Molecular Profiling Provides Clinical Insights Into Targeted and Immunotherapies as Well as Colorectal Cancer Prognosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Tumor genetic testing is indispensable in the management of primary and metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC), yet the indications for genomics-guided precision medicine and immunotherapy must be better understood and defined. METHODS: We prospectively sequenced tumors from 869 Chinese patients with CRC by a large panel and evaluated the clinical significance of single-gene somatic mutations and co-occurring events in metastatic CRC, as well as their functional effects and tumorigenic mechanisms. We systematically assessed the heterogeneity of the tumor immune microenvironment in different genomic contexts through the combined analysis of Immunoscore, multiplex immunostaining, whole-exome sequencing, transcriptome, and single-cell sequencing. RESULTS: Single-gene somatic mutations in BRAF or RBM10 were associated with shorter progression-free survival in patients with metastatic CRC. Functional studies suggested RBM10 acts as a tumor suppressor in CRC development. Co-mutations of KRAS/AMER1 or KRAS/APC were enriched in the metastatic cohort, which had poor progression-free survival and did not benefit from bevacizumab due to accelerated drug metabolism. Forty patients (4.6%) carried pathogenic or likely pathogenic germline alterations in the DNA damage repair pathway and 37.5% of these tumors had secondary-hit events with loss of heterozygosity or biallelic alterations. A high tumor insertion or deletion burden with high microsatellite instability suggested immunogenicity with numerous activated tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, whereas polymerase epsilon exonuclease mutation with ultrahigh tumor mutation burden indicated a relatively quiescent immunophenotype. The heterogeneous genomic-immunologic interactions were reflected in the divergent neoantigen presentation and depletion, immune checkpoint expression, PD-1/PD-L1 interaction, and T-cell responsiveness to pembrolizumab. CONCLUSIONS: Our integrated analysis provides insights into CRC prognostic stratification, drug response, and personalized genomics-guided targeted and immunotherapies.

CapeOX as neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer: might less be more?

BACKGROUND: Locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) poses unique challenges in treatment, with current neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NA-CRT) showing limitations. The CapeOX regimen emerges as a potential less aggressive neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for LARC. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study involving treatment-naïve patients with LARC from March 2014 to March 2021 who received 2-4 cycles of CapeOX NAC followed by radical surgery. Treatment response was evaluated using tumor regression grade (TRG), MRI-based TRG (MRI-TRG), and Neoadjuvant Rectal (NAR) score. RESULTS: 94.7% of patients experienced symptom improvement and 96.4% achieved sphincter-preserving surgery. Post-NAC showed significant tumor regression and MRI confirmed a tumor length reduction (P < 0.001). Clinical and pathological staging discrepancies post-NAC suggest broader therapeutic advantages. 5-year overall and disease-free survival rates were 78.4% and 73.4%. NAR scores provided better prognostic accuracy than MRI-TRG. CONCLUSION: CapeOX NAC presents notable benefits for LARC patients and its clinical significance may be underestimated. The NAR score demonstrates superior prognostic value over MRI-TRG.

Utility of Circulating Free DNA Fragmentomics in the Prediction of Pathological Response after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: A "Watch and Wait" (W&W) approach has become an alternative to surgery for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). Precise prediction of pathological complete response (pCR) will improve patient selection for W&W. We investigated the utility of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) fragmentomics in predicting pCR. METHODS: We recruited 119 LARC patients and evaluated nCRT response by pCR status and pathological or MRI tumor regression grade (mrTRG). Plasma samples before, during, and after nCRT were applied to deep targeted-panel sequencing, with 103 patients having complete samples. cfDNA fragment and 5'-end motif profiles were used to construct elastic-net logistic regression models to predict non-pCR. Predictive performance was measured by area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS: In the training cohort, the model based on 5'-end motif profile plus mrTRG achieved the highest cross-validation AUC (0.92, 95% CI, 0.91-0.93). The AUC in a testing cohort was 0.96 (95% CI, 0.90-1.00). The models based on 5'-end motif profile alone or in combination with mrTRG both maintained good predictive ability for patients without detectable circulating tumor DNA (AUC 0.94, 95% CI, 0.93-0.95; AUC 0.95, 95% CI, 0.94-0.96). In an external validation cohort, the model trained with a local 5'-end motif profile obtained an AUC of 0.878 (95% CI, 0.801-0.956) in discriminating colorectal cancer from healthy subjects. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of a 5'-end motif profile with mrTRG has the potential to predict the response to nCRT, and therefore may improve the patient selection for a W&W approach.

