RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Acute aortic syndrome (AAS) comprises a complex and potentially fatal group of conditions requiring emergency specialist management. The aim of this study was to build a prediction algorithm to assist prehospital triage of AAS. METHODS: Details of consecutive patients enrolled in a regional specialist aortic network were collected prospectively. Two prediction algorithms for AAS based on logistic regression and an ensemble machine learning method called SuperLearner (SL) were developed. Undertriage was defined as the proportion of patients with AAS not transported to the specialist aortic centre, and overtriage as the proportion of patients with alternative diagnoses but transported to the specialist aortic centre. RESULTS: Data for 976 hospital admissions between February 2010 and June 2017 were included; 609 (62·4 per cent) had AAS. Overtriage and undertriage rates were 52·3 and 16·1 per cent respectively. The population was divided into a training cohort (743 patients) and a validation cohort (233). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve values for the logistic regression score and the SL were 0·68 (95 per cent c.i. 0·64 to 0·72) and 0·87 (0·84 to 0·89) respectively (P < 0·001) in the training cohort, and 0·67 (0·60 to 0·74) and 0·73 (0·66 to 0·79) in the validation cohort (P = 0·038). The logistic regression score was associated with undertriage and overtriage rates of 33·7 (bootstrapped 95 per cent c.i. 29·3 to 38·3) and 7·2 (4·8 to 9·8) per cent respectively, whereas the SL yielded undertriage and overtriage rates of 1·0 (0·3 to 2·0) and 30·2 (25·8 to 34·8) per cent respectively. CONCLUSION: A machine learning prediction model performed well in discriminating AAS and could be clinically useful in prehospital triage of patients with suspected AAS.
ANTECEDENTES: Los síndromes aórticos agudos (aortic acute syndromes, AAS) constituyen un grupo complejo y potencialmente letal de entidades que requieren un tratamiento especializado en emergencias. El objetivo de este estudio fue construir un algoritmo de predicción para ayudar a la selección prehospitalaria de los AAS. MÉTODOS: Se recogieron prospectivamente una serie de pacientes consecutivos inscritos en una red regional especializada en patología aórtica. Se desarrollaron dos algoritmos de predicción para AAS basados en una regresión logística y en un método de aprendizaje automático denominado Super Learner (SL). Undertriage (infra-selección) se definió como la proporción de pacientes con AAS no transportados al centro especializado en patología aórtica y el overtriage (sobre-selección) como la proporción de pacientes con diagnósticos alternativos al AAS pero transportados al centro especializado en patología aórtica. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron los datos de 976 ingresos hospitalarios entre febrero de 2010 y junio de 2017, con 609 (62,4%) AAS. Las tasas de overtriage y undertriage fueron del 52,3% y del 16,1%, respectivamente. La población se dividió en una cohorte de entrenamiento (n = 743) y en una cohorte de validación (n = 233). El área bajo la curva ROC para la puntuación de regresión logística y el SL fueron de 0,68 (0,64, 0,72) y de 0,87 (0,84, 0,89), respectivamente (P < 0,001) en la cohorte de entrenamiento, y de 0,67 (0,60, 0,74) y de 0,73 (0,66, 0,79) en la cohorte de validación (P = 0,038). La puntuación de regresión logística se asoció con tasas de undertriage y overtriage de 33,7% (i.c. del 95% bootstrapped 29,3%, 38,3%) y de 7,2% (4,8%, 9,8%), respectivamente, mientras que el SL presentó tasas de undertriage y overtriage de 1,0% (0,3%, 2,0%) y de 30,2% (25,8%, 34,8%), respectivamente. CONCLUSIÓN: El modelo de predicción de aprendizaje automático funcionó bien para discriminar AAS y podría ser clínicamente útil en la selección prehospitalaria de pacientes con sospecha de síndrome aórtico agudo.
