Chronic hepatitis B baseline viral load and on-treatment liver cancer risk: A multinational cohort study of HBeAg-positive patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A single-nation study reported that pretreatment HBV viral load is associated with on-treatment risk of HCC in patients who are HBeAg-positive without cirrhosis and with chronic hepatitis B initiating antiviral treatment. We aimed to validate the association between baseline HBV viral load and on-treatment HCC risk in a larger, multinational cohort. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Using a multinational cohort from Korea, Hong Kong, and Taiwan involving 7545 adult patients with HBeAg-positive, without cirrhosis and with chronic hepatitis B who started entecavir or tenofovir treatment with baseline HBV viral load ≥5.00 log 10 IU/mL, HCC risk was estimated by baseline viral load. HBV viral load was analyzed as a categorical variable. During continuous antiviral treatment (median, 4.28 y), HCC developed in 200 patients (incidence rate, 0.61 per 100 person-years). Baseline HBV DNA level was independently associated with on-treatment HCC risk in a nonlinear pattern. HCC risk was lowest with the highest baseline viral load (≥8.00 log 10 IU/mL; incidence rate, 0.10 per 100 person-years), but increased sharply as baseline viral load decreased. The adjusted HCC risk was 8.05 times higher (95% CI, 3.34-19.35) with baseline viral load ≥6.00 and <7.00 log 10 IU/mL (incidence rate, 1.38 per 100 person-years) compared with high (≥8.00 log 10 IU/mL) baseline viral load ( p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In a multinational cohort of adult patients with HBeAg-positive without cirrhosis and with chronic hepatitis B, baseline HBV viral load was significantly associated with HCC risk despite antiviral treatment. Patients with the highest viral load who initiated treatment had the lowest long-term risk of HCC development.

Viral Load-Based Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Noncirrhotic Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B : A Multinational Study for the Development and External Validation of a New Prognostic Model.

BACKGROUND: A nonlinear association between serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk has been suggested in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). OBJECTIVE: To develop and externally validate a prognostic model for HCC risk in noncirrhotic adult patients with CHB and no notable alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation. DESIGN: Multinational cohort study. SETTING: A community-based cohort in Taiwan (REVEAL-HBV [Risk Evaluation of Viral Load Elevation and Associated Liver Disease/Cancer-Hepatitis B Virus]; REACH-B [Risk Estimation for HCC in CHB] model cohort) and 8 hospital-based cohorts from Korea and Hong Kong (GAG-HCC [Guide with Age, Gender, HBV DNA-HCC] and CU-HCC [Chinese University-HCC] cohorts). PARTICIPANTS: Model development: 6949 patients with CHB from a Korean hospital-based cohort. External validation: 7429 patients with CHB combined from the Taiwanese cohort and 7 cohorts from Korea and Hong Kong. MEASUREMENTS: Incidence of HCC. RESULTS: Over median follow-up periods of 10.0 and 12.2 years, the derivation and validation cohorts identified 435 and 467 incident HCC cases, respectively. Baseline HBV DNA level was one of the strongest predictors of HCC development, demonstrating a nonlinear parabolic association in both cohorts, with moderate viral loads (around 6 log10 IU/mL) showing the highest HCC risk. Additional predictors included in the new model (Revised REACH-B) were age, sex, platelet count, ALT levels, and positive hepatitis B e antigen result. The model exhibited satisfactory discrimination and calibration, with c-statistics of 0.844 and 0.813 in the derivation and validation cohorts with multiple imputation, respectively. The model yielded a greater positive net benefit compared with other strategies in the 0% to 18% threshold. LIMITATION: Validation in cohorts of other races and receiving antiviral treatment was lacking. CONCLUSION: Our new prognostic model, based on the nonlinear association between HBV viral loads and HCC risk, provides a valuable tool for predicting and stratifying HCC risk in noncirrhotic patients with CHB who are not currently indicated for antiviral treatment. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Korean government.

Non-linear association of baseline viral load with on-treatment hepatocellular carcinoma risk in chronic hepatitis B.

