Validation of the register-based lifetime antimicrobial usage measurement for finisher batches based on comparison with recorded antimicrobial usage at farm level.

Assessing the relationship between antimicrobial usage (AMU) and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) requires the accurate and precise utilisation of register data. Therefore, validation of register-based data is essential for evaluating the quality and, subsequently, the internal validity of studies based on the data. In this study, different smoothing methods for Veterinary Medicine Statistic Program database (VetStat)-records were validated by comparing these with farm-records. Comparison between measurements included accuracy as; completeness and correctness, and precision as; a relative difference of the error, correlation with Fisher's z transformation and reliability coefficient. The most valid methods of those examined were then used in re-analyses of the abundance of AMR genes in 10 finisher batches from a previous study. Improved accuracy was found when detailed smoothing methods were applied. Although the precision also increased, the effect was not as pronounced, as the usage estimate of all smoothing methods deviated moderately compared with the farm-registrations. Applying the most valid methods to the 10 finisher batches increased estimates of statistical model fit for aminoglycosides, lincosamides, tetracyclines and decreased estimates of statistical model fit for macrolides. The estimates of statistical model fit for sulfonamides and broad-spectrum penicillins remained the same. Through refined data transformation, VetStat-records can be used to calculate a daily amount of AMU per pig reflecting the true usage accurately and moderately precisely, which is the foundation for calculating lifetime AMU.

The association between measurements of antimicrobial use and resistance in the faeces microbiota of finisher batches.

The objectives were to present three approaches for calculating antimicrobial (AM) use in pigs that take into account the rearing period and rearing site, and to study the association between these measurements and phenotypical resistance and abundance of resistance genes in faeces samples from 10 finisher batches. The AM use was calculated relative to the rearing period of the batches as (i) 'Finisher Unit Exposure' at unit level, (ii) 'Lifetime Exposure' at batch level and (iii) 'Herd Exposure' at herd level. A significant effect on the occurrence of tetracycline resistance measured by cultivation was identified for Lifetime Exposure for the AM class: tetracycline. Furthermore, for Lifetime Exposure for the AM classes: macrolide, broad-spectrum penicillin, sulfonamide and tetracycline use as well as Herd Unit Exposure for the AM classes: aminoglycoside, lincosamide and tetracycline use, a significant effect was observed on the occurrence of genes coding for the AM resistance classes: aminoglycoside, lincosamide, macrolide, ß-lactam, sulfonamide and tetracycline. No effect was observed for Finisher Unit Exposure. Overall, the study shows that Lifetime Exposure is an efficient measurement of AM use in finisher batches, and has a significant effect on the occurrence of resistance, measured either by cultivation or metagenomics.

The quantitative effect of antimicrobial usage in Danish pig farms on the abundance of antimicrobial resistance genes in slaughter pigs.

Research has long established the connection between antimicrobial use (AMU) and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in production animals, and shown that the ceasing of AMU reduces AMR. Our previous study of Danish slaughter-pig production found a quantitative relationship between lifetime AMU and abundance of antimicrobial resistance genes (ARGs). This study aimed to generate further quantitative knowledge on how changes in AMU in farms influence the abundance of ARGs both with immediate effect and over time. The study included 83 farms that were visited from 1 to 5 times. From each visit, a pooled faecal sample was produced. The abundance of ARGs was obtained by metagenomics. We used two-level linear mixed models for estimating the effect of AMU on the abundance of ARGs against six antimicrobial classes. The lifetime AMU of each batch was calculated from usage during their three rearing periods; as piglets, weaners and slaughter pigs (rearing pathway). AMU at farm level was estimated as the mean lifetime AMU of the sampled batches from each farm. At batch level, AMU was measured as the deviation between the batch-specific lifetime AMU and the general mean lifetime AMU at the farm. For peroral tetracycline and macrolide use there was a significant quantitative linear effect on the abundance of ARGs in batches within individual farms, indicating an immediate effect of changed AMU from batch to batch within farms. These estimated effects between batches within farms were approximately 1/2-1/3 of the effect estimated between farms. For all antimicrobial classes, the effect of the mean farm-level AMU and the abundance of ARGs present in the faeces of slaughter pigs was significant. This effect was identified only for peroral use, except for lincosamides, where the effect was for parenteral use. The results also indicated that the abundance of ARGs against a specific antimicrobial class also increased by the peroral usage of one or several other antimicrobial classes, except for ARGs against beta-lactams. These effects were generally lower than the AMU effect of the specific antimicrobial class. Overall, the farm peroral mean lifetime AMU affected the abundance of ARGs at antimicrobial class level and abundance of ARGs of other classes. However, the difference of AMU of the slaughter-pig batches affected only the abundance of ARGs at the same antimicrobial class level in the same antimicrobial class. The results do not exclude that parenteral usage of antimicrobials may have an effect on the abundance of ARGs.

Predicting effects of changed antimicrobial usage on the abundance of antimicrobial resistance genes in finisher' gut microbiomes.

