Predicting emergency department visits among children with asthma in two academic medical systems.

Objective: To develop and validate a predictive algorithm that identifies pediatric patients at risk of asthma-related emergencies, and to test whether algorithm performance can be improved in an external site via local retraining.Methods: In a retrospective cohort at the first site, data from 26 008 patients with asthma aged 2-18 years (2012-2017) were used to develop a lasso-regularized logistic regression model predicting emergency department visits for asthma within one year of a primary care encounter, known as the Asthma Emergency Risk (AER) score. Internal validation was conducted on 8634 patient encounters from 2018. External validation of the AER score was conducted using 1313 pediatric patient encounters from a second site during 2018. The AER score components were then reweighted using logistic regression using data from the second site to improve local model performance. Prediction intervals (PI) were constructed via 10 000 bootstrapped samples.Results: At the first site, the AER score had a cross-validated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.768 (95% PI: 0.745-0.790) during model training and an AUROC of 0.769 in the 2018 internal validation dataset (p = 0.959). When applied without modification to the second site, the AER score had an AUROC of 0.684 (95% PI: 0.624-0.742). After local refitting, the cross-validated AUROC improved to 0.737 (95% PI: 0.676-0.794; p = 0.037 as compared to initial AUROC).Conclusions: The AER score demonstrated strong internal validity, but external validity was dependent on reweighting model components to reflect local data characteristics at the external site.

Social Determinants of Emergency Department Visits in Mild Compared to Moderate and Severe Asthma.

BACKGROUND: Social determinants of health (SDH) influence emergency department (ED) use among children with asthma. We aimed to examine if SDH were more strongly associated with ED use among children with moderate/severe compared to mild asthma. METHODS: This study utilized the 2016-2019 data from the National Survey of Children's Health. Children with asthma ages 0-17 years (N = 9937) were included in the analysis. Asthma severity and all-cause ED use in the past year were reported by caregivers. The association between patient factors and ED visits was evaluated using ordinal logistic regression. RESULTS: Based on the study sample, 29% of children with asthma had moderate/severe asthma. In the mild group, 30% visited the ED at least once in the past 12 months, compared to 49% in the moderate/severe group. SDH associated with ED visits included race/ethnicity, insurance coverage, and parental educational attainment, but the strength of these associations did not vary according to asthma severity. CONCLUSIONS: In a nationally representative data set, SDH were equally predictive of ED use regardless of children's asthma severity. Interventions to reduce ED use among children with asthma should be considered for children with any severity of asthma, especially children in socially disadvantaged groups at higher risk of ED utilization.

xTrends in racial and ethnic disparities in pediatric lung transplantation in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Racial and ethnic disparities in pediatric lung transplantation (LTx) related to the shifting cystic fibrosis (CF) population receiving highly effective modulator therapy (HEMT) has not been well investigated. METHODS: The UNOS Registry was queried for patients age 1-25 years undergoing bilateral LTx between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2021. Race and ethnicity were classified as non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, or none of the above. The primary outcome was posttransplant mortality. Trends in the association between race/ethnicity and mortality were examined using transplant year as a continuous variable and stratifying year based on introduction of HEMT (triple combination therapy) in November 2019. RESULTS: In the study sample (N = 941), 7% of patients were non-Hispanic Black, 15% were Hispanic, and 2% were some other racial or ethnic group. One hundred (11%) received LTx after approval of triple combination therapy, and 407 (43%) died during follow-up. We identified a statistically significant disparity in mortality hazard (hazard ratio: 1.91; 95% confidence interval: 1.31, 2.80) in non-Hispanic Black compared to non-Hispanic White patients in the pre-triple combination therapy era. CONCLUSIONS: We found higher mortality hazard among non-Hispanic Black compared to non-Hispanic White children undergoing LTx in the United States. Further monitoring of LTx outcomes to identify and address disparities is needed in the current era of triple combination therapy for CF.

Specialty follow -up care after hospital discharge of patients with multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children associated with COVID-19 from a rural tertiary-care hospital.

BACKGROUND: The clinical features of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) have been well documented, but there is limited data regarding the short term and longitudinal outcomes of children living in rural areas. We report the demographic and clinical features, as well as the multi-specialty follow-up of patients with MIS-C served by a large tertiary care rural health system. METHODS: Patients that met the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) case definition of MIS-C admitted between March 1, 2020, and March 31, 2021, were included in this case series. Manual chart review was used to report demographic characteristics, clinical, laboratory and radiologic features during acute hospitalization and multispecialty follow-up, and adherence to follow-up 6-10 weeks after hospital discharge. RESULTS: Twenty-one patients with MIS-C were admitted at our center during the review period. Ninety percent of the cohort required intensive care during hospitalization. Of 19 patients with measured ejection fractions, 52 % had some degree of left ventricular dysfunction on admission; nine patients had electrocardiogram changes on admission. The majority of patients had elevated inflammatory markers during hospitalization. Most patients had resolution of symptoms, improvement in inflammatory markers, and normal cardiac function at the time of discharge. Follow-up with pediatric cardiology, hematology-oncology and infectious disease was indicated for most patients at discharge. Of these, 100 % of patients kept initial follow-up appointments with pediatric cardiology and infectious disease, while 94 % kept initial follow-up appointments with pediatric hematology-oncology. CONCLUSION: Though most patients were critically ill during hospitalization, the majority had resolution of cardiac abnormalities and inflammatory markers at discharge and timely follow-up with multiple subspecialists after admission with MIS-C.

Knowledge Retention From Emergency Medicine Simulation-Based Learning Curriculum for Pre-clinical Medical Students.

Introduction Traditional medical school curricula rely on textbook-based learning during the first two years, often limiting students' clinical exposure. Simulation-based learning (SBL) provides an opportunity for students to gain clinical exposure and competency with common procedures as well as to gain knowledge related to common clinical topics. Retention of factual knowledge is a current topic of discussion as medical learners often have difficulty with long-term retention. The aim of this study was to assess if students would learn, retain, and enjoy emergency medicine (EM)-focused SBL. Materials and methods We developed an EM-focused SBL curriculum consisting of four main educational events: suturing, medical stabilization, mass casualty triage, and point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS). Participants were first- and second-year healthcare students enrolled in a traditional, preclinical curriculum, who completed pre- and post-event quizzes consisting of multiple-choice questions on topics covered during the SBL scenario. We compared pre- and post-event quiz scores using a one-way paired t-test. Quizzes were readministered up to 100 days after each SBL event to test knowledge retention, and scores were compared across time by repeated-measures analysis of variance (RMANOVA). Results For suture (n=22), mass casualty (n=20), and ultrasound simulations (n=17), post-event mean quiz scores increased significantly in comparison to mean quiz scores from before the event (p≤0.05). Medical stabilization simulation post-event scores were increased but did not reach statistical significance. Data collected at 45, 74, and 94 days following the suture lab as well as 29 and 49 days after the medical evacuation event, and 20 days after the mass casualty event showed no statistical decrease in quiz means suggesting retention of knowledge among learners. Subjective assessments of participant satisfaction demonstrated an enjoyment of the events. Discussion EM-focused SBL events offered enjoyable learning opportunities for students to effectively obtain and possibly retain clinical knowledge. Conclusion SBL has the potential to improve student retention of clinical knowledge during the preclinical years and, therefore, should be further explored and implemented as a core pillar of medical education as opposed to its current state as a learning adjunct.