OBJECTIVE: The association between baseline pretreatment serum HBV DNA levels and on-treatment hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk remains controversial in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to investigate the association between baseline HBV viral load and on-treatment HCC risk in CHB patients without cirrhosis. DESIGN: Using a multicentre historical cohort study including 4693 hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative and HBeAg-positive, adult CHB patients without cirrhosis who initiated antiviral treatment, HCC risk was estimated by baseline HBV viral load as a categorical variable. RESULTS: During a median of 7.6 years of antiviral treatment, 193 patients developed HCC (0.53 per 100 person- years). Baseline HBV DNA level was independently associated with on-treatment HCC risk in a non-linear, parabolic pattern. Patients with moderate baseline viral loads (5.00-7.99 log10 IU/mL) exhibited the highest HCC risk (HR, 2.60; p<0.001), followed by those with low viral loads (3.30-4.99 log10 IU/mL; HR, 1.66; p=0.11). Patients with high viral loads (≥8.00 log10 IU/mL) presented the lowest HCC risk. Particularly, patients with baseline HBV DNA levels 6.00-6.99 log10 IU/mL had the highest on-treatment HCC risk (HR, 3.36; p<0.001) compared with those with baseline HBV DNA levels≥8.00 log10 IU/mL. These findings were more prominent among HBeAg-positive patients, younger patients, or those with less advanced hepatic fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Patients with moderate baseline viral load, particularly around 6 log10 IU/mL, demonstrated the highest on-treatment HCC risk, despite long-term antiviral treatment. Early initiation of antiviral treatment, tailored to viral load, should be considered to minimise HCC risk in adult CHB patients without cirrhosis.

Updated Reference Intervals for Alanine Aminotransferase in a Metabolically and Histologically Normal Population.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: This study aims to reevaluate upper reference limit (URL) for alanine aminotransferase (ALT) by considering the changing epidemiology of major liver diseases. We employed histological and metabolic parameters in Asian living liver donors. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of 5455 potential living liver donors from 2005 to 2019. Participants were screened for hepatitis B, C, HIV, and alcohol use. Histologically and metabolically healthy participants were assessed using the Prati criteria (body mass index <23 kg/m2, triglyceride ≤200 mg/dL, fasting glucose ≤105 mg/dL, total cholesterol ≤220 mg/dL). The updated ALT-URL was determined as the 95th percentile among participants without hepatic steatosis and who met the Prati criteria. RESULTS: The median age was 30 years, with a male predominance (66.2%). Among 5455 participants, 3162 (58.0%) showed no hepatic steatosis, with 1553 (49.1%) meeting both the criteria for no steatosis and the Prati criteria for metabolic health. The updated URL for ALT in these participants was 34 U/L for males and 22 U/L for females, which was significantly lower than conventionally accepted values. Using this revised ALT-URL, 72.8% of males with ALT levels ≥34 U/L and 55.0% of females with ALT levels ≥22 U/L showed signs of steatosis, whereas 32.7% of males and 22.2% of females met the criteria for metabolic syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provided the newly established reference intervals for ALT levels in a metabolically and histologically verified Asian population. The proposed URL for ALT are 34 U/L and 22 U/L for males and females, respectively.

Tenofovir Is Associated With a Better Prognosis Than Entecavir for Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Whether tenofovir or entecavir has different effects on the prevention of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in secondary and tertiary preventive settings is still a matter of debate. This study aimed to compare the long-term prognosis of HCC between tenofovir and entecavir in patients with chronic hepatitis B. METHODS: Chronic hepatitis B patients diagnosed with HCC between November 2008 and December 2018 and treated with either entecavir or tenofovir at a tertiary center in Korea were included. The effect of tenofovir compared with entecavir on the prognosis of HBV-related HCC was assessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox and propensity score (PS)-matched analyses. Various predefined subgroup analyses were conducted. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 3.0 years, the mortality rate for entecavir-treated patients (n = 3469) was 41.2%, while tenofovir-treated patients (n = 3056) had a mortality rate of 34.6%. Overall survival (OS) was better in the tenofovir group (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.79; P < .001), which were consistently observed in the PS-matched analysis. The magnitude of the risk difference in OS was more prominent 2 years after the diagnosis of HCC (aHR, 0.50; P < .001) than 2 years before (aHR, 0.88; P = .005), and it was more pronounced in patients with earlier HCC stages. In all subgroups, except for those with shorter life expectancy, such as those with compromised liver function, tenofovir was associated with better OS compared with entecavir. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with HBV-related HCC, those treated with tenofovir had a better prognosis than those treated with entecavir, particularly among those with prolonged survival.