It is accepted that usage of antimicrobials (AMs) in food animals causes the emergence and spread of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in this sector, while also contributing to the burden of AMR in humans. Curbing the increasing occurrence of AMR in food animals requires in-depth knowledge of the quantitative relationship between antimicrobial usage (AMU) and AMR to achieve desired resistance reductions from interventions targeting AMU. In the observational study, the relationships between lifetime AMU in 83 finisher batches from Danish farms and the AMR gene abundances of seven antimicrobial classes in their gut microbiomes were quantified using multi-variable linear regression models. These relationships and the national lifetime AMU in pigs were included in the predictive modelling that allowed for testing of scenarios with changed lifetime AMU for finishers produced in Denmark in 2014. A total of 50 farms from the observational study were included in validating the observational study and the predictive modelling. The results from the observational study showed that the relationship was linear, and that the parenteral usage of AMs had a high effect on specific AM-classes of resistance, whereas the peroral usage had a lower but broader effect on several classes. Three different scenarios of changed lifetime AMU were simulated in the predictive modelling. When all tetracycline usage ceased, the predicted interval reductions of aminoglycoside, lincosamide and tetracycline resistance were 4-42 %, 0-8 % and 9-18 %, respectively. When the peroral tetracycline usage of the 10 % highest users was replaced with peroral macrolide usage, the tetracycline resistance fell by 1-2 % and the macrolide and MLSb resistance increased by 5-8 %. When all extended-spectrum penicillin usage was replaced with parenteral lincosamide usage, the beta-lactam resistance fell by 2-7 %, but the lincosamide usage and resistance increased by 194 % and 10-45 %, respectively. The external validation provided results within the 95 % CI of the predictive modelling outcome at national level, while the external validation at farm level was less accurate. In conclusion, interventions targeting AMU will reduce AMR abundance, though differently depending on the targeted AM-class and provided the reduction of one AM-class usage is not replaced with usage of another AM-class. Predicting several classes of AMR gene abundance simultaneously will support stakeholders when deciding on interventions targeting AMU in the finisher production to avoid adverse and unforeseen effects on the AMR abundance. This study provides a sound predictive modelling framework for further development, including the dynamics of AMU on AMR in finishers at national level.

The use of third and fourth generation cephalosporins affects the occurrence of extended-spectrum cephalosporinase-producing Escherichia coli in Danish pig herds.

Extended-spectrum cephalosporinase resistance is currently the fastest emerging antimicrobial resistance problem worldwide; however, evidence documenting the effect of potential risk factors is limited. The main objective of this study was to investigate the effect of using third and fourth generation cephalosporins on the occurrence of extended-spectrum cephalosporinase-producing Escherichia coli (ESC-Ec) in Danish pig herds. Conventional, integrated, medium to large herds were selected based on information from the Danish Central Husbandry Register and two groups were formed based on the use of third and fourth generation cephalosporins within a specified period, namely, 20 herds with no cephalosporin use (non-exposed) and 19 herds with frequent use (exposed). Data on prescribed antimicrobials were obtained from the National database (VetStat). Management data were obtained through a questionnaire. At the herd level, three pooled faecal samples were collected from sows with their piglets (farrowing pens), weaners, and finishers. ESC-Ec were then identified using selective enrichment. Because several of the herds only had a low number of weaners and/or finishers, analysis was only performed on samples from the farrowing pens. Logistic regression showed a significant effect of using cephalosporins-III/IV on the occurrence of ESC-Ec in the farrowing pens, even when adjusted for use of other antimicrobials 1 year prior to sampling. No confounding effect was identified in relation to management data. The relative risk ESC-Ec in exposed compared to non-exposed was 4.7 (95% confidence interval 2.0-11.5), confirming that regular use of cephalosporins-III/IV was a significant risk factor for the occurrence of ESC-Ec.

Temporal relationship between decrease in antimicrobial prescription for Danish pigs and the "Yellow Card" legal intervention directed at reduction of antimicrobial use.

The potential effects of the "Yellow Card" intervention, enforced by Danish authorities in December 2010, on the antimicrobial prescription in the Danish pig production were investigated. Data on antimicrobial prescription for pigs during 2002-2012 was obtained from the national database on veterinary prescribed medicines, VetStat. Descriptive analysis of temporal trends in quantitative antimicrobial prescription for pigs on national level was performed for each administration route, age group and disease group. In addition, prescription patterns of the three most prescribed antimicrobial classes (tetracyclines, macrolides and pleuromutilins) for weaners and finishers were studied at herd level. A 25% decline in the total antimicrobial use per pig produced occurred between 2009 and 2011. A decline was observed both in sows and piglets (31%), weaners (34%) and finishers (19%). Reduced prescription of tetracycline, macrolides and pleuromutilins for oral use, mainly for gastrointestinal disease (GI) in weaners and finishers, explained 76% of the total reduction. In 2012, the overall antimicrobial use increased by 10%, as a partial reversal of the preceding changes in prescription pattern. On herd level, the decline and subsequent increase was mainly related to changes in number of herds receiving regular monthly prescriptions. This study demonstrated that the steep decrease in antimicrobial use in the Danish pig production was temporally related with the announcement and introduction of the Yellow Card intervention.