Assuntos
Algoritmos , Doenças da Aorta/diagnóstico , Regras de Decisão Clínica , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/métodos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Triagem/métodos , Doença Aguda , Idoso , Doenças da Aorta/mortalidade , Doenças da Aorta/terapia , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , SíndromeRESUMO
We report the case of a 70-year-old woman who presented with a ruptured infective native thoracic aortic aneurysm (INTAA), associated with spondylodiscitis and posterior mediastinitis. She underwent a staged hybrid repair: urgent thoracic endovascular aortic repair was first performed as a bridge therapy in the context of septic shock. Allograft repair using cardiopulmonary bypass was performed five days later. Given the complexity of INTAA, multidisciplinary teamwork was paramount to determine the most appropriate treatment strategy, including procedure planning with multiple operators as well as perioperative care. Therapeutic alternatives are discussed.
Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica , Ruptura Aórtica , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Feminino , Humanos , Idoso , Terapia Ponte , Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica/cirurgia , Correção Endovascular de Aneurisma , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgiaRESUMO
Sudden cardiac death, mostly related to ventricular arrhythmia, is a major public health issue, with still very poor survival at hospital discharge. Although coronary artery disease remains the leading cause, other etiologies should be systematically investigated. Exhaustive and standardized exploration is required to eventually offer specific therapeutics and management to the patient as well as his/her family members in case of inherited cardiac disease. Identification and establishing direct causality of the detected cardiac anomaly may remain challenging, underlying the need for a multidisciplinary and experimented team.
Assuntos
Morte Súbita Cardíaca/etiologia , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Algoritmos , Arritmias Cardíacas/complicações , Arritmias Cardíacas/diagnóstico , Autopsia , Cardiomiopatias/complicações , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/complicações , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Doenças Genéticas Inatas/complicações , Doenças Genéticas Inatas/diagnóstico , Cardiopatias Congênitas/complicações , Cardiopatias Congênitas/diagnóstico , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Sistema de Registros , Fatores de Risco , Fatores SexuaisRESUMO
We compared the properties of common carotid and femoral arteries of 16 normotensive and 14 hypertensive men. Arterial pressure and diameter were recorded noninvasively in each vessel by tonometric and echotracking devices. The x-y composition of pressure and diameter waves provided the diameter-pressure hysteresis loop. The elastic diameter-pressure curve and wall viscosity index were deduced after hysteresis elimination. The compliance-pressure and distensibility-pressure curves were derived from the diameter-pressure curve, allowing the calculation of effective compliance and distensibility at the prevailing pressure of each subject and isobaric compliance and distensibility at the same standard pressure in all subjects. Systolic, diastolic, mean, and pulse pressures and diameters in each vessel were higher in the hypertensive than the normotensive group, except carotid pulse diameter, which did not differ. The carotid diameter-pressure, compliance-pressure, and distensibility-pressure curves did not differ between groups. In the carotid artery hypertensive patients had isobaric compliance and distensibility values similar to those of normotensive subjects, despite lower effective compliance (P < .05) and distensibility (P < .01). The femoral diameter-pressure curve was higher (P < .05) and the femoral compliance-pressure and distensibility-pressure curves were lower (P < .01) in the hypertensive than the normotensive group. Hypertensive patients had effective and isobaric femoral compliance and distensibility values lower than to those of normotensive subjects (P < .001). In both arteries, viscosity index was higher in the hypertensive than the normotensive group (P < .001).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
