RESUMO
BACKGROUND: In the REMoxTB study of 4-month treatment-shortening regimens containing moxifloxacin compared to the standard 6-month regimen for tuberculosis, the proportion of unfavourable outcomes for women was similar in all study arms, but men had more frequent unfavourable outcomes (bacteriologically or clinically defined failure or relapse within 18 months after randomisation) on the shortened moxifloxacin-containing regimens. The reason for this gender disparity in treatment outcome is poorly understood. METHODS: The gender differences in baseline variables were calculated, as was time to smear and culture conversion and Kaplan-Meier plots were constructed. In post hoc exploratory analyses, multivariable logistic regression modelling and an observed case analysis were used to explore factors associated with both gender and unfavourable treatment outcome. RESULTS: The per-protocol population included 472/1548 (30%) women. Women were younger and had lower rates of cavitation, smoking and weight (all p < 0.05) and higher prevalence of HIV (10% vs 6%, p = 0.001). They received higher doses (mg/kg) than men of rifampicin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide and moxifloxacin (p ≤ 0.005). There was no difference in baseline smear grading or mycobacterial growth indicator tube (MGIT) time to positivity. Women converted to negative cultures more quickly than men on Lowenstein-Jensen (HR 1.14, p = 0.008) and MGIT media (HR 1.19, p < 0.001). In men, the presence of cavitation, positive HIV status, higher age, lower BMI and 'ever smoked' were independently associated with unfavourable treatment outcome. In women, only 'ever smoked' was independently associated with unfavourable treatment outcome. Only for cavitation was there a gender difference in treatment outcomes by regimen; their outcome in the 4-month arms was significantly poorer compared to the 6-month treatment arm (p < 0.001). Women, with or without cavities, and men without cavities had a similar outcome on all treatment arms (p = 0.218, 0.224 and 0.689 respectively). For all other covariate subgroups, there were no differences in treatment effects for men or women. CONCLUSIONS: Gender differences in TB treatment responses for the shorter regimens in the REMoxTB study may be explained by poor outcomes in men with cavitation on the moxifloxacin-containing regimens. We observed that women with cavities, or without, on the 4-month moxifloxacin regimens had similar outcomes to all patients on the standard 6-month treatment. The biological reasons for this difference are poorly understood and require further exploration.
Assuntos
Tuberculose/tratamento farmacológico , Feminino , Identidade de Gênero , Humanos , Masculino , Resultado do Tratamento , Tuberculose/patologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Recent studies have shown that pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) can substantially reduce the chance of acquiring HIV infection. However, PrEP efficacy has been found to be compromised in macaque studies if the challenge virus is antiretroviral therapy (ART)-resistant. Our objective was to evaluate the likelihood that a UK man who has sex with men (MSM) would be exposed to PrEP-resistant HIV in a homosexual encounter with an HIV-infectious partner. METHODS: Data from the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (UK CHIC) study were linked to the UK HIV Drug Resistance Database for HIV-1-positive MSM patients seen between 2005 and 2008. Patients were categorized as undiagnosed; diagnosed but ART-naïve; ART-experienced and on treatment; and ART-experienced and on a treatment interruption. Considering current PrEP regimens, resistance to (a) tenofovir (TDF) alone, (b) TDF and emtricitabine (FTC), and (c) TDF or FTC was estimated. Patients without resistance tests had PrEP resistance imputed using bootstrapping and logistic regression models. RESULTS: The population-level prevalence of PrEP resistance in HIV-infectious individuals in 2008 was estimated to be 1.6, 0.9 and 4.1% for PrEP resistance definitions a, b and c, respectively. Prevalence in ART-experienced patients was highest, with negligible circulating resistance amongst ART-naïve individuals. The levels of resistance declined over the period of study. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis indicates low levels of resistance to proposed PrEP drugs. The estimated PrEP resistance prevalence in UK HIV-infected MSM is towards the lower range of values used in simulation studies which have suggested that circulating PrEP drug resistance will have a negligible impact on PrEP efficacy at the population level.