Letter to the Editor: An ultra-sensitive assay using cell-free DNA fragmentomics for multi-cancer early detection.

Early detection can benefit cancer patients with more effective treatments and better prognosis, but existing early screening tests are limited, especially for multi-cancer detection. This study investigated the most prevalent and lethal cancer types, including primary liver cancer (PLC), colorectal adenocarcinoma (CRC), and lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). Leveraging the emerging cell-free DNA (cfDNA) fragmentomics, we developed a robust machine learning model for multi-cancer early detection. 1,214 participants, including 381 PLC, 298 CRC, 292 LUAD patients, and 243 healthy volunteers, were enrolled. The majority of patients (N = 971) were at early stages (stage 0, N = 34; stage I, N = 799). The participants were randomly divided into a training cohort and a test cohort in a 1:1 ratio while maintaining the ratio for the major histology subtypes. An ensemble stacked machine learning approach was developed using multiple plasma cfDNA fragmentomic features. The model was trained solely in the training cohort and then evaluated in the test cohort. Our model showed an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.983 for differentiating cancer patients from healthy individuals. At 95.0% specificity, the sensitivity of detecting all cancer reached 95.5%, while 100%, 94.6%, and 90.4% for PLC, CRC, and LUAD, individually. The cancer origin model demonstrated an overall 93.1% accuracy for predicting cancer origin in the test cohort (97.4%, 94.3%, and 85.6% for PLC, CRC, and LUAD, respectively). Our model sensitivity is consistently high for early-stage and small-size tumors. Furthermore, its detection and origin classification power remained superior when reducing sequencing depth to 1× (cancer detection: ≥ 91.5% sensitivity at 95.0% specificity; cancer origin: ≥ 91.6% accuracy). In conclusion, we have incorporated plasma cfDNA fragmentomics into the ensemble stacked model and established an ultrasensitive assay for multi-cancer early detection, shedding light on developing cancer early screening in clinical practice.

The pattern and treatment outcomes for rectal cancer with concurrent locoregional recurrence and distant metastases after total mesorectal excision.

BACKGROUND: To study the pattern and treatment outcome of rectal cancer (RC) with concurrent locoregional recurrence (LR) and distant metastasis (DM) after total mesorectal excision (TME) and to identify patient-, disease-, and treatment-related factors associated with differences in prognosis after concurrent LR and DM. METHODS: RC patients who were diagnosed with concurrent LR and DM after TME from May 2015 to June 2019 were included in our study. All patients received single or multiple treatment modalities under the guidance of multidisciplinary team (MDT) of colorectal cancer in Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center. The prognostic value of various clinicopathological factors for survival were calculated by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: A total of 74 RC patients with concurrent LR and DM who had undergone TME with a median follow-up of 27 months were eligible for analysis. The median survival of the included patients was 34 months, and 30 patients (41%) died. Fifty-nine patients (80%) underwent comprehensive treatments. Patients with oligometastatic disease (OMD) achieved no evidence of disease (NED) status more frequently than those with multiple metastases (P = 0.003). In the univariate analysis, patients achieving NED, diagnosed with OMD and five or less peritoneal metastases tended to have longer survival after LR and DM diagnosis (P < 0.05). In the multivariate analysis, attaining NED status was the only independent factor for survival (hazard ratio (HR), 2.419; P = 0.032). Survival after concurrent LR and DM in the non-NED group was significantly shorter than that in the NED group (median survival, 32 vs. 46 months; HR, 2.7; P = 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: The pattern and treatment outcome of RC with concurrent LR and DM after TME has changed with the development of multiple treatment modalities. Although the prognosis remains poor, pursuing NED status through comprehensive treatments may improve the survival of RC patients with concurrent LR and DM after TME.

Short-course radiotherapy combined with CAPOX and Toripalimab for the total neoadjuvant therapy of locally advanced rectal cancer: a randomized, prospective, multicentre, double-arm, phase II trial (TORCH).