Baseline Viral Load and On-treatment Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Chronic Hepatitis B: A Multinational Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk persists in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) despite antiviral therapy. The relationship between pre-treatment baseline hepatitis B virus (HBV) viral load and HCC risk during antiviral treatment remains uncertain. METHODS: This multinational cohort study aimed to investigate the association between baseline HBV viral load and on-treatment HCC risk in 20,826 noncirrhotic, hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive and HBeAg-negative patients with baseline HBV DNA levels ≥2000 IU/mL (3.30 log10 IU/mL) who initiated entecavir or tenofovir treatment. The primary outcome was on-treatment HCC incidence, stratified by baseline HBV viral load as a categorical variable. RESULTS: In total, 663 patients developed HCC over a median follow-up of 4.1 years, with an incidence rate of 0.81 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-0.87). Baseline HBV viral load was significantly associated with HCC risk in a non-linear parabolic pattern, independent of other factors. Patients with baseline viral load between 6.00 and 7.00 log10 IU/mL had the highest on-treatment HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.28; 95% CI, 2.15-8.52; P < .0001) compared with those with baseline viral load ≥8.00 log10 IU/mL, who exhibited the lowest HCC risk. CONCLUSION: Baseline viral load showed a significant, non-linear, parabolic association with HCC risk during antiviral treatment in noncirrhotic patients with CHB. Early initiation of antiviral treatment based on HBV viral load may help prevent irreversible HCC risk accumulation in patients with CHB.

Response to atezolizumab plus bevacizumab specific for lung and lymph node metastases affects survival of patients with HCC.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Tumour microenvironment heterogeneity among different organs can influence immunotherapy responses. Here, we evaluated the impact of differential organ-specific responses on survival in patients with advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atezo/Bev). METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 366 consecutive patients with advanced-stage HCC treated with Atezo/Bev as first-line systemic treatment. Therapeutic response was assessed using RECIST v1.1. Patients were divided into an intention-to-treat (ITT) group (patients treated with ≥1 dose of Atezo/Bev) and a per-protocol (PP) analysis group (patients with at least one measurable lesion irrespective of location treated with ≥3 doses of Atezo/Bev). Overall response and organ-specific response at initial and best response were evaluated in the PP group. Responders were defined as patients achieving complete remission or partial response. Initial progressors were defined as patients with progressive disease after three doses of Atezo/Bev. RESULTS: The ITT and PP groups comprised 324 and 236 patients, respectively. In the PP group, the organ-specific response rate of lung and lymph node (LN) metastases at both initial and best responses were higher than those of intrahepatic lesions and macrovascular tumour thrombosis. Lung and LN-specific response rates were 21.1% and 23.5%, respectively, at initial response, and 24.7% and 31.4%, respectively, at best response. Both initial pulmonary and lymphatic progressors (adjusted hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals], 6.37 [2.10-19.3], and 8.36 [2.16-32.4], respectively) were independently associated with survival regardless of intrahepatic response. CONCLUSIONS: The response of metastatic HCC to the Atezo/Bev regimen may be used to determine whether to continue treatment or switch to second-line treatment at an early phase of therapy.

Improving the hepatitis C virus care cascade with the in-hospital Reflex tEsting ALarm-C (REAL-C) model.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) has set targets to eliminate viral hepatitis, including hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, by 2030. We present the results of the in-hospital Reflex tEsting ALarm-C (REAL-C) model, which incorporates reflex HCV RNA testing and sending alerts to physicians. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study analysing the data of 1730 patients who newly tested positive for anti-HCV between March 2020 and June 2023. Three distinct periods were defined: pre-REAL-C (n = 696), incomplete REAL-C (n = 515) and complete REAL-C model periods (n = 519). The primary outcome measure was the HCV RNA testing rate throughout the study period. Additionally, we assessed the referral rate to the gastroenterology department, linkage time for diagnosis and treatment and the treatment rate. RESULTS: The rate of HCV RNA testing increased significantly from 51.0% (pre-REAL-C) to 95.6% (complete REAL-C). This improvement was consistent across clinical departments, regardless of patients' comorbidities. Among patients with confirmed HCV infection, the gastroenterology referral rate increased from 57.1% to 81.1% after the REAL-C model. The treatment rate among treatment-eligible patients was 92.4% during the study period. The mean interval from anti-HCV positivity to HCV RNA testing decreased from 45.1 to 1.9 days. The mean interval from the detection of anti-HCV positivity to direct-acting antiviral treatment also decreased from 89.5 to 49.5 days with the REAL-C model. CONCLUSION: The REAL-C model, featuring reflex testing and physician alerts, effectively increased HCV RNA testing rates and streamlined care cascades. Our model facilitated progress towards achieving WHO's elimination goals for HCV infection.

