveillance networks, communication, monitoring and evaluation, and continuous strengthening of Veterinary Services.

Currently important animal disease management issues in sub-Saharan Africa.

The present international approach to management of transboundary animal diseases (TADs) is based on the assumption that most can be eradicated; consequently, that is the usual objective adopted by international organizations concerned with animal health. However, for sub-Saharan Africa and southern Africa more particularly, eradication of most TADs is impossible for the foreseeable future for a variety of technical, financial and logistical reasons. Compounding this, the present basis for access to international markets for products derived from animals requires that the area of origin (country or zone) is free from trade-influencing TADs. The ongoing development of transfrontier conservation areas (TFCAs), extending across huge areas of southern Africa, therefore presents a development conundrum because it makes creation of geographic areas free from TADs more difficult and brings development based on wildlife conservation on the one hand and that based on livestock production on the other into sharp conflict. Sub-Saharan Africa is consequently confronted by a complex problem that contributes significantly to retarded rural development which, in turn, impedes poverty alleviation. In southern Africa specifically, foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) presents the greatest problem in relation to access to international markets for animal products. However, it is argued that this problem could be overcome by a combination between (1) implementation of a commodity-based approach to trade in products derived from animals and (2) amendment of the international standards for FMD specifically (i.e. the FMD chapter in the Terrestrial Animal Health Code of the World Organisation for Animal Health [OIE]) so that occurrence of SAT serotype viruses in free-living African buffalo need not necessarily mean exclusion of areas where buffalo occur from international markets for animal products. This would overcome a presently intractable constraint to market access for southern African countries and enable conservation and livestock production to be more effectively integrated, to the benefit of both.

Management strategies for vaccinated animals after an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease and the impact on return to trade.

An incursion of Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in a previously FMD-free country can cause significant economic damage from immediate and prolonged closure of FMD-sensitive markets. Whilst emergency vaccination may help contain disease, the presence of vaccinated animals complicates post-outbreak management and the recovery of FMD-free status for return to trade. We present enhancements to the Australian Animal DISease (AADIS) model that allow comparisons of post-outbreak management strategies for vaccinated animals, for the purposes of securing the earliest possible return to trade. Two case studies are provided that compare the retention of vaccinated animals with removal for waste/salvage, and the impact on recovery of FMD-sensitive markets per OIE guidelines. It was found that a vaccinate-and-retain strategy was associated with lower post-outbreak management costs, however this advantage was outweighed by significantly higher trade losses. Under the assumptions of the study there was no cost advantage to salvaging the removed vaccinated animals.