Assuntos
Adenina/análogos & derivados , Fármacos Anti-HIV/farmacologia , Desoxicitidina/análogos & derivados , Farmacorresistência Viral/efeitos dos fármacos , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , HIV-1/efeitos dos fármacos , Homossexualidade Masculina , Organofosfonatos/farmacologia , Adenina/administração & dosagem , Adenina/farmacologia , Fármacos Anti-HIV/administração & dosagem , Estudos de Coortes , Desoxicitidina/administração & dosagem , Desoxicitidina/farmacologia , Quimioterapia Combinada , Emtricitabina , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Organofosfonatos/administração & dosagem , Prevalência , Tenofovir , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Carga ViralRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Recruitment to randomised clinical trials can be challenging and slow recruitment has serious consequences. This study aimed to summarise and reflect on the challenges in enrolling young children to a multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) prevention trial in South Africa.METHODS: Recruitment to the Tuberculosis Child Multidrug-resistant Preventive Therapy Trial (TB-CHAMP) was tracked using an electronic recruiting platform, which was used to generate a recruiting flow diagram. Structured personnel questionnaires, meeting minutes and workshop notes were thematically analysed to elucidate barriers and solutions.RESULT: Of 3,682 (85.3%) adult rifampicin (RIF) resistant index cases with pre-screening outcomes, 1597 (43.4%) reported having no children under 5 years in the household and 562 (15.3%) were RIF-monoresistant. More than nine index cases were pre-screened for each child enrolled. Numerous barriers to recruitment were identified. Thorough recruitment planning, customised tracking data systems, a dedicated recruiting team with strong leadership, adequate resources to recruit across large geographic areas, and excellent relationships with routine TB services emerged as key factors to ensure successful recruitment.CONCLUSION: Recruitment of children into MDR-TB prevention trials can be difficult. Several MDR-TB prevention trials are underway, and lessons learnt from TB-CHAMP will be relevant to these and other TB prevention studies.
Assuntos
Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Características da Família , Humanos , Programas de Rastreamento , Projetos de Pesquisa , Rifampina , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/prevenção & controleRESUMO
BACKGROUND: There are no data comparing the 6-9 month oral three-drug Nix regimen (bedaquiline, pretomanid and linezolid [BPaL]) to conventional regimens containing bedaquiline (B, BDQ) and linezolid (L, LZD).METHODS: Six-month post end-of-treatment outcomes were compared between Nix-TB (n = 109) and 102 prospectively recruited extensively drug-resistant TB patients who received an Ë18-month BDQ-based regimen (median of 8 drugs). A subset of patients received BDQ and LZD (n = 86), and a subgroup of these (n = 75) served as individually matched controls in a pairwise comparison to determine differences in regimen efficacy.RESULTS: Favourable outcomes (%) were significantly better with BPaL than with the B-L-based combination regimen (98/109, 89.9% vs. 56/86, 65.1%; adjusted relative risk ratio [aRRR] 1.35; P < 0.001) and in the matched pairwise analysis (67/75, 89.3% vs. 48/75, 64.0%; aRRR 1.39; P = 0.001), despite significantly higher baseline bacterial load and prior second-line drug exposure in the BPaL cohort. Time to culture conversion (P < 0.001), time to unfavourable outcome (P < 0.01) and time to death (P < 0.03) were significantly better or lower with BPaL than the B-L-based combinations.CONCLUSION: The BPaL regimen (and hence substitution of multiple other drugs by pretomanid and/or higher starting-dose LZD) may improve outcomes in drug-resistant TB patients with poor prognostic features. However, prospective controlled studies are required to definitively answer this question.