BACKGROUND: For patients with locally advanced (T3-4/N +) rectal cancer (LARC), the standard treatment is neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy combined with total mesorectal resection, which greatly decreases local recurrence but does not improve overall survival. For patients who achieve a complete clinical response (cCR) after nCRT, a "Watch & Wait" (W&W) approach can be received to improve quality of life. Currently, total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) has been demonstrated to increase the complete response rate and achieve early control of distant metastasis. Recent studies have shown promising synergistic effects of the combination of immunotherapy (PD-1/PD-L1 antibodies) and radiotherapy. Thus, for LARC patients, the combination of immunotherapy and TNT is likely to further improve the rate of complete response and prognosis. The disparities between induction therapy and consolidation therapy need to be investigated. METHODS: TORCH is a randomized, prospective, multicentre, double-arm, phase II trial of short-course radiotherapy (SCRT) combined with chemotherapy and immunotherapy in LARC. 130 LARC patients will be treated with the TNT approach and assigned to the consolidation arm and induction arm. The consolidation arm will receive SCRT, followed by 6 cycles of capecitabine plus oxaliplatin (CAPOX) and Toripalimab. The induction arm will first receive 2 cycles of CAPOX and Toripalimab, then receive SCRT, followed by 4 cycles of CAPOX and Toripalimab. Both groups will receive curative surgery or the W&W strategy. The primary endpoint is the complete response rate (rate of pCR plus cCR). The secondary endpoints include the grade 3-4 acute adverse effects rate, 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate, 3-year local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) rate, 3-year OS rate, rate of surgical complications and quality of life (QoL) scores. The "pick the winner" method is used to investigate the better treatment regimen. The trial was opened on 13th April 2021, and the first patient was recruited on 6th May 2021. DISCUSSION: TORCH will investigate whether SCRT combined with chemotherapy and Toripalimab can achieve better complete response rates, good tolerance and prognosis in LARC patients. This is the first clinical trial to compare the efficacy of induced immunotherapy and consolidative immunotherapy based on the TNT strategy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial Registration Number and Date of Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04518280 , August 15, 2020.

HER2 status is positively associated with vessel invasion of colorectal cancer: a retrospective large cohort study.

PURPOSE: HER2-positive colorectal cancer was drawn increasing attention in recent years. Accumulating evidence showed HER2-positive metastatic colorectal cancer could benefit from HER2-targeted therapy. While HER2 expression and the relationship between HER2 status and clinicopathological characteristics of overall colorectal cancer remains largely unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate HER2 expression in colorectal cancer and compare the clinicopathological features between HER2-positive and HER2-negative colorectal cancer. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 3910 primary colorectal cancer patients treated in our institution from January 2016 to December 2019. Medical records and pathology reports after surgery were collected to provide information about HER2 status and other clinicopathological characteristics. RESULTS: We identified 3347 HER2-negative and 79 HER2-positive colorectal cancer patients in our cohort. The chi-square test showed that vessel invasion was significantly more common in HER2-positive colorectal cancer patients. Crude analysis showed HER2 positive was associated with vessel invasion in colorectal cancer [OR and 95% CI 0.534 (0.341, 0.835), p = 0.006]. After adjusting for N stage, a significant association was still observed between HER2 status and vessel invasion in colorectal cancer [OR and 95% CI 0.550 (0.322, 0.941), p = 0.029]. Survival analysis showed that there was no significant difference in 3-year overall survival rate between HER2 positive and HER2 negative group (p = 0.603). CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that the rate of HER2 positivity in colorectal cancer was relatively low, and HER2 status was strongly associated with vessel invasion while having no significant influence on the 3-year overall survival rate in colorectal cancer patients.

Performance of common genetic variants in risk prediction for colorectal cancer in Chinese: A two-stage and multicenter study.

The efficacy of susceptible variants derived from genome-wide association studies (GWAs) optimizing discriminatory accuracy of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Chinese remains unclear. In the present validation study, we assessed 75 recently identified variants from GWAs. A risk predictive model combining 19 variants using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) statistics offered certain clinical advantages. This model demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) of 0.61 during training analysis and yielded robust AUCs from 0.59 to 0.61 during validation analysis in three independent centers. The individuals carrying the highest quartile of risk score revealed over 2-fold risks of CRC (ranging from 2.12 to 2.90) compared with those who presented the lowest quartile of risk score. This genetic model offered the possibility of partitioning risk within the average risk population, which might serve as a first step toward developing individualized CRC prevention strategies in China.