Revisiting the steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator score in young Asian subjects with steatotic liver disease and consideration for population variability.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator (SAFE) score has been developed to distinguish clinically significant fibrosis in patients with steatotic liver disease (SLD). However, validation of its performance in Asian subjects is limited. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the SAFE score in Asian subjects with biopsy-proven SLD and in different subgroups according to age, sex, and body mass index. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 6383 living liver donors who underwent a liver biopsy between 2005 and 2023. Of these, 1551 subjects with biopsy-proven SLD were included. The performance of the SAFE score was evaluated using areas under the curve and compared with those of the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). RESULTS: The prevalence of clinically significant fibrosis in the cohort was 2.2%. The proportion of subjects with a "low-risk" SAFE score was the highest (91.0%), followed by those with "intermediate-risk" (7.8%) and "high-risk" (1.2%) scores. The prevalence of fibrosis in subjects with low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk scores was 1.6%, 6.6%, and 21.1%, respectively. The SAFE outperformed FIB-4 and NFS (area under the curve: 0.70 vs 0.64 for both NFS and FIB-4). However, it showed low diagnostic accuracy and sensitivity (27%) at the low cutoff (SAFE < 0) in subjects aged 30-39 years (fibrosis: 1.2%), despite having a high negative predictive value (0.99). CONCLUSION: While the SAFE score demonstrates superior performance compared with other noninvasive tests in Asian subjects with SLD, its performance varies across age groups. In younger subjects, particularly, its performance may be more limited.

Hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving tenofovir- vs. entecavir-based regimens: Individual patient data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The comparative risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) receiving tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) vs. entecavir (ETV) remains controversial. In this individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, we aimed to compare HCC risk between the two drugs and identify subgroups who may benefit more from one treatment than the other. METHODS: Published meta-analyses, electronic databases and congress proceedings were searched to identify eligible studies through January 2021. We compared HCC risk between the two drugs using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model with anonymised IPD from treatment-naïve patients with CHB receiving TDF or ETV for ≥1 year. Treatment effect consistency was explored in propensity score matching (PSM), weighting (PSW) and subgroup analyses for age, sex, hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg) positivity, cirrhosis and diabetes status. RESULTS: We included 11 studies from Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong involving 42,939 patients receiving TDF (n = 6,979) or ETV (n = 35,960) monotherapy. Patients receiving TDF had significantly lower HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.77; 95% CI 0.61-0.98; p = 0.03). Lower HCC risk with TDF was consistently observed in PSM (HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.59-0.88; p <0.01) and PSW (HR 0.83; 95% CI 0.67-1.03; p = 0.10) analyses and in all subgroups, with statistical significance in the ≥50 years of age (HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.58-1.00; p <0.05), male (HR 0.74; 95% CI 0.58-0.96; p = 0.02), HBeAg-positive (HR 0.69; 95% CI 0.49-0.97; p = 0.03) and non-diabetic (HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.63-1.00; p <0.05) subgroups. CONCLUSION: TDF was associated with significantly lower HCC risk than ETV in patients with CHB, particularly those with HBeAg positivity. Longer follow-up may be needed to better define incidence differences between the treatments in various subgroups. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Previous aggregate data meta-analyses have reported inconsistent conclusions on the relative effectiveness of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and entecavir in reducing hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This individual patient data meta-analysis on 11 studies involving 42,939 patients from Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong suggested that tenofovir disoproxil fumarate-treated patients have a significantly lower hepatocellular carcinoma risk than entecavir-treated patients, which was observed in all subgroups of clinical interest and by different analytical methodologies. These findings should be taken into account by healthcare providers when determining the optimal course of treatment for patients with CHB and may be considered in ensuring that treatment guidelines for CHB remain pertinent.