Assuntos
Tuberculose Extensivamente Resistente a Medicamentos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Diarilquinolinas/uso terapêutico , Tuberculose Extensivamente Resistente a Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Linezolida/uso terapêutico , Nitroimidazóis , Estudos Prospectivos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Treatment for TB is lengthy and toxic, and new regimens are needed.METHODS: Participants with pulmonary drug-susceptible TB (DS-TB) were randomised to receive: 200 mg pretomanid (Pa, PMD) daily, 400 mg moxifloxacin (M) and 1500 mg pyrazinamide (Z) for 6 months (6Pa200MZ) or 4 months (4Pa200MZ); 100 mg pretomanid daily for 4 months in the same combination (4Pa100MZ); or standard DS-TB treatment for 6 months. The primary outcome was treatment failure or relapse at 12 months post-randomisation. The non-inferiority margin for between-group differences was 12.0%. Recruitment was paused following three deaths and not resumed.RESULTS: Respectively 4/47 (8.5%), 11/57 (19.3%), 14/52 (26.9%) and 1/53 (1.9%) DS-TB outcomes were unfavourable in patients on 6Pa200MZ, 4Pa200MZ, 4Pa100MZ and controls. There was a 6.6% (95% CI -2.2% to 15.4%) difference per protocol and 9.9% (95%CI -4.1% to 23.9%) modified intention-to-treat difference in unfavourable responses between the control and 6Pa200MZ arms. Grade 3+ adverse events affected 68/203 (33.5%) receiving experimental regimens, and 19/68 (27.9%) on control. Ten of 203 (4.9%) participants on experimental arms and 2/68 (2.9%) controls died.CONCLUSION: PaMZ regimens did not achieve non-inferiority in this under-powered trial. An ongoing evaluation of PMD remains a priority.
Assuntos
Antituberculosos , Pirazinamida , Tuberculose , Humanos , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Quimioterapia Combinada , Moxifloxacina , Nitroimidazóis , Resultado do Tratamento , Tuberculose/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
Data are lacking on the performance of interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs) in children. Although IGRAs are recommended for screening for latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI), many clinicians wish to employ them as a diagnostic test for active tuberculosis (TB). The objective of the present study was to compare the performance of the two commercially available IGRAs and the tuberculin skin test (TST) side-by-side in children with active TB and LTBI. In a prospective study, 209 children were investigated for active (n = 91) or latent TB (n = 118). TST, QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-tube (QFG-IT; Cellestis, Carnegie, Australia) and T-SPOT.TB (Oxford Immunotec, Abingdon, UK) assays were simultaneously used. For culture-confirmed active TB, the sensitivity of the TST was 83%, compared with 80% for QFG-IT and 58% for T-SPOT.TB. IGRAs did not perform significantly better than TST, although QFG-IT was significantly better than T-SPOT.TB. The agreement between QFG-IT and T-SPOT.TB in culture-confirmed TB was poor at 66.7%. In LTBI, the agreement between QFG-IT and T-SPOT.TB was very good (92%) with moderate agreement between TST and T-SPOT.TB (75%) and QFG-IT and TST (77%). A negative interferon-gamma release assay should not dissuade paediatricians from diagnosing and treating presumed active tuberculosis. If used for diagnosis of latent tuberculosis infection, interferon-gamma release assays could significantly reduce the numbers of children receiving chemoprophylaxis. Very good concordance between both tests was found.
Assuntos
Testes Imunológicos/métodos , Interferon gama/sangue , Tuberculose Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Estudos Prospectivos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Fatores de Tempo , Teste Tuberculínico , Tuberculose Pulmonar/imunologiaRESUMO
SETTING: We conducted a qualitative exploration into the palatability and acceptability of a novel fixed-dose combination (FDC) anti-tuberculosis drug. This study was nested in the SHINE (Shorter treatment for minimal TB in children) trial, which compares the safety and efficacy of treating non-severe drug-susceptible tuberculosis (TB) with a 6 vs. 4 months anti-tuberculosis regimen in children aged 0-16 years. Participants were recruited in Cape Town, South Africa.OBJECTIVE: To describe the palatability and acceptability of a FDC of rifampicin, isoniazid and pyrazinamide among South African children and their caregivers in the SHINE trial.METHODS: We conducted 20 clinic observations of treatment administration, during which we conducted 16 semi-structured interviews with children and their caregivers. Data were organised thematically to report on experiences with administering and ingesting the FDC.RESULTS: Children and caregivers' experiences varied from delight to disgust. In general, participants said that the FDC compared favourably to other formulations. Pragmatic challenges such as dissolving the FDC and the time required to administer the FDC impeded caregivers' ability to integrate treatment into their daily routines. Drug manipulation was common among caregivers to improve TB treatment administration.CONCLUSION: This novel FDC appears acceptable for children, albeit with practical challenges to administration. Scale-up of FDC use should include supplementary intervention components to support caregivers.