Assuntos
Artérias Carótidas/fisiologia , Artéria Femoral/fisiologia , Hipertensão/fisiopatologia , Adulto , Pressão Sanguínea , Artérias Carótidas/diagnóstico por imagem , Complacência (Medida de Distensibilidade) , Elasticidade , Artéria Femoral/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Hipertensão/diagnóstico por imagem , Masculino , Manometria , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Biológicos , Pulso Arterial , Ultrassonografia , ViscosidadeRESUMO
PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the reliability of a new continuous cardiac output (CCO) monitoring device (Qvue/OptiQ system; Abbott Critical Care Systems, Mountain View, CA) based on the pulsed warm thermodilution technique in critically ill medical patients. METHODS: Nineteen patients with cardiogenic or septic shock were included in the study. Pairs of CCO and intermittent bolus cardiac output (ICO) were noted at least every 6 hours for determination of bias, precision, and limits of agreement. Simultaneously, blood samples were collected, and arterial-venous oxygen content difference (C[a-v]O2) was determined. A multiple stepwise logistic regression was used to identify situations associated with a CCO-ICO difference exceeded 20%. A multiple linear regression was performed to analyze the respective accuracy of CCO and ICO to predict the variations of C[a-v]O2. RESULTS: A total of 203 pairs of cardiac output measurements was obtained. The bias was 0.12 L/min (1.2% of pairs mean) and the precision 1.0 L/min (13%). The 95% limits of agreement were between -1.7 L/min (-25%) and 1.9 L/min (+26%). Low blood temperatures and heart rates above 120 beats/min were significantly associated with a ICO-CCO difference higher than 20%. In a multiple linear regression, CCO was significantly correlated with C[a-v]O2, an independent reflection of the patient's cardiac output; by contrast, ICO did not. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that ICO and CCO measurement by the Qvue/OptiQ system are interchangeable, except for temperature or heart rate extreme values.
Assuntos
Débito Cardíaco/fisiologia , Cuidados Críticos , Monitorização Fisiológica/instrumentação , Choque Cardiogênico/fisiopatologia , Choque Séptico/fisiopatologia , Termodiluição/instrumentação , Cateteres de Demora , Humanos , Oxigênio/sangue , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Choque Cardiogênico/terapia , Choque Séptico/terapia , Processamento de Sinais Assistido por Computador/instrumentaçãoRESUMO
There is no consensus on optimal screening procedures for multidrug-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (MDRE) in intensive care units (ICUs). Therefore, we assessed five strategies for the detection of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL) and high-level expressed AmpC cephalosporinase (HL-CASE) producers. During a 3-month period, a rectal screening swab sample was collected daily from every ICU patient, from the first 24 h to the last day of ICU stay. Samples were plated on MDRE-selective media. Bacteria were identified using MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry and antibiograms were performed using disk diffusion. MDREs were isolated from 682/2348 (29.0%) screening samples collected from 93/269 (34.6%) patients. Incidences of patients with ESBL and HL-CASE producers were 17.8 and 19.3 per 100 admissions, respectively. In 48/93 patients, MDRE carriage was intermittent. Compared with systematic screening at admission, systematic screening at discharge did not significantly increase the rate of MDRE detection among the 93 patients (62% vs. 70%). In contrast, screening at admission and discharge, screening at admission and weekly thereafter, and screening at admission and weekly thereafter and at discharge significantly increased MDRE detection (77%, p 0.02; 76%, p 0.01; 86%, p<0.001, respectively). The difference in MDRE detection between these strategies relies essentially on the levels of detection of patients with HL-CASE producers. The most reasonable strategy would be to collect two samples, one at admission and one at discharge, which would detect 87.5% of the ESBL strains, 67.3% of the HL-CASE strains and 77.4% of all MDRE strains. This study should facilitate decision-making concerning the most suitable screening policy for MDRE detection in a given ICU setting.
