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Nat Commun ; 11(1): 4392, 2020 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32873810

RESUMO

The successful mitigation of emerging wildlife diseases may involve controversial host culling. For livestock, 'preemptive host culling' is an accepted practice involving the removal of herds with known contact to infected populations. When applied to wildlife, this proactive approach comes in conflict with biodiversity conservation goals. Here, we present an alternative approach of 'proactive hunting surveillance' with the aim of early disease detection that simultaneously avoids undesirable population decline by targeting demographic groups with (1) a higher likelihood of being infected and (2) a lower reproductive value. We applied this harvesting principle to populations of reindeer to substantiate freedom of chronic wasting disease (CWD) infection. Proactive hunting surveillance reached 99% probability of freedom from infection (<4 reindeer infected) within 3-5 years, in comparison to ~10 years using ordinary harvest surveillance. However, implementation uncertainties linked to social issues appear challenging also with this kind of host culling.


Assuntos
Abate de Animais/métodos , Animais Selvagens , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Monitoramento Epidemiológico/veterinária , Rena , Doença de Emaciação Crônica/diagnóstico , Fatores Etários , Animais , Simulação por Computador , Feminino , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Dinâmica Populacional , Fatores Sexuais , Doença de Emaciação Crônica/prevenção & controle , Doença de Emaciação Crônica/transmissão
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