Assuntos
Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Satisfação do Paciente , Tuberculose Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico , Administração Oral , Adolescente , Antituberculosos/administração & dosagem , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Serviços de Saúde da Criança , Pré-Escolar , Esquema de Medicação , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Entrevistas como Assunto , Masculino , África do SulRESUMO
In the routine reporting of coronary angiograms, there are no contemporary estimates of the magnitude and consequences of interobserver variability. We therefore measured the agreement beyond chance between (1) the number of narrowed arteries on an angiographic report extracted from case notes and independent assessments by 2 cardiologists, and (2) actual patient management over an 18-month follow-up period and each cardiologist's hypothetical management proposal based on abstracted clinical details. Two hundred nine angiograms were randomly selected from 4,121 patients in a prospective study (Appropriateness of Coronary Revascularisation [ACRE study]). The number of narrowed arteries was defined using Coronary Artery Surgery Study (CASS) criteria. For the number of narrowed arteries, cardiologists A and B agreed with the angiographic report in 126 patients (60%, weighted kappa = 0.64) and 124 patients (59%, weighted kappa = 0.63), respectively. In a subset of 92 patients (44%) there was unanimous agreement on the number of narrowed arteries (both cardiologists agreed with the angiographic report). Comparing actual management (34 percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty and 39 coronary artery bypass grafting procedures on follow-up) with each of the cardiologist's management recommendations showed agreement in 150 patients (72%, kappa = 0.46) and 154 patients (74%, kappa = 0.48) for cardiologists A and B, respectively. These agreements on management improved (p = 0.05) for cardiologist B (but not A) when analysis was confined to the subset of 92 patients, showing agreement in 73 patients (79%, kappa = 0.60). Thus, in routine clinical practice, the agreement beyond chance in interpretation of the number of narrowed arteries was good. Disagreements on subsequent patient management arose as a result of, and independent of, errors in angiographic interpretation.
Assuntos
Angioplastia Coronária com Balão , Angiografia Coronária/normas , Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Doença das Coronárias/diagnóstico por imagem , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Doença das Coronárias/epidemiologia , Doença das Coronárias/terapia , Feminino , Humanos , Londres/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Variações Dependentes do Observador , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
Nuclear magnetic resonance microscopy was used to image the parasitoid wasp Venturia canescens (Hymenoptera: Ichneumonidae) within larval and pupal instars of its host, the Indian meal moth, Plodia interpunctella (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae). The images were obtained using gradient-echo and chemical shift selective pulse sequences and clearly showed the location and shapes of the parasitoid as it developed from the L1 larva to a pupal stage within the host. The digestive, nervous, and tracheal systems of the host were identified and changes were observed as the host underwent metamorphosis. Destruction of the host tissues by the parasitoid was visible. It was found that the parasitoid first ate the fat body and digestive system of the host, allowing the host to continue to grow, and only progressed to the vital organs when its own development had neared pupation.