Novel functional variants in the Notch pathway and survival of Chinese colorectal cancer.

Notch signaling pathway plays crucial roles in progression of colorectal cancer (CRC), likely affecting overall survival (OS). In a two-stage survival analysis of 1116 CRC patients in East China, we found that one locus at MINAR1 out of 133 genes in the Notch signaling pathway was significantly associated with OS (P < 1 × 10-6 , false discovery rate < 0.01). This locus containing seven single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in high linkage disequilibrium (R2 = 1) is located on chromosome 15, of which the MINAR1 rs72430409 G allele was associated with a greater death risk (HR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.55-2.54, P = 6.8 × 10-8 ). Further analysis of ChIP-sequencing data from the encyclopedia of DNA Elements showed that rs72430409 and rs72630408 were potential cis-regulatory elements for the MINAR1 promoter. Additional expression quantitative trait loci analysis revealed that rs72430409 G>A and rs72630408 A>G were correlated with increased MINAR1 expression levels in both blood cells and colon tissues. Dual luciferase assays revealed that the rs72430409 A allele increased MINAR1 promoter activity. The Cancer Genome Atlas data showed that expression levels of MINAR1 in CRC samples were significantly higher than that in normal colorectal tissue and that high expression of MINAR1 was associated with a shortened OS, likely via activating the epithelial mesenchymal transition (EMT) pathway as shown in the gene-set enrichment analysis. In vitro, RNAi-mediated silencing of MINAR1 led to decreased migration and proliferation in CRC cancer cells, and MINAR1 silencing could downregulate the expression of key effector genes in EMT and glycolysis. Larger cohort studies and further experiments are needed to validate our findings.

Utility of ctDNA in predicting response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and prognosis assessment in locally advanced rectal cancer: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: For locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients who receive neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), there are no reliable indicators to accurately predict pathological complete response (pCR) before surgery. For patients with clinical complete response (cCR), a "Watch and Wait" (W&W) approach can be adopted to improve quality of life. However, W&W approach may increase the recurrence risk in patients who are judged to be cCR but have minimal residual disease (MRD). Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a major tool to evaluate response to nCRT; however, its ability to predict pCR needs to be improved. In this prospective cohort study, we explored the value of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in combination with MRI in the prediction of pCR before surgery and investigated the utility of ctDNA in risk stratification and prognostic prediction for patients undergoing nCRT and total mesorectal excision (TME). METHODS AND FINDINGS: We recruited 119 Chinese LARC patients (cT3-4/N0-2/M0; median age of 57; 85 males) who were treated with nCRT plus TME at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (China) from February 7, 2016 to October 31, 2017. Plasma samples at baseline, during nCRT, and after surgery were collected. A total of 531 plasma samples were collected and subjected to deep targeted panel sequencing of 422 cancer-related genes. The association among ctDNA status, treatment response, and prognosis was analyzed. The performance of ctDNA alone, MRI alone, and combining ctDNA with MRI was evaluated for their ability to predict pCR/non-pCR. Ranging from complete tumor regression (pathological tumor regression grade 0; pTRG0) to poor regression (pTRG3), the ctDNA clearance rate during nCRT showed a significant decreasing trend (95.7%, 77.8%, 71.1%, and 66.7% in pTRG 0, 1, 2, and 3 groups, respectively, P = 0.008), while the detection rate of acquired mutations in ctDNA showed an increasing trend (3.8%, 8.3%, 19.2%, and 23.1% in pTRG 0, 1, 2, and 3 groups, respectively, P = 0.02). Univariable logistic regression showed that ctDNA clearance was associated with a low probability of non-pCR (odds ratio = 0.11, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 0.01 to 0.6, P = 0.04). A risk score predictive model, which incorporated both ctDNA (i.e., features of baseline ctDNA, ctDNA clearance, and acquired mutation status) and MRI tumor regression grade (mrTRG), was developed and demonstrated improved performance in predicting pCR/non-pCR (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.886, 95% CI = 0.810 to 0.962) compared with models derived from only ctDNA (AUC = 0.818, 95% CI = 0.725 to 0.912) or only mrTRG (AUC = 0.729, 95% CI = 0.641 to 0.816). The detection of potential colorectal cancer (CRC) driver genes in ctDNA after nCRT indicated a significantly worse recurrence-free survival (RFS) (hazard ratio [HR] = 9.29, 95% CI = 3.74 to 23.10, P < 0.001). Patients with detectable driver mutations and positive high-risk feature (HR_feature) after surgery had the highest recurrence risk (HR = 90.29, 95% CI = 17.01 to 479.26, P < 0.001). Limitations include relatively small sample size, lack of independent external validation, no serial ctDNA testing after surgery, and a relatively short follow-up period. CONCLUSIONS: The model combining ctDNA and MRI improved the predictive performance compared with the models derived from individual information, and combining ctDNA with HR_feature can stratify patients with a high risk of recurrence. Therefore, ctDNA can supplement MRI to better predict nCRT response, and it could potentially help patient selection for nonoperative management and guide the treatment strategy for those with different recurrence risks.