Assuntos
Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Portador Sadio/diagnóstico , Cefalosporinas/farmacologia , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/diagnóstico , Enterobacteriaceae/isolamento & purificação , Controle de Infecções/métodos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Técnicas Bacteriológicas , Portador Sadio/microbiologia , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Enterobacteriaceae/efeitos dos fármacos , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/microbiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reto/microbiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Espectrometria de Massas por Ionização e Dessorção a Laser Assistida por Matriz , Resistência beta-LactâmicaRESUMO
The analgesia and the frequency and severity of oxyhemoglobin desaturation related to alfentanil administration were compared in 32 patients randomly selected to receive patient-controlled analgesia (PCA) by either the epidural (EPI) or intravenous (i.v.) route for a mean period of 16 h after major abdominal surgery. Bolus increments of 250 micrograms of alfentanil with a lockout interval of 5 min for i.v. and of 10 min for EPI route were administered by a programmable pump. Oxygen saturation (SpO2) was monitored for 16 h, using a pulse oximeter; data were collected continuously and stored every 30 s via an interface connected to a computer. For the purpose of analysis, SpO2 was divided into six categories: 95%-100%, 90%-94%, 85%-89%, 80%-84%, 75%-79%, and 70%-74%. Both routes provided similar degrees of analgesia at rest and on coughing. Maximum pain relief was obtained earlier in the i.v. group (P < 0.01). The total consumption of alfentanil was 13,141 +/- 3471 micrograms (mean +/- SD) in the i.v. group and 8000 +/- 4213 micrograms in the EPI group (P < 0.001). The effects on SpO2 were not statistically different between the two groups. Cumulative time spent in each saturation category was similar for the EPI and i.v. groups. Severe desaturation episodes, defined as SpO2 < or = 85% for at least 60 s, occurred in 69% of patients in the EPI group and 56% in the i.v. group.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
Assuntos
Alfentanil , Analgesia Epidural , Analgesia Controlada pelo Paciente , Anestesia Intravenosa , Dor Pós-Operatória/prevenção & controle , Abdome/cirurgia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Oxiemoglobinas/metabolismoRESUMO
To identify the potential impact of novel therapeutic approaches, we studied the early predictive factors of survival at the onset of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in a 24-bed medical ICU of an academic tertiary care hospital. Over a 48-mo period, a total of 3,511 adult patients were admitted and 259 mechanically ventilated patients met ARDS criteria, as defined by American-European consensus conference, i.e., bilateral pulmonary infiltrates and PaO2/FIO2 lower than 200 without left atrial hypertension. These patients were randomly included in a developmental sample (177 patients) and a validation sample (82 patients). Demographic variables, hemodynamic and respiratory parameters, underlying diseases, as well as several severity scores (SAPS, SAPS-II, OSF) and Lung Injury Score (LIS) were collected. These variables were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors and entered into a stepwise logistic regression model to evaluate their independent prognostic roles. The overall mortality rate was 65%. SAPS-II, the severity of the underlying medical conditions, the oxygenation index (mean airway pressure x FIO2 x 100/PaO2), the length of mechanical ventilation prior to ARDS, the mechanism of lung injury, cirrhosis, and occurrence of right ventricular dysfunction were independently associated with an elevated risk of death. Model calibration was very good in the developmental and validation samples (p = 0.84 and p = 0.72, respectively), as was model discrimination (area under the ROC curves of 0.95 and 0.92, respectively). Thus, the prognosis of ARDS seems to be related to the triggering risk factor, the severity of the respiratory illness, and the occurrence of a right ventricle dysfunction, after adjustment for a general severity score.
Assuntos
Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/mortalidade , Centros Médicos Acadêmicos , Adulto , Idoso , Cuidados Críticos , Feminino , Previsões , Hemodinâmica/fisiologia , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática/epidemiologia , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Oxigênio/sangue , Consumo de Oxigênio/fisiologia , Paris/epidemiologia , Pressão , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Respiração , Respiração Artificial , Fatores de Risco , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Taxa de Sobrevida , Fatores de Tempo , Disfunção Ventricular Direita/epidemiologiaRESUMO
We prospectively evaluated the effects of dobutamine on gastric mucosal perfusion and hepatocytic clearance in patients with septic shock. After resuscitation with volume expansion and norepinephrine (12 patients) as needed, 14 hemodynamically stable patients (median age: 60 yr, median SAPS II score: 47) were given an infusion of 7.5 microg/kg/min dobutamine for 1 h. Gastric mucosal perfusion and hepatocytic clearance were assessed with tonometry and indocyanine green (ICG) elimination, respectively. All measurements were made before dobutamine infusion, after 1 h of dobutamine infusion, and 1 h after the infusion ended. Cardiac output (thermodilution technique) increased with dobutamine from a baseline median level of 4.0 L/min/m(2) (range: 1.7 to 7.4 L/min/m(2)) to 5.0 L/min/m(2) (range: 3.5 to 8.9 L/min/m(2)) (p = 0.004) and returned to baseline levels after dobutamine infusion ended. The gastric-arterial PCO(2) difference decreased from a baseline median level of 13 mm Hg (range: 5 to 54 mm Hg) to 7 mm Hg (range: 5 to 48 mm Hg) (p = 0.005). ICG elimination was low in all patients at baseline (median plasma disappearance rate: 12.2%; range: 7.6 to 16.2%) and did not change significantly during or after dobutamine infusion. In summary, dobutamine increases gastric mucosal perfusion but does not alter hepatocytic clearance in patients with septic shock. The absence of a beneficial effect of dobutamine on hepatocytic clearance may be related to profound alterations in hepatocellular metabolism during septic shock.