Assuntos
Espectroscopia de Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Mariposas/anatomia & histologia , Vespas/anatomia & histologia , Animais , Interações Hospedeiro-Parasita , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador , Microscopia , Mariposas/fisiologia , Vespas/crescimento & desenvolvimentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Heart failure is a serious, common, and growing problem. Hospital admissions, which account for the bulk of health service costs associated with heart failure, are becoming more frequent. AIM: To determine whether management of heart failure differs by age and sex. METHOD: A retrospective case note review of prevalent cases in 16 general practices in West London. Five hundred and eighty-three patients (57% women) with a diagnosis of heart failure were reviewed. RESULTS: Mean age of patients with heart failure was 78 years (SD = 9.5)--74 years at diagnosis (SD = 10)--and was higher for women than men (76 years versus 71 years, P < 0.001). In 32% of patients there was no record of a chest X-ray, electrocardiogram, or echocardiogram to support diagnosis. Echocardiography, performed in 34% of patients, was less likely in older patients in both sexes (test for trend P = 0.04 in women and 0.02 in men) and, overall, in women (29% compared with 40% of men, P = 0.006). Angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor treatment, recorded in 54% of patients, decreased with age in both sexes (P < 0.001) and, on unadjusted data, was more likely in men than in women (61% compared with 49%, P = 0.005). On adjustment for age, sex differences in the use of echocardiography and ACE inhibitors were reduced and no longer significant. CONCLUSIONS: With increasing age, men and women with heart failure were less likely to have undergone echocardiography or to have received an ACE inhibitor. When account was taken of age, there were no statistically significant sex differences in management; however, because of the demographic distribution of heart failure, women are disproportionately affected by age differences in management. Clinical trials, physician practice, and service developments in heart failure have neglected older people. This balance should be redressed.
Assuntos
Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/uso terapêutico , Cardiopatias/tratamento farmacológico , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Ecocardiografia , Feminino , Cardiopatias/diagnóstico , Cardiopatias/epidemiologia , Humanos , Londres/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Distribuição por SexoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether installation of an ion-exchange water softener in the home could improve atopic eczema in children and, if so, to establish its likely cost and cost-effectiveness. DESIGN: An observer-blind, parallel-group randomised controlled trial of 12 weeks duration followed by a 4-week observational period. Eczema was assessed by research nurses blinded to intervention at baseline, 4 weeks, 12 weeks and 16 weeks. The primary outcome was analysed as intent-to-treat, using the randomised allocation rather than actual treatment received. A secondary per-protocol analysis excluded participants who failed to receive their allocated treatment and who were deemed to be protocol violators. SETTING: Secondary and primary care referral centres in England (UK) serving a variety of ethnic and social groups and including children living in both urban and periurban homes. PARTICIPANTS: Three hundred and thirty-six children (aged 6 months to 16 years) with moderate/severe atopic eczema, living in homes in England supplied by hard water (≥ 200 mg/l calcium carbonate). INTERVENTIONS: Participants were randomised to either installation of an ion-exchange water softener plus usual eczema care (group A) for 12 weeks or usual eczema care alone (group B) for 12 weeks. This was followed by a 4-week observational period, during which water softeners were switched off/removed from group A homes and installed in group B homes. Standard procedure was to soften all water in the home, but to provide mains (hard) water at a faucet-style tap in the kitchen for drinking and cooking. Participants were therefore exposed to softened water for bathing and washing of clothes, but continued to drink mains (hard) water. Usual care was defined as any treatment that the child was currently using in order to control his or her eczema. New treatment regimens used during the trial period were documented. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome was the difference between group A and group B in mean change in disease severity at 12 weeks compared with baseline, as measured using the Six Area, Six Sign Atopic Dermatitis (SASSAD) score. This is an objective severity scale completed by blinded observers (research nurses) unaware of the allocated intervention. Secondary outcomes included use of topical medications, night-time movement, patient-reported eczema severity and a number of quality of life measures. A planned subgroup analysis was conducted, based on participants with at least one mutation in the gene encoding filaggrin (a protein in the skin thought to be important for normal skin barrier function). RESULTS: Target recruitment was achieved (n = 336). The analysed population included 323 children who had complete data. The mean change in primary outcome (SASSAD) at 12 weeks was -5.0 [standard deviation (SD) 8.8] for the water softener group (group A) and -5.7 (SD 9.8) for the usual care group (group B) [mean difference 0.