A novel human colon signet-ring cell carcinoma organoid line: establishment, characterization and application.

Colon signet-ring cell carcinoma (SRCC) is a rare type of malignant dedifferentiated adenocarcinomas, and is associated with poor survival. However, an in-depth study of the biological features of SRCC is hindered by the lack of a reliable in vitro model of colon SRCC. Thus, the establishment of cell cultures from SRCC has become the most challenging task. Here, by harnessing the power of the organoid culture system, we describe the establishment of a human colon SRCC organoid line from a surgical sample from one patient with colon SRCC. The colon SRCC organoid line, YQ-173, was characterized for morphology, histology, ultrastructure and chromosome stability levels, showing that it resembles the histological and growth characteristics of the original tumor cells; xenografts were used to show that it also has a high tumor formation rate. RNA sequencing of YQ-173 compared with the normal tissue verified its mucinous nature. Capture-based targeted DNA sequencing combined with drug screening based on a bespoke 88 compound library identified that JAK2 might be a treatment target. An in vitro drug screening found that AT9283 and Pacritinib could be effective JAK2 inhibitors, which was consistent with the in vivo xenograft response. We report, for the first time, the establishment of an SRCC organoid line allowing in-depth study of SRCC biology, as well as a strategy to assess in vitro drug testing in a personalized fashion.

Development and validation of a novel epigenetic signature for predicting prognosis in colon cancer.

Epigenetic factors play a critical role in carcinogenesis by imparting a distinct feature to the chromatin architecture. The present study aimed to develop a novel epigenetic signature for evaluating the relapse-free survival of colon cancer patients. Public microarray datasets were acquired from the Gene Expression Omnibus databases: GSE39582, GSE17538, GSE33113, and GSE37892 set. Patients from GSE39582 set were randomized 1:1 into training and internal validation series. Patients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups in training series based on a set of 11 epigenetic factors (p < .001). The good reproducibility for the prognostic value of the epigenetic signature was confirmed in the internal validation series (p < .001), external validation series (a combination of GSE17538 set, GSE33113 set, and GSE37892 set; p = .018), and entire series (p < .001). Furthermore, a nomogram, which integrated the epigenetic signature, pathological stage, and postoperative chemotherapy, was developed based on the GSE39582 set. The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve at 1 year demonstrated that the comprehensive signature presented superior prognostic value than the pathological stage. In conclusion, an epigenetic signature, which could be utilized to divide colon cancer patients into two groups with significantly different risk of relapse, was established. This biomarker would aid in identifying patients who require an intensive follow-up and aggressive therapeutic intervention.

