RESUMO
BACKGROUND: We present a conceptual framework for simulations to determine the utility of biomarker enrichment to increase statistical power to detect a treatment effect in future Alzheimer's disease prevention trials. We include a limited set of simulation results to illustrate aspects of this framework. METHODS: We simulated data based on the Alzheimer's Disease Anti-Inflammatory Prevention Trial, and a range of sample sizes, biomarker positive predictive values, and treatment effects. We also investigated the consequences of assuming homogeneity of parameter estimates as a function of dementia outcome. RESULTS: Use of biomarkers to increase the sample fraction that would develop Alzheimer's disease in the absence of intervention from 0.5 to 0.8 would increase power from 0.35 to 0.69 with n = 200. Ignoring sample heterogeneity resulted in overestimation of power. CONCLUSION: Biomarker enrichment can increase statistical power, but estimates of the expected increase are sensitive to a variety of assumptions outlined in the framework.
Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Doença de Alzheimer/prevenção & controle , Anti-Inflamatórios/uso terapêutico , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Simulação por Computador , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Celecoxib , Inibidores de Ciclo-Oxigenase 2/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Naproxeno/uso terapêutico , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Sulfonamidas/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
Recently, several injectable scaffold-based cancer vaccines have been developed that can recruit and activate host dendritic cells (DCs) and generate potent antitumor responses. However, the optimal timing of adjuvant delivery, particularly of the commonly used cytosine-phosphodiester-guanine-oligonucleotide (CpG-ODN), for scaffold-based cancer vaccines remains unknown. We hypothesized that optimally timed CpG-ODN delivery will lead to enhanced immune responses, and designed a cryogel vaccine system where CpG-ODN release can be triggered on-demand by ultrasound. CpG-ODN was first condensed with polyethylenimine and then adsorbed to cryogels. Little adsorbed CpG-ODN was released in vitro. Ultrasound stimulation triggered continuous CpG-ODN release, at an enhanced rate even after ultrasound was turned off, with minimal burst release. In vivo, ultrasound stimulation four days post-vaccination induced a significantly higher antigen-specific cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) response compared to control mice. Furthermore, ultrasound stimulation at this time point generated a significantly higher IgG2a/c antibody titer than all the groups except ultrasound stimulation eight days post-vaccination. This optimal timing of ultrasound-triggered release coincided with peak DC accumulation in the cryogels. By enabling temporal control of vaccine components through release on-demand, this system is a promising platform to study the optimal timing of delivery of immunomodulatory agents for cancer vaccination.