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) -1.37 to 2.69, p = 0.53]. The per-protocol analysis supported the main analysis, and there was no evidence that the treatment effect varied between children with and without mutations in the filaggrin gene. No between-group differences were found in the three secondary outcomes that were assessed blindly (use of topical medications; night-time movement; proportion showing reasonable, good or excellent improvement). Small, but statistically significant, differences in favour of the water softener were found in three of the secondary outcomes that were assessed by participants [Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure (POEM); well-controlled weeks (WCWs); Dermatitis Family Index (DFI)]. The results of the economic evaluation, and the uncertainty surrounding them, suggest that ion-exchange water softeners are unlikely to be a cost-effective intervention for children with atopic eczema from an NHS perspective. CONCLUSIONS: Water softeners provided no additional benefit to usual care in this study population. Small, but statistically significant, differences were found in some secondary outcomes as reported by parents, but it is likely that such improvements were the result of response bias. Whether or not the wider benefits of installing a water softener in the home are sufficient to justify the purchase of a softener is something for individual householders to consider on a case-by-case basis. This trial demonstrated overwhelming demand for non-pharmacological interventions for the treatment of eczema, and this is something that should be considered when prioritising future research in the field. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN71423189. FUNDING: This project was funded by the NIHR Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 15, No. 8. See the HTA programme website for further project information. Results of this trial are also published at www.plosmedicine.org.
Assuntos
Eczema/prevenção & controle , Troca Iônica , Abrandamento da Água , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Análise Custo-Benefício , Eczema/economia , Feminino , Proteínas Filagrinas , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Resultado do Tratamento , Reino Unido , Abrandamento da Água/economia , Abastecimento de Água/normasRESUMO
Among over 3000 patients undergoing coronary angiography in the absence of a formal queue-management system, we found that a-priori urgency scores were strongly associated with waiting times, prevalence of coronary-artery disease, rate of revascularisation, and mortality. These data challenge the widely held assumption that such waiting lists are not clinically ordered; however, the wide variation in waiting times within urgency categories suggests the need for further improvements in clinical queueing.
Assuntos
Angiografia Coronária , Triagem , Listas de Espera , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Humanos , Londres , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Revascularização MiocárdicaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Ratings by an expert panel of the appropriateness of treatments may offer better guidance for clinical practice than the variable decisions of individual clinicians, yet there have been no prospective studies of clinical outcomes. We compared the clinical outcomes of patients treated medically after angiography with those of patients who underwent revascularization, within groups defined by ratings of the degree of appropriateness of revascularization in varying clinical circumstances. METHODS: This was a prospective study of consecutive patients undergoing coronary angiography at three London hospitals. Before patients were recruited, a nine-member expert panel rated the appropriateness of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) and coronary-artery bypass grafting (CABG) on a nine-point scale (with 1 denoting highly inappropriate and 9 denoting highly appropriate) for specific clinical indications. These ratings were then applied to a population of patients with coronary artery disease. However, the patients were treated without regard to the ratings. A total of 2552 patients were followed for a median of 30 months after angiography. RESULTS: Of 908 patients with indications for which PTCA was rated appropriate (score, 7 to 9), 34 percent were treated medically; these patients were more likely to have angina at follow-up than those who underwent PTCA (odds ratio, 1.97; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.29 to 3.00). Of 1353 patients with indications for which CABG was considered appropriate, 26 percent were treated medically; they were more likely than those who underwent CABG to die or have a nonfatal myocardial infarction--the composite primary outcome (hazard ratio, 4.08; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.82 to 5.93)--and to have angina (odds ratio, 3.03; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.08 to 4.42). Furthermore, there was a graded relation between rating and outcome over the entire scale of appropriateness (P for linear trend=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of the ratings of the expert panel, we identified substantial underuse of coronary revascularization among patients who were considered appropriate candidates for these procedures. Underuse was associated with adverse clinical outcomes.