Immunohistochemistry-Based Consensus Molecular Subtypes as a Prognostic and Predictive Biomarker for Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients with Stage II Colorectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: For stage II colorectal cancer (CRC), the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy remains controversial. Consensus molecular subtype (CMS) has been validated to be a prognostic tool for CRCs. In this study, CMS status was investigated as a prognostic biomarker for the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colorectal cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The tissue microarray was retrospectively constructed of 165 nonconsecutive, primary, and sporadic stage II CRCs. CMS status was determined by immunohistochemistry staining of CDX2, HTR2B, FRMD6, and ZEB1, combining with microsatellite instability testing. The prognostic for adjuvant chemotherapy efficacy of CMS status was calculated by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analysis. Subgroup analyses were conducted according to tumor location. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier curves indicated that CMS was associated with overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival for stage II CRCs. Cox regression analysis showed that CMS was an independent risk factor for OS. Among high-risk clinicopathological factors, patients with CMS2/3 (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.445, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.227-0.875), left-sided tumors (HR: 0.488, 95% CI: 0.247-0.968), or fewer than 12 lymph nodes examined (HR: 0.307, 95% CI: 0.097-0.974) had survival benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. Subgroup analysis showed that adjuvant chemotherapy only improved OS for patients with left-sided tumors of CMS2/3 subtype. Regardless of CMS, right-sided tumors had no benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: CMS is a better prognostic factor for adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II CRCs. Together with tumor location, CMS classification will aid in personalized treatment for stage II CRCs. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: For stage II colorectal cancer (CRC), the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy remains controversial, in that its minimal benefit (no more than 5% on average) is considered not worth the toxic effects of the drugs. There are still no effective prognostic and predictive biomarkers. This study showed that consensus molecular subtype (CMS) status is a predictive marker for adjuvant chemotherapy efficacy. Patients with left-sided tumors of CMS2/3 subtype have survival benefit by receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, which will aid in personalized treatment for stage II CRCs. Moreover, this test of CMS based on immunohistochemistry is cheap, not time consuming, and easily conducted in the laboratories of most hospitals.

Establishment and validation of a novel nomogram incorporating clinicopathological parameters into the TNM staging system to predict prognosis for stage II colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Survival outcomes are significantly different in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with diverse clinicopathological features. The objective of this study is to establish a credible prognostic nomogram incorporating easily obtained parameters for stage II CRC patients. METHODS: A total of 1708 stage II CRC patients seen at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) from 2008 to 2013 were retrospectively analyzed in this study. Cases were randomly separated into a training set (n = 1084) and a validation set (n = 624). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent prognostic factors that were subsequently incorporated into a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by the predicted concordance index (C-index) and ROC curve to calculate the area under the curve (AUC). The clinical utility of the nomogram was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: In univariate and multivariate analyses, eight parameters were correlated with disease-free survival (DFS), which were subsequently selected to generate a prognostic nomogram based on DFS. For DFS predictions, the C-index values of the nomogram were 0.842 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.710-0.980), and 0.701 (95% CI 0.610-0.770) for the training and validation sets, respectively. The AUC values of the ROC curves for the nomogram to predicted 1, 3 and 5-year survival were 0.869, 0.858, and 0.777 (training group) and 0.673, 0.714, and 0.706 (validation group), respectively. The recurrence probability calibration curve showed good consistency between actual observations and nomogram-based predictions. DCA showed better clinical application value for the nomogram than the TNM staging system. CONCLUSION: A novel nomogram was established and validated in a large population, and the nomogram is a simple-to-use tool for physicians to facilitate postoperative personalized prognostic evaluation and determine therapeutic strategies for stage II CRC patients.

Increasing age-related survival gap among patients with colorectal cancer: a population-based retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Survival for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) has improved over the past decades. However, it is unclear whether older patients have benefited to the same extent as younger patients. METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 9 registries database was queried for CRC patients from 1975 to 2009. We presented yearly data for survival with overlying loess-smoothing lines across all age groups. Another cohort was created using the SEER 18 registries database for patients diagnosed with CRC from 1973 to 2014. Yearly data for surgery-performed rate, stage proportion, and multivariate hazard ratio were performed with overlying smoothing lines across all age groups. RESULTS: In the analysis SEER 9, 5-year cause-specific survival (CSS) of patients aged ≤ 54, 55-64, and 65-74 years showed robust increase since 1975; however, the survival of patients aged 75-84 years remained low despite modest improvement, and patients aged 85 or older even showed no survival gains since 1990. In the analysis of SEER 18, there has been a steady increase in the survival of patients aged ≤ 54, 55-64, 65-74, and 75-84 years as time period advanced; however, of CRC patients aged ≥ 85 years, the survival curves of period 1990-1999 and 2000-2012 could not be distinguished from each other presented with negligibly a small gap from the curve of 1980-1989. CONCLUSIONS: The strong interaction between age and year of diagnosis implies that older patients have benefited less over time than younger patients, especially for patients aged ≥ 85 years.

