Prediction of protein assemblies, the next frontier: The CASP14-CAPRI experiment.

We present the results for CAPRI Round 50, the fourth joint CASP-CAPRI protein assembly prediction challenge. The Round comprised a total of twelve targets, including six dimers, three trimers, and three higher-order oligomers. Four of these were easy targets, for which good structural templates were available either for the full assembly, or for the main interfaces (of the higher-order oligomers). Eight were difficult targets for which only distantly related templates were found for the individual subunits. Twenty-five CAPRI groups including eight automatic servers submitted ~1250 models per target. Twenty groups including six servers participated in the CAPRI scoring challenge submitted ~190 models per target. The accuracy of the predicted models was evaluated using the classical CAPRI criteria. The prediction performance was measured by a weighted scoring scheme that takes into account the number of models of acceptable quality or higher submitted by each group as part of their five top-ranking models. Compared to the previous CASP-CAPRI challenge, top performing groups submitted such models for a larger fraction (70-75%) of the targets in this Round, but fewer of these models were of high accuracy. Scorer groups achieved stronger performance with more groups submitting correct models for 70-80% of the targets or achieving high accuracy predictions. Servers performed less well in general, except for the MDOCKPP and LZERD servers, who performed on par with human groups. In addition to these results, major advances in methodology are discussed, providing an informative overview of where the prediction of protein assemblies currently stands.

Coarse-grained modeling of the calcium, sodium, magnesium and potassium cations interacting with proteins.

Metal ions play important biological roles, e.g., activation or deactivation of enzymatic reactions and signal transduction. Moreover, they can stabilize protein structure, or even be actively involved in the protein folding process. Therefore, accurate treatment of the ions is crucial to model and investigate biological phenomena properly. In this work the coarse-grained UNRES (UNited RESidue) force field was extended to include the interactions between proteins and four alkali or alkaline earth metal cations of biological significance, i.e., calcium, magnesium, sodium and potassium. Additionally, chloride anions were introduced as counter-ions. Parameters were derived from all-atom simulations and incorporate water in an implicit manner. The new force field was tested on the set of the proteins and was able to reproduce the ion-binding preferences.

Modeling protein structures with the coarse-grained UNRES force field in the CASP14 experiment.

The UNited RESidue (UNRES) force field was tested in the 14th Community Wide Experiment on the Critical Assessment of Techniques for Protein Structure Prediction (CASP14), in which larger oligomeric and multimeric targets were present compared to previous editions. Three prediction modes were tested (i) ab initio (the UNRES group), (ii) contact-assisted (the UNRES-contact group), and (iii) template-assisted (the UNRES-template group). For most of the targets, the contact restraints were derived from the server models top-ranked by the DeepQA method, while the DNCON2 method was used for 11 targets. Our consensus-fragment procedure was used to run template-assisted predictions. Each group also processed the Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR)- and Small Angle X-Ray Scattering (SAXS)-data assisted targets. The average Global Distance Test Total Score (GDT_TS) of the 'Model 1' predictions were 29.17, 39.32, and 56.37 for the UNRES, UNRES-contact, and UNRES-template predictions, respectively, increasing by 0.53, 2.24, and 3.76, respectively, compared to CASP13. It was also found that the GDT_TS of the UNRES models obtained in ab initio mode and in the contact-assisted mode decreases with the square root of chain length, while the exponent in this relationship is 0.20 for the UNRES-template group models and 0.11 for the best performing AlphaFold2 models, which suggests that incorporation of database information, which stems from protein evolution, brings in long-range correlations, thus enabling the correction of force-field inaccuracies.