Assuntos
Dobutamina/farmacologia , Mucosa Gástrica/irrigação sanguínea , Fígado/metabolismo , Choque Séptico/fisiopatologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Dióxido de Carbono/sangue , Débito Cardíaco/efeitos dos fármacos , Feminino , Hemodinâmica/efeitos dos fármacos , Humanos , Verde de Indocianina , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Fluxo Sanguíneo Regional/efeitos dos fármacos , Choque Séptico/sangueRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The Sometec Dynemo-3000 system allows the permanent measurement of descending aorta diameter by an echographic (A-scan) device and the blood flow velocity by a pulse Doppler velocimeter. The Dynemo-3000 then furnishes a new hemodynamic parameter, i.e., descending aortic blood flow (ABF), which is a fraction of the cardiac output (CO). We evaluate the ability of this system to measure the aortic diameter and to accurately detect ABF changes. DESIGN: A case study prospective trial. SETTING: A 24-bed medical intensive care unit of a 1,100-bed university hospital. PATIENTS: Twenty critically ill patients fully sedated, mechanically ventilated, and monitored by a pulmonary artery catheter. INTERVENTIONS: CO values determined by conventional thermodilution method (TD-CO) and ABF were recorded during the study, which included two initial baseline periods, a dobutamine infusion (5 microg/kg/min) interval of 30 mins, and a third baseline period. To assess the accuracy of A-scan, aortic diameter was measured by transesophageal echocardiography. The difference between echocardiography and A-scan was used to determine bias and precision for aortic diameter measurements. TD-CO and ABF variations were analyzed using Kruskal-Wallis and Wilcoxon tests. Association between TD-CO and ABF values was determined by calculating the linear correlation coefficient. The ability of ABF to detect a TD-CO >6.0 L/min and its variations >13% was analyzed by determination of sensitivity, specificity, and positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Aortic diameter measurements by A-scan and bidimensional methods were 23.0+/-2.8 mm (SD) and 24.2+/-2.7 mm, respectively. Bias and precision were 1.1 mm and 1.4 mm (95% confidence interval: -1.9 to 3.7), respectively. During the course of dobutamine infusion, we observed a significant increase of TD-CO mean value from 6.65+/-1.53 L/min to 9.30+/-2.5 L/min (p=.0008), and a parallel and significant increase in ABF mean value from 4.34+/-1.18 L/min to 5.70+/-1.63 L/min (p= .0029). Absolute TD-CO and ABF values had a correlation coefficient of 0.80. For detection of an increased TD-CO, PPV and NPV were 87% and 86%, respectively. For detection of TD-CO changes >13%, PPV and NPV were 80% and 94%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The Dynemo-3000 system is able to display the real aortic diameter, which is one of the most important components of this noninvasive ultrasonic technique. When compared with TD-CO, the ABF determination provided by this ultrasonic device constitutes a reliable noninvasive tool for estimating CO and tracking its changes.