Epithelial EZH2 serves as an epigenetic determinant in experimental colitis by inhibiting TNFα-mediated inflammation and apoptosis.

Epithelial barrier disruption is a major cause of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); however, the mechanism through which epigenetic regulation modulates intestinal epithelial integrity remains largely undefined. Here we show that EZH2, the catalytic subunit of polycomb repressive complex (PRC2), is indispensable for maintaining epithelial cell barrier integrity and homeostasis under inflammatory conditions. In accordance with reduced EZH2 expression in patients, the inactivation of EZH2 in IECs sensitizes mice to DSS- and TNBS-induced experimental colitis. Conversely, EZH2 overexpression in the intestinal epithelium renders mice more resistant to colitis. Mechanistically, the genes encoding TRAF2/5 are held in a finely tuned bivalent status under inflammatory conditions. EZH2 deficiency potentiates the expression of these genes to enhance TNFα-induced NF-κB signaling, thereby leading to uncontrolled inflammation. More importantly, we show that EZH2 depletion compromises the protective role of NF-κB signaling in cell survival by directly up-regulating ITCH, a well-known E3 ligase that degrades the c-FLIP protein. Thus, our findings highlight an epigenetic mechanism by which EZH2 integrates the multifaceted effects of TNFα signaling to promote the inflammatory response and apoptosis in colitis.

Clinicopathologic features and prognostic value of KRAS, NRAS and BRAF mutations and DNA mismatch repair status: A single-center retrospective study of 1,834 Chinese patients with Stage I-IV colorectal cancer.

Mutations of KRAS, NRAS, BRAF and DNA mismatch repair (MMR) status have become an important part of the assessment of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), while respective clinicopathologic features and prognostic significance in specific stages and related detection strategies remain unclear. We retrospectively analyzed clinicopathologic features and prognosis of 1,834 patients with Stage I-IV colorectal adenocarcinoma. Mutations in KRAS, NRAS and BRAF and DNA MMR status were determined. The mutation rates of KRAS, NRAS and BRAF were 46.4, 3.2 and 3.5%, respectively, and the mismatch repair gene deletion (dMMR) rate was 5.6%. In a multivariate analysis, female, advanced age, tumor type histology, mucinous carcinoma and positive tumor deposits were associated with a high KRAS mutation rate. A high BRAF mutation rate was associated with female, poor differentiation, lymphovascular invasion and positive tumor deposits. Factors associated with high dMMR rates included low age, large tumor size, poor differentiation, Stages I-III. Tumor site was independently associated with KRAS mutation, BRAF mutation and dMMR. KRAS and BRAF mutations were independent risk factors for shorter overall survival (OS) in Stage IV tumors but not in Stage I-III tumors. NRAS mutation was an independent risk factor for shorter OS in Stage I-II tumors. dMMR was independently associated with longer OS in Stage III tumors.