Low Level of Hepatitis B Viremia Compared With Undetectable Viremia Increases the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Untreated Compensated Cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: The initiation of antiviral treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis B with compensated cirrhosis and low-level viremia (LLV; HBV DNA 15-2,000 IU/mL) remains controversial. We sought to compare the long-term outcomes of these untreated patients according to their viremic status. METHODS: Six hundred twenty-seven untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B with compensated cirrhosis were analyzed retrospectively. The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver-related clinical events, including hepatic decompensation, were compared between patients with LLV and undetectable HBV DNA. Patients who received antiviral treatment were censored during treatment initiation. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 54.7 years, 64.4% of whom were male. During the study period, 59 patients developed HCC (20 and 39 in the undetectable and LLV groups, respectively) with an annual incidence of 2.44/100 person-years. Multivariable analysis revealed that the LLV group was associated with a significantly higher risk of HCC (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.36, P = 0.002) than the undetectable group. In the 204 propensity score-matched cohort, the LLV group had a 2.16-fold greater risk of HCC than the undetectable group ( P = 0.014). Liver-related clinical events occurred in 121 patients with an annual incidence of 5.25/100 person-years. Despite not reaching statistical significance, the LLV group tended to have a higher risk of liver-related events in the propensity score-matched cohort (hazard ratio: 1.14, P = 0.50). DISCUSSION: Compared with patients with undetectable HBV DNA, those with compensated cirrhosis and LLV had a significantly higher risk of HCC. Antiviral treatment should be advised for these patients.

Liver Cirrhosis Increases the Risk of Herpes Zoster: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Limited data are available regarding the association between liver cirrhosis (LC) and the risk of herpes zoster (HZ). This study aimed to determine the risk of HZ in patients with LC. METHODS: HZ was defined as the presence of the International Classification of Diseases-10th revision code for HZ and concomitant prescription of antiviral medication. The incidence rates and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of HZ in patients with LC were analyzed using data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service in Korea claims database from 2009 to 2019. RESULTS: A total of 504,986 Korean patients with LC were included. The mean age was 52.4 years, and 60.8% were men. Chronic hepatitis B was the most common cause of LC. The incidence rates for HZ and HZ-related hospitalization were 21.6 of 1,000 and 1.81 of 1,000 person-years, respectively. The SIRs for HZ and HZ-related hospitalization were 1.09 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.09) and 1.48 (95% CI: 1.44-1.52), respectively, which were significantly higher than those in the general population. Patients with LC aged 20-29, 30-39, and 40-49 years had SIRs for HZ of 1.41 (95% CI: 1.33-1.48), 1.16 (1.13-1.19), and 1.17 (1.13-1.19), respectively. In multivariable analysis, woman (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]: 1.48), steroid (AHR: 1.20), immunosuppressant use (AHR: 1.26), and combined comorbidities were associated with an increased risk of HZ among patients with LC. DISCUSSION: Patients with LC, particularly those who are not currently recommended for HZ vaccination, were at an increased risk of HZ and HZ-related hospitalization compared with the general Korean population.

Personalized Antiviral Drug Selection in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B Using a Machine Learning Model: A Multinational Study.

INTRODUCTION: Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is reportedly superior or at least comparable to entecavir (ETV) for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B; however, it has distinct long-term renal and bone toxicities. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model (designated as Prediction of Liver cancer using Artificial intelligence-driven model for Network-antiviral Selection for hepatitis B [PLAN-S]) to predict an individualized risk of HCC during ETV or TDF therapy. METHODS: This multinational study included 13,970 patients with chronic hepatitis B. The derivation (n = 6,790), Korean validation (n = 4,543), and Hong Kong-Taiwan validation cohorts (n = 2,637) were established. Patients were classified as the TDF-superior group when a PLAN-S-predicted HCC risk under ETV treatment is greater than under TDF treatment, and the others were defined as the TDF-nonsuperior group. RESULTS: The PLAN-S model was derived using 8 variables and generated a c-index between 0.67 and 0.78 for each cohort. The TDF-superior group included a higher proportion of male patients and patients with cirrhosis than the TDF-nonsuperior group. In the derivation, Korean validation, and Hong Kong-Taiwan validation cohorts, 65.3%, 63.5%, and 76.4% of patients were classified as the TDF-superior group, respectively. In the TDF-superior group of each cohort, TDF was associated with a significantly lower risk of HCC than ETV (hazard ratio = 0.60-0.73, all P < 0.05). In the TDF-nonsuperior group, however, there was no significant difference between the 2 drugs (hazard ratio = 1.16-1.29, all P > 0.1). DISCUSSION: Considering the individual HCC risk predicted by PLAN-S and the potential TDF-related toxicities, TDF and ETV treatment may be recommended for the TDF-superior and TDF-nonsuperior groups, respectively.