Assuntos
Angioplastia Coronária com Balão/estatística & dados numéricos , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/estatística & dados numéricos , Doença das Coronárias/terapia , Mau Uso de Serviços de Saúde , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Revisão da Utilização de Recursos de Saúde , Angina Pectoris/classificação , Angina Pectoris/terapia , Angiografia Coronária , Doença das Coronárias/diagnóstico por imagem , Doença das Coronárias/tratamento farmacológico , Doença das Coronárias/cirurgia , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Modelos Logísticos , Londres , Mortalidade , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether ratings of coronary angiography appropriateness derived by an expert panel on hypothetical patients are associated with actual angiographic findings, mortality, and subsequent revascularisation in the ACRE (appropriateness of coronary revascularisation) study. DESIGN: Population based, prospective study. The ACRE expert panel rated hypothetical clinical indications as inappropriate, uncertain, or appropriate before recruitment of a cohort of real patients. SETTING: Royal Hospitals Trust, London, UK. PARTICIPANTS: 3631 consecutive patients undergoing coronary angiography (no exclusion criteria). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Angiographic findings, mortality (n = 226 deaths), and revascularisation (n = 1556 procedures) over 2.5 years of follow up. RESULTS: The indications for coronary angiography were rated appropriate in 2253 (62%) patients. 166 (5%) coronary angiograms were performed for indications rated inappropriate, largely for asymptomatic or atypical chest pain presentations. The remaining 1212 (33%) angiograms were rated uncertain, of which 47% were in patients with mild angina and no exercise ECG or in patients with unstable angina controlled by inpatient management. Three vessel disease was more likely among appropriate cases and normal coronaries were more likely among inappropriate cases (p < 0.001). Mortality and revascularisation rates were highest among patients with an appropriate indication, intermediate in those with an uncertain indication, and lowest in the inappropriate group (log rank p = 0.018 and p < 0.0001, respectively). CONCLUSION: The ACRE ratings of appropriateness for angiography predicted angiographic findings, mortality, and revascularisation rates. These findings support the clinical usefulness of expert panel methods in defining criteria for performing coronary angiography.
Assuntos
Angiografia Coronária , Doença das Coronárias/diagnóstico por imagem , Prova Pericial , Seleção de Pacientes , Padrões de Prática Médica/normas , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Doença das Coronárias/mortalidade , Doença das Coronárias/cirurgia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Recidiva , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Previous studies investigating the appropriateness of invasive management of coronary disease had not reported the internal consistency of their ratings and may now be out of date. The aim of this study was to measure the influence of clinical factors on contemporary ratings of the appropriateness of coronary angiography, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) and coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) in the Appropriateness of Coronary Revascularisation (ACRE) study. METHODS: The Delphi-RAND technique was used, in which an expert panel (four cardiologists, three cardiothoracic surgeons, a general physician and a general practitioner), meeting in 1995, rated mutually exclusive indications (n = 2178 for angiography, n = 995 for PTCA and n = 984 for CABG). The main outcome measures were the appropriateness category (inappropriate, uncertain or appropriate) for each of the three procedures and treatment preference. RESULTS: For revascularization, the strongest determinant of inappropriateness was coronary anatomy. The odds ratio (OR) for inappropriate PTCA was 10.6 (95 per cent confidence interval (CI) 4.8-23.5) for the effect of left main stem or three-vessel disease versus single-vessel disease, and for CABG it was 0.06 (95 per cent CI 0.03-0.15). The number of diseased vessels was strongly related to preference for medical, PTCA or CABG treatment (p for linear trend <0.001). Mild versus severe anginal symptoms were associated with inappropriate angiography (OR 2.0 (95 per cent CI 0.9-9.8), although this effect was stronger when only the cardiologists' ratings were considered (OR 10.1 (95 per cent CI 2.4-42.6)). CONCLUSION: These are the first UK ratings of appropriateness covering all three procedures. The associations with clinical factors provide evidence of the internal consistency of these ratings. Prospective validation of these ratings against clinical outcomes is under way in the ACRE study.