Adjuvant Chemotherapy Seemed Not to Have Survival Benefit in Rectal Cancer Patients with ypTis-2N0 After Preoperative Radiotherapy and Surgery from a Population-Based Propensity Score Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant chemotherapy is currently offered routinely, as standard, after radical resection for patients with rectal cancer receiving neo-adjuvant chemoradiation. However, the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with ypTis-2N0M0 has not been documented to the same extent, and the survival benefit remained controversial. The purpose of this work was to determine the role of chemotherapy in patients with ypTis-2N0M0 classification. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (n = 4,217). A propensity score model was utilized to balance baseline covariates. RESULTS: Of the 4,217 included patients, 335 with ypTis-2N0M0 did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. There were comparable cancer-specific survivals (CSS) between those undergoing adjuvant chemotherapy or not (log-rank test = 0.136, p = .712) in the overall sample. After propensity score matching, the cancer-specific survival did not differ between the chemotherapy and observation groups (log-rank test = 0.089, p = .765). Additionally, the Cox model did not demonstrate adjuvant chemotherapy as the prognostic factor, with hazard ratio = 0.95 (95% confidence interval 0.69-1.32) for CSS. Furthermore, the 10-year cumulative CSS was 78.7% and 79.4% between the chemotherapy and observation groups, indicating no significance, and no impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on survival was observed in different subgroups stratified by T stage, histological grade, histology, lymph nodes, and tumor size. CONCLUSION: Patients with ypTis-2N0 rectal cancer did not benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy after preoperative radiology and radical surgery in this cohort study. These results provided new insight into the routine use of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with rectal cancer with completed neo-adjuvant radiotherapy and curative surgery. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Inconsistent recommendations for patients with rectal cancer receiving neo-adjuvant chemoradiation are offered by clinical guidelines. Adjuvant chemotherapy had no cancer-specific survival benefit, not only in the whole cohort, but also in the propensity score-matched cohort. A Cox model also confirmed adjuvant chemotherapy was not a significant prognostic factor in ypTis-2N0 rectal cancer. No survival benefit conferred by adjuvant chemotherapy was observed, regardless of whether T stage, histological type, grade, lymph nodes and tumor size varied.

Adjuvant chemotherapy for rectal cancer with complete pathological response (pCR) may not be necessary: a pooled analysis of 5491 patients.

BACKGROUND: It is recommended postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy for all rectal cancers undergoing neo-chemoradiotherapy regardless of the final yield pathology. However, the role of adjuvant chemotherapy in pathological complete response (pCR) remains controversial. We aimed to identify the necessarily of adjuvant chemotherapy in pCR. METHODS: Consecutive patients with pCR in Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) were enrolled. Meanwhile, a pooled analysis of individual patient with pCR was performed from PubMed and Embase databases for validation. RESULTS: A total of 171 patients form FUSCC were identified to achieve pCR with up to almost 10 years follow-up. Among them, those receiving adjuvant chemotherapy had no survival benefits compared to those without adjuvant chemotherapy (log-rank test = 0.17, P = 0.676). The 5y-DFS rates for patients in chemo group and no-chemo group was 87.5 and 88.8%, respectively, showing no significant difference (p = 0.854). No matter chemotherapy regimens, T stage, EMVI and CRM status varied, the results remained consistent. Meantime, the COX model did not demonstrate adjuvant chemotherapy as the independent risk factor for OS and DFS. Additionally, among 18 systemic recurrences in all, the rate of relapse surged rapidly on the 12 months and rose up to peak in the 36th months. In order to validate these results, nine controlled trials involving 5491 patients with pCR were included in this pooled-analysis. For both 5-year overall survival and disease-free survival, the pooling data did not produce a statistically significant effect in cases of adjuvant chemotherapy performed (RR = 0.79 and RR = 0.95, respectively, all p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: This study suggested that rectal cancer patients with pCR did not benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy and we recommended that achievement of pCR require more prolonged close follow care in case of distant metastasis.

Prognostic nomograms for predicting cause-specific survival and overall survival of stage I-III colon cancer patients: a large population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to build functional nomograms based on significant clinicopathological features to predict cause-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with stage I-III colon cancer. METHODS: Data on patients diagnosed with stage I-III colon cancer between 2010 and 2015 were downloaded from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to identify independent prognostic factors, which were used to construct nomograms to predict the probabilities of CSS and OS. The performance of the nomogram was assessed by C-indexes, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to compare clinical usage between the nomogram and the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system. RESULTS: Based on the univariate and multivariate analyses, features that correlated with survival outcomes were used to establish nomograms for CSS and OS prediction. The nomograms showed favorable sensitivity at predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS and OS, with a C-index of 0.78 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.77-0.80) for CSS and 0.74 (95% CI 0.73-0.75) for OS. Calibration curves and ROC curves revealed excellent predictive accuracy. The clinically and statistically significant prognostic performance of the nomogram generated with the entire group of patients and risk scores was validated by a stratified analysis. DCA showed that the nomograms were more clinically useful than TNM stage. CONCLUSION: Novel nomograms based on significant clinicopathological characteristics were developed and can be used as a tool for clinicians to predict CSS and OS in stage I-III colon cancer patients. These models could help facilitate a personalized postoperative evaluation.