Proliferative hepatocellular carcinomas in cirrhosis: patient outcomes of LI-RADS category 4/5 and category M.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to compare Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) category 4/5 and category M (LR-M) of proliferative hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) in cirrhotic patients and evaluate their impacts on prognosis. METHODS: This retrospective multi-reader study included cirrhotic patients with single treatment-naïve HCC ≤ 5.0 cm who underwent contrast-enhanced CT, MRI, and subsequent hepatic resection within 2 months. The percentages of CT/MRI LR-4/5 and LR-M in proliferative and non-proliferative HCCs were compared. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to assess the association of LI-RADS categories (LR-4/5 vs. LR-M) and pathologic classification (proliferative vs. non-proliferative) with overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Subgroups of patients with proliferative and non-proliferative HCCs were analyzed to compare OS and RFS between LR-4/5 and LR-M. RESULTS: Of the 204 included patients, 38 were classified as having proliferative HCC. The percentages of LR-M were higher in proliferative than non-proliferative HCC on both CT (15.8% vs. 3.0%, p = 0.007) and MRI (26.3% vs. 9.6%, p = 0.016). Independent of pathologic classification, CT and MRI LR-M were significantly associated with poorer OS (hazard ratio (HR) = 4.58, p = 0.013, and HR = 6.45, p < 0.001) and RFS (HR = 3.66, p = 0.005, and HR = 6.44, p < 0.001) than LR-4/5. MRI LR-M was associated with significantly poorer OS (p ≤ 0.003) and RFS (p < 0.001) than MRI LR-4/5 in both proliferative and non-proliferative HCCs. CONCLUSIONS: This multi-reader study showed that the percentages of LR-M were significantly higher in proliferative than non-proliferative HCCs. CT/MRI LR-M was significantly associated with poor OS and RFS, independent of the pathologic classification of proliferative versus non-proliferative HCCs. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: CT and MRI LI-RADS category M can be clinically useful in predicting poor outcomes in patients with proliferative and non-proliferative hepatocellular carcinomas. KEY POINTS: • The percentages of LR-M tumors on both CT and MRI were significantly higher in proliferative than non-proliferative hepatocellular carcinomas. • Independent of pathologic classification, CT/MRI LR-M categories were correlated with poor overall survival and recurrence-free survival. • Patients with both proliferative and non-proliferative hepatocellular carcinomas categorized as MRI LR-M had significantly poorer overall survival and recurrence-free survival than those categorized as MRI LR-4/5.

LI-RADS version 2018 for hepatocellular carcinoma < 1.0 cm on gadoxetate disodium-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to develop and evaluate a modified Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) version 2018 using significant ancillary features for diagnosing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) < 1.0 cm on gadoxetate disodium-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). METHODS: Patients who underwent preoperative gadoxetate disodium-enhanced MRI for focal solid nodules < 2.0 cm within 1 month of MRI between January 2016 and December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Major and ancillary features were compared between HCCs of < 1.0 cm and 1.0-1.9 cm using the chi-square test. Significant ancillary features associated with HCC < 1.0 cm were determined by univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis. The sensitivity and specificity of LR-5 were compared between LI-RADS v2018 and our modified LI-RADS (applying the significant ancillary feature) using generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: Of 796 included nodules, 248 were < 1.0 cm and 548 were 1.0-1.9 cm. HCC < 1.0 cm less frequently showed an enhancing capsule (7.1% vs. 31.1%, p < .001) and threshold growth (0% vs. 8.3%, p = .007) than HCC of 1.0-1.9 cm. Restricted diffusion was the only ancillary feature significant for diagnosing HCC < 1.0 cm (adjusted odds ratio = 11.50, p < .001). In the diagnosis of HCC, our modified LI-RADS using restricted diffusion had significantly higher sensitivity than LI-RADS v2018 (61.8% vs. 53.5%, p < .001), with similar specificity (97.3% vs. 97.8%, p = .157). CONCLUSION: Restricted diffusion was the only significant independent ancillary feature for diagnosing HCC < 1.0 cm. Our modified LI-RADS using restricted diffusion can improve the sensitivity for HCC < 1.0 cm. KEY POINTS: • The imaging features of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) < 1.0 cm differed from those of HCC of 1.0-1.9 cm. • Restricted diffusion was the only significant independent ancillary feature for HCC < 1.0 cm. • Modified Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) with the addition of restricted diffusion can improve the sensitivity for HCC < 1.0 cm.

A model for predicting poor survival in patients with cirrhosis undergoing portosystemic shunt embolization.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Portosystemic shunt embolization (PSSE) is a promising treatment for hepatic encephalopathy (HEP) and gastric varix (GV) in cirrhotic patients with a spontaneous portosystemic shunt. However, PSSE may worsen portal hypertension causing hepatorenal syndrome, liver failure, and mortality. This study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model that helps identify patients with a risk of poor short-term survival after PSSE. METHODS: We included 188 patients who underwent PSSE for recurrent HEP or GV at a tertiary center in Korea. To develop a prediction model for 6-month survival after PSSE, Cox proportional-hazard model was used. The developed model was validated in a separate cohort of 184 patients from two other tertiary centers. RESULTS: In multivariable analysis, the 1-year overall survival after PSSE was significantly associated with baseline levels of serum albumin, total bilirubin, and international normalized ratio (INR). We therefore developed the albumin-bilirubin-INR (ABI) score by assigning 1 point each for albumin < 3.0 g/dL, total bilirubin ≥ 1.5 mg/dL, and INR ≥ 1.5. Time-dependent areas under the curve of the ABI score for predicting 3-month and 6-month survival were 0.85 and 0.85 in the development cohort and 0.83 and 0.78 in the validation cohort, indicating good discrimination performance. The ABI score showed a better discrimination and calibration performance than the model for end-stage liver disease and the Child-Pugh scores, especially in high-risk patients. CONCLUSIONS: The ABI score is a simple prognostic model that helps decide whether to proceed with PSSE for the prevention of HEP or GV bleeding in patients with spontaneous portosystemic shunt.

Methodological challenges of performing meta-analyses to compare the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma between chronic hepatitis B treatments.

Despite several recent meta-analyses on the topic, the comparative risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) receiving entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) remains controversial. The controversy partly results from the arbitrary nature of significance levels leading to contradictory conclusions from very similar datasets. However, the use of observational data, which is prone to both within- and between-study heterogeneity of patient characteristics, also lends additional uncertainty. The asynchronous introduction of ETV and TDF in East Asia, where the majority of these studies have been conducted, further complicates analyses, as does the ensuing difference in follow-up time between ETV and TDF cohorts. Researchers conducting meta-analyses in this area must make many methodological decisions to mitigate bias but are ultimately limited to the methodologies of the included studies. It is therefore important for researchers, as well as the audience of published meta-analyses, to be aware of the quality of observational studies and meta-analyses in terms of patient characteristics, study design and statistical methodologies. In this review, we aim to help clinicians navigate the published meta-analyses on this topic and to provide researchers with recommendations for future work.

A risk scoring system to predict clinical events in chronic hepatitis B virus infection: A nationwide cohort study.

Many patients with chronic hepatitis B do not receive adequate follow-up. This study aimed to develop a risk score to predict clinical events in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection at the population level for identifying patients at high risk to warrant regular follow-up. This study analysed population-based data from the nationwide claims database of South Korea obtained between 2005 and 2015. We identified 507,239 non-cirrhotic patients with chronic HBV infection who are not under antiviral treatment. A risk score for predicting clinical events (hepatocellular carcinoma, death or liver transplantation) was developed based on multivariable Cox proportional hazard model in a development cohort (n = 401,745) and validated in a validation cohort (n = 105,494). The cumulative incidence rates of clinical events at 5 years were 2.56% and 2.44% in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. Clinical events in asymptomatic patients with chronic HBV infection (CAP-B) score ranging from 0 to 7.5 points based on age, sex, socioeconomic status, chronic hepatitis C co-infection, diabetes mellitus, statin or antiplatelet exposure, smoking, alcohol consumption, alanine aminotransferase and gamma-glutamyltransferase had good discriminatory accuracy in both the development and validation cohorts (c-indices for 3-, 5- and 10-year risk prediction: all 0.786). The predicted and observed probabilities of clinical events were calibrated in both cohorts. A score of >3.5 points identified subjects at distinctly high risk. The CAP-B score using easily accessible variables can predict clinical events and may allow selection of patients with chronic HBV infection for priority of regular follow-up.

Metabotropic Glutamate Receptor 5 in Natural Killer Cells Attenuates Liver Fibrosis by Exerting Cytotoxicity to Activated Stellate Cells.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The important roles of glutamate and metabotropic glutamate receptor 5 (mGluR5) in HSCs have recently been reported in various liver diseases; however, the mechanism linking the glutamine/glutamate metabolism and mGluR5 in liver fibrosis remains unclear. Here, we report that mGluR5 activation in natural killer (NK) cells attenuates liver fibrosis through increased cytotoxicity and interferon-γ (IFN-γ) production in both mice and humans. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Following 2-week injection of carbon tetrachloride (CCl4 ) or 5-week methionine-deficient and choline-deficient diet, liver fibrosis was more aggravated in mGluR5 knockout mice with significantly decreased frequency of NK cells compared with wild-type mice. Consistently, NK cell-specific mGluR5 knockout mice had aggravated CCl4 -induced liver fibrosis with decreased production of IFN-γ. Conversely, in vitro activation of mGluR5 in NK cells significantly increased the expression of anti-fibrosis-related genes including Ifng, Prf1 (perforin), and Klrk1 (killer cell lectin like receptor K1) and the production of IFN-γ through the mitogen-activated extracellular signal-regulated kinase/extracellular signal-related kinase pathway, contributing to the increased cytotoxicity against activated HSCs. However, we found that the uptake of glutamate was increased in activated HSCs, resulting in shortage of extracellular glutamate and reduced stimulation of mGluR5 in NK cells. Consequently, this could enable HSCs to evade NK cell cytotoxicity in advanced liver fibrosis. In vivo, pharmacologic activation of mGluR5 accelerated CCl4 -induced liver fibrosis regression by restoring NK cell cytotoxicity. In humans, mGluR5 activation enhanced the cytotoxicity of NK cells isolated from healthy donors, but not from patients with cirrhosis with significantly reduced mGluR5 expression in NK cells. CONCLUSIONS: mGluR5 plays important roles in attenuating liver fibrosis by augmenting NK cell cytotoxicity, which could be used as a potential therapeutic target for liver fibrosis.

Efficacy and safety of tenofovir alafenamide versus tenofovir disoproxil fumarate in treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We used real-world data to evaluate the efficacy and safety of tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) compared with tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) in treatment-naïve patients with CHB. METHODS: We analysed 2747 patients with CHB under TAF (n = 502) or TDF (n = 2245) treatments. Virological responses (VR: HBV DNA <15 IU/ml), on-treatment ALT normalization, the incidence of HCC, renal function and lipid profiles were compared between these groups. Propensity score matching of 495 pairs was conducted for these comparisons. RESULTS: The mean age of the total cohort was 48.6 years and 58.2% of the subjects were male. Cirrhosis had a 33.3% prevalence in the population. VRs at 12, 24 and 36 months were achieved in 70.3%, 81.2% and 83.3% of the TAF and 67.9%, 84.3% and 86.1% in the TDF cases respectively (p > 0.05 for all). Normalized ALT, as determined by local laboratory criteria (<40 U/L), occurred in 79.7%, 90.6% and 86.2% of TAF the group and 78.2%, 85.8% and 85.7% of the TDF group at 12, 24 and 36 months respectively (p > 0.05 for all). The HCC risk did not statistically differ across the entire cohort or in the PS-matched cohort. The TAF group showed a lower median increase in serum creatinine from baseline during the early study period. Compared with the TAF, the TDF group showed significant decreases in total cholesterol, triglyceride and HDL, but not in LDL. CONCLUSIONS: Real-word data indicate that TAF has comparable efficacies to TDF in terms of VR and ALT normalization, with no higher risk of HCC.